1.Early warning of influenza epidemic based on CUSUM and EWMA models in Daxing District, Beijing
Hong LEI ; Qiuling LI ; Qi LIU ; Meichen LIU ; Enhuan DU ; Jinfeng TANG ; Zhiping LI ; Yadi GAN ; Lijie ZHANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(1):13-17
Objective To explore the effectiveness of the cumulative sum (CUSUM) and the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) for early warning of influenza epidemic using two datasets of reported influenza cases and influenza-like illness (ILI) cases. Methods Using the reported cases of influenza and ILI in Daxing District, Beijing, from week 23 of 2018 to week 22 of 2024 as data sets, the CUSUM and EWMA models were established, respectively. The positive rate of influenza etiology was used as the “gold standard”, and the Youden index was used as the evaluation index to compare the early warning effect of the two models under different data sets and different parameters. Results In CUSUM, the optimal Youden indices of the reported influenza cases set and the ILI cases set were 0.751 and 0.635, respectively. In EWMA, the optimal Youden indices of the reported influenza cases set and the ILI cases set were 0.544 and 0.464, respectively. The optimal EWMA and CUSUM models could both issue early warning signals in advance of the “gold standard”. Conclusion In the influenza epidemic early warning in Daxing District, Beijing, the CUSUM model established with the reported cases of influenza can achieve good early warning effects, but the model parameters need to be dynamically adjusted according to the local epidemic characteristics.
2.Construction of a tumor-associated myeloid cell infiltration signature model based on LASSO-Cox regression for predicting postoperative overall survival in patients with gastric cancer
Leihao WANG ; Siyuan WANG ; Mengxin TIAN ; Qiangjun GAN ; Zhaoqing TANG ; Xuefei WANG
Chinese Journal of Clinical Medicine 2026;33(3):396-405
Objective To explore the impact of tumor-associated myeloid cell infiltration signatures on postoperative overall survival (OS) in patients with gastric cancer. Methods A retrospective analysis was performed on patients who underwent radical gastrectomy at Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University from January 2005 to December 2019. Patients were randomly divided into a training set (n=167) and an internal validation set (n=168) at a 1:1 ratio. Meanwhile, 147 patients with gastric cancer treated at Zhongshan Hospital (Xiamen), Fudan University during the same period were enrolled as the external validation set (n=147). Immunohistochemistry was used in all patients to evaluate the distribution characteristics of 18 immune markers in three regions of gastric cancer tissues, namely primary tumor (PT), invasive margin (IM), and normal tissue (NT). These markers include 11 myeloid cell markers (CD11b, CD33, CD11c, CD14, CD15, CD16, CD68, CD86, CD163, CD206, and CD66b) and 7 immune checkpoints (CD73, IDO, LAG3, PD-1, SIGLEC9, SIRPA, and TIM3). LASSO regression and Cox proportional hazards model were applied to screen immune markers associated with postoperative OS in gastric cancer patients, and a predictive model for 1-, 3-, and 5-year postoperative OS was established. Data from the internal and external validation set were used for internal and external verification of the predictive model. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated to assess the discriminative ability of the model. Results In the training set, LASSO regression and Cox proportional hazards model identified 4 immune marker signatures (CD14_PT, CD15_PT, CD206_PT, and SIGLEC9_PT) to construct the predictive model. ROC curve analysis showed that the AUCs of the model for predicting 1-, 3-, and 5-year postoperative OS were 0.74, 0.75, and 0.84, respectively. When the model was applied to the internal and external validation sets, the AUCs for 1-, 3-, and 5-year postoperative OS were 0.74, 0.72, 0.72 (internal validation set) and 0.72, 0.71, 0.74 (external validation set), respectively. Cox multivariate regression analysis showed that the risk score was an independent risk factor for postoperative OS in patients with gastric cancer. Conclusion The model constructed based on LASSO-Cox regression exhibits good predictive performance and can effectively predict postoperative OS in gastric cancer patients, which may serve as a basis for intensive treatment of high-risk patients after surgery.
3.Efficacy and Safety of Qihuang Acupuncture Theory Combined with Opioid Analgesics in the Treatment of Moderate to Severe Cancer Pain in Lung Cancer Patients:a Randomize-Controlled Trial
Yingqi WANG ; Ruifang YU ; Jinpeng HUANG ; Guiya LIAO ; Ziyan GAN ; Zhenhu CHEN ; Xiaobing YANG ; Chunzhi TANG
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;66(4):358-366
ObjectiveTo observe the analgesic efficacy and safety of Qihuang acupuncture theory combined with opioid analgesics in patients with moderate to severe cancer pain due to lung cancer. MethodsPatients with moderate to severe cancer pain from lung cancer were randomly divided into Qihuang acupuncture group and control group, with 33 cases in each group. The control group was treated with long-acting opioid analgesics at maintenance doses and supplementary analgesic medications as needed. In case of breakthrough pain, short-acting opioids were used for rescue. The Qihuang acupuncture group received Qihuang acupuncture treatment in addition to the treatment used in the control group, administered once every other day, with 3 sessions constituting one treatment course. The treatment duration for both groups was 5 days. The primary outcome was the change in pain intensity, measured using the numerical rating scale (NRS) before and after treatment, and the NRS change rate was calculated. Secondary endpoints included the daily NRS change rate, the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) Performance Status (PS) score, the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Core Questionnaire (EORTC QLQ-C30) score, and the 24-hour equivalent hydrocodone sustained-release tablet dose. Laboratory tests, including routine blood, urine, stool, liver function, and kidney function, were performed before and after treatment. Adverse events were recorded throughout the trial. ResultsAll patients completed the trial, and both groups showed a decrease in average NRS scores and PS scores after treatment, with the Qihuang acupuncture group showing lower average NRS scores and PS scores than the control group (P<0.05 or P<0.01). After treatment, the NRS change rate in the Qihuang acupuncture group was (0.42±0.17), significantly higher than that in the control group (0.14±0.27, P<0.01). The daily NRS change rate during treatment was also higher in the Qihuang acupuncture group compared to the control group (P<0.01). The Qihuang acupuncture group showed an increase in overall health status and functional scores in the EORTC QLQ-C30, and a decrease in symptom scores for fatigue, nausea and vomiting, pain, dyspnea, insomnia, appetite loss, constipation, and financial difficulties. In contrast, overall health status and constipation scores in the control group increased, while scores of fatigue, nausea and vomiting, pain, and appetite loss decreased (P<0.05 or P<0.01). After treatment, the 24-hour equivalent hydrocodone sustained-release tablet dose did not show significant difference in the Qihuang acupuncture group (P>0.05), while the control group showed a significant increase in the 24-hour dose (P<0.01). No significant abnormalities were observed in laboratory tests before and after treatment in either group. During the study, the incidence of nausea and vomiting as well as constipation in the Qihuang acupuncture group was both 3.03% (1/33), while the incidence in the control group was 27.27% (9/33) and 36.36% (12/33), respectively, with the Qihuang acupuncture group showing significantly lower incidence (P<0.01). No serious adverse reactions were observed in either group. ConclusionQihuang acupuncture therapy combined with opioid analgesics is more effective than using opioids alone in relieving pain in patients with moderate to severe cancer pain due to lung cancer. It can improve the patients' physical condition and quality of life, reduce the dose of opioid analgesics, and has good safety.
4.The study on the characteristics of gut microbiota in Parkinson disease with depression and its correlation with self-regulation psychological factors
Fu XIE ; Gan TANG ; Nan YANG ; Jing CHEN ; Tao ZOU
Chinese Journal of Nervous and Mental Diseases 2025;51(5):274-279
Objective To explore the differences in gut microbiota among patients with Parkinson disease(PD),major depressive disorder(MDD)and PD with depression(dPD),as well as their correlation with psychological factors.Methods A cross-sectional control design was used for the study.Fecal samples were collected from 30 PD patients,21 dPD patients,and 20 MDD patients for high-throughput 16S rRNA sequencing analysis.The Snaith-Hamilton pleasure scale(SHAPS),ruminative responses scale(RRS),Connor-Davidson resilience scale(CD-RISC)and self-compassion scale short form(SCS-SF)were used for psychological assessments.Results The relative abundance of Megamonas was higher in the MDD group than in the dPD and PD groups,while Prevotella was lower in the MDD group than in the dPD and PD groups.The relative abundance of Escherichia-Shigella in PD was higher than that in the dPD and MDD groups,and the difference was significant(P<0.05).The score of the CD-RISC was positively correlated with the abundance of microbiota at Vibrio(r=0.598,P<0.001)and Shewanella(r=0.569,P<0.001),while the score of ruminative responses scale was positively correlated with the abundance of microbiota at Hydrogenophaga(r=0.625,P<0.001),Rhodococcus(r=0.510,P<0.001).Conclusion There are some differences in gut microbiota among patients with Parkinson disease,Parkinson disease with depression and major depression disorder.The specific microbiota such as Vibrio and Rhodococcus may be related to the psychological factors and depressive symptoms of dPD patients.
5.Analysis of monitoring results of iodine nutrition levels in different populations in Daxing District, Beijing from 2020 to 2023
Zhiping LI ; Yue HU ; Tian LI ; Qiuling LI ; Jinfeng TANG ; Yadi GAN ; Dongmei LI
Chinese Journal of Endemiology 2025;44(1):34-38
Objective:To investigate the iodine nutrition level of different populations in Daxing District of Beijing, and to provide a basis for implementation of "tailored measures, classified guidance, and scientific iodine supplementation" for prevention and control of iodine deficiency disorders.Methods:From 2020 to 2023, Daxing District of Beijing was divided into 5 districts from April to September each year based on east, west, south, north, and center. One township (street) was selected from each district, and 20 pregnant women, 40 women of childbearing age, 40 adult males, and 40 non boarding children aged 8 to 10 from one primary school were selected from each township (street). At the same time, 100 pregnant women with current addresses in Daxing District, Beijing were selected from one obstetrics hospital in Daxing District every year. Once random urine sample was collected from all survey subjects, and the household edible salt samples were collected from children and 400 pregnant women for determination of urinary iodine and salt iodine levels.Results:From 2020 to 2023, a total of 3 022 urine samples were collected, including 920, 700, 702, and 700 samples from children aged 8 - 10, pregnant women, women of childbearing age, and adult males, respectively. The median urinary iodine levels were 181.1, 135.0, 144.0, and 140.0 μg/L, respectively. There were statistically significant differences in urinary iodine levels among children aged 8 - 10, pregnant women, and women of childbearing age in different years ( H = 77.88, 9.40, 22.11, P < 0.05). A total of 1 320 household edible salt samples were collected from children aged 8 - 10 and pregnant women. Among them, 920 salt samples were collected from children, the median salt iodine was 21.3 mg/kg, the iodized salt coverage rate was 88.48% (814/920), and the qualified iodized salt consumption rate was 80.76% (743/920). Four hundred salt samples were collected from pregnant women, the median salt iodine was 21.8 mg/kg, the coverage rate of iodized salt was 90.25% (361/400), and the consumption rate of qualified iodized salt was 77.50% (310/400). The results of correlation analysis showed there was no correlation between urinary iodine level of children aged 8 to 10 and pregnant women with their salt iodine level ( r = 0.06, 0.07, P = 0.055, 0.142). Conclusions:Pregnant women in Daxing District, Beijing are at a deficiency level in iodine nutrition, with children aged 8 - 10, women of childbearing age, and adult males all at an appropriate level of iodine nutrition. We should strengthen health education for pregnant women and ensure that they receive sufficient iodine nutrition. At the same time, relevant departments should increase the supervision and management of iodized salt.
6.Protective Effects and Mechanism of Shenqi Qiangjing Granules on H2O2 Induced Injury of Mouse Spermatogonia by Inhibiting Oxidative Stress and Ferroptosis
Dianhui GAN ; Bingyu XIA ; Xin LI ; Kedao LAI ; Bin BIN ; Aicun TANG
Herald of Medicine 2025;44(3):371-376
Objective To explore the protective effects and mechanism of Shenqi Qiangjing granules containing serum on hydrogen peroxide(H2O2)induced oxidative damage and ferroptosis in mouse spermatogonia(GC-1 spg).Methods Thir-ty SPF grade healthy male SD rats were selected and randomly divided into blank group,levocarnitine group,and Shenqi Qiangjing granules group.After 7 days of intragastric administration,drug-containing serum was collected from each group.Using mouse sper-matogonia as a cell model,they were randomly divided into the normal control group,the model control group,blank serum group,levocarnitine containing serum group,and Shenqi Qiangjing granules containing serum group.Except for the normal control group,the other groups used hydrogen peroxide at a concentration of 600 μmol·L-1 to induce injury to mouse spermatogonia for 4 hours,and then established oxidative stress injury models,after 24 hours of medication intervention in each group.The survival rate of cells was detected using CCK-8 method;The levels of intracellular reactive oxygen species(ROS),malondialdehyde(MDA),catalase(CAT),glutathione(GSH),and superoxide dismutase(SOD)were detected by ELISA;The intracellular iron level was detected by iron ion colorimetry;The activities of Caspase-3 and Caspase-9 were detected by colorimetry;The mRNA levels of glu-tathione peroxidase 4(GPX4)and ACSL4 were determined by qRT-PCR.Results Compared with the normal control group,the cell proliferation activity of the model control group decreased significantly,the levels of ROS,MDA and Fe3+were significantly increased,while the activities of CAT,GSH and SOD were significantly decreased in the model control group,however,Caspase-3 and Caspase-9 activities were significantly increased,the results showed significant difference(P<0.05).Compare with the model control group,Shenqi Qiangjing granules containing serum could significantly increase the cell proliferation activity,decrease the levels of ROS,MDA and Fe3+,increase the activities of CAT,GSH and SOD,and decrease the activities of Caspase-3 and Caspase-9,the results showed significant difference(P<0.05).The qRT PCR results showed that compared with the model control group,the expression of GPX4 mRNA was upregulated and ACSL4 mRNA was downregulated in blank serum group containing Shenqi Qiangjing granules,and the differences were statistically significant(P<0.05).Conclusions Shenqi Qiangjing granules have significant protective effects on hydrogen peroxide-induced oxidative stress injury and ferroptosis of spermatogonia in mice.The mechanism may be related to the decrease of Caspase-3 and Caspase-9 activities and the inhibition of oxidative stress injury and ferroptosis.
7.Value of blood lactic acid, procalcitonin, and total bilirubin in early diagnosis and prognosis evaluation of trauma complicated with sepsis
Jintao TANG ; Li HE ; Bangjia GAN ; Shijia CHAO ; Qinqin ZHANG ; Junyang MO ; Yujun LIU
Journal of Chinese Physician 2025;27(10):1478-1482
Objective:To explore the value of blood lactic acid (BLA), procalcitonin (PCT), and total bilirubin (TBil) in the diagnosis and prognosis evaluation of patients with trauma complicated with sepsis.Methods:The clinical data of 151 patients with severe trauma admitted to the Department of Emergency Medicine, Nanxishan Hospital of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region from July 2019 to August 2023 were analyzed retrospectively. The patients were divided into the sepsis group (72 cases) and non-sepsis group (79 cases) according to the diagnosis. They were further divided into the death group (37 cases) and non-death group (114 cases) based on clinical outcomes. Clinical data were compared between groups. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to analyze the predictive efficacy of the above indicators, and Spearman correlation analysis was applied to evaluate the correlation between the indicators.Results:The levels of BLA, PCT, TBil, and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score in the sepsis group were higher than those in the non-sepsis group (all P<0.05). The mortality rate of the sepsis group was significantly higher than that of the non-sepsis group, with a statistically significant difference [26/72(36.11%) vs 11/79(13.92%), χ 2=10.024, P=0.002]. The levels of BLA, PCT, TBil, and SOFA score in the death group were higher than those in the non-death group (all P<0.05). ROC curve analysis showed that the areas under the curve (AUC) of BLA, PCT, TBil, and their combination for diagnosing sepsis were 0.745, 0.826, 0.753, and 0.889 respectively; the sensitivity and specificity of the combined diagnosis of sepsis were 87.5% and 72.2%. The AUCs of BLA, PCT, TBil, and their combination for predicting the prognosis of sepsis were 0.644, 0.697, 0.614, and 0.713 respectively; the sensitivity and specificity of the combined prediction of sepsis prognosis were 64.9% and 71.1%. Among the 151 patients, the levels of BLA, PCT, TBil were positively correlated with SOFA score, with statistically significant differences ( r=0.3871, 0.4399, 0.4851, all P<0.001). Conclusions:BLA, PCT, and TBil levels have certain value in the early diagnosis and prognosis evaluation of patients with sepsis. The combined evaluation has the best efficacy and high guiding value in clinical practice.
8.Application of deep learning models based on super-resolution endorectal ultrasound in predicting perineural invasion in rectal cancer
Yajiao GAN ; Qiping HU ; Xinyi WANG ; Yixi SU ; Qingling SHEN ; Minling ZHUO ; Yi TANG ; Xiaodong LIN ; Yue YU ; Youjia LIN ; Qingfu QIAN ; Zhikui CHEN
Chinese Journal of Ultrasonography 2025;34(10):848-857
Objective:To develop a deep learning model based on super-resolution endorectal ultrasound(ERUS)images for the preoperative prediction of perineural invasion(PNI)in patients with rectal cancer,thereby providing a reference for risk stratification and individualized treatment planning.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on 382 patients with rectal cancer who underwent total mesorectal excision at Fujian Medical University Union Hospital between June 2019 and February 2024. Patients were randomly divided into a training set( n=305)and a test set( n=77)at a ratio of 8∶2,and further grouped into PNI-negative group and PNI-positive group subgroups based on pathological results. Super-resolution ultrasound images were generated from original ERUS images using a generative adversarial network(GAN). Deep convolutional neural networks were developed based on features from intratumoral and peritumoral regions to identify the optimal region of interest(ROI). The dSR5_ResNet18 and dSR5_ResNet50 models were constructed using the super-resolution images with a 5-pixel peritumoral extension. Representative clinical features were selected for subgroup analysis based on sample size and intergroup statistical differences between PNI-positive and PNI-negative patients. Forest plots were used to evaluate model applicability and robustness across subgroups. Results:The dSR5_ResNet18 model,built using super-resolution images of the tumor combined with a 5-pixel peritumoral region,achieved the best predictive performance,with an AUC of 0.867(95% CI=0.782 - 0.952)in the test set. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the dSR5_ResNet18 model provided the greatest net clinical benefit. Forest plot analysis indicated strong generalizability of the models across subgroups such as pathological N stage,maximum lesion length,and lymph node enlargement,though relatively weaker performance was observed in the carcinoembryonic antigen(CEA)subgroup. Among all models,dSR5_ResNet18 exhibited the most consistent performance across subgroups,with the narrowest confidence intervals and highest robustness. Conclusions:The deep learning model incorporating ERUS-based super-resolution reconstruction demonstrated excellent performance in the preoperative prediction of PNI in rectal cancer. It offers significant advantages in image quality and generalizability,and may serve as a valuable tool to assist clinicians in formulating personalized treatment strategies.
9.Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of psittacosis cases in Daxing District, Beijing in 2023
Mengnan LI ; Yue HU ; Zhiping LI ; Qiuling LI ; Yadi GAN ; Xinyu WANG ; Jinfeng TANG
Chinese Journal of Endemiology 2025;44(4):323-326
Objective:To investigate the epidemiological and clinical characteristics of patients with psittacosis, in order to provide a basis for early diagnosis and prevention of the disease.Methods:Clinical data of psittacosis cases reported in 2023 from China Disease Prevention and Control Information System in Daxing District, Beijing were collected, and the patients' general information, epidemiological characteristics, clinical characteristics, imaging examination results, laboratory test results, treatment and prognosis were retrospectively analyzed.Results:A total of 7 cases of psittacosis were reported in Daxing District in 2023, with no clustered infection in households or workplaces. There were 4 males and 3 females, with a median age of 66 years old, and a range of 52 to 82 years old. Epidemiological investigation revealed that 6 patients had a clear history of contact with poultry (4 had first contact with parrots or pigeons, and 2 had long-term exposure to pigeons, parrots or wild birds). The onset time was concentrated in April and May. The primary clinical manifestations included high fever (6 cases), fatigue (4 cases), and chills (3 cases). The imaging examination results showed that inflammatory changes occurred in the unilateral lung of 6 patients, and both lungs were affected in 1 patients. Laboratory test results indicated elevated neutrophill percentage in 6 patients, decreased white blood cell counts in 2 patients, elevated white blood cell counts in 2 patients, and elevated C-reactive protein levels in 7 patients. Metagenomic next-generation sequencing test showed that all seven patients were positive for Chlamydia psittaci. All 7 patients were treated with quinolone or tetracycline antibiotics, with 6 cured and discharged, and 1 died. Conclusion:Psittacosis is usually manifested clinically as high fever, fatigue, and unilateral lung inflammation, often associated with poultry exposure.
10.Analysis of 12 Pathogens in surveillance cases of febrile respiratory syndrome in Daxing district of Beijing City from 2018 to 2023
Jinfeng TANG ; Hong LEI ; Meichen LIU ; Qiuling LI ; Tian LI ; Xifeng WANG ; Yadi GAN ; Daitao ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;59(4):478-483
A total of 1 557 cases were included in the Febrile Respiratory Syndrome (FRS) surveillance conducted in Daxing District between 2018 and 2023. Twelve respiratory pathogens were investigated: human influenza virus (HIFV), human respiratory syncytial virus (HRSV), human parainfluenza virus (HPIV), human rhinovirus (HRV), human enterovirus (HEV), human adenovirus (HadV), human metapneumovirus (HMPV), human bocavirus (HBoV), Mycoplasma pneumoniae (MP), Chlamydia pneumoniae (CP), human coronavirus (HCoV), and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Results demonstrated an overall pathogen detection rate of 25.31% (394/1 557), with descending prevalence as follows: HIFV, SARS-CoV-2, HRV, HPIV, MP, HCoV, HRSV, HEV, HMPV, HadV, HBoV, and CP. Temporal analysis revealed detection rates of 26.98% (150/556) for 2018-2019, 15.81% (95/601) for 2020-2022, and 37.25% (149/400) for 2023, showing statistically significant interannual variation (χ2=59.703, P<0.001). Compared with 2018-2019, 2023 exhibited significantly elevated detection rates for HIFV and HMPV ( P<0.05), while HRV, MP, HEV, and HBoV demonstrated significantly reduced rates ( P<0.05). Age-stratified analysis identified HIFV, HRSV, and HadV as the predominant pathogens in individuals aged <15 years, whereas SARS-CoV-2, HIFV, and HRV predominated in those aged ≥60 years.


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