1.Construction and validation of machine learning-based dynamic early warning model for mortality risk in trauma-induced hypothermia patients
Yi-jing FU ; Jing YUAN ; Guan-jun LIU ; Qing-yan XIE ; Jia-meng XU ; Wei CHEN ; Guang ZHANG
Chinese Medical Equipment Journal 2025;46(3):9-14
Objective To propose a dynamic early warning model based on machine learning methods and validate its predi-ctive efficacy so as to achieve precise assessment and early warning of mortality risk in patients with traumatic hypothermia.Methods Firstly,a total of 480 patients who met inclusion criteria were retrospectively selected from the eICU database and randomly divided into training and test sets at an 8∶2 ratio.Secondly,physiological parameters were extracted from these patients,and five machine learning algorithms including XGBoost,AdaBoost,LightGBM,logistic regression(LR)and random forest(RF)were employed respectively to develop dynamic mortality risk warning models for traumatic hypothermia patients,utilizing a 1-hour observation window.Thirdly,receiver operating characteristic curves(ROC)were plotted using the test set data and the effects of different warning windows on the model performance were analyzed by calculating the AUC.Finally,the interpretability of the models was analyzed using the SHapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)algorithm to elucidate the contribution of each feature to predictive performance.Results The optimal warning window for the dynamic warning model constructed using the eICU database was 12 hours,and in case of 12-hour warning window the logistic regression model achieved the highest AUC of 0.935 and showed optimal predictive performance.The results of the interpretability analysis by the SHAP algorithm showed that body temperature was the feature that had the greatest impact on the model results,and its reduction was positively correlated with the increased risk of death.Conclusion The machine learning-based dynamic warning model for mortality risk in traumatic hypothermia patients enables real-time dynamic risk assessment,providing robust support for clinicians to identify the patient's condition changes at an early stage and references for the adjustment of clinical treatment programs.[Chinese Medical Equipment Journal,2025,46(3):9-14]
2.Exploration of multimodal diabetes management teaching in the standardized training for resident physicians
Shuting ZHANG ; Shuiqing LAI ; Qibo ZHU ; Xiaoying FU ; Hongmei CHEN ; Haixia GUAN
Basic & Clinical Medicine 2025;45(5):691-696
Objective To explore the effectiveness of multimodal comprehensive diabetes management teaching in the standardized training of endocrinology residents.Methods Fifty-nine resident physicians rotating through the endocrinology department from March to October 2024 were selected.They underwent a multimodal comprehensive diabetes management teaching model that integrated standardized theoretical instruction,case dis-cussions,teaching ward rounds,practical operations,and interdisciplinary pharmaceutical education.The effec-tiveness of this teaching model was evaluated through multiple dimensions using a comprehensive diabetes man-agement evaluation form,Mini-Clinical Evaluation Exercise(Mini-CEX)scale,and satisfaction surveys.Results After two months of multimodal standardized training,the results showed:1)The resident physicians demonstra-ted significant improvements in all aspects of comprehensive diabetes management(P<0.05).2)The Mini-CEX scores of the resident physicians generally reached excellent levels(P<0.05).3)Both the resident physicians and teaching faculty showed significantly higher satisfaction with the comprehensive diabetes management program after the training(P<0.05).Conclusions Multimodal comprehensive diabetes management teaching is effective in enhancing the standardized diagnosis and treatment abilities of resident physicians in the endocrinology depart-ment regarding diabetes.
3.Cost-effectiveness of angiographic quantitative flow ratio-guided coronary intervention: A multicenter, randomized, sham-controlled trial.
Yanyan ZHAO ; Changdong GUAN ; Yang WANG ; Zening JIN ; Bo YU ; Guosheng FU ; Yundai CHEN ; Lijun GUO ; Xinkai QU ; Yaojun ZHANG ; Kefei DOU ; Yongjian WU ; Weixian YANG ; Shengxian TU ; Javier ESCANED ; William F FEARON ; Shubin QIAO ; David J COHEN ; Harlan M KRUMHOLZ ; Bo XU ; Lei SONG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(10):1186-1193
BACKGROUND:
The FAVOR (Comparison of Quantitative Flow Ratio Guided and Angiography Guided Percutaneous Intervention in Patients with Coronary Artery Disease) III China trial demonstrated that percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) lesion selection using quantitative flow ratio (QFR) measurement, a novel angiography-based approach for estimating fractional flow reserve, improved two-year clinical outcomes compared with standard angiography guidance. This study aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of QFR-guided PCI from the perspective of the current Chinese healthcare system.
METHODS:
This study is a pre-specified analysis of the FAVOR III China trial, which included 3825 patients randomized between December 25, 2018, and January 19, 2020, from 26 centers in China. Patients with stable or unstable angina pectoris or those ≥72 hours post-myocardial infarction who had at least one lesion with a diameter stenosis between 50% and 90% in a coronary artery with a ≥2.5 mm reference vessel diameter by visual assessment were randomized to a QFR-guided strategy or an angiography-guided strategy with 1:1 ratio. During the two-year follow-up, data were collected on clinical outcomes, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), estimated costs of index procedure hospitalization, outpatient cardiovascular medication use, and rehospitalization due to major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE). The primary analysis calculated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) as the cost per MACCE avoided. An ICER of ¥10,000/MACCE event avoided was considered economically attractive in China.
RESULTS:
At two years, the QFR-guided group demonstrated a reduced rate of MACCE compared to the angiography-guided group (10.8% vs . 14.7%, P <0.01). Total two-year costs were similar between the groups (¥50,803 ± 21,121 vs . ¥50,685 ± 23,495, P = 0.87). The ICER for the QFR-guided strategy was ¥3055 per MACCE avoided, and the probability of QFR being economically attractive was 64% at a willingness-to-pay threshold of ¥10,000/MACCE avoided. Sensitivity analysis showed that QFR-guided PCI would become cost-saving if the cost of QFR were below ¥3682 (current cost: ¥3800). Cost-utility analysis yielded an ICER of ¥56,163 per QALY gained, with a 53% probability of being cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of ¥85,000 per QALY gained.
CONCLUSION:
In patients undergoing PCI, a QFR-guided strategy appears economically attractive compared to angiographic guidance from the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system.
TRIAL REGISTRATION
ClinicalTrials.gov , NCT03656848.
Humans
;
Cost-Benefit Analysis
;
Percutaneous Coronary Intervention/methods*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Coronary Angiography/methods*
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Coronary Artery Disease/surgery*
;
Quality-Adjusted Life Years
;
Fractional Flow Reserve, Myocardial/physiology*
4.Comparison of the efficacy of unilateral nailing combined with bone cement reinforcement and bilateral nailing in the treatment of osteoporotic thoracolumbar fractures.
Yu-Liang LOU ; Guo-Ying CHEN ; Can-Feng WANG ; Hui FEI ; Guan-Rong SUN ; Ren-Fu QUAN ; Wei LI ; Feng HONG
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2025;38(2):134-149
OBJECTIVE:
To compare the efficacy of percutaneous pedicle screw combined with unilateral nail placement combined with bone cement strengthening and bilateral nail placement in the treatment of osteoporotic thoracic and lumbar fractures.
METHODS:
A retrospective case-control study was used to analyze the clinical data of 78 patients with osteoporotic thoracic and lumbar fractures admitted from October 2017 to May 2019. According to the surgical method, it was divided into percutaneous pedicle screw combined with unilateral nail placement combined with unilateral bone cement strengthening group(bone cement group) and percutaneous pedicle screw combined with bilateral nail placement(screw group). In the bone cement group, 40 patients included 16 males and 24 females, with a mean age of (62.1±8.1) years old. In the screw group, 38 patients included 18 males and 20 females with a mean age of (65.1±9.3) years old. The operation time, intraoperative blood loss, length of hospital stay and postoperative complications were compared between two groups. The kyphosis Cobb angle, anterior edge height ratio, central height ratio and pain visual analogue score(VAS) were compared.
RESULTS:
All patients were followed up for 25 to 36 months. The operation time (70.1±17.3) min of the cement group was shorter than that of the screw group (78.6±18.2) min(P<0.05). There were no significant differences in intraoperative blood loss and length of hospital stay(P>0.05). The VAS in the cement group 1 year 1.5±0.5 and the latest follow-up 0.5±0.3 after operation were lower than 1 year 1.8±0.3 and the latest follow-up 0.8±0.4 in the screw group(P<0.05). The kyphosis Cobb angle, anterior edge height ratio, central height ratio in bone cement group, 1 year (6.2±1.2)°, (86.6±3.5)%, (91.1±2.5)%, the last follow-up (6.4±0.7)°, (85.5±3.3)%, (90.5±6.3)% were better than that of the screw group 1 year (6.8±1.4)°, (83.1±2.4)%, (89.9±3.4)% and the latest follow-up (7.1±1.1)°, (82.6±4.1)%, (87.6±5.9)%(P<0.05). There were 3 cases of bone cement leakage in the cement group, all of which had no clinical symptoms;and 2 cases of pedicle screws were extracted in the screw group, and the screws were removed at the last follow-up.
CONCLUSION
Percutaneous pedicle screw combined with unilateral nail placement combined with bone cement strengthening and bilateral nail placement in the treatment of osteoporotic thoracic and lumbar compression fractures in the elderly can achieve satisfactory efficacy and effectively relieve the pain of patients, but the former internal fixation system is more stable, and the long-term follow-up can effectively maintain the height of the anterior middle column and the correction of kyphosis deformity, and the incidence of chronic low back pain is lower.
Humans
;
Male
;
Female
;
Aged
;
Bone Cements
;
Middle Aged
;
Thoracic Vertebrae/surgery*
;
Lumbar Vertebrae/surgery*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Spinal Fractures/surgery*
;
Osteoporotic Fractures/surgery*
;
Case-Control Studies
;
Bone Nails
;
Pedicle Screws
5.Predictive Value of Residual Quantitative Flow Ratio for Long-term Vessel-oriented Composite Endpoints
Rui ZHANG ; Yanpu SHI ; Changdong GUAN ; Yanyan ZHAO ; Shengxian TU ; Bo YU ; Guosheng FU ; Yujie ZHOU ; Jian'an WANG ; Yundai CHEN ; Jun PU ; Kefei DOU ; Weixian YANG ; Yongjian WU ; Shubin QIAO ; Lei SONG
Chinese Circulation Journal 2025;40(9):862-869
Objectives:To explore the predictive value of residual Murray's law-based quantitative flow ratio(μQFR)on long-term vessel-oriented composite endpoints(VoCE).Methods:This retrospective study included 3 510 patients from the FAVOR Ⅲ China trial.Offline residual μQFR analysis was performed on all vessels(diameter≥2.5 mm)with 50%-90%stenotic lesions.Patients were stratified into high-,intermediate-,and low-risk groups based on residual μQFR tertiles.The primary endpoint was 3-year VoCE,defined as a composite of cardiac death related to the target vessel,target vessel-related spontaneous myocardial infarction,and ischemia-driven target vessel revascularization.Results:Offline analysis was performed on 5 256 vessels from 3 510 patients.The mean residual μQFR was 0.92±0.75.The high-risk group(residual μQFR≤0.91)with 1 554 patients(1 958 vessels);the intermediate-risk group(residual μQFR 0.92-0.96)with 1 211 patients(1 906 vessels);and the low-risk group(residual μQFR>0.96)with 745 patients(1 392 vessels).Over 3-year follow-up,VoCE occurred in 227 vessels(4.3%).The 3-year VoCE incidence was significantly higher in the high-risk group compared to the intermediate-and low-risk groups(6.2%vs.4.1%vs.2.5%,log-rank P<0.001),primarily driven by ischemia-driven target vessel revascularization(5.0%vs.3.0%vs.1.6%,log-rank P<0.001).Hypertension(OR=0.83,95%CI:0.72-0.96),hypercholesterolemia(OR=0.84,95%CI:0.73-0.97),bifurcation lesions(OR=0.72,95%CI:0.63-0.83),moderate/severe calcification(OR=0.70,95%CI:0.57-0.84),and tandem lesions(OR=0.59,95%CI:0.47-0.75)were independent predictors of lower residual μQFR values.Conclusions:Lower residual μQFR is significantly associated with increased VoCE risk during the 3-year follow up period.
6.Predictive Value of Residual Quantitative Flow Ratio for Long-term Vessel-oriented Composite Endpoints
Rui ZHANG ; Yanpu SHI ; Changdong GUAN ; Yanyan ZHAO ; Shengxian TU ; Bo YU ; Guosheng FU ; Yujie ZHOU ; Jian'an WANG ; Yundai CHEN ; Jun PU ; Kefei DOU ; Weixian YANG ; Yongjian WU ; Shubin QIAO ; Lei SONG
Chinese Circulation Journal 2025;40(9):862-869
Objectives:To explore the predictive value of residual Murray's law-based quantitative flow ratio(μQFR)on long-term vessel-oriented composite endpoints(VoCE).Methods:This retrospective study included 3 510 patients from the FAVOR Ⅲ China trial.Offline residual μQFR analysis was performed on all vessels(diameter≥2.5 mm)with 50%-90%stenotic lesions.Patients were stratified into high-,intermediate-,and low-risk groups based on residual μQFR tertiles.The primary endpoint was 3-year VoCE,defined as a composite of cardiac death related to the target vessel,target vessel-related spontaneous myocardial infarction,and ischemia-driven target vessel revascularization.Results:Offline analysis was performed on 5 256 vessels from 3 510 patients.The mean residual μQFR was 0.92±0.75.The high-risk group(residual μQFR≤0.91)with 1 554 patients(1 958 vessels);the intermediate-risk group(residual μQFR 0.92-0.96)with 1 211 patients(1 906 vessels);and the low-risk group(residual μQFR>0.96)with 745 patients(1 392 vessels).Over 3-year follow-up,VoCE occurred in 227 vessels(4.3%).The 3-year VoCE incidence was significantly higher in the high-risk group compared to the intermediate-and low-risk groups(6.2%vs.4.1%vs.2.5%,log-rank P<0.001),primarily driven by ischemia-driven target vessel revascularization(5.0%vs.3.0%vs.1.6%,log-rank P<0.001).Hypertension(OR=0.83,95%CI:0.72-0.96),hypercholesterolemia(OR=0.84,95%CI:0.73-0.97),bifurcation lesions(OR=0.72,95%CI:0.63-0.83),moderate/severe calcification(OR=0.70,95%CI:0.57-0.84),and tandem lesions(OR=0.59,95%CI:0.47-0.75)were independent predictors of lower residual μQFR values.Conclusions:Lower residual μQFR is significantly associated with increased VoCE risk during the 3-year follow up period.
7.Construction and validation of machine learning-based dynamic early warning model for mortality risk in trauma-induced hypothermia patients
Yi-jing FU ; Jing YUAN ; Guan-jun LIU ; Qing-yan XIE ; Jia-meng XU ; Wei CHEN ; Guang ZHANG
Chinese Medical Equipment Journal 2025;46(3):9-14
Objective To propose a dynamic early warning model based on machine learning methods and validate its predi-ctive efficacy so as to achieve precise assessment and early warning of mortality risk in patients with traumatic hypothermia.Methods Firstly,a total of 480 patients who met inclusion criteria were retrospectively selected from the eICU database and randomly divided into training and test sets at an 8∶2 ratio.Secondly,physiological parameters were extracted from these patients,and five machine learning algorithms including XGBoost,AdaBoost,LightGBM,logistic regression(LR)and random forest(RF)were employed respectively to develop dynamic mortality risk warning models for traumatic hypothermia patients,utilizing a 1-hour observation window.Thirdly,receiver operating characteristic curves(ROC)were plotted using the test set data and the effects of different warning windows on the model performance were analyzed by calculating the AUC.Finally,the interpretability of the models was analyzed using the SHapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)algorithm to elucidate the contribution of each feature to predictive performance.Results The optimal warning window for the dynamic warning model constructed using the eICU database was 12 hours,and in case of 12-hour warning window the logistic regression model achieved the highest AUC of 0.935 and showed optimal predictive performance.The results of the interpretability analysis by the SHAP algorithm showed that body temperature was the feature that had the greatest impact on the model results,and its reduction was positively correlated with the increased risk of death.Conclusion The machine learning-based dynamic warning model for mortality risk in traumatic hypothermia patients enables real-time dynamic risk assessment,providing robust support for clinicians to identify the patient's condition changes at an early stage and references for the adjustment of clinical treatment programs.[Chinese Medical Equipment Journal,2025,46(3):9-14]
8.Long term outcomes of non-ischemic coronary lesion evaluated by functional physiology and analysis of predictors
Zhongwei SUN ; Changdong GUAN ; Lihua XIE ; Yanyan ZHAO ; Yang WANG ; Zening JIN ; Kefei DOU ; Bo YU ; Yongjian WU ; Guosheng FU ; Weixian YANG ; Yundai CHEN ; Shengxian TU ; Shubin QIAO ; Lei SONG
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2025;53(5):489-496
Objective:To evaluate the long-term outcomes and predictors of coronary atherosclerotic lesions deemed functionally non-ischemic (quantitative flow ratio(QFR)>0.80) and deferred from intervention.Methods:This study is a post-hoc analysis of the FAVOR Ⅲ China trial, which enrolled 3 825 patients with stable or unstable angina pectoris or with myocardial infarction occurring at least 72 hours prior to screening, between December 5, 2018 and January 9, 2020 from 26 research centers in China. Coronary vessels with QFR>0.80 and without interventional treatment were analyzed in this study. The primary endpoint was 3-year target vessel revascularization. Vessels with revascularization (revascularized group) during follow-up were matched 1∶1 using propensity score matching to comparable vessels without revascularization (non-revascularized group). Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to identify the risk factors for target vessel revascularization (TVR).Results:A total of 6 212 functionally negative vessels with deferred intervention were included in the final analysis, among which 153 vessels (2.5%) underwent TVR during a 3-year follow-up. Prior to propensity score matching, 6 059 vessels comprised the non-revascularized group. At the vessel level, compared to the non-revascularized group, the revascularized group exhibited a significantly higher proportion of males (79.1% (121/153) vs. 70.2% (4 253/6 059), P=0.018), higher body mass index ((25.6±4.0) kg/m2 vs. (24.3±5.2) kg/m2, P=0.003), and a higher prevalence of hypertension (73.9% (113/153) vs. 65.1% (3 944/6 059), P=0.025). And 152 pairs of vessels were successfully matched. Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified in-stent restenosis lesions ( HR=2.59, 95% CI 1.28-5.23, P=0.008) as an independent risk factor for target vessel revascularization. Conclusions:Coronary lesions classified as functionally non-ischemic at baseline are not entirely stable and may progress to lesions that requiring revascularization over time. In-stent restenosis emerges as a critical independent predictor of revascularization.
9.Long term outcomes of non-ischemic coronary lesion evaluated by functional physiology and analysis of predictors
Zhongwei SUN ; Changdong GUAN ; Lihua XIE ; Yanyan ZHAO ; Yang WANG ; Zening JIN ; Kefei DOU ; Bo YU ; Yongjian WU ; Guosheng FU ; Weixian YANG ; Yundai CHEN ; Shengxian TU ; Shubin QIAO ; Lei SONG
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2025;53(5):489-496
Objective:To evaluate the long-term outcomes and predictors of coronary atherosclerotic lesions deemed functionally non-ischemic (quantitative flow ratio(QFR)>0.80) and deferred from intervention.Methods:This study is a post-hoc analysis of the FAVOR Ⅲ China trial, which enrolled 3 825 patients with stable or unstable angina pectoris or with myocardial infarction occurring at least 72 hours prior to screening, between December 5, 2018 and January 9, 2020 from 26 research centers in China. Coronary vessels with QFR>0.80 and without interventional treatment were analyzed in this study. The primary endpoint was 3-year target vessel revascularization. Vessels with revascularization (revascularized group) during follow-up were matched 1∶1 using propensity score matching to comparable vessels without revascularization (non-revascularized group). Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to identify the risk factors for target vessel revascularization (TVR).Results:A total of 6 212 functionally negative vessels with deferred intervention were included in the final analysis, among which 153 vessels (2.5%) underwent TVR during a 3-year follow-up. Prior to propensity score matching, 6 059 vessels comprised the non-revascularized group. At the vessel level, compared to the non-revascularized group, the revascularized group exhibited a significantly higher proportion of males (79.1% (121/153) vs. 70.2% (4 253/6 059), P=0.018), higher body mass index ((25.6±4.0) kg/m2 vs. (24.3±5.2) kg/m2, P=0.003), and a higher prevalence of hypertension (73.9% (113/153) vs. 65.1% (3 944/6 059), P=0.025). And 152 pairs of vessels were successfully matched. Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified in-stent restenosis lesions ( HR=2.59, 95% CI 1.28-5.23, P=0.008) as an independent risk factor for target vessel revascularization. Conclusions:Coronary lesions classified as functionally non-ischemic at baseline are not entirely stable and may progress to lesions that requiring revascularization over time. In-stent restenosis emerges as a critical independent predictor of revascularization.
10.Genetic Risk Loci and Familial Associations in Migraine:A Genome-Wide Association Study in the Han Chinese Population of Taiwan
Yi LIU ; Po-Kuan YEH ; Yu-Kai LIN ; Chih-Sung LIANG ; Chia-Lin TSAI ; Guan-Yu LIN ; Yu-Chin AN ; Ming-Chen TSAI ; Kuo-Sheng HUNG ; Fu-Chi YANG
Journal of Clinical Neurology 2024;20(4):439-449
Background:
and Purpose Migraine is a condition that is often observed to run in families, but its complex genetic background remains unclear. This study aimed to identify the genetic factors influencing migraines and their potential association with the family medical history.
Methods:
We performed a comprehensive genome-wide association study of a cohort of 1,561 outpatients with migraine and 473 individuals without migraine in Taiwan, including Han Chinese individuals with or without a family history of migraine. By analyzing the detailed headache history of the patients and their relatives we aimed to isolate potential genetic markers associated with migraine while considering factors such as sex, episodic vs. chronic migraine, and the presence of aura.
Results:
We revealed novel genetic risk loci, including rs2287637 in DEAD-Box helicase 1 and long intergenic non-protein coding RNA 1804 and rs12055943 in engulfment and cell motility 1, that were correlated with the family history of migraine. We also found a genetic location downstream of mesoderm posterior BHLH transcription factor 2 associated with episodic migraine, whereas loci within the ubiquitin-specific peptidase 26 exonic region, dual specificity phosphatase 9 and pregnancy-upregulated non-ubiquitous CaM kinase intergenic regions, and poly (ADP-ribose) polymerase 1 and STUM were linked to chronic migraine. We additionally identified genetic regionsassociated with the presence or absence of aura. A locus between LINC02561 and urocortin 3 was predominantly observed in female patients. Moreover, three different single-nucleotide polymorphisms were associated with the family history of migraine in the control group.
Conclusions
This study has identified new genetic locations associated with migraine and its family history in a Han Chinese population, reinforcing the genetic background of migraine. The findings point to potential candidate genes that should be investigated further.

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