1.Short-term prognosis of patients with alcohol-related liver diseases-acute-on-chronic liver failure comorbid with infection
Yuhui PENG ; Jing CHEN ; Xiaoyan LIU ; Chen LI ; Manman SUN ; Peng NING ; Hui LI ; Lilong YAN ; Chongdan GUAN ; Haibin SU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(7):1388-1393
Objective To investigate the influencing factors for the short-term prognosis of patients with alcohol-related liver diseases-acute-on-chronic liver failure(ALD-ACLF)comorbid with infection.Methods A total of 89 ALD-ACLF patients with infection who were admitted to the Fifth Medical Center of PLA General Hospital from January 2019 to December 2021 were enrolled as subjects,and related clinical data were collected at baseline(time of patient enrollment).According to the 28-day survival status of patients,they were divided into survival group with 53 patients and death group with 36 patients,and baseline clinical data were compared between the two groups.The t-test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between groups,and the Wilcoxon rank-sum test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between groups;the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups.A non-conditional Logistic regression analysis was used to perform the multivariate analysis.The Z-test was used for comparison of the area under the ROC curve(AUC),and the diagnostic value of the model was assessed.Results Compared with the survival group,the death group had significantly higher hemoglobin(t=-2.397,P=0.019),alanine aminotransferase(Z=-3.437,P=0.001),gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase(Z=-2.617,P=0.009),creatinine(Z=-3.938,P<0.001),blood urea nitrogen(Z=-3.423,P=0.001),NH3(Z=-4.406,P<0.001),international normalized ratio(Z=-3.428,P=0.001),C-reactive protein(Z=-2.128,P=0.033),procalcitonin(Z=-2.441,P=0.015),Model for End-Stage Liver Disease(MELD)score(t=-4.817,P<0.001),incidence rate of acute kidney injury(χ2=21.602,P<0.001),incidence rate of pulmonary infection(χ2=4.866,P=0.027),and incidence rate of shock(χ2=16.285,P<0.001),as well as significantly lower albumin(Z=-2.473,P=0.013)and incidence rate of abdominal infection(χ2=5.897,P=0.015).The multivariate analysis showed that NH3(odds ratio[OR]=1.027,95%confidence interval[CI]:1.006-1.049,P=0.012),MELD score(OR=1.103,95%CI:1.011-1.203,P=0.027],and the incidence rate of shock(OR=6.326,95%CI:1.533-26.101,P=0.011)were independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in ALD-ACLF patients comorbid with infection.Based on these factors,a predictive model was established as Y=0.027×NH3+0.098×MELD score+1.845×shock-4.111.The ROC curve analysis showed that the new model had an AUC of 0.861,a sensitivity of 77.78%,and a specificity of 88.68%,while MELD score had an AUC of 0.776,a sensitivity of 77.78%,and a specificity of 67.92%,suggesting that the new model had a significantly higher diagnostic value than MELD score(Z=2.136,P=0.032 6).Conclusion ALD-ACLF patients with infection tend to have a poor short-term prognosis,and MELD score,NH3,and shock are influencing factors for the short-term prognosis of such patients.The combination of these three factors has a high value in predicting short-term prognosis.
2.Analysis of the impact of tumor diameter on short-term prognosis in patients with hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma-inducing acute-on-chronic liver failure
Yuhui PENG ; Jing CHEN ; Chen LI ; Chongdan GUAN ; Peng NING ; Hui LI ; Lilong YAN ; Yanhu WANG ; Haibin SU ; Xiaoyan LIU
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2025;33(11):1070-1079
Objective:To investigate the impact of the size of the liver tumor diameter on the prognosis of patients with hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)-inducing acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-HCC/ACLF).Method:A retrospective cohort study was conducted. Clinical data of patients with hepatitis B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) diagnosed according to the Asia-Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASLT) guidelines who were admitted to the Fifth Medical Center of PLA General Hospital between January 2016 and January 2021 were collected. The patients were enrolled in the HBV-HCC/ACLF group (116 cases) and the HBV-ACLF group (348 cases). General information, medical history, biochemical parameters, complications, and liver cancer status were collected. Clinical data and prognoses at 28 days and 12 months of follow-up were compared between the two groups. Factors influencing mortality in the HBV-HCC/ACLF group were analyzed to determine the prognostic significance of tumor diameter. The t test, χ 2 test, and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to analyze factors influencing mortality. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to assess the sensitivity and specificity of tumor diameter for 28-day prognosis, and Kaplan-Meier curves were used for survival analysis. Result:There were statistically significant differences in the 28-day mortality rate [(55.17%, 64/116) vs. (38.51%, 134/348)] and 12-month mortality rate [(78.45%, 91/116) vs. (55.75%, 194/348)] between the HBV-HCC/ACLF group and the HBV-ACLF group ( P<0.05). The area under the ROC curve analysis for HBV-HCC/ACLF patients indicated that the tumor diameter was 0.707 (95% CI: 0.615-0.788). The survival group (52 cases) and the mortality group (64 cases) were divided into the HBV-HCC/ACLF group based on 28-day mortality. Univariate analysis showed that the levels of aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alkaline phosphatase, creatinine, alpha-fetoprotein, white blood cell count, international normalized ratio, model for end-stage liver disease score, acute kidney injury (AKI), the occurrence of infections and complications, and others were all significantly higher in the mortality group compared to the survival group ( P<0.05).The mortality group had a larger tumor diameter than the survival group ( P<0.01). The incidence of portal vein tumor thrombosis and distant liver cancer metastasis was also higher in the survival group ( P<0.01). The mortality group had a higher rate of HCC-related minimally invasive treatment within three months before ACLF diagnosis than the survival group ( P<0.01). AST levels, infection, size of tumor diameter, and minimally invasive treatment within three months before onset were independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in the HBV-HCC/ACLF group. The optimal significant value for tumor diameter affecting prognosis was 3.3 cm, with a sensitivity of 67.19% and a specificity of 73.08%. Patients with liver tumor diameters >3.3 cm had significantly lower 28-day survival rates than those with a tumor diameter ≤3.3 cm [(24.56%, 14/57) vs. (64.41%, 38/59)]. Eighty case analyses had the same findings in patients who had not previously received any therapy. Conclusion:Patients with HBV-HCC/ACLF had a high 28-day mortality rate, and the size of the tumor diameter is important in determining the 28-day prognosis.
3.Cytotoxic effects of the novel photosensitizer PEG-MTPABZ-PyC-mediated photodynamic therapy on gastric cancer cells.
Lingjuan CHEN ; Qi WANG ; Lu WANG ; Yifei SHEN ; Haibin WANG ; Hengxin WANG ; Xuejie SU ; Meixu LEI ; Xianxia CHEN ; Chengjin AI ; Yifan LI ; Yali ZHOU
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2025;50(7):1137-1144
OBJECTIVES:
The application of photodynamic therapy in solid tumors has attracted increasing attention in recent years, and the efficiency of photosensitizers is a crucial determinant of therapeutic efficacy. This study aims to evaluate the cytotoxic effects of a novel photosensitizer, PEG-MTPABZ-PyC, in photodynamic therapy against gastric cancer cells.
METHODS:
Gastric cancer MKN45 cells were treated with PEG-MTPABZ-PyC. A high-content live-cell imaging system was used to assess the cellular uptake kinetics and subcellular localization of the photosensitizer. The cytotoxic effects of PEG-MTPABZ-PyC-mediated photodynamic therapy were examined using the cell counting kit-8 (CCK-8) assay and flow cytometry, while the intrinsic cytotoxicity of the photosensitizer alone was verified by the CCK-8 assay. Intracellular reactive oxygen species (ROS) generation after photodynamic therapy was detected using 2'-7'-dichlorodihydrofluorescein diacetate (DCFH-DA).
RESULTS:
PEG-MTPABZ-PyC alone exhibited no cytotoxicity toward MKN45 cells, indicating excellent cytocompatibility. The compound efficiently entered cells within 6 hours and localized predominantly in lysosomes. Upon light irradiation, PEG-MTPABZ-PyC-mediated photodynamic therapy induced significant cytotoxicity compared with the control group (P<0.05) and generated abundant intracellular ROS.
CONCLUSIONS
The novel photosensitizer PEG-MTPABZ-PyC demonstrates potent photodynamic cytotoxicity against gastric cancer cells, showing promising potential for further development in gastric cancer photodynamic therapy.
Humans
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Stomach Neoplasms/drug therapy*
;
Photochemotherapy/methods*
;
Photosensitizing Agents/pharmacology*
;
Cell Line, Tumor
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Polyethylene Glycols/chemistry*
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Reactive Oxygen Species/metabolism*
;
Mesoporphyrins/pharmacology*
4.Relationship between peripheral blood MPV/PLT,BUN/Lp(a)and prognosis of patients with acute exacerbation of COPD
Xiaorong XU ; Yuxin QI ; Wenping YANG ; Xinyun SU ; Xiaoyue BAI ; Haibin WANG
International Journal of Laboratory Medicine 2025;46(16):1995-1999,2005
Objective To investigate the relationship between the mean platelet volume(MPV)to platelet count(PLT)ratio(MPV/PLT),blood urea nitrogen(BUN)to lipoprotein a[Lp(a)]ratio[BUN/Lp(a)]and the prognosis of patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD).Methods A total of 106 patients with acute exacerbation of COPD admitted to the hospital from January 2021 to January 2024 were selected as the research objects.According to the prognosis,they were divided into sur-vival group(72 cases)and death group(34 cases).The results of routine laboratory tests,blood lipid and lipo-protein levels were compared between the two groups.Multivariate Logistic regression was used to analyze the influencing factors of death in patients with acute exacerbation of COPD.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was used to evaluate the predictive value of MPV/PLT and BUN/Lp(a)for the prognosis of pa-tients with acute exacerbation of COPD.Results Compared with the survival group,the invasive ventilation rate,acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ(APACHE Ⅱ)score,C reactive protein(CRP),white blood cell count(WBC),MPV,BUN,MPV/PLT and BUN/Lp(a)were significantly increased in the death group(P<0.05).The non-invasive ventilation rate,lymphocyte count,PLT and Lp(a)levels were signifi-cantly decreased(P<0.05).Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that APACHE Ⅱ score,CRP,WBC,lymphocyte count,MPV,PLT,MPV/PLT,BUN,Lp(a)and BUN/Lp(a)were the influencing factors of death in patients with acute exacerbation of COPD(P<0.05).ROC curve results showed that the sensitivity and specificity of MPV/PLT combined with BUN/Lp(a)for predicting the prognosis of patients with acute exacerbation of COPD were 88.2%and 84.7%,respectively,and the area under curve was 0.887.Conclusion MPV/PLT and BUN/Lp(a)are closely related to the prognosis of patients with acute exacerbation of COPD.The combination of MPV/PLT and BUN/Lp(a)has a high predictive value for the prognosis of patients.
5.Clinical value of systemic inflammatory response index in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure and co-infection
Hui LI ; Haibin SU ; Jinhua HU ; Chenhui SHI ; Chen LI ; Xiaoyan LIU ; Jing CHEN ; Lilong YAN ; Yuhui PENG ; Peng NING ; Chongdan GUAN
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(8):1620-1626
Objective To investigate the application value of systemic inflammatory response index(SIRI)in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure(ACLF)and co-infection.Methods A retrospective analysis was performed for the clinical data of 579 ACLF patients with co-infection who were diagnosed and treated in The Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital from January 2014 to March 2016,including demographic features,laboratory markers,and complications,and SIRI,Model for End-Stage Liver Disease(MELD)score,MELD combined with serum sodium concentration(MELD-Na)score,and Child-Pugh score were calculated.According to the results of follow-up on day 90,the patients were divided into survival group with 210 patients and death group with 369 patients.The independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups;the Mann-Whitney U rank sum test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups;the chi-square test were used for comparison of categorical data between two groups.The binary logistic regression analysis was used to investigate the independent risk factors for 90-day death.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve and the area under the ROC curve(AUC)were used to assess the performance of SIRI,MELD-Na score,and Child-Pugh score in predicting the prognosis of ACLF patients with co-infection.The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed based on the optimal cut-off value of SIRI.Results Among the 597 ACLF patients with co-infection,384(66.32%)had HBV-related ACLF and 114(19.69%)had alcohol-related ACLF;as for the main infection sites,316(54.58%)had abdominal infection and 133(22.97%)had pulmonary infection;the 90-day mortality rate was 63.73%.The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that SIRI(odds ratio[OR]=1.177,95%confidence interval[CI]:1.117-1.239,P<0.05),blood ammonia(OR=1.009,95%CI:1.001-1.018,P<0.05),MELD-Na score(OR=1.047,95%CI:1.016-1.080,P<0.05),Child-Pugh score(OR=1.351,95%CI:1.054-1.730,P<0.05),age(OR=1.045,95%CI:1.021-1.070,P<0.05),comorbidity with hepatic encephalopathy(OR=2.269,95%CI:1.305-3.946,P<0.05),and comorbidity with acute kidney injury(OR=1.730,95%CI:0.990-3.023,P<0.05)were independent risk factors for 90-day death in ACLF patients with co-infection.The Pearson correlation analysis showed that SIRI was positively correlated with MELD-Na score(r=0.282,P<0.001)and Child-Pugh score(r=0.168,P<0.001).SIRI,MELD-Na score,and Child-Pugh score had an AUC of 0.855,0.734,and 0.690,respectively,in predicting 90-day death,and SIRI had a higher predictive efficiency than MELD-Na score and Child-Pugh score(Z=4.922 and 6.289,both P<0.001),with a sensitivity of 76.7%and a specificity of 82.9%.In addition,SIRI combined with MELD-Na score or Child-Pugh score improved the predictive efficiency of MELD-Na score(0.854 vs 0.734,Z=6.899,P<0.001)and Child-Pugh score(0.858 vs 0.690,Z=8.725,P<0.001).The patients with high SIRI(≥4.08)had a 90-day survival rate of 11.29%(36/319),which was significantly lower than that in the patients with low SIRI(<4.08)(χ2=225.24,P<0.001).Conclusion SIRI is an independent risk factor for death in ACLF patients with co-infection and has a good clinical value in predicting prognosis,with the advantages of convenience and low costs.
6.Short-term prognosis of patients with alcohol-related liver diseases-acute-on-chronic liver failure comorbid with infection
Yuhui PENG ; Jing CHEN ; Xiaoyan LIU ; Chen LI ; Manman SUN ; Peng NING ; Hui LI ; Lilong YAN ; Chongdan GUAN ; Haibin SU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(7):1388-1393
Objective To investigate the influencing factors for the short-term prognosis of patients with alcohol-related liver diseases-acute-on-chronic liver failure(ALD-ACLF)comorbid with infection.Methods A total of 89 ALD-ACLF patients with infection who were admitted to the Fifth Medical Center of PLA General Hospital from January 2019 to December 2021 were enrolled as subjects,and related clinical data were collected at baseline(time of patient enrollment).According to the 28-day survival status of patients,they were divided into survival group with 53 patients and death group with 36 patients,and baseline clinical data were compared between the two groups.The t-test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between groups,and the Wilcoxon rank-sum test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between groups;the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups.A non-conditional Logistic regression analysis was used to perform the multivariate analysis.The Z-test was used for comparison of the area under the ROC curve(AUC),and the diagnostic value of the model was assessed.Results Compared with the survival group,the death group had significantly higher hemoglobin(t=-2.397,P=0.019),alanine aminotransferase(Z=-3.437,P=0.001),gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase(Z=-2.617,P=0.009),creatinine(Z=-3.938,P<0.001),blood urea nitrogen(Z=-3.423,P=0.001),NH3(Z=-4.406,P<0.001),international normalized ratio(Z=-3.428,P=0.001),C-reactive protein(Z=-2.128,P=0.033),procalcitonin(Z=-2.441,P=0.015),Model for End-Stage Liver Disease(MELD)score(t=-4.817,P<0.001),incidence rate of acute kidney injury(χ2=21.602,P<0.001),incidence rate of pulmonary infection(χ2=4.866,P=0.027),and incidence rate of shock(χ2=16.285,P<0.001),as well as significantly lower albumin(Z=-2.473,P=0.013)and incidence rate of abdominal infection(χ2=5.897,P=0.015).The multivariate analysis showed that NH3(odds ratio[OR]=1.027,95%confidence interval[CI]:1.006-1.049,P=0.012),MELD score(OR=1.103,95%CI:1.011-1.203,P=0.027],and the incidence rate of shock(OR=6.326,95%CI:1.533-26.101,P=0.011)were independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in ALD-ACLF patients comorbid with infection.Based on these factors,a predictive model was established as Y=0.027×NH3+0.098×MELD score+1.845×shock-4.111.The ROC curve analysis showed that the new model had an AUC of 0.861,a sensitivity of 77.78%,and a specificity of 88.68%,while MELD score had an AUC of 0.776,a sensitivity of 77.78%,and a specificity of 67.92%,suggesting that the new model had a significantly higher diagnostic value than MELD score(Z=2.136,P=0.032 6).Conclusion ALD-ACLF patients with infection tend to have a poor short-term prognosis,and MELD score,NH3,and shock are influencing factors for the short-term prognosis of such patients.The combination of these three factors has a high value in predicting short-term prognosis.
7.Clinical value of systemic inflammatory response index in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure and co-infection
Hui LI ; Haibin SU ; Jinhua HU ; Chenhui SHI ; Chen LI ; Xiaoyan LIU ; Jing CHEN ; Lilong YAN ; Yuhui PENG ; Peng NING ; Chongdan GUAN
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(8):1620-1626
Objective To investigate the application value of systemic inflammatory response index(SIRI)in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure(ACLF)and co-infection.Methods A retrospective analysis was performed for the clinical data of 579 ACLF patients with co-infection who were diagnosed and treated in The Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital from January 2014 to March 2016,including demographic features,laboratory markers,and complications,and SIRI,Model for End-Stage Liver Disease(MELD)score,MELD combined with serum sodium concentration(MELD-Na)score,and Child-Pugh score were calculated.According to the results of follow-up on day 90,the patients were divided into survival group with 210 patients and death group with 369 patients.The independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups;the Mann-Whitney U rank sum test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups;the chi-square test were used for comparison of categorical data between two groups.The binary logistic regression analysis was used to investigate the independent risk factors for 90-day death.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve and the area under the ROC curve(AUC)were used to assess the performance of SIRI,MELD-Na score,and Child-Pugh score in predicting the prognosis of ACLF patients with co-infection.The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed based on the optimal cut-off value of SIRI.Results Among the 597 ACLF patients with co-infection,384(66.32%)had HBV-related ACLF and 114(19.69%)had alcohol-related ACLF;as for the main infection sites,316(54.58%)had abdominal infection and 133(22.97%)had pulmonary infection;the 90-day mortality rate was 63.73%.The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that SIRI(odds ratio[OR]=1.177,95%confidence interval[CI]:1.117-1.239,P<0.05),blood ammonia(OR=1.009,95%CI:1.001-1.018,P<0.05),MELD-Na score(OR=1.047,95%CI:1.016-1.080,P<0.05),Child-Pugh score(OR=1.351,95%CI:1.054-1.730,P<0.05),age(OR=1.045,95%CI:1.021-1.070,P<0.05),comorbidity with hepatic encephalopathy(OR=2.269,95%CI:1.305-3.946,P<0.05),and comorbidity with acute kidney injury(OR=1.730,95%CI:0.990-3.023,P<0.05)were independent risk factors for 90-day death in ACLF patients with co-infection.The Pearson correlation analysis showed that SIRI was positively correlated with MELD-Na score(r=0.282,P<0.001)and Child-Pugh score(r=0.168,P<0.001).SIRI,MELD-Na score,and Child-Pugh score had an AUC of 0.855,0.734,and 0.690,respectively,in predicting 90-day death,and SIRI had a higher predictive efficiency than MELD-Na score and Child-Pugh score(Z=4.922 and 6.289,both P<0.001),with a sensitivity of 76.7%and a specificity of 82.9%.In addition,SIRI combined with MELD-Na score or Child-Pugh score improved the predictive efficiency of MELD-Na score(0.854 vs 0.734,Z=6.899,P<0.001)and Child-Pugh score(0.858 vs 0.690,Z=8.725,P<0.001).The patients with high SIRI(≥4.08)had a 90-day survival rate of 11.29%(36/319),which was significantly lower than that in the patients with low SIRI(<4.08)(χ2=225.24,P<0.001).Conclusion SIRI is an independent risk factor for death in ACLF patients with co-infection and has a good clinical value in predicting prognosis,with the advantages of convenience and low costs.
8.Analysis of the impact of tumor diameter on short-term prognosis in patients with hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma-inducing acute-on-chronic liver failure
Yuhui PENG ; Jing CHEN ; Chen LI ; Chongdan GUAN ; Peng NING ; Hui LI ; Lilong YAN ; Yanhu WANG ; Haibin SU ; Xiaoyan LIU
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2025;33(11):1070-1079
Objective:To investigate the impact of the size of the liver tumor diameter on the prognosis of patients with hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)-inducing acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-HCC/ACLF).Method:A retrospective cohort study was conducted. Clinical data of patients with hepatitis B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) diagnosed according to the Asia-Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASLT) guidelines who were admitted to the Fifth Medical Center of PLA General Hospital between January 2016 and January 2021 were collected. The patients were enrolled in the HBV-HCC/ACLF group (116 cases) and the HBV-ACLF group (348 cases). General information, medical history, biochemical parameters, complications, and liver cancer status were collected. Clinical data and prognoses at 28 days and 12 months of follow-up were compared between the two groups. Factors influencing mortality in the HBV-HCC/ACLF group were analyzed to determine the prognostic significance of tumor diameter. The t test, χ 2 test, and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to analyze factors influencing mortality. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to assess the sensitivity and specificity of tumor diameter for 28-day prognosis, and Kaplan-Meier curves were used for survival analysis. Result:There were statistically significant differences in the 28-day mortality rate [(55.17%, 64/116) vs. (38.51%, 134/348)] and 12-month mortality rate [(78.45%, 91/116) vs. (55.75%, 194/348)] between the HBV-HCC/ACLF group and the HBV-ACLF group ( P<0.05). The area under the ROC curve analysis for HBV-HCC/ACLF patients indicated that the tumor diameter was 0.707 (95% CI: 0.615-0.788). The survival group (52 cases) and the mortality group (64 cases) were divided into the HBV-HCC/ACLF group based on 28-day mortality. Univariate analysis showed that the levels of aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alkaline phosphatase, creatinine, alpha-fetoprotein, white blood cell count, international normalized ratio, model for end-stage liver disease score, acute kidney injury (AKI), the occurrence of infections and complications, and others were all significantly higher in the mortality group compared to the survival group ( P<0.05).The mortality group had a larger tumor diameter than the survival group ( P<0.01). The incidence of portal vein tumor thrombosis and distant liver cancer metastasis was also higher in the survival group ( P<0.01). The mortality group had a higher rate of HCC-related minimally invasive treatment within three months before ACLF diagnosis than the survival group ( P<0.01). AST levels, infection, size of tumor diameter, and minimally invasive treatment within three months before onset were independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in the HBV-HCC/ACLF group. The optimal significant value for tumor diameter affecting prognosis was 3.3 cm, with a sensitivity of 67.19% and a specificity of 73.08%. Patients with liver tumor diameters >3.3 cm had significantly lower 28-day survival rates than those with a tumor diameter ≤3.3 cm [(24.56%, 14/57) vs. (64.41%, 38/59)]. Eighty case analyses had the same findings in patients who had not previously received any therapy. Conclusion:Patients with HBV-HCC/ACLF had a high 28-day mortality rate, and the size of the tumor diameter is important in determining the 28-day prognosis.
9.Analysis of the clinical predictive value of lactate on the prognosis of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure combined with infection
Hui LI ; Haibin SU ; Yonggang WANG ; Lilong YAN ; Yuhui PENG ; Chen LI ; Xiaoyan LIU ; Jinhua HU ; Peng NING ; Chongdan GUAN
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2023;31(3):300-306
Objective:To explore the predictive value of lactic acid for the adverse prognostic outcomes in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure combined with infection.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 208 cases of ACLF combined with infection who were hospitalized from January 2014 to March 2016. Patients were divided into a survival group ( n = 83) and a mortality group ( n = 125) according to the results of a 90-day follow-up. The clinical data were statistically analyzed between the two groups. Multivariate logistic regression with two categorical variables was used to analyze the independent risk factors for 90-day disease mortality and establish a new prediction model. The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve) was used to evaluate the predictive value of lactic acid, the MELD score, the MELD-Na score, lactic acid combined with the MELD score, lactic acid combined with the MELD-Na score, and the new model. Results:The 90-day mortality rate of 208 cases of ACLF combined with infection was 60.1%. There were statistically significant differences in white blood cell count, neutrophil count, total bilirubin (TBil), serum creatinine (Cr), blood urea nitrogen (BUN), blood ammonia, the international normalized ratio (INR), lactic acid (LAC), procalcitonin, the MELD score, the MELD-Na score, hepatic encephalopathy (HE), acute kidney injury (AKI), and bleeding between the two groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that TBil, INR, LAC, HE, and bleeding were independent risk factors for 90-day mortality in patients with ACLF combined with infection. After the establishment of MELD-LAC, MELD-Na-LAC, and a new prediction model, the ROC curve revealed that the AUC (95% confidence interval) of MELD-LAC and MELD-Na LAC were 0.819 (0.759 ~ 0.870) and 0.838 (0.780 ~ 0.886), respectively, and was superior than the MELD score [0.766 (0.702 ~ 0.823)] and MELD-Na score [0.788 (0.726 ~ 0.843)], with P < 0.05, while the new model had an AUC of 0.924, the sensitivity of 83.9%, specificity of 89.9%, and accuracy of 87.8%, which was higher than LAC, MELD score, MELD-Na score, MELD-LAC, and MELD-Na-LAC ( P < 0.01). Conclusion:Lactic acid is an independent risk factor for mortality in patients with ACLF combined with infection, and it improves the clinical predictive value of MELD and MELD-Na for the prognosis of mortality.
10.Determination of a reasonable threshold of total bilirubin for the diagnosis of hepatitis B virus-associated acute-on-chronic liver failure
Hongmin WANG ; Jingjing TONG ; Xiang XU ; Jing CHEN ; Zifeng LIU ; Jing CHEN ; Haibin SU ; Xiaoyan LIU ; Jinhua HU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2022;38(5):1048-1052
Objective To investigate a reasonable threshold of total bilirubin for the diagnosis of hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF), and to realize accurate early diagnosis. Methods A retrospective analysis was performed for the clinical data of 1232 patients with HBV-ACLF who were admitted to The Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital from September 2008 to September 2018, and according to the baseline serum level of total bilirubin (TBil), the patients were divided into group A (TBil < 205.2 μmol/L) and group B (TBil ≥205.2 μmol/L). the two groups were compared in terms of clinical features and 28-day, 90-day, 1-year, and 3-year survival. The t -test or the Mann-Whitney U rank sum test was used for comparison of continuous data between two groups, and the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to analyze survival rate, and the log-rank test was used for comparison. Results There were significant differences between the two groups in age( t =3.188, P =0.001) male sex( χ 2 =33.833, P < 0.001), liver failure classification( χ 2 =39.987, P < 0.001), white blood cell count( Z =6.586, P < 0.001), hemoglobin( Z =4.272, P < 0.001), platelet count( Z =3.680, P < 0.001), creatinine( Z =4.505, P < 0.001), total cholesterol( Z =8.644, P < 0.001), Na( Z =2.335, P =0.020), albumin( Z =2.592, P =0.010), HBV DNA( Z =3.703, P < 0.001), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score( Z =11.828, P < 0.001), and MELD-Na score( Z =8.410, P < 0.001). At baseline, there were significant differences in the incidence rates of ascites and gastrointestinal bleeding between the two groups ( χ 2 =12.036、4.342, P < 0.05). Infection was the most common new-onset complication within 28 days, followed by hepatic encephalopathy, and there was a significant difference in the incidence rate of infection between the two groups ( χ 2 =5.294, P < 0.05). The 28-day transplant-free mortality rate was 21.2% in group A and 29.5% in group B( HR =1.473[95% CI : 1.151~1.886], P =0.005), which was consistent with the clinical feature of a high short-term mortality rate (> 15%) in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). Although there was a difference in long-term mortality rate between the two groups, there was no significant increase in transplant-free mortality rate after 90 days in either group. Conclusion Under the premise of international normalized ratio ≥1.5, it is not recommended to increase the threshold of TBil to 205.2 μmol/L in the diagnostic criteria for HBV-ACLF, so as to ensure the early diagnosis of more ACLF patients and bring more opportunities for treatment and cure.

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