1.Value of C-reactive protein in predicting the progression of acute decompensation of cirrhosis to acute-on-chronic liver failure
Feng YANG ; Jun GUO ; Jiale SHEN ; Ruiqi LI ; Xixuan WANG ; Yongfeng YANG
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(7):1623-1631
ObjectiveTo investigate the efficacy of C-reactive protein (CRP) in predicting the progression to acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) within 90 days after disease onset in patients with acute decompensation (AD) of cirrhosis, and to provide a reference for the early identification of high-risk populations in clinical practice. MethodsA retrospective study was conducted among 906 patients with liver cirrhosis who were hospitalized due to AD in Nanjing Second Hospital from January 1, 2015 to October 31, 2024, and demographic features, AD type, and laboratory markers were collected on admission. The primary endpoint was progression to ACLF within 90 days after admission, and according to the presence or absence of ACLF, the patients were divided into non-ACLF group with 676 patients and ACLF group with 230 patients. The independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between groups, and the Wilcoxon rank-sum test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between groups; the chi-square test or the Fisher’s exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups. The univariate and multivariate Cox proportional-hazards regression models were used to identify independent predictive factors for ACLF. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to assess the predictive performance of CRP and existing scoring systems (Model for End-Stage Liver Disease [MELD], Child-Turcotte-Pugh [CTP] score, and Chronic Liver Failure Consortium Acute Decompensation [CLIF-C AD] score), and the restricted cubic spline analysis was used to investigate the nonlinear relationship between CRP and the risk of ACLF. Youden index was used to determine the optimal predictive cut-off value for CRP, and the Kaplan-Meier survival curve was plotted for risk stratification, while the log-rank test was used for survival analysis. ResultsAmong the 906 AD patients, the incidence rate of ACLF was 25.39% within 90 days. The incidence rate of ACLF within 90 days was 45.1% in the 264 patients with bacterial infection and 17.3% in the 642 patients without bacterial infection (χ²=74.791, P<0.001). Among the 906 patients, 312 patients (34.44%) had acute-on-chronic pre-liver failure (pre-ACLF), with a significantly higher proportion of patients who progressed to ACLF than those in the non-pre-ACLF group [60.58% (189/312) vs 6.90% (41/594), χ²=310.234, P<0.001]. Among the 230 patients with ACLF, there were 102 patients with stable ACLF (44.35%) and 128 patients with unstable ACLF (55.65%), with a significant difference in CRP between the two groups of patients (U=5 234.500, P<0.001). The restricted cubic spline analysis showed a significant nonlinear relationship between CRP and the risk of ACLF (P<0.001). The optimal cut-off value of CRP was determined as 10.16 mg/L based on the Youden index, with a sensitivity of 70.4% and a specificity of 64.5%. The Kaplan-Meier curve analysis showed that the high-risk group with CRP≥10.16 mg/L had a significantly higher event-free survival rate of ACLF within 90 days compared with the low-risk group (P<0.001). The multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that AD type-hepatic encephalopathy (hazard ratio [HR]=4.199, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.056 — 5.770, P<0.001), AD type-bacterial infection (HR=1.826, 95%CI: 1.356 — 2.459, P<0.001), CRP (≥10.16 mg/L) (HR=2.356, 95%CI: 1.825 — 3.047, P<0.001), white blood cell count (HR=1.021, 95%CI: 1.002 — 1.041, P=0.035), hemoglobin (HR=0.994, 95%CI: 0.989 — 0.999, P=0.025), international normalized ratio (HR=1.657, 95%CI: 1.372 — 2.001, P<0.001), total bilirubin (HR=1.003, 95%CI: 1.002 — 1.004, P<0.001), albumin (HR=0.956, 95%CI: 0.926 — 0.986, P=0.004), creatinine (HR=1.005, 95%CI: 1.004 — 1.006, P<0.001), serum sodium (HR=0.976, 95%CI: 0.956 — 0.997, P=0.025), and lactate dehydrogenase (HR=1.001, 95%CI: 1.001 — 1.002, P<0.001) were all independent predictive factors for progression to ACLF within 90 days. The ROC curve analysis showed that CRP alone had an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.724 (95%CI: 0.685 — 0.763) in predicting ACLF, and CRP+MELD score had the best predictive performance (AUC=0.870, 95%CI: 0.843 — 0.898), while CRP+CTP score and CRP+CLIF-C AD score had an AUC of 0.852 (95%CI: 0.823 — 0.881) and 0.845 (95%CI: 0.812 — 0.877), respectively. There was a significant increase in model performance after integration (P<0.05). ConclusionSerum CRP level on admission is an independent predictive factor for progression to ACLF within 90 days in patients with AD of cirrhosis, and a CRP level of ≥10.16 mg/L can be used as a simple threshold for identifying high-risk patients. Incorporating CRP into existing assessment systems may enhance the early identification of patients at a high risk for ACLF, which provides a reference for clinical intervention.
2.Guideline for Adult Weight Management in China
Weiqing WANG ; Qin WAN ; Jianhua MA ; Guang WANG ; Yufan WANG ; Guixia WANG ; Yongquan SHI ; Tingjun YE ; Xiaoguang SHI ; Jian KUANG ; Bo FENG ; Xiuyan FENG ; Guang NING ; Yiming MU ; Hongyu KUANG ; Xiaoping XING ; Chunli PIAO ; Xingbo CHENG ; Zhifeng CHENG ; Yufang BI ; Yan BI ; Wenshan LYU ; Dalong ZHU ; Cuiyan ZHU ; Wei ZHU ; Fei HUA ; Fei XIANG ; Shuang YAN ; Zilin SUN ; Yadong SUN ; Liqin SUN ; Luying SUN ; Li YAN ; Yanbing LI ; Hong LI ; Shu LI ; Ling LI ; Yiming LI ; Chenzhong LI ; Hua YANG ; Jinkui YANG ; Ling YANG ; Ying YANG ; Tao YANG ; Xiao YANG ; Xinhua XIAO ; Dan WU ; Jinsong KUANG ; Lanjie HE ; Wei GU ; Jie SHEN ; Yongfeng SONG ; Qiao ZHANG ; Hong ZHANG ; Yuwei ZHANG ; Junqing ZHANG ; Xianfeng ZHANG ; Miao ZHANG ; Yifei ZHANG ; Yingli LU ; Hong CHEN ; Li CHEN ; Bing CHEN ; Shihong CHEN ; Guiyan CHEN ; Haibing CHEN ; Lei CHEN ; Yanyan CHEN ; Genben CHEN ; Yikun ZHOU ; Xianghai ZHOU ; Qiang ZHOU ; Jiaqiang ZHOU ; Hongting ZHENG ; Zhongyan SHAN ; Jiajun ZHAO ; Dong ZHAO ; Ji HU ; Jiang HU ; Xinguo HOU ; Bimin SHI ; Tianpei HONG ; Mingxia YUAN ; Weibo XIA ; Xuejiang GU ; Yong XU ; Shuguang PANG ; Tianshu GAO ; Zuhua GAO ; Xiaohui GUO ; Hongyi CAO ; Mingfeng CAO ; Xiaopei CAO ; Jing MA ; Bin LU ; Zhen LIANG ; Jun LIANG ; Min LONG ; Yongde PENG ; Jin LU ; Hongyun LU ; Yan LU ; Chunping ZENG ; Binhong WEN ; Xueyong LOU ; Qingbo GUAN ; Lin LIAO ; Xin LIAO ; Ping XIONG ; Yaoming XUE
Chinese Journal of Endocrinology and Metabolism 2025;41(11):891-907
Body weight abnormalities, including overweight, obesity, and underweight, have become a dual public health challenge in Chinese adults: overweight and obesity lead to a variety of chronic complications, while underweight increases the risks of malnutrition, sarcopenia, and organ dysfunction. To systematically address these issues, multidisciplinary experts in endocrinology, sports science, nutrition, and psychiatry from various regions have held multiple weight management seminars. Based on the latest epidemiological data and clinical evidence, they expanded the guideline to include assessment and intervention strategies for underweight, in addition to the core content of obesity management. This guideline outlines the etiological mechanisms, evaluation methods, and multidimensional management strategies for overweight and obesity, covering key areas such as diagnosis and assessment, medical nutrition therapy, exercise prescription, pharmacological intervention, and psychological support. It is intended to provide a scientific and standardized approach to weight management across the adult population, aiming to curb the rising prevalence of obesity, mitigate complications associated with abnormal body weight, and improve nutritional status and overall quality of life.
3.Wogonoside Attenuates Hypertension-Induced Renal Injury Through Modulation of the MAPK Signaling Pathway:A Mechanism Study
Zhi GUO ; Yi XIE ; Hongshu LIU ; Jundan XIAO ; Rongji CHEN ; Meizhu WU ; Jun PENG ; Aling SHEN
Journal of Sichuan University (Medical Sciences) 2025;56(1):41-50
Objective To investigate the potential therapeutic effects,targets,and pathways of wogonoside in hypertension-induced renal injury using the Gene Expression Omnibus(GEO)database and network pharmacology,and to validate the effects of wogonoside intervention on the renal tissues of spontaneously hypertensive rats(SHR),angiotensin Ⅱ(Ang Ⅱ)-stimulated NRK-52E cell apoptosis,and the regulation of relevant pathways through in vivo and in vitro experiments.Methods GEO dataset and network pharmacology analyses were performed to investigate the key therapeutic targets of wogonoside for hypertensive nephropathy.The STRING database was used to analyze protein-protein interactions.Biological functions were annotated via Gene Ontology(GO),and the potential signaling pathways were enriched using the Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes(KEGG).SHR were randomly divided into groups and given low,medium,or high doses of wogonoside(0.075,0.75,and 7.5 mg/kg)via gastric gavage for 10 weeks.Morphological changes in the kidney tissue were assessed by hematoxylin-eosin(HE)staining.Serum levels of inflammatory cytokines,including tumor necrosis factor α(TNF-α),interleukin(IL)-1 β,and IL-6,were measured using ELISA.Apoptosis rates were evaluated by TUNEL staining,and Western blot was performed to determine the expression of Bax,Bcl-2,cleaved caspase-3,and caspase-3,and the expression of phosphorylated and total extracellular signal-regulated kinases(ERK)and p38 mitogen-activated protein kinase(MAPK)proteins.An in vitro model of Ang Ⅱ-stimulated NRK-52E cells was constructed and was treated with wogonoside at different concentrations(25,50,or 100 μmol/L)for 24 h.The apoptosis rates were then assessed by Annexin V staining,and Western blot was performed to validate the expression of apoptosis-related and pathway-associated proteins.Results Analysis of dataset GSE41453 revealed 11673 upregulated and 5902 downregulated genes in the renal tissues of SHR compared to the Wistar Kyoto(WKY)rats,or the WKY control group.Through the analysis of multiple databases,371 potential targets of wogonoside were identified,resulting in 98 overlapping targets.From these,45 core therapeutic targets were identified through further analysis,including TNF,CASP3,etc.GO analysis significantly enriched processes such as the negative regulation of apoptosis.KEGG pathway enrichment analysis highlighted the apoptosis pathway,IL-17 signaling pathway,and MAPK signaling pathway as being significantly enriched.Wogonoside treatment effectively mitigated pathological damage in SHR kidney tissues and significantly inhibited the expression of inflammatory cytokines,including TNF-α,IL-1 β,and IL-6(P<0.05).It also decreased cell apoptosis rates in SHR kidney tissues and Ang Ⅱ-stimulated NRK-52E cells,downregulated the expression of Bax and cleaved caspase-3,and upregulated Bcl-2 expression(P<0.05).Furthermore,wogonoside treatment inhibited the phosphorylation of ERK and p38 MAPK in SHR kidney tissues and Ang Ⅱ-stimulated NRK-52E cells(P<0.05).Conclusion Wogonoside may exert its protective effects against hypertension-induced renal injury by suppressing the inflammatory response and cell apoptosis,potentially through the regulation of the MAPK signaling pathway.
4.Mechanism of Trifolin in Attenuating Hypertension-Induced Renal Cell Apoptosis via Modulation of the MAPK Signaling Pathway
Meizhu WU ; Zhi GUO ; Yi XIE ; Hongshu LIU ; Hong CHEN ; Xinbiao LIN ; Rongji CHEN ; Aling SHEN ; Jun PENG
Journal of Sichuan University (Medical Sciences) 2025;56(5):1273-1280
Objective To investigate the potential therapeutic effects of trifolin on hypertension-induced renal injury,as well as the key targets and pathways involved.Methods The mRNA transcriptional profiles of peripheral blood clinical samples from hypertensive patients were analyzed using Gene Expression Omnibus(GEO),a high-throughput gene expression database.The network pharmacology method was employed to screen key targets of trifolin in treating hypertension-induced renal injury.Gene Ontology(GO)and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes(KEGG)pathway enrichment analyses were conducted.NRK-52E cells,a rat renal proximal tubular cell line,were used to construct an angiotensin Ⅱ(Ang Ⅱ)-stimulated cell model.Flow cytometry was performed to assess cell apoptosis rates and Western blotting was performed to determine the expression levels of apoptosis-related proteins,including Bax,Bcl-2,cleaved caspase-3,and caspase-3,and the phosphorylation and total protein levels of the key MAPK pathway proteins,including ERK,p38 MAPK,and JNK.Results Analysis of the dataset GSE75360 revealed that,compared with healthy controls,3 331 genes were upregulated and 3 197 genes were downregulated in peripheral blood mononuclear cells of hypertensive patients.According to network pharmacology analysis,472 potential targets of trifolin were identified,including CASP3 and MAPK1.Protein-protein interaction network analysis showed that these targets were closely associated with apoptosis regulatory signaling pathways.GO and KEGG pathway enrichment analyses indicated that trifolin was significantly enriched in pathways associated with negative regulation of apoptosis,apoptotic signaling pathways,and the MAPK signaling pathway.The in vitro experiments confirmed that,compared with the Ang Ⅱ group,trifolin intervention inhibited apoptosis in Ang Ⅱ-stimulated NRK-52E cells,suppressed the expression of Bax and cleaved caspase-3,promoted Bcl-2 expression,and inhibited the phosphorylation of p38 MAPK,ERK,and JNK(P<0.05).Conclusion Trifolin may exert its protective effect against hypertension-induced renal injury by inhibiting Ang Ⅱ-induced NRK-52E cell apoptosis and regulating the MAPK signaling pathway,representing an important mechanism underlying its therapeutic action.
5.Clinicopathologic analysis of 19 cases of urachal adenocarcinoma
Xiang LI ; Ying HUANG ; Weiyu PAN ; Juan YU ; Xinxin GUO ; Xiaolei ZHANG ; Licheng SHEN ; Yingyong HOU ; Jun HOU
Chinese Journal of Clinical and Experimental Pathology 2025;41(5):571-576
Purpose To explore the clinical and pathological features,differential diagnosis,treatment methods and prognosis of urachal adenocarcinoma.Methods Nineteen cases of urachal adenocarcinoma were collected and an-alyzed by combining clinical symptoms,auxiliary examinations,histology,immunohistochemical,and genetic testing and 11 cases of bladder adenocarcinomas.Results Among the 19 patients(15 males,4 females;age range:33-75 years,mean:55 years),tumors were located at the dome or anterior wall of the bladder.Histological subtypes includ-ed mucinous adenocarcinoma(6 cases),adenocarcinoma not otherwise specified(4 cases),enteric-type adenocarci-noma(6 cases),adenocarcinoma with focal mucinous differentiation(1 case),adenocarcinoma with signet-ring cell carcinoma(1 case),and metastatic urachal adenocarcinoma(1 case).Immunophenotypic analysis revealed membra-nous positivity for β-catenin,diffuse positivity for CK34βE 12,MUC-2,and CK20,focal CK7 positivity in some cases,and rare GATA-3 positivity.Mutations in p53 were observed,while KRAS,NRAS,BRAF,and PIK3CA mutations were absent.In colorectal adenocarcinomas,CK34βE12 positivity was 40%,nuclear β-catenin positivity was 48%,and MUC-2 expression was approximately 50%.In bladder adenocarcinomas,GATA-3 and MUC-2 positivity rates were 45%and 63.6%,respectively.Conclusion Distinguishing urachal adenocarcinoma from colorectal and primary bladder adenocarcinomas remains challenging.Urachal adenocarcinoma should be suspected in patients with anterior bladder wall or dome lesions,gross hematuria,or mucinuria.No definitive diagnostic markers currently exist for ura-chal adenocarcinoma.Immunophenotypic features such as membranous β-catenin,MUC-2,and CK7 positivity may fa-vor urachal adenocarcinoma over colorectal adenocarcinoma.Additional markers(e.g.,GATA-3,CK20,CK34βE12)aid in differential diagnosis,though individual markers lack specificity.Comprehensive evaluation integrating clinical presentation,imaging,and clinicopathological features is essential for accurate diagnosis.
6.Establishment of a LC-MS/MS method for detecting gamma-aminobutyric acid in plasma and its clinical application
Jia-qian QIN ; Lei CAO ; Ying-fei PENG ; Fang-jun CHEN ; Bai-shen PAN ; Bei-li WANG ; Wei GUO
Fudan University Journal of Medical Sciences 2025;52(5):708-716
Objective To establish a stable liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry(LC-MS/MS)method for detecting gamma-aminobutyric acid(GABA)in plasma,and to evaluate the value of GABA detection in the diagnosis of sleep disorders.Methods GABA was detected using a UPLC Xevo TQs system.The method was pre-validated and its performance was verified to establish a reference range for healthy individuals.The difference in plasma GABA levels between apparently healthy individuals and patients with sleep disorders was compared.Results We employed deuterated compounds as isotopic internal standards and utilized an Amide chromatographic column for separation.The mobile phase was 0.050%formic acid in water and 90%acetonitrile in water containing 0.175%formic acid and 5 mmol/L ammonium acetate with gradient elution in the column temperature of 35℃.The linear range for the detection of GABA by LC-MS/MS was 0.05-10.00 μmol/L,with a lower limit of quantification of 0.02 μmol/L,the inter-day CV<3.00%and intra assay CV<4.00%,respectively,and the recovery rate was 101.06%-109.02%.The reference ranges for plasma GABA were established by analyzing 300 healthy controls stratified by age:18-34 years(0.08-0.15 μmol/L),35-49 years(0.10-0.20 μmol/L),and≥50 years(0.12-0.23 μmol/L).Then plasma GABA was used as a biomarker for auxiliary diagnosis of sleep disorders in analyzing 221 patients and 300 healthy controls,which revealed that AUC values were 0.510(P=0.850),0.686(P=0.002),and 0.890(P<0.001)in the groups of 18-34 years,35-49 years,and≥50 years,respectively,with optimal cut-off values of 0.09,0.10 and 0.11 μmol/L.Conclusion A reliable LC-MS/MS method for detecting GABA has been established,which can detect plasma GABA levels sensitively and accurately and can be used in assisting the clinical diagnosis of sleep disorders.
7.Effect of preoperative intestinal prehabilitation on the recovery of delayed postoperative ileus in sarcopenic gastric cancer patients
Jian-Jun WU ; Guo-Zhong YAO ; Chu-Ming ZHU ; Jiang YAN ; Yu SHEN ; Shai-Di TANG ; Die WU
Parenteral & Enteral Nutrition 2025;32(5):283-287,292
Objective:To evaluate the effects and underlying mechanisms of preoperative intestinal microbiota modulation on the recovery of prolonged postoperative ileus(PPOI)in gastric cancer patients with sarcopenia Methods:Skeletal muscle mass(SMM)was assessed using bioelectrical impedance analysis(BIA),and the skeletal muscle index(SMI)was calculated.A total of 156 gastric cancer patients with sarcopenia who underwent surgery at the Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery,Liyang People's Hospital,from January 2022 to December 2024 were randomly assigned to either the control group or the experimental group.The control group received conventional prehabilitation interventions,including nutritional support,respiratory function training,and physical exercise.The experimental group received probiotic-based intestinal microbiota modulation in addition to conventional prehabilitation interventions.Postoperative recovery indicators,including time to first flatus,incidence of postoperative complications,length of hospital stay,and hospitalization costs,were compared between the two groups.Results:Among the 156 sarcopenic gastric cancer patients,121 were male,and 35 were female.Statistically significant differences were observed between the two groups in terms of time to first flatus,incidence of postoperative complications,and length of hospital stay(P<0.05).Postoperative complications occurred in 38 patients(24.3%),with 10 cases(6.4%)in the experimental group and 28 cases(17.9%)in the control group.The time to first flatus in the experimental group was significantly shorter than in the control group(48.0 hours vs 72.0 hours,P<0.001).Conclusion:Preoperative intestinal microbiota modulation significantly reduces the incidence of PPOI and postoperative complications in gastric cancer patients with low SMI,thereby promoting postoperative gastrointestinal function recovery.
8.Simultaneous Determination of Perfluorooctanoic Acid and Perfluorooctane Sulfonate Isomers in Seawater by Online Solid Phase Extraction Coupled with Liquid Chromatography-Tandem Mass Spectrometry
Jun-Hui CHEN ; Nan SHEN ; Tong-Zhu HAN ; Xiu-Ping HE ; Xian-Guo LI
Chinese Journal of Analytical Chemistry 2025;53(7):1146-1157
A new method was developed for simultaneous and efficient determination of linear perfluorooctanoic acid(n-PFOA)and linear perfluorooctane sulfonate(n-PFOS),and their typical branched isomers in seawater by online solid phase extraction-liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry(Online SPE-LC-MS/MS).Only centrifugation of the seawater sample was required to remove the particulate matter,and then the seawater sample was directly injected and analyzed by online SPE-LC-MS/MS.An Eclipse Plus-C18 guard column was selected as SPE column for online enrichment of linear and branched isomers,and a F5 PFP column(150 mm×2.1 mm,2.7 μm)was used as the analytical column.Under the optimized experimental conditions,the separation and detection of all PFOA and PFOS linear and branched isomers could be completed within 20 min.The spiked recoveries of various target compounds ranged from 82.9%to 107.7%with detection limits and limits of quantification of 0.10-1.05 ng/L and 0.30-2.11 ng/L,respectively.The method was characterized by good precision(RSD≤9.10%)and linearity(R2≥0.990).Subsequently,linear and branched isomers of PFOA and PFOS in surface and bottom seawater samples collected from the Laizhou Bay of China were determined.The results showed that the detection rate of all the four branched PFOA isomers were 100%,with the highest average concentration of 25.85 ng/L found for 6m-PFOA,which accounted for 11.79%of the∑PFOA.For the five branched isomers of PFOS,the highest detection rate of 90.84%was found for 5m-PFOS.The highest average concentration of 0.64 ng/L was observed for 3m-PFOS,accounting for 19.88%of ∑PFOS.The proposed method provided an effective detection tool for qualitative and quantitative detection of PFOA and PFOS isomers in the marine aquatic environment.
9.An atrial fibrillation prediction model based on quantitative features of electrocardiogram during sinus rhythm in the Chinese population.
Xiaoqing ZHU ; Yajun SHI ; Juan SHEN ; Qingsong WANG ; Tingting SONG ; Jiancheng XIU ; Tao CHEN ; Jun GUO
Journal of Southern Medical University 2025;45(2):223-228
OBJECTIVES:
To develop an early atrial fibrillation (AF) risk prediction model based on large-scale electrocardiogram (ECG) data from the Chinese population.
METHODS:
The data of multiple ECG records of 30 383 patients admitted in the Chinese PLA General Hospital between 2009 and 2023 were randomly divided into the training set and the internal testing set in a 7:3 ratio. The predictive factors were selected based on the training set using univariate analysis, LASSO regression, and the Boruta algorithm. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to establish the ECG model and the composite model incorporating age, gender, and ECG model score. The discrimination power, calibration, and clinical net benefits of the models were evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), calibration curves, and decision curves.
RESULTS:
The cohort included 51.1% male patients with a median age of the patients of 51 (36, 62) years and an AF incidence of 4.5% (1370/30 383). In the ECG model, the parameters related to the P wave and QRS complex were identified as significant predictors. In the testing set, the AUROC of the ECG model for predicting 5-year AF risk was 0.77 (95% CI: 0.74-0.80), which was increased to 0.81 (95% CI: 0.78-0.83) after incorporating age and gender, with a net reclassification improvement of 0.123 and an integrated discrimination improvement of 0.04 (P<0.05). The calibration curve of the model was close to the diagonal line. Decision curve analysis showed that the clinical net benefit of the composite model was higher than that of the ECG model across the majority of threshold probability.
CONCLUSIONS
The composite model incorporating quantitative ECG features during sinus rhythm, along with age and gender, can effectively predict AF risk in the Chinese population, thus providing a low-cost screening tool for early AF risk assessment and management.
Humans
;
Atrial Fibrillation/epidemiology*
;
Electrocardiography
;
Middle Aged
;
Male
;
Female
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Adult
;
Risk Factors
;
Risk Assessment
;
East Asian People
10.Association of Body Mass Index with All-Cause Mortality and Cause-Specific Mortality in Rural China: 10-Year Follow-up of a Population-Based Multicenter Prospective Study.
Juan Juan HUANG ; Yuan Zhi DI ; Ling Yu SHEN ; Jian Guo LIANG ; Jiang DU ; Xue Fang CAO ; Wei Tao DUAN ; Ai Wei HE ; Jun LIANG ; Li Mei ZHU ; Zi Sen LIU ; Fang LIU ; Shu Min YANG ; Zu Hui XU ; Cheng CHEN ; Bin ZHANG ; Jiao Xia YAN ; Yan Chun LIANG ; Rong LIU ; Tao ZHU ; Hong Zhi LI ; Fei SHEN ; Bo Xuan FENG ; Yi Jun HE ; Zi Han LI ; Ya Qi ZHAO ; Tong Lei GUO ; Li Qiong BAI ; Wei LU ; Qi JIN ; Lei GAO ; He Nan XIN
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(10):1179-1193
OBJECTIVE:
This study aimed to explore the association between body mass index (BMI) and mortality based on the 10-year population-based multicenter prospective study.
METHODS:
A general population-based multicenter prospective study was conducted at four sites in rural China between 2013 and 2023. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic spline analyses were used to assess the association between BMI and mortality. Stratified analyses were performed based on the individual characteristics of the participants.
RESULTS:
Overall, 19,107 participants with a sum of 163,095 person-years were included and 1,910 participants died. The underweight (< 18.5 kg/m 2) presented an increase in all-cause mortality (adjusted hazards ratio [ aHR] = 2.00, 95% confidence interval [ CI]: 1.66-2.41), while overweight (≥ 24.0 to < 28.0 kg/m 2) and obesity (≥ 28.0 kg/m 2) presented a decrease with an aHR of 0.61 (95% CI: 0.52-0.73) and 0.51 (95% CI: 0.37-0.70), respectively. Overweight ( aHR = 0.76, 95% CI: 0.67-0.86) and mild obesity ( aHR = 0.72, 95% CI: 0.59-0.87) had a positive impact on mortality in people older than 60 years. All-cause mortality decreased rapidly until reaching a BMI of 25.7 kg/m 2 ( aHR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.92-0.98) and increased slightly above that value, indicating a U-shaped association. The beneficial impact of being overweight on mortality was robust in most subgroups and sensitivity analyses.
CONCLUSION
This study provides additional evidence that overweight and mild obesity may be inversely related to the risk of death in individuals older than 60 years. Therefore, it is essential to consider age differences when formulating health and weight management strategies.
Humans
;
Body Mass Index
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Prospective Studies
;
Rural Population/statistics & numerical data*
;
Aged
;
Follow-Up Studies
;
Adult
;
Mortality
;
Cause of Death
;
Obesity/mortality*
;
Overweight/mortality*

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