1.Establishment of a new predictive model for esophagogastric variceal rebleeding in liver cirrhosis based on clinical features
Wen GUO ; Xuyulin YANG ; Run GAO ; Yaxin CHEN ; Kun YIN ; Qian LI ; Manli CUI ; Mingxin ZHANG
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(1):101-110
ObjectiveTo establish a new noninvasive, simple, and convenient clinical predictive model by identifying independent predictive factors for rebleeding after endoscopic therapy in cirrhotic patients with esophagogastric variceal bleeding (EGVB), and to provide a basis for individualized risk assessment and development of clinical intervention strategies. MethodsCirrhotic patients with EGVB who were diagnosed and treated in The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Medical University from September 2018 to October 2023 were enrolled as subjects, and according to whether the patient experienced rebleeding within 1 year after endoscopic therapy, they were divided into rebleeding group with 93 patients and non-rebleeding group with 84 patients. Clinical data were collected and analyzed. The independent samples t-test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups; the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. A Logistic model was established based on the results of the univariate and multivariate analyses, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) were used to assess the accuracy of the model. R software was used to visualize the model by plotting a nomogram, and the Bootstrap method was used for internal validation of the model. ResultsThe multivariate analysis showed that red blood cell count (RBC), cholinesterase (ChE), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), albumin (Alb), thrombin time (TT), portal vein trunk diameter, sequential therapy, and primary prevention were independent predictive factors for rebleeding. Based on the results of the multivariate analysis, a logistic model was established as logit(P)=-0.805-1.978×(RBC)+0.001×(ChE)-0.020×(ALP)-0.314×(Alb)+0.567×(TT)+0.428×(portal vein trunk diameter)-2.303×[sequential therapy (yes=1, no=0)]-2.368×[primary prevention (yes=1, no=0)]. The logistic model (AUC=0.928, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.893—0.964, P<0.001) had a better performance in predicting rebleeding than MELD score (AUC=0.603, 95%CI: 0.520—0.687, P=0.003), Child-Pugh class (AUC=0.650, 95%CI: 0.578—0.722, P=0.001), and FIB-4 index (AUC=0.587, 95%CI: 0.503—0.671, P=0.045). The model had an optimal cut-off value of 0.607, a sensitivity of 0.817, and a specificity of 0.817. Internal validation confirmed that the model had good predictive performance and accuracy. ConclusionSequential therapy, implementation of primary prevention, an increase in RBC, and an increase in Alb are protective factors against rebleeding, while prolonged TT and widened main portal vein diameter are risk factors. The logistic model based on these independent predictive factors can predict rebleeding and thus holds promise for clinical application.
2.Prediction of risk for acute kidney injury and its progression to mortality in obese patients admitted to ICU postoperatively
Qiang LI ; Guo MU ; Wenzhang WANG ; Jie YIN ; Xuan YU ; Bin LU ; Qian LI ; Jun ZHOU
Journal of Army Medical University 2025;47(10):1110-1125
Objective To develop a machine learning-based risk prediction model for postoperative acute kidney injury(AKI)and a model for mortality in obese patients admitted to intensive care unit(ICU)in order to improve early warning and prognostic evaluation to support clinical decision-making.Methods Data of obese postoperative ICU patients were retrospectively retrieved from the MIMIC-Ⅳ and eICU databases for statistical analysis.Ultimately,2 520 patients(670 from MIMIC-Ⅳ and 1 850 from eICU databases)were included to build the risk prediction models for AKI and mortality.The data included demographic information,vital signs,laboratory findings,surgical types,comorbidities,and medication use.After data cleaning and preprocessing,Boruta feature selection was applied,followed by the construction of prediction models using 7 machine learning algorithms,that is,Gradient Boosting Machine(GBM),Generalized Linear Model(GLM),k-Nearest Neighbors(KNN),Na?ve Bayes(NB),Neural Network(NNET),Support Vector Machine(SVM),and XGBoost.Model performance was evaluated through cross-validation and external validation.Results In the risk prediction models of AKI,the SVM model achieved the highest AUC value of 0.80 in the testing set and 0.71 in the external validation test.For the risk prediction models of mortality,the GBM model outperformed others in the prediction,attaining an AUC value of 0.91 in the testing set.Conclusion Risk predictive models for postoperative AKI and mortality in obese ICU patients are successfully constructed,and are valuable tools for clinicians to optimize early intervention and improve clinical outcomes for the patients.
3.Construction of core outcome set for clinical research on traditional Chinese medicine treatment of simple obesity.
Tong-Tong WU ; Yan YU ; Qian HUANG ; Xue-Yin CHEN ; Fu-Ming-Xiang LIU ; Li-Hong YANG ; Chang-Cai XIE ; Shao-Nan LIU ; Yu CHEN ; Xin-Feng GUO
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(12):3423-3430
Following the core outcome set standards for development(COS-STAD), this study aims to construct core outcome set(COS) for clinical research on traditional Chinese medicine(TCM) treatment of simple obesity. Firstly, a comprehensive review was conducted on the randomized controlled trial(RCT) and systematic review(SR) about TCM treatment of simple obesity that were published in Chinese and English databases to collect reported outcomes. Additional outcomes were obtained through semi-structured interviews with patients and open-ended questionnaire surveys for clinicians. All the collected outcomes were then merged and organized as an initial outcome pool, and then a preliminary list of outcomes was formed after discussion by the working group. Subsequently, two rounds of Delphi surveys were conducted with clinicians, methodology experts, and patients to score the importance of outcomes in the list. Finally, a consensus meeting was held to establish the COS for clinical research on TCM treatment of simple obesity. A total of 221 RCTs and 12 SRs were included, and after integration of supplementary outcomes, an initial outcome pool of 141 outcomes were formed. Following discussions in the steering advisory group meeting, a preliminary list of 33 outcomes was finalized, encompassing 9 domains. Through two rounds of Delphi surveys and a consensus meeting, the final COS for clinical research on TCM treatment of simple obesity was determined to include 8 outcomes: TCM symptom scores, body mass index(BMI), waist-hip ratio, waist circumference, visceral fat index, body fat rate, quality of life, and safety, which were classified into 4 domains: TCM-related outcomes, anthropometric measurements, quality of life, and safety. This study has preliminarily established a COS for clinical research on TCM treatment of simple obesity. It helps reduce the heterogeneity in the selection and reporting of outcomes in similar clinical studies, thereby improving the comparability of research results and the feasibility of meta-analysis and providing higher-level evidence support for clinical practice.
Humans
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Obesity/therapy*
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Medicine, Chinese Traditional
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Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
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Treatment Outcome
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Drugs, Chinese Herbal/therapeutic use*
4.P2Y14R activation facilitates liver regeneration via CREB/DNMT3b/Dact-2/β-Catenin signals in acute liver failure.
Mengze ZHOU ; Yehong LI ; Jialong QIAN ; Xinli DONG ; Yanshuo GUO ; Li YIN ; Chunxiao LIU ; Kun HAO ; Qinghua HU
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(2):919-933
Acute liver failure (ALF) is lack of broadly approved therapeutic strategy except liver transplantation. As a glycogen metabolic intermediate, UDP-glucose (UDP-G) has been considered to accelerate liver repairment. Nevertheless, the role of UDP-G and its receptor P2Y purinoceptor 14 (P2Y14R) in ALF remains unknown. The present study aims to investigate the role and underlying mechanisms of UDP-G/P2Y14R axis in ALF. In this study, hepatic P2Y14R is significantly increased in TAA-induced and partial hepatectomy-induced ALF, while knockout of whole-body P2Y14R aggravates liver failure, manifested by inhibiting β-Catenin-mediated liver regeneration. Consistently, P2Y14R deficiency exhibits impaired liver regeneration in mice suffer partial hepatectomy. Importantly, only hepatocellular specific deletion of P2Y14R (P2Y14R flox/flox Alb cre/+ ) mice shows a similar phenomenon, rather than stellate cell specific deletion of P2Y14R (P2Y14R flox/flox Lrat cre/+ ) mice. Mechanistically, P2Y14R induction regulates methylation of Dact-2 through CREB/DNMT3b signals in hepatocytes, subsequently inhibiting the expression of Dact-2 which is a stabilizer of β-Catenin degradation complex, leading to the activation of β-Catenin -mediated liver regeneration. Interestingly, the administration of exogenous UDP-G can accelerate liver regeneration and liver function recovery after partial hepatectomy in hepatocellular carcinoma mice. Together, the findings propose an unrecognized role of P2Y14R in ALF and provide an effective adjuvant strategy for treatment of ALF.
5.The value of CT angiography in predicting the endothelialization process of the occluder after left atrial appendage closure in patients with atrial fibrillation
Pan AN ; Dan GUO ; Rong HOU ; Xi MA ; Jing HUANG ; Tian CHAI ; Xiaoqin LI ; Qian YIN
Chinese Journal of Postgraduates of Medicine 2025;48(7):642-647
Objective:To explore the predictive value of preoperative CT angiography (CTA) for incomplete endothelialization of the occluder after left atrial appendage closure (LAAC) in patients with atrial fibrillation.Methods:The clinical data of 92 atrial fibrillation patients underwent LAAC in the Tangdu Hospital of Air Force Military Medical University from January 2022 to June 2024 were retrospectively analyzed. CTA examinations were performed both before operation and 3 months after operation. Before operation, the long diameter of left atrial appendage opening, short diameter of left atrial appendage opening, area of left atrial appendage opening, diameter of anchoring area and effective depth were measured. After operation, the condition of occluder endothelialization was evaluated, and the patients were divided into the completely endothelialization group and the incomplete endothelialization group. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the independent risk factors of occluder incomplete endothelialization after LAAC in patients with atrial fibrillation. The predictive value of independent risk factors was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.Results:Among the 92 patients, CTA 3 months after the operation showed that 58 cases had complete occluder endothelialization (complete endothelialization group), and 34 cases had occluder incomplete endothelialization (incomplete endothelialization group). Before operation, the long diameter of left atrial appendage opening, short diameter of left atrial appendage opening, area of left atrial appendage opening and diameter of anchoring area in incomplete endothelialization group were significantly larger than those in complete endothelialization group: (28.35 ± 1.77) mm vs. (26.21 ± 2.21) mm, (22.09 ± 2.01) mm vs. (20.86 ± 1.75) mm, (512.76 ± 63.35) mm 2 vs. (453.83 ± 75.39) mm 2 and (24.71 ± 2.50) mm vs. (23.12 ± 2.40) mm, and there were statistical differences ( P<0.01); there was no statistical difference in effective depth between the two groups ( P>0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis result showed that the long diameter of left atrial appendage opening before operation was an independent risk factor for occluder incomplete endothelialization after LAAC in patients with atrial fibrillation ( OR = 2.141, 95% CI 1.217 to 3.768, P<0.01). ROC curve analysis result showed that the area under the curve of the long diameter of left atrial appendage opening before operation for predicting occluder incomplete endothelialization after LAAC in patients with atrial fibrillation was 0.768 (95% CI 0.674 to 0.862, P<0.01), the optimal cut-off value was 26.5 mm, the sensitivity was 88.2%, and the specificity was 55.2%. Conclusions:A larger long diameter of left atrial appendage opening before operation can lead to occluder incomplete endothelialization after LAAC in patients with atrial fibrillation.
6.Evaluate value of serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 on the efficacy of three-dimensional brachytherapy in patients with lung metastases
Tingting HU ; Hongling LU ; Xiaoming YIN ; Qian LIU ; Wei GUO ; Yunchuan SUN
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2025;41(1):120-125
Objective To assess the prognostic value of serum lysine hydroxylase 3(PLOD3)and cytokeratin 19 fragment(CYFRA21-1)in predicting the efficacy of three-dimensional brachytherapy in patients with pulmonary metastases.Methods A total of 102 patients with lung metastases who underwent three-dimensional brachytherapy at our hospital were selected as the lung metastasis group from August 2021 to August 2023.During the same period,a control group consisting of 60 healthy individuals who underwent physical examinations was selected.The lung metastasis group was further divided into an effective group(n=66)and an ineffective group(n=36)based on therapeutic outcomes.Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay was employed to measure the levels of serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1.Multiple logistic regression analysis was conducted to identify factors influencing the efficacy of three-dimensional brachytherapy in the lung metastasis group.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves were used to assess the predictive value of serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 for treatment efficacy.Results The levels of serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 in the case group were(34.47±6.17)μg/L,(27.85±5.14)μg/L,respectively,which exhibited significantly higher values compared to those observed in the control group(7.26±2.21)μg/L,(9.31±2.46)μg/L(P<0.05).A positive correlation was found between serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 in the Lung metastasis group(r=0.667,P=0.000).Logistic regression analysis revealed that multiple metastatic lesions along with elevated serum levels of PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 were identified as risk factors for the efficacy of three-dimensional brachytherapy in patients with lung metastases(P<0.05).Furthermore,when combined with three-dimensional brachytherapy,the area under the curve(AUC)for serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 was calcu-lated as 0.868,demonstrating a superior performance compared to individual measurements of either serum PLOD3 alone(AUC=0.815)or CYFRA21-1 alone(P<0.05).Conclusions The levels of serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 are elevated in patients with lung metastases,exhibiting a significant correlation with the efficacy of three-dimensional brachytherapy.The combined utilization of these two biomarkers demonstrates a robust predictive value for treatment efficacy in patients suffering from lung metastases.
7.Evaluate value of serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 on the efficacy of three-dimensional brachytherapy in patients with lung metastases
Tingting HU ; Hongling LU ; Xiaoming YIN ; Qian LIU ; Wei GUO ; Yunchuan SUN
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2025;41(1):120-125
Objective To assess the prognostic value of serum lysine hydroxylase 3(PLOD3)and cytokeratin 19 fragment(CYFRA21-1)in predicting the efficacy of three-dimensional brachytherapy in patients with pulmonary metastases.Methods A total of 102 patients with lung metastases who underwent three-dimensional brachytherapy at our hospital were selected as the lung metastasis group from August 2021 to August 2023.During the same period,a control group consisting of 60 healthy individuals who underwent physical examinations was selected.The lung metastasis group was further divided into an effective group(n=66)and an ineffective group(n=36)based on therapeutic outcomes.Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay was employed to measure the levels of serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1.Multiple logistic regression analysis was conducted to identify factors influencing the efficacy of three-dimensional brachytherapy in the lung metastasis group.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves were used to assess the predictive value of serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 for treatment efficacy.Results The levels of serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 in the case group were(34.47±6.17)μg/L,(27.85±5.14)μg/L,respectively,which exhibited significantly higher values compared to those observed in the control group(7.26±2.21)μg/L,(9.31±2.46)μg/L(P<0.05).A positive correlation was found between serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 in the Lung metastasis group(r=0.667,P=0.000).Logistic regression analysis revealed that multiple metastatic lesions along with elevated serum levels of PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 were identified as risk factors for the efficacy of three-dimensional brachytherapy in patients with lung metastases(P<0.05).Furthermore,when combined with three-dimensional brachytherapy,the area under the curve(AUC)for serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 was calcu-lated as 0.868,demonstrating a superior performance compared to individual measurements of either serum PLOD3 alone(AUC=0.815)or CYFRA21-1 alone(P<0.05).Conclusions The levels of serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 are elevated in patients with lung metastases,exhibiting a significant correlation with the efficacy of three-dimensional brachytherapy.The combined utilization of these two biomarkers demonstrates a robust predictive value for treatment efficacy in patients suffering from lung metastases.
8.The value of CT angiography in predicting the endothelialization process of the occluder after left atrial appendage closure in patients with atrial fibrillation
Pan AN ; Dan GUO ; Rong HOU ; Xi MA ; Jing HUANG ; Tian CHAI ; Xiaoqin LI ; Qian YIN
Chinese Journal of Postgraduates of Medicine 2025;48(7):642-647
Objective:To explore the predictive value of preoperative CT angiography (CTA) for incomplete endothelialization of the occluder after left atrial appendage closure (LAAC) in patients with atrial fibrillation.Methods:The clinical data of 92 atrial fibrillation patients underwent LAAC in the Tangdu Hospital of Air Force Military Medical University from January 2022 to June 2024 were retrospectively analyzed. CTA examinations were performed both before operation and 3 months after operation. Before operation, the long diameter of left atrial appendage opening, short diameter of left atrial appendage opening, area of left atrial appendage opening, diameter of anchoring area and effective depth were measured. After operation, the condition of occluder endothelialization was evaluated, and the patients were divided into the completely endothelialization group and the incomplete endothelialization group. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the independent risk factors of occluder incomplete endothelialization after LAAC in patients with atrial fibrillation. The predictive value of independent risk factors was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.Results:Among the 92 patients, CTA 3 months after the operation showed that 58 cases had complete occluder endothelialization (complete endothelialization group), and 34 cases had occluder incomplete endothelialization (incomplete endothelialization group). Before operation, the long diameter of left atrial appendage opening, short diameter of left atrial appendage opening, area of left atrial appendage opening and diameter of anchoring area in incomplete endothelialization group were significantly larger than those in complete endothelialization group: (28.35 ± 1.77) mm vs. (26.21 ± 2.21) mm, (22.09 ± 2.01) mm vs. (20.86 ± 1.75) mm, (512.76 ± 63.35) mm 2 vs. (453.83 ± 75.39) mm 2 and (24.71 ± 2.50) mm vs. (23.12 ± 2.40) mm, and there were statistical differences ( P<0.01); there was no statistical difference in effective depth between the two groups ( P>0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis result showed that the long diameter of left atrial appendage opening before operation was an independent risk factor for occluder incomplete endothelialization after LAAC in patients with atrial fibrillation ( OR = 2.141, 95% CI 1.217 to 3.768, P<0.01). ROC curve analysis result showed that the area under the curve of the long diameter of left atrial appendage opening before operation for predicting occluder incomplete endothelialization after LAAC in patients with atrial fibrillation was 0.768 (95% CI 0.674 to 0.862, P<0.01), the optimal cut-off value was 26.5 mm, the sensitivity was 88.2%, and the specificity was 55.2%. Conclusions:A larger long diameter of left atrial appendage opening before operation can lead to occluder incomplete endothelialization after LAAC in patients with atrial fibrillation.
9.Clinical Study of Modified Shenqi Pill (肾气丸) Plus Tongdu Tiaoshen Acupuncture (通督调神针刺) for Neurogenic Bladder After Spinal Cord Injury of Kidney-Yang Deficiency Syndrome
Meiyan GUO ; Qian FAN ; Yan LI ; Bao YIN ; Sheng JIANG
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;65(2):192-197
ObjectiveTo observe the clinical efficacy of modified Shenqi Pill (肾气丸) plus Tongdu Tiaoshen Acupuncture (通督调神针刺) in the treatment of neurogenic bladder after spinal cord injury of kidney-yang deficiency syndrome. MethodsForty-six patients were randomly divided into 23 cases each in the control group and the treatment group. Both groups were given conventional treatment, i.e. oral methylcobalamin tablets (0.5 mg each time, 3 times a day) and paraplegic conventional acupuncture (once a day, 6 consecutive days a week). The control group was given simple bladder function rehabilitation training on the basis of the conventional treatment; and the treatment group was given modified Shenqi Pill orally (1 dose a day, 150 ml each time, taken warmly in morning and evening) and Tongdu Tiaoshen Acupuncture (once a day, 6 consecutive days per week) in addition to what were given to the control group. The treatment course lasted for 4 weeks. The 24 h urination frequency, 24 h urine leakage frequency, 24 h single urine volume, bladder residual urine volume, international lower urinary tract symptom (LUTS) score, traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) syndrome score were compared between the two groups, and clinical effectiveness and TCM syndrome effectiveness were compared between the two groups after treatment. ResultsTwenty patients in each group were finally analyzed in this study. The number of 24 h urination, the number of 24 h urine leakage, bladder residual urine volume, LUTS score, and the TCM syndrome scores decreased after treatment in both groups, and the 24 h single urine volume increased (P<0.01); and much more improvement was found of each index in the treatment group than in the control group (P<0.05 or P<0.01). The total clinical effectiveness and TCM syndrome effectiveness in the treatment group was 85.00% (17/20) respectively, which were statistically significantly higher than 45.00% (the total clinical effectiveness, 9/20) and 60.00% (TCM syndrome effectiveness, 12/20) in the control group (P<0.01). ConclusionModified Shenqi Pill plus Tongdu Tiaoshen Acupuncture can signi-ficantly improve the clinical symptoms of neurogenic bladder patients after spinal cord injury of kidney-yang deficiency syndrome, having better effectiveness than simple bladder function rehabilitation training, and its mechanism may be related to the improvement of the injured nerve function innervating the bladder.
10.Successful Delivery After Myomectomy for Spontaneous Ruptured Pyomyoma: A Case Report and Literature Review
Qian ZHOU ; Yi YU ; Juntao LIU ; Jinsong GAO ; Yijun SONG ; Yin SUN ; Qi GUO
Maternal-Fetal Medicine 2024;06(4):249-252
In this article, we report a case of spontaneous ruptured pyomyoma during pregnancy with successful delivery after myomectomy. A 35-year-old pregnant female (27 weeks of gestation) presented with lower abdominal pain. The patient had a history of uterine fibroids. Ultrasound, computed tomography, and magnetic resonance imaging confirmed a spontaneous ruptured pyomyoma (maximum diameter: 12.6 cm). Myomectomy was performed, and her abdominal distension and pain were significantly improved within 1 day; the condition of the fetus was normal. One month after surgery, severe tenderness was detected in the lower right side of the uterus. Considering the higher risk of uterine rupture and associated complications, a cesarean section was performed. The mother and neonate were discharged 3 and 42 days after delivery, respectively, in good condition. Myomectomy for spontaneous ruptured pyomyoma during pregnancy may be feasible and extend gestational age to improve outcomes for the mother and neonate.

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