1.Pharmacoeconomic evaluation of culmerciclib combined with fulvestrant in the second-line treatment of HR+/HER2− locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer
Ran LIU ; Shengnan GAO ; Congxin LI ; Yuxi ZHANG ; Ranran ZHANG ; Yue WANG ; Ziyi LIU ; Guoqiang LIU
China Pharmacy 2026;37(8):1033-1038
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of culmerciclib combined with fulvestrant as second-line treatment for patients with hormone receptor-positive(HR+)/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2–) locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer, within the context of the Chinese healthcare system. METHODS A partitioned survival model was established based on the CULMATE-1 study, with a simulation time horizon set at 15 years and a cycle length of 28 days. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of culmerciclib combined with fulvestrant versus fulvestrant monotherapy as second-line treatment for HR+/HER2– breast cancer was calculated. One-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed to assess the robustness of the model. Meanwhile, scenario analysis of culmerciclib price reduction was conducted; the required price reduction and price to reach the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold in this study were calculated. RESULTS The results of the base-case analysis indicated that, compared with the fulvestrant monotherapy regimen, culmerciclib combined with fulvestrant yielded an additional 0.823 quality-adjusted life year (QALY), with a corresponding ICER of 371 696.26 yuan/QALY, which exceeded the WTP threshold (199 330 yuan/QALY). The results of the univariate sensitivity analysis indicated that the cost of culmerciclib, the discount rate, the utility values for progression disease and progression free survival status were significant factors influencing the ICER; both the univariate sensitivity analysis and the probabilistic sensitivity analysis validated the robustness of the model results. Scenario analysis indicated that when the price of culmerciclib was reduced by 30%, 55% and 85% respectively, the corresponding ICER values fell below 3, 2, and 1 times China’s per capita GDP in 2025, with the probability of cost-effectiveness being 3.00%, 94.90%, 100%. When the cost of culmerciclib (60 mg) was reduced by 52.6% to 50.96 yuan, the ICER value met the WTP threshold established in this study. CONCLUSIONS When the WTP threshold is set at twice China’s per capita GDP in 2025, second-line treatment with culmerciclib combined with fulvestrant for HR+/HER2– locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer does not exhibit cost-effectiveness advantage over fulvestrant monotherapy. Therefore, a reasonable price reduction is required to alleviate the financial burden on patients.
2.Pre-operative risk assessment of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence in liver transplant recipients by non-invasive detection of pre-existing genetic lesions
Suqin YANG ; Sunbin LING ; Jianhua LI ; Yan WANG ; Jiapei WANG ; Qiwei HUANG ; Fanming LIU ; Yiqi ZHUANG ; Yingyu ZHENG ; Rui WANG ; Zhe YANG ; Xiaoping ZHENG ; Kai WANG ; Zhikun LIU ; Jun CHEN ; Jianguo WANG ; Haiyang XIE ; Lin ZHOU ; Leiming CHEN ; Guoqiang CAO ; Dandan CHEN ; Junfang JI ; Bin ZHAO ; Chao JIANG ; Di LU ; Xuyong WEI ; Hangjin JIANG ; Qiaonan SHAN ; Hengbo SHI ; Yong-Zhen XU ; Shusen ZHENG ; Zhengxin WANG ; Shengda LIN ; Xiao XU
Clinical and Molecular Hepatology 2026;32(2):884-903
Background/Aims:
Liver transplantation (LT) following total hepatectomy is a life-saving treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The HCC recurrence after LT hinders the effectiveness of the procedure. The objective of this study is to develop a pre-operative risk stratification model based on a liquid biopsy.
Methods:
We conducted a comprehensive multi-omics study of 260 HCC patients from three centers, including clinical data, low-coverage whole-genome sequencing of cell-free DNA (cfDNA) from plasma, as well as whole-exome, single-nucleus RNA, and spatial transcriptomics from matched tumor and non-tumor tissues.
Results:
We identified cfDNA-derived copy number alteration (CNA) signatures associated with post-transplant recurrence. By integrating cfDNA-derived CNA profiles with single-cell transcriptomic data, we traced recurrence-associated cfDNA to a distinct subpopulation of malignant cells within the primary tumor. These cells were embedded in a pro-metastatic microenvironment of specialized endothelial subtypes and cancer-associated fibroblasts. Notably, most recurrence-associated lesions were detectable in cfDNA prior to liver transplantation (LT). Building on these insights, we developed the ZJU Criteria based on CNA fragments and tumor markers, a pre-LT risk prediction tool that integrates conventional clinical factors with cfDNA-derived CNA signatures, and validated it using internal and independent external cohorts.
Conclusion
Our findings suggest that post-transplant recurrence commonly originates from advanced subclones that emerge late during tumor evolution. The ZJU Criteria provides an accurate, non-invasive strategy that significantly improves pre-LT risk stratification and clinical decision-making for patients with HCC.
3.Cost-effectiveness analysis of onradivir and oseltamivir for the treatment of influenza A in adults
Yongzan ZHANG ; Shengnan GAO ; Xianying WANG ; Guoqiang LIU
China Pharmacy 2026;37(12):1579-1583
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of onradivir versus oseltamivir in the treatment of influenza A in adults from the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system. METHODS Based on data from a phase Ⅲ clinical trial (NCT04683406), a decision tree model was constructed to simulate the efficacy and cost of using onradivir versus oseltamivir in treating adult patients with influenza A, with a cycle length of 5 days and a simulation period of 29 days. The two drug prices correspond to the median listing prices published by Yaozhi Network and the national negotiated prices. Patient characteristics and influenza utility values were derived from the phase Ⅲ clinical trial of onradivir, and medical costs and complication utility values were sourced from published literature. Quality-adjusted life year(QALY) was used as an effect indicator, and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio(ICER) of onradivir versus oseltamivir was calculated, using China’s per capita disposable income in 2025 (43 377 yuan) as the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the results. One-way and probabilistic analyses were performed to verify the robustness of the results. RESULTS Compared with the oseltamivir regimen, the onradivir regimen yielded an incremental 0.000 67 QALY with direct medical cost savings of 12.41 yuan, thus being a dominant strategy. One-way sensitivity analysis showed that the utility values on day 15 of oseltamivir treatment, the incidence of influenza pneumonia in the oseltamivir group and the costs of the two drugs significantly affected the results. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis indicated that at the pre-specified WTP threshold, onradivir had a 70.6% probability of being cost-effective. CONCLUSIONS At a WTP threshold set at the 2025 per capita disposable income of China, compared with oseltamivir, onradivir can improve the health outcomes of adult patients with influenza A and reduce costs, demonstrating greater cost-effectiveness.
4.Cost-utility analysis of datopotamab deruxtecan as first-line treatment for advanced triple-negative breast cancer in patients ineligible for immunotherapy
Sisi LIU ; Ran LIU ; Shengnan GAO ; Ziyi LIU ; Yue WANG ; Guoqiang LIU
China Pharmacy 2026;37(20):2711-2717
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of datopotamab deruxtecan versus traditional chemotherapy as first-line treatment for advanced triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) in patients ineligible for immunotherapy, from the perspective of the health system in China.METHODS A partitioned survival model was constructed based on the results of the TROPION-Breast02 study. The time horizon was set at 10 years with a cycle length of 21 d, a discount rate of 4.5%, and a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of 2 times the per capita gross domestic product (GDP) of China in 2025. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of datopotamab deruxtecan versus chemotherapy was calculated. One-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed to assess the robustness of the model. Scenario analyses of price reductions of datopotamab deruxtecan were also conducted to estimate the required price reduction magnitude and prices for the ICER to fall below the WTP thresholds of 2, 1 and 0.5 times the per capita GDP of China.RESULTS Compared with chemotherapy, datopotamab deruxtecan could yield an additional 0.37 quality-adjusted life year (QALY), with an ICER of 825 725.04 yuan/QALY, which was higher than the WTP threshold (199 330 yuan/QALY). One-way sensitivity analysis indicated that the ICER was highly sensitive to the cost of datopotamab deruxtecan and sacituzumab govitecan (for subsequent treatment), and the utility value of the progression-free survival state; the results of both one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses supported the good robustness of the model. The scenario analyses showed that when the price of datopotamab deruxtecan was reduced by 36.30%, 42.08% and 44.96%, respectively (corresponding to prices of 4 246.18, 3 861.15 and 3 668.66 yuan per 100 mg), the ICER fell below the WTP thresholds of 2, 1 and 0.5 times the per capita GDP of China, respectively.CONCLUSIONS At a WTP threshold of 2 times the per capita GDP of China in 2025, datopotamab deruxtecan as first-line treatment for advanced TNBC in patients ineligible for immunotherapy is not cost-effective compared with chemotherapy.
5.A comparison of short-term efficacy and safety of small-caliber polyvinyl alcohol microsphere-based versus conventional TACE for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma
Shaowei LI ; Jianguo LI ; Junchen WANG ; Shuxia WANG ; Guoqiang MA ; Yumin LI ; Li GUO ; Wei HU
China Pharmacy 2026;37(20):2732-2738
OBJECTIVE To compare the short-term efficacy and safety of small-caliber polyvinyl alcohol (PVA) microsphere-based transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) versus conventional iodized oil emulsion-based TACE in the treatment of unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).METHODS Clinical data of 146 patients with unresectable HCC who underwent TACE at Gansu Provincial Second People’s Hospital (Affiliated Hospital of Northwest Minzu University) from June 1, 2024, to June 30, 2025, were retrospectively collected. According to the treatment strategy, the patients were divided into the control group (conventional iodized oil emulsion-based TACE, n =79) and the observation group (small-caliber PVA microsphere-based TACE, n =67). One-to-one propensity score matching (PSM) was performed, and the matched cohort (62 patients in each group) was used for the primary analysis. The objective response rate (ORR) and disease control rate (DCR) at 1 and 3 months post-treatment, serum levels of tumor markers (alpha-fetoprotein, alpha-fetoprotein lectin-binding fraction L3, and protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-Ⅱ) before treatment and at 1 and 3 months post-treatment, the occurrence of adverse events, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) were compared between the two groups. Sensitivity and interaction analyses were also performed.RESULTS After PSM, the ORRs in the observation group at 1 and 3 months post-treatment were both 59.7%, and the DCRs were 91.9% and 93.5%, respectively, significantly higher than those in the control group (ORRs: 41.9% and 38.7%; DCRs: 77.4% and 75.8%; P <0.05). At 1 and 3 months post-treatment, the serum levels of tumor markers decreased significantly from baseline in both groups, with significantly lower levels in the observation group than in the control group ( P <0.05). No statistically significant differences were observed in the overall incidence of adverse events or the incidence of grade≥3 adverse events between the two groups ( P >0.05). The median PFS was 10.6 months in the control group and 14.3 months in the observation group, with no statistically significant difference [hazard ratio (HR) of 0.69, 95% confidence interval (CI) of 0.44-1.09, P =0.111]. During follow-up, 8 and 9 patients died in the control and observation groups, respectively, and the median OS was not reached in either group. The 12-month OS rates were 88.8% and 87.3%, respectively, with no statistically significant difference (HR of 0.88, 95%CI of 0.35-2.24, P =0.790). After adjustment for potential confounding factors in the original cohort, the ORR at 3 months post-treatment remained significantly higher in the observation group than in the control group (adjusted odds ratio of 2.67, 95%CI of 1.28-5.56, P =0.009). Additionally, the interaction between treatment modality and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging had no statistically significant impact on the ORR at 3 months post-treatment ( P =0.391).CONCLUSIONS For patients with unresectable HCC, compared with conventional iodized oil emulsion-based TACE, small-caliber PVA microsphere-based TACE demonstrates superior efficacy in terms of early radiological response and improvement in tumor markers, and the two regimens are comparable in terms of safety.
6.A multicenter clinical study on intramedullary vancomycin injection for preventing periprosthetic joint infection in total knee arthroplasty
Te LIU ; Jun FU ; Shiguang LAI ; Zhuo ZHANG ; Chi XU ; Lei GENG ; Yang LUO ; Peng REN ; Xin ZHI ; Quanbo JI ; Heng ZHANG ; Runkai ZHAO ; Haichao REN ; Ye TAO ; Qingyuan ZHENG ; Zeyu FENG ; Jianfeng YANG ; Yiming WANG ; Pengcheng LI ; Shuai LIU ; Wei CHAI ; Xiang LI ; Huiwu LI ; Xiaogang ZHANG ; Baochao JI ; Xianzhe LIU ; Xinzhan MAO ; Jianbing MA ; Xiangxiang SUN ; Jiying CHEN ; Yonggang ZHOU ; Jinliang WANG ; Weijun WANG ; Guoqiang ZHANG ; Ming NI
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedics 2025;45(12):803-811
Objective:To explore the safety and efficacy of intraosseous regional administration (IORA) of vancomycin for preventing infection in primary total knee arthroplasty (TKA).Methods:A total of 124 patients with knee osteoarthritis undergoing TKA between February 2024 and May 2024 at nine hospitals were enrolled. Preoperative infection prophylaxis involved either IORA (0.5 g vancomycin administered via intraosseous regional infusion before incision) or intravenous infusion (1 g vancomycin via peripheral vein). The IORA group included 15 males and 47 females with a median age of 66.5 years (range, 60.0-70.0 years), while the intravenous group included 14 males and 48 females with a median age of 66.0 years (range, 61.8-70.3 years) years. Intraoperative samples were collected including fat and synovium tissues after incision, before prosthesis placement, and after tourniquet release; distal femoral cancellous bone during femoral osteotomy; proximal tibial cancellous bone during tibial osteotomy; proximal intercondylar cancellous bone before prosthesis placement; and peripheral blood from non-infused arms at surgery initiation and after tourniquet release. Vancomycin concentrations were measured using liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. Vital sign changes were recorded from admission to 5~10 minutes post-IORA (IORA group) or post-incision (intravenous group). Follow-ups were conducted on postoperative day 1 and 3, and at 1 and 3 months, to document complications including IORA-related adverse events, periprosthetic joint infections, surgical site infections, red man syndrome, acute kidney injury, deep vein thrombosis and so on.Results:Vancomycin concentrations in bone, fat, and synovial tissue samples were significantly higher in the IORA group than in the intravenous group ( P<0.05), while vancomycin concentrations in blood samples were significantly lower in the IORA group than in the intravenous group ( P<0.05). Only 7.3%(41/558) of tissue samples in the IORA group had vancomycin concentrations below 2.0 μg/g (the minimum inhibitory concentration of vancomycin against coagulase-negative staphylococcus), compared to 59.3%(331/558) in the intravenous group (χ 2=11.285, P<0.001). In the intravenous group, 16.9%(21/124) of blood samples had vancomycin concentrations exceeding 15.0 mg/L (the threshold associated with a significantly increased risk of nephrotoxicity), while all concentrations in the IORA group were below this threshold, the difference was statistically significant (χ 2=22.943, P<0.001). There were no statistically significant difference ( P>0.05) in vital signs changes before and after vancomycin administration between the two groups. Two patients in the intravenous group experienced incision exudate, while no other related complications occurred in either group. Conclusions:Compared to the traditional intravenous infusion of 1 g vancomycin, intraosseous injection of a low dose (0.5 g) of vancomycin achieves higher local tissue concentrations in the knee joint with a lower incidence of adverse reactions and is safe for infection prophylaxis. Despite guidelines not recommending the routine use of vancomycin for preventing infection after primary TKA, intraosseous injection of 0.5 g vancomycin may be considered intraoperatively for primary TKA in the following scenarios: patients in medical institutions with a high prevalence of methicillin-resistant staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) infections, patients with potential preoperative MRSA colonization, or patients with cephalosporin allergy.
7.Effect of treatment adherence and advanced age on cerebral white matter hyperintensities in hypertensive patients with acute cerebral infarction
Tie MA ; Guoqiang WANG ; Junjie CAO ; Yuqing JIANG ; Yonghua HUANG
Chinese Journal of Geriatric Heart Brain and Vessel Diseases 2025;27(8):1042-1046
Objective To investigate the factors influencing the severity of cerebral white matter hyperintensity in hypertensive patients with acute cerebral infarction,and focus on the independ-ent roles of treatment adherence,advanced age,and multidimensional risk factors.Methods A single-center cross-sectional study was conducted on 262 hypertensive patients with acute cerebral infarction admitted to our department from January 2020 to June 2023.According to their score of Morisky Medication Adherence Scale(MMAS-8),they were divided into an adherence group(116 cases)and a non-adherence group(146 cases).Their demographic data,medical history,and blood pressure data were collected through electronic medical records.Fazekas score was assessed blind-ly to quantify the severity of white matter hyperintensity.MMAS-8 and Montreal Cognitive Assessment Scale(MoCA)were used to assess the behavioral indicators,and modified Rankin Scale(mRS)was employed to evaluate the neurological function.Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to screen the risk factors.Results There were statis-tical differences in marital status,mRS score and Fazekas score between the adherence group and the non-adherence group(P<0.05,P<0.01).The non-adherence group had significantly higher diastolic blood pressure than the adherence group[(87.29±7.51)mm Hg(1 mm Hg=0.133 kPa)vs(83.98±8.11)mm Hg,P=0.001].Univariate logistic regression analysis showed age of≥80 years,duration of hypertension≥5 years,systolic blood pressure,and MoCA score<10 were no-tably correlated with severity of white matter hyperintensity(P<0.01).Multivariate logistic re-gression analysis indicted that age of≥80 years(OR=3.305,95%CI:1.560-7.001,P=0.002),systolic blood pressure(OR=1.026,95%CI:1.008-1.044,P=0.003),MoCA score<10(OR=5.210,95%CI:2.060-13.176,P=0.000),and treatment non-adherence(OR=2.380,95%CI:1.346-4.209,P=0.003)were independent risk factors for white matter hyperintensity severity,and duration of hypertension showed no significance in the multivariate model(P>0.05).Conclusion Poor treatment adherence and advanced age are core factors for white matter hyper-intensity progression in hypertensive patients with acute cerebral infarction.
8.The value of cervical vascular ultrasound combined with transcranial Doppler ultrasound in the diagnosis of collateral circulation in patients with ischemic cerebrovascular disease
BAIQIAN ; Qiang WANG ; Guoqiang ZHAO ; Jinmei MA ; Yumei PARTY
China Medical Equipment 2025;22(5):67-71
Objective:To investigate the application value of cervical vascular ultrasound(CVUS)combined with transcranial Doppler ultrasound(TCD)in the diagnosis of carotid artery stenosis and collateral circulation in patients with ischemic cerebrovascular disease(ICVD).Methods:In this study,86 patients with ICVD admitted to the Cardio-Cerebrovascular Disease Specialist Hospital of Qinghai Province from January 2021 to January 2023 were selected.All patients underwent CVUS,TCD and digital subtraction cranial angiography(DSA)examination,and the diagnosis results of DSA were taken as the gold standard.To observe and compare the diagnostic efficacy of CVUS and TCD alone and combined CVUS and TCD for carotid artery stenosis and collateral circulation in ICVD patients.Results:Among the 86 patients with ICVD,a total of 597 vascular stenoses were detected by DSA examination,424 vascular stenoses were detected by CVUS,388 vascular stenoses were detected by TCD,and 586 vascular stenoses were detected by CVUS combined with TCD.The diagnostic coincidence rates of CVUS and TCD alone detection were 71.02%(424/597)and 64.99%(388/597),respectively,and the diagnostic coincidence rate of the combined detection of the two methods was 98.16%(586/597).The comparison showed that there was no statistically significant difference in the diagnostic coincidence rate of the degree of vascular stenosis between CVUS combined with TCD detection and DSA(P>0.05).Among the 86 patients with ICVD,collateral circulation formation was detected in 69 cases by DSA,in 55 cases by CVUS,in 51 cases by TCD,and in a total of 67 cases by CVUS combined with TCD.There was no significant difference in the detection rate between the combined detection of CVUS and TCD and that of DSA(P>0.05).Through analysis,it was concluded that the diagnostic sensitivity and accuracy of CVUS combined with TCD detection were both higher than those of CVUS and TCD single detection,and the difference was statistically significant(x2=10.180 and 12.204,P<0.05)14.969 and 18.124,P<0.05).The accuracy rate of the combined detection of CVUS and TCD was 96.51%,the sensitivity was 97.10%,and the specificity was 94.12%,which was highly consistent compared with DSA(Kappa value=0.896).Conclusion:CVUS combined with TCD detection has high clinical application value in the diagnosis of carotid artery stenosis and collateral circulation in ICVD patients.The combined detection of the two methods can further improve the diagnostic sensitivity,and the diagnostic accuracy is close to the gold standard,which can provide a reliable reference for clinical rational treatment and improvement of prognosis.
9.Performance evaluation of an acridinium ester-based chemiluminescence assay for heparin-binding protein and its application in the diagnosis of sepsis
Yuying WANG ; Sujuan YU ; Qi CHEN ; Bicui ZHAN ; Kang CHEN ; Guoqiang CHEN ; Longbin HONG ; Jianguo WU
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;59(9):1546-1551
This study aims to comprehensively evaluate the analytical performance and clinical application value of an acridinium ester-based chemiluminescence assay for detecting heparin-binding protein (HBP), providing more accurate laboratory evidence for the early diagnosis of infections and sepsis. The analytical performance of the HBP detection kit based on acridinium ester chemiluminescence was verified in Hangzhou Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine in January 2024 to June 2024, including limit of blank (LoB), accuracy, precision, linear range, anti-interference ability, and clinical diagnostic concordance. The potential of this assay in early diagnosis and treatment monitoring of sepsis was assessed. HBP levels were measured in 97 patients with sepsis and 160 healthy controls, and intergroup differences were analyzed using the Mann-Whitney U test. The results showed that the LoB of the HBP detection kit based on acridinium ester chemiluminescence was 0.10 RLU, and low-concentration sample testing showed good discrimination. In the accuracy evaluation, the regression equation between the test reagent and the comparator was y=1.015 2 x-2.850 8 (R2=0.995 1). For precision, the CV in intra-assay was ≤3.51%, and the CV in inter-assay was ≤4.18%. Within the linear range of 0.42-493.46 ng/ml, the regression equation was y=0.996 9 x+3.066 0 (R2=0.999 1). In interference experiments, the relative deviation was <3%. Clinically, the median HBP concentration in the sepsis group (median: 121.1 ng/ml) was significantly higher than in the control group (median: 6.3 ng/ml, P<0.000 1), with a diagnostic sensitivity of 98.97% and specificity of 96.25%. Age stratification had no effect on HBP levels ( U=448 ,P=0.780 0). In conclusion,the acridinium ester-based chemiluminescence assay requires only about 10 minutes to complete the detection and deliver results, demonstrating acceptable sensitivity, precision, and anti-interference capability. Its wide linear range and rapid detection meet emergency testing needs. Clinical validation confirms HBP′s extremely high sensitivity and specificity for sepsis diagnosis, supporting its role as a key marker for early diagnosis, treatment monitoring, and prognosis assessment.
10.The value of machine learning models based radiomics for predicting high-risk molecular subtypes of lower-grade gliomas
Xiangli YANG ; Guoqiang YANG ; Wenju NIU ; Xueting LI ; Yan TAN ; Xiaochun WANG ; Lizhi XIE ; Hui ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Radiology 2025;59(8):909-916
Objective:To evaluate the clinical utility of machine learning model based radiomics in predicting high-risk molecular subtypes of lower-grade gliomas(LrGGs).Methods:This was a cross-sectional study. A total of 287 patients diagnosed with LrGGs in the First Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi Provincial People′s Hospital, and the Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University from January 2011 to September 2023 were retrospectively collected, including 166 males and 121 females; 114 cases of high-risk molecular subtypes and 173 cases of non-high-risk molecular subtypes. All patients were divided into 201 cases in the training set and 86 cases in the test set according to 7∶3 in simple randomized grouping method. All patients underwent contrast-enhanced T 1WI (CE-T 1WI) and T 2-weighted fluid-attenuated inversion recovery sequence imaging (T 2-FLAIR), and the imaging features of high-risk and non-high-risk molecular subtypes were analyzed. Analysis of variance, recursive feature elimination, and Kruskal-Wallis were used for radiomics feature screening, and a support vector machine (SVM) classifier was used to construct a radiomics-based classifier model. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were used to analyze clinical variables independently influencing high-risk molecular subtypes of LrGGs to construct a clinical model; a combined model was developed by integrating radiomics labels and clinical variables. Receiver operating characteristic curve and area under the curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve were used to compare the predictive performance of different models. Results:The patient′s age ( OR=1.042, 95% CI 1.018-1.068, P=0.001), pathological grade ( OR=2.270, 95% CI 1.212-4.311, P=0.011), MGMT methylation status ( OR=0.456, 95% CI 0.238-0.866, P=0.017), and ependymal involvement ( OR=7.335, 95% CI 2.929-18.370, P<0.001) were independent influencing factors for the high-risk molecular subtype of LrGGs, and a clinical model was developed based on these factors. An SVM model was constructed based on 12 radiomics features (3 radiomics features based on CE-T 1WI and 9 radiomics features based on T 2-FLAIR). The radiomics score of the probability output by the SVM model was combined with age, pathological grade, MGMT methylation status, and ependymal involvement to develop a combined model. The AUC values of the SVM model for predicting the high-risk molecular subtype of LrGGs were 0.824 and 0.859 in the training set and test set, respectively; the AUC values of the clinical model in the training set and test set were 0.759 and 0.721, respectively; and the AUC values of the combined model in the training set and test set were 0.823 and 0.815, respectively. The combined model had a high clinical net benefit. Conclusion:The machine learning MRI radiomics model can preoperatively predict high risk molecular subtypes of LGGrs, assist in individualized treatment decisions.

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