1.Early warning of influenza epidemic based on CUSUM and EWMA models in Daxing District, Beijing
Hong LEI ; Qiuling LI ; Qi LIU ; Meichen LIU ; Enhuan DU ; Jinfeng TANG ; Zhiping LI ; Yadi GAN ; Lijie ZHANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(1):13-17
Objective To explore the effectiveness of the cumulative sum (CUSUM) and the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) for early warning of influenza epidemic using two datasets of reported influenza cases and influenza-like illness (ILI) cases. Methods Using the reported cases of influenza and ILI in Daxing District, Beijing, from week 23 of 2018 to week 22 of 2024 as data sets, the CUSUM and EWMA models were established, respectively. The positive rate of influenza etiology was used as the “gold standard”, and the Youden index was used as the evaluation index to compare the early warning effect of the two models under different data sets and different parameters. Results In CUSUM, the optimal Youden indices of the reported influenza cases set and the ILI cases set were 0.751 and 0.635, respectively. In EWMA, the optimal Youden indices of the reported influenza cases set and the ILI cases set were 0.544 and 0.464, respectively. The optimal EWMA and CUSUM models could both issue early warning signals in advance of the “gold standard”. Conclusion In the influenza epidemic early warning in Daxing District, Beijing, the CUSUM model established with the reported cases of influenza can achieve good early warning effects, but the model parameters need to be dynamically adjusted according to the local epidemic characteristics.
2.Predicting intraoperative blood transfusion risk in hip fracture patients using explainable machine learning models
Fengting LU ; Xiaoming LI ; Dekui LI ; Xianyuan XIE ; Jiazhong WANG ; Qing YU ; Gan HUANG ; Jun SHEN
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(2):196-202
Objective: To investigate the factors influencing intraoperative blood transfusion in patients with hip fractures and to develop a machine learning (ML) model for predicting this risk. Methods: A total of 424 patients with hip fractures who underwent surgical treatment between November 2022 and March 2025 in our hospital were selected. Key feature variables of intraoperative blood transfusion risk were identified using the Boruta algorithm. Four different ML algorithms—support vector machine (SVM), linear discriminant analysis (LDA), mixed discriminant analysis (MDA), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost)—were used to develop predictive models for intraoperative blood transfusion risk. The predictive performance of the four ML models were evaluated using accuracy, precision, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, precision-recall curves (PRC), precision-recall gain curves (PRGC), and F1 scores. Shapley additive interpretation (SHAP) was used to interpret the final model. Results: Among the 424 patients, 77(18.2%) received intraoperative blood transfusion. The Boruta algorithm identified albumin (ALB), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), types of anesthesia, types of fracture, and hemoglobin (Hb) as key feature variables for predicting intraoperative blood transfusion risk. In model evaluation, the SVM model outperforms the other three models across multiple metrics, including the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), recall, recall gain, accuracy, precision, F1 score, and the area under the precision-recall curve (PRC-AUC). The SVM model, interpreted and visualized based on SHAP values, effectively predicted intraoperative blood transfusion risk in patients with hip fracture. A visual online application was developed based on the SVM model (https://pbo-nomogram.shinyapps.io/blood/). Conclusion: Preoperative low ALB and Hb levels, prolonged APTT, general anesthesia, and intertrochanteric fractures are risk factors for intraoperative blood transfusion in hip fracture patients. The risk prediction model for intraoperative blood transfusion constructed based on the SVM algorithm has optimal performance, which provides new ideas and methods for the clinical early identification of hip fracture patients with high transfusion risk and the implementation of targeted interventions.
3.Analysis of knowledge related to human papillomavirus and vaccination willingness among college students in Guizhou Province
REN Li, WU Yuqian, ZHU Liwan,LI Fenxiang, FAN Shujun, GAN Jianzhe, DONG Shuwen, LU Yong
Chinese Journal of School Health 2026;47(2):212-216
Objective:
To explore human papillomavirus (HPV) and vaccination related knowledge and vaccination willingness of college students in Guizhou Province and their related factors, so as to provide a basis for formulating targeted intervention strategies.
Methods:
From May to June 2025, by applying convenience sampling method,4 567 college students were selected from 8 universities in Guizhou Province to conduct a questionnaire survey. Awareness of HPV and vaccination related knowledge, vaccination willingness as well as related factors among college students were also analyzed. The t test and Chi square test were used for comparison between groups, and multifactor Logistic regression was employed to analyze the related factors of HPV vaccination willingness among college students.
Results:
The HPV and vaccine knowledge score of college students in Guizhou Province was ( 10.50 ±2.09), and the score of girls (10.81±1.82) was higher than that of boys (10.19±2.30) ( t=10.09, P <0.01). The HPV vaccination willingness rate of college students was 65.6%, and the rate was higher in girls than in boys (67.1%,64.1%, χ 2=4.75, P <0.05). Multi factor Logistic regression analysis showed that ethnicity and HPV testing were related factors that affected college students willingness to vaccinate (minority: OR boy =1.23, OR girl =1.35; previous HPV testing: OR boy =0.56, OR girl =0.59); boys willingness to vaccinate was related to the number of sexual partners ( OR =0.60), family history of cancer ( OR =0.65), and sexual behavior related HPV knowledge scores ( OR =0.89), while girls willingness to vaccinate was related to bisexual sexual orientation ( OR =0.59), previous HIV testing ( OR =0.60), and HPV and vaccine basic knowledge scores ( OR =0.86) (all P <0.05).
Conclusions
College students in Guizhou Province have higher HPV vaccine related knowledge scores and are more willing to vaccinate, and those above are higher in girls than in boys. Health education content should be optimized based on gender differences, and promote the willingness and behavior of HPV vaccination among college students.
4.Tongnao Decoction Promotes Angiogenesis and Alleviates Cerebral Ischemic Injury via PI3K/Akt/GSK-3β Signaling Pathway
Yan LIU ; Yang WU ; Wanhui PENG ; Jingyi CHEN ; Jiale GAN ; Li LI ; Yangjingyi XIA ; Yunze LI ; Zhaoyao CHEN ; Wenlei LI ; Minghua WU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(9):100-110
ObjectiveTo investigate the mechanisms of Tongnao decoction (TND) in mice with acute ischemic stroke (AIS). MethodsFifty male C57BL/6J mice were randomly divided into a sham operation group, model group, TND low-dose group (1.86 g·kg-1), TND high-dose group (3.72 g·kg-1), and butylphthalide (NBP) group (10 mg·kg-1), with 10 mice in each group. A mouse model of cerebral ischemic injury was established using photochemical thrombosis (PT). The sham operation group and model group were administered an equal volume of normal saline by gavage. All five groups were treated once daily for 14 consecutive days. Behavioral tests were performed before modeling and at the end of administration. T2-weighted imaging (T2WI) was performed 3 days after modeling to evaluate the extent of injury. Hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining was used to observe histological changes in the cerebral cortex, and Nissl staining was used to observe neuronal morphology. Cerebral blood flow in mice was detected using a laser speckle contrast imaging (LSCI) system. Immunofluorescence staining was used to detect the cell proliferation marker bromodeoxyuridine (BrdU) and the highly glycosylated type I transmembrane glycoprotein CD34. Western blot analysis was used to detect the expression levels of phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase (PI3K), protein kinase B (Akt), glycogen synthase kinase-3β (GSK-3β), and their phosphorylation levels, as well as tight junction-related proteins zonula occludens-1 (ZO-1), Occludin, and Claudin-5 in the peri-infarct tissue. Thirty-five zebrafish were randomly divided into normal control group, model group, TND low and high dose groups (0.16, 0.32 g·L-1) and NBP group (10 μmol·L-1), with 7 in each group. A stereoscopic fluorescence microscope was used to observe vascular growth in zebrafish. ResultsImaging showed that PT caused ischemia in the right cortical region. Behavioral tests indicated that, compared with the model group, the drug-treated groups reduced the error rate of irregular balance ladder climbing on the affected side and shortened the tape removal time (P<0.05). HE staining and Nissl staining showed that, compared with the model group, the drug-treated groups exhibited reduced brain tissue damage, fewer scars, and improved neuronal morphology. LSCI results showed that the drug-treated groups partially restored cerebral blood perfusion and promoted the establishment of collateral circulation compared with the model group. Immunofluorescence staining indicated that the drug-treated groups increased the positive rates of BrdU and CD34 compared with the model group (P<0.01), promoting angiogenesis. Meanwhile, compared with the model group, the drug-treated groups upregulated the expression levels of p-PI3K, p-Akt, p-GSK-3β, and tight junction proteins ZO-1, Occludin, and Claudin-5 (P<0.05,P<0.01), and increased the number of intersegmental vessels in zebrafish (P<0.05,P<0.01). ConclusionTND can promote angiogenesis around the infarct in PT model mice by regulating the PI3K/Akt/GSK-3β signaling pathway, thereby improving cerebral ischemic injury.
5.Construction and application of anti-tumor drug prescription review decision-support system in a large general hospital
Jing ZANG ; Run GAN ; Qi YANG ; Yan CHEN ; Cheng GUO ; Jianping ZHANG ; Fengqian LI ; Quanjun YANG
China Pharmacy 2026;37(6):794-799
OBJECTIVE To introduce the development of an intelligent prescription review decision-support system for anti-tumor drugs and assess its clinical application outcomes. METHODS Relevant data sources, including national and local pharmaceutical administration policies, clinical practice guidelines/consensus, hospital information systems data, and genetic testing results, were integrated. Adhering to the principles of structure, standardization and dynamic updating, a knowledge base covering chemotherapeutic, targeted and immunotherapeutic agents was constructed using a dual-dimensional modeling approach that combined “drug attributes” and “clinical contexts”. This knowledge base was then embedded into the hospital’s electronic medical order system to establish the prescription review decision-support system. The application and performance of the system were evaluated at Shanghai Sixth People’s Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine. RESULTS A knowledge base containing 18 318 prescription review rules for anti-tumor drugs was constructed, and a closed-loop prescription review system was successfully established, encompassing pre-prescription real-time intervention, in-process interactive review, and post-prescription evaluation and analysis. From 2021 to 2024, the system generated a total of 57 879 alerts for prescriptions of five typical categories of anti-tumor drugs. For platinum-containing prescriptions, 22 577 alerts were generated, with Cisplatin for injection (lyophilized) being the most frequently alerted drug (13 445 alerts), and “ototoxicity risk due to combined use” alerts remained high (7 682 alerts). For methotrexate-containing prescriptions, 3 721 alerts were recorded, primarily related to “precaution-related issues” (76.4%, 2 843/3 721). For doxorubicin-containing prescriptions, 17 301 alerts were triggered, primarily related to “dosage and administration” (14 315 alerts). For human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-targeted agents-containing prescriptions, 1 007 alerts were issued, mostly related to “reimbursement restrictions” (956 alerts). For programmed death-1/programmed death-ligand 1 inhibitors-containing prescriptions, the alerts increased year by year, totaling 13 273 alerts, primarily related to “inappropriate indication” (9 118 alerts). Over the 4 years, the physician response rates to system alerts were 21.4%, 27.1%, 33.5% and 51.6%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS An intelligent decision-support system for anti-tumor drug prescription review, encompassing a closed-loop process of “real-time pre-event intervention, interactive in-event prescription review, post-event evaluation and analysis”, has been successfully constructed and implemented throughout the entire workflow. There is a discernible trend in this hospital, where the focus on monitoring anti-tumor drugs is shifting towards immunotherapy drugs. Additionally, the acceptance rate of physicians regarding prescription review opinions has been steadily increasing year by year.
6.Distribution characteristics and health risk assessment of trihalomethanes in drinking water in Guangzhou City
Miao LIU ; Pingsheng GAN ; Guowei LI ; Zhijun BAI ; Rongfei PENG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(2):35-39
Objective To comprehensively investigate the levels of exposure and distribution characteristics of trihalomethanes (THMs) in drinking water in Guangzhou City, and evaluate the health risks of different groups of children, adolescents and adults, and to provide data and evidence for protecting human health and promoting risk control of drinking water. Methods According to the technical requirements of the "Standards for Drinking Water Quality Testing Methods" (GB/T 5750-2023), the concentration of THMs, including trichloromethane (TCM), bromodichloromethane (BDCM), dibromochloromethane (DBCM), and tribromomethane (TBM) in drinking water in Guangzhou City from 2023-2024 were detected. The health risk model recommended by USEPA was used for risk assessment.Results TCM, BDCM and DBCM were detected in the factory water and terminal water, with TCM contributing the most. There was a statistically significant difference (P<0.05) between the wet and dry seasons, and the concentration of TCM in the wet season was higher than that in the dry season. Among the multiple exposure factors, the amount of exposure through drinking water intake was much greater than that through skin absorption. The carcinogenic risk index of THMs for children, adolescents, and adults was 22.0×10-6, 12.2×10-6, and 11.4×10-6, respectively, while the non-carcinogenic risk was less than 1. Conclusion The exposure risks of THMs in children, adolescents, and adults is within an acceptable range, but monitoring needs to be strengthened, with a particular focus on children.
7.Traditional Chinese Medicine Regulates VEGF Signaling Pathway for Anti-angiogenic Intervention in Preneoplastic Breast Cancer: A Review
Huikun BAI ; Min HUANG ; Benfa LI ; Rong ZHAO ; Zhuoling LI ; Dongdong ZHAO ; Na YANG ; Awei BI ; Yun GAN
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(13):295-302
Breast cancer prevention and treatment have become major issues that urgently need to be addressed in the field of global public health. As a key pathological transitional stage in the progression of breast cancer, preneoplastic breast cancer (PBC) carries a significant risk of clinical transformation. Effective intervention in the progression of PBC is of great clinical significance in preventing the occurrence of breast cancer. Pathological studies have shown that abnormal angiogenesis is a key mechanism driving the transformation of PBC into breast cancer. Vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), as a core regulatory molecule that promotes angiogenesis, plays a pivotal role in this process. The malignant transformation of PBC is closely associated with the abnormal activation of the VEGF-mediated pro-angiogenic network. Although modern medicine has achieved certain therapeutic effects through surgery and endocrine therapy, clinical limitations such as invasiveness, drug resistance, and adverse reactions still exist. Recent studies have demonstrated that the VEGF signaling system mediates the phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase-protein kinase B (PI3K/Akt) signaling pathway and the mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) pathway. In addition, the hypoxia-inducible factor-1α (HIF-1α)/VEGF signaling pathway and the delta-like ligand 4 (DLL4)/Notch receptor 1 (Notch1) signaling pathway, together with other pathways, form a complex regulatory network that plays a central role in angiogenesis during PBC. Traditional Chinese medicine (TCM), characterized by multi-component synergy, multi-pathway regulation, and high safety, demonstrates significant advantages in inhibiting pathological angiogenesis and blocking PBC progression by targeting the VEGF signaling pathway. From the perspective of VEGF pathway regulation, this paper systematically reviews the latest research progress on TCM in inhibiting angiogenesis and intervening in PBC, and discusses its mechanisms and application value in the early prevention and treatment of PBC, with the aim of providing references for optimizing clinical intervention strategies for PBC.
8.Effects of Cldn14 gene knockout on the formation of calcium oxalate stones in rats and its mechanism
Peiyue LUO ; Liying ZHENG ; Tao CHEN ; Jun ZOU ; Wei LI ; Qi CHEN ; Le CHENG ; Lifeng GAN ; Fangtao ZHANG ; Biao QIAN
Journal of Modern Urology 2025;30(2):168-173
Objective: To explore the effects of Cldn14 gene knockout on renal metabolism and stone formation in rats,so as to provide reference for research in the field of urinary calium metabolism and stone formation. Methods: Cldn14 gene knockout homozygous rats and wild-type rats of the same age were randomly divided into 4 groups:wild-type control (WC) group,wild-type ethylene glycol (WE) group,gene knockout control (KC) group and gene knockout ethylene glycol (KE) group,with 10 rats in each group.The WE and KE groups were induced with ethylene glycol + ammonium chloride to form kidney stones,while the WC and KC groups received normal saline gavage.After 4 weeks of standard maintenance feeding,the urine samples were collected to detect the venous blood.The kidneys were collected for HE,Pizzolatto's staining and transmission electron microscopy.The protein in renal tissues was extracted to detect the expressions of Claudin16 and Claudin19. Results: Crystal deposition was observed in the renal tubular lumen of the WE and the KE groups,and more crystals were detected in the KE group.The WE group had a large number of intracytoplasmic black crystalline inclusions observed in renal tubular epithelial cells under transmission electron microscope,followed by the KE and KC groups.Compared with WC and WE groups,KC and KE groups had significantly decreased serum calcium and magnesium levels but significantly increased urinary calcium level.In addition,the urinary calcium level was higher in the WE group than in the WC group and higher in the KE group than in the KC group.The KE group had lower level of Claudin16,but there was no significant difference in the level of Claudin19 among the 4 groups(P>0.05). Conclusion: Knockout of Cldn14 gene alone cannot effectively reduce urinary calcium excretion or reduce the risk of stone formation in rats,which may be related to the decrease of Claudin16 level.
9.Status and Progress of Research on Metabolomics of Cervical Cancer
Shaojun CHEN ; Ling GAN ; Xinkang CHEN ; Lingling XIONG ; Die LONG ; Lulu CHEN ; Mengzhuan WEI ; Li HUA ; Haixin HUANG
Cancer Research on Prevention and Treatment 2025;52(7):630-636
Cervical cancer is one of the most common gynecological malignant tumors in China. Given their lack of obviously early symptoms, more than half of patients with cervical cancer are diagnosed in the middle and late stages of this malignancy, resulting in poor prognosis. Finding new therapeutic targets is the current research direction. Metabolomics, as a new omics technology, is expected to provide new targets for tumor precision diagnosis and treatment through the analysis of the changes and potential mechanisms of metabolites in tumor occurrence and development by chromatography, mass spectrometry, and other technologies. Herein, we review the research methods of metabolomics; metabolic characteristics of cervical cancer; and progress of the research on metabolomics in cervical cancer diagnosis, curative effect prediction, and prognosis evaluation to provide new ideas for the precise diagnosis and treatment of cervical cancer.
10.Secondary aesthetic restoration of tetracycline-stained teeth with incongruous gingival margins by digitally guided precision crown lengthening: a case report and literature review
LING Huiling ; SUN Jiyu ; REN Wei ; YUE Li ; RUAN Yifeng ; QIN Ziqi ; GAN Xueqi
Journal of Prevention and Treatment for Stomatological Diseases 2025;33(9):784-791
Objective:
To evaluate the clinical efficacy of digitally guided precision crown lengthening in secondary aesthetic rehabilitation cases, and to provide a clinical reference for digitally guided crown lengthening procedures and secondary aesthetic restorations.
Methods:
We present a case of a patient with tetracycline-stained teeth, partial detachment of anterior resin veneers, and gingival margin discrepancies. The patient underwent digitally guided precision crown lengthening followed by secondary aesthetic rehabilitation. Multimodal data, including intraoral, facial, and CBCT scans, were integrated to construct a four-dimensional virtual patient model (incorporating teeth, face, bone, and occlusion) for surgical planning and 3D-printed guide fabrication. Secondary aesthetic restoration was performed after achieving stable post-surgical outcomes. Based on this case, we conducted a detailed analysis and reviewed relevant literature on crown lengthening in secondary aesthetic rehabilitation.
Results:
The gingival contour of the anterior teeth exhibited significant improvement, with enhanced symmetry and stable gingival margin positioning that closely matched the preoperative design. The crown lengthening procedure demonstrated high precision, and the final outcome was aesthetic and functional. Literature review indicated that secondary restorations frequently present challenges such as gingival contour discrepancies and inflammation. Aesthetic crown lengthening in the anterior region should optimize both soft and hard tissue morphology to meet aesthetic standards, with digital technology improving procedural accuracy.
Conclusion
Precision crown lengthening effectively addresses gingival margin discrepancies in secondary aesthetic rehabilitation, ensuring stable gingival positioning and superior aesthetic outcomes. This approach is particularly suitable for cases with high aesthetic demands.


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