1.Analysis of the disease burden of hypertensive heart disease among individuals aged≥60 years globally and in China from 1990 to 2021
Jiali LI ; Chunzhen REN ; Fan LIU ; Keyan WANG ; Zhijiang BI ; Xiaoxiao ZHAO ; Lixin KE ; Haibo WANG ; Wenxi PENG ; Zhifei WANG ; Qiang ZHANG ; Peng XU ; Yingdong LI ; Xiuxiu DENG ; Xinke ZHAO ; Cuncun LU
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2026;33(02):281-290
Objective To systematically analyze the characteristics of the disease burden of hypertensive heart disease (HHD) in the elderly (≥60 years) globally and in China from 1990 to 2021, and to predict its future trends from 2022 to 2040, with the aim of providing data support for optimizing comprehensive prevention and control strategies for HHD. Methods Based on the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 database, the number of prevalent cases and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of HHD in the elderly were extracted for the world, China, and five regions categorized by sociodemographic index (SDI). Joinpoint regression was used to analyze the temporal trends of age-standardized prevalence rate and age-standardized DALYs rate of HHD in the elderly. A three-factor decomposition method was applied to evaluate the relative contributions of aging, population growth, and epidemiological changes to the variations in the elderly HHD burden. Additionally, a Bayesian age-period-cohort model was used to predict the elderly HHD burden from 2022 to 2040. Results In 2021, the number of prevalent elderly HHD cases reached 10 283 000 globally and 3 412 400 in China, representing increases of 179.20% and 159.20% respectively, compared with 1990. The DALYs of elderly HHD were 18 812 700 person-years globally and 4 731 400 person-years in China, rising by 76.08% and 29.45% respectively from 1990. Meanwhile, the growth rates of the number of prevalent cases and DALYs of elderly HHD varied across different SDI regions. From 1990 to 2021, the age-standardized prevalence rate of elderly HHD in China, as well as the age-standardized DALYs rate of elderly HHD both globally and in China, showed significant downward trends (all average annual percentage changes<0, all P<0.001). In 2021, the 70-74 years age group accounted for the highest proportion of prevalent cases and DALYs of elderly HHD, both globally and in China. Decomposition analysis revealed that population growth was the dominant factor driving the increase in the elderly HHD burden across all regions. The prediction model results indicated that the number of prevalent cases and DALYs of elderly HHD would continue to rise globally and in China from 2022 to 2040, with the growth rate of the elderly HHD burden in China between 2021 and 2040 expected to exceed the global average. Conclusion Over the past 32 years, although the age-standardized disease rates of elderly HHD have mainly shown a downward trend globally and in China, the absolute number of the disease burden has increased substantially. The projection model indicates a continued upward trajectory, with the growth rate in China higher than the global average. Therefore, there is an urgent need to implement precise prevention and control strategies to effectively mitigate the disease burden of elderly HHD.
3.Diagnosis of coronary artery lesions in children based on Z-score regression model.
Yong WANG ; Jia-Ying JIANG ; Yan DENG ; Bo LI ; Ping SHUAI ; Xiao-Ping HU ; Yin-Yan ZHANG ; Han WU ; Lu-Wei YE ; Qian PENG
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2025;27(2):176-183
OBJECTIVES:
To construct a Z-score regression model for coronary artery diameter based on echocardiographic data from children in Sichuan Province and to establish a Z-score calculation formula.
METHODS:
A total of 744 healthy children who underwent physical examinations at Sichuan Provincial People's Hospital from January 2020 to December 2022 were selected as the modeling group, while 251 children diagnosed with Kawasaki disease at the same hospital from January 2018 to December 2022 were selected as the validation group. Pearson correlation analysis was conducted to analyze the relationships between coronary artery diameter values and age, height, weight, and body surface area. A regression model was constructed using function transformation to identify the optimal regression model and establish the Z-score calculation formula, which was then validated.
RESULTS:
The Pearson correlation analysis showed that the correlation coefficients for the diameters of the left main coronary artery, left anterior descending artery, left circumflex artery, and right coronary artery with body surface area were 0.815, 0.793, 0.704, and 0.802, respectively (P<0.05). Among the constructed regression models, the power function regression model demonstrated the best performance and was therefore chosen as the optimal model for establishing the Z-score calculation formula. Based on this Z-score calculation formula, the detection rate of coronary artery lesions was found to be 21.5% (54/251), which was higher than the detection rate based on absolute values of coronary artery diameter. Notably, in the left anterior descending and left circumflex arteries, the detection rate of coronary artery lesions using this Z-score calculation formula was higher than that of previous classic Z-score calculation formulas.
CONCLUSIONS
The Z-score calculation formula established based on the power function regression model has a higher detection rate for coronary artery lesions, providing a strong reference for clinicians, particularly in assessing coronary artery lesions in children with Kawasaki disease.
Humans
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Male
;
Female
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Child, Preschool
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Child
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Coronary Artery Disease/diagnostic imaging*
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Infant
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Mucocutaneous Lymph Node Syndrome
;
Regression Analysis
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Coronary Vessels/diagnostic imaging*
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Echocardiography
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Adolescent
4.Febrile infection-related epilepsy syndrome caused by hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis: a case report.
Xiao-Lu DENG ; Li-Fen YANG ; Xia WANG ; Hui ZHANG ; Jian HE ; Jing PENG
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2025;27(7):864-869
The patient was a girl, aged 10 years, who was admitted due to fever for 5 days and pancytopenia in peripheral blood for 2 days. Bone marrow examination showed the presence of phagocytic activity, and peripheral blood tests showed pancytopenia, an increase in ferritin, a reduction in fibrinogen, increases in triglyceride and sCD25, and a reduction in natural killer cell activity, which led to the diagnosis of hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (HLH). On the day of admission, the child developed convulsions and rapidly progressed to refractory status epilepticus, which was consistent with the manifestations of febrile infection-related epilepsy syndrome. HLH was controlled after active immunotherapy, with the sequela of refractory epilepsy, and her cognitive function was essentially within normal limits. This article reports the condition of febrile infection-related epilepsy syndrome caused by HLH for the first time in China, in order to improve the awareness of this disease among clinicians.
Humans
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Lymphohistiocytosis, Hemophagocytic/complications*
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Female
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Child
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Epilepsy/etiology*
;
Fever/etiology*
;
Epileptic Syndromes/etiology*
5.Development and validation of a risk prediction model for severe acute pancreatitis induced by hypertriglyceridemia
Zhe WANG ; Hanzhang DENG ; Kaixin PENG ; Jiongdi LU ; Liang ZHANG ; Xiaolei SHI ; Yunpeng PENG ; Kedong XU ; Zheng WANG ; Guotao LU ; Gang WANG ; Zipeng LU ; Fei LI ; Li WEN ; Feng CAO
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2025;63(8):720-726
Objective:To investigate the risk factors for patients with hypertriglyceridemia-related acute pancreatitis (HTG-AP) developing into severe acute pancreatitis or experiencing organ failure.Methods:This retrospective cohort study collected clinical data from 2 429 patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis from five hospitals in China between January 2019 and December 2023 using a pre-designed data collection form. The cohort included 1 516 males and 913 females,with an age of (50.2±16.5)years(range: 11 to 99 years). Among them,353 patients (16.1%) had HTG-AP,while 1 846 (83.9%) had non-HTG-AP. HTG-AP was defined as serum triglyceride levels>500 mg/dl with other etiologies excluded. Intergroup comparisons were performed using t-tests,Mann-Whitney U test or χ2 tests,respectively. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to assess risk factors for severe acute pancreatitis after adjusting for potential confounders,and a predictive model was developed and validated. Results:Compared with other etiologies,HTG-AP patients had a higher risk of progressing to SAP ( OR=1.415,95% CI: 0.866 to 2.312, P=0.017) and organ failure ( OR=1.256,95% CI: 1.015 to 1.554, P=0.036). Among HTG-AP patients,risk factors for SAP included body mass index ( OR=1.856,95% CI: 1.742 to 1.987, P=0.033),fasting blood glucose ( OR=1.128,95% CI: 1.036 to 1.229, P=0.006),white blood cell count( OR=1.162,95% CI: 1.055 to 1.281, P=0.002),and the presence of pleural effusion ( OR=13.151,95% CI: 4.330 to 19.946, P<0.01). A nomogram prediction model for SAP in HTG-AP was constructed based on these risk factors,demonstrating good discriminative ability with area under the curve values of 0.877 in the training set and 0.894 in the validation set,along with satisfactory calibration. Conclusions:HTG-AP patients are at higher risk of developing SAP and organ failure. The risk prediction model incorporating body mass index,fasting blood glucose,white blood cell count,and pleural effusion shows good predictive value for SAP.
6.Clinical efficacy of open anterior myofascial repair surgery on abdominal wall incision hernia
Lu CHEN ; Xianpeng DAI ; Hao DENG ; Baiqi LIU ; Yuli PENG ; Siyi WU ; Dingcheng SHEN ; Gengwen HUANG
Chinese Journal of Digestive Surgery 2025;24(9):1161-1166
Objective:To investigate the clinical efficacy of open anterior myofascial repair surgery on abdominal wall incision hernia.Methods:The retrospective cohort study was conducted. The clinical data of 188 patients who underwent open anterior myofascial repair surgery on abdo-minal wall incision hernia at three medical centers, including Xiangya Hospital of Central South University et al, from December 2016 to December 2024 were collected. There were 85 males and 103 females, aged (62±12)years. Of the 188 patients, 55 cases had large incisional hernia and 133 cases had non-large incisional hernia. Observation indicators: (1) intraoperative conditions; (2) postopera-tive conditions; (3) follow-up. Comparison of measurement data with normal distribution between groups was conducted using the independent sample t test. Comparison of measurement data with skewed distribution between groups was conducted using the Mann-Whitney U test. Comparison of count data between groups was conducted using the chi-square test or Fisher exact test. Comparison of ordinal data between groups was conducted using the nonparametic test. Results:(1) Intra-operative conditions. The operation time of the 55 patients with large incisional hernia was (145±40)minutes, and the volume of intraoperative blood loss was 40.0(22.5,55.0)mL, cases with fascial defect located in the central anterior abdominal wall, the superolateral quadrant, the inferolateral quadrant were 26, 7, 22, the fascial defect area was 140(99,169)cm2, cases used with self-fixating mesh and flat mesh were 29, 26. The above indicators of the 133 patients with non-large incisional hernia were (124±34)minutes, 35.0(30.0,45.0)mL, 47, 26, 60, 25(12,40)cm2, 67, 66, respectively. There were significant differences in operation time and fascial defect area between patients with large incisional hernia and non-large incisional hernia ( t=-3.651, Z=-10.339, P<0.05), and there was no significant difference in the volume of intraoperative blood loss, defect quadrant distribution, and mesh type ( Z=-0.501, χ2=2.692, 0.086, P>0.05). (2) Postoperative conditions. Of the 55 patients with large incisional hernia, 7 cases developed postoperative seroma, including 5 cases combined with concomitant surgical-site infection, and 4 additional cases developed with surgical-site infection. Of the 133 patients with non-large incisional hernia, 15 cases developed postoperative seroma, including 3 cases combined with concomitant surgical-site infection. There was a significant difference in surgical-site infection between patients with large incisional hernia and non-large incisional hernia ( χ2=10.707, P<0.05), and there was no significant difference in postoperative seroma ( χ2=0.079, P>0.05). The duration of postoperative hospital stay was 7(6, 9)days for the 55 patients with large incisional hernia and 5(4, 6)days for the 133 patients with non-large incisional hernia, showing a significant difference between them ( Z=-6.292, P<0.05). (3) Follow-up. All 188 patients were followed up for 43(range, 29-67)months. During the follow-up, 9 patients experienced hernia recurrence, including 7 patients with large incisional hernia and 2 patients with non-large incisional hernia. For the 7 patients of large incisional hernia with hernia recurrence, 4 cases underwent reoperation and 3 cases received conservative treatment. All 2 patients of non-large incisional hernia with hernia recurrence received conservative treatment. There was no significant difference in hernia recurrence between patients with large incisional hernia and non-large incisional hernia ( χ2=8.432, P<0.05). Results of chronic pain score at postoperative 3 month showed that among 55 patients with large incisional hernia, 40 cases had mild pain, 7 cases had moderate pain, and 8 cases had severe pain. Among 133 patients with non-large incisional hernia, the above indicators were 102, 28, and 3, respectively. There was no significant difference in chronic pain score at postoperative 3 month between patients with large incisional hernia and non-large incisional hernia ( Z=-0.968, P>0.05). Conclusions:Open anterior myofascial repair surgery can be used for the treatment of abdominal wall incision hernia. Compared with non-large incisional hernia, patients with large incisional hernia have longer operation time, are more prone to surgical-site infection, have longer postoperative hospital stay, and are more likely to experience hernia recurrence.
7.Association between remnant cholesterol and the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in a community population in Shanghai
Yingqi DENG ; Minhua TANG ; Kexin ZHANG ; Xiaohua LIU ; Yanan WU ; Qian PENG ; Liping YI ; Jianhua SHI ; Yingfeng LU ; Yonggen JIANG ; Genming ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(6):935-941
Objective:To analyze the association between remnant cholesterol (RC) and the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) in community population in Shanghai.Methods:Using baseline and follow-up data from the Shanghai Suburban Adult Cohort and Biobank, individuals with ASCVD (including coronary heart disease, stroke, myocardial infarction, and peripheral artery disease) at baseline were excluded. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was employed to analyze the relationship between RC and ASCVD risk and the association under different LDL-C levels.Results:A total of 57 281 participants were included, with a median follow-up of 5.61 person-years. During the follow-up, 1 436 ASCVD events (2.51%) were recorded. After adjusting for potential confounders, individuals with moderate ( HR=1.18, 95% CI: 1.03-1.36) or high RC levels ( HR=1.32, 95% CI: 1.15-1.51) had an increased risk of ASCVD. The association was stronger in participants younger than 60 years-old (interaction P=0.048). Participants with RC ≥0.97 mmol/L and LDL-C <3.40 mmol/L demonstrated a 19% ( HR=1.19, 95% CI: 1.06-1.35) increased risk of ASCVD. When RC ≥0.97 mmol/L and LDL-C ≥3.40 mmol/L, ASCVD risk increased by 42% ( HR=1.42, 95% CI: 1.21-1.67). Conclusions:Elevated RC increases ASCVD risk, regardless of LDL-C levels. RC can serve as a valuable predictor and intervention target for ASCVD.
8.CURRENT DISTRIBUTION OF AEDES AEGYPTI IN LEIZHOU PENINSULA,ZHANJIANG CITY,GUANGDONG PROVINCE
Rui-Peng LU ; Jin-Hua DUAN ; Yu-Wen ZHONG ; Hui DENG ; Jun WU ; Li-Ping LIU ; Wei-Xiong YIN ; Feng XING ; Hui HUANG ; Chang-Jie FU ; Zong-Jing CHEN ; Ming-Ji CHENG ; Sheng-Jun HU ; Ya-Ting CHEN ; Wen-Ting GUO ; Li-Feng LIN
Acta Parasitologica et Medica Entomologica Sinica 2025;32(1):16-21
Objective To investigate the status of population dynamics and distribution changes of Aedes aegypti in Guangdong Province.Methods Continuous monitoring was conducted from May 2018 to July 2024 in Wushi Town and Qishui Town,Leizhou City,Zhanjiang City,Guangdong Province.Additionally,a survey of the distribution of Ae.aegypti along the Leizhou Peninsula coast was carried out.Results The density of Ae.aegypti in Zhanjiang showed a gradual decline from 2018 to 2024.The last detection of adult Ae.aegypti in Wushi Town was in September 2021,and the last larva was found in October 2023.No Ae.aegypti was detected in Qishui Town during surveys from 2021 to 2024.A survey of 18 coastal villages in the Leizhou Peninsula revealed no detections of Ae.aegypti.Conclusions This study provides a basis for understanding the distribution and population density fluctuations of Ae.aegypti,assessing its invasion risk,and scientifically conducting relevant prevention and control efforts.
9.Exploratory study of MRI of the clavicle's sternal end in the assessment of bone age in chinese adolescents
Qinjin LIU ; Yushan LIN ; Junhong LIU ; Lirong QIU ; Yufan GUI ; Yihui LUO ; Ting LU ; Hao DAI ; Zhao PENG ; Bo REN ; Cuiping ZHANG ; Gang NING ; Zhenhua DENG ; Ming YANG ; Fei FAN
Chinese Journal of Forensic Medicine 2025;40(1):49-55
Objective To investigate the value of MRI of the sternal end of clavicle in bone age assessment in Chinese population,especially its applicability in the determination of criminal responsible age.Methods A total of 431 patients aged from 10.00 to 29.99 years with neck or chest MRI were retrospectively collected.According to the Schmeling grading method,the epiphyseal development of the clavicle MRI was divided into five grades.The consistency of methods was evaluated.The correlation and general descriptive analysis between MRI grades and age was analyzed.The sex difference was analyzed.Curve fitting was used to establish a nonlinear model between age and grades.Results The grades of clavicle MRI showed a significant age-related trend(Figure 2),and the correlation was 0.861(0.887 in males and 0.840 in females).Except for grade 1,there was no significant difference between males and females in other grades.The minimum age of male grade 3 was greater than 14 years old,and the minimum age of female grade 3 was greater than 16 years old.The minimum age in grade 4 and grade 5 was over 18 years old in both sexes.The best curve fitting model was cubic model for both sexes(R2=0.805 for men and 0.722 for women).Conclusion Clavicle MRI can be used for the assessment of bone age in Chinese population.Complete epiphyseal plate closure can be used as a reliable indicator for the determination of age at 18 years old,and it is expected to achieve radiation-free forensic bone age assessment.
10.Association between remnant cholesterol and the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in a community population in Shanghai
Yingqi DENG ; Minhua TANG ; Kexin ZHANG ; Xiaohua LIU ; Yanan WU ; Qian PENG ; Liping YI ; Jianhua SHI ; Yingfeng LU ; Yonggen JIANG ; Genming ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(6):935-941
Objective:To analyze the association between remnant cholesterol (RC) and the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) in community population in Shanghai.Methods:Using baseline and follow-up data from the Shanghai Suburban Adult Cohort and Biobank, individuals with ASCVD (including coronary heart disease, stroke, myocardial infarction, and peripheral artery disease) at baseline were excluded. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was employed to analyze the relationship between RC and ASCVD risk and the association under different LDL-C levels.Results:A total of 57 281 participants were included, with a median follow-up of 5.61 person-years. During the follow-up, 1 436 ASCVD events (2.51%) were recorded. After adjusting for potential confounders, individuals with moderate ( HR=1.18, 95% CI: 1.03-1.36) or high RC levels ( HR=1.32, 95% CI: 1.15-1.51) had an increased risk of ASCVD. The association was stronger in participants younger than 60 years-old (interaction P=0.048). Participants with RC ≥0.97 mmol/L and LDL-C <3.40 mmol/L demonstrated a 19% ( HR=1.19, 95% CI: 1.06-1.35) increased risk of ASCVD. When RC ≥0.97 mmol/L and LDL-C ≥3.40 mmol/L, ASCVD risk increased by 42% ( HR=1.42, 95% CI: 1.21-1.67). Conclusions:Elevated RC increases ASCVD risk, regardless of LDL-C levels. RC can serve as a valuable predictor and intervention target for ASCVD.

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