1.Comparison of small-sample multi-class machine learning models for plasma concentration prediction of valproic acid
Xi CHEN ; Shen’ao YUAN ; Hailing YUAN ; Jie ZHAO ; Peng CHEN ; Chunyan TIAN ; Yi SU ; Yunsong ZHANG ; Yu ZHANG
China Pharmacy 2025;36(11):1399-1404
OBJECTIVE To construct three-class (insufficient, normal, excessive) and two-class (insufficient, normal) models for predicting plasma concentration of valproic acid (VPA), and compare the performance of these two models, with the aim of providing a reference for formulating clinical medication strategies. METHODS The clinical data of 480 patients who received VPA treatment and underwent blood concentration test at the Xi’an International Medical Center Hospital were collected from November 2022 to September 2024 (a total of 695 sets of data). In this study, predictive models were constructed for target variables of three-class and two-class models. Feature ranking and selection were carried out using XGBoost scores. Twelve different machine learning algorithms were used for training and validation, and the performance of the models was evaluated using three indexes: accuracy, F1 score, and the area under the working characteristic curve of the subject (AUC). RESULTS XGBoost feature importance scores revealed that in the three-class model, the importance ranking of kidney disease and electrolyte disorders was higher. However, in the two-class model, the importance ranking of these features significantly decreased, suggesting a close association with the excessive blood concentration of VPA. In the three-class model, Random Forest method performed best, with F1 score of 0.704 0 and AUC of 0.519 3 on the test set; while in the two-class model, CatBoost method performed optimally, with F1 score of 0.785 7 and AUC of 0.819 5 on the test set. CONCLUSIONS The constructed three-class model has the ability to predict excessive VPA blood concentration, but its prediction and model generalization abilities are poor; the constructed two-class model can only perform classification prediction for insufficient and normal blood concentration cases, but its model performance is stronger.
2.Diagnostic value of endoscopic ultrasound-guided fine needle aspiration for biopsy-negative esophageal strictures
Mireayi NUERMAIMAITI ; Dehua TANG ; Congqiang SHEN ; Xinyu TIAN ; Yuhang ZHUANG ; Shanshan SHEN ; Chunyan PENG ; Lei WANG ; Shu ZHANG ; Ying LYU
Chinese Journal of Digestive Endoscopy 2025;42(1):60-65
Objective:To investigate the diagnostic value of endoscopic ultrasound-guided fine needle aspiration (EUS-FNA) for biopsy-negative esophageal strictures suspected for malignancy.Methods:Patients who underwent EUS-FNA for esophageal strictures with negative endoscopic biopsies in Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital from January 2014 to March 2022 were analyzed retrospectively. The final diagnosis was based on the pathological outcomes of EUS-FNA or surgery, complemented by follow-up data. Diagnostic efficacy and complication rates of EUS-FNA were analyzed.Results:A total of 64 patients were included in this study,with 54 ultimately diagnosed with malignant lesions and 10 with benign lesions. Malignant lesions were diagnosed by EUS-FNA in 50 cases, suspected malignant lesions in 3 cases, and no clear basis for malignancy was observed in 11 cases. The diagnostic accuracy of EUS-FNA was 98.4% (63/64), with the malignant tumor detection rate of 98.1% (53/54). No post-procedure complications such as bleeding, perforation, or infection were observed in any patient.Conclusion:EUS-FNA is safe and effective for the diagnosis of biopsy-negative suspected malignant esophageal stricture with a high malignant lesion detection rate.
3.Risk factors of preeclampsia complicated with renal impairment and construction of prediction model
Journal of Clinical Medicine in Practice 2025;29(6):99-105
Objective To analyze the influencing factors of preeclampsia(PE)complicated with renal impairment and construct a prediction model.Methods The clinical materials of 300 PE patients with antenatal examination in the hospital from January 2020 to January 2023 were retrospec-tively collected and divided into modeling set of 200 cases and validation set of 100 cases by a random number table in a ratio of 2 to 1.All the patients were followed up for 3 months after delivery.Pa-tients in the modeling set with renal impairment were included in occurrence group,and the rest were included in non-occurrence group.Clinical materials between the modeling set and the validation set as well as between the occurrence group and the non-occurrence group within the modeling set were compared.Logistic regression analysis was conducted to identify the influencing factors of renal im-pairment in PE and construct a prediction model.The model performance was evaluated by the receiv-er operating characteristic(ROC)curve,calibration curve,and decision curve analysis(DCA).Results There was no significant difference in clinical data between the modeling set and validation set(P>0.05).After completion of follow-up for 300 PE patients,renal impairment occurred in 75 cases(25.00%),including 24 cases(24.00%)in the validation set and 51 cases(25.50%)in the modeling set.A total of 51 patients with renal impairment in the modeling set were included in the occurrence group,and the remaining 149 patients were included in the non-occurrence group.Com-pared with the non-occurrence group,the occurrence group had significant older age,higher propor-tions of HELLP syndrome,early-onset PE and severe manifestations of PE,increased systolic blood pressure,diastolic blood pressure,resistance index(RI)and pulsatility index(PI)of renal interlo-bar artery as well as decreased peak systolic velocity(PSV)and end-diastolic velocity(EDV)of re-nal interlobar artery and platelet(PLT)(P<0.05).Logistic regression analysis showed that age,HELLP syndrome,early-onset of PE,severe manifestations of PE,and RI of renal interlobar artery were influencing factors of renal impairment in PE(P<0.05).A prediction model for renal impair-ment in PE was established based on the results of Logistic regression analysis in the modeling set.The area under the curve(AUC)of this model for predicting renal impairment was 0.949(95%CI,0.917 to 0.971)in the modeling set and 0.944(95%CI,0.900 to 0.972)in the validation set.Calibration curves for the modeling set and validation set were plotted,and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed no significant differences(P>0.05).Internal validation by the Bootstrap method showed consistency index was 0.913(95%CI,0.828 to 0.998)for the modeling set and 0.907(95%CI,0.840 to 0.974)for the validation set.According to DCA,the clinical net benefit of the prediction model was obtained at risk thresholds of 0.13 to 0.92 for the modeling set and 0.18 to 0.87 for the validation set.Conclusion The influencing factors of renal impairment in PE include age,HELLP syndrome,early-onset of PE,severe manifestations of PE,and RI of renal interlobar artery.The prediction model established based on these factors demonstrates good performance in predicting renal impairment in PE,providing evidences for clinical assessment of renal impairment risk in PE.
4.GLP-1RAs attenuated obesity and reversed leptin resistance partly via activating the microbiome-derived inosine/A2A pathway.
Chunyan DONG ; Bailing ZHOU ; Binyan ZHAO ; Ke LIN ; Yaomei TIAN ; Rui ZHANG ; Daoyuan XIE ; Siwen WU ; Li YANG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(2):1023-1038
Extensive evidence has demonstrated that glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) can ameliorate obesity. Our previous studies revealed that (Ex-4)2-Fc, a long-acting GLP-1RA we developed, depends on the leptin pathway to treat obesity. However, the mechanisms linking (Ex-4)2-Fc and leptin resistance remain largely unclear. To address this question, we explored the mechanism of GLP-1RAs from the perspective of the gut microbiota, as increasing evidence indicates an important link between the gut microbiota and obesity. This study aimed to explore the potential role of the gut microbiota in the treatment of GLP-1RAs. We found that (Ex-4)2-Fc treatment reshaped obesity-induced gut microbiota disturbances and substantially increased the abundance of Akkermansia muciniphila (Am). In addition, (Ex-4)2-Fc did not respond well in antibiotic-treated (ATB) Obese mice. Subsequent studies have shown that this defect can be overcome by gavage with Am. In addition, we found that Am enhanced (Ex-4)2-Fc therapy by producing the metabolite inosine. Inosine regulates the macrophage adenosine A2A receptor (A2A) pathway to indirectly reduce leptin levels in adipocytes Thus, elucidating the role of metabolites in regulating the leptin pathway will provide new insights into GLP-1RAs therapy and may lead to more effective strategies for guiding the clinical use of antidiabetic agents.
5.Relationship between drug literacy and quality of life in patients with multiple chronic diseases
Xiaojing ZHANG ; Lin ZENG ; Yue TIAN ; Cuiqing MIAO ; Chunyan FENG ; Yufen PIAO
Chinese Journal of Health Management 2025;19(1):14-19
Objective:To explore the relationship between drug literacy and quality of life in patients with multiple chronic diseases.Methods:It was a cross-sectional study. Between March and October 2023, 260 patients with multiple chronic diseases from the General Medicine Department of Peking University Third Hospital were selected using a convenience sampling method. A medication literacy scale, a medication adherence scale, and a health survey scale (SF-36 scale) were used to conduct a questionnaire survey in the patients. The SF-36 scale reflected the quality of life of the patients (including physical health and mental health). A total of 260 questionnaires were distributed, 260 questionnaires were returned, and 240 were effective (92.3%). Single-factor analysis of medication literacy in those patients was conducted using F-test and t-test. The correlation between medication literacy and medication adherence, as well as between medication literacy and quality of life, was analyzed using Pearson′s test. The correlation between different factors and medication adherence, as well as quality of life, in those patients was analyzed using multiple linear regression. Results:Among the 240 patients with multiple chronic diseases, 134 were male and 106 were female, aged (65.84±11.56) years. The drug literacy scale score was (8.36±3.57) points, the SF-36 physical health score was (242.00±87.85) points, mental health score was (275.67±80.29) points, medication compliance scale score was (6.22±1.93) points. The drug literacy was positively correlated with medication compliance ( r=0.157) and mental health ( r=0.165) in patients with multiple chronic diseases (all P<0.05). The score of drug literacy ( SE=2.440), mental health score ( SE=2.523), perceptual impairment ( SE=2.046) and duration of disease ( SE=2.459) were positively correlated with the medication compliance of the patients, while the number of chronic diseases ( SE=-2.818) was negatively correlated with the medication compliance of the patients (all P<0.05). The score of drug literacy ( SE=0.121) and insensible perception disorder ( SE=0.399) were positively correlated with the quality of life of the patients, and the number of chronic diseases ( SE=-0.171) was negatively correlated with the quality of life of the patients (all P<0.05). Conclusion:The drug literacy of patients with multiple chronic diseases is at the medium level, and the drug literacy is positively correlated with medication compliance and quality of life.
6.Analysis of arsenic level in the internal and external environment of drinking-water-borne endemic arsenic poisoning areas and the disease monitoring results in Shaanxi Province in 2023
Qiongjie DING ; Xiaoqian LI ; Rong ZHOU ; Zhongxue FAN ; Min YANG ; Panhong ZHANG ; Chunyan TIAN ; Meixuan LU ; Binbin CHEN
Chinese Journal of Endemiology 2025;44(2):119-123
Objective:To investigate the operation of water improvement projects in villages affected by drinking-water-borne endemic arsenic poisoning in Shaanxi Province, the arsenic level in both internal and external environments, the trend of disease development and patient management, and evaluate the effectiveness of prevention and control measures.Methods:From March to December 2023, in accordance with the requirements of the "Notice of the Office of Shaanxi Provincial Health Commission on Issuing the Monitoring Plan for Key Endemic Diseases such as Kashin-Beck Disease" and the "Monitoring Plan for Endemic Fluorosis and Arsenism in Shaanxi Province", all villages affected by drinking-water-borne arsenic disease were monitored. Water arsenic testing was carried out in accordance with the "Standard Test Methods for Drinking Water Inorganic Nonmetallic Indicators" (GB/T 5750.5-2006), and the evaluation of whether water arsenic exceeded the standard was conducted based on the "Sanitary Standards for Drinking Water" (GB 5749-2022). According to the "Diagnosis of Endemic Arsenism" (WS/T 211-2015), the arsenic poisoning status of all population in the disease affected areas was investigated. In 5 villages of 3 monitoring counties, 358 people were randomly selected to determine the urinary arsenic level, and the determination was made according to the "Safety Guideline Value of Urinary Arsenic for Human Population" (WS/T 665-2019). According to the "Notice of the National Health Commission on Issuing the Evaluation Measures for Control and Elimination of Key Endemic Diseases (2019 Edition)", elimination evaluation was conducted.Results:A total of 2 cities, 3 counties, 9 towns, and 13 endemic villages were monitored, with a water improvement rate of 100% (13/13), and all were operating normally. The arsenic level in residents' drinking water was < 0.01 mg/L. A total of 12 688 people were examined, and 338 cases of arsenic poisoning were detected, all of whom were historical cases. There were no new cases of arsenic poisoning or skin cancer patients. The geometric mean of urinary arsenic was 0.026 0 mg/L, which was lower than the safety guideline value of 0.032 mg/L for urinary arsenic in the population. All 338 existing arsenic poisoning patients had received family doctor contract services and implemented follow-up management. The drinking-water-borne endemic arsenic poisoning areas counties in Shaanxi Province have reached the elimination standard.Conclusions:The water improvement project in drinking-water-borne endemic arsenic poisoning areas in Shaanxi Province is operating normally. The arsenic content in both the internal and external environments of the population meets the standard. The condition is stable and no new cases have been detected. Follow up management has been implemented for all current cases. All affected counties have reached the elimination standard.
7.The prognostic value of triglyceride-glucose index in non-diabetic subjects with acute coronary syndrome who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention
Weidong MA ; Tian ZHOU ; Tuo HAN ; Jing ZHOU ; Nenghan ZHANG ; Jing HUI ; Yan ZHANG ; Chunyan ZHANG
Journal of Xi'an Jiaotong University(Medical Sciences) 2025;46(1):132-137
Objective To investigate the prognostic value of triglyceride-glucose index(TyG index)in non-diabetic patients with acute coronary syndrome(ACS)who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention(PCI).Methods A total of 529 non-diabetic ACS patients who had successfully underwent PCI in our hospital from January 2019 to December 2020 were selected.According to the median TyG index(8.98),the patients were divided into low TyG index group(TyG<8.98)and high TyG index group(TyG≥8.98).All the patients were followed up for major adverse cardiovascular events(MACE).Results Overall,55(10.4%)endpoint events were documented during a 24-month follow-up.Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that the cumulative incidence of MACE was significantly higher in patients in the high TyG group than in the low TyG group(Log Rank P=0.001).Multivariate Cox analysis showed that after adjusting other confounding factors,TyG index was an independent predictor of MACE(HR=3.50,95%CI:1.44-8.53,P<0.01).The risk of MACE in the high TyG group was 1.12-fold increased compared with the low TyG group(95%CI:1.19-3.79,P=0.011).The subgroup analysis results were generally consistent.Conclusion TyG index is an independent predictor of MACE in non-diabetic ACS patients who underwent PCI.
8.Drug resistance in 38 cases of carbapenem-resistant Serratia marcescens infection in a grade Ⅲ level A general hospital in Shanghai
Yuan LI ; Liang TIAN ; Chunyan LI ; Yun LIU ; Wei JI
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(6):484-489
ObjectiveTo understand the infection characteristics and drug resistance of carbapenem-resistant Serratia marcescens (CRSM) in a general hospital in Shanghai, and to provide a theoretical basis for clinical anti-infective treatment and prevention of drug-resistant bacteria. MethodsClinical data on cases with CRSM infections detected in clinical specimens at a gradeⅢ level A general hospital in Shanghai from June 2022 to June 2024 were retrospectively collected, and their clinical distributions, factors of hospital-acquired infections, prognosis, and drug-resistant situation were analyzed simultaneously. ResultsA total of 38 cases with CRSM were detected from June 2022 to June 2024, and the number of CRSM strains accounted for 25.00% (38/152) of the number of SM strains. The 38 CRSM infection samples were all derived from sputum. CRSM were distributed in 9 clinical departments, and the top 3 departments having the highest percentages of CRSM among SM strains, were intensive care unit (ICU) (78.79%, 26/33), gastrointestinal surgery department (57.14%, 4/7), and thyroid hernia surgery department (50.00%, 1/2). Among the 38 patients with CRSM infections, 8 cases were identified as hospital-acquired infection, resulting in a hospital-acquired infection rate of 21.05. The mortality rate of the 38 cases of CRSM infected patients within 30 days after detection of CRSM was 23.68% (9/38). The results of multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score
9.Distribution and drug resistance of carbapenem-resistant gram-negative bacilli isolated from environment of ICU
Chunyan LI ; Jing ZHANG ; Liang TIAN ; Yilun ZHOU ; Bin WANG ; Mei FENG ; Yuan LI ; Shan WANG ; Wei JI
Chinese Journal of Nosocomiology 2025;35(17):2675-2680
OBJECTIVE To explore the isolation rates,drug resistance and molecular epidemiological characteristics of carbapenem-resistant gram-negative bacilli(CRGNB)isolated from intensive care units(ICU)of a tertiary hos-pital so as to provide bases for prevention and control of the nosocomial infections caused by CRGNB.METHODS The environmental surfaces that were high frequently contacted by the patients with CRGNB infections[carbapen-em-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae(CRKP),carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii(CRAB),carbap-enem-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa(CRPA)]and their hands were randomly sampled from the ICU of a ter-tiary three-A hospital from Apr.2024 to Aug.2024.Multilocus sequence typing(MLST)and detection of drug re-sistance genes were performed by means of complete genome sequencing technique and bioinformatics,and the ho-mology between the CRGNB strains isolated from the patients and the strains isolated from their surrounding was observed.RESULTS Totally 30(7.85%)strains of CRGNB were isolated,23(6.02%)of which were CRKP,7(1.83%)were CRAB,and no strain of CRPA was detected.The molecular subtyping showed that ST 11(93.33%)was dominant among the CRKP strains,and ST2(69.23%)was dominant among the CRAB strains.The phylogenetic analysis indicated that there were clonal transmission tendencies of CRKP-ST11 and CRAB-ST2.The analysis of drug resistance genes showed that the CRAB strains mainly carried ant(3")-lla(100%),blaOXA-23(92.31%)and amvA(92.31%);blaOXA-23 and blaOXA-66 were the major carbapenems resistance genes;the CRKP strains mainly carried the drug resistance genes emrDh,rmtB1,fosA and kdeA(all were 96.67%),followed by the carbapenems resistance gene blaKPC-2(90.00%).CONCLUSIONS ST11 is the predomi-nant molecular subtype for CRGNB among the CRKP strains isolated from the ICU,anf ST2 predominant among the CRAB strains;the carrying rates of drug resistance genes are high.There is risk of clonal transmission.It is necessary to strengthen the monitoring and take comprehensive infection control measures so as to reduce the incidence of nosocomial infections.
10.Diagnosis of Low-Iodine Contrast CT Pulmonary Angiography Combined with Iodine Maps in Acute Pulmonary Embolism
Xiaotong LIU ; Chunyan TIAN ; Jing WANG ; Xiaomao XU ; Tao GU
Chinese Journal of Medical Imaging 2025;33(5):525-530
Purpose To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of low-iodine contrast subtraction CT pulmonary angiography(CTPA)combined with iodine maps for acute pulmonary embolism(APE),with a focus on detecting subsegmental emboli.Materials and Methods A retrospective analysis included 48 patients with suspected APE who underwent both pulmonary ventilation/perfusion SPECT/CT and low-iodine subtraction CTPA within one week in Beijing Hospital from September 1,2021 to September 1,2024.Using SPECT/CT as the reference standard,the diagnostic performance of subtraction CTPA with iodine maps was assessed.A retrospective review was performed to identify potential causes of false-positive and false-negative results.Results Subtraction CTPA with iodine maps demonstrated high diagnostic accuracy at the segmental and subsegmental pulmonary artery levels,with a sensitivity of 0.917 and specificity of 0.991.At the segmental level,the detection rate was 100%,while at the subsegmental level,it was 66.7%.The method showed consistently high diagnostic performance(83.3%-100%)across different clinical risk stratifications of APE.Retrospective review identified explicable causes for 85.7%(6/7)of false-positive and 33.3%(2/6)of false-negative cases.Conclusion Low-iodine subtraction CTPA combined with iodine maps exhibits robust diagnostic efficacy for APE.Accurate recognition of characteristic perfusion defects on iodine maps may further enhance diagnostic precision.

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