Objective:To compare the efficacy of closed reduction and internal fixation combined with percutaneous kyphoplasty (PKP) and non-operative treatment for intertrochanteric fracture combined with osteoporotic vertebral compression fracture (OVCF) in the elderly.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted to analyze the clinical data of 59 patients with intertrochanteric fracture combined with OVCF admitted to Tianjin Hospital from June 2020 to June 2023, including 16 males and 43 females, aged 66-91 years [(80.2±6.8)years]. The injured vertebral segments included T 10 in 3 patients, T 11 in 9, T 12 in 18, L 1 in 17, L 2 in 8, and L 3 in 4. According to the Genant semi-quantitative classification of vertebral fracture, 42 patients were scaled into grade 1 and 17 into grade 2. Based on the AO classification of intertrochanteric fracture, 33 patients were classified as type A1, 21 type A2, and 5 type A3. All the patients underwent closed reduction and internal fixation for intertrochanteric fractures, among whom 26 patients received PKP after the internal fixation of OVCF (PKP group) and 33 patients received non-surgical treatment after the internal fixation of OVCF (non-surgical group). The healing of the hip incision at 2 weeks after internal fixation and the healing of intertrochanteric fractures at 6 months after surgery were observed in both groups. The visual analogue scale (VAS) for low back pain was compared between the two groups before PKP, immediately after PKP, at 3 months after PKP, and at the last follow-up. The Oswestry disability index (ODI), anterior vertebral height ratio, and Cobb angle of the injured vertebrae were compared between the two groups before PKP, at 3 months after PKP, and at the last follow-up. The Harris hip function score was compared between the two groups at 3 months after internal fixation and at the last follow-up. Cement leakage was observed. The incidence of deep vein thrombosis (DVT) in the lower extremities after internal fixation were compared between the two groups. Results:All the patients were followed up for 10-46 months [(25.5±9.9)months]. The hip incisions of both groups all healed by first intention at 2 weeks after internal fixation, and the intertrochanteric fracture in both groups had bony union at 6 months after surgery. There were no significant differences between the two groups in VAS or ODI before PKP ( P>0.05). Immediately after PKP, at 3 months after PKP, and at the last follow-up, the VAS scores for low back pain were (2.6±0.6)points, (2.4±0.9)points, and (1.5±0.5)points in the PKP group, which were lower than those in the non-surgical group [(8.2±0.8)points, (3.7±1.2)points, and (3.3±0.6)points] ( P<0.01). At 3 months after PKP and at the last follow-up, the ODI values were (21.4±6.9)% and (16.2±6.3)% in the PKP group, which were lower than (38.6±11.6)% and (32.7±12.0)% in the non-surgical group ( P<0.01). The VAS for low back pain and ODI in both groups were gradually improved at each time point after PKP compared with those before PKP ( P<0.05 or 0.01). There were no significant differences in the anterior vertebral height ratio or Cobb angle of the injured vertebrae in the two groups before PKP ( P>0.05). At 3 months after PKP and at the last follow-up, the anterior vertebral height ratio was (79.8±9.6)% and (79.3±9.4)% in the PKP group, which were higher than (73.4±9.3)% and (62.0±10.4)% in the non-surgical group ( P<0.05 or 0.01); the values of the Cobb angle of the injured vertebrae were (12.6±3.6)° and (12.0±3.3)°in the PKP group, which were lower than (15.5±2.6)° and (20.4±4.9)° in the non-surgical group ( P<0.01). There were no significant differences in the anterior vertebral height ratio and Cobb angle of the injured vertebrae in the PKP group before PKP and at each time point after PKP ( P>0.05) while in the non-surgical group, the anterior vertebral height ratio at each time point after PKP was lower than that before PKP and the Cobb angle of the injured vertebrae was increased compared with that before PKP ( P<0.01). At 3 months after internal fixation and at the last follow-up, the Harris hip function scores in the PKP group were (76.4±3.4)points and (87.7±4.5)points, which were higher than (57.0±6.8)points and (76.3±8.9)points in the non-surgical group ( P<0.01). The Harris hip function scores in both groups were improved at the last follow-up, compared with those at 3 months after internal fixation. Five patients had cement leakage in the PKP group, all of which were lateral leakage.There was no occurrence of radiating pain in the lower extremities. The incidence of DVT at 1 month after internal fixation was 19.2% (5/26) in the PKP group, which was lower than 57.6% (19/33) in the non-surgical group ( P<0.01). Conclusion:Compared with non-operative treatment after the closed reduction and internal fixation, PKP after internal fixation can significantly relieve low back pain in the early stage, improve the functional restoration of the vertebral column, maintain vertebral height, prevent kyphosis, promote the recovery of the hip joint function, and reduce the occurrence of DVT in the lower extremities in the treatment of intertrochanteric fracture combined with OVCF.

Objective:To compare the efficacy of closed reduction and internal fixation combined with percutaneous kyphoplasty (PKP) and non-operative treatment for intertrochanteric fracture combined with osteoporotic vertebral compression fracture (OVCF) in the elderly.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted to analyze the clinical data of 59 patients with intertrochanteric fracture combined with OVCF admitted to Tianjin Hospital from June 2020 to June 2023, including 16 males and 43 females, aged 66-91 years [(80.2±6.8)years]. The injured vertebral segments included T 10 in 3 patients, T 11 in 9, T 12 in 18, L 1 in 17, L 2 in 8, and L 3 in 4. According to the Genant semi-quantitative classification of vertebral fracture, 42 patients were scaled into grade 1 and 17 into grade 2. Based on the AO classification of intertrochanteric fracture, 33 patients were classified as type A1, 21 type A2, and 5 type A3. All the patients underwent closed reduction and internal fixation for intertrochanteric fractures, among whom 26 patients received PKP after the internal fixation of OVCF (PKP group) and 33 patients received non-surgical treatment after the internal fixation of OVCF (non-surgical group). The healing of the hip incision at 2 weeks after internal fixation and the healing of intertrochanteric fractures at 6 months after surgery were observed in both groups. The visual analogue scale (VAS) for low back pain was compared between the two groups before PKP, immediately after PKP, at 3 months after PKP, and at the last follow-up. The Oswestry disability index (ODI), anterior vertebral height ratio, and Cobb angle of the injured vertebrae were compared between the two groups before PKP, at 3 months after PKP, and at the last follow-up. The Harris hip function score was compared between the two groups at 3 months after internal fixation and at the last follow-up. Cement leakage was observed. The incidence of deep vein thrombosis (DVT) in the lower extremities after internal fixation were compared between the two groups. Results:All the patients were followed up for 10-46 months [(25.5±9.9)months]. The hip incisions of both groups all healed by first intention at 2 weeks after internal fixation, and the intertrochanteric fracture in both groups had bony union at 6 months after surgery. There were no significant differences between the two groups in VAS or ODI before PKP ( P>0.05). Immediately after PKP, at 3 months after PKP, and at the last follow-up, the VAS scores for low back pain were (2.6±0.6)points, (2.4±0.9)points, and (1.5±0.5)points in the PKP group, which were lower than those in the non-surgical group [(8.2±0.8)points, (3.7±1.2)points, and (3.3±0.6)points] ( P<0.01). At 3 months after PKP and at the last follow-up, the ODI values were (21.4±6.9)% and (16.2±6.3)% in the PKP group, which were lower than (38.6±11.6)% and (32.7±12.0)% in the non-surgical group ( P<0.01). The VAS for low back pain and ODI in both groups were gradually improved at each time point after PKP compared with those before PKP ( P<0.05 or 0.01). There were no significant differences in the anterior vertebral height ratio or Cobb angle of the injured vertebrae in the two groups before PKP ( P>0.05). At 3 months after PKP and at the last follow-up, the anterior vertebral height ratio was (79.8±9.6)% and (79.3±9.4)% in the PKP group, which were higher than (73.4±9.3)% and (62.0±10.4)% in the non-surgical group ( P<0.05 or 0.01); the values of the Cobb angle of the injured vertebrae were (12.6±3.6)° and (12.0±3.3)°in the PKP group, which were lower than (15.5±2.6)° and (20.4±4.9)° in the non-surgical group ( P<0.01). There were no significant differences in the anterior vertebral height ratio and Cobb angle of the injured vertebrae in the PKP group before PKP and at each time point after PKP ( P>0.05) while in the non-surgical group, the anterior vertebral height ratio at each time point after PKP was lower than that before PKP and the Cobb angle of the injured vertebrae was increased compared with that before PKP ( P<0.01). At 3 months after internal fixation and at the last follow-up, the Harris hip function scores in the PKP group were (76.4±3.4)points and (87.7±4.5)points, which were higher than (57.0±6.8)points and (76.3±8.9)points in the non-surgical group ( P<0.01). The Harris hip function scores in both groups were improved at the last follow-up, compared with those at 3 months after internal fixation. Five patients had cement leakage in the PKP group, all of which were lateral leakage.There was no occurrence of radiating pain in the lower extremities. The incidence of DVT at 1 month after internal fixation was 19.2% (5/26) in the PKP group, which was lower than 57.6% (19/33) in the non-surgical group ( P<0.01). Conclusion:Compared with non-operative treatment after the closed reduction and internal fixation, PKP after internal fixation can significantly relieve low back pain in the early stage, improve the functional restoration of the vertebral column, maintain vertebral height, prevent kyphosis, promote the recovery of the hip joint function, and reduce the occurrence of DVT in the lower extremities in the treatment of intertrochanteric fracture combined with OVCF.

Objective To predict the potential geographic distribution of Oncomelania hupensis in Yunnan Province using random forest (RF) and maximum entropy (MaxEnt) models, so as to provide insights into O. hupensis surveillance and control in Yunnan Province. Methods The O. hupensis snail survey data in Yunnan Province from 2015 to 2016 were collected and converted into O. hupensis snail distribution site data. Data of 22 environmental variables in Yunnan Province were collected, including twelve climate variables (annual potential evapotranspiration, annual mean ground surface temperature, annual precipitation, annual mean air pressure, annual mean relative humidity, annual sunshine duration, annual mean air temperature, annual mean wind speed, ≥ 0 ℃ annual accumulated temperature, ≥ 10 ℃ annual accumulated temperature, aridity and index of moisture), eight geographical variables (normalized difference vegetation index, landform type, land use type, altitude, soil type, soil textureclay content, soil texture-sand content and soil texture-silt content) and two population and economic variables (gross domestic product and population). Variables were screened with Pearson correlation test and variance inflation factor (VIF) test. The RF and MaxEnt models and the ensemble model were created using the biomod2 package of the software R 4.2.1, and the potential distribution of O. hupensis snails after 2016 was predicted in Yunnan Province. The predictive effects of models were evaluated through cross-validation and independent tests, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), true skill statistics (TSS) and Kappa statistics were used for model evaluation. In addition, the importance of environmental variables was analyzed, the contribution of environmental variables output by the models with AUC values of > 0.950 and TSS values of > 0.850 were selected for normalization processing, and the importance percentage of environmental variables was obtained to analyze the importance of environmental variables. Results Data of 148 O. hupensis snail distribution sites and 15 environmental variables were included in training sets of RF and MaxEnt models, and both RF and MaxEnt models had high predictive performance, with both mean AUC values of > 0.900 and all mean TSS values and Kappa values of > 0.800, and significant differences in the AUC (t = 19.862, P < 0.05), TSS (t = 10.140, P < 0.05) and Kappa values (t = 10.237, P < 0.05) between two models. The AUC, TSS and Kappa values of the ensemble model were 0.996, 0.954 and 0.920, respectively. Independent data verification showed that the AUC, TSS and Kappa values of the RF model and the ensemble model were all 1, which still showed high performance in unknown data modeling, and the MaxEnt model showed poor performance, with TSS and Kappa values of 0 for 24%(24/100) of the modeling results. The modeling results of 79 RF models, 38 MaxEnt models and their ensemble models with AUC values of > 0.950 and TSS values of > 0.850 were included in the evaluation of importance of environmental variables. The importance of annual sunshine duration (SSD) was 32.989%, 37.847% and 46.315% in the RF model, the MaxEnt model and their ensemble model, while the importance of annual mean relative humidity (RHU) was 30.947%, 15.921% and 28.121%, respectively. Important environment variables were concentrated in modeling results of the RF model, dispersed in modeling results of the MaxEnt model, and most concentrated in modeling results of the ensemble model. The potential distribution of O. hupensis snails after 2016 was predicted to be relatively concentrated in Yunnan Province by the RF model and relatively large by the MaxEnt model, and the distribution of O. hupensis snails predicted by the ensemble model was mostly the joint distribution of O. hupensis snails predicted by RF and MaxEnt models. Conclusions Both RF and MaxEnt models are effective to predict the potential distribution of O. hupensis snails in Yunnan Province, which facilitates targeted O. hupensis snail control.

Surgical technique of lung transplantation exerts significant impact on clinical prognosis of the recipients.Choosing an appropriate surgical incision determines the exposure of intraoperative visual field,which is the first step of surgical success and directly affects subsequent surgical procedures.Lung transplantation incision is usually considered as primary closure.Nevertheless,for patients with high-risk factors such as oversized lung allografts and primary graft failure after lung transplantation,primary closure cannot be achieved.Hence,delayed chest closure is an effective strategy.The selection of incisions and the adoption of delayed chest closure of lung transplantation exert profound impact upon perioperative prognosis,long-term quality of life and surgical complications of the recipients.Therefore,the development and research status of Clamshell incision,anterolateral incision,posterolateral incision and median sternal incision in lung transplantation were reviewed,highlighting the effect of incision patterns on clinical prognosis of lung transplantation and providing reference for the selection of incisions in clinical lung transplantation.

Objective:To study the impact of number and location of metastatic lymph nodes on prognosis of patients after radical resection for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC).Methods:A retrospective study was conducted on 105 patients who underwent radical resection and lymphadenectomy for ICC at the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University from January 2010 to December 2020. There were 49 males and 56 females, with age of (58±10) years old. These patients were divided into 2 groups using the TNM staging (8th edition) into the N0 stage group ( n=62) and N1 stage group ( n=43). Using the NMLN staging, those with 0, 1-2, and >3 number of metastatic lymph nodes (NMLN) were divided into 3 groups: the stage 0 group ( n=62), stage 1 group ( n=24), and stage 2 group ( n=19). Of the 43 patients with lymph node metastasis, they were divided into 2 groups according to whether the lymph node metastasis was limited to the first lymph node station: the first station metastasis group ( n=11) and the non-first station metastasis group ( n=32). The general data, extent of lymph node dissection, pathological examinations, and postoperative survival outcomes of these patients were collected. Determination of risk factors for prognosis of ICC after radical resection was carried out. Results:The median number of lymph node harvested, or the detection of N0 and N1 staging were 6 (3, 8) and 6 (3, 10), respectively. There were no significant differences between the two groups ( Z=-1.10, P>0.05). Overall survival of patients in the N0 stage group was better than the N1 stage group (32.0 vs. 9.0 months, χ 2=23.99, P<0.001). The median survival times of patients in the stage 0, stage 1 and stage 2 groups were 32.0, 14.0 and 6.0 months, respectively. There was a significant difference in overall survival among the 3 groups (χ 2=32.18, P<0.001). The time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves showed that NMLN staging had better prognostic predictive ability than the N staging. The median survival times of the first station metastasis group and the non-first station metastasis group were 18.0 and 7.0 months, respectively. There was no significant difference between the two groups (χ 2=2.21, P>0.05). Multivariate analysis showed that tumor carbohydrate antigen 125>35.0 U/ml ( HR=4.297, 95% CI:2.418-7.634), hepatolithiasis ( HR=2.713, 95% CI:1.499-4.911), T4 staging ( HR=2.934, 95% CI:1.478-5.825), NMLN stage 1 ( HR=2.759, 95% CI:1.500-5.077) and NMLN stage 2 ( HR=7.376, 95% CI:3.553-15.312) were independent risk factors affecting prognosis of ICC after radical resection ( P<0.05). Conclusion:Lymph node metastasis was an important poor prognostic risk factor after radical resection of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. The prognosis of ICC patients was related to the NMLN, but it was not related to the location of metastatic lymph nodes.

Objective:To examine the correlation between perineural invasion and clinicopathological factors and the role of perineural invasion on the prognosis of patients with curatively resected gallbladder carcinoma.Methods:The clinicopathological and follow-up data of 548 patients with gallbladder carcinoma who underwent radical surgery from the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi′an Jiaotong University from January 2013 to December 2020 were analyzed retrospectively. There were 173 males and 375 females,with age( M(IQR)) of 62(14)years(range:30 to 88 years). The correlations between perineural invasion and the clinicopathological features were analyzed. The relationship between prognosis and clinicopathological factors were further analyzed. The survival curve was drawn using the Kaplan-Meier method. The univariate analysis and multivariate analysis were done using the Log-rank test and Cox proportional hazard model respectively. Results:Radical resection was performed in 548 cases,including 59 cases(10.8%) with perineural invasion. The results of univariate analysis showed that perineural invasion was related to serum bilirubin level,serum carcinoembryonic antigen(CEA) level,CA19-9 level,T stage,lymph node metastasis,liver invasion,vessel invasion and tumor location(all P<0.05).The results of multivariate analysis showed that jaundice,high-level serum CA19-9,high-level serum CEA,T4 stage,vessel invasion and tumor located in the neck or cystic duct of the gallbladder were independent risk factors of perineural invasion in gallbladder carcinoma. Survival of 367 patients in T3-T4 stages were analyzed. The prognosis of gallbladder carcinoma patients with perineural invasion was significantly worse than that of patients without perineural invasion(median survival time:12.0 months vs. 34.7 months, P<0.01). Univariate analysis showed that perineural invasion,gallbladder stones,gallbladder polyps,CA125,CEA,CA19-9,serum bilirubin level,tumor location,N stage,liver invasion and pathological differentiation were independent risk factors affecting prognosis of patients with gallbladder carcinoma(all P<0.05). The results of Cox proportional hazard model showed that perineural invasion,N stage,liver invasion,gallbladder stones,pathological differentiation were independent risk factors affecting prognosis of patients with gallbladder carcinoma(all P<0.05). Conclusions:Jaundice,high-level serum CA19-9,high-level serum CEA,T4 stage,vessel invasion and tumor located in the neck or cystic duct of the gallbladder are independent risk factors for perineural invasion of gallbladder carcinoma. Perineural invasion is one of the independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of T3-T4 stage gallbladder carcinoma.

Objective:To examine the correlation between perineural invasion and clinicopathological factors and the role of perineural invasion on the prognosis of patients with curatively resected gallbladder carcinoma.Methods:The clinicopathological and follow-up data of 548 patients with gallbladder carcinoma who underwent radical surgery from the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi′an Jiaotong University from January 2013 to December 2020 were analyzed retrospectively. There were 173 males and 375 females,with age( M(IQR)) of 62(14)years(range:30 to 88 years). The correlations between perineural invasion and the clinicopathological features were analyzed. The relationship between prognosis and clinicopathological factors were further analyzed. The survival curve was drawn using the Kaplan-Meier method. The univariate analysis and multivariate analysis were done using the Log-rank test and Cox proportional hazard model respectively. Results:Radical resection was performed in 548 cases,including 59 cases(10.8%) with perineural invasion. The results of univariate analysis showed that perineural invasion was related to serum bilirubin level,serum carcinoembryonic antigen(CEA) level,CA19-9 level,T stage,lymph node metastasis,liver invasion,vessel invasion and tumor location(all P<0.05).The results of multivariate analysis showed that jaundice,high-level serum CA19-9,high-level serum CEA,T4 stage,vessel invasion and tumor located in the neck or cystic duct of the gallbladder were independent risk factors of perineural invasion in gallbladder carcinoma. Survival of 367 patients in T3-T4 stages were analyzed. The prognosis of gallbladder carcinoma patients with perineural invasion was significantly worse than that of patients without perineural invasion(median survival time:12.0 months vs. 34.7 months, P<0.01). Univariate analysis showed that perineural invasion,gallbladder stones,gallbladder polyps,CA125,CEA,CA19-9,serum bilirubin level,tumor location,N stage,liver invasion and pathological differentiation were independent risk factors affecting prognosis of patients with gallbladder carcinoma(all P<0.05). The results of Cox proportional hazard model showed that perineural invasion,N stage,liver invasion,gallbladder stones,pathological differentiation were independent risk factors affecting prognosis of patients with gallbladder carcinoma(all P<0.05). Conclusions:Jaundice,high-level serum CA19-9,high-level serum CEA,T4 stage,vessel invasion and tumor located in the neck or cystic duct of the gallbladder are independent risk factors for perineural invasion of gallbladder carcinoma. Perineural invasion is one of the independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of T3-T4 stage gallbladder carcinoma.

Objective : To evaluate the effect of platelet-rich fibrin (PRF) on alveolar ridge preservation after tooth extraction. Methods: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) published before August 25, 2020 about the use of PRF after tooth extraction were searched through the PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, HowNet, Wanfang, CBM databases and clinical trial registration centers in China and the United States. Outcome indicators included in the studies included dry socket occurrence, alveolar bone resorption in the horizontal and vertical directions, and the percentage of new bone. Meta-analysis was conducted with Review Manager Version 5.3 software. Results: A total of 706 studies were retrieved. After screening, 8 studies were analyzed quantitatively. Meta-analysis results showed that PRF could reduce the absorption of alveolar bone after tooth extraction, which reduced the horizontal bone mass (WMD=-0.71, 95% CI=-1.11 to -0.32, P < 0.05) and buccal (WMD=-1.38, 95% CI =-1.87 to -0.88, P < 0.05) and lingual sides (WMD=-0.49, 95% CI=-0.92 to -0.06, P < 0.05) and increased the percentage of new bone (SMD=1.24, 95% CI =0.25 to 2.23, P < 0.05). However, there was no significant difference in preventing the occurrence of dry socket (RD < 0.01, 95% CI=-0.05 to 0.04, P=0.95) and reducing bone absorption in the vertical direction of mesial (WMD=-0.11, 95% CI=-1.17 to 0.95, P=0.84) and distal (WMD=-0.66, 95% CI=-1.93 to 0.60, P=0.30) alveolar ridge after tooth extraction. Conclusion Using PRF alone after tooth extraction can effectively preserve bone mass in the horizontal direction of the alveolar ridge and the vertical direction of the buccal and lingual sides.

Objective:To evaluate the related factors of gallstones related gallbladder intraepithelial neoplasia(GBIN) and establish the prediction models for gallstones related GBIN.Methods:The clinicopathological data of 750 patients who underwent cholecystectomy for gallstones at Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery of the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi′an Jiaotong University from January 2013 to December 2018 and the postoperative pathological examination showed chronic cholecystitis or GBIN were analyzed retrospectively,including 150 cases of gallstones with GBIN and 600 cases of gallstones with chronic cholecystitis.There were 264 males and 486 females with age of (51.3±14.5) years (range: 18 to 90 years).The related factors for gallstones related GBIN were screened by χ 2 test and Logistic regression model,and the prediction models were established based on independent related factors and internal validation was conducted.The original data were randomly divided into a training cohort(526 cases) and a validation cohort(224 cases) at a ratio of 7∶3,and the nomogram and tree augmented na?ve Bayes were conducted to establish the prediction model for gallstones related GBIN.The consistency index(C-index),calibration chart,area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC) and confusion matrix were used to evaluate the prediction performance of the two models. Results:Univariate analysis showed that age,gallstones history(years),gallbladder size,whether the gallbladder mucosa smooth or not,whether the gallbladder wall thickened or not,gallstones diameter,and number of gallstones were related factors for the occurrence of gallstones related GBIN (χ2=19.957,8.599,9.724,9.301,8.341,15.288,9.169,all P<0.05).Multivariate analysis showed that age ( OR=2.23,95% CI:1.50-3.31, P<0.01),gallbladder size ( OR=2.11,95% CI:1.17-3.80, P=0.013),whether the gallbladder mucosa smooth or not ( OR=1.80,95% CI:1.13-2.88, P=0.014),gallstones diameter( OR=2.98,95% CI:1.71-5.21, P<0.01),and number of gallstones ( OR=2.14,95% CI:1.34-3.42, P<0.01) were independent related factors for the occurrence of gallstones related GBIN; the C-index of the nomogram in training cohort and validation cohort were 0.708 and 0.696,respectively.The AUC of the two models in training cohort were 70.60% and 70.73%,and in validation cohort were 68.14% and 67.47%,respectively.The accuracy of the two models in training cohort were 69.96% and 70.72%,and in validation cohort were 66.96% and 67.41%,respectively. Conclusion:Age,gallbladder size,whether the gallbladder mucosa smooth or not,gallstones diameter and number of gallstones are independent related factors for the occurrence of gallstones related GBIN,and the nomogram and tree augmented na?ve Bayes prediction models based on the above factors can be used to predict the occurrence of GBIN.

Objective:To evaluate the related factors of gallstones related gallbladder intraepithelial neoplasia(GBIN) and establish the prediction models for gallstones related GBIN.Methods:The clinicopathological data of 750 patients who underwent cholecystectomy for gallstones at Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery of the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi′an Jiaotong University from January 2013 to December 2018 and the postoperative pathological examination showed chronic cholecystitis or GBIN were analyzed retrospectively,including 150 cases of gallstones with GBIN and 600 cases of gallstones with chronic cholecystitis.There were 264 males and 486 females with age of (51.3±14.5) years (range: 18 to 90 years).The related factors for gallstones related GBIN were screened by χ 2 test and Logistic regression model,and the prediction models were established based on independent related factors and internal validation was conducted.The original data were randomly divided into a training cohort(526 cases) and a validation cohort(224 cases) at a ratio of 7∶3,and the nomogram and tree augmented na?ve Bayes were conducted to establish the prediction model for gallstones related GBIN.The consistency index(C-index),calibration chart,area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC) and confusion matrix were used to evaluate the prediction performance of the two models. Results:Univariate analysis showed that age,gallstones history(years),gallbladder size,whether the gallbladder mucosa smooth or not,whether the gallbladder wall thickened or not,gallstones diameter,and number of gallstones were related factors for the occurrence of gallstones related GBIN (χ2=19.957,8.599,9.724,9.301,8.341,15.288,9.169,all P<0.05).Multivariate analysis showed that age ( OR=2.23,95% CI:1.50-3.31, P<0.01),gallbladder size ( OR=2.11,95% CI:1.17-3.80, P=0.013),whether the gallbladder mucosa smooth or not ( OR=1.80,95% CI:1.13-2.88, P=0.014),gallstones diameter( OR=2.98,95% CI:1.71-5.21, P<0.01),and number of gallstones ( OR=2.14,95% CI:1.34-3.42, P<0.01) were independent related factors for the occurrence of gallstones related GBIN; the C-index of the nomogram in training cohort and validation cohort were 0.708 and 0.696,respectively.The AUC of the two models in training cohort were 70.60% and 70.73%,and in validation cohort were 68.14% and 67.47%,respectively.The accuracy of the two models in training cohort were 69.96% and 70.72%,and in validation cohort were 66.96% and 67.41%,respectively. Conclusion:Age,gallbladder size,whether the gallbladder mucosa smooth or not,gallstones diameter and number of gallstones are independent related factors for the occurrence of gallstones related GBIN,and the nomogram and tree augmented na?ve Bayes prediction models based on the above factors can be used to predict the occurrence of GBIN.