1.Construction of a postoperative mortality risk model for patients with acute aortic dissection based on XGBoost-SHAP method
Xin ZHANG ; Min FANG ; Yi CAO ; Ting-Ting LI ; Xian-Kong LIU ; Jia-Yi DANG ; Xue-Sen ZHAO ; Hong-Qin REN ; Jia-Ze GENG ; Kai-Wen WANG ; Tie-Sheng HAN ; Yong-Bo ZHAO ; Dong MA
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(10):1226-1234
Objective To develop a predictive model for postoperative mortality risk in patients with acute aortic dissection(AAD)using the Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost)algorithm combined with Shapley Additive Explanation(SHAP),and to establish a prediction website to serve as a diagnostic and therapeutic support platform for clinicians and patients.Methods A retrospective cohort study design was adopted.Data from 782 AAD patients who underwent surgical treatment at the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University from January 2013 to December 2023 were collected,including basic information and initial serum biomarker test results.Patients were randomly divided into training and test sets at a 7:3 ratio.An external validation set consisting of 313 AAD patients admitted to the Second Hospital of Hebei Medical University from January 2020 to December 2023 was also established for further model validation.Variables were screened using LASSO regression,and an XGBoost machine learning model was constructed and interpreted using SHAP.The predictive performance of the model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis.Using the Shiny package,the XGBoost model was deployed to shinyapps.io to create a prediction website for postoperative mortality risk in AAD patients.One patient was selected by simple random sampling from the test set and the external validation set respectively for the prediction example on the Shiny webpage.Results The XGBoost model demonstrated high predictive performance for postoperative mortality in AAD patients,with area under the ROC curve(AUC)values of 0.928(95%CI 0.901-0.956)in the training set,0.919(95%CI 0.891-0.949)in the test set,and 0.941(95%CI 0.915-0.967)in the external validation set.SHAP values indicated the following order of variable importance in the model(from highest to lowest):"lactate dehydrogenase""blood chlorine""multiple organ injury""carbon dioxide combining power""prothrombin time""α-hydroxybutyric acid""creatine kinase isoenzyme""Stanford classification""combined use of bedside blood purification""gender""acute kidney injury""gastrointestinal bleeding""brain injury"and"shock".A risk prediction website for adverse postoperative outcomes in AAD patients was developed using XGBoost-SHAP method(https://dun-dunxiaolu.shinyapps.io/document/)and validated with examples.One randomly selected patient from each of the test and external validation sets was applied:the predicted mortality risk value for patient 1(who died postoperatively)was 0.9539,and that for patient 2(who survived postoperatively)was 0.0206.Conclusions The XGBoost-SHAP model demonstrates high accuracy in predicting postoperative mortality risk for AAD patients.The online prediction tool established based on this model enhances the identification efficiency of high-risk postoperative mortality patients.
2.Analysis of veracity of the C1 lateral mass screw insertion in the atlantoaxial fixation.
Sheng-Lin WANG ; Chao WANG ; Ming YAN ; Hai-Tao ZHOU ; Geng-Ting DANG
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2008;46(2):115-117
OBJECTIVETo evaluate the veracity of the C1 lateral mass screw insertion in the atlantoaxial fixation using plate and screw method without A-P fluoroscopic guiding.
METHODSIn the atlantoaxial fixation, without A-P fluoroscopic guiding, we probe lateral mass edge and identify the entrance point of C1 lateral mass screw indirectly. 159 patients treated with atlantoaxial fixation using plate and screw method were studied. Postoperative CT was used for analysis, and the position of the lateral mass screws in atlas was identified by coronary and axial CT scan. Three areas were delimited in and around the lateral mass of atlas in the axial CT scan, so as to analyze the location of screws: area A (inside the joint face), area B (outside the joint face but still in lateral mass), and area C (outside the lateral mass).
RESULTSAmong the 318 screws, 308 (96.9%) were located in area A, 5 in area B (1.6%), and 5 in area C (1.6%). All cases got atlantoaxial union at 4 months after operation.
CONCLUSIONProbing lateral mass edge and identifying the lateral mass indirectly is reliable for identifying the path of screw in atlas.
Adolescent ; Adult ; Aged ; Atlanto-Axial Joint ; surgery ; Bone Screws ; Cervical Atlas ; surgery ; Child ; Female ; Follow-Up Studies ; Fracture Fixation, Internal ; methods ; Humans ; Joint Instability ; surgery ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Retrospective Studies ; Spinal Fusion ; methods
3.Treatment of cervical dislocation with locked facets.
Ze-sheng YU ; James J YUE ; Feng WEI ; Zhong-jun LIU ; Zhong-qiang CHEN ; Geng-ting DANG
Chinese Medical Journal 2007;120(3):216-218
BACKGROUNDLower cervical dislocation with locked facets is common in cervical injury. The locked facets include unilateral and bilateral types. Different successful closed reduction rates has been achieved between unilateral and bilateral types by using rapid skull traction, which was commonly used to reduce the cervical dislocation. It is important to investigate a suitable management specific to patients with different types of cervical locked facets.
METHODSA total of 38 patients with cervical dislocation with locked facet due to cervical injury treated by rapid skull traction and operation from 1988 to 2005 were reviewed. Rapid skull traction was used in all the patients. Successful closed reduction rate was 88.0% in patients with bilateral cervical locked facets and that was 15.4% in those with unilateral cervical locked facets. These data were then statistically compared by Chi-square test. Patients who were reduced successfully underwent anterior cervical discectomy and fusion at the injured level, and those who failed in closed reduction received posterior open reduction and fixation.
RESULTSIn this series, there was statistically significant difference (P < 0.05) in the rate of successful closed skull traction reduction between unilateral and bilateral locked facets dislocation. Unilateral cervical locked facets dislocation was not easily reduced by skull traction which was suitable for reduction of bilateral cervical locked facets dislocation. However, unilateral cervical locked facets dislocation can be reduced by posterior open reduction.
CONCLUSIONSUnilateral cervical locked facets dislocation should be treated immediately with posterior open reduction and instrumentation. Bilateral cervical locked facets dislocation can be reduced by rapid skull traction firstly and anterior cervical discectomy and interbody fusion later.
Adult ; Aged ; Cervical Vertebrae ; injuries ; Diskectomy ; Female ; Humans ; Joint Dislocations ; surgery ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Spinal Fusion ; Traction
4.Icariine stimulates proliferation and differentiation of human osteoblasts by increasing production of bone morphogenetic protein 2.
Xiao-xue YIN ; Zhong-qiang CHEN ; Zhong-jun LIU ; Qing-Jun MA ; Geng-ting DANG
Chinese Medical Journal 2007;120(3):204-210
BACKGROUNDIcariine is a flavonoid isolated from a traditional Chinese medicine Epimedium pubescens and is the main active compound of it. Recently, Epimedium pubescens was found to have a therapeutic effect on osteoporosis. But the mechanism is unclear. The aim of the study was to research the effect of Icariine on the proliferation and differentiation of human osteoblasts.
METHODSHuman osteoblasts were obtained by inducing human marrow mesenchymal stem cells (hMSCs) directionally and were cultured in the presence of various concentrations of Icariine. 3-(4, 5-dimethylthiazol-2-yl)-2, 5-diphenyltetrazolium bromide (MTT) test was used to observe the effect of Icariine on cell proliferation. The activity of alkaline phosphatase (ALP) and the amount of calcified nodules were assayed to observe the effect on cell differentiation. The expression of bone morphogenetic protein 2 (BMP-2) mRNA was detected by reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR).
RESULTSIcariine (20 microg/ml) increased significantly the proliferation of human osteoblasts. And, Icariine (10 microg/ml and 20 microg/ml) increased the activity of ALP and the amount of calcified nodules of human osteoblasts significantly (P < 0.05). BMP-2 mRNA synthesis was elevated significantly in response to Icariine (20 microg/ml).
CONCLUSIONSIcariine has a direct stimulatory effect on the proliferation and differentiation of cultured human osteoblast cells in vitro, which may be mediated by increasing production of BMP-2 in osteoblasts.
Alkaline Phosphatase ; analysis ; Bone Morphogenetic Protein 2 ; Bone Morphogenetic Proteins ; biosynthesis ; genetics ; Cell Differentiation ; drug effects ; Cell Proliferation ; drug effects ; Cells, Cultured ; Drugs, Chinese Herbal ; pharmacology ; Flavonoids ; pharmacology ; Humans ; Osteoblasts ; cytology ; drug effects ; RNA, Messenger ; analysis ; Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction ; Transforming Growth Factor beta ; biosynthesis ; genetics
5.Qualitative diagnosis and therapeutic strategy of atlanto-axial tuberculosis.
Xiao-guang LIU ; Chao WANG ; Zhong-jun LIU ; Geng-ting DANG
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2007;45(6):409-411
OBJECTIVETo investigate the qualitative diagnosis method of atlanto-axial tuberculosis and the corresponding therapeutic strategy.
METHODSTwenty-two cases with atlanto-axial tuberculosis proven by histopathologic diagnosis were observed. Three cases and 17 cases underwent trans-oral biopsy and CT-guide percutaneous biopsy respectively, 2 cases were conformed by frozen section in operation. Thirteen of the 22 cases underwent surgical therapy: 1 case with anterior trans-oral radical eradication and fusion under Halo-vest immobilization, 7 cases with anterior cervical radical eradication, 1 case with anterior interbody fusion and titanic plate fixation, 2 cases were with posterior atlantoaxial interlaminar fusion and 2 cases with posterior cervical occipito-axial titanic plate internal fixation and fusion. Other 9 cases accepted nonsurgical therapy: 8 cases with Halo-vest immobilization and 1 case with head halter traction. All cases were given appropriate antituberculotic chemotherapy for 12-18 months.
RESULTSAll of the 22 cases were followed up, and the average time was 37 month. The lesion focus showed reparation and fusion in X-ray, and the results were satisfactory.
CONCLUSIONSBiopsy can acquire the qualitative diagnosis on atlanto-axial tuberculosis. The choice of therapy is made on the situation of cold abscess, pathological fracture, atlanto-axial dislocation and spinal cord compression.
Adolescent ; Adult ; Antitubercular Agents ; therapeutic use ; Atlanto-Axial Joint ; pathology ; Biopsy, Needle ; methods ; Child ; Child, Preschool ; Female ; Follow-Up Studies ; Fracture Fixation, Internal ; Humans ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Spinal Fusion ; Tuberculosis, Spinal ; diagnosis ; pathology ; therapy
6.Lumbar interbody fusion using autologous bone marrow mesenchymal stem cell-calcium phosphate ceramic composite in rhesus monkey.
Tao WANG ; Geng-ting DANG ; Zhao-qing GUO ; Min YANG ; Yu-min LI
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2006;44(12):843-847
OBJECTIVETo determine the osteogenic capacity of autologous bone marrow mesenchymal stem cells (BMSCs)-calcium phosphate ceramic composites in vitro and implanted as a bone graft substitute for lumbar anterior interbody fusion in rhesus monkeys.
METHODSFrom March 2003 to April 2005, 9 adult rhesus monkeys underwent lumbar L(3 - 4) and L(5 - 6) discectomy and interbody fusion via an anterior retroperitoneal approach. Two fusion sites in each animal were randomly assigned to two of three treatments: autogenous tricortical iliac crest bone graft (autograft group, n = 6) or cell-free ceramic graft (ceramic group, n = 6) or BMSCs-ceramic composite graft (BMSCs group, n = 6). Autologous BMSCs were culture-expanded and stimulated with osteogenic supplement. The cell-ceramic composites were constructed in a rotary dynamic cell culture system. The spinal fusion segments were evaluated by radiography, biomechanical testing, histologic analysis and histomorphometric analysis at 3 months post-surgery.
RESULTSBiomechanical testing showed that spinal segments from the autograft group and the BMSCs-ceramic group were statistically and significantly stiffer than the cell-free ceramic group. The BMSCs-ceramic group and the autograft group showed equivalent biomechanical stiffness by statistical analysis. Histologically, both the autograft group and the BMSCs-ceramic group achieved osseous union, but the cell-free ceramic group had a fibrous union. Quantitative histologic analysis showed that the amount of bone formation was significantly greater in the autograft group and the BMSCs-ceramic group compared with the cell-free ceramic group. However, the amount of ceramic residue was significantly greater in the cell-free ceramic group versus the BMSCs-ceramic group.
CONCLUSIONSThe results indicate that BMSC-ceramic composites can enhance bone regeneration and achieve osseous spinal fusion 3 months after the implantation in rhesus monkey interbody fusion model. Cell-free ceramics has an unsatisfactory efficacy in spinal fusion due to its tense fibrous fusion.
Animals ; Bone Regeneration ; drug effects ; Bone Substitutes ; pharmacology ; Calcium Phosphates ; Ceramics ; Female ; Macaca mulatta ; Male ; Mesenchymal Stromal Cells ; cytology ; Spinal Fusion ; methods ; Tissue Engineering
7.The effect of early diagnosis of recurrence and revision after resection of primary spine tumors.
Feng WEI ; Zhong-jun LIU ; Qing-jun MA ; Xiao-guang LIU ; Liang JIANG ; Geng-ting DANG
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2006;44(12):801-804
OBJECTIVETo explore the effect of early diagnosis of recurrence and early revision after resection of primary spine tumors.
METHODSFrom March 1989 to September 2005, the relate clinic data of 55 patients with giant cell tumors, osteoblastomas, chondrosarcomas and chordomas in spine in big piecemeal and current fashion was analysed.
RESULTSIn 55 cases, 43 patients were followed up and had complete materials. The follow-up time ranged from 1.6 to 16.5 years, averagely 5.8 years. Thirty-four patients followed up regularly, and 12 were found recurrent, in which one C(1) giant cell tumor was found extensively large 3 months after initial surgery and was undertaken palliatory curet. The other eleven lesions were small and re-operated with wide margin. As a result, six patients lived without tumors during the 1 approximately 9.5 years follow-up, one patient gave up revision when found recurred again for economic reason, another four patients recurred repeatedly, but they persisted in regular follow-up and took revision surgeries whenever the recurred lesion were found. As a result, 3 of them lived without tumor and the other one died of other disease without sign of recurrence. In contrast, there were another nine patients who came to follow up until they had symptoms and were confirmed recurrent extensively. Two of them were excised radically for the tumors located in the relatively easily exposed segments of spine and lived without tumor now. While the other seven patients only received palliatory curet and all died of tumors.
CONCLUSIONSRegular follow-up, early diagnosis of recurrence and early revision need to be regarded as part of radical excision and are very important of surgical treatment of spinal tumors, which can prolong the patients' survival time.
Adolescent ; Adult ; Aged ; Child ; Early Diagnosis ; Female ; Follow-Up Studies ; Humans ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Neoplasm Recurrence, Local ; diagnosis ; surgery ; Reoperation ; Retrospective Studies ; Spinal Neoplasms ; diagnosis ; pathology ; surgery ; Treatment Outcome
8.Clinical characteristics and treatment of flexion-distraction stage I injuries in subaxial cervical spine.
Zhao-qing GUO ; Zhong-qiang CHEN ; Wei-shi LI ; Qiang QI ; Qing-jun MA ; Zhong-jun LIU ; Geng-ting DANG
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2006;44(4):238-241
OBJECTIVETo study the clinical characteristics and treatment of flexion-distraction stage I injuries in subaxial cervical spine.
METHODSTwelve cases of flexion-distraction stage I injuries with delayed symptoms, admitted in our hospital between January 1995 and December 2004, were studied retrospectively. In acute phase, all of 12 cases had neck pain and limited neck movements, neurological deficits were found in 6 of 12 cases. Eight cases had a correct diagnosis, and 2 cases had a error diagnosis, 2 cases missed. All cases were satisfactory by the primary conservative treatment. After 274 days average asymptomatic intervals, all of 12 cases had recurrence of neck pain, delayed neurological deficits were found in 10. MRI showed that all of 12 cases were unstable injuries.
RESULTSAll of the 12 patients were treated operatively. Decompression, fusion and fixation were performed by anterior approach in 9 cases, and by combined anterior and posterior approach in 3 cases. The average follow-up period was 33.1 months. Neck pain had great recovery in all cases, 10 cases with neurological deficits, 7 returned normal. Radiographic evidences of intervertebral bony fusion and good cervical alignment were observed in all of 12 cases.
CONCLUSIONSFlexion-distraction stage I injuries is often caused by ligament and disc injuries, and often missed with subtle symptoms and radiographic changes. Inadequate primary treatment options are often due to failure to recognize the instability, and maybe result in delayed injuries. MRI is helpful for the early accurate evaluation of spinal stability. Unstable injury require early surgical treatment. The anterior approach operation is recommended to most of these patients with acute and old injuries. Combined anterior and posterior approach operation should be considered in these patients who have old injuries with stiff kyphosis.
Adult ; Bone Transplantation ; Cervical Vertebrae ; injuries ; Diskectomy ; Female ; Humans ; Magnetic Resonance Imaging ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Neck Pain ; etiology ; Retrospective Studies ; Spinal Fusion ; Spinal Injuries ; complications ; diagnosis ; surgery ; Time Factors
9.Surgical correction of post-traumatic kyphosis of thoracolumbar spine.
Zhong-Qiang CHEN ; Wei-Shi LI ; Zhao-Qing GUO ; Qiang QI ; Geng-Ting DANG
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2005;43(4):201-204
OBJECTIVETo determine the effectiveness of surgical correction for post-traumatic kyphosis of thoracolumbar spine.
METHODSFrom 1996 to 2003, 33 consecutive patients with post-traumatic kyphosis of thoracolumbar spine were corrected surgically. The mean age was 40.3 years (range, 13 - 65 years). The mean time between the initial injury and surgical correction was 36.0 months (range, 6 - 220 months). The kyphotic deformity averaged 40.8 degrees (range, 20 degrees - 82 degrees ). All the patients had neurological deficits. Twelve patients had obvious back pain. Seven patients lost sphincter function completely and nineteen patients lost the function partly. Twenty-three patients had ever undergone laminectomy and/or instrumentation. The treatment procedure consisted of anterior release and posterior spinal osteotomy with instrumentation (15 patients), posterior closing wedge osteotomy with instrumentation (12 patients), anterior release and instrumentation (6 patients).
RESULTSKyphosis was corrected from an average of 40.8 degrees to an average of 5.7 degrees, the corrective rate was 86.0% (40.8 degrees - 5.7 degrees /40.8 degrees). There were no severe complications. The average follow-up period was 24.6 months (range, 6 - 84 months). There was no loss of correction at follow-up. Ten of these patients showed an improvement in neural function by one or two levels according to the classification. Sphincter function recovered partly in ten patients. Back pain was relieved significantly in all of twelve patients with back pain preoperatively. Bony fusion was achieved in thirty-two patients. One patient had nonunion and achieved bony fusion after revision.
CONCLUSIONPosterior closing wedge osteotomy was suitable to kyphosis less than 40 degrees. Anterior release and posterior spinal osteotomy was effective, especially to the patients with severe kyphosis deformity or with operation history. Patients with incomplete neurological deficits and/or severe back pain could get benefit from osteotomy of spine, even if their medical history was long.
Adolescent ; Bone Transplantation ; Child ; Female ; Humans ; Kyphosis ; etiology ; surgery ; Lumbar Vertebrae ; injuries ; surgery ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Osteotomy ; methods ; Retrospective Studies ; Spinal Fractures ; complications ; surgery ; Spinal Fusion ; Thoracic Vertebrae ; injuries ; surgery ; Treatment Outcome
10.Effects of Epimedium pubescens icariine on proliferation and differentiation of human osteoblasts.
Xiao-xue YIN ; Zhong-qiang CHEN ; Geng-ting DANG ; Qing-jun MA ; Zhong-jun LIU
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2005;30(4):289-291
OBJECTIVETo study the effects of epimedium pubescens icariine on the proliferation and differentiation of human osteoblasts.
METHODHuman osteoblasts were obtained by inducting human marrow mesenchymal stem cells (hMSCs) directionally. MTT was used to observe the proliferation and activity of ALP was assayed to observe the differentiation of the third passage human osteoblasts cultured in vitro. The expression of BMP-2 mRNA was checked by RT-PCR.
RESULTEpimedium pubescens icariine at the dose of 20 microg x mL(-1) increased greatly the proliferation and differentiation of human osteoblasts and promoted the expression of BMP-2 mRNA.
CONCLUSIONEpimedium pubescens icariine enhances significantly the proliferation and differentiation of human osteoblasts, which may be mediated by increasing the expression of BMP-2 mRNA.
Bone Morphogenetic Protein 2 ; Bone Morphogenetic Proteins ; biosynthesis ; genetics ; Cell Differentiation ; drug effects ; Cell Proliferation ; drug effects ; Epimedium ; chemistry ; Flavonoids ; isolation & purification ; pharmacology ; Humans ; Osteoblasts ; cytology ; Plants, Medicinal ; chemistry ; RNA, Messenger ; biosynthesis ; genetics ; Transforming Growth Factor beta ; biosynthesis ; genetics

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