1.Construction and validation of machine learning-based dynamic early warning model for mortality risk in trauma-induced hypothermia patients
Yi-jing FU ; Jing YUAN ; Guan-jun LIU ; Qing-yan XIE ; Jia-meng XU ; Wei CHEN ; Guang ZHANG
Chinese Medical Equipment Journal 2025;46(3):9-14
Objective To propose a dynamic early warning model based on machine learning methods and validate its predi-ctive efficacy so as to achieve precise assessment and early warning of mortality risk in patients with traumatic hypothermia.Methods Firstly,a total of 480 patients who met inclusion criteria were retrospectively selected from the eICU database and randomly divided into training and test sets at an 8∶2 ratio.Secondly,physiological parameters were extracted from these patients,and five machine learning algorithms including XGBoost,AdaBoost,LightGBM,logistic regression(LR)and random forest(RF)were employed respectively to develop dynamic mortality risk warning models for traumatic hypothermia patients,utilizing a 1-hour observation window.Thirdly,receiver operating characteristic curves(ROC)were plotted using the test set data and the effects of different warning windows on the model performance were analyzed by calculating the AUC.Finally,the interpretability of the models was analyzed using the SHapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)algorithm to elucidate the contribution of each feature to predictive performance.Results The optimal warning window for the dynamic warning model constructed using the eICU database was 12 hours,and in case of 12-hour warning window the logistic regression model achieved the highest AUC of 0.935 and showed optimal predictive performance.The results of the interpretability analysis by the SHAP algorithm showed that body temperature was the feature that had the greatest impact on the model results,and its reduction was positively correlated with the increased risk of death.Conclusion The machine learning-based dynamic warning model for mortality risk in traumatic hypothermia patients enables real-time dynamic risk assessment,providing robust support for clinicians to identify the patient's condition changes at an early stage and references for the adjustment of clinical treatment programs.[Chinese Medical Equipment Journal,2025,46(3):9-14]
2.Risk factors for adverse outcomes in atrial fibrillation patients undergoing radiofrequency ablation:a prospective cohort study
Jin BAI ; Peng-xin XIE ; Yan-guang LI ; Ran JING ; Zong-shi LI ; Gong-bu ZHOU ; Shu-wang LIU
Chinese Journal of Interventional Cardiology 2025;33(3):121-127
Objective To explore the factors that influence major adverse cardiovascular events(MACE)in atrial fibrillation(AF)patients undergoing radiofrequency ablation(RFA),as well as to compare the prognosis of patients with advanced AF to that of the general population.Methods We prospectively recruited AF patients who underwent RFA treatment at Peking University Third Hospital between January 2021 and March 2023.General patient data were collected through the hospital's inpatient system,and MACE were tracked through outpatient visits and telephone follow-ups.Patients were categorized into three age groups:Group 1(under 65 years),Group 2(65 to 75 years),and Group 3(over 75 years).In this study,MACE was defined as include cardiovascular death,all-cause death,readmission for heart failure,acute coronary syndrome(ACS),grade 2 or higher bleeding and stroke.Results A total of 431 patients were included in this study,with an average age of(66.17±12.22)years.Among these patients,259 were male(60.09%),and the mean of CHA2DS2-VASc score was(1.79±1.30).The median follow-up period was 16.0(11.3,21.3)months,during which 28(6.50%)patients experienced MACE,with ACS and stroke being the most common events.Variables were selected using LASSO regression,and a LASSO-Cox regression model was constructed.Age(HR 1.06,95%CI 1.02-1.10,P=0.006)and hypertrophic cardiomyopathy(HR 3.70,95%CI 1.27-8.68,P=0.008)were identified as independent predictors of MACE after RFA for AF.Subgroup analysis revealed that patients under 65 had significantly better prognoses compared to older AF patients(P=0.030 compared with group 2;P=0.021 compared with group 3).Conclusions Age and hypertrophic cardiomyopathy are independent risk factors for MACE in AF patients undergoing RFA.The prognosis for younger patients is better than that for older patients,while the prognosis for advanced patients is comparable to that of patients aged 65-75 years.
3.Construction and validation of machine learning-based dynamic early warning model for mortality risk in trauma-induced hypothermia patients
Yi-jing FU ; Jing YUAN ; Guan-jun LIU ; Qing-yan XIE ; Jia-meng XU ; Wei CHEN ; Guang ZHANG
Chinese Medical Equipment Journal 2025;46(3):9-14
Objective To propose a dynamic early warning model based on machine learning methods and validate its predi-ctive efficacy so as to achieve precise assessment and early warning of mortality risk in patients with traumatic hypothermia.Methods Firstly,a total of 480 patients who met inclusion criteria were retrospectively selected from the eICU database and randomly divided into training and test sets at an 8∶2 ratio.Secondly,physiological parameters were extracted from these patients,and five machine learning algorithms including XGBoost,AdaBoost,LightGBM,logistic regression(LR)and random forest(RF)were employed respectively to develop dynamic mortality risk warning models for traumatic hypothermia patients,utilizing a 1-hour observation window.Thirdly,receiver operating characteristic curves(ROC)were plotted using the test set data and the effects of different warning windows on the model performance were analyzed by calculating the AUC.Finally,the interpretability of the models was analyzed using the SHapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)algorithm to elucidate the contribution of each feature to predictive performance.Results The optimal warning window for the dynamic warning model constructed using the eICU database was 12 hours,and in case of 12-hour warning window the logistic regression model achieved the highest AUC of 0.935 and showed optimal predictive performance.The results of the interpretability analysis by the SHAP algorithm showed that body temperature was the feature that had the greatest impact on the model results,and its reduction was positively correlated with the increased risk of death.Conclusion The machine learning-based dynamic warning model for mortality risk in traumatic hypothermia patients enables real-time dynamic risk assessment,providing robust support for clinicians to identify the patient's condition changes at an early stage and references for the adjustment of clinical treatment programs.[Chinese Medical Equipment Journal,2025,46(3):9-14]
4.Risk factors for adverse outcomes in atrial fibrillation patients undergoing radiofrequency ablation:a prospective cohort study
Jin BAI ; Peng-xin XIE ; Yan-guang LI ; Ran JING ; Zong-shi LI ; Gong-bu ZHOU ; Shu-wang LIU
Chinese Journal of Interventional Cardiology 2025;33(3):121-127
Objective To explore the factors that influence major adverse cardiovascular events(MACE)in atrial fibrillation(AF)patients undergoing radiofrequency ablation(RFA),as well as to compare the prognosis of patients with advanced AF to that of the general population.Methods We prospectively recruited AF patients who underwent RFA treatment at Peking University Third Hospital between January 2021 and March 2023.General patient data were collected through the hospital's inpatient system,and MACE were tracked through outpatient visits and telephone follow-ups.Patients were categorized into three age groups:Group 1(under 65 years),Group 2(65 to 75 years),and Group 3(over 75 years).In this study,MACE was defined as include cardiovascular death,all-cause death,readmission for heart failure,acute coronary syndrome(ACS),grade 2 or higher bleeding and stroke.Results A total of 431 patients were included in this study,with an average age of(66.17±12.22)years.Among these patients,259 were male(60.09%),and the mean of CHA2DS2-VASc score was(1.79±1.30).The median follow-up period was 16.0(11.3,21.3)months,during which 28(6.50%)patients experienced MACE,with ACS and stroke being the most common events.Variables were selected using LASSO regression,and a LASSO-Cox regression model was constructed.Age(HR 1.06,95%CI 1.02-1.10,P=0.006)and hypertrophic cardiomyopathy(HR 3.70,95%CI 1.27-8.68,P=0.008)were identified as independent predictors of MACE after RFA for AF.Subgroup analysis revealed that patients under 65 had significantly better prognoses compared to older AF patients(P=0.030 compared with group 2;P=0.021 compared with group 3).Conclusions Age and hypertrophic cardiomyopathy are independent risk factors for MACE in AF patients undergoing RFA.The prognosis for younger patients is better than that for older patients,while the prognosis for advanced patients is comparable to that of patients aged 65-75 years.
5.Correlation of peripheral neurotoxicity of utidelone-induced in the treatment of potients with advanced HER-2 negative breast cancer
Na-ni LI ; Wei-nan XIE ; Chao-guang HE ; Jing HUANG ; Gui-hua CAO ; Yi-cong LIN
The Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2024;40(24):3543-3547
Objective To analyze the peripheral neurotoxicity of utidelone(UTD-1)in patients with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2(HER-2)negative advanced breast cancer and its related factors.Methods The patients with HER-2 negative advanced breast cancer treated by UTD-1 were collected.The patients were divided into control group(low neurotoxicity group,grade 0-1 peripheral neurotoxicity)and treatment group(high neurotoxicity group,grade 2-4 peripheral neurotoxicity)according to cohort method.The data involve age,body mass index(BMI),related indicators of metabolic syndrome(MS)before chemotherapy,hormone receptor expression status of tumor,number of treatment lines,and whether combined with capecitabine were collected.The highest level of neurotoxicity after UTD-1 was collected for each patient,and the possible related factors were analyzed.Results There were 83 cases in the treatment group and 84 cases in the control group.The BMI of treatment and control groups were(24.81±1.93)and(22.82±2.19)kg·m-2,the fasting plasma glucose(FPG)levels were(6.45±1.37)and(5.42±0.79)mmol·L-1,the C-reaction protein(CRP)levels were 11.10 and 1.60 mg·L-1,respectively,and the differences were statistically significant(allP<0.01).Multi-factor Logistics stepwise regression analysis showed that the high neurotoxicity group was independently correlated with high BMI,high FPG and high CRP(odds ratios were 11.51,7.78 and 6.88).Conclusion BMI,CRP and FPG may be independent risk factors for high peripheral neurotoxicity iduced by UTD-1.
6.Comparative study on sedative and hypnotic effects of Semen Ziziphi Spinosae before and after processing
Ming CAI ; Lin-Lin CHEN ; Bo XU ; Guang-Jing XIE ; Jing XIA
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2024;40(5):984-991
Aim To explore the differences in sedative and hypnotic effects of Semen Ziziphi Spinosae(SZS)before and after processing based on network pharma-cology and animal experiments.Methods The chemi-cal components and corresponding targets of SZS were collected through relevant platforms and databases,the insomnia and sleep disorder targets were retrieved,and the intersection targets of drugs and diseases were ob-tained.The protein interaction relationships were con-structed,and the Chinese medicinal herb-component-target-pathway network was drawn.Then database was used to analyze pathway enrichment.Based on the pre-dicted results,the effects of different SZS products on Kunming mice were evaluated through pentobarbital in-duced sleep test,behavioral analysis,brain tissue relat-ed gene mRNA levels,and plasma neurotransmitters.Results The target genes related to SZS and insomnia were acetylcholinesterase(ACHE),alpha-1B adrener-gic receptor(ADRA1B),solute carrier family 6(neu-rotransmitter transporter,serotonin),member 4(SLC6 A4),which might play a role through 9 related pathways and 69 biological processes such as calcium signaling pathway,salivary secretion,and so on.In vi-vo experiments found that SZS could reduce mouse ac-tivity,enhance the hypnotic effect of pentobarbital sodi-um,lower the levels of ACEE,ADRA1B,and SLC6A4 mRNA in cortex and hippocampus,and regulate the levels of acetylcholine,adrenaline,and other substances in plasma,all of which could be used in combination with raw and fried methods.The effect was proportion-al to the dosage of the drug.Conclusions SZS has sedative and hypnotic effects,and high doses of crude and parched SZS combined decoction have better effects.This effect may be caused by affecting the lev-els of neurotransmitters and their related receptors,me-diating the central nervous system.
7.Correlation of peripheral neurotoxicity of utidelone-induced in the treatment of potients with advanced HER-2 negative breast cancer
Na-ni LI ; Wei-nan XIE ; Chao-guang HE ; Jing HUANG ; Gui-hua CAO ; Yi-cong LIN
The Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2024;40(24):3543-3547
Objective To analyze the peripheral neurotoxicity of utidelone(UTD-1)in patients with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2(HER-2)negative advanced breast cancer and its related factors.Methods The patients with HER-2 negative advanced breast cancer treated by UTD-1 were collected.The patients were divided into control group(low neurotoxicity group,grade 0-1 peripheral neurotoxicity)and treatment group(high neurotoxicity group,grade 2-4 peripheral neurotoxicity)according to cohort method.The data involve age,body mass index(BMI),related indicators of metabolic syndrome(MS)before chemotherapy,hormone receptor expression status of tumor,number of treatment lines,and whether combined with capecitabine were collected.The highest level of neurotoxicity after UTD-1 was collected for each patient,and the possible related factors were analyzed.Results There were 83 cases in the treatment group and 84 cases in the control group.The BMI of treatment and control groups were(24.81±1.93)and(22.82±2.19)kg·m-2,the fasting plasma glucose(FPG)levels were(6.45±1.37)and(5.42±0.79)mmol·L-1,the C-reaction protein(CRP)levels were 11.10 and 1.60 mg·L-1,respectively,and the differences were statistically significant(allP<0.01).Multi-factor Logistics stepwise regression analysis showed that the high neurotoxicity group was independently correlated with high BMI,high FPG and high CRP(odds ratios were 11.51,7.78 and 6.88).Conclusion BMI,CRP and FPG may be independent risk factors for high peripheral neurotoxicity iduced by UTD-1.
8. Treatment advice of small molecule antiviral drugs for elderly COVID-19
Min PAN ; Shuang CHANG ; Xiao-Xia FENG ; Guang-He FEI ; Jia-Bin LI ; Hua WANG ; Du-Juan XU ; Chang-Hui WANG ; Yan SUN ; Xiao-Yun FAN ; Tian-Jing ZHANG ; Wei WEI ; Ling-Ling ZHANG ; Jim LI ; Fei-Hu CHEN ; Xiao-Ming MENG ; Hong-Mei ZHAO ; Min DAI ; Yi XIANG ; Meng-Shu CAO ; Xiao-Yang CHEN ; Xian-Wei YE ; Xiao-Wen HU ; Ling JIANG ; Yong-Zhong WANG ; Hao LIU ; Hai-Tang XIE ; Ping FANG ; Zhen-Dong QIAN ; Chao TANG ; Gang YANG ; Xiao-Bao TENG ; Chao-Xia QIAN ; Guo-Zheng DING
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2023;39(3):425-430
COVID-19 has been prevalent for three years. The virulence of SARS-CoV-2 is weaken as it mutates continuously. However, elderly patients, especially those with underlying diseases, are still at high risk of developing severe infections. With the continuous study of the molecular structure and pathogenic mechanism of SARS-CoV-2, antiviral drugs for COVID-19 have been successively marketed, and these anti-SARS-CoV-2 drugs can effectively reduce the severe rate and mortality of elderly patients. This article reviews the mechanism, clinical medication regimens, drug interactions and adverse reactions of five small molecule antiviral drugs currently approved for marketing in China, so as to provide advice for the clinical rational use of anti-SARS-CoV-2 in the elderly.
9.Incidence and prognosis of olfactory and gustatory dysfunctions related to infection of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron strain: a national multi-center survey of 35 566 population.
Meng Fan LIU ; Rui Xia MA ; Xian Bao CAO ; Hua ZHANG ; Shui Hong ZHOU ; Wei Hong JIANG ; Yan JIANG ; Jing Wu SUN ; Qin Tai YANG ; Xue Zhong LI ; Ya Nan SUN ; Li SHI ; Min WANG ; Xi Cheng SONG ; Fu Quan CHEN ; Xiao Shu ZHANG ; Hong Quan WEI ; Shao Qing YU ; Dong Dong ZHU ; Luo BA ; Zhi Wei CAO ; Xu Ping XIAO ; Xin WEI ; Zhi Hong LIN ; Feng Hong CHEN ; Chun Guang SHAN ; Guang Ke WANG ; Jing YE ; Shen Hong QU ; Chang Qing ZHAO ; Zhen Lin WANG ; Hua Bin LI ; Feng LIU ; Xiao Bo CUI ; Sheng Nan YE ; Zheng LIU ; Yu XU ; Xiao CAI ; Wei HANG ; Ru Xin ZHANG ; Yu Lin ZHAO ; Guo Dong YU ; Guang Gang SHI ; Mei Ping LU ; Yang SHEN ; Yu Tong ZHAO ; Jia Hong PEI ; Shao Bing XIE ; Long Gang YU ; Ye Hai LIU ; Shao wei GU ; Yu Cheng YANG ; Lei CHENG ; Jian Feng LIU
Chinese Journal of Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery 2023;58(6):579-588
Objective: This cross-sectional investigation aimed to determine the incidence, clinical characteristics, prognosis, and related risk factors of olfactory and gustatory dysfunctions related to infection with the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron strain in mainland China. Methods: Data of patients with SARS-CoV-2 from December 28, 2022, to February 21, 2023, were collected through online and offline questionnaires from 45 tertiary hospitals and one center for disease control and prevention in mainland China. The questionnaire included demographic information, previous health history, smoking and alcohol drinking, SARS-CoV-2 vaccination, olfactory and gustatory function before and after infection, other symptoms after infection, as well as the duration and improvement of olfactory and gustatory dysfunction. The self-reported olfactory and gustatory functions of patients were evaluated using the Olfactory VAS scale and Gustatory VAS scale. Results: A total of 35 566 valid questionnaires were obtained, revealing a high incidence of olfactory and taste dysfunctions related to infection with the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron strain (67.75%). Females(χ2=367.013, P<0.001) and young people(χ2=120.210, P<0.001) were more likely to develop these dysfunctions. Gender(OR=1.564, 95%CI: 1.487-1.645), SARS-CoV-2 vaccination status (OR=1.334, 95%CI: 1.164-1.530), oral health status (OR=0.881, 95%CI: 0.839-0.926), smoking history (OR=1.152, 95%CI=1.080-1.229), and drinking history (OR=0.854, 95%CI: 0.785-0.928) were correlated with the occurrence of olfactory and taste dysfunctions related to SARS-CoV-2(above P<0.001). 44.62% (4 391/9 840) of the patients who had not recovered their sense of smell and taste also suffered from nasal congestion, runny nose, and 32.62% (3 210/9 840) suffered from dry mouth and sore throat. The improvement of olfactory and taste functions was correlated with the persistence of accompanying symptoms(χ2=10.873, P=0.001). The average score of olfactory and taste VAS scale was 8.41 and 8.51 respectively before SARS-CoV-2 infection, but decreased to3.69 and 4.29 respectively after SARS-CoV-2 infection, and recovered to 5.83and 6.55 respectively at the time of the survey. The median duration of olfactory and gustatory dysfunctions was 15 days and 12 days, respectively, with 0.5% (121/24 096) of patients experiencing these dysfunctions for more than 28 days. The overall self-reported improvement rate of smell and taste dysfunctions was 59.16% (14 256/24 096). Gender(OR=0.893, 95%CI: 0.839-0.951), SARS-CoV-2 vaccination status (OR=1.334, 95%CI: 1.164-1.530), history of head and facial trauma(OR=1.180, 95%CI: 1.036-1.344, P=0.013), nose (OR=1.104, 95%CI: 1.042-1.171, P=0.001) and oral (OR=1.162, 95%CI: 1.096-1.233) health status, smoking history(OR=0.765, 95%CI: 0.709-0.825), and the persistence of accompanying symptoms (OR=0.359, 95%CI: 0.332-0.388) were correlated with the recovery of olfactory and taste dysfunctions related to SARS-CoV-2 (above P<0.001 except for the indicated values). Conclusion: The incidence of olfactory and taste dysfunctions related to infection with the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron strain is high in mainland China, with females and young people more likely to develop these dysfunctions. Active and effective intervention measures may be required for cases that persist for a long time. The recovery of olfactory and taste functions is influenced by several factors, including gender, SARS-CoV-2 vaccination status, history of head and facial trauma, nasal and oral health status, smoking history, and persistence of accompanying symptoms.
Female
;
Humans
;
Adolescent
;
SARS-CoV-2
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Smell
;
COVID-19/complications*
;
Cross-Sectional Studies
;
COVID-19 Vaccines
;
Incidence
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Olfaction Disorders/etiology*
;
Taste Disorders/etiology*
;
Prognosis
10.Aging weakens Th17 cell pathogenicity and ameliorates experimental autoimmune uveitis in mice.
He LI ; Lei ZHU ; Rong WANG ; Lihui XIE ; Jie REN ; Shuai MA ; Weiqi ZHANG ; Xiuxing LIU ; Zhaohao HUANG ; Binyao CHEN ; Zhaohuai LI ; Huyi FENG ; Guang-Hui LIU ; Si WANG ; Jing QU ; Wenru SU
Protein & Cell 2022;13(6):422-445
Aging-induced changes in the immune system are associated with a higher incidence of infection and vaccination failure. Lymph nodes, which filter the lymph to identify and fight infections, play a central role in this process. However, careful characterization of the impact of aging on lymph nodes and associated autoimmune diseases is lacking. We combined single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) with flow cytometry to delineate the immune cell atlas of cervical draining lymph nodes (CDLNs) of both young and old mice with or without experimental autoimmune uveitis (EAU). We found extensive and complicated changes in the cellular constituents of CDLNs during aging. When confronted with autoimmune challenges, old mice developed milder EAU compared to young mice. Within this EAU process, we highlighted that the pathogenicity of T helper 17 cells (Th17) was dampened, as shown by reduced GM-CSF secretion in old mice. The mitigated secretion of GM-CSF contributed to alleviation of IL-23 secretion by antigen-presenting cells (APCs) and may, in turn, weaken APCs' effects on facilitating the pathogenicity of Th17 cells. Meanwhile, our study further unveiled that aging downregulated GM-CSF secretion through reducing both the transcript and protein levels of IL-23R in Th17 cells from CDLNs. Overall, aging altered immune cell responses, especially through toning down Th17 cells, counteracting EAU challenge in old mice.
Aging
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Animals
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Autoimmune Diseases
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Disease Models, Animal
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Granulocyte-Macrophage Colony-Stimulating Factor/metabolism*
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Mice
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Mice, Inbred C57BL
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Th17 Cells/metabolism*
;
Uveitis/pathology*
;
Virulence

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