1.Research on the population dynamics and the meteorological influencing factors of Aedes albopictus in Hainan Province based on time series models
LI Mingfa ; LIU Ying ; LIU Puyu ; WU Qun ; ZENG Xuexia ; SUN Dingwei ; YANG Guojing
China Tropical Medicine 2024;24(3):282-
Objective To explore the application of time series models based on meteorological factors in the population density of Aedes albopictus in Hainan Province, and to provide a scientific basis for the prevention and control of dengue fever in Hainan Province. Methods The density of Aedes albopictus in different habitats in 18 cities and counties of Hainan Province from 2017 to 2022 was monitored monthly using the double-mosquito net trapping index and the Breteau index. Mann-Kendall trend test was used to analyze the temporal trends of the two density indices; Spearman's correlation analysis was employed to assess the correlation strength between each meteorological factor and the two indexes, eliminating unrelated variables, and further selecting the final variables through the full-subset regression method. Three time-series models were constructed for the two density indices, with root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and other accuracy metrics used to determine the optimal model; predictions for the density indices for 2023-2024 were made. All statistical analyses were performed in R (4.3.1). Results The net trapping and Breteau indices showed an overall decrease over the years (Z-values of Mann-Kendall trend test were -6.15 and -4.03, respectively, and P<0.05). The meteorological factor most strongly associated with the trap index was the monthly average minimum temperature; monthly mean minimum temperature and monthly mean relative humidity were strongly correlated with the Breteau index. Based on various evaluation indicators, the multivariate time series model demonstrated the highest accuracy. The study predicts one to two peaks in both the trap index and Breteau Index for the years 2023 and 2024, with peak periods occurring between June to September and May to September, respectively. The predicted value for 2023 aligns with the measured value, demonstrating outstanding predictive accuracy. Conclusions This study has introduced meteorological factors into the seasonal time series model, allowing for more accurate predictions of the density of Aedes albopictus in Hainan Province from 2023 to 2024, providing a model framework for the prevention and control of dengue fever in Hainan Province.
2.Does the prevention and control of dengue fever remain "an uphill battle"?
JIN Yan ; SUN Dingwei ; LUO Huiming
China Tropical Medicine 2024;24(8):893-
Globally, dengue fever is experiencing a gradual expansion in epidemiological scope, with high infection rates and significant adverse impacts on human health. Dengue fever in China remains predominantly an imported disease and/or a local transmission disease from imported cases, and there is no evidence yet that it has become endemic. Changes in vector distribution, climate changes, and population mobility were reported to correlate with dengue fever epidemic. The most key measure for preventing and controlling dengue fever is to cut off transmission route through comprehensive environmental management, control of mosquito vectors, and elimination of mosquito breeding sites. Dengue fever is an environmental and community disease, and the concept of "One Health" should be adopted, requiring government leadership, multi-sectoral cooperation, and mobilization of the whole society, with everyone participating in the elimination of breeding sites. Prevention and control of dengue fever are feasible, but remain "an uphill battle".
3.Correlation on rodent density and meteorological factors in Hainan Province from 2012 to 2022
LIU Puyu ; QU Qun ; SUN Dingwei
China Tropical Medicine 2024;24(12):1507-
Objective To investigate the impact of meteorological factors on rodent density in Hainan Province, and to provide scientific evidence for preventing and controlling rodent infestations and rodent-borne diseases in Hainan Province. Methods Data on rodent density and meteorological factors in Hainan Province from 2012 to 2022 were collected. Pearson's correlation or Spearman's rank correlation coefficients were used to analyze the relationship between rodent density and meteorological factors, and a generalized additive model was applied to assess the impact of meteorological factors on rodent density and their lag effects. Results From 2012 to 2022, the rat density in Hainan Province fluctuated between 1.96% and 4.32%, with an average density of 3.47%, showing no significant upward or downward trend (Ftrend=4.00, P=0.08). The brown rat was identified as the predominant rodent species in Hainan Province. Monthly average sunshine duration and monthly average precipitation impacted the current month's rodent density (P<0.05), with rodent density increasing with the growth of monthly average sunshine duration. When monthly precipitation was within 300 mm, rodent density remained relatively stable; however, with monthly precipitation between 300 and 500 mm, rodent density decreased with an increase in monthly precipitation, while exceeding 500 mm, monthly rat density showed an upward trend. Monthly average atmospheric pressure, sunshine duration, evaporation, precipitation, average temperature, and relative humidity all exhibited lag effects on rodent density (P<0.05). Rodent density lagged by one month decreased with an increase in average atmospheric pressure; rodent density lagged by three months initially decreased and then increased with an increase in monthly average sunshine duration, with a turning point at 150 hours; rodent density lagged by three months decreased with an increase in monthly evaporation; the impact interval of monthly precipitation on rodent density one month later was mainly between 200 and 300 mm; rodent density lagged by three months increased with temperatures rise but decreased steadily after 28 °C; rodent density lagged by one month decreased with an increase in relative humidity. Conclusions Monthly average sunshine duration and precipitation have certain effects on current month rat density, and monthly average atmospheric pressure, monthly sunshine duration, monthly evaporation, monthly precipitation, monthly average temperature, and monthly relative humidity all have lag effects on rodent density.
4.Efficacy and safety of LY01005 versus goserelin implant in Chinese patients with prostate cancer: A multicenter, randomized, open-label, phase III, non-inferiority trial.
Chengyuan GU ; Zengjun WANG ; Tianxin LIN ; Zhiyu LIU ; Weiqing HAN ; Xuhui ZHANG ; Chao LIANG ; Hao LIU ; Yang YU ; Zhenzhou XU ; Shuang LIU ; Jingen WANG ; Linghua JIA ; Xin YAO ; Wenfeng LIAO ; Cheng FU ; Zhaohui TAN ; Guohua HE ; Guoxi ZHU ; Rui FAN ; Wenzeng YANG ; Xin CHEN ; Zhizhong LIU ; Liqiang ZHONG ; Benkang SHI ; Degang DING ; Shubo CHEN ; Junli WEI ; Xudong YAO ; Ming CHEN ; Zhanpeng LU ; Qun XIE ; Zhiquan HU ; Yinhuai WANG ; Hongqian GUO ; Tiwu FAN ; Zhaozhao LIANG ; Peng CHEN ; Wei WANG ; Tao XU ; Chunsheng LI ; Jinchun XING ; Hong LIAO ; Dalin HE ; Zhibin WU ; Jiandi YU ; Zhongwen FENG ; Mengxiang YANG ; Qifeng DOU ; Quan ZENG ; Yuanwei LI ; Xin GOU ; Guangchen ZHOU ; Xiaofeng WANG ; Rujian ZHU ; Zhonghua ZHANG ; Bo ZHANG ; Wanlong TAN ; Xueling QU ; Hongliang SUN ; Tianyi GAN ; Dingwei YE
Chinese Medical Journal 2023;136(10):1207-1215
BACKGROUND:
LY01005 (Goserelin acetate sustained-release microsphere injection) is a modified gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH) agonist injected monthly. This phase III trial study aimed to evaluated the efficacy and safety of LY01005 in Chinese patients with prostate cancer.
METHODS:
We conducted a randomized controlled, open-label, non-inferiority trial across 49 sites in China. This study included 290 patients with prostate cancer who received either LY01005 or goserelin implants every 28 days for three injections. The primary efficacy endpoints were the percentage of patients with testosterone suppression ≤50 ng/dL at day 29 and the cumulative probability of testosterone ≤50 ng/dL from day 29 to 85. Non-inferiority was prespecified at a margin of -10%. Secondary endpoints included significant castration (≤20 ng/dL), testosterone surge within 72 h following repeated dosing, and changes in luteinizing hormone, follicle-stimulating hormone, and prostate specific antigen levels.
RESULTS:
On day 29, in the LY01005 and goserelin implant groups, testosterone concentrations fell below medical-castration levels in 99.3% (142/143) and 100% (140/140) of patients, respectively, with a difference of -0.7% (95% confidence interval [CI], -3.9% to 2.0%) between the two groups. The cumulative probabilities of maintaining castration from days 29 to 85 were 99.3% and 97.8%, respectively, with a between-group difference of 1.5% (95% CI, -1.3% to 4.4%). Both results met the criterion for non-inferiority. Secondary endpoints were similar between groups. Both treatments were well-tolerated. LY01005 was associated with fewer injection-site reactions than the goserelin implant (0% vs . 1.4% [2/145]).
CONCLUSION:
LY01005 is as effective as goserelin implants in reducing testosterone to castration levels, with a similar safety profile.
TRIAL REGISTRATION
ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04563936.
Humans
;
Male
;
Antineoplastic Agents, Hormonal/therapeutic use*
;
East Asian People
;
Gonadotropin-Releasing Hormone/agonists*
;
Goserelin/therapeutic use*
;
Prostate-Specific Antigen
;
Prostatic Neoplasms/drug therapy*
;
Testosterone
5.Clinical value of portal venous pressure based on three dimensional reconstruction model of portal vein combined with finite element analysis in patients with portal hypertension
Min WU ; Dingwei XU ; Min SUN ; Jie HUANG
Chinese Journal of Hepatobiliary Surgery 2020;26(1):15-18
Objective To study the clinical value of three-dimensional CT reconstruction model of portal venous system combined with finite element analysis to measure portal venous pressure in patients with portal hypertension.Methods A retrospective study was conducted on 27 patients who were diagnosed to have portal hypertension at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University from May 2016 to May 2018.There were 17 males and 10 females,with ages ranging from 34 to 77 years (mean 56 years).All these patients underwent transjugular intrahepatic portal venous shunt (TIPS) during which the portal venous pressure was measured.The imaging data was imported into the three-dimensional software of medical imaging to reconstruct the three dimensional model of portal vein,and the finite element analysis software of ANSYS was used to calculate the portal venous pressure by calculation with given boundary conditions.Pearson correlation was used to analyze the correlation between the actual measurement of portal venous pressure and the predicted value.Results The actual measured value of portal vein pressure before TIPS in 27 patients with portal hypertension was (3 783 ±930) Pa,and the predicted value was (4 238 ± 1 218) Pa.There was no significant difference (P > 0.05).The predicted value of portal venous pressure was positively correlated with the actual measured value (r =0.402,95 % CI:0.026-0.678,P < 0.05).Conclusion Non-invasive measurement of portal venous pressure based on three-dimensional portal venous reconstruction combined with finite element analysis correlated with actual portal venous pressure in patients with portal hypertension.
6.Double gastric hanging in laparoscopic spleen-preserving distal pancreatectomy
Jie HUANG ; Dingwei XU ; Min SUN
Chinese Journal of Hepatobiliary Surgery 2020;26(11):833-835
Objective:To study the use of double gastric hanging in laparoscopic spleen-preserving distal pancreatectomy.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 74 patients who underwent laparoscopic spleen-preserving distal pancreatectomy at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University from January 2016 to December 2018. There were 23 males and 51 females, with age ranging from 26 to 69 years (average 46.7 years). The patients were divided into the suspension group ( n=39) and the control group ( n=35) according to whether the gastric double suspension technique was used during the operation. The gastric body and gastric pylorus in the suspension group were suspended by self-made rubber slings. These rubber slings were not used in the control group. The operative time, intraoperative blood loss, blood transfusion, tumor diameter, length of resected pancreas, postoperative pancreatic fistula grade B/C, postoperative bleeding and postoperative hospital stay were compared between the two groups. Results:There were no significant differences between the two groups in gender, age, body mass index, operation time, blood transfusion rates, length of resected pancreas, and postoperative pancreatic fistula grade B/C (all P>0.05). The tumor diameter of the suspension group was (3.7±0.8) cm, which was significantly longer than that of the control group (2.5±0.6) cm. The intraoperative blood loss was (130±20) ml, and the postoperative hospital stay was (8±3) d, which were significantly less than those in the control group (250±20) ml, (16±5) d (all P<0.05). Conclusion:The use of gastric double suspension technique in laparoscopic spleen-preserving pancreatic tail resection resulted in significantly reduced intraoperative blood loss and postoperative hospital stay.
7.Isolation and identification of Arbovirus in Hainan province, 2017-2018
Na FAN ; Dingwei SUN ; Rui CHENG ; Shihong FU ; Linhai ZENG ; Qun WU ; Shan'gan LI ; Ying HE ; Wenwen LEI ; Fan LI ; Huanyu WANG ; Xiaoqing LU ; Guodong LIANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2020;41(2):236-243
Objective To understand the types and distribution of Arboviruses in Hainan province.Methods Blood-sucking insects were collected in Hainan province from 2017 to 2018.After laboratory treatment,BHK-21 cells and C6/36 cells were inoculated with grinding supernatant of all blood-sucking insects to isolate all of involving virus.Arbovirus genes in blood-sucking insects were detected in parallel by RT-PCR method.Results A total of 15 062 mosquitoes were classified into four genera (Culex,Armigeres,Aedes,Anopheles) and 11 360 midges were collected.Culex tritaeniorhynchus was in the majority and accounted for 92.88% (13 990/15 062) of all the mosquitoes collected.Four strains of virus isolates were notified by tissue culture method.Three strains of viruses belonged to Japanese encephalitis virus (JEV),with the other one as Getah virus (GETV).Five pools of JEV gene amplification were positive,from Culex tritaeniorhynchus.Results from the phylogenetic analysis showed that they belonged to genotype JEV-Ⅰ.The minimum infection rate of JEV was 0.57‰ (8/13 990).A total of 5 pools of Akabane virus (AKV) gene amplification were positive.The minimum infection rate of AKV was 0.44‰ (5/11 360).Based on the S gene and M gene sequences of the virus,data from the phylogenetic analysis showed that the five AKV strains carried by midges in Hainan province were in a separate evolutionary branch and with formed unique geographical distribution.Conclusions JEV and GETV had been isolated again from the mosquito specimens in this survey,since the 1980s.AKV was detected from the midge specimens in Hainan province.These results showed the needs of strengthening the programs on detection and monitor of JEV,GETV and AKV that were related to animal and human diseases in order to reduce the risks of related diseases in this area.
8.Totally laparoscopic splenectomy plus pericardial devascularization in treatment of portal hypertension: importance of surgical teamwork and technical hints
Dingwei XU ; Min SUN ; Min WU ; Jie HUANG
Chinese Journal of Hepatobiliary Surgery 2019;25(8):611-615
Objective To study the impact of surgical teamwork in totally laparoscopic splenectomy and pericardial devascularization (LSPD) in the treatment of portal hypertension,and advice on technical hints.Methods A retrospective study was conducted on the clinical features of eighty-four patients who underwent totally laparoscopic splenectomy and pericardial devascularization in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Kun Ming Medical University from January,2014 to December,2017.Results Totally laparoscopic procedures were performed successfully in 80 patients.The procedure was converted to hand-assisted laparoscopic splenectomy and pericardial devascularization in 3 patients because of uncontrollable bleeding.One patient who initially underwent laparoscopic cholecystectomy developed an intraoperative blood loss of 1 500 ml.The surgery was terminated and was continued one week later after stabilization of the patient.Of the 80 patients who underwent totally LSPD,the operation time ranged from 116.0 to 243.0 (146.0 ± 33.0) min.The intraoperative blood loss ranged from 60.0 to 600.0 (214.0 ± 31.0) ml.Routine coagulation function and portal vein color Doppler ultrasound examination carried out within 3 months after surgery detected postoperative portal vein thrombosis in four patients.They responded successfully to antiplatelet and anticoagulant therapy.There were no perioperative deaths,variceal bleeding,gastrointestinal fistula and infection.Conclusions With proper surgical steps and skilled laparoscopic technique carried out by an experienced team of surgeons,totally laparoscopic splenectomy and pericardial devascularization was safe and effective in treating portal hypertension.Strict perioperative management provided a guarantee for the safe operation.
9.Novel bone marrow stem cell Screen-Enrich-Combine(-Biomaterials) Circulating System for limb bone nonunion
Xin WANG ; Yaokai GAN ; Jie ZHAO ; Wenxiang CHU ; Yifu ZHUANG ; Kerong DAI ; Yuehua SUN ; Dingwei SHI ; Jian TANG
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedic Trauma 2018;20(2):93-98
Objective To evaluate the validity and security of our self-designed bone marrow stem cell Screen-Enrich-Combine(-Biomaterials) Circulating System(SECCS) for bone non-union of limbs. Methods From May 2013 to December 2015, 24 patients with limb non-union were treated at our de-partment. They were aged from 20 to 65 years (mean, 42.8 years). Their non-union involved femur in 17 cases, tibia in 4, radius in one, humerus in one and fibula in one. In surgery, 80 mL bone marrow blood was aspirated from the anterior superior iliac spine for rapid preparation of bone substitute(β-TCP)composite with bone marrow stem cells by SECCS which was then implanted at the non-union locations. The bone marrow blood was collected before and after enrichment for stem cell counts. The bone union, clinical union time and related com-plications were evaluated by follow-up X-rays at 1, 3, 6 and 9 months after surgery. Results Each collection of bone marrow blood took 13.5 minutes on average. The enrichment rate of stem cells was 81.2%. 11,751 ± 1,011 stem cells were implanted per patient on average. All the patients were followed up for 9 to 48 months (mean, 19.2 months). Twenty-two patients acquired clinical union 9 months after operation and the other 2 suffered from malunion due to insufficient bone implant, yielding a union rate of 91.6% and an average union time of 6.5 months. No graft infection or internal fixation failure occurred and no severe complications hap-pened at the donor or implant sites.Conclusion The bioactive bone substitute manufactured by our self-designed SECCS can be used as a novel therapy for limb non-union, and this device is moreover charac-terized with convenience, limited invasion and satisfactory osteogenesis so that complications of autologous bone transplantation can be avoided.
10.Bioactive β-tricalcium phosphate modified by stem cell screen-and-enrich-and-combine circulating system for regeneration of bone defects
Wenxiang CHU ; Yaokai GAN ; Jie ZHAO ; Yifu ZHUANG ; Xin WANG ; Dingwei SHI ; Chao YU ; Weihua GONG ; Fengxiang LIU ; Jian TANG ; Yuehua SUN ; Kerong DAI
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedic Trauma 2018;20(5):369-375
Objective To introduce a new method for preparation of bioactive β-tricalcium phosphate (β-TCP) by rapid stem cell screen-and-enrich-and-combine circulating system (SECCS) and evaluate its efficacy in the treatment of fresh fractures and bone defects.Methods Twenty-two patients with fresh fracture and bone defects were treated with SECCS from July 2013 to April 2016.They were 16 males and 6 females with an average age of 52.2 years (from 27 to 81 years).There were 15 tibial plateau fractures and 7 calcaneal fractures.The average size of bone defects was 12.5 mL.Bioactive β-TCP was prepared by SECCS intraoperatively and implanted back immediately into the bone defects.Radiographic examination,Lysholm knee scoring and Maryland foot scoring were used for assessment of curative efficacy.Results The 22 patients were followed up for an average of 25.7 months (from 12 to 46 months).By SECCS,the enrichment efficiency of bone marrow stromal cells (BMSCs) reached up to 82.4% and the cell viability was not affected.The tibial plateau fractures were re-transplanted with 13,381.3 BMSCs on average and healed after an average of 8.9 weeks (from 6 to 15 weeks).The Lysholm knee scores at one year postoperatively averaged 93.6 points (from 84 to 100 points),yielding 10 excellent cases,4 good cases and one fair case.The calcaneal fractures were implanted back with 16,677.7 BMSCs on average and healed after an average of 9.4 weeks (from 8 to 13 weeks).The average Maryland foot score at one year after operation was 93.6 points (from 85 to 98 points),yielding 6 excellent cases and one good case.Conclusion Bioactive materials prepared by SECCS are good bone grafts for fresh fractures and bone defects.

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