1.A prediction study of the risk of new 9-valent vaccine type human papillomavirus infections in men who have sex with men
Juyuan BIAN ; Heng YANG ; Aslibek SHULIPAN ; Wenhui YU ; Kai WANG ; Guozhen ZHANG ; Jianghong DAI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(1):118-124
Objective:To understand the factors influencing new infections of 9-valent vaccine-type human papillomavirus (9-valent type HPV) among men who have sex with men (MSM) in Urumqi City and to construct a prediction model of individual dynamics of new infections of 9-valent type HPV among MSM.Methods:In this study, a snowball method was adopted to recruit MSM in Urumqi City to establish a dynamic cohort, and participants were followed up every 6 months from 2016 to 2023, and perianal exfoliated cells were collected for HPV genotyping; joint models were established using the number of same-sex sexual partners in the last six months and the number of anal intercourse in the last one week as longitudinal variables, respectively, and joint models were utilized to analyze the influence factors of 9-valent HPV new infections in MSM individuals were analyzed by the joint model; the predictive efficacy of the model in the follow-up period was evaluated by using the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (AUC) values. Based on the prediction model, two study participants were randomly selected for individual dynamic prediction of new-onset HPV infections of 9-valent type types.Results:MSM with at least two follow-up visits 579 individuals were included in the analysis. The results of the two joint models showed that being divorced/widowed [hazard ratio ( HR)=1.544, 95% CI: 1.033-2.233], having a sexual behavior style of being the inserted party ( HR=1.366, 95% CI: 1.053-1.764), and having a history of STDs ( HR=1.659, 95% CI: 1.057-2.558) increased the 9-valent types of new HPV infections risk. The results of the shared parameter of the joint model of the number of same-sex partners in the last six months showed that each 2.72 increase in the number of same-sex partners in the last six months was associated with a 28.2% increase in the risk of new 9-valent HPV infections in MSM individuals ( HR=1.282, 95% CI: 1.065-1.540). The time-dependent AUC results showed that the joint model for the number of same-sex sexual partners in the last six months (0.808 0) predicted better performance than the joint model for the number of anal intercourse in the last one week (0.750 0). The joint model based on the number of same-sex sexual partners in the last six months for the prediction of MSM individual dynamics was consistent with the real situation. Conclusion:The joint model based on the number of same-sex sexual partners in the last six months, sexual behavior, history of STDs, and other risk factors has high accuracy in predicting the risk of new MSM 9-valent HPV infections in Urumqi City, which can provide a scientific basis for the prediction of individual dynamics of new MSM 9-valent HPV infections.
2.The correlation between serum calcium binding protein S100A9 and pulmonary function in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis
Tie ZHANG ; Jing ZHENG ; Guozhen WANG ; Yongtong CAO
Chinese Journal of Laboratory Medicine 2025;48(3):390-395
Objective:To investigate the correlation between serum calcium binding protein S100A9 levels and lung function in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF).Method:A retrospective case-control study was conducted. Forty patients diagnosed with IPF in respiratory department from January 4, 2023, to January 30, 2024 were selected as the IPF group,with a mean age of (65.3±8.4) years old, including 29 males and 11 females. while 50 healthy volunteers receiving health examinations in our physical examination center were enrolled in this study, including 38 males and 12 females, with a mean age of (64.1±6.3) years. The levels of biochemical parameters were assayed with biochemical analyzer. S100A9 levels were determined by Enzyme linked immunosorbent assay. The lung function test results of all participants were recorded. SPSS 19.0 statistical software was used to compare the differences of biomarkers levels between the two groups , Using parameter testing (independent sample t-test) to compare the differences in serum S100A9 levels and lung function between the two groups, the enumeration data were treated with the chi-square test. Pearson correlation analysis was used to evaluate the correlation between S100A9 and lung function, the influencing factors of IPF were analyzed by using multivariate logistic regression model, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to assess the value of Calprotectin S100A9 in predicting IPF. Results:The serum S100A9 levels in the IPF group were significantly higher than those in the healthy control group [(132.47±21.46) pg/ml,(44.75±8.84) pg/ml, t=3.544, P<0.05], forced expiratory volume in one second(FEV1,1.38±0.19) L, forced vital capacity (FVC, 2.38±0.59) L, FEV1/FVC (57.98±6.13), the maximum spontaneous ventilation (MVV, 57.48±7.66) L/min was lower than that of the control group [(3.24±0.65) L, (3.65±0.67) L, (88.77±7.97), (86.34±7.23) L/min, t=3.486,3.393,2.771,3.462, P<0.05]. Serum S100A9 was negatively correlated with FEV1, FVC, FEV1/FVC, and MVV ( r=-0.537,-0.458,-0.489,-0.511, P<0.05), S100A9 was positively correlated with S100A9 in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid and high-resolution CT fibrosis score ( r=0.632, r=0.517, P<0.05).The area under the curve (AUC) of S100A9 for predicting IPF was 0.691. Conclusion:The level of calcium binding protein S100A9 was significantly increased in IPF patients, and was closely related to decreased lung ventilation function and the occurrence of IPF, which might serve as a marker for evaluating pulmonary fibrosis.
3.Research advances in mechanical thrombectomy for medium and distal cerebral vascular occlusions
Kaijie ZHAO ; Shaoju SHAO ; Guozhen ZHANG ; Xiuting SUN ; Xiaoyan ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Cerebrovascular Diseases 2025;22(6):430-438
Mechanical thrombectomy has established efficacy in treating acute ischemic stroke caused by large vessel occlusion.However,for acute ischemic stroke associated with distal medium vessel occlusion(MeVO),endovascular recanalization remains challenging due to small vessel diameter,tortuous anatomy,and limited distal perfusion territory.As there is insufficient evidence to support application of mechanical thrombectomy for distal MeVO,it is not currently established as a standard indication for endovascular therapy.With advancements in the miniaturization and navigability of interventional devices,distal MeVO is gradually emerging as a potential target for mechanical thrombectomy.Nevertheless,occlusion of perforating arteries remains unsuitable for this technique due to their excessively small vessel caliber.This article reviewed the anatomical features and classification,imaging diagnosis,relevant clinical research,and novel materials and technologies pertaining to distal MeVO,aiming to provide reference for recanalization strategies in patients with this condition.
4.Design of Evidence-Based Decision-Making Pathway for the Selection of the National Essential Medicines List
Haili ZHANG ; Wenjie CAO ; Yijiu YANG ; Weili WANG ; Ning LIANG ; Ziteng HU ; Bin LIU ; Lijiao YAN ; Huizhen LI ; Zhaoyuan GONG ; Guozhen ZHAO ; Yanping WANG ; Nannan SHI
Chinese Health Economics 2025;44(1):15-19
The National Essential Medicines System could protect public health and ensure access to essential medications.Although the current selection methods for China's National Essential Medicines Lists(NEMLs)are becoming more scientific and standardized,there are still problems such as much emphasis on expert experience and the lack of transparency of decision-making basis.To address these issues,it proposes an evidence-based decision-making pathway for NEMLs selection guided by clinical value.This approach ensures a strong integration of evidence and decision-making,offering valuable insights for improving the adjustment procedures and selection criteria of the NEMLs in China.
5.A prediction study of the risk of new 9-valent vaccine type human papillomavirus infections in men who have sex with men
Juyuan BIAN ; Heng YANG ; Aslibek SHULIPAN ; Wenhui YU ; Kai WANG ; Guozhen ZHANG ; Jianghong DAI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(1):118-124
Objective:To understand the factors influencing new infections of 9-valent vaccine-type human papillomavirus (9-valent type HPV) among men who have sex with men (MSM) in Urumqi City and to construct a prediction model of individual dynamics of new infections of 9-valent type HPV among MSM.Methods:In this study, a snowball method was adopted to recruit MSM in Urumqi City to establish a dynamic cohort, and participants were followed up every 6 months from 2016 to 2023, and perianal exfoliated cells were collected for HPV genotyping; joint models were established using the number of same-sex sexual partners in the last six months and the number of anal intercourse in the last one week as longitudinal variables, respectively, and joint models were utilized to analyze the influence factors of 9-valent HPV new infections in MSM individuals were analyzed by the joint model; the predictive efficacy of the model in the follow-up period was evaluated by using the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (AUC) values. Based on the prediction model, two study participants were randomly selected for individual dynamic prediction of new-onset HPV infections of 9-valent type types.Results:MSM with at least two follow-up visits 579 individuals were included in the analysis. The results of the two joint models showed that being divorced/widowed [hazard ratio ( HR)=1.544, 95% CI: 1.033-2.233], having a sexual behavior style of being the inserted party ( HR=1.366, 95% CI: 1.053-1.764), and having a history of STDs ( HR=1.659, 95% CI: 1.057-2.558) increased the 9-valent types of new HPV infections risk. The results of the shared parameter of the joint model of the number of same-sex partners in the last six months showed that each 2.72 increase in the number of same-sex partners in the last six months was associated with a 28.2% increase in the risk of new 9-valent HPV infections in MSM individuals ( HR=1.282, 95% CI: 1.065-1.540). The time-dependent AUC results showed that the joint model for the number of same-sex sexual partners in the last six months (0.808 0) predicted better performance than the joint model for the number of anal intercourse in the last one week (0.750 0). The joint model based on the number of same-sex sexual partners in the last six months for the prediction of MSM individual dynamics was consistent with the real situation. Conclusion:The joint model based on the number of same-sex sexual partners in the last six months, sexual behavior, history of STDs, and other risk factors has high accuracy in predicting the risk of new MSM 9-valent HPV infections in Urumqi City, which can provide a scientific basis for the prediction of individual dynamics of new MSM 9-valent HPV infections.
6.Research advances in mechanical thrombectomy for medium and distal cerebral vascular occlusions
Kaijie ZHAO ; Shaoju SHAO ; Guozhen ZHANG ; Xiuting SUN ; Xiaoyan ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Cerebrovascular Diseases 2025;22(6):430-438
Mechanical thrombectomy has established efficacy in treating acute ischemic stroke caused by large vessel occlusion.However,for acute ischemic stroke associated with distal medium vessel occlusion(MeVO),endovascular recanalization remains challenging due to small vessel diameter,tortuous anatomy,and limited distal perfusion territory.As there is insufficient evidence to support application of mechanical thrombectomy for distal MeVO,it is not currently established as a standard indication for endovascular therapy.With advancements in the miniaturization and navigability of interventional devices,distal MeVO is gradually emerging as a potential target for mechanical thrombectomy.Nevertheless,occlusion of perforating arteries remains unsuitable for this technique due to their excessively small vessel caliber.This article reviewed the anatomical features and classification,imaging diagnosis,relevant clinical research,and novel materials and technologies pertaining to distal MeVO,aiming to provide reference for recanalization strategies in patients with this condition.
7.Design of Evidence-Based Decision-Making Pathway for the Selection of the National Essential Medicines List
Haili ZHANG ; Wenjie CAO ; Yijiu YANG ; Weili WANG ; Ning LIANG ; Ziteng HU ; Bin LIU ; Lijiao YAN ; Huizhen LI ; Zhaoyuan GONG ; Guozhen ZHAO ; Yanping WANG ; Nannan SHI
Chinese Health Economics 2025;44(1):15-19
The National Essential Medicines System could protect public health and ensure access to essential medications.Although the current selection methods for China's National Essential Medicines Lists(NEMLs)are becoming more scientific and standardized,there are still problems such as much emphasis on expert experience and the lack of transparency of decision-making basis.To address these issues,it proposes an evidence-based decision-making pathway for NEMLs selection guided by clinical value.This approach ensures a strong integration of evidence and decision-making,offering valuable insights for improving the adjustment procedures and selection criteria of the NEMLs in China.
8.The correlation between serum calcium binding protein S100A9 and pulmonary function in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis
Tie ZHANG ; Jing ZHENG ; Guozhen WANG ; Yongtong CAO
Chinese Journal of Laboratory Medicine 2025;48(3):390-395
Objective:To investigate the correlation between serum calcium binding protein S100A9 levels and lung function in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF).Method:A retrospective case-control study was conducted. Forty patients diagnosed with IPF in respiratory department from January 4, 2023, to January 30, 2024 were selected as the IPF group,with a mean age of (65.3±8.4) years old, including 29 males and 11 females. while 50 healthy volunteers receiving health examinations in our physical examination center were enrolled in this study, including 38 males and 12 females, with a mean age of (64.1±6.3) years. The levels of biochemical parameters were assayed with biochemical analyzer. S100A9 levels were determined by Enzyme linked immunosorbent assay. The lung function test results of all participants were recorded. SPSS 19.0 statistical software was used to compare the differences of biomarkers levels between the two groups , Using parameter testing (independent sample t-test) to compare the differences in serum S100A9 levels and lung function between the two groups, the enumeration data were treated with the chi-square test. Pearson correlation analysis was used to evaluate the correlation between S100A9 and lung function, the influencing factors of IPF were analyzed by using multivariate logistic regression model, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to assess the value of Calprotectin S100A9 in predicting IPF. Results:The serum S100A9 levels in the IPF group were significantly higher than those in the healthy control group [(132.47±21.46) pg/ml,(44.75±8.84) pg/ml, t=3.544, P<0.05], forced expiratory volume in one second(FEV1,1.38±0.19) L, forced vital capacity (FVC, 2.38±0.59) L, FEV1/FVC (57.98±6.13), the maximum spontaneous ventilation (MVV, 57.48±7.66) L/min was lower than that of the control group [(3.24±0.65) L, (3.65±0.67) L, (88.77±7.97), (86.34±7.23) L/min, t=3.486,3.393,2.771,3.462, P<0.05]. Serum S100A9 was negatively correlated with FEV1, FVC, FEV1/FVC, and MVV ( r=-0.537,-0.458,-0.489,-0.511, P<0.05), S100A9 was positively correlated with S100A9 in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid and high-resolution CT fibrosis score ( r=0.632, r=0.517, P<0.05).The area under the curve (AUC) of S100A9 for predicting IPF was 0.691. Conclusion:The level of calcium binding protein S100A9 was significantly increased in IPF patients, and was closely related to decreased lung ventilation function and the occurrence of IPF, which might serve as a marker for evaluating pulmonary fibrosis.
9.Methodological Consideration on Combination Model of TCM Clinical Practice Guidelines and Real-world Study
Guozhen ZHAO ; Huizhen LI ; Ning LIANG ; Haili ZHANG ; Bin LIU ; Qianzi CHE ; Feng ZHOU ; He LI ; Xiaowen CHEN ; Long YE ; Jiahao LIN ; Xingyu ZONG ; Dingyi WANG ; Nannan SHI ; Yanping WANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2024;30(22):87-93
The clinical practice guidelines of traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) have problems such as limited clinical application and unclear implementation effects, which may be related to the lack of clinical practice evidence. To provide reliable and precise evidence for clinical practice, this article proposes a model of combining TCM guidelines with real-world study, which includes 4 steps. Firstly, during the implementation process of the guidelines, a high-quality research database is established. Secondly, the recommendations in the guidelines are evaluated based on the established database in multiple dimensions, including applicability, effectiveness, safety, and cost-effectiveness, and thus their effectiveness in practical applications can be determined. Thirdly, based on the established database, core prescriptions are identified, and the targeted populations and medication plans are determined. That is, the best treatment regimen is established based on the analysis of abundant clinical data regarding the effects of different medication frequencies, dosages, and duration on efficacy. Fourthly, the guidelines are updated according to the real-world evidence. The research based on this model can provide real-world evidence for ancient and empirical prescriptions, improving their application in clinical practice. Moreover, this model can reduce research costs and improve research efficiency. When applying this model, researchers need to pay attention to the quality of real-world evidence, ensuring that it can truly reflect the situation in clinical practice. In addition, importance should be attached to the clinical application of guideline recommendations, ensuring that doctors can conduct standardized diagnosis and treatment according to the guidelines. Finally, full-process participation of multidisciplinary experts is encouraged to ensure the comprehensiveness and scientificity of the study. In conclusion, the application of this model will contribute to the development of TCM guidelines responsive to the needs of clinical practice and achieve the goal of promoting the homogenization of TCM clinical diagnosis and treatment.
10.Methods and Challenges for Identifying and Controlling Confounding Factors in Traditional Chinese Medicine Observational Studies
Guozhen ZHAO ; Ziheng GAO ; Chen ZHAO ; Huizhen LI ; Ning LIANG ; Bin LIU ; Qianzi CHE ; Haili ZHANG ; Yixiang LI ; Feng ZHOU ; He LI ; Bo LI ; Nannan SHI
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2024;30(22):120-126
As a supplement to randomized controlled trials, observational studies can provide evidence for the effectiveness of traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) treatment measures. They can also study influencing factors of diseases, etiology, and prognosis. However, there is a confounding effect due to the lack of randomization, which seriously affects the causal inference between the study factors and the outcome, resulting in confounding bias. Therefore, identifying and controlling confounding factors are key issues to be addressed in TCM observational studies. According to the causal network and the characteristics of TCM theory, confounding factors can be categorized into measured and unmeasured confounding factors. In addition, attention must be paid to identifying confounding factors and intermediate variables, as well as the interaction between confounding factors and study factors. For methods of controlling confounding factors, measured confounding factors can be controlled by stratification, multifactor analysis, propensity scores, and disease risk scores. Unmeasured and unknown confounding factors can be corrected using instrumental variable methods, difference-in-difference methods, and correction for underlying event rate ratios. Correcting and controlling confounding factors can ensure a balance between groups, and confounding bias can be reduced. In addition, methods such as sensitivity analysis and determination of interactions make the control of confounding factors more comprehensive. Due to the unique characteristics of TCM, observational studies of TCM face unique challenges in identifying and controlling confounding factors, including the ever-changing TCM treatment measures received by patients, the often-overlooked confounding effects in the four diagnostic information of TCM, and the lack of objective criteria for TCM evidence-based diagnosis. Some scholars have already conducted innovative explorations to address these issues, providing a methodological basis for conducting higher-quality TCM observational studies, so as to obtain more rigorous real-world evidence of TCM and gradually develop quality evaluation criteria for OS that are consistent with the characteristics of TCM.

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