1.Analysis of the Burden of Acute Lymphoid Leukemia in China and Globally from 1990 to 2021
Derong LIN ; Jingya FANG ; Yue LI ; Xiaohua XIE ; Xiaolin YE ; Xiaowen ZHANG ; Jiexuan LI ; Aiguo XUE
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2026;17(2):463-475
To analyze the disease burden of acute lymphoid leukemia(ALL) and its changing trends in China and globally from 1990 to 2021, aiming to provide a theoretical basis for disease prevention, treatment, and policy formulation. Data on the incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability adjusted life years(DALYs) of ALL in China and globally from 1990 to 2021 were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease(GBD) 2021 database. The Joinpoint regression model was used to calculate the average annual percentage change(AAPC) to assess the trends in disease burden. Decomposition analysis was employed to identify and quantify the contributions of different factors to the changes in ALL disease burden. The population attributable fraction(PAF) was used to compare the risk factors for ALL in China and globally in 1990 and 2021. Stratified by the sociodemographic index(SDI), the locally estimated scatterplot smoothing(LOESS) method was used to assess the association between age-standardized incidence rate(ASIR), age-standardized mortality rate(ASMR), and SDI. The incidence-mortality ratio(IMR) was calculated to evaluate the diagnostic level and current treatment status of ALL. From 1990 to 2021, ASIR of ALL in the Chinese population increased from 3.385/100 000 to 3.637/100 000(AAPC: 0.005), the age-standardized prevalence rate(ASPR) increased from 6.596/100 000 to 22.022/100 000(AAPC: 0.478), the ASMR decreased from 3.051/100 000 to 1.357/100 000(AAPC: -0.056), and the age-standardized DALYs rate(ASDR) decreased from 195.792/100 000 to 74.063/100 000(AAPC: -3.996). Globally, the corresponding figures were: ASIR decreased from 1.789/100 000 to 1.371/100 000(AAPC: -0.014), ASPR increased from 4.122/100 000 to 5.425/100 000(AAPC: 0.039), ASMR decreased from 1.551/100 000 to 0.898/100 000(AAPC: -0.021), and ASDR decreased from 94.894/100 000 to 48.858/100 000(AAPC: -1.494). During this period, the aforementioned disease burden indicators were generally higher in males than in females, both in China and globally.In 2021, the peak incidence of ALL in China and globally was primarily concentrated in the 0-19 years age group, with the highest rate observed in those under 5 years of age. The burden of prevalence and DALYs was also mainly concentrated in this age group. Regarding mortality, the death burden in China was predominantly observed in the older adult age group, particularly among those aged ≥60 years. Globally, the mortality burden was highest in the under-5 age group, while remaining at a relatively high level in the older adult population. SDI correlation analysis based on data from 204 countries/regions globally from 1990 to 2021 showed that ASIR gradually increased with increasing SDI, whereas ASMR showed an initial increase followed by a decreasing trend. The ASIR and ASMR for the overall Chinese population and by sex were higher than expected. PAF results indicated that smoking and high body mass index were the main attributable risk factors for ALL mortality and DALYs burden, with their contribution consistently increasing. Decomposition analysis revealed that population growth and epidemiological changes were the primary drivers behind the changes in ALL incidence and mortality burden. Compared with 1990, the IMR for ALL in both China and globally increased in 2021. Over the past three decades, the ASMR and ASDR for ALL in China and globally have generally declined. During the same period, the ASIR and ASPR for ALL increased in China, while globally, the ASIR decreased and the ASPR increased. However, the disease burden of ALL remains high in males, children, and the older adult population. Differentiated prevention and control measures should be implemented in accordance with changes in SDI. The findings highlight the importance of strengthening prevention and early diagnosis, and suggest the need for targeted screening and treatment strategies for different age and sex groups. Concurrently, attention should be paid to the role of weight management and tobacco control in comprehensive prevention and control efforts to further reduce the disease burden of ALL.
2.Burden and Trends of Ulcerative Colitis in China and Worldwide
Weiqing ZHANG ; Yizhong LIANG ; Meilan MO ; Zhulin WU ; Weijun LUO ; Dong ZHANG ; Derong LIN
Journal of Sun Yat-sen University(Medical Sciences) 2026;47(5):857-867
ObjectiveTo assess changes in the incidence, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) burden of ulcerative colitis (UC) in China and worldwide from 1990 to 2023 using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023 (GBD 2023), and to examine demographic drivers and future trends. MethodsUC data for China, the world, and 204 countries and territories were extracted from the GBD 2023 Results Tool. Age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), and age-standardized DALY rate (ASDR), with 95% uncertainty interval (UI), were obtained. Joinpoint regression was used to estimate average annual percent change (AAPC) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Spearman rank correlation, inequality and frontier analyses, Das Gupta decomposition, and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models were used to assess associations with the sociodemographic index (SDI), cross-country burden disparities, demographic drivers, and trends from 2024 to 2035, respectively. ResultsIn 2023, the ASIR, ASPR, and ASDR in China were 0.94, 5.95, and 5.94 per 100 000 population, respectively, lower than the corresponding global estimates of 2.87, 28.48, and 13.82 per 100 000 population. From 1990 to 2023, China’s ASIR and ASPR increased, with AAPCs of 2.720% (95% CI: 2.133%-3.309%) and 2.261% (95% CI: 1.617%-2.908%), whereas the ASDR decreased (AAPC=-3.056%, 95% CI: -3.449% to -2.662%). Globally, ASIR increased slightly, whereas ASPR and ASDR decreased. In China, the crude incidence, prevalence, and DALY rates peaked at ages 50-54 years, 60-64 years, and ≥95 years, respectively. ASIR and ASPR were positively correlated with SDI (rs=0.5794 and 0.6177, both P<0.001), whereas the correlation between ASDR and SDI was not statistically significant (rs=0.0666, P=0.343). In China, epidemiological change contributed most to increases in incident and prevalent cases, and changes in age-specific rates contributed most to the decline in DALYs; globally, population growth and population aging contributed most to the increase in DALYs. By 2035, China’s ASIR, ASPR, and ASDR were projected to be 1.23, 6.37, and 2.55 per 100 000 population, respectively. ConclusionsFrom 1990 to 2023, the age-standardized incidence and prevalence rates of UC increased in China, whereas the age-standardized DALY rate decreased, and peaks in absolute burden generally shifted toward middle-aged and older age groups. The projected directions may persist. These findings may provide reference for long-term UC management and health-resource planning.
3.Burden and Trends of Ulcerative Colitis in China and Worldwide
Weiqing ZHANG ; Yizhong LIANG ; Meilan MO ; Zhulin WU ; Weijun LUO ; Dong ZHANG ; Derong LIN
Journal of Sun Yat-sen University(Medical Sciences) 2026;47(5):857-867
ObjectiveTo assess changes in the incidence, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) burden of ulcerative colitis (UC) in China and worldwide from 1990 to 2023 using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023 (GBD 2023), and to examine demographic drivers and future trends. MethodsUC data for China, the world, and 204 countries and territories were extracted from the GBD 2023 Results Tool. Age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), and age-standardized DALY rate (ASDR), with 95% uncertainty interval (UI), were obtained. Joinpoint regression was used to estimate average annual percent change (AAPC) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Spearman rank correlation, inequality and frontier analyses, Das Gupta decomposition, and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models were used to assess associations with the sociodemographic index (SDI), cross-country burden disparities, demographic drivers, and trends from 2024 to 2035, respectively. ResultsIn 2023, the ASIR, ASPR, and ASDR in China were 0.94, 5.95, and 5.94 per 100 000 population, respectively, lower than the corresponding global estimates of 2.87, 28.48, and 13.82 per 100 000 population. From 1990 to 2023, China’s ASIR and ASPR increased, with AAPCs of 2.720% (95% CI: 2.133%-3.309%) and 2.261% (95% CI: 1.617%-2.908%), whereas the ASDR decreased (AAPC=-3.056%, 95% CI: -3.449% to -2.662%). Globally, ASIR increased slightly, whereas ASPR and ASDR decreased. In China, the crude incidence, prevalence, and DALY rates peaked at ages 50-54 years, 60-64 years, and ≥95 years, respectively. ASIR and ASPR were positively correlated with SDI (rs=0.5794 and 0.6177, both P<0.001), whereas the correlation between ASDR and SDI was not statistically significant (rs=0.0666, P=0.343). In China, epidemiological change contributed most to increases in incident and prevalent cases, and changes in age-specific rates contributed most to the decline in DALYs; globally, population growth and population aging contributed most to the increase in DALYs. By 2035, China’s ASIR, ASPR, and ASDR were projected to be 1.23, 6.37, and 2.55 per 100 000 population, respectively. ConclusionsFrom 1990 to 2023, the age-standardized incidence and prevalence rates of UC increased in China, whereas the age-standardized DALY rate decreased, and peaks in absolute burden generally shifted toward middle-aged and older age groups. The projected directions may persist. These findings may provide reference for long-term UC management and health-resource planning.
4.Growing burden of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in China:An analysis on lifestyle and metabolic factors based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
Qiuyue TU ; Xinyu PENG ; Ziyi HE ; Derong LIN ; Jianhua LIU ; Jingrong LIANG
Journal of Army Medical University 2025;47(22):2824-2836
Objective To analyze the burden of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease(ASCVD)attributable to lifestyle and metabolic factors in China from 1990 to 2021 and predict its future trends,providing evidence for public health prevention and control.Methods Based on the Global Burden of Disease(GBD)2021 database,we extracted disability-adjusted life years(DALYs)of ASCVD attributable to 7 key risk factors:dietary,low physical activity,smoking,high body mass index(BMI),high fasting blood glucose,high low-density lipid cholesterol(LDL-C),and hypertension.Age-standardized DALY rates(ASDR)were also calculated to account for variations in age structure,and an ARIMA model was applied to predict future trends.Results ① Overall trend analysis showed the leading risk factor for ischemic heart disease(IHD)shifted from dietary risks in 1990 to hypertension in 2021,while hypertension and smoking remained the primary risk factors for ischemic stroke(IS)and peripheral artery disease(PAD),respectively.② In BRICS nations,hypertension was the dominant risk factor for both IHD and IS,whereas in China,smoking and high fasting blood glucose continued to be the major drivers of PAD burden.③ Sex-specific analysis revealed that hypertension was the leading risk factor for IHD and IS in both males and females.For PAD,smoking was the main risk factor in males,while high fasting blood glucose was for females.Age-stratified analysis revealed that in the 15-49 age group,dietary,high LDL-C and smoking were the primary factor for IHD,IS and PAD,respectively;in the 50-69 group,dietary predominated IHD risk,hypertension IS,and smoking PAD;and among those aged≥70 years,hypertension was the leading risk factor for both IHD and IS,and high fasting blood glucose was for PAD.④ ARIMA model forecasted that by 2035,DALYs for IHD,IS,and PAD will increase to 82.816 million,46.808 million,and 0.192 million person-years,respectively.Conclusion The ASCVD burden attributable to lifestyle and metabolic factors continues to rise in China from 1990 to 2021,and is projected to further increase by 2035.Countermeasures We suggest that current prevention and control priorities are enhanced management of metabolic factors,tailored interventions by sex and age,promotion of healthy lifestyles and tobacco control,and establishment of an integrated system of prevention-treatment-rehabilitation-research.
5.Burden and Trends of Motor Neuron Disease in China and Globally from 1990 to 2021
Derong LIN ; Jingya FANG ; Yue LI ; Xiaohua XIE ; Xiaolin YE ; Xiaowen ZHANG ; Jiexuan LI ; Aiguo XUE
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2025;17(1):188-196
To analyze the disease burden and trends of motor neuron disease(MND) in China and globally from 1990 to 2021, providing evidence for the formulation of relevant health strategies inChina. Data on the incidence, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life years(DALYs) of MND in China and globally from 1990 to 2021 were extracted from the 2021 global burden of disease(GBD) database. The Joinpoint model was used to analyze trends through the average annual percentage change(AAPC). The disease burden differences were further analyzed by age and gender. From 1990 to 2021, the number of MND incident cases in China increased by 6.87%, while globally it increased by 74.54%.The number of prevalent cases in China rose by 29.78%, compared to a 68.43% increase globally. DALYs due to MND in China increased by 40.08%, while globally they increased by 105.59%. The age-standardized incidence rate(ASIR) of MND showed a declining trend both in China(AAPC=-0.006, 95% CI: -0.006 to -0.006, The overall disease burden of MND in China is lower than the global level, with ASIR and ASDR showing a declining trend. However, the annual number of incident cases, prevalent cases, and DALYs continues to increase. Furthermore, there are gender and age differences in the MND disease burden in China, with middle-aged and elderly males being the key targets for prevention and control.
6.Effect of fenofibrate on the expression of miR-26a-5p/PTEN in retinal neurons of diabetic mice
Derong TANG ; Yuwen YANG ; Rui SHI ; Dandan LIU ; Rong LIN
International Eye Science 2024;24(1):24-29
AIM: To study the protective effect of fenofibrate on diabetic retinal neurodegeneration and observe its effect on miR-26a-5p and its target gene PTEN in the retinal of diabetic mice.METHODS: Diabetic mice models were established and they were gavaged by fenofibrate. H& E staining and transmission electron microscopy were used to observe the impairments of retinal neurons. Real-time PCR was used to examine the expression of miR-26a-5p, and Western blotting was employed to measure the expression of phosphatase and tensin homologue(PTEN)in the retina of diabetic mice. The expression level of nuclear factor-κB(NF-κB), interleukin-1β(IL-1β)and the morphology of neural tissues were observed.RESULTS: When compared with the diabetic mice, fenofibrate significantly attenuated the damage to retinal ganglion cells and the atrophy of retinal nerve fiber layer. While the level of miR-26a-5p was increased and the levels of PTEN and inflammatory mediators were significantly decreased in the retina of fenofibrate treated diabetic mice, with significant statistical significance(P<0.05).CONCLUSIONS: Fenofibrate protects against diabetic retinal neurodegeneration by upregulating miR-26a-5p and inhibiting PTEN, attenuating the inflammatory response and alleviating retinal cell injury.
7.Analysis of pathological regularity and related risk factors of retinal nerve in-jury in patients with diabetes mellitus
Derong TANG ; Yuwen YANG ; Rui SHI ; Dandan LIU ; Rong LIN
Recent Advances in Ophthalmology 2023;43(12):964-969
Objective To observe the thickness changes in the peripapillary retinal nerve fiber layer(RNFL)and the ganglion cell-inner plexiform layer(GC-IPL)in the macular region,so as to analyze the pathological rules of retinal nerve injury in diabetes retinopathy(DR)patients and explore the related risk factors.Methods A total of 164 patients(164 eyes)with type 2 diabetes who visited the Department of Ophthalmology and Department of Endocrinology of Shaanxi Pro-vincial People's Hospital from January 1,2017 to January 1,2018 were selected as the subjects.According to the condition of concomitant DR,these subjects were divided into three groups:non-DR(NDR)group(56 eyes of 56 patients),mild non-proliferative DR(NPDR)group(53 eyes of 53 patients)and moderate NPDR group(55 eyes of 55 patients).Healthy individuals who underwent physical examinations in the same period were selected as the control group(50 eyes of 50 pa-tients).Optical coherence tomography and optical coherence tomography angiography were used to measure the peripapil-lary RNFL,macular GC-IPL,and macular vessel density(VD)of all subjects.Comparison among groups and correlation analysis were conducted on the above retinal nerve injury indicators.Results Compared with the control group and NDR group,the average,upper and lower peripapillary RNFL in the mild NPDR group and moderate NPDR group were signifi-cantly thinner,and the differences were statistically significant(all P<0.05).The differences in macular GC-IPL thickness at the average,upper,upper temporal,lower temporal,lower,lower nasal,and upper nasal regions in all groups were sta-tistically significant(all P<0.05);pairwise comparisons showed that compared with the control group,the GC-IPL thick-ness in each quadrant of the macular area of patients in the NDR group,mild NPDR group and moderate NPDR group de-creased significantly(all P<0.05),with the upper GC-IPL thinning being the most significant;compared with the NDR group,the GC-IPL thickness in the upper,average,and upper temporal macular area of patients with mild NPDR decreased significantly(all P<0.05);compared with the mild NPDR group,the GC-IPL thickness in the upper macular area was thin-ner in the moderate NPDR group,and the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05).There were statistically signifi-cant differences in the average and inner ring VDs in the macular area among the groups(both P<0.05).The correlation analysis results showed that there was a significantly positive correlation between the peripapillary RNFL thickness and the average VD in the macular area(r=0.517,P<0.01),while the average GC-IPL thickness in the macular area was weakly positively correlated with the average VD in the macular area(r=0.279,P<0.01).Conclusion The peripapillary RNFL thickness objectively reflects the degree of retinal neuron injury,and is a key index to evaluate the degree of retinal nerve injury in diabetes patients.
8.Dose-Dense Rituximab-CHOP versus Standard Rituximab-CHOP in Newly Diagnosed Chinese Patients with Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma: A Randomized, Multicenter, Open-Label Phase 3 Trial
Xueying LI ; He HUANG ; Bing XU ; Hongqiang GUO ; Yingcheng LIN ; Sheng YE ; Jiqun YI ; Wenyu LI ; Xiangyuan WU ; Wei WANG ; Hongyu ZHAN ; Derong XIE ; Jiewen PENG ; Yabing CAO ; Xingxiang PU ; Chengcheng GUO ; Huangming HONG ; Zhao WANG ; Xiaojie FANG ; Yong ZHOU ; Suxia LIN ; Qing LIU ; Tongyu LIN
Cancer Research and Treatment 2019;51(3):919-932
PURPOSE: Rituximab with cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone administered every 3 weeks (R-CHOP-21) is the standard care for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). It is unknown whether the dose-dense R-CHOP (R-CHOP-14) could improve the outcome of the disease in Asian population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Newly diagnosed DLBCL patients were centrally, randomly assigned (1:1) to receive R-CHOP-14 or R-CHOP-21. R-CHOP-14 was administered every 2 weeks, and R-CHOP-21 was administered every 3 weeks. Primary end point was disease-free survival (DFS). Secondary end points included overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), response rate and toxicities. RESULTS: Seven hundred and two patients were randomly assigned to receive R-CHOP-14 (n=349) or R-CHOP-21 (n=353). With a median follow-up of 45.6 months, the two groups did not differ significantly in 3-year DFS (79.6% for R-CHOP-14 vs. 83.2% for R-CHOP-21, p=0.311), 3-year OS (77.5% for R-CHOP-14 vs. 77.6% for R-CHOP-21, p=0.903), or 3-year PFS (63.2% for R-CHOP-14 vs. 66.1% for R-CHOP-21, p=0.447). Patients with an International Prognostic Index (IPI) score ≥ 2 had a poorer prognosis compared to those with an IPI score < 2. Grade 3/4 hematologic and non-hematologic toxicities were manageable and similar between R-CHOP-14 and R-CHOP-21. CONCLUSION: R-CHOP-14 did not improve the outcome of DLBCL compared to R-CHOP-21 in Asian population. With manageable and similar toxicities, both of the two regimens were suitable for Asian DLBCL patients. For high-risk patients with IPI ≥ 2, new combination regimens based on R-CHOP deserve further investigation to improve efficacy.
Asian Continental Ancestry Group
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B-Lymphocytes
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Cyclophosphamide
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Disease-Free Survival
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Doxorubicin
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Follow-Up Studies
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Humans
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Lymphoma, B-Cell
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Prednisone
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Prognosis
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Rituximab
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Vincristine
9.Observation of curative effect of concurrent intensity-modulated radiation therapy and chemotherapy for advanced esophageal carcinoma
Derong LIN ; Shangyue YE ; Shengyu ZHU
China Oncology 2014;(2):157-160
Background and purpose:Intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) enables the delivery of higher radiation dose to the primary tumor target, while sparing the organs and tissues at risk (OARs). Chemotherapy is an effective means to prevent distant metastasis. The purpose of this study was to observe clinical effect of concurrent intensity-modulated radiation therapy and chemotherapy for advanced esophageal carcinoma. Methods: A total number of 62 cases of advanced esophageal carcinoma were divided into two groups. There were 32 cases in concurrent chemoradiotherapy group, and 30 cases were in radiotherapy alone group. The patients in two groups were both used IMRT radiotherapy, while the patients of concurrent chemoradiotherapy group were plused adjuvant chemotherapy. The chemotherapy regimen was TP. Twenty-eight days was a treatment cycle, 2 treatment cycles were lasted during chemoradiotherapy.After that, recent curative effect and toxicside reaction were compared between two groups. Results: The total relief rate (CR+PR) in concurrent chemoradiotherapy group was 93.8%. The total relief rate in radiotherapy alone group was 76.7%. There were signiifcant differences between the two groups (P<0.05). One-year local response rate(84.4%) and 2-year local response rate (59.4%) in concurrent chemoradiotherapy group were both higher than those (70.0%, 36.7%) in radiotherapy alone group (P<0.05), while the survival rate was similar between the two groups (P>0.05). Toxicside reaction in concurrent chemoradiotherapy group, including leucocytes decrease, radioactive esophagitis andⅢ,Ⅳtoxicity, were higher than those in radiotherapy alone group (P<0.05). Conclusion:After treating advanced esophageal carcinoma with concurrent intensity-modulated radiation therapy and chemotherapy, the recent curative effect and the local response were ifne, while toxicity was more serious.
10.Incidence of pancreatic cancer related depression in Guangzhou,China
Shuman JIANG ; Lin JIA ; Yuanyuan SHANG ; Yijun LI ; Derong XIE ; Kaihong HUANG ; Fachao ZHI
Chinese Journal of Pancreatology 2010;10(1):18-20
Objective To investigate the incidence of pancreatic cancer-related depression in Guangzhou,China.Methods A multicenter,prospective survey was conducted,50 patients with pancreatic cancer,60 with liver cancer,50 with esophageal cancer,50 with gastric cancer,52 with colorectal cancer were enrolled from 4 hospitals in Guangzhou between June 2007 and June 2009.Hamilton Rating Scale for Depression-24 (HAMD-24) questionnaire was used to assess the degree of depression.Results The incidence of depression in pancreatic cancer patients was 78% (39/50),which was significantly higher than that among liver cancer patients (60% ,36/60),gastric cancer patients (36%,18/50),esophageal cancer patients(24%,12/50),and colorectal cancer patients(19.2%,10/52,P<0.05 ).Twelve of 50 patients in pancreatic cancer were reported to have severe depression (24%),which was significantly more than that in liver cancer (10%,6/60),gastric cancer (4%,2/50),esophageal and colorectal cancer (0,P <0.05).In pancreatic cancer patients,the incidence of depression was significantly higher in patients with advanced stage (94.3%) than that in early stage (46.7%,P<0.05).Patients who underwent chemotherapy had high incidence of depression(92.3%)than that of patients who underwent operation (62.5%,P<0.05 ).Conclusions Compared with other cancers of digestive tract,the incidence of pancreatic cancer-related depression was higher,and its degree was more severe than that of other cancers.

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