1.Risk factor analysis and nomogram prediction model construction for pneumonia complicating infectious mononucleosis in adults
Fei HU ; Mei-Juan PENG ; Xu-Yang ZHENG ; Rui LI ; Jia-Yi ZHAN ; Hai-Feng HU ; Hong-Kai XU ; Deng-Hui YU ; Hong DU ; Jian-Qi LIAN
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(11):1359-1365
Objective To investigate the risk factors for pneumonia complicating infectious mononucleosis(IM)in adults and construct a nomogram prediction model.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 198 IM patients admitted to the Second Affiliated Hospital of Air Force Medical University from January 2015 to December 2021.Patients were divided into pneumonia group(n=52)and non-pneumonia group(n=146)based on whether pulmonary infection occurred during hospitalization.The baseline data(age,gender,place of onset,etc.),clinical manifestations(maximum body temperature,lymph node enlargement,splenomegaly,etc.),and inflammatory indicators[white blood cell count(WBC),C-reactive protein(CRP),etc.]were compared between the two groups.Kaplan-Meier curves were plotted to analyze the key indicators affecting the hospital stay of IM patients.Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the independent risk factors for pneumonia complicating IM in adults and construct a nomogram prediction model based on the identified risk factors.The predictive efficacy of the model was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve and the consistency of the model was assessed using the calibration curve.The fit of the model was evaluated using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test.Additionally,the sensitivity,specificity,and accuracy of the model were assessed using confusion matrix.Results Compared with non-pneumonia group,the pneumonia group had a significantly higher proportion of patients from rural areas,with body mass index(BMI)≥24 kg/m2,smoking history,hepatomegaly,fever duration of≥7 d,as well as increased total hospitalization costs and average daily hospitalization costs,and prolonged hospital stay(P<0.05).The proportion of patients with a history of antibiotic use was lower in the pneumonia group(P<0.05).Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that patients from rural areas,with BMI≥24 kg/m2,smoking history,no prophylactic use of antibiotics,fever duration≥7 d,and hepatomegaly had significantly prolonged hospital stays(P<0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that living in a rural area(OR=4.089,P<0.05),hepatomegaly(OR=4.082,P<0.05),and elevated WBC(OR=1.205,P<0.05)were independent risk factors for pneumonia complicating IM in adults,while the prophylactic use of antibiotics(OR=0.142,P<0.05)was an independent protective factor.The area under the ROC curve of the constructed nomogram prediction model was 0.827(95%CI 0.762-0.892),and the slope of the calibration curve was close to 1,and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed χ2=5.299,P=0.725,indicating good consistency and fit of the prediction model.The results of the confusion matrix assessment showed that the sensitivity of the model was 0.669(0.624-0.773),the specificity was 0.827(0.724-0.930),and the accuracy was 0.732(0.665-0.793).Conclusion The nomogram prediction model based on place of onset,hepatomegaly,the prophylactic use of antibiotics and WBC has excellent fit and discrimination,providing an effective quantitative tool for prognosis assessment of IM.
2.Research progress on the diagnostic performance and predictive accuracy of different prognostic scores as non-invasive liver fibrosis models for primary biliary cholangitis
Juan FENG ; Yuetian LI ; Jiamin XU ; Jingyi ZHANG ; Simiao LI ; Yingmei TANG
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2025;33(6):607-612
The grade of histological severity is a determining factor to evaluate the prognosis and survival rate in primary biliary cholangitis (PBC). However, liver biopsy is limited by sampling error, invasiveness, high cost, and poor compliance. Therefore, in order to overcome the limitations of liver biopsy, some non-invasive evaluation methods have been studied and applied to evaluate the progression of liver fibrosis in PBC. The prognostic score can be calculated using routine laboratory test results obtained at the time of diagnosis, which are characterized by their simplicity, affordability, ease of acquisition, and superior reproducibility. Recent studies have reported that the prognostic score can be employed as a non-invasive liver fibrosis model to diagnose the liver fibrosis stage in PBC and predict the transplant-free survival rate, in addition to being used to evaluate the patient prognosis and transplant-free survival (TFS). This paper reviews, summarizes, and explores the research progress of different prognostic scores as non-invasive liver fibrosis models via their diagnostic performance and predictive accuracy for PBC.
3.Dimeric sesquiterpenoids with anti-inflammatory activities from Inula britannica.
Juan ZHANG ; Jiankun YAN ; Hongjun DONG ; Rui ZHANG ; Jing CHANG ; Yanli FENG ; Xinrong XU ; Wei LI ; Feng QIU ; Chengpeng SUN
Chinese Journal of Natural Medicines (English Ed.) 2025;23(8):961-971
In continuation of research aimed at identifying anti-inflammatory agents from natural sesquiterpenoids, an activity-guided fractionation approach utilizing lipopolysaccharide (LPS)-mediated RAW264.7 cells was employed to investigate chemical constituents from Inula Britannica (I. britannica). Seven novel sesquiterpenoid dimers inulabritanoids A-G (1-7) and two novel sesquiterpenoid monomers inulabritanoids H (8) and I (9) were isolated from I. britannica together with eighteen known compounds (10-27). The structural elucidation was accomplished through comprehensive analysis of 1D and 2D nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR), high-resolution mass spectrometry (HR-MS), and electronic circular dichroism (ECD) spectra, complemented by quantum chemical calculations. Compounds 1, 2, 12, 16, 19, and 26 demonstrated inhibitory effects on NO production, with IC50 values of 3.65, 5.48, 3.29, 6.91, 3.12, and 5.67 μmol·L-1, respectively. Mechanistic studies revealed that compound 1 inhibited IκB kinase β (IKKβ) phosphorylation, thereby blocking nuclear factor κB (NF-κB) nuclear translocation, and activated the kelch-like ECH-associated protein 1 (Keap1)/nuclear factor erythroid 2-related factor 2 (Nrf2) signal pathway, leading to decreased expression of NADPH oxidase 2 (NOX-2), inducible nitric oxide synthase (iNOS), tumor necrosis factor α (TNF-α), interleukin-6 (IL-6), monocyte chemotactic protein-1 (MCP-1), IL-1β, and IL-1α and increased expression of NAD(P)H: quinone oxidoreductase 1 (NQO-1) and heme oxygenase-1 (HO-1), thus exhibiting anti-inflammatory effects in vitro. These results indicate that dimeric sesquiterpenoids may serve as promising candidates for anti-inflammatory drug development.
Mice
;
Animals
;
Sesquiterpenes/isolation & purification*
;
Anti-Inflammatory Agents/isolation & purification*
;
Inula/chemistry*
;
RAW 264.7 Cells
;
Nitric Oxide
;
Molecular Structure
;
NF-kappa B/immunology*
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NF-E2-Related Factor 2/immunology*
;
Macrophages/immunology*
;
Nitric Oxide Synthase Type II/immunology*
;
Plant Extracts/pharmacology*
;
Lipopolysaccharides
;
Tumor Necrosis Factor-alpha/immunology*
;
I-kappa B Kinase/genetics*
4.A novel homozygous mutation of CFAP300 identified in a Chinese patient with primary ciliary dyskinesia and infertility.
Zheng ZHOU ; Qi QI ; Wen-Hua WANG ; Jie DONG ; Juan-Juan XU ; Yu-Ming FENG ; Zhi-Chuan ZOU ; Li CHEN ; Jin-Zhao MA ; Bing YAO
Asian Journal of Andrology 2025;27(1):113-119
Primary ciliary dyskinesia (PCD) is a clinically rare, genetically and phenotypically heterogeneous condition characterized by chronic respiratory tract infections, male infertility, tympanitis, and laterality abnormalities. PCD is typically resulted from variants in genes encoding assembly or structural proteins that are indispensable for the movement of motile cilia. Here, we identified a novel nonsense mutation, c.466G>T, in cilia- and flagella-associated protein 300 ( CFAP300 ) resulting in a stop codon (p.Glu156*) through whole-exome sequencing (WES). The proband had a PCD phenotype with laterality defects and immotile sperm flagella displaying a combined loss of the inner dynein arm (IDA) and outer dynein arm (ODA). Bioinformatic programs predicted that the mutation is deleterious. Successful pregnancy was achieved through intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI). Our results expand the spectrum of CFAP300 variants in PCD and provide reproductive guidance for infertile couples suffering from PCD caused by them.
Adult
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Female
;
Humans
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Male
;
Pregnancy
;
China
;
Ciliary Motility Disorders/genetics*
;
Codon, Nonsense
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East Asian People/genetics*
;
Exome Sequencing
;
Homozygote
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Infertility, Male/genetics*
;
Kartagener Syndrome/genetics*
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Pedigree
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Sperm Injections, Intracytoplasmic
;
Cytoskeletal Proteins/genetics*
5.Clinical analysis in 15 pediatric patients with osteochondrodysplasias related to COMP gene variants
Qun LI ; Yiguo HUANG ; Xin LI ; Tingting YU ; Lin XU ; Guoying CHANG ; Yu DING ; Yao CHEN ; Yirou WANG ; Biyun FENG ; Juan LI ; Xiumin WANG
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2025;63(6):625-629
Objective:To summarize the clinical and genetic characteristics of pseudoachondroplasia and multiple epiphyseal dysplasia caused by COMP gene variants in pediatric patients.Methods:This retrospective study concluded 15 pediatric patients with COMP-related pseudoachondroplasia and multiple epiphyseal dysplasia at Shanghai Children′s Medical Center, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine from July 2013 to August 2024. This paper analyzed clinical manifestations, laboratory findings and genetic testing.Results:This cohort comprised 15 pediatric patients (8 males and 7 females) with a diagnostic age of 5.3 (1.8,9.3) years. The major clinical presentations included abnormal gait (15/15), brachydactyly (11/15), genu varum (12/15), irregular metaphyseal changes (14/14) and epiphyseal dysplasia (14/14). Genetic analysis revealed 13 cases of pseudoachondroplasia and 2 multiple epiphyseal dysplasias cases associated with COMP gene variants. Fifteen variants were identified (8 pathogenic and 7 likely pathogenic), including 2 novel variants (c.1223A>G, c.1378G>C). Thirteen of these patients had variations clustered in exons 8-14 encoding the calmodulin-like domains, with c.1414_1419dupGACGAC emerging as a hotspot variant.Conclusions:COMP-related pseudoachondroplasia and multiple epiphyseal dysplasia predominantly manifest with gait abnormalities and skeletal deformities. COMP gene pathogenic variations were mainly located in calmodulin-like domains.
6.Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of infectious diseases of the central nervous system: a national multicenter cross-sectional study
Jiahua ZHAO ; Jun GUO ; Xiaoyan ZHANG ; Wei LI ; Wen HUANG ; Xiaofei ZHU ; Jianxin YE ; Xiaoling WANG ; Juan DU ; Min LI ; Juan DU ; Zegang YIN ; Jinli FENG ; Chaohui WANG ; Xiaowei MAO ; Jing CHEN ; Xiaowei XING ; Yuheng SHAN ; Yuying CEN ; Xiaojiao XU ; Ruishu TAN ; Jiatang ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Neurology 2025;58(5):485-493
Objective:To analyze the epidemiological and clinical features of infectious diseases of the central nervous system (CNS).Methods:A cross-sectional study and analysis were conducted to summarize the epidemiological and clinical characteristics of 9 918 patients with CNS infectious diseases, who were diagnosed and treated at 29 hospitals across China from January 1, 2001 to December 31, 2020. Data collected included demographic data, clinical manifestations, health economic indicators, and prognostic outcomes.Results:Among the 9 918 collected cases of CNS infectious diseases, 5 559 were male (56.0%) and 4 359 were female (44.0%), with an onset age of 38 (25, 53) years. Education level: slightly more junior high school education (2 651 cases, 26.7%), and less elementary school education and below (2 181 cases, 22.0%) were found. Occupational distribution: farmers were found predominant (3 215 cases, 32.4%), followed by workers (1 826 cases, 18.4%) and students (1 633 cases, 16.5%). Clinical manifestations: headache (6 074 cases, 61.2%), fever (5 869 cases, 59.2%) and positive meningeal irritation signs (2 273 cases, 22.9%) were the 3 most common clinical manifestations, followed by nausea and (or) vomiting (2 095 cases, 21.1%), impaired consciousness (2 077 cases, 20.9%), psychiatric symptom (1 866 cases, 18.8%) and epilepsy (1 627 cases, 16.4%), etc., and cranial nerve involvement was found in 669 cases (6.7%). Major pathogens included viruses in 6 814 cases (68.7%), Mycobacterium tuberculosis in 1 677 cases (16.9%), common bacteria in 864 cases (8.7%), fungi in 254 cases (2.6%), spirochetes of syphilis in 183 cases (1.8%), parasites in 121 cases (1.2%), and rickettsiae in 5 cases (0.1%). Urban-rural distribution: slightly more cases were found in the countryside (5 418 cases, 54.6%) than in the towns (4 500 cases, 45.4%). Distribution of onset by season: 2 412 cases (24.3%) fell ill in spring, 2 835 cases (28.6%) in summer, 2 187 cases (22.1%) in fall, and 2 484 cases (25.0%) in winter. Health economics: the duration of hospitalization was 15 (8, 27) days, and the cost of hospitalization was 1.53 (0.91, 3.02)×10 000 yuan. Prognosis: 9 531 cases (96.1%) were cured or improved, and 92 cases (0.9%) died. Conclusions:The pathogens responsible for CNS infectious diseases are predominantly viruses. Although the incidence is slightly higher during the summer months, the overall seasonal pattern is not particularly pronounced. These infections are more commonly observed in young and middle-aged males and present with a diverse range of clinical manifestations, contributing to a significant disease burden.
7.Effect of different intensity neuromuscular training on muscle strength and knee joint function of patients after anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction
Juan WANG ; Qing ZHANG ; Changlin ZHOU ; Changyun CHEN ; Feng DAI ; Xianghong SUN ; Ting ZOU ; Jian WANG ; Junkai GAO ; Weidong XU
Chinese Journal of Rehabilitation Theory and Practice 2025;31(9):1083-1091
Objective To compare the effect of different intensity of neuromuscular training(NMT)on muscle strength and knee joint function of patients after anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction(ACLR).Methods From January,2023 to January,2024,60 ACLR patients in Changhai Hospital were selected,and they received the same intensity of NMT from one to eight weeks after surgery.Eight weeks after surgery,they were randomly divided into low intensity group(n=30)and high intensity group(n=30),and then they received different inten-sities of NMT from nine to 16 weeks after surgery,each training session lasted one hour,with three sessions per week,totaly 48 sessions.The Lysholm score,knee flexor and extensor muscle strength and muscle endurance-were compared at eight weeks and 16 weeks after surgery.Results After group training,the Lysholm score significantly increased in both groups(|t|>13.739,P<0.001),and was higher in the high intensity group than in the low intensity group(t=-2.574,P<0.05);in the high intensity group,the relative peak torque and endurance of the extensor and flexor muscles improved at angular velocities of 60°/s,120°/s and 180 °/s(|t|>2.320,P<0.05);in the low intensity group,the flexor peak torque improved at all the three angular velocities(t>2.177,P<0.05),the extensor peak torque improved at angular velocities of 60°/s and 180°/s(|t|>1.715,P<0.05),and the extensor endurance improved at angular velocity of 60°/s(t=-2.293,P<0.05).However,there was no significant difference in the relative peak torque and endurance of the extensor and flexor muscles at all the three angular velocities(P>0.05).Conclusion Both high and low intensity NMT could improve the muscle strength,muscle endurance and knee joint func-tion.Maybe,high intensity is superior to low intensity.Further verification is still needed.
8.Changing antimicrobial resistance profiles of Burkholderia cepacia in hospitals across China:results from CHINET Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance Program,2015-2021
Chunyue GE ; Yunjian HU ; Xiaoman AI ; Yang YANG ; Fupin HU ; Demei ZHU ; Yingchun XU ; Xiaojiang ZHANG ; Hui LI ; Ping JI ; Yi XIE ; Mei KANG ; Chuanqing WANG ; Pan FU ; Yuanhong XU ; Ying HUANG ; Ziyong SUN ; Zhongju CHEN ; Yuxing NI ; Jingyong SUN ; Yunzhuo CHU ; Sufei TIAN ; Zhidong HU ; Jin LI ; Yunsong YU ; Jie LIN ; Bin SHAN ; Yan DU ; Sufang GUO ; Lianhua WEI ; Fengmei ZOU ; Hong ZHANG ; Chun WANG ; Chao ZHUO ; Danhong SU ; Dawen GUO ; Jinying ZHAO ; Hua YU ; Xiangning HUANG ; Wen'en LIU ; Yanming LI ; Yan JIN ; Chunhong SHAO ; Xuesong XU ; Chao YAN ; Shanmei WANG ; Yafei CHU ; Lixia ZHANG ; Juan MA ; Shuping ZHOU ; Yan ZHOU ; Lei ZHU ; Jinhua MENG ; Fang DONG ; Zhiyong LÜ ; Fangfang HU ; Han SHEN ; Wanqing ZHOU ; Wei JIA ; Gang LI ; Jinsong WU ; Yuemei LU ; Jihong LI ; Jinju DUAN ; Jianbang KANG ; Xiaobo MA ; Yanping ZHENG ; Ruyi GUO ; Yan ZHU ; Yunsheng CHEN ; Qing MENG ; Shifu WANG ; Xuefei HU ; Jilu SHEN ; Wenhui HUANG ; Ruizhong WANG ; Hua FANG ; Bixia YU ; Yong ZHAO ; Ping GONG ; Kaizhen WENG ; Yirong ZHANG ; Jiangshan LIU ; Longfeng LIAO ; Hongqin GU ; Lin JIANG ; Wen HE ; Shunhong XUE ; Jiao FENG ; Chunlei YUE
Chinese Journal of Infection and Chemotherapy 2025;25(5):557-562
Objective To examine the changing prevalence and antimicrobial resistance profiles of Burkholderia cepacia in 52 hospitals across China from 2015 to 2021.Methods A total of 9 261 strains of B.cepacia were collected from 52 hospitals between January 1,2015 and December 31,2021.Antimicrobial susceptibility of the strains was tested using Kirby-Bauer method or automated antimicrobial susceptibility testing systems according to a unified protocol.The results were interpreted according to the breakpoints released in the Clinical & Laboratory Standards Institute(CLSI)guidelines(2023 edition).Results A total of 9 261 strains of B.cepacia were isolated from all age groups,especially elderly patients.The proportion was 11.1%(1 032 strains)in children,significantly lower than the proportion in adults.About half(46.5%,4 310/9 261)of the strains were isolated from patients at least 60 years old and 42.3%(3 919/9 261)of the strains were isolated from young adults.Most isolates(71.1%)were isolated from sputum and respiratory secretions,followed by urine(10.7%)and blood samples(8.1%).B.cepacia isolates were highly susceptible to the five antimicrobial agents recommended in the CLSI M100 document(33rd edition,2023).B.cepacia isolates showed relatively higher resistance rates to meropenem and levofloxacin.However,the resistance rates to ceftazidime,trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole,and minocycline remained below 8.1%.The percentage of B.cepacia strains resistant to levofloxacin was the highest compared to other antibiotics in any of the three age groups(from 12.4%in the patients<18 years old to 20.6%in the patients aged 60 years or older).Conclusions B.cepacia is one of the clinically important non-fermenting gram-negative bacteria.Accurate and timely reporting of antimicrobial susceptibility test results and ongoing antimicrobial resistance surveillance are helpful for rational prescription of antimicrobial agents and proper prevention and control of nosocomial infections.
9.Association of Body Mass Index with All-Cause Mortality and Cause-Specific Mortality in Rural China: 10-Year Follow-up of a Population-Based Multicenter Prospective Study.
Juan Juan HUANG ; Yuan Zhi DI ; Ling Yu SHEN ; Jian Guo LIANG ; Jiang DU ; Xue Fang CAO ; Wei Tao DUAN ; Ai Wei HE ; Jun LIANG ; Li Mei ZHU ; Zi Sen LIU ; Fang LIU ; Shu Min YANG ; Zu Hui XU ; Cheng CHEN ; Bin ZHANG ; Jiao Xia YAN ; Yan Chun LIANG ; Rong LIU ; Tao ZHU ; Hong Zhi LI ; Fei SHEN ; Bo Xuan FENG ; Yi Jun HE ; Zi Han LI ; Ya Qi ZHAO ; Tong Lei GUO ; Li Qiong BAI ; Wei LU ; Qi JIN ; Lei GAO ; He Nan XIN
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(10):1179-1193
OBJECTIVE:
This study aimed to explore the association between body mass index (BMI) and mortality based on the 10-year population-based multicenter prospective study.
METHODS:
A general population-based multicenter prospective study was conducted at four sites in rural China between 2013 and 2023. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic spline analyses were used to assess the association between BMI and mortality. Stratified analyses were performed based on the individual characteristics of the participants.
RESULTS:
Overall, 19,107 participants with a sum of 163,095 person-years were included and 1,910 participants died. The underweight (< 18.5 kg/m 2) presented an increase in all-cause mortality (adjusted hazards ratio [ aHR] = 2.00, 95% confidence interval [ CI]: 1.66-2.41), while overweight (≥ 24.0 to < 28.0 kg/m 2) and obesity (≥ 28.0 kg/m 2) presented a decrease with an aHR of 0.61 (95% CI: 0.52-0.73) and 0.51 (95% CI: 0.37-0.70), respectively. Overweight ( aHR = 0.76, 95% CI: 0.67-0.86) and mild obesity ( aHR = 0.72, 95% CI: 0.59-0.87) had a positive impact on mortality in people older than 60 years. All-cause mortality decreased rapidly until reaching a BMI of 25.7 kg/m 2 ( aHR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.92-0.98) and increased slightly above that value, indicating a U-shaped association. The beneficial impact of being overweight on mortality was robust in most subgroups and sensitivity analyses.
CONCLUSION
This study provides additional evidence that overweight and mild obesity may be inversely related to the risk of death in individuals older than 60 years. Therefore, it is essential to consider age differences when formulating health and weight management strategies.
Humans
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Body Mass Index
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China/epidemiology*
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Male
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Female
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Middle Aged
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Prospective Studies
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Rural Population/statistics & numerical data*
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Aged
;
Follow-Up Studies
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Adult
;
Mortality
;
Cause of Death
;
Obesity/mortality*
;
Overweight/mortality*
10.Correlation between pulmonary cavitary tuberculosis and immune and nutritional status and prediction model construction in the Kangbei Plateau
Jing FENG ; Juan HAN ; Jiqiong LI ; Jiangcun NIMA ; Lamu ZHAXI ; Zhongbi XU ; XiaoBo HU
Chongqing Medicine 2025;54(11):2497-2502
Objective To investigate the association between cavitary pulmonary tuberculosis and im-munonutritional status in the Kangbei Plateau and construct a prediction model.Methods A total of 121 pa-tients with active pulmonary tuberculosis treated at Ganzi County People's Hospital from June 2023 to June 2024 were retrospectively enrolled and divided into cavitary group(n=53)and non-cavitary group(n=68)based on imaging findings.Clinical and laboratory data were collected.Influencing factors for pulmonary cavi-tation in tuberculosis were screened using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis to construct a prediction model.The model's performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test.Results The cavitary group had higher proportions of smokers,spu-tum-positive cases,patients with disease duration>6 months,and patients with respiratory symptoms at ini-tial diagnosis,as well as higher neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio(NLR),platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio(PLR),neutrophil count,and platelet count than the non-cavitary group(P<0.05).Conversely,the prognostic nutri-tional index(PNI),lymphocyte count,and albumin(ALB)level were lower in the cavitary group(P<0.05).Multivariate analysis identified disease duration,NLR,and ALB as influencing factors for pulmonary cavitation in tuberculosis patients(P<0.05).The prediction model yielded an area under the curve(AUC)of 0.909,and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test indicated good model fit(χ2=10.740,P=0.217).Conclusion Pulmonary cavitation in high-altitude tuberculosis patients is associated with disease duration,ALB,and NLR.The com-bined predictive value of these three indicators is high.

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