1.Influencing factors for calcium salt deposition in patients with alveolar echinococcosis
Zitong XIONG ; Zhiyi LIN ; Yanxin HUANG ; Fuzhong FANG ; Zhengzhan WU ; Zirui XIN ; Chunxia HU ; Jiayu ZHOU ; Yuan YAO ; Hongwei ZHANG
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(2):372-379
ObjectiveTo investigate the imaging features of calcium salt deposition and serological markers in patients with alveolar echinococcosis through a retrospective analysis, as well as independent risk factors for the degree of calcium salt deposition in lesions, and to provide a basis for assessing disease process. MethodsA retrospective analysis was performed for the imaging and clinical data of 107 patients with alveolar echinococcosis who were admitted to The First Affiliated Hospital of Shihezi University from December 2023 to June 2025, and according to the volume of calcium salt deposition, they were divided into non-deposition group with 16 patients, mild deposition group with 52 patients, moderate deposition group with 16 patients, and severe deposition group with 23 patients. A one-way analysis of variance or the Kruskal-Wallis H test was used for comparison of continuous data between groups, and the χ2 test or Fisher’s exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups. The four groups were further combined into the low deposition group (no/mild deposition) and the high deposition group (moderate/severe deposition). A binary logistic regression analysis was used to investigate the independent influencing factors for calcium salt deposition, and a predictive model was established. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to assess the predictive performance of the model, and the Bootstrap method was used for internal validation. ResultsThere were significant differences between the four groups in sex distribution, involvement of other sites, white blood cell count, lymphocyte percentage, fibrinogen, uric acid, sodium ion, chloride ion, and calcium ion (all P<0.05). The univariate analysis showed that there were significant differences between the four groups in sex, involvement of other sites, white blood cell count, lymphocyte percentage, fibrinogen, alanine aminotransferase, albumin, creatinine, uric acid, sodium ion, chloride ion, and calcium ion (all P<0.1). The multi-collinearity diagnosis showed that the VIF values for all continuous variables ranged from 1.104 to 1.760, suggesting that collinearity did not affect modeling. An ordinal logistic regression model was established based on sex, involvement of other sites, calcium ion, lymphocyte percentage, and uric acid. The multivariate analysis showed that lymphocyte percentage (odds ratio [OR]=1.106, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.041 — 1.174, P=0.001) and blood calcium level (OR=0.005, 95%CI: 0.000 —0.230, P=0.007) were independent influencing factors for the degree of calcium salt deposition. The regression equation was established as Logit(P)=8.231 + 0.100 × lymphocyte percentage -5.344 × calcium ion. The ROC curve analysis showed that the model had an area under the ROC curve of 0.716, with a Youden index of 0.353, a sensitivity of 1.000, and a specificity of 0.353. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that the model had poor calibration (χ2=20.688, P=0.008). The Bootstrap method with 1000 repeated samples showed that the estimated values of lymphocyte percentage (OR=1.106, 95%CI: 1.049 — 1.186, P=0.002) and calcium ion (OR=0.005, 95%CI: 0.000 — 0.214, P=0.010) were consistent with the original model, and the confidence intervals did not include 1, which further supported the reliability of the model. ConclusionBoth lymphocyte percentage and blood calcium level are independent influencing factors for calcium salt deposition in alveolar echinococcosis, and the degree of calcium salt deposition in alveolar echinococcosis lesions increases with the reduction in blood calcium level and the increase in lymphocyte percentage.
2.Analysis of the trend and spatial clustering of lung cancer mortality in Shandong Province from 1970 to 2021
Zhentao FU ; Fan JIANG ; Zilong LU ; Jie CHU ; Xiaohui XU ; Bingyin ZHANG ; Fuzhong XUE ; Xiaolei GUO ; Aiqiang XU ; Jixiang MA
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;59(5):555-560
Objective:To understand spatial aggregation of lung cancer mortality and its changing trends over the past fifty years in different counties and districts of Shandong Province from 1970 to 2021.Methods:The mortality data of lung cancer were obtained from the death registration system of Shandong province and three retrospective surveys of death cause. The mortality rate and age-standardized mortality rate were used to describe the changing trend of lung cancer in different years, and the contribution value of population factors and non-population factors in lung cancer mortality change was calculated by the mortality differential decomposition method. GeoDa 1.20 and ArcGIS 10.8 software were used for spatial autocorrelation analysis and visualization map display.Results:The crude mortality rate of lung cancer in Shandong Province showed a significant upward trend from 1970 to 2021, rising from 7.22 per 100 000 in 1970-1974 to 62.73 per 100 000 in 2020-2021, with an increase of 7.69 times. Meanwhile, the standardized mortality rate of lung cancer exhibited a trend of increasing first and then decreasing. The differential analysis of lung cancer mortality in different years revealed that changes in crude mortality rates were the result of the combined effects of demographic and non-demographic factors. The proportion of population factors (aging population) leading to an increase in lung cancer mortality rate rose from 2.12% in 1990-1992 to 40.20% in 2020-2021. From a spatial distribution perspective, there were significant regional differences in lung cancer mortality rates among counties (cities, districts) in Shandong Province across different eras. Compared to the period of 1970-1974, the lung cancer mortality rates in all counties and districts in 2020-2021 showed a considerable increase, and there were noticeable changes in the areas of high-high and low-low clustering of lung cancer mortality rates across different eras.Conclusion:There have been significant temporal and spatial changes in the mortality rate of lung cancer in Shandong Province from 1970 to 2021. The crude mortality rate has shown an upward trend, while the standardized mortality rate increases first and then decreases. The concentration of lung cancer mortality rates in counties and districts has also undergone significant changes.
3.Analysis of the trend and spatial aggregation of cervical cancer mortality in Shandong Province, 1970-2021
Zhentao FU ; Fan JIANG ; Zilong LU ; Jie CHU ; Xiaohui XU ; Bingyin ZHANG ; Aiqiang XU ; Fuzhong XUE ; Xiaolei GUO ; Jixiang MA
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2025;47(6):485-490
Objective:To explore the spatial clustering of the mortality rate of cervical cancer in different counties (cities, districts) in Shandong Province from 1970 to 2021 and its 50-year changing trend, so as to provide basis for the implementation and evaluation of prevention and control strategies and programs such as cervical cancer screening, early diagnosis and treatment, human papilloma virus (HPV) vaccination, etc.Methods:The mortality data of cervical cancer were obtained from the death registration system of Shandong Province and the data of three retrospective surveys of death causes. The mortality rate and age-standardized mortality rate (using the population composition of China in 1964) are used to describe the changing trend of cervical cancer in different years. The contribution values of population factors and non-population factors in cervical cancer mortality change are calculated by mortality differential decomposition method. ArcGIS 10.8 software is used for spatial distribution and spatial autocorrelation analysis.Results:From 1970 to 2021, the crude mortality rate and age standardized mortality rate of cervical cancer in Shandong Province showed a trend of first rapid decline and then slow increase. The crude mortality rate and standardized mortality rate of female cervical cancer in Shandong Province in 1970-1974 were the highest, reaching 17.22/10 5 and 13.17/10 5, respectively. In 2004-2005, it dropped to the lowest levels of 1.50/10 5 and 0.83/10 5. Subsequently, it slowly rose to 4.12/10 5 and 1.56/10 5 in 2020-2021. The differential analysis of cervical cancer mortality in different years found that the change of cervical cancer mortality was caused by the combined action of population factors and non-population factors. Among them, demographic factors (aging population) led to the increase of cervical cancer mortality, but non-demographic factors (early diagnosis and treatment, HPV infection level, medical technology level, etc) lead to the decrease of cervical cancer mortality. Compared with 1970-1974, with the passage of time, the absolute values of the contribution values of population factors and non-population factors showed an increasing trend, while the contribution of non-population factors was greater than that of population factors, which led to the decline of cervical cancer mortality. From the perspective of spatial distribution, there were great regional differences in the mortality rate of cervical cancer in different counties of Shandong Province. In 2020-2021, the mortality rate of cervical cancer in all counties decreased to a great extent compared with that in 1970-1974, and the high-high and low-low concentration areas of cervical cancer mortality in different years changed obviously. The high-aggregation areas of the cervical cancer mortality rate in Shandong Province from 2020 to 2021 were mainly distributed in some counties and districts of Linyi City, Zaozhuang City, and Heze City in the southwest. Conclusions:There are significant temporal and spatial changes in the mortality rate of cervical cancer in Shandong Province from 1970 to 2021. According to these trends and their geographical and spatial clustering, prevention and control strategies of cervical cancer in different regions should be further formulated and evaluated.
4.Analysis of the trend and spatial clustering of lung cancer mortality in Shandong Province from 1970 to 2021
Zhentao FU ; Fan JIANG ; Zilong LU ; Jie CHU ; Xiaohui XU ; Bingyin ZHANG ; Fuzhong XUE ; Xiaolei GUO ; Aiqiang XU ; Jixiang MA
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;59(5):555-560
Objective:To understand spatial aggregation of lung cancer mortality and its changing trends over the past fifty years in different counties and districts of Shandong Province from 1970 to 2021.Methods:The mortality data of lung cancer were obtained from the death registration system of Shandong province and three retrospective surveys of death cause. The mortality rate and age-standardized mortality rate were used to describe the changing trend of lung cancer in different years, and the contribution value of population factors and non-population factors in lung cancer mortality change was calculated by the mortality differential decomposition method. GeoDa 1.20 and ArcGIS 10.8 software were used for spatial autocorrelation analysis and visualization map display.Results:The crude mortality rate of lung cancer in Shandong Province showed a significant upward trend from 1970 to 2021, rising from 7.22 per 100 000 in 1970-1974 to 62.73 per 100 000 in 2020-2021, with an increase of 7.69 times. Meanwhile, the standardized mortality rate of lung cancer exhibited a trend of increasing first and then decreasing. The differential analysis of lung cancer mortality in different years revealed that changes in crude mortality rates were the result of the combined effects of demographic and non-demographic factors. The proportion of population factors (aging population) leading to an increase in lung cancer mortality rate rose from 2.12% in 1990-1992 to 40.20% in 2020-2021. From a spatial distribution perspective, there were significant regional differences in lung cancer mortality rates among counties (cities, districts) in Shandong Province across different eras. Compared to the period of 1970-1974, the lung cancer mortality rates in all counties and districts in 2020-2021 showed a considerable increase, and there were noticeable changes in the areas of high-high and low-low clustering of lung cancer mortality rates across different eras.Conclusion:There have been significant temporal and spatial changes in the mortality rate of lung cancer in Shandong Province from 1970 to 2021. The crude mortality rate has shown an upward trend, while the standardized mortality rate increases first and then decreases. The concentration of lung cancer mortality rates in counties and districts has also undergone significant changes.
5.Analysis of the trend and spatial aggregation of cervical cancer mortality in Shandong Province, 1970-2021
Zhentao FU ; Fan JIANG ; Zilong LU ; Jie CHU ; Xiaohui XU ; Bingyin ZHANG ; Aiqiang XU ; Fuzhong XUE ; Xiaolei GUO ; Jixiang MA
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2025;47(6):485-490
Objective:To explore the spatial clustering of the mortality rate of cervical cancer in different counties (cities, districts) in Shandong Province from 1970 to 2021 and its 50-year changing trend, so as to provide basis for the implementation and evaluation of prevention and control strategies and programs such as cervical cancer screening, early diagnosis and treatment, human papilloma virus (HPV) vaccination, etc.Methods:The mortality data of cervical cancer were obtained from the death registration system of Shandong Province and the data of three retrospective surveys of death causes. The mortality rate and age-standardized mortality rate (using the population composition of China in 1964) are used to describe the changing trend of cervical cancer in different years. The contribution values of population factors and non-population factors in cervical cancer mortality change are calculated by mortality differential decomposition method. ArcGIS 10.8 software is used for spatial distribution and spatial autocorrelation analysis.Results:From 1970 to 2021, the crude mortality rate and age standardized mortality rate of cervical cancer in Shandong Province showed a trend of first rapid decline and then slow increase. The crude mortality rate and standardized mortality rate of female cervical cancer in Shandong Province in 1970-1974 were the highest, reaching 17.22/10 5 and 13.17/10 5, respectively. In 2004-2005, it dropped to the lowest levels of 1.50/10 5 and 0.83/10 5. Subsequently, it slowly rose to 4.12/10 5 and 1.56/10 5 in 2020-2021. The differential analysis of cervical cancer mortality in different years found that the change of cervical cancer mortality was caused by the combined action of population factors and non-population factors. Among them, demographic factors (aging population) led to the increase of cervical cancer mortality, but non-demographic factors (early diagnosis and treatment, HPV infection level, medical technology level, etc) lead to the decrease of cervical cancer mortality. Compared with 1970-1974, with the passage of time, the absolute values of the contribution values of population factors and non-population factors showed an increasing trend, while the contribution of non-population factors was greater than that of population factors, which led to the decline of cervical cancer mortality. From the perspective of spatial distribution, there were great regional differences in the mortality rate of cervical cancer in different counties of Shandong Province. In 2020-2021, the mortality rate of cervical cancer in all counties decreased to a great extent compared with that in 1970-1974, and the high-high and low-low concentration areas of cervical cancer mortality in different years changed obviously. The high-aggregation areas of the cervical cancer mortality rate in Shandong Province from 2020 to 2021 were mainly distributed in some counties and districts of Linyi City, Zaozhuang City, and Heze City in the southwest. Conclusions:There are significant temporal and spatial changes in the mortality rate of cervical cancer in Shandong Province from 1970 to 2021. According to these trends and their geographical and spatial clustering, prevention and control strategies of cervical cancer in different regions should be further formulated and evaluated.
6.The effects of Mediterranean diet on cardiovascular risk factors in patients with type 2 diabetes: a Meta-analysis
Xing ZHENG ; Wenwen ZHANG ; Xiaojuan WAN ; Xiaoyan LYU ; Peng LIN ; Aijun WANG ; Shucheng SI ; Fuzhong XUE ; Yingjuan CAO
Chinese Journal of Practical Nursing 2022;38(18):1434-1441
Objective:To investigate the effect of Mediterranean diet on blood glucose control and cardiovascular risk factors in patients with type 2 diabetes.Methods:As to December 2021, the PubMed, Cochrance Central Register of Controlled Trials and Cochrance Database, Cochranc Library, Embase, China National Knowledge Infrastructure and Wanfang Medical Network system were searched for clinical randomized controlled trials(RCTs) of Mediterranean diet in patients with type 2 diabetes to conduct Meta-analysis The main observation index were cardiovascular risk factors, and the mean difference and its 95% confidence interval were used to estimate the effect size.Results:There were six RCTs, and 1181 patients met the inclusion criteria and entered the Meta-analysis. Compared with the control group, the intervention group can significantly reduce the level of systolic blood pressure ( MD=-1.20, 95% CI-2.21 to -0.19) and diastolic blood pressure ( MD=-4.17, 95% CI-7.12 to -1.22) in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus, but there were no significant difference in the level of TC ( MD=2.92, 95% CI-0.84 to-6.67), HDL ( MD=2.33, 95% CI-0.27 to -4.92) and LDL ( MD=-2.34, 95% CI-5.67 to -0.99) between the two groups (all P>0.05). Conclusions:The meta-analysis provided evidence the Mediterranean diet showed the beneficial improvements in blood pressure glycemic control, but the effect of Mediterranean diet on lipid profile was not significant, which needed further verification.
7.Analysis of influencing factors in internal and external environment in the historical critical disease area of Kashin-Beck disease in Aba State of Sichuan Province in 2018
Hui HUANG ; Fuzhong LI ; Xiaojing YANG ; Jinshu LI ; Xia ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Endemiology 2021;40(3):199-204
Objective:To understand the levels of selenium and T-2 toxin in the historical critical disease area of Kashin-Beck disease in Aba State of Sichuan Province.Methods:From July 2018 to February 2019, in five cities (counties) of historical critical Kashin-Beck disease areas, namely, Ma'erkang, Rangtang, Aba, Ruo'ergai and Hongyuan, one township was selected, respectively, and then one village in the historical critical disease area and one village in non-disease area were selected from the selected townships. Hair samples from 30 children aged 6 to 12 years old were collected to test selenium content in each village. Staple food samples of 10 households were collected to test the selenium and T-2 toxin contents in each village. Ten soil samples were collected from each village to test the selenium content.Results:The medians selenium of children's hair in the diseased and non-diseased villages ( n= 180, 120) were 0.260 0 and 0.330 0 mg/kg, respectively, and the diseased village was lower than non-diseased village ( Z = - 6.319, P < 0.01). In Ma'erkang and Hongyuan, the medians selenium in the diseased villages were lower than those in non-diseased villages ( Z = - 3.327, - 4.939, P < 0.01), and there were no statistically significant differences between the diseased villages and non-diseased villages in Rangtang and Ruo'ergai ( P > 0.05). The medians selenium of staple food in the diseased and non-diseased villages ( n = 110, 70) were 0.005 8 and 0.018 0 mg/kg, respectively, and the diseased village was lower than non-diseased village ( Z = - 2.263, P < 0.05). In Ruo'ergai, the median selenium in the diseased village was lower than that in non-diseased village ( Z = - 2.306, P < 0.05), and there were no statistically significant differences between the diseased villages and non-diseased villages in Ma'erkang, Rangtang and Hongyuan ( P > 0.05). The T-2 toxin contents in staple food were all less than detection limit (1 μg/kg) in the diseased and non-diseased villages ( n = 103, 65). The soil selenium contents in the diseased and non-diseased villages ( n = 60, 40) were (0.045 3 ± 0.021 5) and (0.065 8 ± 0.045 4) mg/kg, respectively, and the diseased village was lower than non-diseased village ( t = 2.672, P < 0.05). The soil selenium content in the diseased village was lower than that in non-diseased village in Hongyuan ( t = 14.838, P < 0.01). There were no statistically significant differences in the soil selenium content between the diseased villages and non-diseased villages in Ma'erkang, Rangtang and Ruo'ergai ( P > 0.05). Conclusions:The overall selenium level of children's hair is at a medium level (0.25 - < 0.50 mg/kg) in the historical critical disease area of Aba State of Sichuan Province, the selenium levels of staple food and soil are at a deficiency level (< 0.025, < 0.125 mg/kg), and the diseased villages are lower than non-diseased villages. No T-2 toxin is detected in staple food.
8.Prognosis analysis of local recurrence after excision of breast phyllodes tumors
Yuan PENG ; Yuanyuan ZHANG ; Shichen WANG ; Jinbo WU ; Fuzhong TONG ; Peng LIU ; Yingming CAO ; Bo ZHOU ; Lin CHENG ; Miao LIU ; Hongjun LIU ; Jiajia GUO ; Fei XIE ; Houpu YANG ; Siyuan WANG ; Chaobin WANG ; Shu WANG
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2021;59(2):116-120
Objective:To examine treatment outcomes of breast phyllodes tumors and the prognosis factors of local recurrence.Methods:This retrospective cohort study included 276 patients who underwent surgical resection at Breast Center, Peking University People′s Hospital from January 2011 to December 2019. Tumor subtype and histopathological features were determined from pathology reports, and the deadline of follow-up was September 30 th, 2020. All 276 patients underwent open surgery, including 17 patients of mastectomy, and 259 patients of lumpectomy. The enrolled patients were all female, with age of (41.5±11.3) years (rang: 11 to 76 years), and tumor diameter of 35(28) mm ( M( Q R)). The Kaplan-Meier method and Log-rank test were used for survival analysis. The multivariate analysis was implemented using the Cox proportional hazard model. Results:According the pathologic test, there were 191 patients of benign phyllodes tumor, 67 patients of borderline tumor and 18 patients of malignant tumor. There were 249 patients with a follow-up of more than 6 months, and 14.1% (35/249) had local recurrence. The time-to-recurrence was (28.6±22.2) months (range: 2 to 96 months), (29.1±18.1) months (range: 2 to 80 months), (32.1±30.1) months (range: 5 to 96 months) and (12.0±6.9) months (range: 8 to 20 months) for benign, borderline and malignant phyllodes tumors. Tumor diameter (≥100 mm vs.<50 mm, HR=3.968, 95%CI: 1.550 to 10.158, P=0.004) and malignant heterologous element (yes vs. no, HR=26.933, 95%CI: 3.105 to 233.600, P=0.003) were prognosis factors of local recurrence. One death from malignant phyllodes occurred after distant metastasis. The 3-year disease-free survival rates of benign, borderline and malignant phyllodes tumor were 88.2%, 81.7% and 81.4% ( P=0.300). Conclusion:Phyllodes tumors have a considerable local recurrence rate, which may be associated with tumor diameter and malignant heterologous element.
9.Prognosis analysis of local recurrence after excision of breast phyllodes tumors
Yuan PENG ; Yuanyuan ZHANG ; Shichen WANG ; Jinbo WU ; Fuzhong TONG ; Peng LIU ; Yingming CAO ; Bo ZHOU ; Lin CHENG ; Miao LIU ; Hongjun LIU ; Jiajia GUO ; Fei XIE ; Houpu YANG ; Siyuan WANG ; Chaobin WANG ; Shu WANG
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2021;59(2):116-120
Objective:To examine treatment outcomes of breast phyllodes tumors and the prognosis factors of local recurrence.Methods:This retrospective cohort study included 276 patients who underwent surgical resection at Breast Center, Peking University People′s Hospital from January 2011 to December 2019. Tumor subtype and histopathological features were determined from pathology reports, and the deadline of follow-up was September 30 th, 2020. All 276 patients underwent open surgery, including 17 patients of mastectomy, and 259 patients of lumpectomy. The enrolled patients were all female, with age of (41.5±11.3) years (rang: 11 to 76 years), and tumor diameter of 35(28) mm ( M( Q R)). The Kaplan-Meier method and Log-rank test were used for survival analysis. The multivariate analysis was implemented using the Cox proportional hazard model. Results:According the pathologic test, there were 191 patients of benign phyllodes tumor, 67 patients of borderline tumor and 18 patients of malignant tumor. There were 249 patients with a follow-up of more than 6 months, and 14.1% (35/249) had local recurrence. The time-to-recurrence was (28.6±22.2) months (range: 2 to 96 months), (29.1±18.1) months (range: 2 to 80 months), (32.1±30.1) months (range: 5 to 96 months) and (12.0±6.9) months (range: 8 to 20 months) for benign, borderline and malignant phyllodes tumors. Tumor diameter (≥100 mm vs.<50 mm, HR=3.968, 95%CI: 1.550 to 10.158, P=0.004) and malignant heterologous element (yes vs. no, HR=26.933, 95%CI: 3.105 to 233.600, P=0.003) were prognosis factors of local recurrence. One death from malignant phyllodes occurred after distant metastasis. The 3-year disease-free survival rates of benign, borderline and malignant phyllodes tumor were 88.2%, 81.7% and 81.4% ( P=0.300). Conclusion:Phyllodes tumors have a considerable local recurrence rate, which may be associated with tumor diameter and malignant heterologous element.
10.Spatial clustering analysis and trend of liver cancer death rate in Shandong province, 1970-2013
Zhentao FU ; Hongtao WANG ; Zilong LU ; Xianxian CHEN ; Jiandong SUN ; Jiyu ZHANG ; Jie CHU ; Bingyin ZHANG ; Fuzhong XUE ; Xiaolei GUO ; Aiqiang XU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2020;41(11):1865-1870
Objective:To explore the spatial clustering and trend of liver cancer mortality in different counties of Shandong province from 1970 to 2013, and provide scientific basis for the development of liver cancer prevention and control plan.Methods:Cancer mortality data were obtained from Shandong Death Registration System and three national death cause surveys in China. Mortality rate and age adjusted mortality rate were used to describe the trend of liver cancer in different years. Difference decomposing method was applied to estimate the contribution of demographic and non-demographic factors to the change of mortality. Software ArcGIS 10.2 was used for spatial analysis, and software SaTScan 9.4 was used for spatial clustering analysis on liver cancer mortality.Results:From 2011 to 2013, the crude mortality rate of liver cancer (29.89/100 000) in Shandong increased by 208.00 % and 35.37 % respectively compared with that during 1970-1974 (9.72/100 000) and 1990-1992 (22.08/100 000) and was similar to that during 2004-2005 (30.44/100 000). While age standardized mortality rate (ASMR) increased first and then decreased. The ASMR during 2011-2013 (12.62/100 000) increased by 60.97 % compared with that during 1970-1974 and decreased by 22.38 % and 21.81 % compared with that during 1990-1992 and 2004-2005, respectively. According to the difference decomposition analysis on liver cancer mortality in different years, the contribution of population factors to the liver cancer mortality rate increased from 3.38 % during 1990-1992 to 29.36 % during 2004-2005 and 46.16 % during 2011-2013. However, the contribution of non-population factors to the increase of liver cancer mortality decreased. According to the spatial distribution of liver cancer mortality, the crude mortality rate of liver cancer in different counties were quite different, ranging from 9.33/100 000 to 65.33/100 000. Using the spatial scanning statistical software to analyze the spatial clustering of liver cancer mortality, multi areas with high mortality rate of liver cancer were found, and they were mainly distributed in Jiaodong peninsula from 2011 to 2013, covering 20 counties (cities, districts) in Qingdao, Yantai and Weihai. The risk of liver cancer mortality in this area was 1.54 times higher than that in other areas. The spatial clustering distribution of liver cancer mortality during 1970-1974 was significantly different from that during 2011-2013, the areas with high mortality rate during 1970-1974 were mainly distributed in central and western Shandong. Conclusions:There were significant temporal and spatial distribution changes in the mortality rate of liver cancer in Shandong from 1970 to 2013. According to these trends and their geographical and spatial distribution, we should further explore the risk factors of liver cancer, and formulate feasible and area specific prevention and control measures for liver cancer.

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