1.Predicting Postoperative Circulatory Complications in Older Patients: A Machine Learning Approach.
Xiao Yun HU ; Wei Xuan SHENG ; Kang YU ; Jie Tai DUO ; Peng Fei LIU ; Ya Wei LI ; Dong Xin WANG ; Hui Hui MIAO
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(3):328-340
OBJECTIVE:
This study examines utilizes the advantages of machine learning algorithms to discern key determinants in prognosticate postoperative circulatory complications (PCCs) for older patients.
METHODS:
This secondary analysis of data from a randomized controlled trial involved 1,720 elderly participants in five tertiary hospitals in Beijing, China. Participants aged 60-90 years undergoing major non-cardiac surgery under general anesthesia. The primary outcome metric of the study was the occurrence of PCCs, according to the European Society of Cardiology and the European Society of Anaesthesiology diagnostic criteria. The analysis metrics contained 67 candidate variables, including baseline characteristics, laboratory tests, and scale assessments.
RESULTS:
Our feature selection process identified key variables that significantly impact patient outcomes, including the duration of ICU stay, surgery, and anesthesia; APACHE-II score; intraoperative average heart rate and blood loss; cumulative opioid use during surgery; patient age; VAS-Move-Median score on the 1st to 3rd day; Charlson comorbidity score; volumes of intraoperative plasma, crystalloid, and colloid fluids; cumulative red blood cell transfusion during surgery; and endotracheal intubation duration. Notably, our Random Forest model demonstrated exceptional performance with an accuracy of 0.9872.
CONCLUSION
We have developed and validated an algorithm for predicting PCCs in elderly patients by identifying key risk factors.
Aged
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Cardiovascular Diseases/etiology*
;
Machine Learning
;
Postoperative Complications/etiology*
;
Risk Factors
;
Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
;
Secondary Data Analysis
2.Influencing factors of bone nonunion after intramedullary needle operation for tibial fracture
Shao-Wei CHEN ; Wen-Bo LI ; Jie SHI ; Wei-Duo YANG ; Yu-Xiang ZHANG ; Fu-Hui WANG ; Qiu-Ming GAO
Journal of Regional Anatomy and Operative Surgery 2024;33(10):927-930
Intramedullary needle(IMN)has the advantages of high healing rate and low incidence of complications in treatment of tibial fracture,and has become one of the most commonly used fixation methods for the treatment of tibial fracture.However,due to the patient's own factors,fracture location and fracture type,infection and surgical treatment,bone nonunion after IMN still occurs in clinic.Bone nonunion leads to the increase of medical cost and prolonged the hospitalization time of patients,which causes great pain to patients,and also brings great challenges to the treatment of orthopedic surgeons.Therefore,this paper reviews the influencing factors of bone nonunion after IMN for tibial fracture,in order to provide reference for clinical treatment.
3.A novel method for electroencephalography background analysis in neonates with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy.
Xiu-Ying FANG ; Yi-Li TIAN ; Shu-Yuan CHEN ; Quan SHI ; Duo ZHENG ; Ying-Jie WANG ; Jian MAO
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2023;25(2):128-134
OBJECTIVES:
To explore a new method for electroencephalography (EEG) background analysis in neonates with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE) and its relationship with clinical grading and head magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) grading.
METHODS:
A retrospective analysis was performed for the video electroencephalography (vEEG) and amplitude-integrated electroencephalography (aEEG) monitoring data within 24 hours after birth of neonates diagnosed with HIE from January 2016 to August 2022. All items of EEG background analysis were enrolled into an assessment system and were scored according to severity to obtain the total EEG score. The correlations of total EEG score with total MRI score and total Sarnat score (TSS, used to evaluate clinical gradings) were analyzed by Spearman correlation analysis. The total EEG score was compared among the neonates with different clinical gradings and among the neonates with different head MRI gradings. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under thecurve (AUC) were used to evaluate the value of total EEG score in diagnosing moderate/severe head MRI abnormalities and clinical moderate/severe HIE, which was then compared with the aEEG grading method.
RESULTS:
A total of 50 neonates with HIE were included. The total EEG score was positively correlated with the total head MRI score and TSS (rs=0.840 and 0.611 respectively, P<0.001). There were significant differences in the total EEG score between different clinical grading groups and different head MRI grading groups (P<0.05). The total EEG score and the aEEG grading method had an AUC of 0.936 and 0.617 respectively in judging moderate/severe head MRI abnormalities (P<0.01) and an AUC of 0.887 and 0.796 respectively in judging clinical moderate/severe HIE (P>0.05). The total EEG scores of ≤6 points, 7-13 points, and ≥14 points were defined as mild, moderate, and severe EEG abnormalities respectively, which had the best consistency with clinical grading and head MRI grading (P<0.05).
CONCLUSIONS
The new EEG background scoring method can quantitatively reflect the severity of brain injury and can be used for the judgment of brain function in neonates with HIE.
Infant, Newborn
;
Humans
;
Hypoxia-Ischemia, Brain/diagnostic imaging*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Brain Injuries
;
Electroencephalography
;
ROC Curve
4.A prospective study on the safety and efficacy of excimer laser coronary angioplasty for the treatment of degenerated great saphenous vein graft.
Guang Yao ZHAI ; Tie Nan SUN ; Xiang LI ; Ming YE ; Cheng Gang WANG ; Xiao Lin ZU ; Duo YANG ; Hao FU ; Shu Ying QI ; Yu Jie ZHOU ; Hai GAO
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2023;51(5):490-496
Objective: To explore the safety and efficacy of excimer laser coronary angioplasty (ELCA) for the treatment of degenerated great saphenous vein graft (SVG). Methods: This is a single-center, prospective, single-arm study. Patients, who were admitted to the Geriatric Cardiovascular Center of Beijing Anzhen Hospital from January 2022 to June 2022, were consecutively enrolled. Inclusion criteria were recurrent chest pain after coronary artery bypass surgery (CABG), and coronary angiography confirmed that the SVG stenosis was more than 70% but not completely occluded, and interventional treatment for SVG lesions was planned. Before balloon dilation and stent placement, ELCA was used to pretreat the lesions. Optical coherence tomography (OCT) examination was performed and postoperative index of microcirculation resistance (IMR) were assessed after stent implantation. The technique success rate and operation success rate were calculated. The technique success was defined as the successful passage of the ELCA system through the lesion. Operation success was defined as the successful placement of a stent at the lesion. The primary evaluation index of the study was IMR immediately after PCI. Secondary evaluation indexes included thrombolysis in myocardial infarction (TIMI) flow grade, corrected TIMI frame count (cTFC), minimal stent area and stent expansion measured by OCT after PCI, and procedural complications (Ⅳa myocardial infarction, no reflow, perforation). Results: A total of 19 patients aged (66.0±5.6) years were enrolled, including 18 males (94.7%). The age of SVG was 8 (6, 11) years. The length of the lesions was greater than 20 mm, and they were all SVG body lesions. The median stenosis degree was 95% (80%, 99%), and the length of the implanted stent was (41.7±16.3)mm. The operation time was 119 (101, 166) minutes, and the cumulative dose was 2 089 (1 378, 3 011)mGy. The diameter of the laser catheter was 1.4 mm, the maximum energy was 60 mJ, and the maximum frequency was 40 Hz. The technique success and the operation success rate were both 100% (19/19). The IMR after stent implantation was 29.22±5.95. The TIMI flow grade of patients after ELCA and stent implantation was significantly improved (all P>0.05), and the TIMI flow grade of all patients after stent implantation was Grade Ⅲ. The cTFC decreased significantly after ELCA (33.2±7.8) and after stent placement (22.8±7.1) than preoperative level (49.7±13.0) (both P<0.001). The minimum stent area was (5.53±1.36)mm2, and the stent expansion rate was (90.0±4.3)%. Perforation, no reflow, type Ⅳa myocardial infarction and other complications were not observed. However, postoperative high-sensitivity troponin level was significantly increased ((67.937±33.839)ng/L vs. (5.316±3.105)ng/L, P<0.001). Conclusion: ELCA is safe and effective in the treatment of SVG lesions and could improve microcirculation and ensure full expansion of stent.
Male
;
Humans
;
Aged
;
Prospective Studies
;
Percutaneous Coronary Intervention
;
Lasers, Excimer/therapeutic use*
;
Saphenous Vein/transplantation*
;
Constriction, Pathologic
;
Atherectomy, Coronary/methods*
;
Myocardial Infarction
;
Coronary Angiography
;
Stents
;
Treatment Outcome
5.Efficacy of alcohol septal ablation in mildly symptomatic or severely symptomatic patients with hypertrophic obstructive cardiomyopathy.
Jie Jun SUN ; Pei Jin LI ; Xian Peng YU ; Hua ZHAO ; Xiao Ling ZHANG ; Chen Chen TU ; Mng Duo ZHANG ; Teng Yong JIANG ; Xian Tao SONG ; Ji Qiang HE
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2023;51(5):513-520
Objective: To compare the prognosis of mildly or severely symptomatic patients with obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (OHCM) who underwent alcohol septal ablation (ASA). Methods: This retrospective study cohort consisted of patients with OHCM who received ASA treatment in Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University from March 2001 to August 2021. These patients were divided into mildly and severely symptomatic groups according to the severity of clinical symptoms. Long-term follow-up was conducted, and the following data were collected: duration of follow-up, postoperatire treatment, New York Heart Association (NYHA) classification, arrhythmia events and pacemaker implantation, echocardiographic parameters, and cause of death. Overall survival and survival free from OHCM-related death were observed, and the improvement of clinical symptoms and resting left ventricular outflow tract gradient (LVOTG) and the incidence of new-onset atrial fibrillation were evaluated. The Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test were used to determine and compare the cumulative survival rates of the different groups. Cox regression analysis models were used to determine predictors of clinical events. Results: A total of 189 OHCM patients were included in this study, including 68 in the mildly symptomatic group and 121 in the severely symptomatic group. The median follow-up of the study was 6.0 (2.7, 10.6) years. There was no statistical difference in overall survival between the mildly symptomatic group (5-year and 10-year overall survival were 97.0% and 94.4%, respectively) and the severely symptomatic group (5-year and 10-year overall survival were 94.2% and 83.9%, respectively, P=0.405); there was also no statistical difference in survival free from OHCM-related death between the mildly symptomatic group (5-year and 10-year survival free from HCM-related death were 97.0% and 94.4%, respectively) and the severely symptomatic group (5-year and 10-year survival free from HCM-related death were 95.2% and 92.6%, respectively, P=0.846). In the mildly symptomatic group, NYHA classification was improved after ASA (P<0.001), among which 37 patients (54.4%) were in NYHA class Ⅰ, and the resting left ventricular outflow tract gradient (LVOTG) decreased from 67.6 (42.7, 90.1) mmHg (1 mmHg=0.133 kPa) to 24.4 (11.7, 35.6) mmHg (P<0.001). In severely symptomatic group, NYHA classification was also improved post ASA (P<0.001), among which 96 patients (79.3%) improved by at least one NYHA classification, and the resting LVOTG decreased from 69.6 (38.4, 96.1) mmHg to 19.0 (10.6, 39.8) mmHg (P<0.001). The incidence of new-onset atrial fibrillation was similar between the mildly and severely symptomatic groups (10.2% vs. 13.3%, P=0.565). Cox multivariate regression analysis showed that age was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in OHCM patients post ASA (HR=1.068, 95%CI 1.002-1.139, P=0.042). Conclusions: Among patients with OHCM treated with ASA, overall survival and survival free from HCM-related death were similar between mildly symptomatic group and severely symptomatic group. ASA therapy can effectively relieve resting LVOTG and improve clinical symptoms in mildly or severely symptomatic patients with OHCM. Age was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in OHCM patients post ASA.
Humans
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Atrial Fibrillation
;
Heart Septum/surgery*
;
Treatment Outcome
;
Cardiomyopathy, Hypertrophic/surgery*
6.Disease burden and prediction of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder in Chinese children and adolescents from 1990 to 2019
YANG Xiaolei*, LI Hongjie, DUO Yongsheng, GE Jie, ZHANG Yan, SUN Huixin
Chinese Journal of School Health 2023;44(7):1107-1111
Objective:
To analyze the disease burden and trend of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) in China from 1990 to 2019, so as to provide the basic theoretical basis for the health administrative departments to formulate policies.
Methods:
Using the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Database, the incidence, prevalence and disability adjusted life year (DALY) rates of ADHD were analyzed for both sex and different age groups, and the trends of ADHD were predicted.
Results:
In 2019, the incidence, prevalence and DALY rate of ADHD in China were 70.41/100 000, 1 546.15/100 000 and 18.87/100 000 respectively. Compared with 1990, the rates decreased by 27.30%, 25.35% and 55.80% respectively, and these rates of females were lower than those of males. In 2019, the incidence rate of ADHD was the highest in the age group 5-9 years old (837.76/100 000), while the highest prevalence and DALY rates were found in ages groups of 10-14 years old (5 740.47/100 000 and 70.49/100 000). The results of the Joinpoint regression model showed that the incidence, prevalence and DALY rate had a downward trend from 1990 to 2019. The AAPC was -1.35%, -1.16% and -1.16%, respectively, with a statistically significant difference ( P <0.05). The prediction results of grey prediction model GM (1,1) indicated that the incidence and prevalence rate of ADHD in China would decline from 2020 to 2030.
Conclusion
The burden of ADHD in China showed a decreasing trend from 1990 to 2019, indicating that the prevention and treatment effect of ADHD in children and adolescents of China was effective. China should take active preventive measures to reduce the burden of ADHD in children and adolescents.
7.Design, synthesis and antiplatelet activity evaluation of novel quinoxaline antagonists of protease activated receptor 4 (PAR4)
Rou-jie XIE ; Shang-de LIU ; Duo YUAN ; Shan-shan LI ; Xiong ZHU
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica 2022;57(3):731-740
Twenty-five compounds of novel quinoxaline-based scaffold with antiplatelet activity were designed and synthesized on the basis of previous quinoxaline analogues, and the structures were confirmed by 1H NMR, 13C NMR, and MS. The antiplatelet activity was evaluated, structure-activity relationship (SAR) study was summarized and the selectivity of PAR4 was confirmed by calcium mobilization assays. It was indicated that compound
8.Inferring Postmortem Submersion Interval in Rats Found in Water Based on Vitreous Humor Metabolites.
Fu-Yuan ZHANG ; Lin-Lin WANG ; Miao ZHANG ; Wen-Wen DONG ; Zhong-Duo ZHANG ; Xin-Jie LI ; Xing-Yu MA ; Shu-Kui DU ; Hao-Miao YUAN ; Da-Wei GUAN ; Rui ZHAO
Journal of Forensic Medicine 2022;38(1):59-66
OBJECTIVES:
The metabolomics technique of LC-MS/MS combined with data analysis was used to detect changes and differences in metabolic profiles in the vitreous humor of early rat carcasses found in water, and to explore the feasibility of its use for early postmortem submersion interval (PMSI) estimation and the cause of death determination.
METHODS:
The experimental model was established in natural lake water with 100 SD rats were randomly divided into a drowning group (n=50) and a postmortem (CO2 suffocation) immediately submersion group (n=50). Vitreous humor was extracted from 10 rats in each group at 0, 6, 12, 18 and 24 h postmortem for metabolomics analyses, of which 8 were used as the training set to build the model, and 2 were used as test set. PCA and PLS multivariate statistical analysis were performed to explore the differences in metabolic profiles among PMSI and causes of death in the training set samples. Then random forest (RF) algorithm was used to screen several biomarkers to establish a model.
RESULTS:
PCA and PLS analysis showed that the metabolic profiles had time regularity, but no differences were found among different causes of death. Thirteen small molecule biomarkers with good temporal correlation were selected by RF algorithm. A simple PMSI estimation model was constructed based on this indicator set, and the data of the test samples showed the mean absolute error (MAE) of the model was 0.847 h.
CONCLUSIONS
The 13 metabolic markers screened in the vitreous humor of rat corpses in water had good correlations with the early PMSI. The simplified PMSI estimation model constructed by RF can be used to estimate the PMSI. Additionally, the metabolic profiles of vitreous humor cannot be used for early identification of cause of death in water carcasses.
Animals
;
Biomarkers/metabolism*
;
Cadaver
;
Chromatography, Liquid
;
Immersion
;
Postmortem Changes
;
Rats
;
Rats, Sprague-Dawley
;
Tandem Mass Spectrometry
;
Vitreous Body/metabolism*
;
Water/metabolism*
9.Analysis of perioperative efficacy and safety of cytoreductive surgery in the treatment of colorectal cancer peritoneal metastases.
Wen Le CHEN ; Hui WANG ; Yang LI ; Zi Xu YUAN ; Duo LIU ; Zhi Jie WU ; Wei Hao DENG ; Rui LUO ; Jing CHEN ; Jian CAI
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2022;25(6):513-521
Objective: To analyzed perioperative safety of cytoreductive surgery (CRS) for patients with colorectal cancer peritoneal metastasis (CRPM) and to construct a predictive model for serious advese events (SAE). Methods: A descriptive case-series study was conducted to retrospectively collect the clinicopathological data and treatment status (operation time, number of organ resection, number of peritoneal resection, and blood loss, etc.) of 100 patients with peritoneal metastases from colorectal cancer or appendix mucinous adenocarcinoma who underwent CRS at the Sixth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University from January 2019 to August 2021. There were 53 males and 47 females. The median age was 52.0 (39.0-61.8) years old. Fifty-two patients had synchronous peritoneal metastasis and 48 had metachronous peritoneal metastasis. Fifty-two patients received preoperative neoadjuvant therapy. Primary tumor was located in the left colon, the right colon and the rectum in 43, 28 and 14 cases, respectively. Fifteen patients had appendix mucinous adenocarcinoma. Measures of skewed distribution are expressed as M (range). Perioperative safety was analyzed, perioperative grade III or higher was defined as SAE. Risk factors associated with the occurrence of SAEs were analyzed using multivariate logistic regression. A nomogram was plotted by R software to predict SAE, the efficacy of which was evaluated using the area under the ROC curve (AUC) and correction curves. Results: The median peritoneal cancer index (PCI) score was 16 (1-39). Sixty-eight (68.0%) patients achieved complete tumor reduction (tumor reduction score: 0-1). Sixty-two patients were treated with intraperitoneal hyperthermic perfusion chemotherapy (HIPEC). Twenty-one (21.0%) patients developed 37 SAEs of grade III-IV, including 2 cases of ureteral injury, 6 cases of perioperative massive hemorrhage or anemia, 7 cases of digestive system, 15 cases of respiratory system, 4 cases of cardiovascular system, 1 case of skin incision dehiscence, and 2 cases of abdominal infection. No grade V SAE was found. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that CEA (OR: 8.980, 95%CI: 1.428-56.457, P=0.019), PCI score (OR: 7.924, 95%CI: 1.486-42.259, P=0.015), intraoperative albumin infusion (OR: 48.959, 95%CI: 2.115-1133.289, P=0.015) and total volume of infusion (OR: 24.729, 95%CI: 3.956-154.562, P=0.001) were independent risk factors for perioperative SAE in CRS (all P<0.05). Based on the result of multivariate regression models, a predictive nomogram was constructed. Internal verification showed that the AUC of the nomogram was 0.926 (95%CI: 0.872-0.980), indicating good prediction accuracy and consistency. Conclusions: CRS is a safe and effective method to treat CRPM. Strict screening of patients and perioperative fluid management are important guarantees for reducing the morbidity of SAE.
Adenocarcinoma, Mucinous/therapy*
;
Adult
;
Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/therapeutic use*
;
Appendiceal Neoplasms/surgery*
;
Colorectal Neoplasms/pathology*
;
Combined Modality Therapy
;
Cytoreduction Surgical Procedures/methods*
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Hyperthermia, Induced/methods*
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Peritoneal Neoplasms/secondary*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Survival Rate
10.Clinical practice guidelines for modified radical mastectomy of breast cancer: Chinese Society of Breast Surgery (CSBrs) practice guidelines 2021.
De-Chuang JIAO ; Jiu-Jun ZHU ; Li QIN ; Xu-Hui GUO ; Ya-Jie ZHAO ; Xiu-Chun CHEN ; Cheng-Zheng WANG ; Zhen-Duo LU ; Lian-Fang LI ; Shu-De CUI ; Zhen-Zhen LIU
Chinese Medical Journal 2021;134(8):895-897


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