1.Explainable machine learning model for predicting septic shock in critically sepsis patients based on coagulation indexes: A multicenter cohort study.
Qing-Bo ZENG ; En-Lan PENG ; Ye ZHOU ; Qing-Wei LIN ; Lin-Cui ZHONG ; Long-Ping HE ; Nian-Qing ZHANG ; Jing-Chun SONG
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2025;28(6):404-411
PURPOSE:
Septic shock is associated with high mortality and poor outcomes among sepsis patients with coagulopathy. Although traditional statistical methods or machine learning (ML) algorithms have been proposed to predict septic shock, these potential approaches have never been systematically compared. The present work aimed to develop and compare models to predict septic shock among patients with sepsis.
METHODS:
It is a retrospective cohort study based on 484 patients with sepsis who were admitted to our intensive care units between May 2018 and November 2022. Patients from the 908th Hospital of Chinese PLA Logistical Support Force and Nanchang Hongdu Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine were respectively allocated to training (n=311) and validation (n=173) sets. All clinical and laboratory data of sepsis patients characterized by comprehensive coagulation indexes were collected. We developed 5 models based on ML algorithms and 1 model based on a traditional statistical method to predict septic shock in the training cohort. The performance of all models was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration plots. Decision curve analysis was used to evaluate the net benefit of the models. The validation set was applied to verify the predictive accuracy of the models. This study also used Shapley additive explanations method to assess variable importance and explain the prediction made by a ML algorithm.
RESULTS:
Among all patients, 37.2% experienced septic shock. The characteristic curves of the 6 models ranged from 0.833 to 0.962 and 0.630 to 0.744 in the training and validation sets, respectively. The model with the best prediction performance was based on the support vector machine (SVM) algorithm, which was constructed by age, tissue plasminogen activator-inhibitor complex, prothrombin time, international normalized ratio, white blood cells, and platelet counts. The SVM model showed good calibration and discrimination and a greater net benefit in decision curve analysis.
CONCLUSION
The SVM algorithm may be superior to other ML and traditional statistical algorithms for predicting septic shock. Physicians can better understand the reliability of the predictive model by Shapley additive explanations value analysis.
Humans
;
Shock, Septic/blood*
;
Machine Learning
;
Male
;
Female
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Sepsis/complications*
;
ROC Curve
;
Cohort Studies
;
Adult
;
Intensive Care Units
;
Algorithms
;
Blood Coagulation
;
Critical Illness
2.Effects of Hot Night Exposure on Human Semen Quality: A Multicenter Population-Based Study.
Ting Ting DAI ; Ting XU ; Qi Ling WANG ; Hao Bo NI ; Chun Ying SONG ; Yu Shan LI ; Fu Ping LI ; Tian Qing MENG ; Hui Qiang SHENG ; Ling Xi WANG ; Xiao Yan CAI ; Li Na XIAO ; Xiao Lin YU ; Qing Hui ZENG ; Pi GUO ; Xin Zong ZHANG
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(2):178-193
OBJECTIVE:
To explore and quantify the association of hot night exposure during the sperm development period (0-90 lag days) with semen quality.
METHODS:
A total of 6,640 male sperm donors from 6 human sperm banks in China during 2014-2020 were recruited in this multicenter study. Two indices (i.e., hot night excess [HNE] and hot night duration [HND]) were used to estimate the heat intensity and duration during nighttime. Linear mixed models were used to examine the association between hot nights and semen quality parameters.
RESULTS:
The exposure-response relationship revealed that HNE and HND during 0-90 days before semen collection had a significantly inverse association with sperm motility. Specifically, a 1 °C increase in HNE was associated with decreased sperm progressive motility of 0.0090 (95% confidence interval [ CI]: -0.0147, -0.0033) and decreased total motility of 0.0094 (95% CI: -0.0160, -0.0029). HND was significantly associated with reduced sperm progressive motility and total motility of 0.0021 (95% CI: -0.0040, -0.0003) and 0.0023 (95% CI: -0.0043, -0.0002), respectively. Consistent results were observed at different temperature thresholds on hot nights.
CONCLUSION
Our findings highlight the need to mitigate nocturnal heat exposure during spermatogenesis to maintain optimal semen quality.
Humans
;
Male
;
Semen Analysis
;
Adult
;
Sperm Motility
;
Hot Temperature/adverse effects*
;
China
;
Middle Aged
;
Spermatozoa/physiology*
;
Young Adult
3.Clinical value of plasma protein ARP2 in evaluating heatstroke prognosis based on proteomics
Qing-Bo ZENG ; Jing-Chun SONG ; Nian-Qing ZHANG ; Qing SONG ; Long-Ping HE ; Qing-Wei LIN ; Lin-Cui ZHONG ; Xing-Ping DENG
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(9):1138-1145
Objective To investigate plasma protein expression changes in heatstroke patients using proteomics technology and to identify reliable prognostic biomarkers.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 20 heatstroke patients hospitalized at the 908th Hospital of the Chinese PLA Joint Logistics Support Force from July 2022 to February 2024.Patients were divided into survival(n=16)and death groups(n=4)based on 28-day outcomes.Fasting venous blood samples were collected from both groups for proteomic analysis.Liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry(LC-MS/MS)was used to identify and screen differentially expressed proteins.Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes(KEGG)and Gene Ontology(GO)enrichment analyses were performed.LASSO regression was applied to screen key prognostic biomarkers,and receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis was used to evaluate their predictive value.Results A total of 27 upregulated and 90 downregulated proteins were identified between the two groups.These proteins were primarily involved in biological processes such as immune responses,complement activation,and metabolic processes.LASSO regression analysis indicated that actin-related protein 2(ARP2),cysteine-rich scavenger receptor type 1 M130(CD163),and catalase(CAT)could serve as effective biomarkers for evaluating heatstroke prognosis.ROC curve analysis demonstrated that ARP2 had higher diagnostic efficacy(AUC=0.98,sensitivity=0.80,specificity=1.00)compared to CD163(AUC=0.94,sensitivity=0.76,specificity=1.00),CAT(AUC=0.96,sensitivity=0.67,specificity=1.00),and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ(APACHE Ⅱ)score(AUC=0.79,sensitivity=0.44,specificity=1.00).Conclusion Elevated plasma ARP2 level has good clinical value for predicting poor prognosis in heatstroke patients.
4.Advances in DNA origami intelligent drug delivery systems
Zeng-lin YIN ; Xi-wei WANG ; Jin-jing CHE ; Nan LIU ; Hui ZHANG ; Zeng-ming WANG ; Jian-chun LI ; Ai-ping ZHENG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica 2024;59(10):2741-2750
DNA origami is a powerful technique for generating nanostructures with dynamic properties and intelligent controllability. The precise geometric shapes, high programmability, and excellent biocompatibility make DNA origami nanostructures an emerging drug delivery vehicle. The shape, size of the carrier material, as well as the loading and release of drugs are important factors affecting the bioavailability of drugs. This paper focuses on the controllable design of DNA origami nanostructures, efficient drug loading, and intelligent drug release. It summarizes the cutting-edge applications of DNA origami technology in biomedicine, and discusses areas where researchers can contribute to further advancing the clinical application of DNA origami carriers.
5.Distribution Patterns of Traditional Chinese Medicine Constitution in 959 Patients with Endometriosis
Xin-Chun YANG ; Wei-Wei SUN ; Ying WU ; Qing-Wei MENG ; Cai XU ; Zeng-Ping HAO ; Yu-Huan LIU ; Rui-Jie HOU ; Rui-Hua ZHAO
Journal of Guangzhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;41(6):1387-1392
Objective To investigate the distribution patterns of traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)constitution in 959 patients with endometriosis(EMs).Methods From January 2019 to November 2019,959 EMs patients were selected from Guang'anmen Hospital of China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences,Beijing Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital Affiliated to Capital Medical University,Beijing Hospital,Dongfang Hospital of Beijing University of Chinese Medicine,Beijing Friendship Hospital Affiliated to Capital Medical University,and Fuxing Hospital Affiliated to Capital Medical University.The general clinical information of the patients was recorded and then the TCM constitution was identified.After that,the correlation of TCM constitution distribution with concurrent constitution and the relationship of TCM constitution distribution with age and the complication of dysmenorrhea were analyzed.Results(1)The constitution types of EMs patients listed in descending order of the proportion were yang deficiency constitution(65.1%,624/959),qi stagnation constitution(58.4%,560/959),qi deficiency constitution(52.8%,506/959),blood stasis constitution(44.2%,424/959),phlegm-damp constitution(42.5%,408/959),damp-heat constitution(41.9%,402/959),yin deficiency constitution(39.6%,380/959),balanced constitution(26.8%,257/959),and inherited special constitution(16.6%,159/959).Among the patients,there were fewer patients with single constitution,accounting for 20.2%(194/959),and most of them had concurrent constitution types,accounting for 79.8%(765/959).(2)The association rule mining based on Apriori algorithm obtained 33 related rules.The concurrent constitution types of qi deficiency-yang deficiency,blood stasis-yang deficiency,and blood stasis-qi stagnation were the association rules with high confidence.(3)Compared with patients aged 35 years and below,the patients over 35 years old were predominated by high proportion of blood stasis constitution(P<0.05).Compared with patients without dysmenorrhea,the patients with dysmenorrhea had the increased proportion of biased constitutions and the decreased proportion of balanced constitution(P<0.05 or P<0.01).Conclusion Yang deficiency constitution,qi stagnation constitution,qi deficiency constitution and blood stasis constitution are the high-risk constitution types of EMs patients.The concurrent constitution types are commonly seen in EMs patients,which are more common than single biased constitution.Management of EMs patients with the methods of warming yang,relieving stagnation,benefiting qi and activating blood will be helpful for correcting the biased constitutions in time and preventing disease progression,which will achieve the preventive treatment efficacy through TCM constitution correction.
6.A newly proposed heatstroke-induced coagulopathy score in patients with heat illness: A multicenter retrospective study in China
Qing-Wei LIN ; Lin-Cui ZHONG ; Long-Ping HE ; Qing-Bo ZENG ; Wei ZHANG ; Qing SONG ; Jing-Chun SONG
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2024;27(2):83-90
Purpose::In patients with heatstroke, disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) is associated with greater risk of in-hospital mortality. However, time-consuming assays or a complex diagnostic system may delay immediate treatment. Therefore, the present study proposes a new heatstroke-induced coagulopathy (HIC) score in patients with heat illness as an early warning indicator for DIC.Methods::This retrospective study enrolled patients with heat illness in 24 Chinese hospitals from March 2021 to May 2022. Patients under 18 years old, with a congenital clotting disorder or liver disease, or using anticoagulants were excluded. Data were collected on demographic characteristics, routine blood tests, conventional coagulation assays and biochemical indexes. The risk factors related to coagulation function in heatstroke were identified by regression analysis, and used to construct a scoring system for HIC. The data of patients who met the diagnostic criteria for HIC and International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis defined-DIC were analyzed. All statistical analyses were performed using SPSS 26.0.Results::The final analysis included 302 patients with heat illness, of whom 131 (43.4%) suffered from heatstroke, including 7 death (5.3%). Core temperature ( OR = 1.681, 95% CI 1.291 - 2.189, p < 0.001), prothrombin time ( OR = 1.427, 95% CI 1.175 - 1.733, p < 0.001) and D-dimer ( OR = 1.242, 95% CI 1.049 - 1.471, p = 0.012) were independent risk factors for heatstroke, and therefore used to construct an HIC scoring system because of their close relation with abnormal coagulation. A total score ≥ 3 indicated HIC, and HIC scores correlated with the score for International Society of Thrombosis and Hemostasis-DIC ( r = 0.8848, p < 0.001). The incidence of HIC (27.5%) was higher than that of DIC (11.2%) in all of 131 heatstroke patients. Meanwhile, the mortality rate of HIC (19.4%) was lower than that of DIC (46.7%). When HIC developed into DIC, parameters of coagulation dysfunction changed significantly: platelet count decreased, D-dimer level rose, and prothrombin time and activated partial thromboplastin time prolonged ( p < 0.05). Conclusions::The newly proposed HIC score may provide a valuable tool for early detection of HIC and prompt initiation of treatment.
7.The Diagnostic Value of Ret-He in Predicting Latent Iron Deficiency in Female Blood Donors
Wen-Juan ZHONG ; Cheng-Yong HUANG ; Ye-Ping ZHOU ; Ying-Chun CHEN ; Jin-Ying CHEN ; Qiu-Fang ZHANG ; Jia ZENG
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2024;32(5):1550-1554
Objective:To explore the application value of reticulocyte hemoglobin equivalent(Ret-He)for diagnosing latent iron deficiency in female plateletpheresis donors.Methods:A total of 230 female plateletpheresis donors in Fujian Blood Center from January to February 2022 were selected as the research group and divided into three groups:normal group,iron depletion(ID)group and iron deficient erythropoiesis(IDE)group,according to the severity of iron deficiency.The level of hemoglobin(HGB),mean corpuscular volume(MCV),mean corpuscular hemoglobin(MCH),coefficient of variation of red cell distribution width(RDW-CV)and Ret-He were measured by using the Sysmex XN automated hematology analyzer.Chemiluminescence immunoassay was used to detect iron biochemical indexes.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis was performed to evaluate the diagnosic value of relevant indicators in female blood donors with latent iron deficiency.Results:Ret-He in ID group was 32.55(31.15,33.10)pg,which was significantly lower than that in the normal group[33.80(32.73,34.70)pg](P<0.05),and significantly higher than that in IDE group[30.40(28.70,31.50)pg](P<0.05).ROC analysis in diagnosis of IDE demonstrated that the area under the curves(AUCs)of HGB,MCV,MCH,RDW-CV and Ret-He were 0.892,0.843,0.909,0.890,0.931,respectively.When the critical value of Ret-He was 32.05 pg,its sensitivity and specificity were 85.90%and 92.60%,respectively.However,all red blood cell parameters had poor diagnostic value for ID.Conclusion:Ret-He is a perfect predictor for latent iron deficiency in female blood donors.Detection of Ret-He can advance the diagnosis of iron deficiency in female blood donors to the IDE stage.
8.Preliminary study on gastrointestinal stress injury induced by hypobaric hypoxia in mice
Xue WEI ; Hui-Ying SHANG ; An-Ping YE ; Cheng-Rong XIAO ; Yue GAO ; Zeng-Chun MA
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2024;40(8):1482-1488
Aim To study the effects of different peri-ods of hypoxia on gastrointestinal stress in mice by sim-ulating hypoxia environment at high altitude in a low-pressure oxygen chamber.Methods The normal con-trol group and the model group for 1,3 and 5 days were set up according to different periods of hypobaric hypoxia.The intestinal propulsion rate,visceral sensi-tivity and pathological damage of gastrointestinal tract were detected after hypobaric hypoxia treatment.The contents of IL-1 β,IL-6 and TNF-α in gastrointestinal tract and the contents of gastrointestinal hormone,di-amine oxidase and D-lactic acid were detected by en-zyme-linked immunosorbent assay(ELISA).The ex-pressions of tight-junction protein and tight junction in-jury pathway protein in intestinal tissues were detected by Western blot.Results Compared with the control group,the intestinal propulsion rate of the model group was accelerated,and the intestinal sensitivity in-creased.The expression of intestinal mucosal injury markers increased.Gastrointestinal motility inhibiting hormone decreased and gastrointestinal motility promo-ting hormone increased.The expression of tight junc-tion proteins ZO-1,claudin-1,occludin and VASP of tight junction injury-related pathway decreased,while the expression of NF-κB,HIF-1α and VEGF in tight junction injury-related pathway increased.The expres-sions of IL-1 β,IL-6 and TNF-α in gastrointestinal tis-sue increased.The content of pepsin in gastric tissue increased.The injury of gastrointestinal tissue was less in the 1-day group,and more serious in the 3-day and 5-day groups.Conclusions Stress injury occurs in the gastrointestinal tract of mice at different time points in hypoxia and hypoxia environment,and the gastroin-testinal function injury is more serious after three days of exposure,which may be related to the activation of NF-κB/HIF-1α/VEGF/VASP pathway.
9.A descriptive analysis on hypertension in adult twins in China.
Yu Tong WANG ; Wei Hua CAO ; Jun LYU ; Can Qing YU ; Sheng Feng WANG ; Tao HUANG ; Dian Jian Yi SUN ; Chun Xiao LIAO ; Yuan Jie PANG ; Zeng Chang PANG ; Min YU ; Hua WANG ; Xian Ping WU ; Zhong DONG ; Fan WU ; Guo Hong JIANG ; Xiao Jie WANG ; Yu LIU ; Jian DENG ; Lin LU ; Wen Jing GAO ; Li Ming LI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2023;44(4):536-543
Objective: To describe the distribution characteristics of hypertension among adult twins in the Chinese National Twin Registry (CNTR) and to provide clues for exploring the role of genetic and environmental factors on hypertension. Methods: A total of 69 220 (34 610 pairs) of twins aged 18 and above with hypertension information were selected from CNTR registered from 2010 to 2018. Random effect models were used to describe the population and regional distribution of hypertension in twins. To estimate the heritability, the concordance rates of hypertension were calculated and compared between monozygotic twins (MZ) and dizygotic twins (DZ). Results: The age of all participants was (34.1±12.4) years. The overall self-reported prevalence of hypertension was 3.8%(2 610/69 220). Twin pairs who were older, living in urban areas, married, overweight or obese, current smokers or ex-smokers, and current drinkers or abstainers had a higher self-reported prevalence of hypertension (P<0.05). Analysis within the same-sex twin pairs found that the concordance rate of hypertension was 43.2% in MZ and 27.0% in DZ, and the difference was statistically significant (P<0.001). The heritability of hypertension was 22.1% (95%CI: 16.3%- 28.0%). Stratified by gender, age, and region, the concordance rate of hypertension in MZ was still higher than that in DZ. The heritability of hypertension was higher in female participants. Conclusions: There were differences in the distribution of hypertension among twins with different demographic and regional characteristics. It is indicated that genetic factors play a crucial role in hypertension in different genders, ages, and regions, while the magnitude of genetic effects may vary.
Adult
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Alcohol Drinking
;
Diseases in Twins/genetics*
;
Hypertension/genetics*
;
Twins, Dizygotic/genetics*
;
Twins, Monozygotic/genetics*
10.A descriptive analysis of hyperlipidemia in adult twins in China.
Ke MIAO ; Wei Hua CAO ; Jun LYU ; Can Qing YU ; Sheng Feng WANG ; Tao HUANG ; Dian Jian Yi SUN ; Chun Xiao LIAO ; Yuan Jie PANG ; Zeng Chang PANG ; Min YU ; Hua WANG ; Xian Ping WU ; Zhong DONG ; Fan WU ; Guo Hong JIANG ; Xiao Jie WANG ; Yu LIU ; Jian DENG ; Lin LU ; Wen Jing GAO ; Li Ming LI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2023;44(4):544-551
Objective: To describe the distribution characteristics of hyperlipidemia in adult twins in the Chinese National Twin Registry (CNTR) and explore the effect of genetic and environmental factors on hyperlipidemia. Methods: Twins recruited from the CNTR in 11 project areas across China were included in the study. A total of 69 130 (34 565 pairs) of adult twins with complete information on hyperlipidemia were selected for analysis. The random effect model was used to characterize the population and regional distribution of hyperlipidemia among twins. The concordance rates of hyperlipidemia were calculated in monozygotic twins (MZ) and dizygotic twins (DZ), respectively, to estimate the heritability. Results: The age of all participants was (34.2±12.4) years. This study's prevalence of hyperlipidemia was 1.3% (895/69 130). Twin pairs who were men, older, living in urban areas, married,had junior college degree or above, overweight, obese, insufficient physical activity, current smokers, ex-smokers, current drinkers, and ex-drinkers had a higher prevalence of hyperlipidemia (P<0.05). In within-pair analysis, the concordance rate of hyperlipidemia was 29.1% (118/405) in MZ and 18.1% (57/315) in DZ, and the difference was statistically significant (P<0.05). Stratified by gender, age, and region, the concordance rate of hyperlipidemia in MZ was still higher than that in DZ. Further, in within-same-sex twin pair analyses, the heritability of hyperlipidemia was 13.04% (95%CI: 2.61%-23.47%) in the northern group and 18.59% (95%CI: 4.43%-32.74%) in the female group, respectively. Conclusions: Adult twins were included in this study and were found to have a lower prevalence of hyperlipidemia than in the general population study, with population and regional differences. Genetic factors influence hyperlipidemia, but the genetic effect may vary with gender and area.
Adult
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Young Adult
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Diseases in Twins/genetics*
;
Hyperlipidemias/genetics*
;
Metabolic Diseases
;
Twins, Dizygotic
;
Twins, Monozygotic/genetics*

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