1.Historical trend analysis and future projection of osteoarthritis disease burden attributable to high body mass index in China
Ping ZHU ; Ju LI ; Zhongyuan ZHANG ; Jiajia WANG ; Yi′an TIAN ; Rui YUE ; Deqian MENG ; Kai WANG
Chinese Journal of Rheumatology 2025;29(8):662-667
Objective:This study aims to analyze historical trends and predict future trends of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) attributable to high BMI for osteoarthritis (OA) in China. OA is a common chronic degenerative joint disease, with high body mass index (BMI) being a significant risk factor. in China.Methods:Based on the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 database, we analyzed trends in high-BMI-attributable OA. The ASR of hogh-BMI-attributable OA DALYs increased from DALYs in China from 1990 to 2021. A Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model was used to predict trends from 2022 to 2046. Age-standardized rates (ASR) and estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC) were calculated to assess trend changes of trends. A Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model was used to predict trends from 2022 to 2046. Chi-square tests were used to compare differences in high BMI attribution proportions between regions and years.Results:From 1990 to 2021, China′s OA DALYs increased from 1.829 to 5.327 million, with the proportion attributable to high BMI rising from 13.47% to 21.86% ( χ2=60 527.25, P<0.001). The ASR of high-BMI-attributable to OA increased from 27.4 (-2.2, 81.5) per 100,000 to 53.0 (-4.7, 150.7) per 100 000, with an EAPC of 2.48% [95% (uncertainty interval, UI): 2.35, 2.62]. In 2021, females showed significantly higher ASR (69.2 per 100 000) than males (36.1 per 100 000). Knee OA (ASR: 50.5/100 000) demonstrated substantially higher burden than hip OA (ASR: 2.5/100 000). Age effect analysis showed DALYs peaked at ages 80~90; period effect indicated accelerated growth after 2005; cohort effect showed a U-shaped trend with the 1990 birth cohort having the highest relative risk (approximately 3.0). Projections indicated that up to 2046, total OA DALYs will reach approximately 2.39 million with an ASR of about 71, showing more significant growth among females (ASR reaching 100). Conclusion:High-BMI-attributable to OA DALYs in China shows a significant upward trend, and is expected to continue. This trend is more pronounced among females and elderly populations than males, highlighting the urgency of implementing preventive measures for high-risk groups, particularly in weight management.
2.Historical trend analysis and future projection of osteoarthritis disease burden attributable to high body mass index in China
Ping ZHU ; Ju LI ; Zhongyuan ZHANG ; Jiajia WANG ; Yi′an TIAN ; Rui YUE ; Deqian MENG ; Kai WANG
Chinese Journal of Rheumatology 2025;29(8):662-667
Objective:This study aims to analyze historical trends and predict future trends of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) attributable to high BMI for osteoarthritis (OA) in China. OA is a common chronic degenerative joint disease, with high body mass index (BMI) being a significant risk factor. in China.Methods:Based on the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 database, we analyzed trends in high-BMI-attributable OA. The ASR of hogh-BMI-attributable OA DALYs increased from DALYs in China from 1990 to 2021. A Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model was used to predict trends from 2022 to 2046. Age-standardized rates (ASR) and estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC) were calculated to assess trend changes of trends. A Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model was used to predict trends from 2022 to 2046. Chi-square tests were used to compare differences in high BMI attribution proportions between regions and years.Results:From 1990 to 2021, China′s OA DALYs increased from 1.829 to 5.327 million, with the proportion attributable to high BMI rising from 13.47% to 21.86% ( χ2=60 527.25, P<0.001). The ASR of high-BMI-attributable to OA increased from 27.4 (-2.2, 81.5) per 100,000 to 53.0 (-4.7, 150.7) per 100 000, with an EAPC of 2.48% [95% (uncertainty interval, UI): 2.35, 2.62]. In 2021, females showed significantly higher ASR (69.2 per 100 000) than males (36.1 per 100 000). Knee OA (ASR: 50.5/100 000) demonstrated substantially higher burden than hip OA (ASR: 2.5/100 000). Age effect analysis showed DALYs peaked at ages 80~90; period effect indicated accelerated growth after 2005; cohort effect showed a U-shaped trend with the 1990 birth cohort having the highest relative risk (approximately 3.0). Projections indicated that up to 2046, total OA DALYs will reach approximately 2.39 million with an ASR of about 71, showing more significant growth among females (ASR reaching 100). Conclusion:High-BMI-attributable to OA DALYs in China shows a significant upward trend, and is expected to continue. This trend is more pronounced among females and elderly populations than males, highlighting the urgency of implementing preventive measures for high-risk groups, particularly in weight management.
3.Effects of Iguratimod Combined with Methotrexate on Angiogenesis-related Cytokines of Patients with Refractory Rheumatoid Arthritis
Deqian MENG ; Wenyou PAN ; Yan LIU ; Zhen JIANG ; Ju LI ; Hui LI ; Shanshan LIU ; Yongsheng LI ; Yuling CHENG
Herald of Medicine 2016;(2):153-156
Objective To observe the effects of iguratimod ( IT) combined with methotrexate ( MTX) in patients with refractory rheumatoid arthritis ( rRA) . Methods Sixty patients with rRA were randomly divided into 2 groups ( n=30 each group) . The cases in treatment group received 50 mg.d-1 of iguratimod and 10 mg of MTX for 16 weeks. The cases in control group were treated by 10-15 mg of MTX. DAS28 was analyzed. Levels of VEGF and endostatin ( ES) were quantified. Results In the treatment group,after 16-week treatment,DAS28,levels of VEGF and ES were (3.0±1.2),(818.9±178.8) pg.mL-1, (337.8±132.6) ng.mL-1,and those in the control group were (5.7±1.9),(1000.2±245.9) pg.mL-1,(253.8±77.8) ng.mL-1,respectively. In the treatment group,DAS28 and VEGF after the treatment were significantly decreased as compared with those before the treatment ( P<0.01) . The decrement was more significant in the treatment group than in the control group ( P<0.01) . At the 16th week of treatment,ES was significantly increased as compared with that before the treatment ( P<0.01) , and there was a significant difference between the treatment group and the control group (P<0.01). Conclusion Iguratimod combined with MTX have a prominent effect on rRA with high safety. The efficacy of IT on RA might be related with decreasing VEGF release,increasing ES production and alleviating synovium angiogenesis.
4.The effect of iguratimod on the cytokines of human synovial fibroblast cell line MH7A stimulated with interleukin-1β
Deqian MENG ; Wenyou PAN ; Yan LIU ; Zhen JIANG ; Ju LI ; Yuling CHENG
Chinese Journal of Rheumatology 2015;19(10):656-661
Objective To observe the possible anti-inflammatory and anti-angiogenesis effects of iguratimodon human synovial fibroblast cell line MH7A derived from patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA).Methods MH7A cells were stimulated with interleukin (IL)-1β and treated simult aneously or sequenti-ally with different concentrations of iguratimod and methotrexate (MTX).Release of vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), endostatin (ES) and tumour necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) was quantified by enzyme linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA).The statistics software SPSS 13.0 was used for statistical analyses.The experimental data were analyzed in terms of variance analysis and LSD test.In all cases, a P value lower than 0.05 was considered significant.Results The concentrations of VEGF, ES and TNF-α of the control group were (57±98) pg/ml, (924±39) pg/ml, (16.40±6.08) pg/ml respectively, while those of the experimental group were (1 155±177) pg/ml, (295±35) pg/ml and (36.90±3.54) pg/ml respectively.The differences of VEGF (t=9.092, P<0.01) and ES (t=19.685, P<0.01) between the control group and the experimental group was statistically significant.There was significant difference in the levels of TNF-α between the two groups (t=2.495, P<0.05).VEGF of the iguratimod groups was (640±127) pg/ml in the iguratimod group (100 μmol/L), (787±172) pg/ml in the iguratimod group (25 μmol/L), and (776±99) pg/ml in the iguratimod group (6.25 μmol/L).VEGF of the MTX groups was (1 322±264) pg/ml in the MTX group (100 μmol/L), (1 071±63) pg/ml in the MTX group (25 μmol/L), and (863±70) pg/ml in the MTX group (6.25 μmol/L).All concentration of the iguratimod groups could effectively reduce the expression of VEGF in MH7A cells.Compared with the experimental group, the difference was statistically significant (100 μmol/L group: t=4.264, P<0.01;25 μmol/L group: t=3.045, P<0.01;6.25 μmol/L group: t =3.132, P <0.01).MTX (6.25 μ mol/L) could reduce the expression of VEGF in MH7A cells.Compared with the experimental group, the difference was statistically significant (t=2.415,P<0.05).ES of the iguratimod groups was (979±30) pg/ml in the iguratimod group (100 μmol/L), (842±14)pg/ml in the iguratimod group (25 μmol/L), and (485 ±72) pg/ml in the iguratimod group (6.25 μmol/L).ES of the MTX group was (934±23) pg/ml in the MTX (100 μmol/L) group, (825±28) pg/ml in the MTX group (25 μmol/L), and (772 ±44) pg/ml in the MTX group (6.25 μmol/L).Both iguratimod and MTX groups effectively increased the expression of ES in MH7A cells.Compared with the experimental group, the difference was statistically significant (100 μmol/L group: t=21.387, P<0.01;25 μmol/L group: t=17.122,P<0.01;6.25 μmol/L group: t=5.929, P<0.01).The expression of ES of the iguratimod group (100 μmol/L)and iguratimod group(25 μmol/L) was higher than that of the iguratimod group (6.25 μmol/L).The difference was statistical significant(100 μmol/L group: 6.25 μmol/L group was t=15.458,P<0.01;100 μmol/L group: 6.25 μ mol/L group was t=11.193, P<0.01).The expression of ES of the iguratimod group(6.25 μmol/L) was lower than that of the MTX group (6.25 μmol/L).The difference was statistically significant (t=9.001, P<0.01).TNF-α was (4.73 ±1.15) pg/ml in the iguratimod group (100 μmol/L), (4.40±2.65) pg/ml in the iguratimod group (25 μmol/L), and (4.40±0.10) pg/ml in the iguratimod group (6.25 μmol/L).TNF-α of the MTX groups were (4.40±3.61) pg/ml in the MTX group (100 μ mol/L), (13.40±16.46) pg/ml in the MTX group (25 μmol/L),and (21.73±16.50) pg/ml of the MTX group (6.25 μmol/L).Both the iguratimod groups and the MTX group (100 μmol/L) effectively reduced the expression of TNF-α in MH7A cells.Compared with the experimental group, the difference was statistically significant(100 μmol/L group: t=3.914, P<0.01;25 μ mol/Lgroup: t=3.955,P<0.01;6.25 μ mol/L group: t=3.955, P<0.01).Theexpression of TNF-α of the MTX groups (100 μ mol/L and 25 μmol/L) reduced significantly.Compared with the experimental group, the difference was statistically significant (100 μmol/L group: t=3.955, P<0.01;25 μmol/L group: t=2.859, P<0.05).The expression of TNF-αof the iguratimod group (6.25 μmol/L) was lower than that of the MTX group (6.25 μmol/L).The difference was statistical significant (t=2.359, P<0.05).Conclusion Iguratimod presents strong anti-inflammatory and antiangiogenesis properties.This study provides insight into the possible molecular mechanisms of iguratimod and suggests that it can be a medication for the treatment of chronic inflammatory diseases like RA.

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