1.Construction and verification of atherosclerosis risk prediction model for rheumatoid arthritis patients
Jing LYU ; Fangying ZHU ; Kai ZHU ; Yun LI ; Na YANG ; Shuyun WEN ; Miqian ZHONG
Tianjin Medical Journal 2025;53(10):1043-1047
Objective To construct a risk prediction model for atherosclerosis(AS)in patients with rheumatoid arthritis(RA)based on Lasso-Logistic regression analysis and provide a scientific basis for individualized clinical intervention.Methods The retrospective clinical data were collected from 344 RA patients,including 86 patients with AS(RA+AS group)and 258 patients with without AS(RA group).The clinical characteristics and initial laboratory test results were compared between the two groups.Lasso regression was used to screen the key predictive variables,and Logistic regression was combined to construct the prediction mode.The discrimination of the model was evaluated through the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve and the area under the curve(AUC).The Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to assess the calibration,and decision curve analysis was used to verify the clinical applicability of the model.Results Seven predictive variables were identified including RA disease duration,DAS28 score,C-reactive protein(CRP),triglycerides(TG),high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C),fasting blood glucose(FBG)and hypertension.The risk prediction model for AS in RA patients was:Logit(P)=-2.674+0.605×RA disease duration+0.393×DAS28 score+0.310×CRP+1.346×TG-2.289×HDL-C+0.679×FBG+0.711×hypertension.The AUC of the model was 0.965(95%CI:0.943-0.987),and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed χ2=0.547,P=1.000,indicating good discrimination and calibration.Clinical decision curve analysis showed that the probability threshold ranged from 7%to 92%,demonstrating high clinical applicability.Conclusion The AS risk prediction model constructed in this study for RA patients can effectively identify high-risk individuals,supporting the development of personalized prevention and treatment strategies.
2.Construction and verification of atherosclerosis risk prediction model for rheumatoid arthritis patients
Jing LYU ; Fangying ZHU ; Kai ZHU ; Yun LI ; Na YANG ; Shuyun WEN ; Miqian ZHONG
Tianjin Medical Journal 2025;53(10):1043-1047
Objective To construct a risk prediction model for atherosclerosis(AS)in patients with rheumatoid arthritis(RA)based on Lasso-Logistic regression analysis and provide a scientific basis for individualized clinical intervention.Methods The retrospective clinical data were collected from 344 RA patients,including 86 patients with AS(RA+AS group)and 258 patients with without AS(RA group).The clinical characteristics and initial laboratory test results were compared between the two groups.Lasso regression was used to screen the key predictive variables,and Logistic regression was combined to construct the prediction mode.The discrimination of the model was evaluated through the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve and the area under the curve(AUC).The Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to assess the calibration,and decision curve analysis was used to verify the clinical applicability of the model.Results Seven predictive variables were identified including RA disease duration,DAS28 score,C-reactive protein(CRP),triglycerides(TG),high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C),fasting blood glucose(FBG)and hypertension.The risk prediction model for AS in RA patients was:Logit(P)=-2.674+0.605×RA disease duration+0.393×DAS28 score+0.310×CRP+1.346×TG-2.289×HDL-C+0.679×FBG+0.711×hypertension.The AUC of the model was 0.965(95%CI:0.943-0.987),and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed χ2=0.547,P=1.000,indicating good discrimination and calibration.Clinical decision curve analysis showed that the probability threshold ranged from 7%to 92%,demonstrating high clinical applicability.Conclusion The AS risk prediction model constructed in this study for RA patients can effectively identify high-risk individuals,supporting the development of personalized prevention and treatment strategies.
3.Therapeutic effect of focused ultrasound on rabbit ear acnevv
Xiaoyong DONG ; zhangyou GUO ; Qingyi LI ; Yunchang LIU ; Yu TIAN ; Fangying ZHONG ; Jianzhong ZOU
Chongqing Medicine 2017;46(34):4763-4765,4770
Objective To investigate the feasibility and effectiveness of focused ultrasound on the acne of rabbit ear.Methods Eighteen male rabbits were randomly divided into blank control group,model control group and ultrasound irradiation group.Acne rabbit ear model was established by Kligman's method in model control group and ultrasound irradiation group.Then,continuous ultrasonic irradiation was given in ultrasound irradiation group.Pathological changes were observed at the time of before and after ultrasound irradiation and 14 days after ultrasound irradiation.Results After modeling,hair follicle expansion,hyperkeratosis,acupoint hypertrophy were observed in blank control group.Compared with blank control group,the thickness of horn layer,the sebaceous gland diameter and other index in model controlgroup were statistically significant (P<0.01);After irradiation,there were hyperemia and edema in epidermis,angiotelectasis and inflammatory infiltrating,but coagulative necrosis in slice was not observed,14 days later,hair follicle mild expansion,mild keratosis,spiny thinning were observed in ultrasound irradiation group,when compared with model control group,the thickness of horn layer,sebaceous gland diameter and other index were decreased in ultrasound irradiation group,and the differences were statistically significant(P<0.01).Conclusion The ultrasonic focusing treatment on rabbit ear acne is feasible and effective.

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail