Objective:To analyze the risk factors associated with future exacerbations in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) who have no history of exacerbation in the past year.Methods:COPD patients with no exacerbation history in the past year, registered in the RealDTC study from January 2018 to December 2023, were enrolled. Demographic data, COPD Assessment Test (CAT) scores, modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) dyspnea questionnaire scores, forced expiratory volume in the first second predicted of percentage (FEV 1%pred), forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV 1) to forced vital capacity (FVC), Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) classification, GOLD groups, and inhaled medication regimens were collected. All patients were followed up for one year, and the number of exacerbations was recorded. Patients were divided into an exacerbation group and a non-exacerbation group based on the occurrence of exacerbations during the follow-up period. Logistic regression analysis was used to screen the influencing factors for exacerbations in COPD patients. Results:A total of 2 901 COPD patients were included, among which 633 patients (21.8%) experienced exacerbations during the follow-up period. Compared with the non-exacerbation group, patients in the exacerbation group were older, with higher CAT and mMRC scores, lower body mass index (BMI), FEV 1%pred, and FEV 1/FVC. The proportions of patients with high school education or above and those using long-acting β 2-agonist (LABA) + long-acting muscarinic antagonist (LAMA) medications were also lower (all P<0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that age ( OR=1.010, 95% CI: 1.000-1.021), CAT score ≥20 ( OR=1.415, 95% CI: 1.074-1.865), education level of junior high school or below ( OR=1.243, 95% CI: 1.003-1.540), LABA + LAMA inhalation ( OR=0.605, 95% CI: 0.432-0.848), and BMI ( OR=0.969, 95% CI: 0.943-0.995) were independent risk factors for future exacerbations in COPD patients with no exacerbation history in the past year (all P<0.05). Conclusions:The risk of future exacerbations remains high in COPD patients with no exacerbation history in the past year. High CAT scores, low education levels, and low BMI are associated with future exacerbations. Clinicians should pay close attention to the management of such patients and implement appropriate interventions.

Aim To explore the mechanism of the syn-ergistic effect of the ferroptosis inducer erastin com-bined with shikonin in promoting ferroptosis in human hypertrophic scar fibroblasts(HSFBs).Methods Hypertrophic scar tissues provided by the General Hos-pital of Ningxia Medical University were collected,and HSFBs were extracted.HSFBs were identified by HE staining and immunofluorescence.The inhibitory rates of Era and SHK on HSFBs at different concentrations were detected by CCK-8 assay,and the IC50 value was calculated.CompuSyn software was used to calculate the co-use index(CI).Control group,Erastin(Era)group,shikonin(SHK)group and Era+SHK group were set up,and the number and morphological chan-ges of cells were observed after 24 hours of interven-tion.The ability of cell migration and invasion was de-tected by scratch test and Transwell test.The changes of malondialdehyde(MDA),total iron ion and reactive oxygen species(ROS)were detected by corresponding biochemical kits.The expressions of collagen I,α-SMA and GOT1,SLC7A11,GPX4 and FTH1 were detected by Western blot.Results The IC50 value of Era and SHK of primary HSFBs was 2.22 μmol·L-1 and 3.94μmol·L-1 respectively,which was used as the single drug concentration for subsequent experiments.The CompuSyn software was employed to calculate the CI value when the two drugs were used in combination,and the concentrations corresponding to CI=0.39597(Era:1.2 μmol·L-1+SHK:1.5 μmol·L-1)were selected as subsequent combination concentrations(Because when CI was equal to 0.395 97,the concen-tration of each drug was lower than the concentration of single drug,and the inhibition rate of combined drug was greater than 50％).Compared with the monother-apy group,the number of HSFBs in the SHK+Era group was significantly reduced,cell membrane showed breakage and vesiculation,cell wrinkling became smal-ler,and cytoplasm was concentrated.The migration and invasion ability of HSFBs in the SHK+Era group were obviously weakened(P＜0.05),and the expres-sion of fibrosis-related proteins collagen Ⅰ and α-SMA was reduced(P＜0.05);the contents of MDA,total i-ron ions,and ROS in HSFBs of the SHK+Era group increased(P＜0.05),and the protein expression lev-els of SLC7A11,GOT1,GPX4,and FTH1 further de-creased(P＜0.05).Conclusions Erastin in combi-nation with shikonin can synergistically inhibit the pro-liferation,migration and fibrosis levels of HSFBs.The mechanism may be that erastin enhances the inhibition of shikotin on GOT1,increases the levels of cellular i-ron ions,ROS,and lipid peroxides,thereby promoting ferroptosis in HSFBs.

AIM To investigate the effect of Fuzheng Hefu Zhiyang Formula(FZHFZY)on psoriasis-like skin lesions and immune regulation in mice.METHODS In the in vivo experiment,30 BALB/c mice were randomly divided into the blank group,the model group,the dexamethasone group(1.5 g/kg of compound dexamethasone acetate cream),and the low-dose(2.5 g/kg)and high-dose(5 g/kg)FZHFZY groups,with six mice in each group.The experiment groups were treated with respective FZHFZY and dexamethasone,and the other groups were given normal saline for 10 consecutive days,during which psoriatic skin lesions were induced with imiquimod cream for 7 consecutive days.The mice had their area and severity of psoriasis assessed by PASI score;their histological changes of skin lesions.observed with Hematoxylin-eosin(HE)staining;their F4/80 ratio of skin lesions observed with immunohistochemical(IHC)staining;their protein expressions of P38,p-P38,Erk,p-Erk,P65 and p-P65 detected by Western blot;and their mRNA expressions of tumor necrosis factor-α(TNF-α),IL-17,IL-23 and IL-1β detected by RT-qPCR.In the in vitro research,the cultured RAW264.7 cells were divided into the blank group,the LPS group,and the FZHFZY groups(1 200,600,300,150 μg/mL).The cells had their protein expressions of P38,p-P38,Erk,p-Erk,P65 and p-P65 detected with Western blot;and their mRNA expressions of IL-6,TNF-α,IL-23 and IL-8 detected by RT-qPCR.RESULTS The in vivo experiment showed that compared to the model group,the FZHFZY groups demonstrated decreased PASI score(P＜0.01);improved epidermal thickening and parakeratosis of skin lesions as revealed by HE staining result and increased expression of F4/80 in IHC staining sections;decreased protein expression ratios of p-P38/P38,p-ERK/Erk and p-P65/P65 in skin(P＜0.05,P＜0.01);and reduced mRNA expressions of TNF-α,IL-17,IL-23 and IL-1β in the skin(P＜0.01).FZHFZY(0～2 400 μg/mL)showed no significant cytotoxicity towards RAW264.7 cells in vitro(P＞0.05).Compared to those of the LPS group,the cells exposed to FZHFZ at concentrations of 1 200 and 600 μg/mL demonstrated decreased protein expression ratios of p-P38/P38,p-ERK/Erk,and p-P65/P65(P＜0.05,P＜0.01);and significantly decreased mRNA expressions of TNF-α,IL-17,IL-23 and IL-1β(P＜0.01).CONCLUSION FZHFZY alleviates imiquimod-induced psoriatic lesions in mice and suppresses inflammatory response in LPS-stimulated RAW264.7 cells by inhibiting P38/Erk/NF-κB signaling pathway.

AIM To explore the relieving effect of Er Miao Wan on atopic dermatitis in mice.METHODS In vivo experiment:BALB/c mice were randomly divided into normal group,model group,dexamethasone group(2 mg/kg)and high,medium and low dose groups of Er Miao Wan(4.68,2.34 and 1.17 g/kg).The mouse model of atopic dermatitis was established by repeatedly smearing DNCB solution,and the model was given orally for 21 days.The skin lesion condition on the back of mice,ear swelling degree,and the weight difference between ear lobes were observed and recorded.HE staining was used to observe the histopathological changes in the skin lesion tissues of mice.Toluidine blue(TB)staining was used to observe the infiltration of mast cells in skin lesions.The expression of macrophage marker F4/80 in skin lesions was detected by IHC.The serum levels of TSLP,IL-4,IL-5 and total IgE were detected by ELISA.In vitro experiment:RAW264.7 cells in logarithmic growth period were given 400,200 and 100 μg/mL Er Miao Wan for intervention.Cell proliferation was detected by CCK-8 method.NO level in cell supernatant was detected by Griess method.TNF-α,IL-1 β and IL-6 levels in cell supernatant were detected by ELISA method.The expressions of proteins related to the MAPK/NF-κB signaling pathway in cells was detected by Western blot.RESULTS In vivo experiment:Compared with the model group,the scores of back skin lesions,the swelling degree of right ear and the weight difference between left and right ear pieces in the high-dose group of Er Miao Wan decreased(P＜0.05,P＜0.01),the thickness of skin lesions decreased,the infiltration of mast cells and macrophages decreased(P＜0.05,P＜0.01),and the inflammatory factors TSLP,IL-4,IL-5 and total IgE levels in serum decreased(P＜0.05,P＜0.01),and the expression of F4/80 in the skin lesions decreased(P＜0.01).In vitro experiment:Compared with the model group,the levels of NO,TNF-α,IL-1 β and IL-6 in Er Miao Wan 400 and 200 μg/mL groups decreased(P＜0.05,P＜0.01),and the phosphorylation levels of P38,JNK and P65 proteins decreased(P＜0.05,P＜0.01).CONCLUSION Er Miao Wan can alleviate skin lesion inflammation in DNCB-induced atopic dermatitis mice,and its mechanism may be related to inhibiting the activation of MAPK/NF-κB signaling pathway of macrophage,reducing macrophage infiltration and reducing Th2 cytokines.

Objective:To conduct a study on pricing by service unit to address the problems of hospice and palliative care pricing and fee system in China.Methods:Combining theoretical research and empirical evidence,this study organized the pricing mechanism of initiative hospice and palliative care services and established a graded and categorized pricing strategy.Empirical research was conducted based on real-world data from 36 pilot institutions in typical areas.Results:This study developed a comprehensive pricing framework for value-based classification price standard of initiative hospice and palliative care services from the perspective of incentive regulation.We proposed a pricing plan based on service units,with inpatient bed fee ranging from 459 to 606 yuan or 459 to 1 102 yuan,and home visit fee ranging from 89 to 264 yuan.Conclusions and suggestions:This study proposes a pricing scheme based on the technique and service value with a gradient fluctuation by service unit,and forms a set of price standards with high economic and technical feasibility,which can provide scientific evidences for solving the pricing problem of hospice care.In addition,there is still a need to establish a multi-level incentive compensation mechanism to motivate all levels and types of organisations and healthcare provider,and to promote the high-quality and sustainable development of hospice and palliative care.

Objective To explore the correlation between systemic inflammatory response index(SIRI)and the prognosis of elderly heart failure(HF)patients.Methods A retrospective study was conducted on 300 elderly HF patients with complete medical records hospitalized in our de-partment from January to December 2022.During the follow-up period for 1 year in different ways,46 of them were lost,and 254 were finally included.Baseline data,complete blood count at admission,and results of auxiliary examinations,and medicine adherence after discharge were col-lected and recorded.According to the occurrence of major adverse cardiovascular events(MACE),the subjected patients were divided into a MACE group(96 cases)and a non-MACE group(158 cases).The baseline data and relevant examination indicators were compared between the two groups,and the relevant factors for the occurrence were analyzed by using logistic regression.ROC curve analysis was employed to assess the predictive value of SIRI for MACE occurrence.Results The MACE group had significantly advanced age,larger proportion of diabetes mellitus,higher neutrophil and platelet counts,and elevated D-dimer level,but lower standardized medication rate when compared with the non-MACE group(P＜0.05,P＜0.01).The SIRI level was obviously higher in the MACE group than the non-MACE group[1.70(1.13,2.33)vs 1.29(0.85,2.06),P=0.002].Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that atrial fibrillation,standardized medi-cation,mononuclear cells,and SIRI were independent risk factors for the occurrence of MACE in elderly HF patients(P＜0.05,P＜0.01).ROC curve analysis indicated that the AUC value of SIRI in predicting the occurrence of MACE was 0.614(95％CI:0.544-0.683),with a sensitivity of 0.813 and a specificity of 0.437.Conclusion SIRI is significantly correlated with the occurrence of MACE in elderly HF patients,and has a certain predictive value for their prognosis.

Objective:To analyze the risk factors associated with future exacerbations in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) who have no history of exacerbation in the past year.Methods:COPD patients with no exacerbation history in the past year, registered in the RealDTC study from January 2018 to December 2023, were enrolled. Demographic data, COPD Assessment Test (CAT) scores, modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) dyspnea questionnaire scores, forced expiratory volume in the first second predicted of percentage (FEV 1%pred), forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV 1) to forced vital capacity (FVC), Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) classification, GOLD groups, and inhaled medication regimens were collected. All patients were followed up for one year, and the number of exacerbations was recorded. Patients were divided into an exacerbation group and a non-exacerbation group based on the occurrence of exacerbations during the follow-up period. Logistic regression analysis was used to screen the influencing factors for exacerbations in COPD patients. Results:A total of 2 901 COPD patients were included, among which 633 patients (21.8%) experienced exacerbations during the follow-up period. Compared with the non-exacerbation group, patients in the exacerbation group were older, with higher CAT and mMRC scores, lower body mass index (BMI), FEV 1%pred, and FEV 1/FVC. The proportions of patients with high school education or above and those using long-acting β 2-agonist (LABA) + long-acting muscarinic antagonist (LAMA) medications were also lower (all P<0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that age ( OR=1.010, 95% CI: 1.000-1.021), CAT score ≥20 ( OR=1.415, 95% CI: 1.074-1.865), education level of junior high school or below ( OR=1.243, 95% CI: 1.003-1.540), LABA + LAMA inhalation ( OR=0.605, 95% CI: 0.432-0.848), and BMI ( OR=0.969, 95% CI: 0.943-0.995) were independent risk factors for future exacerbations in COPD patients with no exacerbation history in the past year (all P<0.05). Conclusions:The risk of future exacerbations remains high in COPD patients with no exacerbation history in the past year. High CAT scores, low education levels, and low BMI are associated with future exacerbations. Clinicians should pay close attention to the management of such patients and implement appropriate interventions.

Objective To explore the risk factors for 28-day mortality of sepsis-associated acute kidney injury(SA-AKI)patients and to develop a nomogram risk prediction model.Methods A retrospective cohort study was conducted,involving 184 patients with SA-AKI admitted to the intensive care unit(ICU)of the 940th Hospital of Joint Logistic Support Force of PLA between January 2017 and December 2022.Patients were categorized into survival(n=135)and non-survival(n=49)groups based on 28-day mortality.Clinical data were collected,and statistically significant risk factors were preliminarily screened.Multivariate stepwise logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent risk factors for 28-day mortality of SA-AKI patients.A nomogram predictive model was constructed using these factors,and internally validated with the Bootstrap method.The receiver operating characteristic curve(ROC curve)was drawn,and the area under the ROC curve(AUC)was calculated to verify the predictive value and accuracy of the model.Results The 28-day mortality rate among 184 SA-AKI patients was 26.6％(49/184).Multivariate stepwise logistic regression analysis identified multiple organ dysfunction syndrome(MODS)(OR=16.393,95％CI 4.317-62.254,P＜0.001),high acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ(APACHE Ⅱ)score(OR=1.097,95％CI 1.036-1.161,P=0.002),low oxygenation index(OR=0.992,95％CI 0.986-0.998,P=0.015),low neutrophil count(OR=0.912,95％CI 0.860-0.968,P=0.002)and low fibrinogen concentration(OR=0.733,95％CI 0.549-0.978,P=0.034)as independent risk factors.The prediction model equation was P=1/1+e-logit(P),logit(P)=-1.626+2.797×MODS+0.092×AP ACHE Ⅱ+(-0.311)×fibrinogen+(-0.092)×neutrophil count+(-0.008)×oxygenation index.Internal validation with 1000 Bootstrap resamples showed high consistency between predicted and actual values.ROC analysis showed an AUC of 0.911(95％CI 0.868-0.955,P＜0.05)for the model,with 93.9％sensitivity and 78.5％specificity at a cut-off of 0.194.The Hosmer-Lemeshow test confirmed good calibration(P=0.62),and decision-making curve analysis demonstrated clinical utility within the high-risk threshold range(0.1-0.9).Conclusions MODS,high APACHE Ⅱ score,low oxygenation index,low neutrophil count,and low fibrinogen concentration are independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in SA-AKI patients.The developed nomogram risk prediction model may provide important guidance for predicting 28-day mortality in SA-AKI patients.

Objective: To investigate the value of metagene next⁃generation sequencing ( mNGS) in the detection of pathogens in patients with pulmonary infection. Methods: A retrospective analysis was performed on clinical data from 434 patients with pulmonary infections admitted over the past four years. Based on the presence of underlying comorbidities , patients were divided into underlying disease group (n = 262) and non⁃underlying disease group (n = 172) . Pathogen detection was conducted using both mNGS and conventional tests. Clinical and laboratory parameters , radiographic findings , and pathogen detection results were systematically analyzed. The diagnostic performance of the two methods in identifying causative pathogens of pulmonary infections was compared. Results: The positive rate of mNGS in 434 patients was higher than that of conventional tests , and the difference was statisti⁃cally significant (P < 0. 05) . The efficacy of mNGS in detecting bacteria and viruses was significantly higher than that of conventional tests , and the difference was statistically significant (P < 0. 05) . Although the fungal detection rate of mNGS was higher than that of conventional tests , the difference was not statistically significant. Among them , the detection rates of Mycobacterium tuberculosis , Mycoplasma pneumoniae , Haemophilus influenzae , Strepto⁃ coccus pneumoniae , Streptococcus constellation , Staphylococcus aureus and Aspergillus fumigatus were significantly higher than those of conventional tests , and the difference was statistically significant (P < 0. 05) . Subgroup analy- sis showed that the proportion of males , hospital stay , smoking prevalence and average age in the underlying dis- ease group were higher than those in the non-underlying disease group , and the difference was statistically signifi- cant (P < 0. 05) , while there were no significant differences in antibiotic use and endotracheal intubation rate be- tween the two groups. The most common pathogens detected by mNGS in the underlying disease group were Myco⁃ bacterium tuberculosis , Haemophilus influenzae , Streptococcus pneumoniae , Pseudomonas aeruginosa , human herpes⁃ virus type 4 and Aspergillus fumigatus , while the most common pathogens in the non-underlying disease group were Mycobacterium tuberculosis , Haemophilus influenzae , Streptococcus pneumoniae , Mycoplasma pneumoniae and Kleb⁃ siella pneumoniae. The positive rate of mNGS in the two groups was significantly higher than that of conventional tests , and the difference was statistically significant (P < 0. 05) , while the difference in the positive rate of mNGS between the two groups was not statistically significant. Conclusion mNGS has significant advantages over con- ventional tests of pathogen in lung infection , and is less affected by underlying diseases , which can provide an etio- logical basis for lung infection.