1.Predictive value of miR-1,BNP and IMA for unstable angina pectoris
Yan MENG ; Xue-feng WANG ; Yin LIU ; Yan-bao SHEN ; Gui-lan KANG
Chinese Journal of cardiovascular Rehabilitation Medicine 2025;34(2):189-193
Objective:To investigate the predictive value of microRNA-1(miR-1),brain natriuretic peptide(BNP)and ischemia-modified albumin(IMA)for unstable angina pectoris(UAP).Methods:We enrolled 237 UAP patients admitted to Xining Second People's Hospital between June 2018 and December 2020 as UAP group.Another 86 healthy subjects undergoing physical examination simultaneously were enrolled as control group.MiR-1 expression,BNP and IMA levels were measured.General data between UAP group and control group,serum miR-1 expression,BNP and IMA levels among different Braunwald class and prognosis were compared.Receiver operat-ing characteristic(ROC)curve was employed to analyze predictive value of miR-1,BNP,IMA and their combina-tion for prognosis in UAP patients.Results:Compared with participants in the control group,those in UAP group had significant higher serum miR-1 expression[(1.80±0.59)vs.(0.93±0.11)],BNP[(107.34±37.46)pg/ml vs.(52.31±10.64)pg/ml]and IMA[(79.76±19.29)g/L vs.(53.16±6.43)g/L](P<0.001 all).As Braun-wald class increased(class Ⅰ~Ⅲ),serum miR-1 expression,BNP and IMA levels elevated(P<0.001 all).Com-pared with patients in favorable outcome group,those in unfavorable outcome group had significant higher serum miR-1 expression[(2.31±0.54)vs.(1.53±0.41)],BNP[(147.03±29.63)pg/ml vs.(85.95±19.46)pg/ml]and IMA[(97.24±15.35)g/L vs.(70.35±13.88)g/L](P<0.001 all).ROC curve indicated that AUC of com-bined detection for predicting unfavorable outcome in UAP patients was 0.925(95%CI 0.884~0.955),which was significantly higher than miR-1(AUC=0.880,95%CI 0.831~0.918),BNP(AUC=0.863,95%CI 0.813~0.904)and IMA(AUC=0.900,95%CI 0.854~0.935)alone(Z=2.884,3.130,2.090,P<0.05 or<0.01).Conclusion:MiR-1 expression,BNP and IMA levels significantly increase in UAP patients,and they are associated with the severity of disease.Combined detection has good predictive value for unfavorable outcome in UAP pa-tients.
2.Long-chain acylcoenzyme A synthase 4 regulates effects of fatty acid synthase on malignant biological behavior of esophageal cancer cells and resistance of gefitinib
Qian-hua ZHOU ; Lei JIANG ; Zhang-gui WANG ; Chao RUI ; Yi-min SHI ; Yan-xin FANG ; Qiu-shui JIN
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2025;41(6):1108-1115
Aim To investigate the effect of ACSL4 on the malignant biological behavior of esophageal cancer cells and gefitinib resistance by regulating FASN,and to explore the related mechanism.Methods Thirty-five fresh esophageal cancer tissues and adjacent nor-mal tissues,and 30 esophageal cancer tissues with ge-fitinib resistance were collected.The expressions of ACSL4 and FASN were detected by qRT-PCR and im-munohistochemistry.The expression levels of ACSL4 and FASN in human normal esophageal cells HET-1 A,esophageal cancer cell lines ECA109,EC9706,TE-1 and TE-1/GR were detected by qRT-PCR.Cells in each group were constructed by liposome transfection technique,and the drug resistance and proliferation a-bility of cells were detected by cloning and CCK-8 as-say,cell apoptosis was detected by flow cytometry,cell invasion ability was detected by Transwell,and EMT pathway protein expression was detected by Western blot.Results Compared with adjacent normal tis-sues,the expression of ACSL4 and FASN genes in cancer tissues increased,and there was a positive corre-lation.The expression of ACSL4 significantly increased in ECA109,EC9706 and TE-1 cells compared with HET-1 A cells.With the increase of gefitinib concen-tration,the expression of ACSL4 in TE-1 cells gradually increased,and the expression of ACSL4 in TE-1/GR cells was higher than that of TE-1.Compared with the control group and the si-NC group,the cell proliferation and invasion ability of si-ACSL4 group decreased,the number of apoptosis increased,the expression of E-Cadherin increased,and the expression of N-Cadherin,Vimentin and β-catenin decreased.The response ex-periment showed that compared with the si-ACSL4 group and the si-ACSL4+oe-NC group,the cells in the si-ACSL4+oe-FASN group increased drug resistance,increased proliferation and invasion ability,decreased apoptosis number and decreased expression of E-Cad-herin.The expressions of N-Cadherin,Vimentin and β-catenin increased.Conclusions By down-regulating the expression of FASN,ACSL4 reverses the resistance of esophageal cancer TE-1/GR cells to gefitinib and in-hibits the proliferation,invasion and accelerates apopto-sis of TE-1/GR cells,which may be related to the regu-lation of EMT signaling pathway.
3.Assessment of the predictive value of ultrasound imaging characteristics combined with clinical indicators for the prognosis of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma
Hua LIANG ; Ke LYU ; Yang GUI ; Xueqi CHEN ; Tianjiao CHEN ; Li TAN ; Menghua DAI ; Weibin WANG ; Junchao GUO ; Qiang XU ; Huanyu WANG ; Xiaoyi YAN ; Wanying JIA ; Yuming SHAO
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;59(10):1748-1755
Objective:To explore the value of ultrasound imaging characteristics combined with clinical indicators in assessing the prognosis of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted for patients who underwent pancreatic contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) from September 2017 to October 2023 at Peking Union Medical College Hospital and were diagnosed with PDAC based on pathological findings. Various parameters were recorded, including CA19-9 levels, tumor size, location, morphologic features, echogenicity, presence of internal cystic components, dilatation of the main pancreatic duct, peripheral vascular invasion, CEUS characteristics, presence or absence of liver metastasis, and treatment methods. In April 2024, patient survival information was obtained through telephone follow-up or review of medical records. Based on the results of the cox regression model analysis, a nomogram model of the risk of death was developed. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were applied to evaluate the predictive efficacy of the model. The calibration curves were plotted to evaluate the accuracy of the model, and clinical decision curves were used to evaluate the clinical benefit of the model.Results:This study included a total of 207 patients with PDAC. As of April 2024, 71 patients were alive and 136 died, with a median survival time of 14 months (95% CI: 12 -17). Multivariate analysis confirmed that the elevated CA19-9 ( HR=1.689, 95% CI: 1.102-2.588), tumor size >4 cm ( HR=1.641, 95% CI: 1.159-2.322), taller-than-wide shapes ( HR=1.450, 95% CI: 1.019-2.065), incomplete hypo-enhancement ( HR=1.618, 95% CI: 1.100-2.380), and liver metastasis ( HR=1.687, 95% CI: 1.175-2.423) were independent risk factors for survival in patients with PDAC. A nomogram model was further constructed for 6-month, 12-month and 3-year survival of patients with PDAC. The areas under the ROC curve were 0.679, 0.705 and 0.815, respectively. The calibration curves suggested that the model was more accurate, and the clinical decision curves showed that the model had a better clinical benefit. Conclusion:The combined use of ultrasound imaging characteristics and clinical indicators could effectively predict the prognosis of PDAC patients. Specifically, tumor size >4 cm, taller-than-wide shapes, incomplete hypo-enhancement, elevated CA19-9, and the presence of liver metastasis are correlated with poorer survival outcomes. The nomogram model constructed on the basis of these factors can be used to assess the survival of patients with PDAC.
4.Study on synergistic promotion of ferroptosis in human hypertrophic scar fibroblasts by erastin combined with shikonin
Jian-jun WANG ; Yan-hua WANG ; Yu-ting TANG ; Jing-yi ZHANG ; Fang MA ; Xi HE ; Hui-xia YANG ; Qi-peng ZHAO ; Zhi-gang BAI ; Yin-ju HAO ; Gui-zhong LI ; Yi-deng JIANG ; Jiang-yong SHEN
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2025;41(2):268-276
Aim To explore the mechanism of the syn-ergistic effect of the ferroptosis inducer erastin com-bined with shikonin in promoting ferroptosis in human hypertrophic scar fibroblasts(HSFBs).Methods Hypertrophic scar tissues provided by the General Hos-pital of Ningxia Medical University were collected,and HSFBs were extracted.HSFBs were identified by HE staining and immunofluorescence.The inhibitory rates of Era and SHK on HSFBs at different concentrations were detected by CCK-8 assay,and the IC50 value was calculated.CompuSyn software was used to calculate the co-use index(CI).Control group,Erastin(Era)group,shikonin(SHK)group and Era+SHK group were set up,and the number and morphological chan-ges of cells were observed after 24 hours of interven-tion.The ability of cell migration and invasion was de-tected by scratch test and Transwell test.The changes of malondialdehyde(MDA),total iron ion and reactive oxygen species(ROS)were detected by corresponding biochemical kits.The expressions of collagen I,α-SMA and GOT1,SLC7A11,GPX4 and FTH1 were detected by Western blot.Results The IC50 value of Era and SHK of primary HSFBs was 2.22 μmol·L-1 and 3.94μmol·L-1 respectively,which was used as the single drug concentration for subsequent experiments.The CompuSyn software was employed to calculate the CI value when the two drugs were used in combination,and the concentrations corresponding to CI=0.39597(Era:1.2 μmol·L-1+SHK:1.5 μmol·L-1)were selected as subsequent combination concentrations(Because when CI was equal to 0.395 97,the concen-tration of each drug was lower than the concentration of single drug,and the inhibition rate of combined drug was greater than 50%).Compared with the monother-apy group,the number of HSFBs in the SHK+Era group was significantly reduced,cell membrane showed breakage and vesiculation,cell wrinkling became smal-ler,and cytoplasm was concentrated.The migration and invasion ability of HSFBs in the SHK+Era group were obviously weakened(P<0.05),and the expres-sion of fibrosis-related proteins collagen Ⅰ and α-SMA was reduced(P<0.05);the contents of MDA,total i-ron ions,and ROS in HSFBs of the SHK+Era group increased(P<0.05),and the protein expression lev-els of SLC7A11,GOT1,GPX4,and FTH1 further de-creased(P<0.05).Conclusions Erastin in combi-nation with shikonin can synergistically inhibit the pro-liferation,migration and fibrosis levels of HSFBs.The mechanism may be that erastin enhances the inhibition of shikotin on GOT1,increases the levels of cellular i-ron ions,ROS,and lipid peroxides,thereby promoting ferroptosis in HSFBs.
5.Predictive value of miR-1,BNP and IMA for unstable angina pectoris
Yan MENG ; Xue-feng WANG ; Yin LIU ; Yan-bao SHEN ; Gui-lan KANG
Chinese Journal of cardiovascular Rehabilitation Medicine 2025;34(2):189-193
Objective:To investigate the predictive value of microRNA-1(miR-1),brain natriuretic peptide(BNP)and ischemia-modified albumin(IMA)for unstable angina pectoris(UAP).Methods:We enrolled 237 UAP patients admitted to Xining Second People's Hospital between June 2018 and December 2020 as UAP group.Another 86 healthy subjects undergoing physical examination simultaneously were enrolled as control group.MiR-1 expression,BNP and IMA levels were measured.General data between UAP group and control group,serum miR-1 expression,BNP and IMA levels among different Braunwald class and prognosis were compared.Receiver operat-ing characteristic(ROC)curve was employed to analyze predictive value of miR-1,BNP,IMA and their combina-tion for prognosis in UAP patients.Results:Compared with participants in the control group,those in UAP group had significant higher serum miR-1 expression[(1.80±0.59)vs.(0.93±0.11)],BNP[(107.34±37.46)pg/ml vs.(52.31±10.64)pg/ml]and IMA[(79.76±19.29)g/L vs.(53.16±6.43)g/L](P<0.001 all).As Braun-wald class increased(class Ⅰ~Ⅲ),serum miR-1 expression,BNP and IMA levels elevated(P<0.001 all).Com-pared with patients in favorable outcome group,those in unfavorable outcome group had significant higher serum miR-1 expression[(2.31±0.54)vs.(1.53±0.41)],BNP[(147.03±29.63)pg/ml vs.(85.95±19.46)pg/ml]and IMA[(97.24±15.35)g/L vs.(70.35±13.88)g/L](P<0.001 all).ROC curve indicated that AUC of com-bined detection for predicting unfavorable outcome in UAP patients was 0.925(95%CI 0.884~0.955),which was significantly higher than miR-1(AUC=0.880,95%CI 0.831~0.918),BNP(AUC=0.863,95%CI 0.813~0.904)and IMA(AUC=0.900,95%CI 0.854~0.935)alone(Z=2.884,3.130,2.090,P<0.05 or<0.01).Conclusion:MiR-1 expression,BNP and IMA levels significantly increase in UAP patients,and they are associated with the severity of disease.Combined detection has good predictive value for unfavorable outcome in UAP pa-tients.
6.Imaging changes of the intervertebral disc after posterior cervical single door enlarged laminoplasty for cervical spinal stenosis with disc herniation.
Yan-Dong ZHANG ; Xu-Hong XUE ; Sheng ZHAO ; Gui-Xuan GE ; Xiao-Hua ZHANG ; Shi-Xiong WANG ; Ze GAO
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2025;38(6):572-580
OBJECTIVE:
To explore prevalence, incidence and possible factors of immediate herniated discs after posterior cervical expansive open-door laminoplasty (EODL).
METHODS:
Totally 29 patients with cervical spinal stenosis and intervertebral disc herniation who underwent EODL from October 2020 to December 2021 were collected, including 24 males and 5 females, aged from 43 to 81 years old with an average of (61.3±9.0) years old;the courses of disease ranged from 1 to 120 months with an average of (36.4±37.0) months. Three or more intervertebral discs on C3-C7 were observed. The clinical efficacy was evaluated according to Japanese Orthopaedic Association (JOA) score before operation, 3 days and 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after operation, respectively. The changes of herniated disc before and after operation were measured by multipoint area method and two-dimensional distance method, and incidence and percentage of herniated disc regression were further calculated. Cervical imaging parameters such as Cobb angle (C3-C7), intervertebral angle, T1 slope (T1S), spinal canal sagittal diameter, K-line angle, dural sac sagittal diameter were measured and compared before and after operation. Pearson correlation was used to analyze correlation between cervical sagittal imaging parameters and disc herniation changes before and after operation.
RESULTS:
All patients obtained grade A wound healing, and 14 of them were followed up for 3(1.00, 5.25) months. There were no immediate or long-term postoperative complications. Totally 101 herniated intervertebral discs were measured, of which 79 regression numbers were obtained by area measurement. The number of intervertebral disc regressions by distance measurement was 77. There was no statistically significant difference in Cobb angle, intervertebral angle, T1S and K-line angle of C3-C7 (P>0.05), however, there were statistically significant differences in sagittal diameter of spinal canal, sagittal diameter of dural sac, and JOA score before and after operation(P<0.05). The regression ratio of disc herniation ranged from 5% to 50%, and regression ratio of disc herniation was greater than 25% in 45.57%(36/79). Disc herniation in C4,5 was positively correlated with sagittal plane diameter in C5(r=0.423, P=0.028). There was a negative correlation between changes of C3,4 and C3,4 intervertebral angle (r=-0.450, P=0.041). The improvement rate of cervical JOA score immediately after operation was (59.54±15.07) %, and postoperative follow-up improved to (76.57±14.66) %.
CONCLUSION
Herniated disc regression immediately after EODL is a common occurrence, and EODL should be selected as far as possible under the premise of satisfying surgical indications. The regression of disc herniation is positively correlated with spinal canal sagittal diameter, and spinal canal should be enlarged as far as possible in the appropriate scope during EODL, so as to create more opportunities and conditions for disc regression and achieve better clinical results.
Humans
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Female
;
Male
;
Intervertebral Disc Displacement/diagnostic imaging*
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Spinal Stenosis/diagnostic imaging*
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Laminoplasty/methods*
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Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Cervical Vertebrae/diagnostic imaging*
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Adult
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Intervertebral Disc/surgery*
7.Comparison of outcomes between enhanced workflows and express workflows in robotic-arm assisted total hip arthroplasty.
Xiang ZHAO ; Xiang-Hua WANG ; Rong-Xin HE ; Xun-Zi CAI ; Li-Dong WU ; Hao-Bo WU ; Shi-Gui YAN
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2025;38(10):987-993
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the differences in clinical efficacy between enhanced workflows and express workflows in robotic-assisted total hip arthroplasty(THA).
METHODS:
A retrospective analysis was conducted on 46 patients who underwent robotic-assisted THA between November 2020 and May 2021. They were divided into the enhanced workflows group and the express workflows group based on the surgical methods. There were 20 patients in the enhanced workflows group, including 11 males and 9 females;aged from 51 to 78 years old with an average of (67.30±7.52) years old. The BMI ranged from 18.24 to 24.03 kg·m-2 with an average of(23.80±3.01) kg·m-2. There were 26 patients in the express workflows group, including 12 males and 14 females;aged from 57 to 84 years old with a mean age of (67.58±7.29) years old, and their BMI ranged from 19.72 to 30.08 kg·m-2 with an average of (24.41 ±2.92) kg·m-2. The operation time, hospital stay, and perioperative complications of the patients were recorded. The postoperative acetabular prosthesis anteversion angle, abduction angle, limb length, and offset distance data were measured. The Harris hip score at the latest follow-up was recorded.
RESULTS:
All patients completed the surgery as planned and were followed up, with the follow-up period ranging from 47 to 54 months with a mean of (49.78±1.85) months and the length of hospital stay ranging from 2 to 11 days with an average of (6.57±1.82 ) days. The operation time of enhanced workflows group was (93.41±16.41) minutes, which was longer than that of the express workflow groups (75.19±18.36) minutes, and the difference was statistically significant (P<0.05). In enhanced workflows group, the postoperative acetabular anteversion angle was (19.20±4.46)°, the limb length discrepancy was (-1.55±9.13) mm, and changes of the offset was (-5.15±6.77) mm. The corresponding values in express workflows group were (20.46±3.29)°, (2.19±4.39) mm, and (-2.39±4.34) mm, respectively. There was no statistically significant difference in these indicators between the two groups(P>0.05). One patient in the enhanced workflows group developed deep venous thrombosis after surgery. No cases of dislocation or periprosthetic infection. At the latest follow-up, all patients had well-positioned prostheses without loosening. Harris hip score was (90.50±1.67) points in enhanced workflows group and (90.73±2.36) points in the express workflows group, with no statistically significant difference between the two groups (P>0.05).
CONCLUSION
The clinical efficacy of robot assisted total hip arthroplasty technology is satisfactory. The enhanced workflows will increase the surgical time. For patients with normal anatomical hip joint disease, this study did not find significant advantages in joint stability and functional scoring for the enhanced workflows.
Humans
;
Arthroplasty, Replacement, Hip/methods*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Aged
;
Middle Aged
;
Robotic Surgical Procedures/methods*
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Retrospective Studies
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Aged, 80 and over
;
Workflow
;
Treatment Outcome
8.Mechanism of inhibiting miR-34a-5p expression and promoting bone growth in mouse brain tissue by Semen Ziziphi Spinosae extract.
Yuan-Yuan PEI ; Yan XIE ; Na YIN ; Wen-Long MA ; Wei-Peng XING ; Gui-Zhi WANG ; Qing-Feng WANG
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2025;38(10):1061-1070
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the mechanism by which the extract of Semen Ziziphi Spinosae extract promotes bone growth in mice by modulation of the expression of miR-34a-5p in brain tissue.
METHODS:
Mice were assigned to four experimental groups:a normal control group, a drug administration group (receiving 0.320 mg·g-1 body weight of Semen Ziziphi Spinosae extract via intragastric administration), a positive control group (receiving 0.013 mg·g-1 body weight of jujube seed saponin via intragastric administration), and a combination group administration with Semen Ziziphi Spinosae extract plus a 5-hydroxytryptamine 2A receptor (5-HT2AR) agonist (intragastric administration of Semen Ziziphi Spinosae extract combined with intracerebroventricular injection of 8 μg P-MPPF per mice for the final three days of the experiment). Following a 20-day administration period, the effects of the interventions on bone growth, serum growth hormone (GH) levels, and 5-HT2AR expression in brain tissue were evaluated. MicroRNAs (miRNAs) that were differentially expressed in the brain tissues of mice exhibiting bone growth induced by Semen Ziziphi Spinosae extract, as compared to those in normal mice, were identified using a gene chip approach. The interaction between miR-34a-5p and 5-HT2AR was subsequently validated through quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chainreaction (RT-qPCR) and dual-luciferase reporter gene assays. Subsequently, by utilizing the miR-34a-5p inhibitor group and mimics group, along with the normal control group, the drug administration group, the positive control group, and the drug administration combined with miR-34a-5p inhibitor group, the variations in 5-HT2AR expression in mouse brain tissue across all groups were examined, and the binding activity of 5-hydroxytryptamine (5-HT) to the 5-hydroxytryptamine 1A receptor (5-HT1AR) in mice was assessed.
RESULTS:
The body lengths of the normal control group and the drug administration group were(8.9±0.3) and(10.4±0.4) cm;femur lengths were (8.5±0.3) and (9.1±0.5) mm;tibia lengths were (10.7±0.3) and (11.2±0.4) mm, respectively. The contents of GH levels were (58.6±8.2) and (72.9±6.1) ng·ml-1;and the contents of 5-HT2AR were (32.0±5.0) and (21.9± 5.5) ng·ml-1, respectively. Compared with the normal control group, the drug administration group promoted the growth of body length, femur, and tibia in mice, and increased GH secretion, showing statistically significant differences (P<0.05). Additionally, it significantly reduced the content of 5-HT2AR in brain tissue, with statistical significance (P<0.01). The gene chip analysis identified a total of 16 differentially expressed miRNAs, of which 13 were up-regulated and 3 were down-regulated. Bioinformatics analysis predicted that the up-regulated miR-34a-5p could regulate the expression of 5-HT2AR, a prediction that was confirmed through a dual-luciferase reporter gene assay, demonstrating a direct regulatory interaction between the two. Furthermore, in vivo experiments in mice revealed that overexpression and silencing of miR-34a-5p resulted in corresponding changes in the expression levels of 5-HT2AR in brain tissues/cells, as well as in the binding activity between 5-HT and 5-HT1AR.
CONCLUSION
The Semen Ziziphi Spinosae extract promotes animal bone growth by enhancing miR-34a-5p expression in brain tissue, downregulating the expression level of 5-HT2AR, improving the binding activity between 5-HT and 5-HT1AR, and extending slow-wave sleep duration, thereby stimulating GH secretion.
Animals
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MicroRNAs/metabolism*
;
Mice
;
Male
;
Brain/metabolism*
;
Ziziphus/chemistry*
;
Bone Development/drug effects*
;
Drugs, Chinese Herbal/pharmacology*
;
Plant Extracts/pharmacology*
9.Establishment of a nomogram for early risk prediction of severe trauma in primary medical institutions: A multi-center study.
Wang BO ; Ming-Rui ZHANG ; Gui-Yan MA ; Zhan-Fu YANG ; Rui-Ning LU ; Xu-Sheng ZHANG ; Shao-Guang LIU
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2025;28(6):418-426
PURPOSE:
To analyze risk factors for severe trauma and establish a nomogram for early risk prediction, to improve the early identification of severe trauma.
METHODS:
This study was conducted on the patients treated in 81 trauma treatment institutions in Gansu province from 2020 to 2022. Patients were grouped by year, with 5364 patients from 2020 to 2021 as the training set and 1094 newly admitted patients in 2020 as the external validation set. Based on the injury severity score (ISS), patients in the training set were classified into 2 subgroups of the severe trauma group (n = 478, ISS scores ≥25) and the non-severe trauma group (n = 4886, ISS scores <25). Univariate and binary logistic regression analyses were employed to identify independent risk factors for severe trauma. Subsequently, a predictive model was developed using the R software environment. Furthermore, the model was subjected to internal and external validation via the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.
RESULTS:
In total, 6458 trauma patients were included in this study. Initially, this study identified several independent risk factors for severe trauma, including multiple traumatic injuries (polytrauma), external hemorrhage, elevated shock index, elevated respiratory rate, decreased peripheral oxygen saturation, and decreased Glasgow coma scale score (all p < 0.05). For internal validation, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.914, with the sensitivity and specificity of 88.4% and 87.6%, respectively; while for external validation, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.936, with the sensitivity and specificity of 84.6% and 93.7%, respectively. In addition, a good model fitting was observed through the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and calibration curve analysis (p > 0.05).
CONCLUSION
This study establishes a nomogram for early risk prediction of severe trauma, which is suitable for primary healthcare institutions in underdeveloped western China. It facilitates early triage and quantitative assessment of trauma severity by clinicians prior to clinical interventions.
Humans
;
Nomograms
;
Male
;
Female
;
Wounds and Injuries/diagnosis*
;
Risk Factors
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Middle Aged
;
Adult
;
Injury Severity Score
;
Risk Assessment
;
ROC Curve
;
Aged
;
Logistic Models
;
China
;
Glasgow Coma Scale

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