1.Guyanxiao Tincture Alleviates Frozen Shoulder via Suppressing ACTC1 Induced Fibrosis in Shoulder Capsule
Quan SUN ; Kai-Wei ZHANG ; Yang LIU ; Yan WANG ; Rui ZHENG ; Shu-Guang ZHENG
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2026;53(10):2714-2732
ObjectiveFrozen shoulder (FS) is a debilitating musculoskeletal disorder characterized by persistent inflammation and progressive fibrosis of the glenohumeral joint capsule, leading to pain and severely restricted range of motion. Given the limited efficacy of current pharmacotherapies, there is an urgent need for novel anti-fibrotic agents. Guyanxiao Tincture (GYX), a traditional Chinese herbal formula, has shown clinical benefits in alleviating FS symptoms. However, its bioactive constituents and the molecular mechanisms underlying its therapeutic effects remain poorly defined. This study aimed to systematically evaluate the therapeutic efficacy of GYX against FS and to elucidate the mechanisms by which GYX attenuates capsular fibrosis. MethodsA Sprague-Dawley (SD) rat model of FS was established by immobilizing the unilateral shoulder with a plaster cast for 21 d. Following model induction, animals were administered with GYX or its serum-identified bioactive component, icariside F2. The absorbed prototype compounds of GYX in FS rat serum were profiled using ultraperformance liquid chromatography-quadrupole time-of-flight mass spectrometry (UPLC-Q-TOF-MS). Therapeutic effects were assessed by measuring shoulder range of motion (ROM), histopathological evaluation of the capsule via hematoxylin-eosin staining, and quantification of transforming growth factor‑β1 (TGF-β1) content by ELISA. To explore the underlying mechanisms, transcriptomic profiling of the shoulder capsule was performed using RNA sequencing, and differentially expressed genes were validated by real-time quantitative PCR. Protein expression and localization were examined through immunohistochemistry, immunofluorescence, and Western blot. Protein-protein interaction networks were constructed to identify key regulatory hubs. In vitro, primary shoulder capsule fibroblasts were stimulated with TGF‑β1 to induce a fibrotic phenotype and then treated with icariside F2. The expression of alpha cardiac muscle 1 (ACTC1), α‑smooth muscle actin, and collagen I was subsequently measured. ResultsSerum pharmacochemistry analysis identified icariside F2 as the predominant circulating bioactive component of GYX in FS rats. Both GYX and icariside F2 treatment significantly improved the ROM and ameliorated histopathological lesions, including the attenuation of synovial hyperplasia, inflammatory infiltration, and excessive collagen deposition in the shoulder capsule. Consistently, elevated TGF‑β1 levels in the model group were markedly reduced after the interventions. RNA sequencing revealed that actin ACTC1 was dramatically upregulated in the fibrotic capsule, accompanied by the enrichment of fibrosis-associated pathways such as TGF‑β signaling, focal adhesion, and ECM-receptor interaction. Protein-protein interaction network analysis demonstrated that ACTC1 directly interacts with core fibrotic genes, including Col1a1, Col1a2, Thbs2, and Fn1. Critically, icariside F2 administration significantly reversed the aberrant overexpression of ACTC1 and suppressed the activation of the aforementioned fibrosis-related pathways in vivo. In TGF‑β1-stimulated fibroblasts, icariside F2 dose-dependently downregulated ACTC1 at both the mRNA and protein levels and concurrently decreased the expression of the fibrotic markers α‑smooth muscle actin and collagen I. Immunofluorescence and Western blot further confirmed that icariside F2 attenuated stress fiber formation and collagen production in vitro. ConclusionGYX and its bioactive component icariside F2 effectively alleviate the progression of frozen shoulder by inhibiting capsular fibrosis. Mechanistically, the therapeutic action is functionally linked to the suppression of ACTC1 and its downstream profibrotic signaling cascade, highlighting ACTC1 as a promising therapeutic target for the management of frozen shoulder.
2.Carbon-friendly ecological cultivation mode of Dendrobium huoshanense based on greenhouse gas emission measurement.
Di TIAN ; Jun-Wei YANG ; Bing-Rui CHEN ; Xiu-Lian CHI ; Yan-Yan HU ; Sheng-Nan TANG ; Guang YANG ; Meng CHENG ; Ya-Feng DAI ; Shi-Wen WANG
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(1):93-101
Ecological cultivation is an important way for the sustainable production of traditional Chinese medicine in the context of the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals. Facility cultivation and simulative habitat cultivation modes have been developed and applied to develop the endangered Dendrobium huoshanense on the basis of protection. However, the differences in the greenhouse gas emissions and global warming potential of these cultivation modes remain unexplored, which limits the accurate assessment of carbon-friendly ecological cultivation modes of D. huoshanense. Greenhouse gas emission flux monitoring based on the static chamber method provides an effective way to solve this problem. Therefore, this study conducted a field experiment in the facility cultivation and simulative habitat cultivation modes at a D. huoshanense cultivation base in Dabie Mountains, Anhui Province. From April 2023 to March 2024, samples of greenhouse gases were collected every month, and the concentrations of CO_2, CH_4, and N_2O of the samples were then detected by gas chromatography. The greenhouse gas emission fluxes, cumulative emissions, and global warming potential were further calculated, and the following results were obtained.(1)The two cultivation modes of D. huoshanense showed significant differences in greenhouse gas emission fluxes, especially the CO_2 emission flux, with a pattern of facility cultivation>simulative habitat cultivation [(35.60±11.70)mg·m~(-2)·h~(-1) vs(2.10±4.59)mg·m~(-2)·h~(-1)].(2) The annual cumulative CO_2 emission flux in the case of facility cultivation was significantly higher than that of simulative habitat cultivation[(3 077.00±842.00)kg·hm~(-2) vs(221.00±332.00)kg·hm~(-2)], while no significant difference was found in annual cumulative CH_4 and N_2O emission fluxes.(3) The facility cultivation mode had a significantly higher global warming potential than the simulative habitat cultivation mode [(3 053.00±847.00)kg·hm~(-2) vs(196.00±362.00)kg·hm~(-2)]. Overall, the simulative habitat cultivation of D. huoshanense has obvious carbon-friendly characteristics compared with facility cultivation, which is in line with the concept of ecological cultivation of medicinal plants. This study is of great reference significance for the implementation and promotion of the ecological cultivation mode of D. huoshanense under carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals.
Dendrobium/chemistry*
;
Greenhouse Gases/metabolism*
;
Carbon/analysis*
;
Ecosystem
;
Carbon Dioxide/metabolism*
;
China
;
Global Warming
3.Digital identification of Cervi Cornu Pantotrichum based on HPLC-QTOF-MS~E and Adaboost.
Xiao-Han GUO ; Xian-Rui WANG ; Yu ZHANG ; Ming-Hua LI ; Wen-Guang JING ; Xian-Long CHENG ; Feng WEI
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(5):1172-1178
Cervi Cornu Pantotrichum is a precious animal-derived Chinese medicinal material, while there are often adulterants derived from animals not specified in the Chinese Pharmacopeia in the market, which disturbs the safety of medication. This study was conducted with the aim of strengthening the quality control of Cervi Cornu Pantotrichum and standardizing the medication. To achieve digital identification of Cervi Cornu Pantotrichum from different sources, a digital identification model was constructed based on ultra-high performance liquid chromatography tandem quadrupole time-of-flight mass spectrometry(UHPLC-QTOF-MS~E) combined with an adaptive boosting algorithm(Adaboost). The young furred antlers of sika deer, red deer, elk, and reindeer were processed and then subjected to polypeptide analysis by UHPLC-QTOF-MS~E. Then, the mass spectral data reflecting the polypeptide information were obtained by digital quantification. Next, the key data were obtained by feature screening based on Gini index, and the digital identification model was constructed by Adaboost. The model was evaluated based on the recall rate, F_1 composite score, and accuracy. Finally, the results of identification based on the constructed digital identification model were validated. The results showed that when the Gini index was used to screen the data of top 100 characteristic polypeptides, the digital identification model based on Adaboost had the best performance, with the recall rate, F_1 composite score, and accuracy not less than 0.953. The validation analysis showed that the accuracy of the identification of the 10 batches of samples was as high as 100.0%. Therefore, based on UHPLC-QTOF-MS~E and Adaboost algorithm, the digital identification of Cervi Cornu Pantotrichum can be realized efficiently and accurately, which can provide reference for the quality control and original animal identification of Cervi Cornu Pantotrichum.
Animals
;
Algorithms
;
Antlers/chemistry*
;
Boosting Machine Learning Algorithms
;
Chromatography, High Pressure Liquid/methods*
;
Deer
;
Drugs, Chinese Herbal/chemistry*
;
Mass Spectrometry/methods*
;
Quality Control
;
Reindeer
;
Tandem Mass Spectrometry/methods*
;
Tissue Extracts/analysis*
4.Correlation between gallbladder stones and small intestinal bacterial overgrowth
Rui XIAN ; Qian LIU ; Xiao-Na LIU ; Chang-Hao DONG ; Guang-Xiang WANG ; Chao LI ; Li-Hong CUI
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(1):28-34
Objective To explore the correlation between gallbladder stones and small intestinal bacterial overgrowth(SIBO).Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 393 patients who attended the Department of Gastroenterology of the Sixth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital from January 2021 to September 2023.They were divided into gallbladder stones group(n=190)and control group(n=203)based on the presence of gallbladder stones.Their general clinical data,laboratory test results,and abdominal symptoms were compared.Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the risk factors for gallbladder stones.Additionally,the total population was divided into SIBO-positive group(n=239)and SIBO-negative group(n=154),and their clinical characteristics were analyzed by logistic regression to explore the risk factors for SIBO.Results Univariate analysis revealed that gallbladder stones group had a higher rate of age,body mass index(BMI),fasting plasma glucose(FPG),glutaminase levels,prevalence of hypertension,diabetes,coronary heart disease,non-alcoholic fatty liver disease,gallbladder polyps,and SIBO,as well as a higher prevalence of CH4-positive and H2-positive in SIBO group than control group(P<0.05).In terms of abdominal symptoms,the incidence of bad breath(48.4%vs.35.5%),dyspepsia(38.4%vs.28.6%),abdominal pain(30.5%vs.14.8%),bloating(42.1%vs.28.6%),diarrhea(20.5%vs.7.4%),and more exhaustion(46.8%vs.34.5%)were significantly higher in gallbladder stones group than those in control group(P<0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that independent positive determinants for incident gallbladder stones were age,BMI,FPG,total bilirubin(TBIL),coronary heart disease,gallbladder polyps,and SIBO.Univariate analysis revealed that age,prevalence of gallbladder stones,proportion of single stones,triglycerides(TG),total cholesterol(TC),and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol(LDL-C)were significantly higher in SIBO-positive group than those in SIBO-negative group(P<0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the risk factors for SIBO were age,coronary heart disease,and gallbladder stones,while the protective factor for SIBO was high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C).Conclusion There is a significant correlation between gallbladder stones and small SIBO;interventions on related factors of gallbladder stones and small SIBO may help reduce their incidence.
5.Expert Consensus on the Ethical Requirements for Generative AI-Assisted Academic Writing
You-Quan BU ; Yong-Fu CAO ; Zeng-Yi CHANG ; Hong-Yu CHEN ; Xiao-Wei CHEN ; Yuan-Yuan CHEN ; Zhu-Cheng CHEN ; Rui DENG ; Jie DING ; Zhong-Kai FAN ; Guo-Quan GAO ; Xu GAO ; Lan HU ; Xiao-Qing HU ; Hong-Ti JIA ; Ying KONG ; En-Min LI ; Ling LI ; Yu-Hua LI ; Jun-Rong LIU ; Zhi-Qiang LIU ; Ya-Ping LUO ; Xue-Mei LV ; Yan-Xi PEI ; Xiao-Zhong PENG ; Qi-Qun TANG ; You WAN ; Yong WANG ; Ming-Xu WANG ; Xian WANG ; Guang-Kuan XIE ; Jun XIE ; Xiao-Hua YAN ; Mei YIN ; Zhong-Shan YU ; Chun-Yan ZHOU ; Rui-Fang ZHU
Chinese Journal of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology 2025;41(6):826-832
With the rapid development of generative artificial intelligence(GAI)technologies,their widespread application in academic research and writing is continuously expanding the boundaries of sci-entific inquiry.However,this trend has also raised a series of ethical and regulatory challenges,inclu-ding issues related to authorship,content authenticity,citation accuracy,and accountability.In light of the growing involvement of AI in generating academic content,establishing an open,controllable,and trustworthy ethical governance framework has become a key task for safeguarding research integrity and maintaining trust within the academic community.This expert consensus outlines ethical requirements across key stages of AI-assisted academic writing-including topic selection,data management,citation practices,and authorship attribution.It aims to clarify the boundaries and ethical obligations surrounding AI use in academic writing,ensuring that technological tools enhance efficiency without compromising in-tegrity.The goal is to provide guidance and institutional support for building a responsible and sustainable research ecosystem.
6.Study of modified anteromedial approach and preserves the superior extensor retinaculum for clinical effect of Pilon fracture
Youqiang ZHANG ; Ling YAN ; Wei LIAO ; Guang WANG ; Xiaoheng CHEN ; Rui FAN ; Zuwei LIU
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2025;41(3):358-364
Objective To explore the clinical efficacy of modified anteromedia approach with superior extensor retinaculars and traditional anteromedia combined with posterolateral approach in the treatment of Rüedi-Allg?wer type Ⅲ Pilon fractures.Methods In this study selected 56 patients with Rüedi-Allg?wer type Ⅲ Pilon fractures treated in our hospital from January 2020 to January 2022,all of whom met the inclusion and exclusion criteria,27 in the experimental group and 29 in the control group.Both groups underwent open reduction and internal fixation of Pilon fractures.The experimental group used a modified anteromedial approach to preserve the supraspinatus,while the control group used a traditional anteromedial combined with posterolateral approach to cut off the supraspinatus.The general clinical data,operation time,intraoperative blood loss,postoperative drainage volume,fracture reduction quality,early pain VAS score,complications and ankle function evaluation of the experimental group and the control group were compared in detail,and the early clinical efficacy of the two surgical methods was analyzed and compared.Results There were no significant differences in age,gender,body mass index(BMI),complications,injury mechanism and the time from admission to operation between the experimental group and the control group(P>0.05).Experimental group:operation time(115.92±12.23)min,intraoperative blood loss(129.25±16.15)mL,postoperative drainage volume(82.44±25.57)mL,fracture healing time(17.89±2.39)w;Control group:operation time(172.75±15.09)min,intraoperative blood loss(177.24±14.36)mL,postoperative drainage volume(115.06±21.95)mL,fracture healing time(19.93±3.75)w.The operative time and fracture healing time of the experimental group were less than those of the control group(P<0.05),and the intraoperative blood loss and postoperative drainage volume of the experimental group were less than those of the control group,the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05).The Buewell-Charnley fracture reduction radio-logical evaluation criteria were used to evaluate the fracture reduction,and the rate of good reduction was 96.29%in the experimental group and 93.10%in the control group.There was no statistical significance in the anatomical reduction between the two groups(P>0.05).Visual analog scale(VAS)was used to evaluate postoperative pain,and pain VAS scores of the experimental group were lower than those of the control group at 3 days,1 week and 4 weeks after surgery(P<0.05).Both groups were followed up for at least 12 months after surgery,and the incidence of postoperative complications in the experimental group was lower than that in the control group(P<0.05).The AOFAS score of the experimental group was higher than that of the control group at 3 months,6 months and 12 months after surgery(P<0.05).Conclusion Improvement on the medial approach retains the superior extensor retinaculum,relative to the combined surgical approach to cut off the superior extensor retinacu-lum treatment Rüedi-Allg?wer Ⅲ Pilon fractures,with shorter operation time,less intraoperative blood loss,less postoperative complications and other advantages.The functional recovery of the ankle joint in the modified antero-medial approach preserving the superior extensor retinaculum was better than that in the combined approach cutting the superior extensor retinaculum.
7.Efficacy and safety of a facilitated percutaneous coronary intervention with half-dose recombinant staphylokinase in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction
Tian-yu WU ; Wen-hao ZHANG ; Peng-sheng CHEN ; Chen LI ; Tian WU ; Zhan LÜ ; Tong WANG ; Kun LIU ; Zhi-wen TAO ; Xiao-xuan GONG ; Liang YUAN ; Yong LI ; Bo CHEN ; Xin CHEN ; Zeng-guang CHEN ; Nai-quan YANG ; Yuan-yuan SANG ; Xiao-yan WANG ; Bai-hong LI ; Li ZHU ; Guo-yu WANG ; Xin ZHAO ; Chuan LU ; Jun JIANG ; Rui-na HAO ; Chun-jian LI
Chinese Journal of Interventional Cardiology 2025;33(8):431-438
Objective To investigate the clinical efficacy and safety of facilitated percutaneous coronary intervention(PCI)with half-dose recombinant staphylokinase(r-SAK)in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction(STEMI)who are expected to undergo PCI within 120 minutes.Methods From October 2021 to August 2022,a total of 200 STEMI patients in eight centers were included and randomly assigned in a 1﹕1 ratio to either r-SAK group or control group.Patients received loading doses of aspirin and ticagrelor and intravenous heparin and were randomized to receive an intravenous bolus of either 5 mg r-SAK or normal saline prior to PCI.The outcomes were set as ST-segment resolution(STR)at 60-90 minutes after PCI,the proportion and transition of pathological Q waves on the 5th day after PCI,and the proportion of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T(hs-cTnT)peaking within 12 hours of onset.The safety outcome was major bleeding events defined as Bleeding Academic Research Consortium(BARC)≥type 3 bleeding during hospitalization.Results Compared with the control group,the r-SAK group had a higher proportion of STR≥70%within 60-90 minutes after PCI(58.3%vs.40.3%,P=0.009);a lower proportion of pathological Q waves(59.1%vs.74.1%,P=0.040);a lower rate of Q wave progression(14.8%vs.43.2%,P<0.001);a higher rate of Q wave disappearance(12.5%vs.3.7%,P=0.027);and a higher proportion of hs-cTnT peaking within 12 hours of symptom onset[31/40(77.5%)vs.17/33(51.5%),P=0.027].Regarding the safety outcome,no significant difference in BARC≥type 3 bleeding was found between the two groups during hospitalization(P>0.05).Conclusions For STEMI patients who were expected to undergo primary PCI within 120 minutes of symptom onset,the facilitated PCI with half-dose r-SAK significantly increased the proportion of STR≥70%at 60-90 minutes after PCI,reduced the formation of pathological Q waves,and shortened the time to peak hs-cTnT,without increasing the risk of bleeding,which should be an alternative reperfusion strategy worthy of further study.
8.Expert consensus on evaluation index system construction for new traditional Chinese medicine(TCM) from TCM clinical practice in medical institutions.
Li LIU ; Lei ZHANG ; Wei-An YUAN ; Zhong-Qi YANG ; Jun-Hua ZHANG ; Bao-He WANG ; Si-Yuan HU ; Zu-Guang YE ; Ling HAN ; Yue-Hua ZHOU ; Zi-Feng YANG ; Rui GAO ; Ming YANG ; Ting WANG ; Jie-Lai XIA ; Shi-Shan YU ; Xiao-Hui FAN ; Hua HUA ; Jia HE ; Yin LU ; Zhong WANG ; Jin-Hui DOU ; Geng LI ; Yu DONG ; Hao YU ; Li-Ping QU ; Jian-Yuan TANG
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(12):3474-3482
Medical institutions, with their clinical practice foundation and abundant human use experience data, have become important carriers for the inheritance and innovation of traditional Chinese medicine(TCM) and the "cradles" of the preparation of new TCM. To effectively promote the transformation of new TCM originating from the TCM clinical practice in medical institutions and establish an effective evaluation index system for the transformation of new TCM conforming to the characteristics of TCM, consensus experts adopted the literature research, questionnaire survey, Delphi method, etc. By focusing on the policy and technical evaluation of new TCM originating from the TCM clinical practice in medical institutions, a comprehensive evaluation from the dimensions of drug safety, efficacy, feasibility, and characteristic advantages was conducted, thus forming a comprehensive evaluation system with four primary indicators and 37 secondary indicators. The expert consensus reached aims to encourage medical institutions at all levels to continuously improve the high-quality research and development and transformation of new TCM originating from the TCM clinical practice in medical institutions and targeted at clinical needs, so as to provide a decision-making basis for the preparation, selection, cultivation, and transformation of new TCM for medical institutions, improve the development efficiency of new TCM, and precisely respond to the public medication needs.
Medicine, Chinese Traditional/standards*
;
Humans
;
Consensus
;
Drugs, Chinese Herbal/therapeutic use*
;
Surveys and Questionnaires
9.Early prediction and warning of MODS following major trauma via identification of cytokine storm: A prospective cohort study.
Panpan CHANG ; Rui LI ; Jiahe WEN ; Guanjun LIU ; Feifei JIN ; Yongpei YU ; Yongzheng LI ; Guang ZHANG ; Tianbing WANG
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2025;28(6):391-398
PURPOSE:
Early mortality in major trauma has decreased, but MODS remains a leading cause of poor outcomes, driven by trauma-induced cytokine storms that exacerbate injuries and organ damage.
METHODS:
This prospective cohort study included 79 major trauma patients (ISS >15) treated in the National Center for Trauma Medicine, Peking University People's Hospital, from September 1, 2021, to July 31, 2023. Patients (1) with ISS >15 (according to AIS 2015), (2) aged 15-80 years, (3) admitted within 6 h of injury, (4) having no prior treatment before admission, were included. Exclusion criteria were (1) GCS score <9 or AIS score ≥3 for TBI, (2) confirmed infection, infectious disease, or high infection risk, (3) pregnancy, (4) severe primary diseases affecting survival, (5) recent use of immunosuppressive or cytotoxic drugs within the past 6 months, (6) psychiatric patients, (7) participation in other clinical trials within the past 30 days, (8) patients with incomplete data or missing blood samples. Admission serum inflammatory cytokines and pathophysiological data were analyzed to develop machine learning models predicting MODS within 7 days. LR, DR, RF, SVM, NB, and XGBoost were evaluated based on the area under the AUROC. The SHAP method was used to interpret results.
RESULTS:
This study enrolled 79 patients with major trauma, and the median (Q1, Q3) age was 51 (35, 59) years (52 males, 65.8%). The inflammatory cytokine data were collected for all participants. Among these patients, 35 (44.3%) developed MODS, and 44 (55.7%) did not. Additionally, 2 patients (2.5%) from the MODS group succumbed. The logistic regression model showed strong performance in predicting MODS. Ten key cytokines, IL-18, Eotaxin, MCP-4, IP-10, CXCL12, MIP-3α, MCP-1, IL-1RA, Cystatin C, and MRP8/14 were identified as critical to the trauma-induced cytokine storm and MODS development. Early elevation of these cytokines achieved high predictive accuracy, with an AUROC of 0.887 (95% CI 0.813-0.976).
CONCLUSION
Trauma-induced cytokine storms are strongly associated with MODS. Early identification of inflammatory cytokine changes enables better prediction and timely interventions to improve outcomes.
Humans
;
Prospective Studies
;
Middle Aged
;
Male
;
Female
;
Adult
;
Aged
;
Cytokine Release Syndrome/etiology*
;
Adolescent
;
Young Adult
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Wounds and Injuries/complications*
;
Cytokines/blood*
;
Multiple Organ Failure/diagnosis*
;
Machine Learning
10.Establishment of a nomogram for early risk prediction of severe trauma in primary medical institutions: A multi-center study.
Wang BO ; Ming-Rui ZHANG ; Gui-Yan MA ; Zhan-Fu YANG ; Rui-Ning LU ; Xu-Sheng ZHANG ; Shao-Guang LIU
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2025;28(6):418-426
PURPOSE:
To analyze risk factors for severe trauma and establish a nomogram for early risk prediction, to improve the early identification of severe trauma.
METHODS:
This study was conducted on the patients treated in 81 trauma treatment institutions in Gansu province from 2020 to 2022. Patients were grouped by year, with 5364 patients from 2020 to 2021 as the training set and 1094 newly admitted patients in 2020 as the external validation set. Based on the injury severity score (ISS), patients in the training set were classified into 2 subgroups of the severe trauma group (n = 478, ISS scores ≥25) and the non-severe trauma group (n = 4886, ISS scores <25). Univariate and binary logistic regression analyses were employed to identify independent risk factors for severe trauma. Subsequently, a predictive model was developed using the R software environment. Furthermore, the model was subjected to internal and external validation via the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.
RESULTS:
In total, 6458 trauma patients were included in this study. Initially, this study identified several independent risk factors for severe trauma, including multiple traumatic injuries (polytrauma), external hemorrhage, elevated shock index, elevated respiratory rate, decreased peripheral oxygen saturation, and decreased Glasgow coma scale score (all p < 0.05). For internal validation, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.914, with the sensitivity and specificity of 88.4% and 87.6%, respectively; while for external validation, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.936, with the sensitivity and specificity of 84.6% and 93.7%, respectively. In addition, a good model fitting was observed through the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and calibration curve analysis (p > 0.05).
CONCLUSION
This study establishes a nomogram for early risk prediction of severe trauma, which is suitable for primary healthcare institutions in underdeveloped western China. It facilitates early triage and quantitative assessment of trauma severity by clinicians prior to clinical interventions.
Humans
;
Nomograms
;
Male
;
Female
;
Wounds and Injuries/diagnosis*
;
Risk Factors
;
Middle Aged
;
Adult
;
Injury Severity Score
;
Risk Assessment
;
ROC Curve
;
Aged
;
Logistic Models
;
China
;
Glasgow Coma Scale

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail