1.Development and Validation of a Risk Prediction Model for Prolonged Hospitalization in Patients With Diabetic Foot Ulcers
Bingxue WANG ; Ting LIN ; Jing WU ; Hongping GONG ; Yan REN ; Panpan ZHA ; Lihong CHEN ; Guanjian LIU ; Dawei CHEN ; Chun WANG ; Xingwu RAN
Journal of Sichuan University (Medical Sciences) 2024;55(4):972-979
Objective To investigate the risk factors associated with prolonged hospitalization in patients diagnosed with diabetic foot ulcers(DFU),to develop a predictive model,and to conduct internal validation of the model.Methods The clinical data of DFU patients admitted to West China Hospital,Sichuan University between January 2012 and December 2022 were retrospectively collected.The subjects were randomly assigned to a training cohort and a validation cohort at a ratio of 7 to 3.Hospital stays longer than 75th percentile were defined as prolonged length-of-stay.A thorough analysis of the risk factors was conducted using the training cohort,which enabled the development of an accurate risk prediction model.To ensure robustness,the model was internally validated using the validation cohort.Results A total of 967 inpatients with DFU were included,among whom 245 patients were identified as having an extended length-of-stay.The training cohort consisted of 622 patients,while the validation cohort comprised 291 patients.Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that smoking history(odds ratio[OR]=1.67,95%confidence interval[CI],1.13 to 2.48,P=0.010),Wagner grade 3 or higher(OR=7.13,95%CI,3.68 to 13.83,P<0.001),midfoot ulcers(OR=1.99,95%CI,1.07 to 3.72,P=0.030),posterior foot ulcers(OR=3.68,95%CI,1.83 to 7.41,P<0.001),multisite ulcers(OR=2.91,95%CI,1.80 to 4.69,P<0.001),wound size≥3 cm2(OR=2.00,95%CI,1.28-3.11,P=0.002),and white blood cell count(OR=1.11,95%CI,1.05 to 1.18,P<0.001)were associated with an increased risk of prolonged length of stay.Additionally,a nomogram was constructed based on the identified risk factors.The areas under the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves for both the training cohort and the validation cohort were 0.782(95%CI,0.745 to 0.820)and 0.756(95%CI,0.694 to 0.818),respectively,indicating robust predictive performance.Furthermore,the calibration plot demonstrated optimal concordance between the predicted probabilities and the observed outcomes in both the training and the validation cohorts.Conclusion Smoking history,Wagner grade≥3,midfoot ulcers,posterior foot ulcers,multisite ulcers,ulcer area≥3 cm2,and elevated white blood cell count are identified as independent predictors of prolonged hospitalization.Therefore,it is imperative that clinicians conduct a comprehensive patient evaluation and implement appropriate diagnostic and therapeutic strategies to effectively shorten the length of stay for DFU patients.
2.Risk factors for yersiniosis: a case-control study
Junli HAN ; Yang LIU ; Dawei GAO ; Jie SUN ; Pengpeng XU ; Tianqi GONG ; Jieying HU ; Yanhong CAO ; Yong LÜ
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;35(2):93-98
Objective:
To investigate the risk factors for yersiniosis, so as to provide insights into prevention of yersiniosis.
Methods:
The patients with yersiniosis admitted to the clinics in the surveillance site of Chengbei Township of Jin'an District and Chengnan Township of Yu'an District in Lu'an City from 2013 to 2021 were included as the case group, and the healthy family members matched to cases were selected as the family control group, while normal residents with a 1︰2 match in the same village, gender, and age difference within 5 years were included in the community control group. Participants' demographics, hand-washing and eating habits, living environment hygiene, poultry and livestock feeding were collected using questionnaire surveys, and factors affecting yersiniosis were identified using a multivariable conditional logistic regression model.
Results:
There were 43 cases in the case group, with a median (interquartile range) age of 45 (34) years, 91 cases in the family control group, with a median (interquartile range) age of 36 (36) years and 86 cases in the community control group, with a median (interquartile range) age of 46 (34) years. Multivariable conditional logistic regression analysis showed that compared with the family control group, the habit of drinking unboiled water (OR=6.721, 95%CI: 1.765-25.588), and direct consumption of food stored in the refrigerator (OR=7.089, 95%CI: 1.873-26.829) were risk factors for yersiniosis in the case group; and compared with the community control group, not washing hands after contacting with poultry and livestock (OR=50.592, 95%CI: 2.758-927.997), habit of eating raw vegetables and fruits (OR=5.340, 95%CI: 1.022-27.887), direct consumption of food stored in the refrigerator (OR=19.973, 95%CI: 2.118-188.336), and unclean refrigerator (OR=12.692, 95%CI: 1.992-80.869) were risk factors for yersiniosis in the case group. Compared with the family and community control groups, not washing hands after contacting with poultry and livestock (OR=4.075, 95%CI: 1.427-11.637), habit of drinking unboiled water (OR=4.153, 95%CI: 1.331-12.957), habit of eating raw vegetables and fruits (OR=4.744, 95%CI: 1.609-13.993), and direct consumption of food stored in the refrigerator (OR=5.051, 95%CI: 1.773-14.395) were risk factors for yersiniosis in the control group.
Conclusion
Unhealthy habits such as eating raw vegetables and fruits, drinking unboiled water, direct consumption of food stored in the refrigerator, unclean refrigerator, and not washing hands after contacting poultry and livestock may increase the risk of yersiniosis.
3.Characteristics of Inflammatory Markers in Diabetic Foot Patients and Their Relationship With Prognosis of Diabetic Foot Ulcers
Jing WU ; Bista RAJU ; Panpan ZHA ; Hongping GONG ; Yan REN ; Zhenyi LI ; Lihong CHEN ; Guanjian LIU ; Dawei CHEN ; Chun WANG ; Xingwu RAN
Journal of Sichuan University (Medical Sciences) 2023;54(6):1233-1238
Objective To explore the characteristics of baseline inflammatory markers in diabetic foot patients and their relationship with the prognosis of diabetic foot ulcers.Methods The clinical data of diabetic foot patients(n=495)admitted to West China Hospital,Sichuan University since 2016 were retrospectively collected through the hospital electronic medical record system to analyze the characteristics of inflammatory markers and their relationship with the prognosis of diabetic foot ulcers.Results White blood cell count(WBC),erythrocyte sedimentation rate(ESR),C-reactive protein(CRP),procalcitonin(PCT),and interleukin-6(IL-6)levels were significantly higher in patients defined as grade 4 on the Wagner Scale than those in patients defined as grade 0-3 on the Wagner Scale.Neutrophil percentage(NE%)was higher in Wagner grade-4 patients than those in Wagner grade-0 and grade-1 patients and higher in Wagner grade-3 patients than those in Wagner grade-0 patients.NE%,CRP,PCT,and IL-6 levels were positively correlated with the severity of diabetic foot,with the respective odds ratio(OR)at 95%confidence interval(CI)being 1.038(1.019-1.056),1.019(1.012-1.026),8.225(2.015-33.576),and 1.017(1.008-1.025).Using Wagner grade-0 patients as the reference,patients with higher WBC were more likely to progress to Wagner grade 2,3,and 4,with the respective OR(95%CI)values being 1.260(1.096-1.447),1.188(1.041-1.356),and 1.301(1.137-1.490);patients with higher ESR were more likely to progress to Wagner grade 3 and 4,with the respective OR(95%CI)values being 1.030(1.006-1.054)and 1.045(1.019-1.071).Baseline ESR(P=0.008),CRP(P=0.039),and IL-6(P=0.033)levels were lower in patients who had received antibiotics prior to their admission than those in patients who had not received antibiotics before admission.The levels of WBC,NE%,ESR,PCT,and IL-6 were lower in the full recovery group than those in the group of patients who did not respond to treatment.The higher the levels of NE%and IL-6,the worse the prognosis of diabetic foot ulcers became,with the respective OR(95%CI)values being 1.030(1.010-1.051)and 1.008(1.002-1.013).Conclusion The severity of diabetic foot ulcers increased with the rise in baseline levels of inflammatory markers.Elevated baseline NE%and IL-6 levels suggest a poor prognosis.Our findings suggest that early assessment of diabetic foot infection and standardized antibiotic therapy should be implemented to improve the prognosis.
4.Treatment of scapular glenoid fracture through axillary approach
Kun WANG ; Maoqi GONG ; Aiguo WANG ; Shijun ZHENG ; Dawei ZHANG ; Weipeng XU ; Sili ZUO ; Jiangming QI ; Wanxin HUANG ; Dongsheng LI
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedic Trauma 2022;24(8):687-692
Objective:To evaluate the clinical efficacy of the axillary approach in the treatment of scapular glenoid fracture.Methods:A retrospective analysis was performed of the 12 patients who had been treated for scapular glenoid fracture from November 2019 to April 2021 at Department of Upper Limb Orthopaedics, Zhengzhou Orthopaedic Hospital. They were 4 males and 8 females, aged from 30 to 75 years (mean, 53.5 years). According to the Ideberg classification, there were 2 cases of type Ⅰa, 9 cases of type Ⅱ and one case of type Ⅴa. All cases were treated through the axillary approach. Two patients complicated with anterior shoulder dislocation were treated with manual reduction under anesthesia before operation and the other 10 cases with special plate fixation through the axillary approach. The 3 patients complicated with fracture of greater tuberosity were fixated with a special plate through the lateral shoulder split deltoid approach. Constant-Murley score, visual analogue scale (VAS) and Hawkins grading were used at the last follow-up to evaluate shoulder function, pain and stability after operation.Results:All patients were followed up for 9 to 20 months (mean, 14.4 months). The operation time ranged from 55 to 110 min (mean, 76.3 min), intraoperative bleeding from 60 to 160 mL (mean, 103.8 mL), and hospital stay from 8 to 14 d (mean, 11.1 d). All incisions healed primarily and all scapular glenoid fractures got united 6 months after operation. The last follow-up showed no shoulder instability, neurovascular injury or internal fixation failure. At the last follow-up, the range of motion of the shoulder was 159.2°±26.1° in forward bending, 156.7°±29.6° in abduction, 48.3°± 15.3° in external rotation (neutral position), and 73.3°±12.3° in internal rotation (neutral position), and the Constant-Murley score was (94.0±5.3) points. The range of motion of the shoulder and Constant-Murley score were significantly improved compared with those before operation (10.8°±11.6°, 7.5°±11.4°, 5.8°±10.0°, 42.5°±16.0° and 4.9±4.0, respectively) (all P<0.05). The VAS score was 0 in 11 patients and 2 in one patient at the last follow-up. Conclusion:The axillary approach is feasible for the treatment of scapular glenoid fracture, because it is hidden and less invasive, leading to good clinical outcomes.
5.Fixation with cannulated screws alone via the Kocher approach for humeral capitulum fractures in adults
Sili ZUO ; Kun WANG ; Dongxiao ZHAO ; Dawei ZHANG ; Shijun ZHENG ; Wanxin HUANG ; Aiguo WANG ; Maoqi GONG ; Dongsheng LI
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedic Trauma 2022;24(8):724-727
Objective:To investigate the efficacy of fixation with cannulated screws alone via the Kocher approach in the treatment of adult humeral capitulum fractures.Methods:From August 2016 to August 2020, 16 patients with humeral capitulum fracture were treated at Department of Upper Limb Orthopedics, Zhengzhou Orthopaedic Hospital. They were 10 males and 6 females, aged from 36 to 62 years (average, 45 years). The left side was affected in 10 cases and the right side in 6. According to the Ring classification, 3 cases were type Ⅰ, 3 cases type Ⅱ, 6 cases type Ⅲ, and 4 cases type Ⅳ. All patients were treated with the Kocher approach on the lateral side of the elbow. After reduction under direct vision, the fractures were fixated temporarily with Kirschner wires and finally with cannulated screws. On the second postoperative day, the patients started active flexion and extension of the elbow joint and took indomethacin orally to prevent heterotopic ossification. At the last follow-up, the curative efficacy was evaluated according to the Mayo elbow performance score (MEPS). The flexion and extension of the elbow joint and the rotation of the forearm were also recorded.Results:All patients were followed up for 10 to 19 months (mean, 14.3 months) after surgery. Bony union was achieved after 7 to 12 monthes (average, 11.3 monthes) in all the 16 patients, 2 of whom developed heterotopic ossification. By the MEPS evaluation at the last follow-up, 8 cases were excellent, 6 good and 2 fair, scoring an average of 89.5 points (from 73 to 95 points). At the last follow-up, the elbow flexion ranged from 80° to 130° (averaging 113°), extension from 5° to 30° (averaging 15°), forearm pronation from 62° to 75° (averaging 67°), and forearm supination from 50° to 90° (averaging 75°).Conclusion:When the fracture ends are exposed through the lateral Kocher approach, the fracture fragments fixated with cannulated screws only, and the patients encouraged to start elbow joint exercises in the early stage, the treatment of adult humeral capitulum fractures can result in satisfactory curative effects.
6.Experts consensus on the management of delirium in critically ill patients
Bo TANG ; Xiaoting WANG ; Wenjin CHEN ; Shihong ZHU ; Yangong CHAO ; Bo ZHU ; Wei HE ; Bin WANG ; Fangfang CAO ; Yijun LIU ; Xiaojing FAN ; Hong YANG ; Qianghong XU ; Heng ZHANG ; Ruichen GONG ; Wenzhao CHAI ; Hongmin ZHANG ; Guangzhi SHI ; Lihong LI ; Qibing HUANG ; Lina ZHANG ; Wanhong YIN ; Xiuling SHANG ; Xiaomeng WANG ; Fang TIAN ; Lixia LIU ; Ran ZHU ; Jun WU ; Yaqiu WU ; Chunling LI ; Yuan ZONG ; Juntao HU ; Jiao LIU ; Qian ZHAI ; Lijing DENG ; Yiyun DENG ; Dawei LIU
Chinese Journal of Internal Medicine 2019;58(2):108-118
To establish the experts consensus on the management of delirium in critically ill patients.A special committee was set up by 15 experts from the Chinese Critical Hypothermia-Sedation Therapy Study Group.Each statement was assessed based on the GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment,Development,and Evaluation) principle.Then the Delphi method was adopted by 36 experts to reassess all the statements.(1) Delirium is not only a mental change,but also a clinical syndrome with multiple pathophysiological changes.(2) Delirium is a form of disturbance of consciousness and a manifestation of abnormal brain function.(3) Pain is a common cause of delirium in critically ill patients.Analgesia can reduce the occurrence and development of delirium.(4) Anxiety or depression are important factors for delirium in critically ill patients.(5) The correlation between sedative and analgesic drugs and delirium is uncertain.(6) Pay attention to the relationship between delirium and withdrawal reactions.(7) Pay attention to the relationship between delirium and drug dependence/ withdrawal reactions.(8) Sleep disruption can induce delirium.(9) We should be vigilant against potential risk factors for persistent or recurrent delirium.(10) Critically illness related delirium can affect the diagnosis and treatment of primary diseases,and can also be alleviated with the improvement of primary diseases.(11) Acute change of consciousness and attention deficit are necessary for delirium diagnosis.(12) The combined assessment of confusion assessment method for the intensive care unit and intensive care delirium screening checklist can improve the sensitivity of delirium,especially subclinical delirium.(13) Early identification and intervention of subclinical delirium can reduce its risk of clinical delirium.(14) Daily assessment is helpful for early detection of delirium.(15) Hopoactive delirium and mixed delirium are common and should be emphasized.(16) Delirium may be accompanied by changes in electroencephalogram.Bedside electroencephalogram monitoring should be used in the ICU if conditions warrant.(17) Pay attention to differential diagnosis of delirium and dementia/depression.(18) Pay attention to the role of rapid delirium screening method in delirium management.(19) Assessment of the severity of delirium is an essential part of the diagnosis of delirium.(20) The key to the management of delirium is etiological treatment.(21) Improving environmental factors and making patient comfort can help reduce delirium.(22) Early exercise can reduce the incidence of delirium and shorten the duration of delirium.(23) Communication with patients should be emphasized and strengthened.Family members participation can help reduce the incidence of delirium and promote the recovery of delirium.(24) Pay attention to the role of sleep management in the prevention and treatment of delirium.(25) Dexmedetomidine can shorten the duration of hyperactive delirium or prevent delirium.(26) When using antipsychotics to treat delirium,we should be alert to its effect on the heart rhythm.(27) Delirium management should pay attention to brain functional exercise.(28) Compared with non-critically illness related delirium,the relief of critically illness related delirium will not accomplished at one stroke.(29) Multiple management strategies such as ABCDEF,eCASH and ESCAPE are helpful to prevent and treat delirium and improve the prognosis of critically ill patients.(30) Shortening the duration of delirium can reduce the occurrence of long-term cognitive impairment.(31) Multidisciplinary cooperation and continuous quality improvement can improve delirium management.Consensus can promote delirium management in critically ill patients,optimize analgesia and sedation therapy,and even affect prognosis.
7.Relationship of CSF and serum FGF-2 level with clinical parameters in motor neuron disease patients
Zhongying GONG ; Lina GAO ; Jie GUO ; Yi LU ; Dawei ZANG
Chinese Journal of Geriatric Heart Brain and Vessel Diseases 2018;20(1):55-59
Objective To study the relationship of CSF and serum FGF-2 level with clinical parameters in MND patients.Methods Ninety-one MND patients served as a MND group and 40 noninflammtory nervous system disease patients served as a control group.Their CSF and serum FGF-2 level were measured by ELISA.The neurological deficit in ALS patients was assessed according to the modified ALSFRS-r,the progression of MND was assessed according to the DPR.The ALS patients were followed up,during which their survival time was recorded.Results The serum FGF-2 level was significantly higher in MND group than in control group (P<0.01).The CSF,FGF-2 level were significantly higher in ALS patients of MND group than in those of control group (319.2±105.9 ng/L vs 241.7±34.3 ng/L,P<0.01).The CSF and serum FGF-2 level were positively correlated with the duration of MND and negatively correlated with the DRP in ALS patients (P<0.01).Survival analysis of MND patients indicated that the survival time of PMA patients was longer than that of PLS,ALS and PBP patients (P=0.000).The cumulative survival rate of ALS patients with a high serum FGF-2 level was significantly higher than that of those with a low serum FGF-2 level (P=0.002).Conclusion The CSF and serum FGF-2 level are higher in some MND patients and can be used as one of the biomarkers for evaluating the progression and predicting surrival.
8.Relationship between smoking and serum hs-CRP level in carotid atherosclerosis patients
Zhongying GONG ; Yang YANG ; Zhiyun WANG ; Dawei ZANG ; Wei LIU
Chinese Journal of Geriatric Heart Brain and Vessel Diseases 2018;20(2):133-136
Objective To study the clinical significance of serum hs-CRP level in smokers with carotid atherosclerosis (CA) and analyze its difference in subtypes of CA.Methods Two hundred and ninety-eight smokers with CA served as a smoker group and 120 non-smokers with CA served as a non-smoker group,50 healthy smokers without CA served as control group 1 and 50 healthy non-smokers served as control group 2.Their serum hs-CRP level was measured by colloid-enhanced immunoturbidimetry.Smokers were divided into stable plaque group and unstable plaque group.Effect of smoking on serum hs-CRP level in CA patients was analyzed.Results The serum hs-CRP level was significantly higher in smoker group and control group 1 than in non-smoker group and control group 2 (7.26±4.24 mg/L vs 3.56±2.28 mg/L,4.34±2.74 mg/L vs 3.17± 1.68 mg/L,P<0.05).The smoking index was positively related with the serum hs-CRP level (r=0.395,P<0.01).The number of daily smoked cigarettes was significantly greater in unstable plaque group than in stable plaque group (P<0.05).The recurrence rate of ischemic stroke was significantly higher in smokers with a high serum hs-CRP level than in those with a low serum hs-CRP level (11.36% vs 2.00%,P<0.01).Conclusion Smoking can increase the serum hs-CRP level in CA patients,which is closely related with the stability of plaques and the recurrence of ischemic stroke.
9.Research progress in radiotherapy for hepatocellular carcinoma
Dafei WANG ; Shengdong CHEN ; Guomin ZHU ; Dawei GONG
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2018;26(3):238-240
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignant tumors in China with high morbidity and mortality,and its mortality rate is only lower than that of gastric cancer.It poses a serious threat to patients' life,which needs to be given special concerns by clinicians and patients for active implementation of effective treatment methods.Generally,major operation is the mainstay of management.Radiotherapy has gained its popularity when diagnosed have no indications for surgical therapy.An effective radiotherapy plans promote the remission of hepatocellular carcinoma to improve patients condition,prognosis,and survival rate.Therefore,we conducted this study to know the research progress of radiotherapy for hepatocellular carcinoma.
10.Intensive training can relieve post-stroke depression and increase the expression of Kalirin-7 in the hippocampus
Dawei ZHANG ; Qiang WANG ; Jian MA ; Guangtao BAI ; Jingjing GAO ; Ming LI ; Yangyang GONG
Chinese Journal of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation 2016;38(4):241-245
Objective To observe any effect of intensive training on the degree of depression and the expression of Kalirin-7 in the hippocampus of rats modeling with post-stroke depression,and to investigatc possible mechanisms.Methods Forty male Wistar rats were randomly divided into a post-stroke depression (PSD) group,a routine training group,an intensive training group and a sham-operation group (n =10 for each group).All except the sham-operation group were given the middle cerebral artery occlusion using the intraluminal thread method,and chronic mild stress was applied.The PSD group and the sham-operation group were not given any training.The routine training group was trained oncc a day,and the intensive training group was trained twice a day.The sucrose preference test,open field test and forced swimming test were conducted at the outset and after 14 and 28 days of training.The expression of Kalirin-7 in the left hippocampus was detected using Western blotting.Results After 14 days of training,significant differences were found in the test results of the sham-operation group compared with the other groups (P<0.05).There were also significant differences in the average results on all 3 tests among all of the groups except the sham-operation group.At both 14 and 28 days after training,the average expression of Kalirin-7 in both the routine and intensive training groups was significantly higher than in the PSD group (P<0.05),and that of the intensive training group was significantly higher than that of the routine training group at the same time points (P<0.05).Conclusion Intensive training can relieve depression and increase the expression of the Kalirin-7 in the hippocampus,at least in rats.


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