1.A systematic review of application value of machine learning to prognostic prediction models for patients with lumbar disc herniation
Zhipeng WANG ; Xiaogang ZHANG ; Hongwei ZHANG ; Xiyun ZHAO ; Yuanzhen LI ; Chenglong GUO ; Daping QIN ; Zhen REN
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(3):740-748
OBJECTIVE:Based on different algorithms of machine learning,the prediction model of lumbar disc herniation has become a trend and hot spot in the development of precision medicine.However,there is limited evidence on the reporting quality and methodological quality of prediction models of lumbar disc herniation outcomes using machine learning.This article is aimed to explore the performance of machine learning algorithms in predicting the prognosis of lumbar disc herniation by comprehensively analyzing the report quality and risk of bias of previous studies that developed and validated prognosis prediction models based on machine learning through a comprehensive literature search,in order to explore the performance of machine learning algorithms in predicting the prognosis of lumbar disc herniation.METHODS:The databases of CNKI,WanFang,VIP,SinOMED,PubMed,Web of Science,Embase,and The Cochrane Library were searched by computer.Studies on the use of machine learning to develop(and/or validate)prognostic prediction models for lumbar disc herniation were collected from the inception of the database to December 31,2023.Two researchers independently screened the literature,extracted data,and assessed the risk of bias of the included studies.The reporting quality and risk of bias of the included studies were assessed by the Multivariable Transparent Reporting of Predictive Models(TRIPOD)statement and the Predictive Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool(PROBAST).The results of the evaluation were analyzed using descriptive statistics and visual charts.RESULTS:(1)A total of 23 articles were included,and the TRIPOD compliance of each study ranged from 11%to 87%,with a median compliance of 54%.The quality of reporting of titles,detailed descriptions of treatment measures,blinding of predictors,handling of missing data,details of risk stratification,specific procedures for enrollment,model interpretation,and model performance was mostly poor,with TRIPOD adherence rates ranging from 4%to 35%.(2)Of all included studies,61%had a high risk of bias and 39%had an unclear overall risk of bias.The area under the curve,accuracy,sensitivity and specificity were used to evaluate the performance of the model.The areas under the curve of 20 models were reported,ranging from 0.561 to 0.999.Three models reported the accuracy of the model,ranging from 82.07%to 89.65%.(3)Among all included studies,the statistical analysis domain was most often assessed as having a high risk of bias,mainly due to the small number of valid samples,the selection of predictors based on univariate analysis and the lack of calibration and discrimination assessment of the model in the study.CONCLUSION:These results indicate that machine learning can achieve good predictive ability in the development and validation of prognostic models for lumbar disc herniation.The commonly used algorithms include regression algorithm,support vector machine,decision tree,random forest,artificial neural network,naive Bayes and other algorithms.Reasonable algorithms combined with clinical practice can improve the accuracy of prognosis prediction of lumbar disc herniation.However,the reporting and methodological quality of prognosis prediction models based on machine learning are poor,the prediction performance of different models varies greatly,and the generalization and extrapolation of research models are unclear.There is an urgent need to improve the design,implementation and reporting of such studies.To promote the application of machine learning in the clinical practice of lumbar disc herniation prediction models,it is necessary to comprehensively consider various predictors related to the prognosis of the disease before modeling,and strictly follow the relevant standards of PROBAST tool during modeling.
2.A systematic review of application value of machine learning to prognostic prediction models for patients with lumbar disc herniation
Zhipeng WANG ; Xiaogang ZHANG ; Hongwei ZHANG ; Xiyun ZHAO ; Yuanzhen LI ; Chenglong GUO ; Daping QIN ; Zhen REN
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(3):740-748
OBJECTIVE:Based on different algorithms of machine learning,the prediction model of lumbar disc herniation has become a trend and hot spot in the development of precision medicine.However,there is limited evidence on the reporting quality and methodological quality of prediction models of lumbar disc herniation outcomes using machine learning.This article is aimed to explore the performance of machine learning algorithms in predicting the prognosis of lumbar disc herniation by comprehensively analyzing the report quality and risk of bias of previous studies that developed and validated prognosis prediction models based on machine learning through a comprehensive literature search,in order to explore the performance of machine learning algorithms in predicting the prognosis of lumbar disc herniation.METHODS:The databases of CNKI,WanFang,VIP,SinOMED,PubMed,Web of Science,Embase,and The Cochrane Library were searched by computer.Studies on the use of machine learning to develop(and/or validate)prognostic prediction models for lumbar disc herniation were collected from the inception of the database to December 31,2023.Two researchers independently screened the literature,extracted data,and assessed the risk of bias of the included studies.The reporting quality and risk of bias of the included studies were assessed by the Multivariable Transparent Reporting of Predictive Models(TRIPOD)statement and the Predictive Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool(PROBAST).The results of the evaluation were analyzed using descriptive statistics and visual charts.RESULTS:(1)A total of 23 articles were included,and the TRIPOD compliance of each study ranged from 11%to 87%,with a median compliance of 54%.The quality of reporting of titles,detailed descriptions of treatment measures,blinding of predictors,handling of missing data,details of risk stratification,specific procedures for enrollment,model interpretation,and model performance was mostly poor,with TRIPOD adherence rates ranging from 4%to 35%.(2)Of all included studies,61%had a high risk of bias and 39%had an unclear overall risk of bias.The area under the curve,accuracy,sensitivity and specificity were used to evaluate the performance of the model.The areas under the curve of 20 models were reported,ranging from 0.561 to 0.999.Three models reported the accuracy of the model,ranging from 82.07%to 89.65%.(3)Among all included studies,the statistical analysis domain was most often assessed as having a high risk of bias,mainly due to the small number of valid samples,the selection of predictors based on univariate analysis and the lack of calibration and discrimination assessment of the model in the study.CONCLUSION:These results indicate that machine learning can achieve good predictive ability in the development and validation of prognostic models for lumbar disc herniation.The commonly used algorithms include regression algorithm,support vector machine,decision tree,random forest,artificial neural network,naive Bayes and other algorithms.Reasonable algorithms combined with clinical practice can improve the accuracy of prognosis prediction of lumbar disc herniation.However,the reporting and methodological quality of prognosis prediction models based on machine learning are poor,the prediction performance of different models varies greatly,and the generalization and extrapolation of research models are unclear.There is an urgent need to improve the design,implementation and reporting of such studies.To promote the application of machine learning in the clinical practice of lumbar disc herniation prediction models,it is necessary to comprehensively consider various predictors related to the prognosis of the disease before modeling,and strictly follow the relevant standards of PROBAST tool during modeling.
3.The relationship between preoperative serum high mobility group protein 1,macrophage inflammatory protein-1α,osteopontin and the prognosis of patients with cerebral hemorrhage in basal ganglia after neuroendoscopic removal
Daping WEN ; Jun HANG ; Gang WANG ; Jian CUI
Journal of Clinical Surgery 2025;33(8):818-821
Objective To investigate the relationship between preoperative serum high mobility group protein 1(HMGB1),macrophage inflammatory protein-1α(MIP-1α),osteopontin(OPN)and the prognosis of patients with basal ganglia intracerebral hemorrhage after neuroendoscopic surgery.Methods From March 2022 to March 2024,98 patients with cerebral hemorrhage in basal ganglia treated by neuroendoscopic removal were selected.Serum HMGB1,MIP-1 a and OPN were detected before operation,and they were followed up for 1 month after operation.Cox regression analysis was used to analyze the risk factors affecting the prognosis of patients with cerebral hemorrhage in basal ganglia.Kaplan-Meier survival curve and Log-rank test were used to analyze the survival rate of patients with cerebral hemorrhage in basal ganglia.Results Among the 98 patients with cerebral hemorrhage in basal ganglia,21 patients died within 1 month after neuroendoscopic removal,and the mortality rate was 21.43%.The proportion of patients with midline shift ≥ 10 mm(76.19%)and hematoma volume[(51.18±7.62)ml]in the death group were higher than those in the survival group[14.29%and(31.93±5.66)ml],and the hematoma clearance rate[(78.13±5.86)%]was lower than that in the survival group[(90.58±6.29)%](P<0.05).The preoperative levels of HMGB1,MIP-1 α and OPN in the death group were(12.44±2.26)ng/ml,(417.25±134.12)pg/ml and(12.32±3.19)ng/ml,respectively.The survival groups were(7.52±2.37)ng/ml,(200.35±31.36)pg/ml and(6.29±2.37)ng/ml,respectively.There was a statistically significant difference between the two groups(P<0.05).Cox regression analysis showed that preoperative high HMGB1(HR=1.629,95%CI:1.274-2.083),high MIP-1α(HR=2.875,95%CI:1.384-5.972),high OPN(HR=1.429,95%CI:1.073-1.093)were risk factors for death within 1 month after neuroendoscopic removal of basal ganglia intracerebral hemorrhage(P<0.05).Survival curve analysis showed that the survival rate of high HMGB1,high MIP-1α and high OPN at 1 month after operation was significantly lower than that of low HMGB1,low MIP-1α and low OPN(Long-rank x2=7.539,6.028,8.220,P<0.05).Conclusion The prognosis of patients with basal ganglia intracerebral hemorrhage with high HMGB1,high MIP-1α and high OPN before neuroendoscopic surgery was poor.Preoperative HMGB1,MIP-1α and OPN may be used as indicators for postoperative evaluation of neuroendoscopic removal in patients with basal ganglia intracerebral hemorrhage.
4.Mechanism and early prediction of POAG complicating high myopia:a study based on the interaction of HIF-1α and TGF-β2
Jiamin LIU ; Daping WANG ; Jianhua LIU
Recent Advances in Ophthalmology 2025;45(2):125-130
Objective To investigate the effect of interactions between hypoxia-inducing factor 1α(HIF-1α)and transforming growth faction-β2(TGF-β2)on the development of primary open-angle glaucoma(POAG)in high myopia(HM)and their early prediction value.Methods A prospective cohort study was conducted on 265 patients(421 eyes)with HM who were admitted to our hospital from February 2021 to June 2023.All patients underwent comprehensive oph-thalmological examinations,including optical coherence tomography to measure the total Bruch's membrane opening-disc edge minimum width(BMO)parameter,and the Humphrey field analyzer to measure the visual field index(VFI)and mean defect(MD)values.After a follow-up of 1 year(2 cases lost to follow up),the patients were divided into an occurrence group(51 cases,82 eyes)and a non-occurrence group(212 cases,337 eyes)according to whether POAG occurred.The clinical data[including age,gender,body mass index(BMI),central corneal thickness(CCT),axial length(AL),refrac-tive power,VFI,visual field MD,optic disc horizontal diameter,optic disc vertical diameter,elliptical index,optic disc ar-ea,optic cup area,disc rim area,cup-to-disc area ratio,and total BMO],tear HIF-1α and TGF-β2 were compared be-tween the two groups.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves of tear HIF-1α and TGF-β2 for predicting HM with POAG were plotted to obtain the optimal cutoff value.The effects of tear HIF-1α,TGF-β2 and their interactions on the development of POAG in HM were analyzed.The Pearson method was used to analyze the correlation of tear HIF-1α and TGF-β2 with the optic disc structure of HM patients.The ROC analysis was used to evaluate the value of HIF-1α combined with TGF-β2 for predicting POAG.Results Compared with those in the non-occurrence group,the VFI and BMO were lower while the visual field MD,disc cup area,cup-to-disc area ratio,tear HIF-1α and TGF-β2 were higher in the occur-rence group(all P<0.05).The interaction analysis showed that the interaction between tear HIF-1 α and TGF-β2 was a su-per-multiplication model,with a positive interaction effect on the occurrence of POAG in HM(P<0.05).The Pearson analysis showed that tear HIF-1α and TGF-β2 were negatively correlated with VFI and total BMO,and positively correlated with their visual field MD,disc cup area,and cup-to-disc area ratio in patients with HM(all P<0.05).The ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the ROC curve(AUC)of the effect of tear HIF-1α combined with TGF-β2 for predic-ting POAG in HM was 0.925(95%CI:0.896-0.949).The predictive value of tear HIF-1α combined with TGF-β2 was bet-ter than that of the two indicators alone.Conclusion HIF-1α and TGF-β2 are up-regulated in tears of HM patients com-plicated with POAG,and they interact positively during the occurrence of POAG.The combined detection of HIF-1α and TGF-β2 has predictive value for POAG.They can be used as an auxiliary clinical predictor of POAG,and can guide its clini-cal prevention and treatment.
5.The relationship between preoperative serum high mobility group protein 1,macrophage inflammatory protein-1α,osteopontin and the prognosis of patients with cerebral hemorrhage in basal ganglia after neuroendoscopic removal
Daping WEN ; Jun HANG ; Gang WANG ; Jian CUI
Journal of Clinical Surgery 2025;33(8):818-821
Objective To investigate the relationship between preoperative serum high mobility group protein 1(HMGB1),macrophage inflammatory protein-1α(MIP-1α),osteopontin(OPN)and the prognosis of patients with basal ganglia intracerebral hemorrhage after neuroendoscopic surgery.Methods From March 2022 to March 2024,98 patients with cerebral hemorrhage in basal ganglia treated by neuroendoscopic removal were selected.Serum HMGB1,MIP-1 a and OPN were detected before operation,and they were followed up for 1 month after operation.Cox regression analysis was used to analyze the risk factors affecting the prognosis of patients with cerebral hemorrhage in basal ganglia.Kaplan-Meier survival curve and Log-rank test were used to analyze the survival rate of patients with cerebral hemorrhage in basal ganglia.Results Among the 98 patients with cerebral hemorrhage in basal ganglia,21 patients died within 1 month after neuroendoscopic removal,and the mortality rate was 21.43%.The proportion of patients with midline shift ≥ 10 mm(76.19%)and hematoma volume[(51.18±7.62)ml]in the death group were higher than those in the survival group[14.29%and(31.93±5.66)ml],and the hematoma clearance rate[(78.13±5.86)%]was lower than that in the survival group[(90.58±6.29)%](P<0.05).The preoperative levels of HMGB1,MIP-1 α and OPN in the death group were(12.44±2.26)ng/ml,(417.25±134.12)pg/ml and(12.32±3.19)ng/ml,respectively.The survival groups were(7.52±2.37)ng/ml,(200.35±31.36)pg/ml and(6.29±2.37)ng/ml,respectively.There was a statistically significant difference between the two groups(P<0.05).Cox regression analysis showed that preoperative high HMGB1(HR=1.629,95%CI:1.274-2.083),high MIP-1α(HR=2.875,95%CI:1.384-5.972),high OPN(HR=1.429,95%CI:1.073-1.093)were risk factors for death within 1 month after neuroendoscopic removal of basal ganglia intracerebral hemorrhage(P<0.05).Survival curve analysis showed that the survival rate of high HMGB1,high MIP-1α and high OPN at 1 month after operation was significantly lower than that of low HMGB1,low MIP-1α and low OPN(Long-rank x2=7.539,6.028,8.220,P<0.05).Conclusion The prognosis of patients with basal ganglia intracerebral hemorrhage with high HMGB1,high MIP-1α and high OPN before neuroendoscopic surgery was poor.Preoperative HMGB1,MIP-1α and OPN may be used as indicators for postoperative evaluation of neuroendoscopic removal in patients with basal ganglia intracerebral hemorrhage.
7.Mechanism and early prediction of POAG complicating high myopia:a study based on the interaction of HIF-1α and TGF-β2
Jiamin LIU ; Daping WANG ; Jianhua LIU
Recent Advances in Ophthalmology 2025;45(2):125-130
Objective To investigate the effect of interactions between hypoxia-inducing factor 1α(HIF-1α)and transforming growth faction-β2(TGF-β2)on the development of primary open-angle glaucoma(POAG)in high myopia(HM)and their early prediction value.Methods A prospective cohort study was conducted on 265 patients(421 eyes)with HM who were admitted to our hospital from February 2021 to June 2023.All patients underwent comprehensive oph-thalmological examinations,including optical coherence tomography to measure the total Bruch's membrane opening-disc edge minimum width(BMO)parameter,and the Humphrey field analyzer to measure the visual field index(VFI)and mean defect(MD)values.After a follow-up of 1 year(2 cases lost to follow up),the patients were divided into an occurrence group(51 cases,82 eyes)and a non-occurrence group(212 cases,337 eyes)according to whether POAG occurred.The clinical data[including age,gender,body mass index(BMI),central corneal thickness(CCT),axial length(AL),refrac-tive power,VFI,visual field MD,optic disc horizontal diameter,optic disc vertical diameter,elliptical index,optic disc ar-ea,optic cup area,disc rim area,cup-to-disc area ratio,and total BMO],tear HIF-1α and TGF-β2 were compared be-tween the two groups.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves of tear HIF-1α and TGF-β2 for predicting HM with POAG were plotted to obtain the optimal cutoff value.The effects of tear HIF-1α,TGF-β2 and their interactions on the development of POAG in HM were analyzed.The Pearson method was used to analyze the correlation of tear HIF-1α and TGF-β2 with the optic disc structure of HM patients.The ROC analysis was used to evaluate the value of HIF-1α combined with TGF-β2 for predicting POAG.Results Compared with those in the non-occurrence group,the VFI and BMO were lower while the visual field MD,disc cup area,cup-to-disc area ratio,tear HIF-1α and TGF-β2 were higher in the occur-rence group(all P<0.05).The interaction analysis showed that the interaction between tear HIF-1 α and TGF-β2 was a su-per-multiplication model,with a positive interaction effect on the occurrence of POAG in HM(P<0.05).The Pearson analysis showed that tear HIF-1α and TGF-β2 were negatively correlated with VFI and total BMO,and positively correlated with their visual field MD,disc cup area,and cup-to-disc area ratio in patients with HM(all P<0.05).The ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the ROC curve(AUC)of the effect of tear HIF-1α combined with TGF-β2 for predic-ting POAG in HM was 0.925(95%CI:0.896-0.949).The predictive value of tear HIF-1α combined with TGF-β2 was bet-ter than that of the two indicators alone.Conclusion HIF-1α and TGF-β2 are up-regulated in tears of HM patients com-plicated with POAG,and they interact positively during the occurrence of POAG.The combined detection of HIF-1α and TGF-β2 has predictive value for POAG.They can be used as an auxiliary clinical predictor of POAG,and can guide its clini-cal prevention and treatment.
8.Novel hormone therapies for advanced prostate cancer: Understanding and countering drug resistance.
Zhipeng WANG ; Jie WANG ; Dengxiong LI ; Ruicheng WU ; Jianlin HUANG ; Luxia YE ; Zhouting TUO ; Qingxin YU ; Fanglin SHAO ; Dilinaer WUSIMAN ; William C CHO ; Siang Boon KOH ; Wei XIONG ; Dechao FENG
Journal of Pharmaceutical Analysis 2025;15(9):101232-101232
Prostate cancer is the most prevalent malignant tumor among men, ranking first in incidence and second in mortality globally. Novel hormone therapies (NHT) targeting the androgen receptor (AR) pathway have become the standard of care for metastatic prostate cancer. This review offers a comprehensive overview of NHT, including abiraterone, enzalutamide, apalutamide, darolutamide, and rezvilutamide, which have demonstrated efficacy in delaying disease progression and improving patient survival and quality of life. Nevertheless, resistance to NHT remains a critical challenge. The mechanisms underlying resistance are complex, involving AR gene amplification, mutations, splice variants, increased intratumoral androgens, and AR-independent pathways such as the glucocorticoid receptor, neuroendocrine differentiation, DNA repair defects, autophagy, immune evasion, and activation of alternative signaling pathways. This review discusses these resistance mechanisms and examines strategies to counteract them, including sequential treatment with novel AR-targeted drugs, chemotherapy, poly ADP-ribose polymerase inhibitors, radionuclide therapy, bipolar androgen therapy, and approaches targeting specific resistance pathways. Future research should prioritize elucidating the molecular basis of NHT resistance, optimizing existing therapeutic strategies, and developing more effective combination regimens. Additionally, advanced sequencing technologies and resistance research models should be leveraged to identify novel therapeutic targets and improve drug delivery efficiencies. These advancements hold the potential to overcome NHT resistance and significantly enhance the management and prognosis of patients with advanced prostate cancer.
9.Associations between Red Cell Indices and Cerebral Blood Flow Velocity in High Altitude.
Hao Lun SUN ; Tai Ming ZHANG ; Dong Yu FAN ; Hao Xiang WANG ; Lu Ran XU ; Qing DU ; Jun LIANG ; Li ZHU ; Xu WANG ; Li LEI ; Xiao Shu LI ; Wang Sheng JIN
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(10):1314-1319
10.Differential analysis of biogas production in simulated experiments of aquitard layers in coal seam fire zones.
Daping XIA ; Yunxia NIU ; Jijun TIAN ; Haichao WANG ; Donglei JIA ; Dan HUANG ; Zhenzhi WANG ; Weizhong ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Biotechnology 2025;41(8):3064-3080
To explore the differences in biological gas production in the waterlogged zone of a coal seam fire-affected area, in this study the in-situ gas production experiment was conducted with the mine water from aquitard layers in coal seam fire zones in Xinjiang. The results showed that the biogas production first increased and then decreased with the increase in distance, and the highest gas production reached 216.55 mL. The changes in key metabolic pathways during the anaerobic fermentation of coal were analyzed, which showed that as the distance from the aquitard layer in the coal seam fire zone increased, the methanogenesis pathways gradually shifted from acetic acid decarboxylation and carbon dioxide reduction to acetic acid decarboxylation and methylamine methanogenesis. The significant variability in the in-situ mine water reservoir conditions contributed to the differences. In addition, the reservoir pressure and temperature increased as the distance from the fire zone became longer, and the salinity of the farthest mine water in the reverse fault was the highest due to the lack of groundwater supply. Pearson correlation analysis revealed significant correlations of microbial communities with key functional genes and the types and concentrations of ions. The ions significantly influencing microbial enzymatic metabolic activities included Al3+, Fe2+, Co2+, Ni2+, Cu2+, Zn2+, Mg2+, PO43-, and Mo6+. The differences in metabolic pathways were attributed to the integrated effects of a co-occurring environment with multiple ions. The gas production simulation experiments and metagenomic analyses provide data support for the practical application of in-situ biogas experiments, laying a foundation for engineering applications.
Biofuels
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Coal
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Methane/biosynthesis*
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Fires
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Groundwater
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Coal Mining
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Fermentation
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China
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Anaerobiosis

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