1.Establishment of a new predictive model for esophagogastric variceal rebleeding in liver cirrhosis based on clinical features
Wen GUO ; Xuyulin YANG ; Run GAO ; Yaxin CHEN ; Kun YIN ; Qian LI ; Manli CUI ; Mingxin ZHANG
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(1):101-110
ObjectiveTo establish a new noninvasive, simple, and convenient clinical predictive model by identifying independent predictive factors for rebleeding after endoscopic therapy in cirrhotic patients with esophagogastric variceal bleeding (EGVB), and to provide a basis for individualized risk assessment and development of clinical intervention strategies. MethodsCirrhotic patients with EGVB who were diagnosed and treated in The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Medical University from September 2018 to October 2023 were enrolled as subjects, and according to whether the patient experienced rebleeding within 1 year after endoscopic therapy, they were divided into rebleeding group with 93 patients and non-rebleeding group with 84 patients. Clinical data were collected and analyzed. The independent samples t-test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups; the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. A Logistic model was established based on the results of the univariate and multivariate analyses, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) were used to assess the accuracy of the model. R software was used to visualize the model by plotting a nomogram, and the Bootstrap method was used for internal validation of the model. ResultsThe multivariate analysis showed that red blood cell count (RBC), cholinesterase (ChE), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), albumin (Alb), thrombin time (TT), portal vein trunk diameter, sequential therapy, and primary prevention were independent predictive factors for rebleeding. Based on the results of the multivariate analysis, a logistic model was established as logit(P)=-0.805-1.978×(RBC)+0.001×(ChE)-0.020×(ALP)-0.314×(Alb)+0.567×(TT)+0.428×(portal vein trunk diameter)-2.303×[sequential therapy (yes=1, no=0)]-2.368×[primary prevention (yes=1, no=0)]. The logistic model (AUC=0.928, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.893—0.964, P<0.001) had a better performance in predicting rebleeding than MELD score (AUC=0.603, 95%CI: 0.520—0.687, P=0.003), Child-Pugh class (AUC=0.650, 95%CI: 0.578—0.722, P=0.001), and FIB-4 index (AUC=0.587, 95%CI: 0.503—0.671, P=0.045). The model had an optimal cut-off value of 0.607, a sensitivity of 0.817, and a specificity of 0.817. Internal validation confirmed that the model had good predictive performance and accuracy. ConclusionSequential therapy, implementation of primary prevention, an increase in RBC, and an increase in Alb are protective factors against rebleeding, while prolonged TT and widened main portal vein diameter are risk factors. The logistic model based on these independent predictive factors can predict rebleeding and thus holds promise for clinical application.
2.Differences in deltamethrin resistance and kdr gene mutation in Culex tritaeniorhynchus population in and outside the Yellow Sea wetland
Xiao-er ZHANG ; Zhi-ming WU ; Ye TIAN ; Qian CUI ; Yu-qian JI ; Huan WANG ; Shu-juan YANG ; Yi-chao ZHAO ; Yu WANG ; Hua-yu YIN ; Yu DING ; Guo-jin YAN ; Min-sen ZHAO ; Shou-gang ZHANG ; Bing-dong SONG ; Hong-na CHEN ; Jian GAO ; Wei-fang YANG ; Yu-fu ZHANG ; Hui LIU ; Hong-liang CHU
Acta Parasitologica et Medica Entomologica Sinica 2026;33(2):101-107
Objective To gain insights into the biological characteristics of different populations of Culex tritaeniorhynchus within and around the Yellow Sea wetland from the perspective of the occurrence of resistance, we investigated the levels of resistance to deltamethrin and kdr gene mutation in the wetland and its peripheral areas. Methods Specimens were collected from Cx. tritaeniorhynchus populations at two monitoring sites in the Rare Bird National Nature Reserve and Tiaozi Ni Wetland Scenic Area, and also from two populations in Yancheng City and the Liuhe District of Nanjing, and the resistance of these mosquitoes to deltamethrin was determined using the CDC biotest bottle method. For each concentration of deltamethrin assessed, a random subset of exposed specimens was selected for amplification of the kdr gene fragment, followed by Sanger sequencing to identify and analyze resistance-associated mutations. Results The LC50 levels of deltamethrin among mosquitoes from the four populations in Luhe, Yancheng, the Rare Bird National Nature Reserve and the Tiaozi Ni Wetland Scenic Area were 2.048 5, 7.798 2, 3.473 3, and 17.695 5 mg/mL, respectively, with corresponding concentrations of deltamethrin ranging from 0.005 to 5.000,0.050 to 50.000,0.050 to 25.000 and 0.050 to 50.000 mg/mL, respectively. Furthermore, the ranges of the KT50 values were 11.76-107.43, 67.05-216.30,29.77-107.43 and 28.40-329.51 min; the 1-h knockdown rates were 34.58%-99.15%, 9.52%-43.80%, 55.09%-73.01%, and 10.09%-68.07%; and the 24-h mortality rates were 12.15%-67.52%,9.52%-79.56%,13.17%-82.21%, and 11.01%-78.99%, respectively. With respect to kdr gene mutation, we assayed a total of 63,70,59, and 57 mosquitoes for the four populations, for which we detected L1014F mutation frequencies of 14.29%, 35.00%, 20.34%, and 31.58%, respectively, with a majority of these mutations being heterozygous for resistance. In addition, five adult mosquitoes were identified has having synonymous mutations at site 1011[i. e. , AAT(asparagine)mutation to AAC(asparagine)]. Conclusions Our findings revealed the clear resistance of Cx. tritaeniorhynchus to deltamethrin in the Yancheng region of the Yellow Sea wetland, and the resistance phenotype and kdr frequency of Cx. tritaeniorhynchus in the wetland environment were comparable to those of Cx. tritaeniorhynchus in the wetland environment, thereby indicating that the resistance of different populations of Cx. tritaeniorhynchus was homogeneous under the pressure of different insecticide selection within and around the wetland. However, the underlying mechanisms need to be further studied.
3.Evaluate value of serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 on the efficacy of three-dimensional brachytherapy in patients with lung metastases
Tingting HU ; Hongling LU ; Xiaoming YIN ; Qian LIU ; Wei GUO ; Yunchuan SUN
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2025;41(1):120-125
Objective To assess the prognostic value of serum lysine hydroxylase 3(PLOD3)and cytokeratin 19 fragment(CYFRA21-1)in predicting the efficacy of three-dimensional brachytherapy in patients with pulmonary metastases.Methods A total of 102 patients with lung metastases who underwent three-dimensional brachytherapy at our hospital were selected as the lung metastasis group from August 2021 to August 2023.During the same period,a control group consisting of 60 healthy individuals who underwent physical examinations was selected.The lung metastasis group was further divided into an effective group(n=66)and an ineffective group(n=36)based on therapeutic outcomes.Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay was employed to measure the levels of serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1.Multiple logistic regression analysis was conducted to identify factors influencing the efficacy of three-dimensional brachytherapy in the lung metastasis group.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves were used to assess the predictive value of serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 for treatment efficacy.Results The levels of serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 in the case group were(34.47±6.17)μg/L,(27.85±5.14)μg/L,respectively,which exhibited significantly higher values compared to those observed in the control group(7.26±2.21)μg/L,(9.31±2.46)μg/L(P<0.05).A positive correlation was found between serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 in the Lung metastasis group(r=0.667,P=0.000).Logistic regression analysis revealed that multiple metastatic lesions along with elevated serum levels of PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 were identified as risk factors for the efficacy of three-dimensional brachytherapy in patients with lung metastases(P<0.05).Furthermore,when combined with three-dimensional brachytherapy,the area under the curve(AUC)for serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 was calcu-lated as 0.868,demonstrating a superior performance compared to individual measurements of either serum PLOD3 alone(AUC=0.815)or CYFRA21-1 alone(P<0.05).Conclusions The levels of serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 are elevated in patients with lung metastases,exhibiting a significant correlation with the efficacy of three-dimensional brachytherapy.The combined utilization of these two biomarkers demonstrates a robust predictive value for treatment efficacy in patients suffering from lung metastases.
4.Prediction of risk for acute kidney injury and its progression to mortality in obese patients admitted to ICU postoperatively
Qiang LI ; Guo MU ; Wenzhang WANG ; Jie YIN ; Xuan YU ; Bin LU ; Qian LI ; Jun ZHOU
Journal of Army Medical University 2025;47(10):1110-1125
Objective To develop a machine learning-based risk prediction model for postoperative acute kidney injury(AKI)and a model for mortality in obese patients admitted to intensive care unit(ICU)in order to improve early warning and prognostic evaluation to support clinical decision-making.Methods Data of obese postoperative ICU patients were retrospectively retrieved from the MIMIC-Ⅳ and eICU databases for statistical analysis.Ultimately,2 520 patients(670 from MIMIC-Ⅳ and 1 850 from eICU databases)were included to build the risk prediction models for AKI and mortality.The data included demographic information,vital signs,laboratory findings,surgical types,comorbidities,and medication use.After data cleaning and preprocessing,Boruta feature selection was applied,followed by the construction of prediction models using 7 machine learning algorithms,that is,Gradient Boosting Machine(GBM),Generalized Linear Model(GLM),k-Nearest Neighbors(KNN),Na?ve Bayes(NB),Neural Network(NNET),Support Vector Machine(SVM),and XGBoost.Model performance was evaluated through cross-validation and external validation.Results In the risk prediction models of AKI,the SVM model achieved the highest AUC value of 0.80 in the testing set and 0.71 in the external validation test.For the risk prediction models of mortality,the GBM model outperformed others in the prediction,attaining an AUC value of 0.91 in the testing set.Conclusion Risk predictive models for postoperative AKI and mortality in obese ICU patients are successfully constructed,and are valuable tools for clinicians to optimize early intervention and improve clinical outcomes for the patients.
5.Construction of core outcome set for clinical research on traditional Chinese medicine treatment of simple obesity.
Tong-Tong WU ; Yan YU ; Qian HUANG ; Xue-Yin CHEN ; Fu-Ming-Xiang LIU ; Li-Hong YANG ; Chang-Cai XIE ; Shao-Nan LIU ; Yu CHEN ; Xin-Feng GUO
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(12):3423-3430
Following the core outcome set standards for development(COS-STAD), this study aims to construct core outcome set(COS) for clinical research on traditional Chinese medicine(TCM) treatment of simple obesity. Firstly, a comprehensive review was conducted on the randomized controlled trial(RCT) and systematic review(SR) about TCM treatment of simple obesity that were published in Chinese and English databases to collect reported outcomes. Additional outcomes were obtained through semi-structured interviews with patients and open-ended questionnaire surveys for clinicians. All the collected outcomes were then merged and organized as an initial outcome pool, and then a preliminary list of outcomes was formed after discussion by the working group. Subsequently, two rounds of Delphi surveys were conducted with clinicians, methodology experts, and patients to score the importance of outcomes in the list. Finally, a consensus meeting was held to establish the COS for clinical research on TCM treatment of simple obesity. A total of 221 RCTs and 12 SRs were included, and after integration of supplementary outcomes, an initial outcome pool of 141 outcomes were formed. Following discussions in the steering advisory group meeting, a preliminary list of 33 outcomes was finalized, encompassing 9 domains. Through two rounds of Delphi surveys and a consensus meeting, the final COS for clinical research on TCM treatment of simple obesity was determined to include 8 outcomes: TCM symptom scores, body mass index(BMI), waist-hip ratio, waist circumference, visceral fat index, body fat rate, quality of life, and safety, which were classified into 4 domains: TCM-related outcomes, anthropometric measurements, quality of life, and safety. This study has preliminarily established a COS for clinical research on TCM treatment of simple obesity. It helps reduce the heterogeneity in the selection and reporting of outcomes in similar clinical studies, thereby improving the comparability of research results and the feasibility of meta-analysis and providing higher-level evidence support for clinical practice.
Humans
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Obesity/therapy*
;
Medicine, Chinese Traditional
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Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
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Treatment Outcome
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Drugs, Chinese Herbal/therapeutic use*
6.P2Y14R activation facilitates liver regeneration via CREB/DNMT3b/Dact-2/β-Catenin signals in acute liver failure.
Mengze ZHOU ; Yehong LI ; Jialong QIAN ; Xinli DONG ; Yanshuo GUO ; Li YIN ; Chunxiao LIU ; Kun HAO ; Qinghua HU
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(2):919-933
Acute liver failure (ALF) is lack of broadly approved therapeutic strategy except liver transplantation. As a glycogen metabolic intermediate, UDP-glucose (UDP-G) has been considered to accelerate liver repairment. Nevertheless, the role of UDP-G and its receptor P2Y purinoceptor 14 (P2Y14R) in ALF remains unknown. The present study aims to investigate the role and underlying mechanisms of UDP-G/P2Y14R axis in ALF. In this study, hepatic P2Y14R is significantly increased in TAA-induced and partial hepatectomy-induced ALF, while knockout of whole-body P2Y14R aggravates liver failure, manifested by inhibiting β-Catenin-mediated liver regeneration. Consistently, P2Y14R deficiency exhibits impaired liver regeneration in mice suffer partial hepatectomy. Importantly, only hepatocellular specific deletion of P2Y14R (P2Y14R flox/flox Alb cre/+ ) mice shows a similar phenomenon, rather than stellate cell specific deletion of P2Y14R (P2Y14R flox/flox Lrat cre/+ ) mice. Mechanistically, P2Y14R induction regulates methylation of Dact-2 through CREB/DNMT3b signals in hepatocytes, subsequently inhibiting the expression of Dact-2 which is a stabilizer of β-Catenin degradation complex, leading to the activation of β-Catenin -mediated liver regeneration. Interestingly, the administration of exogenous UDP-G can accelerate liver regeneration and liver function recovery after partial hepatectomy in hepatocellular carcinoma mice. Together, the findings propose an unrecognized role of P2Y14R in ALF and provide an effective adjuvant strategy for treatment of ALF.
7.The value of CT angiography in predicting the endothelialization process of the occluder after left atrial appendage closure in patients with atrial fibrillation
Pan AN ; Dan GUO ; Rong HOU ; Xi MA ; Jing HUANG ; Tian CHAI ; Xiaoqin LI ; Qian YIN
Chinese Journal of Postgraduates of Medicine 2025;48(7):642-647
Objective:To explore the predictive value of preoperative CT angiography (CTA) for incomplete endothelialization of the occluder after left atrial appendage closure (LAAC) in patients with atrial fibrillation.Methods:The clinical data of 92 atrial fibrillation patients underwent LAAC in the Tangdu Hospital of Air Force Military Medical University from January 2022 to June 2024 were retrospectively analyzed. CTA examinations were performed both before operation and 3 months after operation. Before operation, the long diameter of left atrial appendage opening, short diameter of left atrial appendage opening, area of left atrial appendage opening, diameter of anchoring area and effective depth were measured. After operation, the condition of occluder endothelialization was evaluated, and the patients were divided into the completely endothelialization group and the incomplete endothelialization group. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the independent risk factors of occluder incomplete endothelialization after LAAC in patients with atrial fibrillation. The predictive value of independent risk factors was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.Results:Among the 92 patients, CTA 3 months after the operation showed that 58 cases had complete occluder endothelialization (complete endothelialization group), and 34 cases had occluder incomplete endothelialization (incomplete endothelialization group). Before operation, the long diameter of left atrial appendage opening, short diameter of left atrial appendage opening, area of left atrial appendage opening and diameter of anchoring area in incomplete endothelialization group were significantly larger than those in complete endothelialization group: (28.35 ± 1.77) mm vs. (26.21 ± 2.21) mm, (22.09 ± 2.01) mm vs. (20.86 ± 1.75) mm, (512.76 ± 63.35) mm 2 vs. (453.83 ± 75.39) mm 2 and (24.71 ± 2.50) mm vs. (23.12 ± 2.40) mm, and there were statistical differences ( P<0.01); there was no statistical difference in effective depth between the two groups ( P>0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis result showed that the long diameter of left atrial appendage opening before operation was an independent risk factor for occluder incomplete endothelialization after LAAC in patients with atrial fibrillation ( OR = 2.141, 95% CI 1.217 to 3.768, P<0.01). ROC curve analysis result showed that the area under the curve of the long diameter of left atrial appendage opening before operation for predicting occluder incomplete endothelialization after LAAC in patients with atrial fibrillation was 0.768 (95% CI 0.674 to 0.862, P<0.01), the optimal cut-off value was 26.5 mm, the sensitivity was 88.2%, and the specificity was 55.2%. Conclusions:A larger long diameter of left atrial appendage opening before operation can lead to occluder incomplete endothelialization after LAAC in patients with atrial fibrillation.
8.Evaluate value of serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 on the efficacy of three-dimensional brachytherapy in patients with lung metastases
Tingting HU ; Hongling LU ; Xiaoming YIN ; Qian LIU ; Wei GUO ; Yunchuan SUN
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2025;41(1):120-125
Objective To assess the prognostic value of serum lysine hydroxylase 3(PLOD3)and cytokeratin 19 fragment(CYFRA21-1)in predicting the efficacy of three-dimensional brachytherapy in patients with pulmonary metastases.Methods A total of 102 patients with lung metastases who underwent three-dimensional brachytherapy at our hospital were selected as the lung metastasis group from August 2021 to August 2023.During the same period,a control group consisting of 60 healthy individuals who underwent physical examinations was selected.The lung metastasis group was further divided into an effective group(n=66)and an ineffective group(n=36)based on therapeutic outcomes.Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay was employed to measure the levels of serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1.Multiple logistic regression analysis was conducted to identify factors influencing the efficacy of three-dimensional brachytherapy in the lung metastasis group.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves were used to assess the predictive value of serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 for treatment efficacy.Results The levels of serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 in the case group were(34.47±6.17)μg/L,(27.85±5.14)μg/L,respectively,which exhibited significantly higher values compared to those observed in the control group(7.26±2.21)μg/L,(9.31±2.46)μg/L(P<0.05).A positive correlation was found between serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 in the Lung metastasis group(r=0.667,P=0.000).Logistic regression analysis revealed that multiple metastatic lesions along with elevated serum levels of PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 were identified as risk factors for the efficacy of three-dimensional brachytherapy in patients with lung metastases(P<0.05).Furthermore,when combined with three-dimensional brachytherapy,the area under the curve(AUC)for serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 was calcu-lated as 0.868,demonstrating a superior performance compared to individual measurements of either serum PLOD3 alone(AUC=0.815)or CYFRA21-1 alone(P<0.05).Conclusions The levels of serum PLOD3 and CYFRA21-1 are elevated in patients with lung metastases,exhibiting a significant correlation with the efficacy of three-dimensional brachytherapy.The combined utilization of these two biomarkers demonstrates a robust predictive value for treatment efficacy in patients suffering from lung metastases.
9.The value of CT angiography in predicting the endothelialization process of the occluder after left atrial appendage closure in patients with atrial fibrillation
Pan AN ; Dan GUO ; Rong HOU ; Xi MA ; Jing HUANG ; Tian CHAI ; Xiaoqin LI ; Qian YIN
Chinese Journal of Postgraduates of Medicine 2025;48(7):642-647
Objective:To explore the predictive value of preoperative CT angiography (CTA) for incomplete endothelialization of the occluder after left atrial appendage closure (LAAC) in patients with atrial fibrillation.Methods:The clinical data of 92 atrial fibrillation patients underwent LAAC in the Tangdu Hospital of Air Force Military Medical University from January 2022 to June 2024 were retrospectively analyzed. CTA examinations were performed both before operation and 3 months after operation. Before operation, the long diameter of left atrial appendage opening, short diameter of left atrial appendage opening, area of left atrial appendage opening, diameter of anchoring area and effective depth were measured. After operation, the condition of occluder endothelialization was evaluated, and the patients were divided into the completely endothelialization group and the incomplete endothelialization group. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the independent risk factors of occluder incomplete endothelialization after LAAC in patients with atrial fibrillation. The predictive value of independent risk factors was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.Results:Among the 92 patients, CTA 3 months after the operation showed that 58 cases had complete occluder endothelialization (complete endothelialization group), and 34 cases had occluder incomplete endothelialization (incomplete endothelialization group). Before operation, the long diameter of left atrial appendage opening, short diameter of left atrial appendage opening, area of left atrial appendage opening and diameter of anchoring area in incomplete endothelialization group were significantly larger than those in complete endothelialization group: (28.35 ± 1.77) mm vs. (26.21 ± 2.21) mm, (22.09 ± 2.01) mm vs. (20.86 ± 1.75) mm, (512.76 ± 63.35) mm 2 vs. (453.83 ± 75.39) mm 2 and (24.71 ± 2.50) mm vs. (23.12 ± 2.40) mm, and there were statistical differences ( P<0.01); there was no statistical difference in effective depth between the two groups ( P>0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis result showed that the long diameter of left atrial appendage opening before operation was an independent risk factor for occluder incomplete endothelialization after LAAC in patients with atrial fibrillation ( OR = 2.141, 95% CI 1.217 to 3.768, P<0.01). ROC curve analysis result showed that the area under the curve of the long diameter of left atrial appendage opening before operation for predicting occluder incomplete endothelialization after LAAC in patients with atrial fibrillation was 0.768 (95% CI 0.674 to 0.862, P<0.01), the optimal cut-off value was 26.5 mm, the sensitivity was 88.2%, and the specificity was 55.2%. Conclusions:A larger long diameter of left atrial appendage opening before operation can lead to occluder incomplete endothelialization after LAAC in patients with atrial fibrillation.
10.An analysis on clinical characteristics and prognosis-related risk factors in patients with drug-induced liver injury
Qian WEI ; Lei LI ; Xiaoqing ZENG ; Abidan Bai He Ti Ya Er ; Jie YIN ; Hong GAO ; Jinsheng GUO
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2024;32(3):214-221
Objective:To explore the drugs and clinical characteristics causing drug-induced liver injury (DILI) in recent years, as well as identify drug-induced liver failure, and chronic DILI risk factors, in order to better manage them timely.Methods:A retrospective investigation and analysis was conducted on 224 cases diagnosed with DILI and followed up for at least six months between January 2018 and December 2020. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify risk factors for drug-induced liver failure and chronic DILI.Results:Traditional Chinese medicine (accounting for 62.5%), herbal medicine (accounting for 84.3% of traditional Chinese medicine), and some Chinese patent medicines were the main causes of DILI found in this study. Severe and chronic DILI was associated with cholestatic type. Preexisting gallbladder disease, initial total bilirubin, initial prothrombin time, and initial antinuclear antibody titer were independent risk factors for DILI. Prolonged time interval between alkaline phosphatase (ALP) and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) falling from the peak to half of the peak (T 0.5ALP and T 0.5ALT) was an independent risk factor for chronic DILI [area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC)?=?0.787, 95%CI: 0.697~0.878, P ?0.001], with cutoff values of 12.5d and 9.5d, respectively. Conclusion:Traditional Chinese medicine is the main contributing cause of DILI. The occurrence risk of severe DILI is related to preexisting gallbladder disease, initial total bilirubin, prothrombin time, and antinuclear antibodies. T 0.5ALP and T 0.5ALT can be used as indicators to predict chronic DILI.


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