Objective: To analyze the temporal variation patterns of sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Shanghai, so as to explore models suitable for predicting peaks and intensity of absenteeism rates. Methods: The seasonal and trend decomposition using loess (STL) method was used to analyze the seasonal and long term trend changes in sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students from September 1 in 2010 to June 30 in 2018, in Shanghai. A hierarchical clustering method based on Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) was employed to classify absenteeism symptoms with similar temporal patterns. Based on historical data, the study constructed and evaluated different time series algorithms and machine learning models to optimize the accuracy of predicting the trend of sickness absenteeism. Results: During the research period, the average new absenteeism rate due to illness was 16.86 per 10 000 person day for every academic year, and the trend of sickness absenteeism exhibited both seasonality and a long term upward trend, reaching its highest point in the 2017 academic year (22.47 per 10 000 person day). The symptoms of absenteeism were divided into three categories: high incidence in winter and spring (respiratory symptoms, fever and general discomfort, etc.), high incidence in summer (eye symptoms, nosebleeds, etc.) and those without obvious seasonality (skin symptoms, accidental injuries, etc.).The constructed time series models effectively predicted the trend of absenteeism due to illness, although the accuracy of predicting peak intensity was relatively low. Among them, the multi layer perceptron (MLP) model performed the best, with an root mean squared error (RMSE) of 8.96 and an mean absolute error (MAE) of 4.37, reducing 36.51% and 39.02% compared to the baseline model. Conclusion Time series models and machine learning algorithms could effectively predict the trend of sickness absenteeism, and corresponding prevention and control measures can be taken for absenteeism caused by different symptoms during peak periods.

OBJECTIVE To construct three-class （insufficient， normal， excessive） and two-class （insufficient， normal） models for predicting plasma concentration of valproic acid （VPA）， and compare the performance of these two models， with the aim of providing a reference for formulating clinical medication strategies. METHODS The clinical data of 480 patients who received VPA treatment and underwent blood concentration test at the Xi’an International Medical Center Hospital were collected from November 2022 to September 2024 （a total of 695 sets of data）. In this study， predictive models were constructed for target variables of three-class and two-class models. Feature ranking and selection were carried out using XGBoost scores. Twelve different machine learning algorithms were used for training and validation， and the performance of the models was evaluated using three indexes: accuracy， F1 score， and the area under the working characteristic curve of the subject （AUC）. RESULTS XGBoost feature importance scores revealed that in the three-class model， the importance ranking of kidney disease and electrolyte disorders was higher. However， in the two-class model， the importance ranking of these features significantly decreased， suggesting a close association with the excessive blood concentration of VPA. In the three-class model， Random Forest method performed best， with F1 score of 0.704 0 and AUC of 0.519 3 on the test set； while in the two-class model， CatBoost method performed optimally， with F1 score of 0.785 7 and AUC of 0.819 5 on the test set. CONCLUSIONS The constructed three-class model has the ability to predict excessive VPA blood concentration， but its prediction and model generalization abilities are poor； the constructed two-class model can only perform classification prediction for insufficient and normal blood concentration cases， but its model performance is stronger.

ObjectiveTo understand the infection characteristics and drug resistance of carbapenem-resistant Serratia marcescens (CRSM) in a general hospital in Shanghai, and to provide a theoretical basis for clinical anti-infective treatment and prevention of drug-resistant bacteria. MethodsClinical data on cases with CRSM infections detected in clinical specimens at a gradeⅢ level A general hospital in Shanghai from June 2022 to June 2024 were retrospectively collected, and their clinical distributions, factors of hospital-acquired infections, prognosis, and drug-resistant situation were analyzed simultaneously. ResultsA total of 38 cases with CRSM were detected from June 2022 to June 2024, and the number of CRSM strains accounted for 25.00% (38/152) of the number of SM strains. The 38 CRSM infection samples were all derived from sputum. CRSM were distributed in 9 clinical departments, and the top 3 departments having the highest percentages of CRSM among SM strains, were intensive care unit (ICU) (78.79%, 26/33), gastrointestinal surgery department (57.14%, 4/7), and thyroid hernia surgery department (50.00%, 1/2). Among the 38 patients with CRSM infections, 8 cases were identified as hospital-acquired infection, resulting in a hospital-acquired infection rate of 21.05. The mortality rate of the 38 cases of CRSM infected patients within 30 days after detection of CRSM was 23.68% (9/38). The results of multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score ≥6.5 points (OR=15.33, P<0.001), septic shock (OR=4.85, P=0.032), and suffering from neoplastic diseases (OR=0.12, P=0.018) were the related factors for death within 30 days after the detection of CRSM in patients with CRSM infection. The results of drug sensitivity test showed that the 38 cases of CRSM exhibited 100.00% (38/38) sensitivity to trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole, tigecycline, or ceftazidime/avibactam; demonstrated high resistance toβ-lactams except for ceftazidime (18.42%, 7/38), the latter of which was one of the third-generation of cephalosporins; showed elevated resistance to fluoroquinolones [levofloxacin (89.47%, 35/38), ciprofloxacin (94.74%, 36/38)]; maintained good tetracycline sensitivity [doxycycline (97.37%, 37/38), minocycline (76.32%, 29/38)]; and displayed high susceptibility to the aminoglycoside gentamicin (94.74%, 36/38) and elevated resistance to tobramycin (86.84%, 34/38). The detection rate of serine carbapenemase in the 38 strains of CRSM was 100.00%, while all strains tested negative for metallo-β-lactamases. ConclusionFrom June 2022 to June 2024, the detection rate of CRSM in a gradeⅢ level A general hospital in Shanghai was relatively high, especially in the ICU. CRSM has a high resistance rate to commonly used antibacterial drugs such as the first and second-generation cephalosporins, quinolones, and polypeptide antibacterial drugs. Therefore the dynamics of drug-resistant bacteria should be tracked in a timely manner to guide the rational clinical application of antibacterial drugs.

To investigate the levels and clinical significance of serum microRNA ( miR) -146a, miR-145, T-helpertype17 (Th17)/regulatory T cell (Treg) in children with respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infectious pneumonia. The clinical data of 200 children with RSV infectious pneumonia admitted to Nantong Maternal and Child Health Hospital from June 2020 to June 2023 were retrospectively collected as the study group. At the same time, 200 children with mycoplasma pneumonia were selected as the common pneumonia group and 200 healthy children were selected as the healthy group. The levels of serum inflammatory factors [interleukin-6 (IL-6), interferon-γ (IFN-γ), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α)] were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. The expression levels of serum miR-146a and miR-145 were detected by RT-qPCR. The levels of Th17/Treg were detected by flow cytometry. The levels of miR-146a, miR-145, Th17/Treg and serum inflammatory factors were compared among the three groups. Pearson method was used to analyze the correlation between miR-146a, miR-145, Th17/Treg and serum inflammatory factors in children with RSV infectious pneumonia. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was drawn to analyze the diagnostic value of miR-146a, miR-145, Th17/Treg in children with respiratory syncytial virus infection pneumonia. The results showed that in the study group, miR-146a (2.01±0.58), miR-145 (1.81±0.46), Th17/Treg (1.09±0.31), IL-6 (7.82±2.11) ng/L and TNF-α (9.82±2.96) ng/L were higher than those in the common pneumonia group miR-146a (1.49±0.42), miR-145 (1.43±0.31), Th17/Treg (0.77±0.24), IL-6 (5.89±1.32) ng/L, TNF-α (7.34±2.32) ng/L and healthy group miR-146a (1.25±0.19), miR-145 (1.19±0.16), Th17/Treg (0.38±0.09), IL-6 (4.52±1.04) ng/L, TNF-α (5.39±1.07)ng/L. The levels of the above indexes in the common pneumonia group were higher than those in the healthy group, and the differences were statistically significant ( F=183.543, 175.938, 617.182, 226.657, 193.459, P<0.05). In the study group, IFN-γ (14.18±3.25) pg/ml was lower than that in the control group (19.52±5.13) pg/ml, but higher than that in the healthy group (9.77±2.40) pg/ml, and the difference was statistically significant ( F=335.432, P<0.05). Pearson correlation analysis showed that miR-146a, miR-145 and Th17/Treg were positively correlated with IL-6 and TNF-α ( P<0.05), but negatively correlated with IFN-γ ( P<0.05). ROC curve results showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of miR-146a, miR-145 and Th17/Treg in the diagnosis of RSV infectious pneumonia was 0.767, 0.762 and 0.790, respectively, while the combined detection of the three was 0.904. In conclusion, the levels of miR-146a, miR-145 and Th17/Treg are highly expressed in children with RSV infectious pneumonia, and are closely related to the inflammatory response of children. The combined detection of the three may have certain application value in the auxiliary diagnosis of RSV infectious pneumonia.

Objective By population survey,to explore the epidemiological characteristics of gastric precancerous lesions in Lishui District of Nanjing and provide objective basis for the prevention and treatment of early gastric cancer.Methods From July 2021 to December 2022,21 977 patients who received endoscopy and/or 13C-UBT in Lishui District People's Hospital and 6 medical community units in Nanjing City were retrospectively analyzed for demography characteristics,detection rate of gastric precancerous lesions,and H.Pylori infection rate.Results(1)590 cases of gastric precancerous lesions were detected(detection rate 2.68%);(2)The total detection rate of precancerous lesions and three pathological types in males were all higher than those in females(all P<0.001);(3)The minimum age for the total detection rate of precancerous lesions in males and the mini-mum age for each pathological type were lower than in females(P<0.001,0.009,0.005,0.002);(4)The popu-lation total H.pylori infection rate was 23.10%,the H.pylori infection rate in patients with precancerous lesions was higher than that in non-precancerous lesions(P<0.001),both H.pylori infection rate of male and female in precancerous lesions were all higher than those of non-precancerous lesions of the same sex(all P<0.001),in addition,the H.pylori infection rate of male whether in precancerous or non-precancerous lesions was higher than that of female(all P<0.001);(5)The precancerous lesions detection rate in male,female,and the overall age range of 20～29 to 70～79 years is positively correlated with age growth(P<0.001),and rapidly decreases after the age of 79,the of H.pylori infection rate was also positively correlated with age growth(P<0.001),and the trend of age change(P<0.001)was parallel to the precancerous lesions detection rate.Conclusions The detec-tion rate of gastric precancerous lesions in this region is above the average level in China;the total H.pylori infec-tion rate is at a relatively low level in China;the H.pylori infection rate is parallel to the age trend of the detection rate of gastric precancerous lesions,and increases with age.

Objective To explore the relationship between amyloid A(SAA)/C-reactive protein(CRP)and airway inflammation and disease severity in children with acute exacerbation of bronchial asthma.Methods A total of 82 children with acute exacerbation of bronchial asthma admitted to Anhui Provincial Children's Hospital from July 2020 to July 2023 were selected as the study objects,and were divided into mild group(23 cases)and moderate and severe group(59 cases)according to the disease severity at admission.SAA/CRP and airway inflammation indicators[interleukin-6(IL-6),procalcitonin(PCT)]in the two groups were compared.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was used to evaluate the diagnostic value of SAA/CRP for the disease severity of children with acute exacerbation of bronchial asthma,and multivariate Logistic stepwise regression analysis was used to explore the influencing factors for the disease severity of children with acute exacerbation of bronchial asthma.Results The serum levels of IL-6 and PCT in the mild group were lower than those in the moderate and severe group(P＜0.05),and the serum SAA,CRP and SAA/CRP in the mild group were lower than those in the moderate and severe group(P＜0.05).SAA/CRP was positively correlated with IL-6 and PCT levels in children with acute exacerbation of bronchial asthma(r=0.317,0.324,P=0.010,0.001).The area under the curve of SAA,CRP and SAA/CRP for diagnosing the disease severity of children with acute exacerbation of bronchial asthma were 0.854,0.753 and 0.916,re-spectively.Family history of asthma(OR=3.622,95％CI:1.556～8.430),asthma control test score(OR=4.175,95％CI:1.652-10.550),SAA/CRP(OR=5.254,95％CI:2.108-13.097)were the risk factors for children with acute exacerbation of bronchial asthma(P＜0.05).Conclusion The SAA/CRP in children with acute exacerbation of bronchial asthma is related to airway inflammation,and has a certain value in evaluating the disease severity of children with acute exacerbation of bronchial asthma.

To investigate the levels and clinical significance of serum microRNA ( miR) -146a, miR-145, T-helpertype17 (Th17)/regulatory T cell (Treg) in children with respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infectious pneumonia. The clinical data of 200 children with RSV infectious pneumonia admitted to Nantong Maternal and Child Health Hospital from June 2020 to June 2023 were retrospectively collected as the study group. At the same time, 200 children with mycoplasma pneumonia were selected as the common pneumonia group and 200 healthy children were selected as the healthy group. The levels of serum inflammatory factors [interleukin-6 (IL-6), interferon-γ (IFN-γ), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α)] were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. The expression levels of serum miR-146a and miR-145 were detected by RT-qPCR. The levels of Th17/Treg were detected by flow cytometry. The levels of miR-146a, miR-145, Th17/Treg and serum inflammatory factors were compared among the three groups. Pearson method was used to analyze the correlation between miR-146a, miR-145, Th17/Treg and serum inflammatory factors in children with RSV infectious pneumonia. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was drawn to analyze the diagnostic value of miR-146a, miR-145, Th17/Treg in children with respiratory syncytial virus infection pneumonia. The results showed that in the study group, miR-146a (2.01±0.58), miR-145 (1.81±0.46), Th17/Treg (1.09±0.31), IL-6 (7.82±2.11) ng/L and TNF-α (9.82±2.96) ng/L were higher than those in the common pneumonia group miR-146a (1.49±0.42), miR-145 (1.43±0.31), Th17/Treg (0.77±0.24), IL-6 (5.89±1.32) ng/L, TNF-α (7.34±2.32) ng/L and healthy group miR-146a (1.25±0.19), miR-145 (1.19±0.16), Th17/Treg (0.38±0.09), IL-6 (4.52±1.04) ng/L, TNF-α (5.39±1.07)ng/L. The levels of the above indexes in the common pneumonia group were higher than those in the healthy group, and the differences were statistically significant ( F=183.543, 175.938, 617.182, 226.657, 193.459, P<0.05). In the study group, IFN-γ (14.18±3.25) pg/ml was lower than that in the control group (19.52±5.13) pg/ml, but higher than that in the healthy group (9.77±2.40) pg/ml, and the difference was statistically significant ( F=335.432, P<0.05). Pearson correlation analysis showed that miR-146a, miR-145 and Th17/Treg were positively correlated with IL-6 and TNF-α ( P<0.05), but negatively correlated with IFN-γ ( P<0.05). ROC curve results showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of miR-146a, miR-145 and Th17/Treg in the diagnosis of RSV infectious pneumonia was 0.767, 0.762 and 0.790, respectively, while the combined detection of the three was 0.904. In conclusion, the levels of miR-146a, miR-145 and Th17/Treg are highly expressed in children with RSV infectious pneumonia, and are closely related to the inflammatory response of children. The combined detection of the three may have certain application value in the auxiliary diagnosis of RSV infectious pneumonia.

Background::Carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) and diameter, stiffness, and wave reflections, are independent and important clinical biomarkers and risk predictors for cardiovascular diseases. The purpose of the present study was to establish nationwide reference values of carotid properties for healthy Chinese adults and to explore potential clinical determinants.Methods::A total of 3053 healthy Han Chinese adults (1922 women) aged 18-79 years were enrolled at 28 collaborating tertiary centers throughout China between April 2021 and July 2022. The real-time tracking of common carotid artery walls was achieved by the radio frequency (RF) ultrasound system. The IMT, diameter, compliance coefficient, β stiffness, local pulse wave velocity (PWV), local systolic blood pressure, augmented pressure (AP), and augmentation index (AIx) were then automatically measured and reported. Data were stratified by age groups and sex. The relationships between age and carotid property parameters were analyzed by Jonckheere-Terpstra test and simple linear regressions. The major clinical determinants of carotid properties were identified by Pearson’s correlation, multiple linear regression, and analyses of covariance.Results::All the parameters of carotid properties demonstrated significantly age-related trajectories. Women showed thinner IMT, smaller carotid diameter, larger AP, and AIx than men. The β stiffness and PWV were significantly higher in men than women before forties, but the differences reversed after that. The increase rate of carotid IMT (5.5 μm/year in women and 5.8 μm/year in men) and diameter (0.03 mm/year in both men and women) were similar between men and women. For the stiffness and wave reflections, women showed significantly larger age-related variations than men as demonstrated by steeper regression slopes (all P for age by sex interaction <0.05). The blood pressures, body mass index (BMI), and triglyceride levels were identified as major clinical determinants of carotid properties with adjustment of age and sex. Conclusions::The age- and sex-specific reference values of carotid properties measured by RF ultrasound for healthy Chinese adults were established. The blood pressures, BMI, and triglyceride levels should be considered for clinical application of corresponding reference values.

Objective To explore the effect of cannabinoid receptor 2(CB2)on orthodontic tooth movement(OTM)rate and periodontal tissue reconstruction of pressure area in mice.Methods Thirty CB2-/-male mice and thirty littermate control WT male mice were individually accepted the orthodontic appliance at their age of 6 weeks.The mice were respectively scarified at 3 days,7 days,14 days and 21 days after the operation.Then the tooth movement distance was examined through the stereomicroscope.Hematoxylin-eosin staining was performed to explore the biological responses of periodontium at the distal mesial root pressure area.Anti-tartrate acid phospha-tase staining was performed to calculate the number and distribution of osteoclasts at the distal mesial root pressure area,and MMP-9 was evaluated by immunohistochemistry to examine the number of MMP-9(+)monocytes and multinucleated cells in the same district as the TRAP staining.Results Compared with those WT mice at 3,7,14 and 21 days,OTM distance showed a gradual increased tendency according with experimental time over 21 days.The widths of periodontal ligament on the pressure side were markedly greater in CB2-/-mice than WT mice at 7,14 and 21 days(P＜0.000 1).The numbers of TRAP positive osteoclasts were significantly greater in CB2-/-mice than those in WT mice at 14 days of OTM(P＜0.001).MMP-9 immunohistochemical staining showed that the number of MMP-9(+)monocytes and multinucleated cells was more in CB2-/-mice than that in WT mice at 14 days of OTM(P＜0.05).Conclusion The absence of CB2 accelerates orthodontic tooth movement under or-thodontic force.The absence of CB2 reinforces bone resorption in orthodontic tooth movement compressive area dur-ing orthodontic tooth movement.

ObjectiveTo observe the effect of enriched environment (EE) combined with acupuncture at head point (HA) on behavior in rats with autism spectrum disorder. MethodsHealthy female Wistar rats were given peritoneal injection of sodium valproate at 12.5 days of gestation. Twenty-four male offspring rats were randomly selected and then randomly divided into model group (n = 6), EE group (n = 6), HA group (n = 6) and EE combined with HA group (the combined group, n = 6). Six male offspring rats born from female mice injected with the same amount of saline intraperitoneally were as control group. After four weeks of treatment, all the five groups were tested with three-chamber test and marble burying test, and the sociability index, the social novelty index and the number of buried marbles were recorded. The levels of interleukin (IL)-1β and IL-6 in peripheral blood were determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). ResultsAfter treatment, compared with the model group, the sociability index and the social novelty index improved (P < 0.05), the number of buried marbles reduced (P < 0.05), and the levels of IL-6 and IL-1β in peripheral blood decreased in EE group, HA group and the combined group (P < 0.05); while the combined group was the best (P < 0.01). ConclusionBoth EE or acupuncture at HA could improve behavioral symptoms, and reduce the expression of inflammatory factors in rats with autism spectrum disorder. The combination of the two methods showed the best result.