1.A prediction model for mild cognitive impairment risk among the elderly
MA Zongkang ; LIU Xinglang ; LI Huihui ; HE Guowei ; YAN Ping ; ZHANG Chuanrong ; MA Xuan ; CHE Yajie ; YU Shan ; CHEN Fenghui
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2026;38(2):124-129
Objective:
To develop a prediction model for mild cognitive impairment (MCI) risk among the elderly, so as to provide a tool for MCI early screening.
Methods :
From July 2022 to September 2024, a multi-stage stratified random cluster sampling method was used to recruit permanent residents aged ≥65 years from the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region as study participants. Data on sociodemographic characteristics, nutritional status, body composition indices, bone mineral density, and handgrip strength were collected through questionnaires and physical examinations. Sarcopenia was defined based on appendicular skeletal muscle index and handgrip strength. MCI was assessed using the Mini-Mental State Examination, with adjustments for educational level. Participants were randomly divided into a training set and a validation set in a 7∶3 ratio. LASSO regression and multivariable logistic regression models were employed to screen for predictors and construct an MCI risk prediction model. The predictive performance of the model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and decision curve analysis (DCA).
Results:
A total of 1 641 participants were surveyed, including 755 males (46.01%) and 886 females (53.99%). The majority of participants were aged 65-<75 years, comprising 1 154 individuals (70.32%). MCI was detected in 517 participants, corresponding to a detection rate of 31.51%. Resultsfrom LASSO regression and multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that residence (rural, OR = 2.323, 95% CI: 1.682-3.210), age (75-<85 years, OR = 1.405, 95% CI: 1.019-1.937; ≥85 years, OR = 3.655, 95% CI: 1.696-7.875), educational level (primary school, OR = 0.341, 95% CI: 0.247-0.472; junior high school, OR = 0.255, 95% CI: 0.160-0.408; high school, OR = 0.286, 95% CI: 0.154-0.531; bachelor's degree or above, OR = 0.120, 95% CI: 0.041-0.351), history of alcohol consumption (yes, OR = 3.216, 95% CI: 2.164-4.779), risk of malnutrition (yes, OR = 1.464, 95% CI: 1.064-2.014), sarcopenia (yes, OR = 3.197, 95% CI: 2.332-4.385), and waist-to-hip ratio (abnormal, OR = 1.540, 95% CI: 1.159-2.048) were identified as predictive factors for MCI among the elderly. In the training set, the area under the ROC curve, sensitivity, and specificity were 0.788, 0.719, and 0.712, respectively. In the validation set, the corresponding values were 0.784, 0.913, and 0.542, respectively. DCA demonstrated that the model provided a higher clinical net benefit for predicting MCI risk when the risk threshold probability ranged from 0.124 to 0.764.
Conclusion
The prediction model developed in this study demonstrates good discriminative ability and clinical utility, indicating its substantial value for predicting the MCI risk among the elderly.
2.The mediating effect of occupational well-being between professional identity and safety behavior among nurses
Xinyan JIANG ; Guowei CHEN ; Haili GUO ; Yuxiu YU ; Sumin LI ; Yuanxin CHEN ; Wei XIONG ; LI SUN ; Ling JIANG
China Occupational Medicine 2025;52(3):276-281
Objective To explore the mediating role of occupational well-being in the relationship between professional identity and safety behavior among nurses. Methods A total of 1 006 nurses from ten tertiary general hospitals in eight provincial administrative regions were selected as the research subjects using convenient sampling method. Their safety behavior, professional identity and occupational well-being were investigated using Nurse Safety Behavior Scale, Nurse Professional Identity Scale and Occupational Well-being Scale. Structural equation modeling was performed using AMOS 26.0 to examine the mediating effect of occupational well-being in the relationship between professional identity and safety behavior among nurses. Results The scores for safety behavior, professional identity, and occupational well-being were (53.0±6.1), (123.7±21.2) and (90.8±13.1), respectively. Safety behavior was positively correlated with both professional identity and occupational well-being (correlation coefficients were 0.50 and 0.50, respectively, both P<0.01). Professional identity was positively correlated with occupational well-being (correlation coefficient was 0.51, P<0.01). The multiple linear regression analysis results showed that the higher the professional identity and occupational well-being of nurses, the higher the level of safety behavior (both P<0.05). The result of mediating effect shows that the total effect of occupational identity on safety behavior was 0.498 [95% confidence interval (CI) was 0.405-0.576], and occupational well-being played a mediating role between professional identity and safety behavior among nurses with the mediation effect of 0.156 (95%CI was 0.112-0.205), accounting for 31.33% of the total effect. Conclusion The safety behavior of nurses is at a moderate level. Both professional identity and occupational well-being can affect the safety behavior of nurses. Professional identity can increase the safety behavior of nurses by affecting occupational well-being.
3.Immunoporosis:dialogue between immune system and osteoporosis
Sizhe YU ; Guowei WANG ; Dongbao ZHAO ; Wei WAN
Academic Journal of Naval Medical University 2025;46(4):427-434
Skeletal system and immune system are 2 important systems for maintaining human life.Osteoporosis is a complex pathological change of bone tissue.Immune system disorders have become the cause of osteoporosis through affecting the proliferation and differentiation of osteoblasts and osteoclasts.Innate immunity,adaptive immunity,and cytokines play crucial roles in bone resorption and remodeling by regulating the signaling pathways of osteoblasts and osteoclasts.Therefore,immunoporosis has emerged for studying the inseparable relationship between osteoporosis and immune system.This article reviews the research progresses on immunoporosis,aiming to provide references for immunotherapy of osteoporosis.
4.Cost-effectiveness of HCV testing strategies for hepatitis C elimination in general population in China
Pengcheng LIU ; Di XU ; Guowei DING ; Liang ZHAO ; Jiejun YU ; Zhongfu LIU ; Jian LI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(3):464-472
Objective:To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of hepatitis C screening in general population in China, and find the age group in which hepatitis C screening can achieve the best cost-effectiveness.Methods:A decision-Markov model was constructed by using software TreeAge pro 2019 to simulate the outcomes of hepatitis C disease pregression of 100 000 persons aged 20-59 years. The cost-effectiveness of the strategies were evaluated from societal perspectives by using incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) and net monetary benefit (NMB). One-way sensitivity analysis and probability sensitivity analysis were used to evaluate the uncertainty of parameters and model.Results:Hepatitis C screening was cost-effective in people aged 20- 59 years and the cost effectiveness was best in age group 40-49 years. Compared with non-screening strategy of hepatitis C in people aged 20-59 years, the incremental cost was 161.24 yuan, the incremental utility was 0.003 6 quality adjusted life years (QALYs)/per person, ICER was 45 197.26 yuan/QALY, ICER was less than the willing payment threshold. The ICER and NMB in all age groups were 42 055.06-53 249.43 yuan/QALY and 96.52-169.86 yuan/per person. Hepatitis C screening in people aged 40-49 years had the best cost-effectiveness. The results of one-way sensitivity analysis showed that the discount rate, anti-HCV detection cost, anti-HCV infection rate and the cost of direct antiviral agents were the main factors influencing economic evaluation. The results of the probability sensitivity analysis indicated that the model analysis was stable.Conclusions:Implementing hepatitis C screening based on medical institutions is cost-effective in people aged 20- 59 years, especially in those aged 40-49 years. Implementing the HCV screening strategy of be willing to test as far as possible in general population can reduce hepatitis C disease burden in China.
5.Late-stage cascade of oxidation reactions during the biosynthesis of oxalicine B in Penicillium oxalicum.
Tao ZHANG ; Guowei GU ; Guodong LIU ; Jinhua SU ; Zhilai ZHAN ; Jianyuan ZHAO ; Jinxiu QIAN ; Guowei CAI ; Shan CEN ; Dewu ZHANG ; Liyan YU
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2023;13(1):256-270
Oxalicine B ( 1) is an α-pyrone meroterpenoid with a unique bispirocyclic ring system derived from Penicillium oxalicum. The biosynthetic pathway of 15-deoxyoxalicine B ( 4) was preliminarily reported in Penicillium canescens, however, the genetic base and biochemical characterization of tailoring reactions for oxalicine B ( 1) has remained enigmatic. In this study, we characterized three oxygenases from the metabolic pathway of oxalicine B ( 1), including a cytochrome P450 hydroxylase OxaL, a hydroxylating Fe(II)/α-KG-dependent dioxygenase OxaK, and a multifunctional cytochrome P450 OxaB. Intriguingly, OxaK can catalyze various multicyclic intermediates or shunt products of oxalicines with impressive substrate promiscuity. OxaB was further proven via biochemical assays to have the ability to convert 15-hydroxdecaturin A ( 3) to 1 with a spiro-lactone core skeleton through oxidative rearrangement. We also solved the mystery of OxaL that controls C-15 hydroxylation. Chemical investigation of the wild-type strain and deletants enabled us to identify 10 metabolites including three new compounds, and the isolated compounds displayed potent anti-influenza A virus bioactivities exhibiting IC50 values in the range of 4.0-19.9 μmol/L. Our studies have allowed us to propose a late-stage biosynthetic pathway for oxalicine B ( 1) and create downstream derivatizations of oxalicines by employing enzymatic strategies.
6.Establishment of risk prediction nomograph model for sepsis related acute respiratory distress syndrome.
Chunling ZHAO ; Yuye LI ; Qiuyi WANG ; Guowei YU ; Peng HU ; Lei ZHANG ; Meirong LIU ; Hongyan YUAN ; Peicong YOU
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2023;35(7):714-718
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the risk factors of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in patients with sepsis and to construct a risk nomogram model.
METHODS:
The clinical data of 234 sepsis patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of Tianjin Hospital from January 2019 to May 2022 were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were divided into non-ARDS group (156 cases) and ARDS group (78 cases) according to the presence or absence of ARDS. The gender, age, hypertension, diabetes, coronary heart disease, smoking history, history of alcoholism, temperature, respiratory rate (RR), mean arterial pressure (MAP), pulmonary infection, white blood cell count (WBC), hemoglobin (Hb), platelet count (PLT), prothrombin time (PT), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), fibrinogen (FIB), D-dimer, oxygenation index (PaO2/FiO2), lactic acid (Lac), procalcitonin (PCT), brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), albumin (ALB), blood urea nitrogen (BUN), serum creatinine (SCr), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) were compared between the two groups. Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression were used to analyze the risk factors of sepsis related ARDS. Based on the screened independent risk factors, a nomogram prediction model was constructed, and Bootstrap method was used for internal verification. The receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn, and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was calculated to verify the prediction and accuracy of the model.
RESULTS:
There were no significant differences in gender, age, hypertension, diabetes, coronary heart disease, smoking history, alcoholism history, temperature, WBC, Hb, PLT, PT, APTT, FIB, PCT, BNP and SCr between the two groups. There were significant differences in RR, MAP, pulmonary infection, D-dimer, PaO2/FiO2, Lac, ALB, BUN, APACHE II score and SOFA score (all P < 0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that increased RR, low MAP, pulmonary infection, high Lac and high APACHE II score were independent risk factors for sepsis related ARDS [RR: odds ratio (OR) = 1.167, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.019-1.336; MAP: OR = 0.962, 95%CI was 0.932-0.994; pulmonary infection: OR = 0.428, 95%CI was 0.189-0.966; Lac: OR = 1.684, 95%CI was 1.036-2.735; APACHE II score: OR = 1.577, 95%CI was 1.202-2.067; all P < 0.05]. Based on the above independent risk factors, a risk nomograph model was established to predict sepsis related ARDS (accuracy was 81.62%, sensitivity was 66.67%, specificity was 89.10%). The predicted values were basically consistent with the measured values, and the AUC was 0.866 (95%CI was 0.819-0.914).
CONCLUSIONS
Increased RR, low MAP, pulmonary infection, high Lac and high APACHE II score are independent risk factors for sepsis related ARDS. Establishment of a risk nomograph model based on these factors may guide to predict the risk of ARDS in sepsis patients.
Humans
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Retrospective Studies
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Alcoholism
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Prognosis
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Respiratory Distress Syndrome
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Pneumonia
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Sepsis
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Intensive Care Units
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Procalcitonin
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Fibrinogen
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ROC Curve
7.Efficacy of ThULEP versus HoLEP in treating benign prostatic hyperplasia: a Meta analysis
Yinghao ZHOU ; Wandong YU ; Hangbin MA ; Xuehu ZHANG ; Cheng ZHOU ; Guowei SHI
Journal of Modern Urology 2023;28(9):764-769
【Objective】 To compare the efficacy and safety of thulium laser enucleation of the prostate (ThULEP) and holmium laser enucleation of the prostate (HoLEP) in the treatment of benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH). 【Methods】 Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and clinical controlled trials (CCTs) were searched in PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, CNKI and Wanfang Database from Jan.1,2010 to May 30,2022. Two reviewers independently screened literature, extracted data, and assessed the risk of bias of included studies. All divergences were resolved by a third researcher. RevMan 5.4 software was used for Meta analysis. 【Results】 A total of 7 studies were included, involving 1 726 patients, 750 in the ThULEP group and 976 in the HoLEP group. Meta analysis showed that, compared with HoLEP group, the ThULEP group had shorter catheter indwelling time [MD=-0.10, 95%CI (-0.17--0.03), P=0.004] , shorter hospital stay [MD=-0.43, 95%CI (-0.60--0.25), P<0.000 01] , lower IPSS score 12 months after surgery [MD=-1.13, 95%CI (-1.95- -0.30), P=0.007] , lower QoL score 12 months after surgery [MD=-1.00, 95%CI (-1.19- -0.81), P<0.001] ,lower transfusion rate [OR=0.11, 95%CI (0.03-0.36), P=0.000 3] and lower incidence of urinary incontinence [OR=0.24, 95%CI (0.09-0.66), P=0.006] . 【Conclusion】 ThULEP may have similar efficacy and safety as HoLEP in the treatment of BPH, and has more advantages in some aspects.
8.Clinical study of three-dimensional reconstruction combined with intraoperative ultrasound precise hepatectomy in complicated intrahepatic bile duct stones
Guowei LI ; Nianyong YUAN ; Jianfeng CAI ; Wei DING ; Qunfeng XIA ; Weiming YU
Chinese Journal of Hepatobiliary Surgery 2023;29(12):881-886
Objective:To evaluate the efficacy of preoperative three-dimensional (3D) image reconstruction combined with intraoperative dynamic ultrasonography (IOUS) in laparoscopic precision hepatectomy for intrahepatic bile duct stones.Methods:The clinical data of 66 patients with intrahepatic bile duct stones undergoing laparoscopic hepatectomy in the First People's Hospital of Fuyang District, Hangzhou from January 2018 to January 2023 were retrospectively analyzed, including 32 males and 34 females, aged (49.6±15.2) years old. Patients were divided into the study group ( n=32), who underwent laparoscopic precision hepatectomy using 3D reconstruction combined with IOUS, and the control group ( n=34), who underwent conventional laparoscopic hepatectomy. Perioperative data including the operation time, intraopera-tive blood loss, total volume of drainage on postoperative day (POD) 3, and the rates of complications were compared between the groups. Serum levels of interleukin-6 (IL-6), C-reactive protein (CRP), liver function indices including total bilirubin (TBil) and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) were monitored preoperatively and on POD 1, 3, 5, and 7. Results:The operation time was shorter in the study group [(178±17) min vs. (189±18) min, t=2.55, P=0.010]. The intraoperative blood loss was reduced in the study group [(218±19) ml vs. (395±21) ml, P<0.001]. The incidence of total volume of drainage >300 ml on POD 3 were comparable between the groups [9.4%(3/32) vs. 14.7%(5/34), P=0.507]. There were no significant differences in preoperative serum level of TBil, ALT, CRP and IL-6 between the groups (all P>0.05). Compared to the control group, serum levels of TBil, ALT and CRP in the study group were decreased on POD 1, 3, 5 and 7, and IL-6 was decreased on POD 1 and 3 (all P<0.05). The occurrences of postoperative bile leakage [9.4% (3/32) vs. 29.4% (10/34)] and liver cutting surface fluid accumulation [12.5% (4/32) vs. 35.3% (12/34)] and the rate of stone retention [3.0% (1/32) vs. 20.6% (7/34)] were lower in the study group (all P<0.05). Conclusion:Preoperative 3D image reconstruction combined with IOUS in laparoscopic precision hepatectomy for intrahepatic bile duct stones could reduce intra-operative blood loss, hepatic inflammatory response, and postoperative complications.
9.Research progress on peripheral blood indexes in the prognosis of small cell lung cancer
Qingwei SHEN ; Yu CHEN ; Hongxu REN ; Shuhao ZHANG ; Naibin LI ; Guowei CHE
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2022;29(06):788-792
In recent years, many scholars have explored the clinical application value of a number of peripheral hematology indexes in tumor patients. The significant correlation of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and platelet to lymphocyte ratio with the prognosis in various tumors has also been confirmed. At present, more peripheral blood indexes have been gradually applied to the evaluation of the prognosis in patients with malignant tumors. Small cell lung cancer (SCLC) is a type of highly malignant tumor and most patients are in advanced stage at the time of diagnosis. The evaluation value of tumor stage for survival is extremely limited. Therefore, this review intends to explain the relationship between various peripheral hematology indexes and the prognosis of SCLC patients, so as to provide some academic evidence for the clinical assessment of the survival of SCLC patients and formulation of appropriate treatment strategy, which may contribute to the improvement of the prognosis.
10.Changes of brain functional network in neonates with different degrees of hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy
Yingying WANG ; Yi WANG ; Guowei HUA ; Min YU ; Lu LIN ; Lichi ZHANG ; Hongxin LI
Chinese Journal of Behavioral Medicine and Brain Science 2021;30(6):504-509
Objective:To explore the changes of brain network functional connection in neonates with different degrees of hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy(HIE), and to understand its influence on brain function.Methods:Clinical data of full-term HIE children hospitalized in Neonatology Department of Changzhou Children's Hospital from January 2017 to May 2020 were collected by convenient sampling method. A total of 44 cases were scanned by conventional and functional magnetic resonance image.Twenty-four of them met the inclusion criteria, including 11 mild patients (PT1 group) and 13 moderate and severe patients (PT2 group). The amplitude of low frequency fluctuation (ALFF) was used to compare the differences of ALFF values between PT1 group and PT2 group, and the differences of functional connectivity (FC) between PT1 group and PT2 group were compared by the method of brain network connectivity analysis.Results:In the edge analysis, compared with the PT1 group, the FC of the right supplementary motor area and the right precentral gyrus ( Z1=0.39, Z2 =-0.08), the right lingual gyrus and the right hippocampus ( Z1=0.61, Z2=0.20), the left calcarine cortex and the right amygdala ( Z1=0.30, Z2=-0.02), the right pallidus and the right posterior cingulate cortex ( Z1=0.33, Z2=0.05) were decreased in the PT2 group (all P<0.001, uncorrected). In ALFF analysis, there was no significant difference between PT1 group and PT2 group ( P>0.05, FDR adjusted). Conclusion:There are changes in functional connections in some brain regions in children with moderate and severe HIE.These functional connections are related to motor function, emotional processing, language development, cognitive function, learning and memory, etcetera.


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