1.Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Jiashan County of Zhejiang Province from 1991 to 2020 and Prediction of Change Trend from 2021 to 2035
Feiqiong SHEN ; Haijuan XIONG ; Xinglin FEI ; Jinhua YANG ; Kun CHEN ; Mingjuan JIN
China Cancer 2025;34(1):17-25
[Purpose]To analyze the trends of cancer incidence and mortality from 1991 to 2020 in Jiashan County of Zhejiang Province,and to predict trends from 2021 to 2035.[Methods]Cancer cases and deaths from 1991 to 2020 in Jiashan County were collected.The crude inci-dence rate and mortality rate,age-standardized rate(ASR)were calculated.The annual percentage change(APC)and average annual percentage change(AAPC)were calculated by Joinpoint model to analyze the trend of cancer incidence and mortality.The age-period-cohort model was used to predict the trends of cancer incidence and mortality from 2021 to 2035 and the estimated annual percentage change(EAPC)was calculated.[Results]The age-standardized incidence rates by Chinese standard population(ASIRC)in Jiashan were 159.06/105,187.25/105,and 254.37/105 during 1991-2000,2001-2010,and 2011-2020,respectively.The trends in young and middle-aged women and people above 65 years old were more predominant.Lung,stomach,colorectal,liver and female breast cancers were major incident cancers for the period from 1991 to 2020.The cancer incidence showed an increasing trend from 1991 to 2020(AAPC=2.17%,P<0.05)and is expect-ed to continue to increase over 2021 to 2035(EAPC=3.03%,P<0.05).The age-standardized mor-tality rates by Chinese standard population(ASMRC)in Jiashan were 119.74/105,117.79/105,and 100.11/105 during 1991-2000,2001-2010,and 2011-2020,respectively.Lung,liver,stomach,colorectal,esophageal,and pancreatic cancers were leading causes of cancer deaths from 1991 to 2020.The cancer mortality showed a decreasing trend from 1991 to 2020(AAPC=-1.00%,P<0.05)and is expected to continue to decline over 2021 to 2035(EAPC=-1.67%,P<0.05).[Conclusion]The mortality rate from cancers has been gradually declined in Jiashan County,while the incidence rate has increased significantly and will continue to increase in the next 15 years.High incidence of lung cancer,liver cancer,gastric cancer and colorectal cancer makes it crucial to pay close attention to key groups and strengthen the control of risk factors of high inci-dence cancer.
2.Survival Analysis of Three Malignant Tumors with the Highest Risk of Death in Jiashan County,Zhejiang Province from 2006 to 2020
Lingling YU ; Xinglin FEI ; Jinhua YANG ; Feiqiong SHEN ; Zepeng ZHANG ; Zhaohui ZHANG
China Cancer 2025;34(1):26-31
[Purpose]To analyze the survival of lung cancer,liver cancer and stomach cancer in Jiashan County,Zhejiang Province from 2006 to 2020.[Methods]From January 1,2006 to De-cember 31,2020,new cases of lung cancer,liver cancer and stomach cancer were collected in Jiashan County,Zhejiang Province.The 5-year observed survival rate(OSR),relative survival rate(RSR)and age-standardized relative survival rate(ARSR)by sex and age were calculated from 2006-2010,2011-2015 and 2016-2020.The observed and relative survivals were calculated using the lifetime table and Ederer Ⅱ methods,respectively,and age standardized using the Inter-national Cancer Survival Standard.Joinpoint software was utilized to compute the average annual percentage change(AAPC)for analyzing trends in various survival rates from 2006 to 2020.[Re-sults]The 5-year RSR of lung cancer,liver cancer and stomach cancer increased from 8.1%,4.8%and 23.2%(2006-2010)to 36.0%,17.6%and 48.2%(2016-2020),showing an increasing trend(AAPC=14.4%,AAPC=11.4%,AAPC=6.4%,respectively,all P<0.05).Accordingly,the 5-year RSR of three types of malignant tumors showed an increasing trend in both men and women(all P<0.05)except liver cancer in women(P>0.05).The 5-year RSR of three types of malignant tu-mors in the age groups of 0~64 and 65+years old showed a significant increasing trend(all P<0.05).The increase of lung cancer and liver cancer was greater in the age group of 0~64 years old,and the increase of gastric cancer was greater in the age group of 65+years old.[Conclusion]The 5-year survival rates of the three types of malignant tumors with the highest mortality risk in Jiashan County,Zhejiang Province all increased significantly from 2006 to 2020,indicating that the pre-vention and treatment effect of malignant tumors is significant,but the survival rate of malignant tumors varied significantly among different populations,so targeted intervention should be carried out.
3.Wield the Sword of Cancer Screening,Plant the Banner of Cancer Prevention and Treatment:50-Year Develop-ment and Prospects of Cancer Prevention and Control in Jiashan County,Zhejiang Province
Xinglin FEI ; Jinhua YANG ; Lingling YU ; Feng XUE ; Feiqiong SHEN
China Cancer 2025;34(1):2-9
In the past 50 years,Jiashan County had leveraged the platform of Zhejiang University and relied on its independent cancer prevention and treatment institute to vigorously carry out co-lorectal cancer prevention and control work,which made remarkable results and becoming a na-tional model for county-level cancer prevention and control.The paper summarized the develop-ment history of Jiashan Institute of Cancer Prevention and Treatment,the process of colorectal cancer prevention and treatment,the establishment and main results of tumor registry and three-level cancer prevention system,and looked forward to the future cancer prevention and control work in Jiashan County.
4.Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Jiashan County of Zhejiang Province from 1991 to 2020 and Prediction of Change Trend from 2021 to 2035
Feiqiong SHEN ; Haijuan XIONG ; Xinglin FEI ; Jinhua YANG ; Kun CHEN ; Mingjuan JIN
China Cancer 2025;34(1):17-25
[Purpose]To analyze the trends of cancer incidence and mortality from 1991 to 2020 in Jiashan County of Zhejiang Province,and to predict trends from 2021 to 2035.[Methods]Cancer cases and deaths from 1991 to 2020 in Jiashan County were collected.The crude inci-dence rate and mortality rate,age-standardized rate(ASR)were calculated.The annual percentage change(APC)and average annual percentage change(AAPC)were calculated by Joinpoint model to analyze the trend of cancer incidence and mortality.The age-period-cohort model was used to predict the trends of cancer incidence and mortality from 2021 to 2035 and the estimated annual percentage change(EAPC)was calculated.[Results]The age-standardized incidence rates by Chinese standard population(ASIRC)in Jiashan were 159.06/105,187.25/105,and 254.37/105 during 1991-2000,2001-2010,and 2011-2020,respectively.The trends in young and middle-aged women and people above 65 years old were more predominant.Lung,stomach,colorectal,liver and female breast cancers were major incident cancers for the period from 1991 to 2020.The cancer incidence showed an increasing trend from 1991 to 2020(AAPC=2.17%,P<0.05)and is expect-ed to continue to increase over 2021 to 2035(EAPC=3.03%,P<0.05).The age-standardized mor-tality rates by Chinese standard population(ASMRC)in Jiashan were 119.74/105,117.79/105,and 100.11/105 during 1991-2000,2001-2010,and 2011-2020,respectively.Lung,liver,stomach,colorectal,esophageal,and pancreatic cancers were leading causes of cancer deaths from 1991 to 2020.The cancer mortality showed a decreasing trend from 1991 to 2020(AAPC=-1.00%,P<0.05)and is expected to continue to decline over 2021 to 2035(EAPC=-1.67%,P<0.05).[Conclusion]The mortality rate from cancers has been gradually declined in Jiashan County,while the incidence rate has increased significantly and will continue to increase in the next 15 years.High incidence of lung cancer,liver cancer,gastric cancer and colorectal cancer makes it crucial to pay close attention to key groups and strengthen the control of risk factors of high inci-dence cancer.
5.Survival Analysis of Three Malignant Tumors with the Highest Risk of Death in Jiashan County,Zhejiang Province from 2006 to 2020
Lingling YU ; Xinglin FEI ; Jinhua YANG ; Feiqiong SHEN ; Zepeng ZHANG ; Zhaohui ZHANG
China Cancer 2025;34(1):26-31
[Purpose]To analyze the survival of lung cancer,liver cancer and stomach cancer in Jiashan County,Zhejiang Province from 2006 to 2020.[Methods]From January 1,2006 to De-cember 31,2020,new cases of lung cancer,liver cancer and stomach cancer were collected in Jiashan County,Zhejiang Province.The 5-year observed survival rate(OSR),relative survival rate(RSR)and age-standardized relative survival rate(ARSR)by sex and age were calculated from 2006-2010,2011-2015 and 2016-2020.The observed and relative survivals were calculated using the lifetime table and Ederer Ⅱ methods,respectively,and age standardized using the Inter-national Cancer Survival Standard.Joinpoint software was utilized to compute the average annual percentage change(AAPC)for analyzing trends in various survival rates from 2006 to 2020.[Re-sults]The 5-year RSR of lung cancer,liver cancer and stomach cancer increased from 8.1%,4.8%and 23.2%(2006-2010)to 36.0%,17.6%and 48.2%(2016-2020),showing an increasing trend(AAPC=14.4%,AAPC=11.4%,AAPC=6.4%,respectively,all P<0.05).Accordingly,the 5-year RSR of three types of malignant tumors showed an increasing trend in both men and women(all P<0.05)except liver cancer in women(P>0.05).The 5-year RSR of three types of malignant tu-mors in the age groups of 0~64 and 65+years old showed a significant increasing trend(all P<0.05).The increase of lung cancer and liver cancer was greater in the age group of 0~64 years old,and the increase of gastric cancer was greater in the age group of 65+years old.[Conclusion]The 5-year survival rates of the three types of malignant tumors with the highest mortality risk in Jiashan County,Zhejiang Province all increased significantly from 2006 to 2020,indicating that the pre-vention and treatment effect of malignant tumors is significant,but the survival rate of malignant tumors varied significantly among different populations,so targeted intervention should be carried out.
6.Wield the Sword of Cancer Screening,Plant the Banner of Cancer Prevention and Treatment:50-Year Develop-ment and Prospects of Cancer Prevention and Control in Jiashan County,Zhejiang Province
Xinglin FEI ; Jinhua YANG ; Lingling YU ; Feng XUE ; Feiqiong SHEN
China Cancer 2025;34(1):2-9
In the past 50 years,Jiashan County had leveraged the platform of Zhejiang University and relied on its independent cancer prevention and treatment institute to vigorously carry out co-lorectal cancer prevention and control work,which made remarkable results and becoming a na-tional model for county-level cancer prevention and control.The paper summarized the develop-ment history of Jiashan Institute of Cancer Prevention and Treatment,the process of colorectal cancer prevention and treatment,the establishment and main results of tumor registry and three-level cancer prevention system,and looked forward to the future cancer prevention and control work in Jiashan County.

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