1.The relationship between CT lung volume parameters and pulmonary function grade in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis and its prediction of acute exacerbation
Yafeng LIU ; Chunliang YAN ; Shaofei LI ; Xiyan REN ; Huijuan ZHANG ; Chunting TAN
Journal of Practical Radiology 2025;41(7):1215-1219
Objective To investigate the relationship between CT lung volume parameters(CT-LVP)and pulmonary function grade in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis(IPF)and its prediction of acute exacerbation.Methods A total of 204 patients with IPF were selected and divided into mild group(67 cases),moderate group(72 cases)and severe group(65 cases)according to the semi-quantitative scoring method of high-resolution computed tomography(HRCT).The correlation between CT-LVP and pul-monary function parameters(PFP)were analyzed.The predictive value of CT-LVP for acute exacerbation in severe IPF was ana-lyzed.Results The whole lung volume(WLV),normal lung volume(NLV)and normal lung volume percentage(NLV%)in severe group were lower than those in mild and moderate groups,whereas interstitial lung disease volume(ILDV)and interstitial lung disease volume percentage(ILDV%)were higher than those in mild and moderate groups,with statistical significance(P<0.05).WLV,NLV,ILDV,NLV%,ILDV%showed strong correlations with forced expiratory volume in 1 second percentage(FEV1%),forced expiratory volume in 1 second to forced vital capacity ratio(FEV1/FVC),diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide percent-age(DLCO%),and residual volume to total lung capacity ratio(RV/TLC).Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis showed that the combination of WLV,NLV,ILDV,NLV%and ILDV%had higher accuracy in predicting acute exacerbation,area under the curve(AUC)>0.75(P<0.05).Conclusion CT-LVP is closely related to PFP,and the accuracy of CT-LVP combination in predicting acute exacerbation is high,which provides a theoretical basis for preventing acute exacerbation of IPF.
2.Study on the association between heatwaves and fall-related mortality risk in seven provinces of China
Zhiying JIANG ; Ruilin MENG ; Ruoyi ZHANG ; Xuelong GU ; Jianxiong HU ; Min YU ; Yang CHEN ; Chunliang ZHOU ; Biao HUANG ; Ziyi LIANG ; Sujuan CHEN ; Jianhao LI ; Guanhao HE ; Tao LIU ; Hua GUO ; Wenjun MA
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(4):566-572
Objective:To evaluate the association between heatwaves and fall-related mortality.Methods:A total of 61 421 fall-related mortality from 2013 to 2022 in 7 provinces of China were included in a time-stratified case-crossover design, with daily meteorological data derived from the fifth generation European Reanalysis dataset produced by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. Conditional logistic regression chimeric distributed lag nonlinear model was used to analyze the association between heatwaves and fall-related mortality and stratified analysis was conducted according to gender and age.Results:Heatwaves were associated with an increased risk of fall-related morality. The risk of fall-related mortality during heatwaves was higher than during non-heatwave periods ( OR=1.11, 95% CI: 1.05-1.18). The attributable fraction of fall-related motality due to heatwaves was 10.25% (95% CI: 4.49%-15.36%). For each 1 ℃ increase above the heatwave threshold, the risk of fall-related mortality increased by 34% ( OR=1.34, 95% CI: 1.02-1.76). The effect of heatwave duration on fall-related mortality was not statistically significant. Stratified analyses indicated that women experienced a higher risk of fall-related mortality during heatwaves ( OR=1.13, 95% CI: 1.04-1.22) compared to man ( OR=1.10, 95% CI: 1.04-1.17). Conclusions:Heatwave increases the risk of fall-related mortality, and the intensity of heatwaves modify this risk. Women are vulnerable populations.
3.Study on the association between heatwaves and road traffic injury mortality in five provinces of China
Siwen YU ; Min YU ; Aga ZHENG ; Chunliang ZHOU ; Ruilin MENG ; Biao HUANG ; Yize XIAO ; Wei WU ; Guanhao HE ; Jianxiong HU ; Wenjun MA ; Tao LIU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(4):573-580
Objective:To evaluate the impact of short-term exposure to daytime heatwaves, nighttime heatwaves, and compound heatwaves on the risk of road traffic mortality and calculate the attributable mortality burden.Methods:This study collected road traffic mortality data from the Disease Surveillance System in Guangdong, Hunan, Zhejiang, Yunnan, and Jilin Provinces from 2013 to 2018. A time-stratified case-crossover design was used in this study, with the death date for each case serving as the case day. Control days were selected from the same year, month, and day of the week as the case day. A conditional logistic regression model was employed to estimate the cumulative associations of short-term exposure to daytime heatwaves, nighttime heatwaves, and compound heatwaves on the risk of road traffic mortality (lag 0-1 day) and to calculate the attributable fractions (AF).Results:Compared to non-heatwave days, the excess risk ( ER) of road traffic mortality on daytime heatwave days, nighttime heatwave days, and compound heatwave days was 5.3% (95% CI: 0.5%-10.2%), 4.9% (95% CI: 0.5%-9.4%) and 7.5% (95% CI: 2.3%- 12.9%), with corresponding AF of 5.0% (95% CI: 0.5%-9.3%), 4.7% (95% CI: 0.5%-8.6%), and 6.9% (95% CI: 2.3%-11.4%), respectively. Stratified analysis showed that the risk of traffic mortalities caused by daytime heatwaves was higher in females ( ER=15.7%, 95% CI: 5.8%-26.5%) than in males ( ER=1.8%, 95% CI: -3.6%-7.4%). Elderly individuals over 64 years old ( ER=10.9%, 95% CI: 0.3%- 22.6%) had a higher risk of road traffic mortalities from compound heatwaves than those under 45 years old ( ER=2.6%, 95% CI: -5.4%-11.2%). The risk of road traffic injury mortality from motor vehicle accidents caused by compound heatwaves ( ER=16.6%, 95% CI:2.4%-32.7%) was higher than that from non-motor vehicle accidents ( ER=5.7%, 95% CI:0.1%-11.5%). Conclusions:Short-term exposure to daytime heatwaves, nighttime heatwaves, and compound heatwaves was associated with an increased risk of road traffic mortality, with the strongest association observed for compound heatwaves. The mortality burden attributable to compound heatwaves was higher than that for daytime and nighttime heatwaves. Heatwaves were more significantly associated with road traffic mortality risk among females, elderly individuals over 64 years old, and motor vehicle accidents.
4.Comparative analysis of the efficacy of dienogest and LNG-IUS in the treatment of intrinsic and extrinsic subtypes of adenomyosis
Lu LIU ; Jing WANG ; Xinran GAO ; Molin WANG ; Meng LI ; Chunliang SHANG ; Hongyan GUO
Chinese Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology 2025;60(4):281-288
Objective:To compare the efficacy of dienogest (DNG) and levonorgestrel-releasing intrauterine system (LNG-IUS) in the treatment of intrinsic and extrinsic subtypes of adenomyosis.Methods:Totally 232 patients were enrolled in the study who were diagnosed as adenomyosis by ultrasound or pelvic magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and were classified into intrinsic and extrinsic subtypes according to different locations of lesions in MRI, treated with DNG (DNG group) or LNG-IUS (LNG-IUS group) in Peking University Third Hospital from July 2019 to December 2023. Clinical data of patients were retrospectively collected to analyze the clinical and imaging characteristics of different MRI subtypes of adenomyosis and whether there were differences in the therapeutic effects of DNG and LNG-IUS.Results:(1) Among the 232 patients enrolled, 129 were intrinsic subtype and 103 were extrinsic subtype. Among the 129 patients treated with DNG, the numbers of intrinsic and extrinsic subtype were 69 and 60, respectively. And among the 103 patients treated with LNG-IUS, the numbers of intrinsic and extrinsic subtype were 60 and 43, respectively. The mean age in DNG group [(37.5±5.6) years] was lower than that in LNG-IUS group [(40.3±4.3) years, P<0.001]. There were no significant differences in other clinical features (all P>0.05). (2) The visual analog scale (VAS) scores of dysmenorrhea and cancer antigen 125 (CA 125) levels in DNG group and LNG-IUS group were significantly decreased after treatment (all P<0.001), and hemoglobin levels were increased (both P<0.01). Compared between the two groups, the VAS score after treatment was lower in DNG group ( P<0.001), and the hemoglobin level was increased more significantly in DNG group ( P=0.016). The complete remission rates of dysmenorrhea in DNG group and LNG-IUS group were 73.0% (89/122) and 29.5% (28/95), respectively ( P=0.039). The incidence of irregular bleeding in DNG group was higher than LNG-IUS group, but there was no statistical significance [62.8% (81/129) vs 52.4% (54/103), P=0.112]. (3) Among patients with intrinsic adenomyosis, the incidence of menorrhagia was significantly higher than in those with extrinsic adenomyosis ( P<0.001), while the incidence and severity of dysmenorrhea were lower compared to extrinsic adenomyosis ( P=0.004, P=0.007, respectively). After treatment with DNG and LNG-IUS, there were no statistically significant differences in VAS scores between patients with intrinsic and extrinsic adenomyosis (all P>0.05). The incidence of irregular bleeding after DNG treatment was 78.3% (54/69) in intrinsic adenomyosis, which was higher than the 45.0% (27/60) observed in extrinsic adenomyosis ( P<0.01). Similarly, the incidence of irregular bleeding after LNG-IUS treatment was 63.3% (38/60) in intrinsic adenomyosis, higher than the 37.2% (16/43) in extrinsic adenomyosis ( P=0.009). (4) DNG treatment ( OR=19.163, 95% CI: 7.564-48.544; P<0.01) and duration of treatment ( OR=1.043, 95% CI: 1.012-1.075; P=0.007) were independent positive factors for complete remission of dysmenorrhea, while VAS score before treatment ( OR=0.654, 95% CI: 0.454-0.942; P=0.023) was negative factor. Intrinsic subtype was an independent risk factor for irregular bleeding ( OR=0.436, 95% CI: 0.235-0.811; P=0.009). Conclusions:DNG demonstrates greater advantages over LNG-IUS in terms of complete relief of dysmenorrhea and the degree of symptom alleviation. The incidence of irregular vaginal bleeding in patients with intrinsic adenomyosis is higher than in those with extrinsic adenomyosis. For patients with extrinsic adenomyosis, particularly those with prominent dysmenorrhea symptoms, DNG treatment offers greater benefits. However, for patients with intrinsic adenomyosis and those with significant menstrual disorders, a more cautious approach is required when selecting progestin therapy, along with enhanced monitoring and management.
5.Study on the association between heatwaves and fall-related mortality risk in seven provinces of China
Zhiying JIANG ; Ruilin MENG ; Ruoyi ZHANG ; Xuelong GU ; Jianxiong HU ; Min YU ; Yang CHEN ; Chunliang ZHOU ; Biao HUANG ; Ziyi LIANG ; Sujuan CHEN ; Jianhao LI ; Guanhao HE ; Tao LIU ; Hua GUO ; Wenjun MA
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(4):566-572
Objective:To evaluate the association between heatwaves and fall-related mortality.Methods:A total of 61 421 fall-related mortality from 2013 to 2022 in 7 provinces of China were included in a time-stratified case-crossover design, with daily meteorological data derived from the fifth generation European Reanalysis dataset produced by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. Conditional logistic regression chimeric distributed lag nonlinear model was used to analyze the association between heatwaves and fall-related mortality and stratified analysis was conducted according to gender and age.Results:Heatwaves were associated with an increased risk of fall-related morality. The risk of fall-related mortality during heatwaves was higher than during non-heatwave periods ( OR=1.11, 95% CI: 1.05-1.18). The attributable fraction of fall-related motality due to heatwaves was 10.25% (95% CI: 4.49%-15.36%). For each 1 ℃ increase above the heatwave threshold, the risk of fall-related mortality increased by 34% ( OR=1.34, 95% CI: 1.02-1.76). The effect of heatwave duration on fall-related mortality was not statistically significant. Stratified analyses indicated that women experienced a higher risk of fall-related mortality during heatwaves ( OR=1.13, 95% CI: 1.04-1.22) compared to man ( OR=1.10, 95% CI: 1.04-1.17). Conclusions:Heatwave increases the risk of fall-related mortality, and the intensity of heatwaves modify this risk. Women are vulnerable populations.
6.Study on the association between heatwaves and road traffic injury mortality in five provinces of China
Siwen YU ; Min YU ; Aga ZHENG ; Chunliang ZHOU ; Ruilin MENG ; Biao HUANG ; Yize XIAO ; Wei WU ; Guanhao HE ; Jianxiong HU ; Wenjun MA ; Tao LIU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(4):573-580
Objective:To evaluate the impact of short-term exposure to daytime heatwaves, nighttime heatwaves, and compound heatwaves on the risk of road traffic mortality and calculate the attributable mortality burden.Methods:This study collected road traffic mortality data from the Disease Surveillance System in Guangdong, Hunan, Zhejiang, Yunnan, and Jilin Provinces from 2013 to 2018. A time-stratified case-crossover design was used in this study, with the death date for each case serving as the case day. Control days were selected from the same year, month, and day of the week as the case day. A conditional logistic regression model was employed to estimate the cumulative associations of short-term exposure to daytime heatwaves, nighttime heatwaves, and compound heatwaves on the risk of road traffic mortality (lag 0-1 day) and to calculate the attributable fractions (AF).Results:Compared to non-heatwave days, the excess risk ( ER) of road traffic mortality on daytime heatwave days, nighttime heatwave days, and compound heatwave days was 5.3% (95% CI: 0.5%-10.2%), 4.9% (95% CI: 0.5%-9.4%) and 7.5% (95% CI: 2.3%- 12.9%), with corresponding AF of 5.0% (95% CI: 0.5%-9.3%), 4.7% (95% CI: 0.5%-8.6%), and 6.9% (95% CI: 2.3%-11.4%), respectively. Stratified analysis showed that the risk of traffic mortalities caused by daytime heatwaves was higher in females ( ER=15.7%, 95% CI: 5.8%-26.5%) than in males ( ER=1.8%, 95% CI: -3.6%-7.4%). Elderly individuals over 64 years old ( ER=10.9%, 95% CI: 0.3%- 22.6%) had a higher risk of road traffic mortalities from compound heatwaves than those under 45 years old ( ER=2.6%, 95% CI: -5.4%-11.2%). The risk of road traffic injury mortality from motor vehicle accidents caused by compound heatwaves ( ER=16.6%, 95% CI:2.4%-32.7%) was higher than that from non-motor vehicle accidents ( ER=5.7%, 95% CI:0.1%-11.5%). Conclusions:Short-term exposure to daytime heatwaves, nighttime heatwaves, and compound heatwaves was associated with an increased risk of road traffic mortality, with the strongest association observed for compound heatwaves. The mortality burden attributable to compound heatwaves was higher than that for daytime and nighttime heatwaves. Heatwaves were more significantly associated with road traffic mortality risk among females, elderly individuals over 64 years old, and motor vehicle accidents.
7.The relationship between CT lung volume parameters and pulmonary function grade in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis and its prediction of acute exacerbation
Yafeng LIU ; Chunliang YAN ; Shaofei LI ; Xiyan REN ; Huijuan ZHANG ; Chunting TAN
Journal of Practical Radiology 2025;41(7):1215-1219
Objective To investigate the relationship between CT lung volume parameters(CT-LVP)and pulmonary function grade in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis(IPF)and its prediction of acute exacerbation.Methods A total of 204 patients with IPF were selected and divided into mild group(67 cases),moderate group(72 cases)and severe group(65 cases)according to the semi-quantitative scoring method of high-resolution computed tomography(HRCT).The correlation between CT-LVP and pul-monary function parameters(PFP)were analyzed.The predictive value of CT-LVP for acute exacerbation in severe IPF was ana-lyzed.Results The whole lung volume(WLV),normal lung volume(NLV)and normal lung volume percentage(NLV%)in severe group were lower than those in mild and moderate groups,whereas interstitial lung disease volume(ILDV)and interstitial lung disease volume percentage(ILDV%)were higher than those in mild and moderate groups,with statistical significance(P<0.05).WLV,NLV,ILDV,NLV%,ILDV%showed strong correlations with forced expiratory volume in 1 second percentage(FEV1%),forced expiratory volume in 1 second to forced vital capacity ratio(FEV1/FVC),diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide percent-age(DLCO%),and residual volume to total lung capacity ratio(RV/TLC).Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis showed that the combination of WLV,NLV,ILDV,NLV%and ILDV%had higher accuracy in predicting acute exacerbation,area under the curve(AUC)>0.75(P<0.05).Conclusion CT-LVP is closely related to PFP,and the accuracy of CT-LVP combination in predicting acute exacerbation is high,which provides a theoretical basis for preventing acute exacerbation of IPF.
8.Comparative analysis of the efficacy of dienogest and LNG-IUS in the treatment of intrinsic and extrinsic subtypes of adenomyosis
Lu LIU ; Jing WANG ; Xinran GAO ; Molin WANG ; Meng LI ; Chunliang SHANG ; Hongyan GUO
Chinese Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology 2025;60(4):281-288
Objective:To compare the efficacy of dienogest (DNG) and levonorgestrel-releasing intrauterine system (LNG-IUS) in the treatment of intrinsic and extrinsic subtypes of adenomyosis.Methods:Totally 232 patients were enrolled in the study who were diagnosed as adenomyosis by ultrasound or pelvic magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and were classified into intrinsic and extrinsic subtypes according to different locations of lesions in MRI, treated with DNG (DNG group) or LNG-IUS (LNG-IUS group) in Peking University Third Hospital from July 2019 to December 2023. Clinical data of patients were retrospectively collected to analyze the clinical and imaging characteristics of different MRI subtypes of adenomyosis and whether there were differences in the therapeutic effects of DNG and LNG-IUS.Results:(1) Among the 232 patients enrolled, 129 were intrinsic subtype and 103 were extrinsic subtype. Among the 129 patients treated with DNG, the numbers of intrinsic and extrinsic subtype were 69 and 60, respectively. And among the 103 patients treated with LNG-IUS, the numbers of intrinsic and extrinsic subtype were 60 and 43, respectively. The mean age in DNG group [(37.5±5.6) years] was lower than that in LNG-IUS group [(40.3±4.3) years, P<0.001]. There were no significant differences in other clinical features (all P>0.05). (2) The visual analog scale (VAS) scores of dysmenorrhea and cancer antigen 125 (CA 125) levels in DNG group and LNG-IUS group were significantly decreased after treatment (all P<0.001), and hemoglobin levels were increased (both P<0.01). Compared between the two groups, the VAS score after treatment was lower in DNG group ( P<0.001), and the hemoglobin level was increased more significantly in DNG group ( P=0.016). The complete remission rates of dysmenorrhea in DNG group and LNG-IUS group were 73.0% (89/122) and 29.5% (28/95), respectively ( P=0.039). The incidence of irregular bleeding in DNG group was higher than LNG-IUS group, but there was no statistical significance [62.8% (81/129) vs 52.4% (54/103), P=0.112]. (3) Among patients with intrinsic adenomyosis, the incidence of menorrhagia was significantly higher than in those with extrinsic adenomyosis ( P<0.001), while the incidence and severity of dysmenorrhea were lower compared to extrinsic adenomyosis ( P=0.004, P=0.007, respectively). After treatment with DNG and LNG-IUS, there were no statistically significant differences in VAS scores between patients with intrinsic and extrinsic adenomyosis (all P>0.05). The incidence of irregular bleeding after DNG treatment was 78.3% (54/69) in intrinsic adenomyosis, which was higher than the 45.0% (27/60) observed in extrinsic adenomyosis ( P<0.01). Similarly, the incidence of irregular bleeding after LNG-IUS treatment was 63.3% (38/60) in intrinsic adenomyosis, higher than the 37.2% (16/43) in extrinsic adenomyosis ( P=0.009). (4) DNG treatment ( OR=19.163, 95% CI: 7.564-48.544; P<0.01) and duration of treatment ( OR=1.043, 95% CI: 1.012-1.075; P=0.007) were independent positive factors for complete remission of dysmenorrhea, while VAS score before treatment ( OR=0.654, 95% CI: 0.454-0.942; P=0.023) was negative factor. Intrinsic subtype was an independent risk factor for irregular bleeding ( OR=0.436, 95% CI: 0.235-0.811; P=0.009). Conclusions:DNG demonstrates greater advantages over LNG-IUS in terms of complete relief of dysmenorrhea and the degree of symptom alleviation. The incidence of irregular vaginal bleeding in patients with intrinsic adenomyosis is higher than in those with extrinsic adenomyosis. For patients with extrinsic adenomyosis, particularly those with prominent dysmenorrhea symptoms, DNG treatment offers greater benefits. However, for patients with intrinsic adenomyosis and those with significant menstrual disorders, a more cautious approach is required when selecting progestin therapy, along with enhanced monitoring and management.
9.Predictive value of inflammatory cells and clinical features in prognosis for non-small cell lung cancer immunotherapy
Qingyue ZHENG ; Chunliang YAN ; Qishan XUE ; Yafeng LIU ; Liyun MA ; Xiyan REN
Chongqing Medicine 2024;53(16):2496-2502
Objective To investigate the predictive value of inflammatory cells and clinical features in the prognosis of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) treating non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).Methods The data of 163 cases of stage Ⅲ and Ⅳ NSCLC patients treated with the ICIs in this hospital from January 1,2017 to December 31,2022 were collected.The CT examination was conducted after 6-8 weeks treatment.The pa-tients were divided into the objective remission group[complete remission (CR)+partial remission (PR)]and non-objective remission group[stable disease (SD)+progressed disease (PD)],disease control group (CR+PR+SD) and non-disease control group (PD),persistent clinical benefit group (DCB) and non-DCB group.The differences in clinical features and inflammatory cells indicators were compared among the differ-ent groups.The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was adopted to evaluate the predictive efficiency of the inflammatory cells indicators for DCB.The influencing factors analysis of progression free survival (PFS) time and overall survival (OS) time adopted the Cox regression analysis.Results The lymphocyte count (ALC) in the disease control group was higher than that in the non-disease control group.The neutro-phil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR),platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and mononuclear lymphocyte ratio (MLR) were lower than those in the non-disease control group.The proportions of squamous cell carcinoma,stage Ⅲ,ECOG score 0-1 point,adverse reactions in the DCB group were higher than those in the non-DCB group (P<0.05),the PLT count,NLR,PLR and MLR were lower than those in the non-DCB group (P<0.05). The ROC curve analysis results showed that PLT,NLR,PLR and MLR could serve as the indicators for pre-dicting DCB,the area under of ROC curve (AUC) was 0.633,0.602,0.635 and 0.604 respectively,the opti-mal cut off values were 187×109/L (P=0.004),5.0 (P=0.026),235 (P=0.003) and 0.35 (P=0.024) re-spectively.The multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that non-squamous carcinoma including adenocar-cinoma (HR=1.565,95%CI:1.057-2.316) and other pathologic types (HR=2.285,95%CI:1.326-3.936),ECOG score 2-3 points (HR=2.375,95%CI:1.652-3.415),AMC≥0.65×109/L (HR=1.847,95%CI:1.160-2.938) and PLR≥235 (HR=1.557,95%CI:1.016-2.386) were the independent risk factors for short PFS.The ECOG score 2-3 points (HR=4.615,95%CI:2.882-7.391),AMC≥0.65×109/L (HR=5.161,95%CI:2.984-8.925) and PLR ≥235 (HR=1.732,95%CI:1.059-2.833) were the independent risk fac-tors for short OS (P<0.05),and having adverse reactions (HR=0.472,95%CI:0.294-0.757) was the independ-ent protective factor for short OS (P<0.05).Conclusion Lower PLT,AMC,NLR,MLR and PLR,higher ALC,squamous cell carcinoma,TNM stage Ⅲ,ECOG score 0-1 point and immunotherapy related adverse reactions could prompt that the prognosis is good in ICIs treating advanced NSCLC.PLT,NLR,PLR and MLR could serve as the indicators for predicting DCB.
10.Construction of AQHI based on joint effects of multi-pollutants in 5 provinces of China
Jinghua GAO ; Chunliang ZHOU ; Jianxiong HU ; Ruilin MENG ; Maigeng ZHOU ; Zhulin HOU ; Yize XIAO ; Min YU ; Biao HUANG ; Xiaojun XU ; Tao LIU ; Weiwei GONG ; Donghui JIN ; Mingfang QIN ; Peng YIN ; Yiqing XU ; Guanhao HE ; Xianbo WU ; Weilin ZENG ; Wenjun MA
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2023;40(3):281-288
Background Air pollution is a major public health concern. Air Quality Health Index (AQHI) is a very important air quality risk communication tool. However, AQHI is usually constructed by single-pollutant model, which has obvious disadvantages. Objective To construct an AQHI based on the joint effects of multiple air pollutants (J-AQHI), and to provide a scientific tool for health risk warning and risk communication of air pollution. Methods Data on non-accidental deaths in Yunnan, Guangdong, Hunan, Zhejiang, and Jilin provinces from January 1, 2013 to December 31, 2018 were obtained from the corresponding provincial disease surveillance points systems (DSPS), including date of death, age, gender, and cause of death. Daily meteorological (temperature and relative humidity) and air pollution data (SO2, NO2, CO, PM2.5, PM10, and maximum 8 h O3 concentrations) at the same period were respectively derived from China Meteorological Data Sharing Service System and National Urban Air Quality Real-time Publishing Platform. Lasso regression was first applied to select air pollutants, then a time-stratified case-crossover design was applied. Each case was matched to 3 or 4 control days which were selected on the same days of the week in the same calendar month. Then a distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) was used to estimate the exposure-response relationship between selected air pollutants and mortality, which was used to construct the AQHI. Finally, AQHI was classified into four levels according to the air pollutant guidance limit values from World Health Organization Global Air Quality Guidelines (AQG 2021), and the excess risks (ERs) were calculated to compare the AQHI based on single-pollutant model and the J-AQHI based on multi-pollutant model. Results PM2.5, NO2, SO2, and O3 were selected by Lasso regression to establish DLNM model. The ERs for an interquartile range (IQR) increase and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for PM2.5, NO2, SO2 and O3 were 0.71% (0.34%–1.09%), 2.46% (1.78%–3.15%), 1.25% (0.9%–1.6%), and 0.27% (−0.11%–0.65%) respectively. The distribution of J-AQHI was right-skewed, and it was divided into four levels, with ranges of 0-1 for low risk, 2-3 for moderate risk, 4-5 for high health risk, and ≥6 for severe risk, and the corresponding proportions were 11.25%, 64.61%, 19.33%, and 4.81%, respectively. The ER (95%CI) of mortality risk increased by 3.61% (2.93–4.29) for each IQR increase of the multi-pollutant based J-AQHI , while it was 3.39% (2.68–4.11) for the single-pollutant based AQHI . Conclusion The J-AQHI generated by multi-pollutant model demonstrates the actual exposure health risk of air pollution in the population and provides new ideas for further improvement of AQHI calculation methods.

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