1.Early warning of influenza epidemic based on CUSUM and EWMA models in Daxing District, Beijing
Hong LEI ; Qiuling LI ; Qi LIU ; Meichen LIU ; Enhuan DU ; Jinfeng TANG ; Zhiping LI ; Yadi GAN ; Lijie ZHANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(1):13-17
Objective To explore the effectiveness of the cumulative sum (CUSUM) and the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) for early warning of influenza epidemic using two datasets of reported influenza cases and influenza-like illness (ILI) cases. Methods Using the reported cases of influenza and ILI in Daxing District, Beijing, from week 23 of 2018 to week 22 of 2024 as data sets, the CUSUM and EWMA models were established, respectively. The positive rate of influenza etiology was used as the “gold standard”, and the Youden index was used as the evaluation index to compare the early warning effect of the two models under different data sets and different parameters. Results In CUSUM, the optimal Youden indices of the reported influenza cases set and the ILI cases set were 0.751 and 0.635, respectively. In EWMA, the optimal Youden indices of the reported influenza cases set and the ILI cases set were 0.544 and 0.464, respectively. The optimal EWMA and CUSUM models could both issue early warning signals in advance of the “gold standard”. Conclusion In the influenza epidemic early warning in Daxing District, Beijing, the CUSUM model established with the reported cases of influenza can achieve good early warning effects, but the model parameters need to be dynamically adjusted according to the local epidemic characteristics.
2.Predicting intraoperative blood transfusion risk in hip fracture patients using explainable machine learning models
Fengting LU ; Xiaoming LI ; Dekui LI ; Xianyuan XIE ; Jiazhong WANG ; Qing YU ; Gan HUANG ; Jun SHEN
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(2):196-202
Objective: To investigate the factors influencing intraoperative blood transfusion in patients with hip fractures and to develop a machine learning (ML) model for predicting this risk. Methods: A total of 424 patients with hip fractures who underwent surgical treatment between November 2022 and March 2025 in our hospital were selected. Key feature variables of intraoperative blood transfusion risk were identified using the Boruta algorithm. Four different ML algorithms—support vector machine (SVM), linear discriminant analysis (LDA), mixed discriminant analysis (MDA), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost)—were used to develop predictive models for intraoperative blood transfusion risk. The predictive performance of the four ML models were evaluated using accuracy, precision, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, precision-recall curves (PRC), precision-recall gain curves (PRGC), and F1 scores. Shapley additive interpretation (SHAP) was used to interpret the final model. Results: Among the 424 patients, 77(18.2%) received intraoperative blood transfusion. The Boruta algorithm identified albumin (ALB), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), types of anesthesia, types of fracture, and hemoglobin (Hb) as key feature variables for predicting intraoperative blood transfusion risk. In model evaluation, the SVM model outperforms the other three models across multiple metrics, including the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), recall, recall gain, accuracy, precision, F1 score, and the area under the precision-recall curve (PRC-AUC). The SVM model, interpreted and visualized based on SHAP values, effectively predicted intraoperative blood transfusion risk in patients with hip fracture. A visual online application was developed based on the SVM model (https://pbo-nomogram.shinyapps.io/blood/). Conclusion: Preoperative low ALB and Hb levels, prolonged APTT, general anesthesia, and intertrochanteric fractures are risk factors for intraoperative blood transfusion in hip fracture patients. The risk prediction model for intraoperative blood transfusion constructed based on the SVM algorithm has optimal performance, which provides new ideas and methods for the clinical early identification of hip fracture patients with high transfusion risk and the implementation of targeted interventions.
3.Characteristics of retinal peripheral defocus in patients with unilateral myopia
Lu GAN ; Wentao DENG ; Shuping YANG ; Wuxiao ZHAO
International Eye Science 2026;26(4):573-578
AIM: To investigate the features of retinal peripheral defocus and its associated variables in unilateral myopia. METHODS: This cross-sectional study included consecutive anisometropic myopic patients who visited Center for Optometry and Visual Science from August 2023 to March 2025 in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region. Eyes were classified based on spherical equivalent(SE)and uncorrected visual acuity(UCVA): myopic eyes(SE ≤-0.50 D, UCVA <0.2 LogMAR)and contralateral normal eyes(SE ≥-0.25, UCVA ≥0 LogMAR). Total relative defocus value(TRDV)across the visual field, RDV at 15°, 30°, and 45°(RDV-15, RDV-30, RDV-45), and quadrant-specific RDV(superior/RDV-S, inferior/RDV-I, temporal/RDV-T, nasal/RDV-N)were compared between groups.RESULTS: This study enrolled 81 anisometropic patients(81 myopic eyes, 81 contralateral normal eyes). The cohort comprised 42 males and 39 females, 47 patients aged 8-12 y and 34 patients aged 13-17 y(mean age: 11.8±2.4 y). Myopic eyes demonstrated significantly higher values in TRDV, RDV-30, RDV-45, RDV-I, RDV-S, RDV-N, and RDV-T versus contralateral normal eyes(all P<0.001). RDV-15 showed no significant difference between groups in either 8-12-year-olds or 13-17-year-olds(both P>0.05). Among 13-17-year-olds, RDV-S also exhibited no intergroup difference(P>0.05). All other parameters differed significantly across both age strata(all P<0.05). In myopic eyes, age positively correlated with TRDV(r=0.31, P=0.005), RDV-30(r=0.33, P=0.002), RDV-45(r=0.32, P=0.004), and RDV-N(r=0.37, P<0.001). In contralateral eyes, scotopic pupil diameter negatively correlated with TRDV(r=-0.25, P=0.03), RDV-45(r=-0.25, P=0.02), RDV-S(r=-0.29, P=0.008), and RDV-N(r=-0.27, P=0.014). And age positively correlated with RDV-N(r=0.30, P= 0.006), axial length positively correlated with RDV-T(r=0.30, P=0.006). CONCLUSION: The peripheral defocus of unilateral myopic eyes varies from that of their contralateral normal counterparts. The former presents hyperopic defocus, which augments with age, while the latter displays myopic defocus, which accentuates with the increase of the scotopic pupil size.
4.Analysis of knowledge related to human papillomavirus and vaccination willingness among college students in Guizhou Province
REN Li, WU Yuqian, ZHU Liwan,LI Fenxiang, FAN Shujun, GAN Jianzhe, DONG Shuwen, LU Yong
Chinese Journal of School Health 2026;47(2):212-216
Objective:
To explore human papillomavirus (HPV) and vaccination related knowledge and vaccination willingness of college students in Guizhou Province and their related factors, so as to provide a basis for formulating targeted intervention strategies.
Methods:
From May to June 2025, by applying convenience sampling method,4 567 college students were selected from 8 universities in Guizhou Province to conduct a questionnaire survey. Awareness of HPV and vaccination related knowledge, vaccination willingness as well as related factors among college students were also analyzed. The t test and Chi square test were used for comparison between groups, and multifactor Logistic regression was employed to analyze the related factors of HPV vaccination willingness among college students.
Results:
The HPV and vaccine knowledge score of college students in Guizhou Province was ( 10.50 ±2.09), and the score of girls (10.81±1.82) was higher than that of boys (10.19±2.30) ( t=10.09, P <0.01). The HPV vaccination willingness rate of college students was 65.6%, and the rate was higher in girls than in boys (67.1%,64.1%, χ 2=4.75, P <0.05). Multi factor Logistic regression analysis showed that ethnicity and HPV testing were related factors that affected college students willingness to vaccinate (minority: OR boy =1.23, OR girl =1.35; previous HPV testing: OR boy =0.56, OR girl =0.59); boys willingness to vaccinate was related to the number of sexual partners ( OR =0.60), family history of cancer ( OR =0.65), and sexual behavior related HPV knowledge scores ( OR =0.89), while girls willingness to vaccinate was related to bisexual sexual orientation ( OR =0.59), previous HIV testing ( OR =0.60), and HPV and vaccine basic knowledge scores ( OR =0.86) (all P <0.05).
Conclusions
College students in Guizhou Province have higher HPV vaccine related knowledge scores and are more willing to vaccinate, and those above are higher in girls than in boys. Health education content should be optimized based on gender differences, and promote the willingness and behavior of HPV vaccination among college students.
5.Tongnao Decoction Promotes Angiogenesis and Alleviates Cerebral Ischemic Injury via PI3K/Akt/GSK-3β Signaling Pathway
Yan LIU ; Yang WU ; Wanhui PENG ; Jingyi CHEN ; Jiale GAN ; Li LI ; Yangjingyi XIA ; Yunze LI ; Zhaoyao CHEN ; Wenlei LI ; Minghua WU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(9):100-110
ObjectiveTo investigate the mechanisms of Tongnao decoction (TND) in mice with acute ischemic stroke (AIS). MethodsFifty male C57BL/6J mice were randomly divided into a sham operation group, model group, TND low-dose group (1.86 g·kg-1), TND high-dose group (3.72 g·kg-1), and butylphthalide (NBP) group (10 mg·kg-1), with 10 mice in each group. A mouse model of cerebral ischemic injury was established using photochemical thrombosis (PT). The sham operation group and model group were administered an equal volume of normal saline by gavage. All five groups were treated once daily for 14 consecutive days. Behavioral tests were performed before modeling and at the end of administration. T2-weighted imaging (T2WI) was performed 3 days after modeling to evaluate the extent of injury. Hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining was used to observe histological changes in the cerebral cortex, and Nissl staining was used to observe neuronal morphology. Cerebral blood flow in mice was detected using a laser speckle contrast imaging (LSCI) system. Immunofluorescence staining was used to detect the cell proliferation marker bromodeoxyuridine (BrdU) and the highly glycosylated type I transmembrane glycoprotein CD34. Western blot analysis was used to detect the expression levels of phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase (PI3K), protein kinase B (Akt), glycogen synthase kinase-3β (GSK-3β), and their phosphorylation levels, as well as tight junction-related proteins zonula occludens-1 (ZO-1), Occludin, and Claudin-5 in the peri-infarct tissue. Thirty-five zebrafish were randomly divided into normal control group, model group, TND low and high dose groups (0.16, 0.32 g·L-1) and NBP group (10 μmol·L-1), with 7 in each group. A stereoscopic fluorescence microscope was used to observe vascular growth in zebrafish. ResultsImaging showed that PT caused ischemia in the right cortical region. Behavioral tests indicated that, compared with the model group, the drug-treated groups reduced the error rate of irregular balance ladder climbing on the affected side and shortened the tape removal time (P<0.05). HE staining and Nissl staining showed that, compared with the model group, the drug-treated groups exhibited reduced brain tissue damage, fewer scars, and improved neuronal morphology. LSCI results showed that the drug-treated groups partially restored cerebral blood perfusion and promoted the establishment of collateral circulation compared with the model group. Immunofluorescence staining indicated that the drug-treated groups increased the positive rates of BrdU and CD34 compared with the model group (P<0.01), promoting angiogenesis. Meanwhile, compared with the model group, the drug-treated groups upregulated the expression levels of p-PI3K, p-Akt, p-GSK-3β, and tight junction proteins ZO-1, Occludin, and Claudin-5 (P<0.05,P<0.01), and increased the number of intersegmental vessels in zebrafish (P<0.05,P<0.01). ConclusionTND can promote angiogenesis around the infarct in PT model mice by regulating the PI3K/Akt/GSK-3β signaling pathway, thereby improving cerebral ischemic injury.
6.Construction and application of anti-tumor drug prescription review decision-support system in a large general hospital
Jing ZANG ; Run GAN ; Qi YANG ; Yan CHEN ; Cheng GUO ; Jianping ZHANG ; Fengqian LI ; Quanjun YANG
China Pharmacy 2026;37(6):794-799
OBJECTIVE To introduce the development of an intelligent prescription review decision-support system for anti-tumor drugs and assess its clinical application outcomes. METHODS Relevant data sources, including national and local pharmaceutical administration policies, clinical practice guidelines/consensus, hospital information systems data, and genetic testing results, were integrated. Adhering to the principles of structure, standardization and dynamic updating, a knowledge base covering chemotherapeutic, targeted and immunotherapeutic agents was constructed using a dual-dimensional modeling approach that combined “drug attributes” and “clinical contexts”. This knowledge base was then embedded into the hospital’s electronic medical order system to establish the prescription review decision-support system. The application and performance of the system were evaluated at Shanghai Sixth People’s Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine. RESULTS A knowledge base containing 18 318 prescription review rules for anti-tumor drugs was constructed, and a closed-loop prescription review system was successfully established, encompassing pre-prescription real-time intervention, in-process interactive review, and post-prescription evaluation and analysis. From 2021 to 2024, the system generated a total of 57 879 alerts for prescriptions of five typical categories of anti-tumor drugs. For platinum-containing prescriptions, 22 577 alerts were generated, with Cisplatin for injection (lyophilized) being the most frequently alerted drug (13 445 alerts), and “ototoxicity risk due to combined use” alerts remained high (7 682 alerts). For methotrexate-containing prescriptions, 3 721 alerts were recorded, primarily related to “precaution-related issues” (76.4%, 2 843/3 721). For doxorubicin-containing prescriptions, 17 301 alerts were triggered, primarily related to “dosage and administration” (14 315 alerts). For human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-targeted agents-containing prescriptions, 1 007 alerts were issued, mostly related to “reimbursement restrictions” (956 alerts). For programmed death-1/programmed death-ligand 1 inhibitors-containing prescriptions, the alerts increased year by year, totaling 13 273 alerts, primarily related to “inappropriate indication” (9 118 alerts). Over the 4 years, the physician response rates to system alerts were 21.4%, 27.1%, 33.5% and 51.6%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS An intelligent decision-support system for anti-tumor drug prescription review, encompassing a closed-loop process of “real-time pre-event intervention, interactive in-event prescription review, post-event evaluation and analysis”, has been successfully constructed and implemented throughout the entire workflow. There is a discernible trend in this hospital, where the focus on monitoring anti-tumor drugs is shifting towards immunotherapy drugs. Additionally, the acceptance rate of physicians regarding prescription review opinions has been steadily increasing year by year.
7.Distribution characteristics and health risk assessment of trihalomethanes in drinking water in Guangzhou City
Miao LIU ; Pingsheng GAN ; Guowei LI ; Zhijun BAI ; Rongfei PENG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(2):35-39
Objective To comprehensively investigate the levels of exposure and distribution characteristics of trihalomethanes (THMs) in drinking water in Guangzhou City, and evaluate the health risks of different groups of children, adolescents and adults, and to provide data and evidence for protecting human health and promoting risk control of drinking water. Methods According to the technical requirements of the "Standards for Drinking Water Quality Testing Methods" (GB/T 5750-2023), the concentration of THMs, including trichloromethane (TCM), bromodichloromethane (BDCM), dibromochloromethane (DBCM), and tribromomethane (TBM) in drinking water in Guangzhou City from 2023-2024 were detected. The health risk model recommended by USEPA was used for risk assessment.Results TCM, BDCM and DBCM were detected in the factory water and terminal water, with TCM contributing the most. There was a statistically significant difference (P<0.05) between the wet and dry seasons, and the concentration of TCM in the wet season was higher than that in the dry season. Among the multiple exposure factors, the amount of exposure through drinking water intake was much greater than that through skin absorption. The carcinogenic risk index of THMs for children, adolescents, and adults was 22.0×10-6, 12.2×10-6, and 11.4×10-6, respectively, while the non-carcinogenic risk was less than 1. Conclusion The exposure risks of THMs in children, adolescents, and adults is within an acceptable range, but monitoring needs to be strengthened, with a particular focus on children.
8.Relationships between food environment, general nutrition knowledge, and food preferences among international students in a public university in Malaysia
Nurunnisa Kartal Engin ; Norhasmah Sulaiman ; Gan Wan Ying
Malaysian Journal of Nutrition 2026;32(No. 1):105-117
Introduction: The growing population of international students in Malaysia has
underscored the need to better understand their food preferences. Despite this,
local studies addressing this topic have remained scarce. This study aimed to
determine relationships between nutrition knowledge and food environment and
their respective contributions to food preferences among international students
at a Malaysian public university. Methods: This cross-sectional study included
619 international students. A structured questionnaire was used to assess
general nutrition knowledge and food environment. Students were asked to rate
their preferences for 77 food items using a five-point Likert scale, ranging from
“dislike a lot” (1) to “like a lot” (5). The food items were categorised into six groups,
namely animal foods (14 items), starches (12 items), dairy products (8 items),
fruits (15 items), vegetables (20 items), and snacks (8 items). Results: A significant
negative relationship was observed between dairy preference and affordability
(r=-0.115, p=0.005). Students who lived off campus reported significantly greater
preference for vegetables (M=75.49) than those who lived on campus (M=72.84).
Nutrition knowledge related to diet, disease, and weight management emerged as
the strongest predictor of fruit preference (β=0.257, p<0.001). Conclusion: General
nutrition knowledge and food accessibility emerged as significant predictors of food
preferences. Nutrition intervention programmes and efforts to improve access to
fresh food options on campus may help encourage healthier food preferences among
international students.
9.Cytomegalovirus infection post-hematopoietic stem cell transplantation: a real-world perspective on risk factors and clinical practice
Xin Yee CHIEW ; Jun Yan GOH ; Nur Sabrina RUSLI ; Thevambiga IYADORAI ; Syaza Ab RAHMAN ; Siti Hajar REHIMAN ; Gin Gin GAN ; Hany ARIFFIN
Clinical Transplantation and Research 2026;40(1):129-137
Background:
Cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection remains a major cause of morbidity, mortality, and increased healthcare burden in recipients of allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT). Its clinical manifestations range from asymptomatic CMV replication to end-organ diseases such as pneumonia, gastroenteritis, and retinitis, all of which are associated with a higher rate of nonrelapse mortality.
Methods:
We reviewed case records of children who underwent allo-HSCT at our center between April 2013 and October 2024. CMV monitoring was performed weekly until at least day +100 post-HSCT using a quantitative polymerase chain reaction assay. All patients received acyclovir prophylaxis. Pre-emptive intravenous ganciclovir therapy was initiated when CMV-DNA levels exceeded 500 IU/mL Results: A total of 150 consecutive patients (58% male) were included. The median age at HSCT was 6.3 years (interquartile range [IQR], 3.4–11.3 years). Indications for HSCT were hematologic malignancy (n=81, 54.0%), inborn errors of immunity and bone marrow failure (n=46, 30.7%), and hemoglobinopathy (n=23, 15.3%). Donor and recipient CMV seropositivity rates were 86.7% and 94.0%, respectively. CMV infection occurred in 43.4% of patients, with a median onset of 30 days post-HSCT (IQR, 21–47 days). There were five (3.3%) cases of CMV disease, resulting in one (0.7%) CMV-related death. Human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-haploidentical donor status (odds ratio [OR], 5.00; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.43–10.29; P<0.001) and the use of serotherapy in the conditioning regimen (OR, 2.87; 95% CI, 1.47–5.60; P=0.002) were significantly associated with an increased risk of CMV infection.
Conclusions
CMV infection was a common occurrence, particularly among patients with HLA-haploidentical donors. Preventive strategies such as weekly surveillance and pre-emptive ganciclovir therapy proved effective in preventing overt CMV disease.
10.Intravenous immunoglobulin and mammalian target of rapamycin inhibitors for treatment of BK virus infections in kidney transplantation:a systematic review
Khi Yung FONG ; Terence KEE ; Sobhana THANGARAJU ; Quan Yao HO ; Ian Tatt LIEW ; Carolyn TIEN ; Edwin Jonathan ASLIM ; Lay Guat NG ; Ee Jean LIM ; Valerie Huei Li GAN
Clinical Transplantation and Research 2026;40(1):55-67
Background:
Reduction of immunosuppression (ROI) remains the mainstay of treatment for BK virus infection (BKVI) in kidney transplantation (KT). This review explored the role of intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) and mammalian target of rapamycin inhibitor (mTORi) regimens as alternative therapies for KT recipients with BKVI, focusing on viral clearance and graft-related outcomes.
Methods:
An electronic search was conducted for articles examining IVIG or mTORi use in treating BKVI among adult and/or pediatric KT recipients. Meta-analyses of proportions were performed for relevant outcomes.
Results:
Twenty-seven studies (13 evaluating IVIG and 14 evaluating mTORi) were included; all but three enrolled only adult participants. In IVIG studies, the pooled viral clearance rate was 76.4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 64.2%–85.5%), with numerically higher clearance for IVIG after ROI compared to IVIG with ROI (87.0% vs. 66.1%). Overall graft survival was 84.7% (95% CI, 70.7%–92.7%), with numerically higher survival in IVIG after ROI than in IVIG with ROI (93.6% vs. 78.4%). Pooled histological clearance and graft rejection rates were 82.8% and 14.5%, respectively. In mTORi studies, the pooled viral clearance rate was 68.0% (95% CI, 58.0%–76.7%) and overall graft survival was 89.1% (95% CI, 82.7%–93.4%), with no significant difference between patients with and without prior ROI. Histological clearance and graft rejection rates were 59.8% and 8.6%, respectively.
Conclusions
IVIG and mTORi regimens appear to be feasible alternatives to ROI in KT recipients with BKVI, achieving viral clearance while maintaining graft survival. Future randomized controlled trials are needed to further define their role and strengthen current evidence with higher-quality data.


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