1.Establishment of a nomogram for early risk prediction of severe trauma in primary medical institutions: A multi-center study.
Wang BO ; Ming-Rui ZHANG ; Gui-Yan MA ; Zhan-Fu YANG ; Rui-Ning LU ; Xu-Sheng ZHANG ; Shao-Guang LIU
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2025;28(6):418-426
PURPOSE:
To analyze risk factors for severe trauma and establish a nomogram for early risk prediction, to improve the early identification of severe trauma.
METHODS:
This study was conducted on the patients treated in 81 trauma treatment institutions in Gansu province from 2020 to 2022. Patients were grouped by year, with 5364 patients from 2020 to 2021 as the training set and 1094 newly admitted patients in 2020 as the external validation set. Based on the injury severity score (ISS), patients in the training set were classified into 2 subgroups of the severe trauma group (n = 478, ISS scores ≥25) and the non-severe trauma group (n = 4886, ISS scores <25). Univariate and binary logistic regression analyses were employed to identify independent risk factors for severe trauma. Subsequently, a predictive model was developed using the R software environment. Furthermore, the model was subjected to internal and external validation via the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.
RESULTS:
In total, 6458 trauma patients were included in this study. Initially, this study identified several independent risk factors for severe trauma, including multiple traumatic injuries (polytrauma), external hemorrhage, elevated shock index, elevated respiratory rate, decreased peripheral oxygen saturation, and decreased Glasgow coma scale score (all p < 0.05). For internal validation, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.914, with the sensitivity and specificity of 88.4% and 87.6%, respectively; while for external validation, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.936, with the sensitivity and specificity of 84.6% and 93.7%, respectively. In addition, a good model fitting was observed through the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and calibration curve analysis (p > 0.05).
CONCLUSION
This study establishes a nomogram for early risk prediction of severe trauma, which is suitable for primary healthcare institutions in underdeveloped western China. It facilitates early triage and quantitative assessment of trauma severity by clinicians prior to clinical interventions.
Humans
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Nomograms
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Male
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Female
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Wounds and Injuries/diagnosis*
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Risk Factors
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Middle Aged
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Adult
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Injury Severity Score
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Risk Assessment
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ROC Curve
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Aged
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Logistic Models
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China
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Glasgow Coma Scale
2.Epidemiological analysis of influenza in Jiading District, Shanghai, 2013‒2023
Wanqi CHEN ; Feifei MA ; Guanghe WANG ; Haoquan WANG ; Senmiao DENG ; Yuhua MAO ; Pan SUN ; Weixin CHEN
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2024;36(12):1130-1136
ObjectiveTo analyze the epidemiological characteristics and trends of influenza‑like illness (ILI) in Jiading District from 2013 to 2023, to explore the prevalence patterns, so as to provide a scientific basis for a better prevention and control of influenza. MethodsData of ILI cases, pathogenetic surveillance results and pathogen detection data from influenza surveillance network laboratories in Jiading District from 2013 to 2023 were collected for statistical analysis. ResultsFrom 2013 to 2023, the overall proportion of medical visits for ILI cases in Jiading District was 2.70%. ILI cases were mainly distributed in the age group of ≥25 years, with a seasonal prevalence characteristic, mainly concentrated in the winter and spring, with an occasional small peak in the summer. A total of 12 423 specimens were tested for pathogenetic surveillance and monitoring, 3 651 of which were tested positive for nucleic acid detection, with a positive rate of 29.39%. The dominant strain was influenza A (H3N2) virus, accounting for 55.05%. There were statistical significant differences in the positive detection rates by different streets and townships(χ2=24.73,P<0.05). The influenza network laboratory isolated and cultured influenza viruses from 3 154 nucleic acid‑positive samples sent by national influenza sentinel surveillance hospitals using 2 methodsMadin‑Darby canine kidney (MDCK) cells and specific pathogen free (SPF) chicken embryos, respectively, with a total isolation rate of 39.51%, and the isolation rate of MDCK cells (35.45%) was higher than that of SPF chicken embryos (5.36%). From 2013 to 2023, a total of 14 ILI outbreaks were reported in Jiading District, mainly in primary schools, kindergartens and secondary schools. ConclusionInfluenza in Jiading District, Shanghai, is mainly prevalent in the winter and spring, with different subtypes of influenza viruses alternating or co⁃circulating in different monitoring year. It is recommended to promote influenza vaccination, further improve influenza prevention and control measures, enhance health promotion to the age group of ≥25 years in winter and spring, and strengthen surveillance and monitoring on ILI outbreaks in collective units such as primary schools and childcare institutions, so as to reduce the disease burden.
3.Progress on toxicity of co-exposure to ambient fine particulate matter and e-cigarettes
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2023;40(5):595-600
Ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter less than 2.5 μm, and has an extremely wide range of sources. It affects the environmental quality in many cities and regions around the world, and associates with lots of negative effects on public health. E-cigarettes, a group of products that atomize e-liquid by an atomizer and then deliver nicotine and/or other substances to the respiratory system, have been introduced as smoking cessation products or replacement of tobacco cigarettes in recent years. The usage rate of e-cigarettes has grown rapidly all over the world. When these two pollutants coexist in the same atmosphere, they would induce certain adverse health effects not only on the e-cigarette users, but also on the people around them. Besides causing cardiopulmonary toxicity, the co-existing pollutants may associate with higher risks of developmental toxicity and carcinogenicity. In addition, the combined exposure may be related with the occurrence of depression. Therefore, there is an urgent need to conduct studies on the toxic potential of the combined exposure to PM2.5 and e-cigarettes, which is also important for the evaluation and control of the atmospheric compound pollution associated health risk. This paper reviewed the current situation of PM2.5 pollution and e-cigarettes use, introduced the epidemiological studies of PM2.5 and e-cigarette combined exposure, their toxic effects in vivo and in vitro, and possible mechanisms, aiming to provide a reference for subsequent toxicity studies.
4.Research progress on reproductive and developmental toxicity of e-cigarettes
Zhi ZHANG ; Mingyue CHEN ; Yujie CAO ; Wenyuan LI ; Guanghe WANG
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;35(1):83-88
E-cigarettes have gained considerable popularity worldwide recently, which have also drawn the attention of adolescents and pregnant women. However, recent studies have uncovered the negative effects of e-cigarettes on our cardiovascular system, respiratory system, nervous system, blood system and so on. Furthermore, several studies indicate that e-cigarettes can significantly impair users’ reproductive ability. In this review, we collected the most recent studies on the effects of e-cigarettes on reproductive system based on human studies, animal studies and in vitro preclinical studies. In addition, the review shows the urgency of setting e-cigarettes exposure standards. As a result, we recommend setting strict limits on the production and sales of e-cigarettes, thus encouraging consumers to consume reasonably.
5.Combining ventilation efficiency and peak systolic blood pressure in prognostic assessment of patients with chronic heart failure
Qian LUO ; Yuqin SHEN ; Bo ZHUANG ; Ting SHEN ; Xiaoling LIU ; Guanghe LI ; Yumei JIANG ; Dejie LI ; Mengyi ZHAN ; Lemin WANG
Chinese Journal of General Practitioners 2022;21(4):331-336
Objective:To analyze the value of minute ventilation to carbon dioxide production slope (VE/VCO 2 slope) combined with peak systolic blood pressure (SBP) in predicting prognosis for patients with chronic heart failure (CHF). Methods:A total of 170 patients with CHF who visited the Cardiac Rehabilitation Center of Tongji Hospital Affiliated to Tongji University and completed cardiopulmonary exercise test from March 2007 to December 2018 were enrolled in the study. The clinical data, cardiopulmonary exercise testing results and follow-up information of patients were collected to explore the predictors of all-cause mortality in patients with CHF.Results:The median follow-up time was 647 (182-1 764) days. All-cause death occurred in 34 patients. Compared with surviving patients, the proportion of diabetes and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin Ⅱ receptor blocker (ACEI/ARB) use in fatal patients was significantly higher ( P<0.01). The VE/VCO 2 slope and peak SBP*VE/VCO 2 in the fatal patients were significantly higher, and the peak oxygen consumption (peak VO 2) was lower than those in the surviving patients ( P<0.01). The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of VE/VCO 2 slope and peak SBP*VE/VCO 2 in predicting all-cause mortality in patients with CHF were 0.648 ( P=0.008) and 0.681 ( P=0.001), respectively; the optimal thresholds were >40.95 ( P=0.008) and > 5 423.50 mmHg (1 mmHg=0.133 kPa, P=0.006), the sensitivity was 0.559 and 0.588, and the specificity was 0.728 and 0.735, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that after adjusting for age, gender, diabetes and ACEI/ARB use, VE/VCO 2 slope ( HR=2.12, P=0.036) and peak SBP*VE/VCO 2 ( HR=2.42, P=0.016) were independent risk factors for all-cause mortality in patients with CHF. Conclusion:Compared to the traditional index VE/VCO 2 slope, a novel index peak SBP* VE/VCO 2 provides a relatively better predictive value for all-cause death of CHF patients.
6.Correlation between Anxiety, Depression and Changes in Th17/Treg and Inflammatory Levels in Patients with Pulmonary Nodules.
Lina WANG ; Yuanyuan WEI ; Huaqing HU ; Xiaoyu ZHANG ; Meijuan ZHENG ; Guanghe FEI
Chinese Journal of Lung Cancer 2020;23(7):554-560
BACKGROUND:
The incidence of lung cancer is increasing annually. Clinicians pay special attention to lung tests during physical examinations. Due to the popularity of low-dose computed tomography, not only can lung cancer be diagnosed early, but physical examinations often reveal the presence of pulmonary nodules, an important health issue that cannot be ignored. Patients with pulmonary nodules are prone to adverse emotions such as anxiety and depression. Many studies have shown that patients with emotional disorders have immune system dysfunction and changes in inflammation levels. This study aimed to investigate the changes in anxiety, depression, the ratios of T helper cells 17 (Th17) and regulatory T cells (Tregs), and inflammation levels in patients with pulmonary nodules.
METHODS:
A total of 143 subjects from The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University were included from April 2019 to July 2019. All of the subjects were assessed with the Beck Anxiety Inventory (BAI) and the Beck Depression Inventory-II (BDI-II). Overall, 40 cases were healthy controls (HC) and 103 cases were patients with pulmonary nodules. The patients were divided into two groups according to the scale scores: 62 cases in a non-anxiety and non-depression (NAD) group and 41 cases in an anxiety and/or depression (AD) group. The percentage of Th17 and Tregs in the peripheral blood and inflammatory factors in the serum were detected. The absolute Th17 cell counts were calculated and the differences between the groups and correlations between these indicators were analyzed.
RESULTS:
There were statistically significant differences in the percentage of Th17 cells, the absolute counts of Th17 and Th17/Treg cells, and the levels of interleukin-2 (IL-2), IL-6, and tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) among three groups (all P<0.001). The AD group was higher than the HC and NAD groups (all P<0.05). There was no statistically significant difference between the HC and NAD groups (all P>0.05). The previously described indicators had no significant correlation with the severity of anxiety and depression (P>0.05). There were no significant differences in the percentage of Tregs or levels of IL-4 and IL-10 between the groups (all P>0.05). The proportion of anxiety and/or depression in female patients with pulmonary nodules was higher than that in males (P<0.05).
CONCLUSIONS
Patients with pulmonary nodules are prone to varying degrees of anxiety and depression, which leads to immune dysfunction and low-grade inflammation.
7.Comparison of Sirolimus and Everolimus Drug-eluting Stents for Treating the Patients With Non ST-elevation Acute Coronary Syndrome
Nana ZHANG ; Guanghe WEI ; Shaohui ZHANG ; Lixin LIU ; Jianjun WANG ; Guoliang YANG ; Ronghua GAO ; Wen DAI
Chinese Circulation Journal 2016;31(5):437-441
Objective: To compare the efifcacy and safety of sirolimus-eluting stent (SES) and everolimus-eluting stent (EES) for treating the patients with non-ST segment elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS). Methods: A total of 400 NSTE-ACS patients treated in Jining Medical College Hospital from 2013-09 to 2014-09 were studied. According to different stents, the patients were divided into 2 groups: SES group,n=220 and EES group,n=180. A prospective follow-up study was conducted for 1.5 years to compare the incidence rate of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). The patients were further stratiifed by GRACE scores as Low risk group (score<109), Medium risk group (score 109-140) and High risk group (score>140). MACE free survival was studied by Kaplan-Meier curve and analyzed by Long-rank test, predictive value of GRACE for 1.5 year MACE incidence rate was examined. Results: There were 355/400 (89%) patients completed (16.7 ± 5.7) months of follow-up study including 205 in SES group and 150 in EES group. MACE occurrence rates were similar between SES group and EES group (16.10% vs 18.0%), P>0.05. By GRACE score stratiifcation, MACE rates in High risk SES group were higher than High risk EES group (48.00%vs 16.00%),P<0.05; while they were similar between Medium risk groups (14.49% vs 28.00%) and Low risk groups (9.11% vs 12.86%), allP>0.05. ROC curve indicated that the predictive value of GRACE score for 1.5 year MACE incidence was for AUC=0.762, 95% CI (1.026-1.050),P<0.001. Conclusion: Implanting of EES would be more beneifcial for NSTE-ACS patients with high GRACE risk; GRACE score has the better predictive value for their long-term prognosis.
8.The Predictive Value for Long-term Prognosis of GRACE Score and SYNTAX Score in Patients With Non-ST Elevation Acute Coronary Syndrome
Shaohui ZHANG ; Lixin LIU ; Guanghe WEI ; Tiecheng WANG ; Jianjun WANG ; Yi AN ; Guoliang YANG ; Anyong CHEN ; Ying GUO ; Yuedong LIN
Chinese Circulation Journal 2015;(8):728-732
Objective: To clarify the predictive value for long-term prognosis of GRACE score and SYNTAX score in patients with non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS).
Methods: A total of 784 NSTE-ACS patients treated in our hospital from 2009-01 to 2014-01 were retrospectively studied. According to the treatment, the patients were divided into 3 groups: Medication group,n=410, Stent group,n=325 and CABG group,n=49. Based on 2 scoring systems, the patients were divided into another 3 groups: Low risk group, Medium risk group and High-risk group. The relationship between GRACE score and SYNTAX score was studied by Pearson correlation analysis, survival analysis was conducted by Kaplan-Meier method, univariate and multivariate analysis were performed by Cox proportional hazard model, and the area under curve (AUC) of ROC analysis was used to compare two methods.
Results: All 784 patients completed the follow-up study at the median of 47.7 months. Pearson correlation analysis showed that there was a weak positive correlation between GRACE score and SYNTAX score (r=0.40,P<0.01). Survival analysis presented that by GRACE score system, the MACE occurrence rates in Low risk group, Medium risk group and High-risk group were elevated accordingly as 13.81%, 23.64% and 36.55% respectively. And by SYNTAX system, MACE occurrence rates in Medium risk group and High-risk group were 39.29% and 37.93%, which were both higher than that in Low risk group (23.99%), while the scores between Medium and High risk groups were similar,P>0.05. Cox proportional hazard model and ROC analysis indicated that GRACE and SYNTAX scores had the important predictive value for lone term prognosis of NSTE-ACS. ROC analysis of GRACE score, SYNTAX score, the combination of GRACE and SYNTAX scores showed that 3 of them all had good predictive value for MACE occurrence, three of 95% CI had signiifcant overlapping without statistic differences.
Conclusion: GRACE score and SYNTAX score are related, both of them have important while similar predictive value for long term prognosis in NSTE-ACS patients, the combination of 2 scores cannot increase the predictive value. GRACE score is appropriate for the risk stratiifcation in NSTE-ACS patients.
9.Effects of Deanxit on depression and clinical outcomes in elderly patients with acute coronary syndrome
Guoliang YANG ; Jianjun WANG ; Lixin LIU ; Guanghe WEI ; Shaohui ZHANG ; Tiecheng WANG ; Ying GUO
Chinese Journal of Behavioral Medicine and Brain Science 2013;22(10):911-913
Objective To investigate deanxit clinical efficacy of depression in elderly patients with acute coronary syndrome(ACS).Methods 88 elderly patients with ACS and depression were randomly divided into Deanxit (2 tablets daily ; Deanxit,n =43) or placebo (control,n =45) treatment in addition to standard therapy.SDA score,SDS score,MACE and cardiac autonomic nerve function were performed at 12 weeks follow-up.Results In deanxit group,SDA score and SDS score were significantly reduced (34.28 ± 6.35 vs 52.68 ± 5.74,41.19 ±4.63 vs 54.68 ± 4.32,P < 0.05),MACE were also decreased (4.6% vs 28.9 %,P < 0.05).SDNN were significantly higher than control (109.03 ± 23.08 vs 98.29 ± 27.44,P < 0.05),but LF was reduced (152.89 ± 92.75vs 249.21 ± 64.17,P< 0.05).Conclusion Deanxit can improve the depression and clinical symptoms in elderly patients with ACS and depression.By improving the cardiac autonomic nerve function,deanxit possible reduce the onset of severe arrhythmia and improve the short-term prognosis.
10.Observation of the effect of Deanxit in the treatment of elderly patients with anxiety and depression after PCI
Guoliang YANG ; Shaohui ZHANG ; Lixin LIU ; Guanghe WEI ; Jianjun WANG
Chinese Journal of Primary Medicine and Pharmacy 2013;20(20):3107-3108
Objective To investigate the effects of Deanxit on elderly patients with anxiety and depression symptoms after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).Methods The Hamilton Anxiety Scale (HAMA) and Hamilton Depression Scale(HAMD) were used to evaluate the anxiety and depression symptoms in elderly patients (more than 70 years old) with coronary heart disease after PCI.Thus,80 patients with anxiety and depression after PCI were singled out,they were randomly divided into Deanxit group (n =40,2 Deanxit tablets daily) and control group (n =40,conventional therapy).HAMA and HAMD scores were performed after treatment for 12 weeks.Results HAMA and HAMD scores of the Deanxit group were (10.2 ± 5.7) points,(11.8 ± 6.2) points,which were significantly lower than (17.8 ±5.5)points,(18.3 ±4.3)points in the control group (P =0.012,P =0.020).Conclusion Deanxit can significantly improve the anxiety and depression symptoms in elderly patients after PCI.

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