1.Expert consensus on neoadjuvant PD-1 inhibitors for locally advanced oral squamous cell carcinoma (2026)
LI Jinsong ; LIAO Guiqing ; LI Longjiang ; ZHANG Chenping ; SHANG Chenping ; ZHANG Jie ; ZHONG Laiping ; LIU Bing ; CHEN Gang ; WEI Jianhua ; JI Tong ; LI Chunjie ; LIN Lisong ; REN Guoxin ; LI Yi ; SHANG Wei ; HAN Bing ; JIANG Canhua ; ZHANG Sheng ; SONG Ming ; LIU Xuekui ; WANG Anxun ; LIU Shuguang ; CHEN Zhanhong ; WANG Youyuan ; LIN Zhaoyu ; LI Haigang ; DUAN Xiaohui ; YE Ling ; ZHENG Jun ; WANG Jun ; LV Xiaozhi ; ZHU Lijun ; CAO Haotian
Journal of Prevention and Treatment for Stomatological Diseases 2026;34(2):105-118
Oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) is a common head and neck malignancy. Approximately 50% to 60% of patients with OSCC are diagnosed at a locally advanced stage (clinical staging III-IVa). Even with comprehensive and sequential treatment primarily based on surgery, the 5-year overall survival rate remains below 50%, and patients often suffer from postoperative functional impairments such as difficulties with speaking and swallowing. Programmed death receptor-1 (PD-1) inhibitors are increasingly used in the neoadjuvant treatment of locally advanced OSCC and have shown encouraging efficacy. However, clinical practice still faces key challenges, including the definition of indications, optimization of combination regimens, and standards for efficacy evaluation. Based on the latest research advances worldwide and the clinical experience of the expert group, this expert consensus systematically evaluates the application of PD-1 inhibitors in the neoadjuvant treatment of locally advanced OSCC, covering combination strategies, treatment cycles and surgical timing, efficacy assessment, use of biomarkers, management of special populations and immune related adverse events, principles for immunotherapy rechallenge, and function preservation strategies. After multiple rounds of panel discussion and through anonymous voting using the Delphi method, the following consensus statements have been formulated: 1) Neoadjuvant therapy with PD-1 inhibitors can be used preoperatively in patients with locally advanced OSCC. The preferred regimen is a PD-1 inhibitor combined with platinum based chemotherapy, administered for 2-3 cycles. 2) During the efficacy evaluation of neoadjuvant therapy, radiographic assessment should follow the dual criteria of Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) version 1.1 and immune RECIST (iRECIST). After surgery, systematic pathological evaluation of both the primary lesion and regional lymph nodes is required. For combination chemotherapy regimens, PD-L1 expression and combined positive score need not be used as mandatory inclusion or exclusion criteria. 3) For special populations such as the elderly (≥ 70 years), individuals with stable HIV viral load, and carriers of chronic HBV/HCV, PD-1 inhibitors may be used cautiously under the guidance of a multidisciplinary team (MDT), with close monitoring for adverse events. 4) For patients with a poor response to neoadjuvant therapy, continuation of the original treatment regimen is not recommended; the subsequent treatment plan should be adjusted promptly after MDT assessment. Organ transplant recipients and patients with active autoimmune diseases are not recommended to receive neoadjuvant PD-1 inhibitor therapy due to the high risk of immune related activation. Rechallenge is generally not advised for patients who have experienced high risk immune related adverse events such as immune mediated myocarditis, neurotoxicity, or pneumonitis. 5) For patients with a good pathological response, individualized de escalation surgery and function preservation strategies can be explored. This consensus aims to promote the standardized, safe, and precise application of neoadjuvant PD-1 inhibitor strategies in the management of locally advanced OSCC patients.
2.Risk factors for 90-day mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure and establishment of a predictive model
Jing SUN ; Tingji WANG ; Zhijiao DUAN ; Li ZHANG ; Yanmei LI
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(1):151-159
ObjectiveTo investigate the independent predictive factors for 90-day mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), to establish a risk predictive model, and to assess its predictive efficacy in comparison with MELD, MELD-Na, MELD 3.0, and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ. MethodsA retrospective analysis was performed for the clinical data of 394 patients with ACLF who were admitted to The Affiliated Hospital of Inner Mongolia Medical University and Hohhot Second Hospital from July 2018 to July 2024, and general information and laboratory markers on admission were collected from all patients. The independent-samples t test or the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of quantitative data between two groups, and the chi-square test or the adjusted chi-square test was used for comparison of qualitative data between two groups. The LASSO regression analysis was used to identify related variables, and the multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to establish a predictive model and generate a nomogram. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the area under the ROC curve (AUC), calibration curve, and clinical decision curve were used to assess the performance of the model. ResultsA total of 394 patients with ACLF were included in this study, with 136 patients in the training set, 58 in the internal validation set, and 200 in the external validation set. The cohort had a mean age of 52.9±11.7 years, among whom male patients accounted for 72.84% (287/394), the patients with HBV infection accounted for 22.33% (88/394), the patients with alcohol-related causes accounted for 45.94% (181/394), and the patients with other causes (including drug-induced and autoimmune diseases) accounted for 31.73% (125/394). The overall 90-day mortality rate was 27.41% (108/394). The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that diabetes (odds ratio [OR]= 5.831, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.587 — 21.424, P=0.008), cystatin C (Cys-C) (OR=2.984, 95%CI: 1.501 — 5.933, P=0.002), and spontaneous peritonitis (SBP) (OR=5.692, 95%CI: 2.150 — 15.071, P<0.001) were independent risk factors, and a nomogram was generated based on these factors. This model had an AUC of 0.836 in the training set, 0.881 in the internal validation set, and 0.878 in the external validation set, showing a good discriminatory ability. The calibration curve showed a good degree of fitting, with a relatively high net clinical benefit. The subgroup analysis based on etiology showed that the model had an AUC of 0.850 in the patients with HBV infection, 0.858 in the patients with alcohol-induced ACLF, and 0.908 in the patients with other etiologies, indicating that the model had a good discriminatory ability across the populations with different etiologies. Compared with traditional scores, the model (AUC=0.836) had a significantly better predictive value than MELD (AUC=0.619, Z=3.197, P=0.001), MELD-Na (AUC=0.651, Z=2.998, P=0.003), MELD 3.0 (AUC=0.601, Z=3.682, P<0.001), and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ (AUC=0.719, Z=2.396, P=0.017) alone. ConclusionDiabetes, SBP, and Cys-C are independent risk factors for 90-day mortality in patients with ACLF. Compared with MELD, MELD-Na, MELD 3.0, and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ scores, this model has a higher predictive value for 90-day prognosis in patients with ACLF and is suitable for patients with ACLF caused by various etiologies.
3.Genetic disease diagnosis and treatment in Shanghai: Survey and countermeasures for clinical genetics specialist training.
Xiaoju HUANG ; Lin HAN ; Li CAO ; Taosheng HUANG ; Duan MA ; Jian WANG ; Wenjuan QIU ; Fanyi ZENG ; Luming SUN ; Chenming XU ; Songchang CHEN ; Xinyu KUANG ; Hong TIAN
Chinese Journal of Medical Genetics 2026;43(4):241-247
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the current status of clinical genetics specialization development and the diagnostic and therapeutic capabilities for hereditary diseases across medical institutions in Shanghai, and to assess the necessity and feasibility of establishing training bases for clinical genetics specialists.
METHODS:
By employing a cross-sectional survey design, the Clinical Genetics Committee of Shanghai Medical Association has conducted questionnaire surveys from March to April 2025 across 54 healthcare institutions in Shanghai (including 33 tertiary hospitals and 21 secondary hospitals). The survey involved administrative departments and medical personnel from 15 clinical specialties. The survey has covered current genetic disease diagnosis and treatment practices, relevant and specialised disease types, genetic department establishment, testing capabilities, personnel teams, and training requirements.
RESULTS:
The results revealed that 78.0% of clinical departments surveyed had treated patients with hereditary disorders. Shanghai possesses diagnostic and therapeutic expertise for over 95% of hereditary diseases listed in its rare disease catalogue, reflecting both the practical clinical demand for such conditions and the city's overall diagnostic and therapeutic strengths in this field. Nevertheless, significant disparities exist in the development of genetics departments across different tiers of healthcare institutions. Resources for genetic testing capabilities (including molecular, cellular, and biochemical testing) are also unevenly distributed across different tiers of hospitals. The survey further revealed that only 26.0% of departments believe that their current physician structure fully meets the diagnostic and treatment demands. Over 90% of departments consider standard training for clinical genetic specialists necessary, with 74.0% expressing willingness to participate in establishing training bases. Based on above findings and thorough deliberation, the Clinical Genetics Committee of the Shanghai Medical Association proposes advancing specialist training and discipline development through establishing a standard training system. The committee has drafted a three-year training protocol featuring a "joint training"-centered model, recommending a pilot-first, dynamically optimized strategy for steadily advancing training base development.
CONCLUSION
Shanghai faces substantial demand for genetic disease diagnosis and treatment, yet exhibits shortcomings in clinical genetics specialization development, resource allocation, and talent pipeline cultivation. To establish a standard training system holds significant practical importance and is underpinned by a broad demand.
Humans
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China
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Surveys and Questionnaires
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Genetic Diseases, Inborn/genetics*
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Cross-Sectional Studies
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Genetics, Medical/education*
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Genetic Testing
4.Efficacy of chemotherapy combined with targeted therapy and immunotherapy versus chemotherapy alone in advanced pancreatic cancer:a retrospective cohort study
Ziyan CUI ; Jiayue DUAN ; Ziyan SUN ; Zegao ZHOU ; Cheng QI ; Changqing YAN
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2026;64(1):55-63
Objective:To explore the efficacy and safety of combining targeted therapy and immunotherapy with standard chemotherapy in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer.Methods:This is a single-center retrospective cohort study. A total of 123 patients with advanced pancreatic cancer who received first-line systemic treatment at the Second Hospital of Hebei Medical University between January 2022 and December 2024 were retrospectively enrolled. There were 65 males and 58 females,with a mean age of (65.1±10.1) years (range:22 to 88 years). According to whether targeted therapy combined with immunotherapy was added to chemotherapy,patients were divided into a triplet group ( n=46) and a standard chemotherapy group ( n=77). The primary endpoints were overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS); secondary endpoints included radiological efficacy indicators (objective response rate (ORR), disease control rate (DCR),clinical benefit rate,etc.) and treatment-related adverse events. Propensity score matching (PSM,caliper=0.2) was used to balance baseline characteristics between groups. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to estimate survival,and Cox regression models were applied to analyze factors influencing OS and PFS. Results:In the original cohort,the median OS was 11 months in the triplet group and 8 months in the chemotherapy group,with no statistically significant difference ( P=0.056). The median PFS was 5 months in the triplet group and 3 months in the chemotherapy group,also without statistical significance ( P>0.05). Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that the triplet regimen was an independent prognostic factor for both OS and PFS ( P<0.05). After PSM,baseline balance between groups was good. The median OS was 10.0 months in the triplet group and 7.0 months in the chemotherapy group, with no significant difference ( P=0.094). In terms of efficacy, the ORR was 26.1% (12/46) in the triplet group versus 7.8% (6/77) in the chemotherapy group,with a statistically significant difference ( χ2=6.320, P=0.012). The DCR was 54.3% (25/46) in the triplet group and 33.8% (26/77) in the chemotherapy group,also statistically significant ( χ2=4.214, P=0.037). The incidence of adverse events was similar between groups,mostly grade 1 to 2. Conclusions:The triplet regimen of chemotherapy,targeted therapy,and immunotherapy shows potential in improving efficacy and prolonging survival with acceptable safety in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer. However, its definitive benefits require further investigation.
5.Efficacy of chemotherapy combined with targeted therapy and immunotherapy versus chemotherapy alone in advanced pancreatic cancer:a retrospective cohort study
Ziyan CUI ; Jiayue DUAN ; Ziyan SUN ; Zegao ZHOU ; Cheng QI ; Changqing YAN
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2026;64(1):55-63
Objective:To explore the efficacy and safety of combining targeted therapy and immunotherapy with standard chemotherapy in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer.Methods:This is a single-center retrospective cohort study. A total of 123 patients with advanced pancreatic cancer who received first-line systemic treatment at the Second Hospital of Hebei Medical University between January 2022 and December 2024 were retrospectively enrolled. There were 65 males and 58 females,with a mean age of (65.1±10.1) years (range:22 to 88 years). According to whether targeted therapy combined with immunotherapy was added to chemotherapy,patients were divided into a triplet group ( n=46) and a standard chemotherapy group ( n=77). The primary endpoints were overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS); secondary endpoints included radiological efficacy indicators (objective response rate (ORR), disease control rate (DCR),clinical benefit rate,etc.) and treatment-related adverse events. Propensity score matching (PSM,caliper=0.2) was used to balance baseline characteristics between groups. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to estimate survival,and Cox regression models were applied to analyze factors influencing OS and PFS. Results:In the original cohort,the median OS was 11 months in the triplet group and 8 months in the chemotherapy group,with no statistically significant difference ( P=0.056). The median PFS was 5 months in the triplet group and 3 months in the chemotherapy group,also without statistical significance ( P>0.05). Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that the triplet regimen was an independent prognostic factor for both OS and PFS ( P<0.05). After PSM,baseline balance between groups was good. The median OS was 10.0 months in the triplet group and 7.0 months in the chemotherapy group, with no significant difference ( P=0.094). In terms of efficacy, the ORR was 26.1% (12/46) in the triplet group versus 7.8% (6/77) in the chemotherapy group,with a statistically significant difference ( χ2=6.320, P=0.012). The DCR was 54.3% (25/46) in the triplet group and 33.8% (26/77) in the chemotherapy group,also statistically significant ( χ2=4.214, P=0.037). The incidence of adverse events was similar between groups,mostly grade 1 to 2. Conclusions:The triplet regimen of chemotherapy,targeted therapy,and immunotherapy shows potential in improving efficacy and prolonging survival with acceptable safety in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer. However, its definitive benefits require further investigation.
6.Clinical Efficacy of Tangning Tongluo Tablets for Nonproliferative Diabetic Retinopathy
Fuwen ZHANG ; Junguo DUAN ; Wen XIA ; Tiantian SUN ; Yuheng SHI ; Shicui MEI ; Xiangxia LUO ; Xing LI ; Yujie PAN ; Yong DENG ; Chuanlian RAN ; Hao CHEN ; Li PEI ; Shuyu YANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(3):132-139
ObjectiveTo observe the clinical efficacy and safety of Tangning Tongluo tablets in the treatment of nonproliferative diabetic retinopathy (DR). MethodsFourteen research centers participated in this study, which spanned a time interval from September 2021 to May 2023. A total of 240 patients with nonproliferative DR were included and randomly assigned into an observation group (120 cases) and a control group (120 cases). The observation group was treated with Tangning Tongluo tablets, and the control group with calcium dobesilate capsules. Both groups were treated for 24 consecutive weeks. The vision, DR progression rate, retinal microhemangioma, hemorrhage area, exudation area, glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) level, and TCM syndrome score were assessed before and after treatment, and the safety was observed. ResultsThe vision changed in both groups after treatment (P<0.05), and the observation group showed higher best corrected visual acuity (BCVA) than the control group (P<0.05). The DR progression was slow with similar rates in the two groups. The fundus hemorrhage area and exudation area did not change significantly after treatment in both groups, while the observation group outperformed the control group in reducing the fundus hemorrhage area and exudation area. There was no significant difference in the number of microhemangiomas between the two groups before treatment. After treatment, the number of microhemangiomas decreased in both the observation group (Z=-1.437, P<0.05) and the control group (Z=-2.238, P<0.05), and it showed no significant difference between the two groups. As the treatment time prolonged, the number of microhemangiomas gradually decreased in both groups. There was no significant difference in the HbA1c level between the two groups before treatment. After treatment, the decline in the HbA1c level showed no significant difference between the two groups. The TCM syndrome score did not have a statistically significant difference between the two groups before treatment. After treatment, neither the TCM syndrome score nor the response rate had significant difference between the two groups. With the extension of the treatment time, both groups showed amelioration of TCM syndrome compared with the baseline. ConclusionTangning Tongluo tablets are safe and effective in the treatment of nonproliferative DR, being capable of improving vision and reducing hemorrhage and exudation in the fundus.
7.Construction of a system for isolation and purification of NK cells from whole blood donations
Tengyu CAO ; Huayu LIN ; Xuanzhi ZHANG ; Cuimi DUAN ; Yi LIU ; Xiaonan XUE ; Liping SUN ; Yang YU
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(2):181-188
[Objective] To explore the feasibility of using whole blood as a source of NK cells for allogeneic CAR NK cell therapy and activated NK cell reinfusion therapy, and initially construct a technical system for the separation and purification of NK cells from whole blood. [Methods] All peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) were enriched from 400 mL of whole blood by manual separation and machine separation, respectively. The erythrocyte loss rate, PBMCs number, NK cell purity of the two methods were compared. NK cells were sorted from PBMCs by three separation and enrichment methods as immunomagnetic bead negative selection method, platelet lysate culture expansion and PERCOLL density gradient separation method, and the purity and yield of NK cells, the activity of NK cells and the tumor-killing ability of the three separation and enrichment methods were compared. [Results] The proportion of NK cells in the lymphocyte population was higher in the manual separation method than in the machine separation method[(13.16±5.16)% vs (8.56±3.92)%, P<0.05]; the number PBMCs was lower in the manual separation method than in the machine separation method[(4.09±1.80)×108vs (6.49±2.16)×108, P<0.05], and there was no difference in the red blood cell loss between the two methods (P>0.05). The purity of NK cells isolated and enriched from PBMCs by manual separation method using immunomagnetic was (96.77±2.31)%; the yield was (56.27±10.47)%; the inhibition of tumor proliferation was (38.67±14.05)%; and the tumor killing rate was (19.90±8.05)%. The purity of NK cells isolated and enriched from PBMCs by manual separation method using platelet lysis culture expansion method was the highest at day 7, which was (54.84±15.80)%; the cell expansion multiple could reach 16.92±6.28 at day 7; the in vitro tumor killing rate of NK cells was (15.83±5.5)%; the tumor inhibition rate was (44.33±13.5)%; and there was no difference in the toxicity and activity of NK cells between the two methods (P>0.05). The purity of NK cells isolated and enriched by PERCOLL density gradient separation method was (15.83±5.82)%, and the yield was (14±6.25)%, which was significantly lower than the other two methods. [Conclusion] PBMCs isolated from whole blood by manual separation and NK cells enriched by negative selection with immunomagnetic beads have the potential to provide NK cell materials for CAR-NK cell therapy, and NK cells enriched by platelet lysate-conditioned medium have the potential to provide NK cells for large-scale NK cell activation reinfusion therapy.
8.Epidemiological characteristics of influenza in Beijing, 2023‒2024
Lu ZHANG ; Ying SUN ; Li ZHANG ; Chunna MA ; Jiaojiao ZHANG ; Jia LI ; Jiaxin MA ; Yingying WANG ; Xiaodi HU ; Daitao ZHANG ; Wei DUAN
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(10):821-825
ObjectiveTo understand the epidemic characteristics of influenza in Beijing from 2023 to 2024, and to provide a scientific basis for the prevention and control of influenza. MethodsData on influenza-like illness (ILI) from secondary level and above hospitals, etiology surveillance data, and influenza clusters outbreaks data from 2023‒2024 were used to analyze the epidemic trend and pathogenic characteristics of influenza. Furthermore, an influenza comprehensive index was used to categorize the epidemic intensity at the severity level. ResultsA total of 2 065 857 ILI cases were reported in 2023‒2024 epidemic season, and the percentage of ILI was 3.67%. The age group of 5‒14 years accounted for the highest proportion of ILI (30.48%). A total of 41 766 throat swabs from ILI were detected, with a positive rate of 17.28%.A (H3N2) (51.86%) and B Victoria (41.93%) were the most prevalent subtypes of influenza virus. Clustered influenza outbreaks occurred mainly in primary schools (57.78%) and middle schools (35.55%), mainly caused by the influenza A (H3N2) subtype (85.93%). According to the influenza comprehensive index (I), the period of influenza activity and above (I>0.5) lasted for a total of 37 weeks, accounting for 71.15% of the entire influenza season. ConclusionCompared with previous years, the epidemic level of influenza in Beijing was increased in 2023‒2024, and the peak time became earlier. The comprehensive index method can objectively evaluate the level of influenza epidemic and provide suggestions for the future prevention and control of influenza in Beijing.
9.Analysis of dosimetric characteristics of proton radiotherapy in 4 cases of esophageal cancer
Jinhu CHEN ; Tianyuan DAI ; Hongfu SUN ; Shizhang WU ; Chengqiang LI ; Cheng TAO ; Jinghao DUAN ; Tong BAI ; Jian ZHU
Journal of International Oncology 2025;52(10):659-665
Objective:To explore the dosimetric characteristics of proton radiotherapy plan and photon radiotherapy plan for esophageal cancer.Methods:Four patients who were admitted to Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute from January 2024 to April 2024 with esophageal cancer (cervical, middle thoracic and total esophageal tube, as well as the lymphatic drainage areas involved) and required radiotherapy were selected as the research subjects. Intensity modulated proton therapy (IMPT) and intensity modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) plans were designed respectively based on the clinical target volume and the dose constraints for organs at risk (OARs). Dosimetric parameters, including conformity index (CI), homogeneity index (HI), gradient index (GI) for target coverage, as well as OARs dosimetric parameters were evaluated. The volume of additional dose deposition in the body was compared by assessing regions receiving 10%, 30%, and 50% of the prescription dose.Results:For all four cases, IMPT plans yielded lower HI values (0.12, 0.10, 0.06, and 0.08) than IMRT plans (0.15, 0.13, 0.10, and 0.11), and the GI values of IMPT plans (3.11, 3.21, 2.43, and 2.72) was lower than IMRT plans (4.52, 5.14, 3.09, and 3.92). Moreover, the CI of the IMPT plans (0.59, 0.60, 0.77, and 0.72) was inferior to IMRT plans (0.81, 0.77, 0.91, and 0.85). Compared with the IMRT plans, in the whole lung dose indicators of the IMPT plans for the 4 patients, V 5 decreased by 34.1%, 55.0%, 79.7% and 60.3%, respectively; V 20 decreased by 48.3%, 43.9%, 65.8% and 40.8%, respectively, and D mean decreased by 43.4%, 57.2%, 76.2% and 45.4%, respectively. V 30 of the heart decreased by 36.2%, 45.3%, 40.1% and 52.4%, respectively, and D mean of heart decreased by 96.6%, 57.9%, 58.5% and 55.3%, respectively. For the middle and lower thoracic target area, the liver was significantly protected in the IMPT plan (D mean decreased by 76.0% compared with the IMRT plan). In terms of the additional dose deposition in the patient's body, IMPT plans reduced the volumes receiving 10%, 30% and 50% of the prescription dose by 45.0%-61.4%, 41.2%- 61.8% and 34.8%-61.6%, respectively, compared with the IMRT plans. Conclusions:By comparing the dosimetric parameters of IMPT and IMRT plans for 4 cases of esophageal cancer, the IMPT plans have advantages in reducing the doses to lung tissue, heart, and liver, and can also reduce additional dose deposition in the patient's body.
10.Pharmacoeconomic evaluation of durvalumab combined with chemotherapy as first-line therapy for advanced biliary tract cancer
Liman HUO ; Yangyang DUAN ; Ping LIANG ; Bin SHAN ; Xiaoli SUN ; Rui FENG
China Pharmacy 2025;36(17):2141-2147
OBJECTIVE To assess the cost-effectiveness of durvalumab combined with chemotherapy as a first-line treatment for advanced biliary tract cancer from the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system. METHODS Using data from the TOPAZ-1 clinical trial, a three-state Markov model comprising progression-free survival (PFS), progressive disease (PD) and death was developed, with a cycle length of 21 days and a 10-year time horizon. Patients in the observation group received durvalumab in combination with gemcitabine and cisplatin, whereas those in the control group received placebo plus the same chemotherapy regimen. The evaluation indexes were quality-adjusted life year (QALY) and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). The willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold was set at three times the 2024 Chinese per capita gross domestic product (GDP) (287 247 yuan/QALY). The sensitivity analyses, along with scenario analyses, were performed. RESULTS In the base-case analysis, the ICER of observation group compared to control group was 1 166 344.46 yuan/QALY, far exceeding the WTP threshold, indicating that the regimen was not cost-effective. One-way sensitivity analysis identified the PD state utility, discount rate, cost of durvalumab, and PFS state utility as the main drivers of ICER variation. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that, at the above WTP threshold, the probability of the acceeptance of this regimen was 0, further supporting the robustness of the base-case findings. In the scenario analysis, inclusion of a patient assistance program reduced the ICER to 235 885.16 yuan/ QALY, below the above WTP threshold, suggesting cost-effectiveness under this assistance program. However, when applying a regional WTP threshold set at three times the per capita GDP (158 475 yuan/QALY) of Gansu Province (the province with the lowest GDP in China in 2024), the ICER remained above the threshold, indicating that the regimen was not cost-effective at the regional level. CONCLUSIONS At current pricing, durvalumab plus chemotherapy as a first-line treatment for advanced biliary tract cancer is not cost-effective in China. Although the introduction of a patient assistance program can substantially reduce the ICER and achieve cost-effectiveness at a WTP threshold set at three times the 2024 per capita GDP of China, due to limited affordability in low-income areas, the program remains not cost-effective.


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