PURPOSE: Septic shock is associated with high mortality and poor outcomes among sepsis patients with coagulopathy. Although traditional statistical methods or machine learning (ML) algorithms have been proposed to predict septic shock, these potential approaches have never been systematically compared. The present work aimed to develop and compare models to predict septic shock among patients with sepsis. METHODS: It is a retrospective cohort study based on 484 patients with sepsis who were admitted to our intensive care units between May 2018 and November 2022. Patients from the 908th Hospital of Chinese PLA Logistical Support Force and Nanchang Hongdu Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine were respectively allocated to training (n=311) and validation (n=173) sets. All clinical and laboratory data of sepsis patients characterized by comprehensive coagulation indexes were collected. We developed 5 models based on ML algorithms and 1 model based on a traditional statistical method to predict septic shock in the training cohort. The performance of all models was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration plots. Decision curve analysis was used to evaluate the net benefit of the models. The validation set was applied to verify the predictive accuracy of the models. This study also used Shapley additive explanations method to assess variable importance and explain the prediction made by a ML algorithm. RESULTS: Among all patients, 37.2% experienced septic shock. The characteristic curves of the 6 models ranged from 0.833 to 0.962 and 0.630 to 0.744 in the training and validation sets, respectively. The model with the best prediction performance was based on the support vector machine (SVM) algorithm, which was constructed by age, tissue plasminogen activator-inhibitor complex, prothrombin time, international normalized ratio, white blood cells, and platelet counts. The SVM model showed good calibration and discrimination and a greater net benefit in decision curve analysis. CONCLUSION The SVM algorithm may be superior to other ML and traditional statistical algorithms for predicting septic shock. Physicians can better understand the reliability of the predictive model by Shapley additive explanations value analysis.
Humans ; Shock, Septic/blood* ; Machine Learning ; Male ; Female ; Retrospective Studies ; Middle Aged ; Aged ; Sepsis/complications* ; ROC Curve ; Cohort Studies ; Adult ; Intensive Care Units ; Algorithms ; Blood Coagulation ; Critical Illness

Aim To investigate the protective effect of Siwu decoction(SWD)on immune injury induced by 60Coγ-rays in mice and the related mechanism.Meth-ods C57BL/6J mice were randomly divided into six groups:Control group(Control),Model group(Mod-el),Siwu decoction low-dose group(SWD-L),Siwu decoction medium-dose group(SWD-M),Siwu decoc-tion high-dose group(SWD-H)and resveratrol positive group(Resveratrol,Res).The drug was continued to be administered 11 days before and after irradiation,with a single whole-body irradiation of 4 Gy,and all in-dexes were detected three days after irradiation.The changes of peripheral blood and organ indexes were de-tected.Serum levels of cytokine interferon gamma(IFN-γ),interleukin-1 β(IL-1 β),IL-2,IL-4,IL-6,IL-10,IL-17,transforming growth factor-β(TGF-β),tumor necrosis factor(TNF)-α,and immunoglobulin A(IgA),IgG,IgM,and complement protein 3(C3),C4 content were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay(ELISA).B lymphocytes,T lymphocytes,NK cells in spleen and T lymphocytes in thymus were de-tected by flow cytometry.The pathological changes of spleen and thymus were analyzed by hematoxylin-eosin(HE)staining.The expression of Sirt 1 protein in spleen after radiation was detected by immunofluores-cence staining.The protein contents of Sirt1,PI3K,Akt,p-Akt and mTOR in spleen were detected by Western blot assay.Results SWD could significantly increase LYMPH％and reduce pathological injury of spleen and thymus.Flow cytometry showed that SWD could significantly increase the percentage of CD19+B lymphocytes in spleen,decrease the percentage of NK lymphocytes and the ratio of CD4+/CD8+in spleen and thymus.ELISA results showed that SWD signifi-cantly inhibited the expression of IL-1 β,IL-2,IL-6,IL-17,IFN-γ,TGF-β,TNF-α,and increased the content of anti-inflammatory factors IL-4 and IL-10.At the same time,SWD significantly inhibited the increase of IgA,IgG,IgM,C3 and C4 induced by radiation.The results of immunofluorescence staining and Western blot showed that SWD could decrease the expression of PI3K,Akt,p-Akt and mTOR protein,and enhance the expression of Sirt1 protein.Conclusions SWD has obvious preventive effect on immune damage induced by 60Co gamma radiation in mice.The mechanism may be related to Sirt1-PI3K-Akt-mTOR.

This study explored the effects and underlying mechanism of Raf kinase inhibitory protein(RKIP)on apoptosis in mast cells sensitized by Echinococcus granulosus cyst fluid.Bone marrow-derived mast cells(BMMCs)were isolated and cultured from RKIP knockout(KO)and wild-type(WT)C57BL/6 mice.Cells were divided into control and sensitized groups.The sensitized group was incubated for 24 h in RPMI1640 medium containing 10%serum from mice infected with E.granulosus,then activated for 3 h or 6 h with E.granulosus cyst fluid.The control group was incubated for 24 h in RPMI1640 medium,and then received an equal vol-ume of PBS.Cells and supernatants were collected for analysis.Flow cytometry was used to detect the expression of CD117 and FcεRⅠα on BMMCs.The levels of β-hexosaminidase,IL-4,and TNF-α in the supernatant were quantified with ELISA.Western blot analy-sis was used to assess expression changes in RKIP,apoptosis-related proteins,and pathway proteins in BMMC before and after sensi-tization.Flow cytometry analysis revealed that after 4 weeks of induction,the CD117 and FcεRⅠα double-positivity rates on both WT and KO BMMC exceeded 90%.ELISA indicated that the E.granulosus cyst fluid resulted in significantly greater β-hexosaminidase re-lease(F=16.88,P<0.05),and levels of IL-4(F=16.51,P<0.05)and TNF-α(F=9.78,P<0.05)in the KO sensitized group than the WT sensitized group.With respect to the WT control group,the WT sensitized group showed significantly down-regulated pro-tein expression levels of RKIP(F=8.20,P<0.05)and Bcl-2(F=101.40,P<0.01)after 3 h,but significantly up-regulated levels of p-PI3K(F=8.04,P<0.05),p-Akt(F=32.52,P<0.01),p-P65(F=13.29,P<0.05),and cleaved-caspase-3(F=46.34,P<0.01).With respect to the WT sensitized group,the KO sensitized group showed significantly up-regulated protein expression of p-PI3K(F=8.45,P<0.05),p-Akt(F=8.58,P<0.05),p-P65(F=11.02,P<0.05),and Bcl-2(F=84.50,P<0.001)after 3 h,but significantly down-regulated expression of cleaved-caspase-3(F=15.66,P<0.05).In conclusion,RKIP may inhibit the PI3K/Akt/NF-κB pathway,thereby inducing apoptosis in mast cells sensitized by E.granulosus cyst fluid.This process may help ease aller-gic reactions caused by mast cells in echinococcosis,thus offering a promising new approach for preventing and treating such reactions.

Aim To investigate the protective effect of Siwu decoction(SWD)on immune injury induced by 60Coγ-rays in mice and the related mechanism.Meth-ods C57BL/6J mice were randomly divided into six groups:Control group(Control),Model group(Mod-el),Siwu decoction low-dose group(SWD-L),Siwu decoction medium-dose group(SWD-M),Siwu decoc-tion high-dose group(SWD-H)and resveratrol positive group(Resveratrol,Res).The drug was continued to be administered 11 days before and after irradiation,with a single whole-body irradiation of 4 Gy,and all in-dexes were detected three days after irradiation.The changes of peripheral blood and organ indexes were de-tected.Serum levels of cytokine interferon gamma(IFN-γ),interleukin-1 β(IL-1 β),IL-2,IL-4,IL-6,IL-10,IL-17,transforming growth factor-β(TGF-β),tumor necrosis factor(TNF)-α,and immunoglobulin A(IgA),IgG,IgM,and complement protein 3(C3),C4 content were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay(ELISA).B lymphocytes,T lymphocytes,NK cells in spleen and T lymphocytes in thymus were de-tected by flow cytometry.The pathological changes of spleen and thymus were analyzed by hematoxylin-eosin(HE)staining.The expression of Sirt 1 protein in spleen after radiation was detected by immunofluores-cence staining.The protein contents of Sirt1,PI3K,Akt,p-Akt and mTOR in spleen were detected by Western blot assay.Results SWD could significantly increase LYMPH％and reduce pathological injury of spleen and thymus.Flow cytometry showed that SWD could significantly increase the percentage of CD19+B lymphocytes in spleen,decrease the percentage of NK lymphocytes and the ratio of CD4+/CD8+in spleen and thymus.ELISA results showed that SWD signifi-cantly inhibited the expression of IL-1 β,IL-2,IL-6,IL-17,IFN-γ,TGF-β,TNF-α,and increased the content of anti-inflammatory factors IL-4 and IL-10.At the same time,SWD significantly inhibited the increase of IgA,IgG,IgM,C3 and C4 induced by radiation.The results of immunofluorescence staining and Western blot showed that SWD could decrease the expression of PI3K,Akt,p-Akt and mTOR protein,and enhance the expression of Sirt1 protein.Conclusions SWD has obvious preventive effect on immune damage induced by 60Co gamma radiation in mice.The mechanism may be related to Sirt1-PI3K-Akt-mTOR.

This study explored the effects and underlying mechanism of Raf kinase inhibitory protein(RKIP)on apoptosis in mast cells sensitized by Echinococcus granulosus cyst fluid.Bone marrow-derived mast cells(BMMCs)were isolated and cultured from RKIP knockout(KO)and wild-type(WT)C57BL/6 mice.Cells were divided into control and sensitized groups.The sensitized group was incubated for 24 h in RPMI1640 medium containing 10%serum from mice infected with E.granulosus,then activated for 3 h or 6 h with E.granulosus cyst fluid.The control group was incubated for 24 h in RPMI1640 medium,and then received an equal vol-ume of PBS.Cells and supernatants were collected for analysis.Flow cytometry was used to detect the expression of CD117 and FcεRⅠα on BMMCs.The levels of β-hexosaminidase,IL-4,and TNF-α in the supernatant were quantified with ELISA.Western blot analy-sis was used to assess expression changes in RKIP,apoptosis-related proteins,and pathway proteins in BMMC before and after sensi-tization.Flow cytometry analysis revealed that after 4 weeks of induction,the CD117 and FcεRⅠα double-positivity rates on both WT and KO BMMC exceeded 90%.ELISA indicated that the E.granulosus cyst fluid resulted in significantly greater β-hexosaminidase re-lease(F=16.88,P<0.05),and levels of IL-4(F=16.51,P<0.05)and TNF-α(F=9.78,P<0.05)in the KO sensitized group than the WT sensitized group.With respect to the WT control group,the WT sensitized group showed significantly down-regulated pro-tein expression levels of RKIP(F=8.20,P<0.05)and Bcl-2(F=101.40,P<0.01)after 3 h,but significantly up-regulated levels of p-PI3K(F=8.04,P<0.05),p-Akt(F=32.52,P<0.01),p-P65(F=13.29,P<0.05),and cleaved-caspase-3(F=46.34,P<0.01).With respect to the WT sensitized group,the KO sensitized group showed significantly up-regulated protein expression of p-PI3K(F=8.45,P<0.05),p-Akt(F=8.58,P<0.05),p-P65(F=11.02,P<0.05),and Bcl-2(F=84.50,P<0.001)after 3 h,but significantly down-regulated expression of cleaved-caspase-3(F=15.66,P<0.05).In conclusion,RKIP may inhibit the PI3K/Akt/NF-κB pathway,thereby inducing apoptosis in mast cells sensitized by E.granulosus cyst fluid.This process may help ease aller-gic reactions caused by mast cells in echinococcosis,thus offering a promising new approach for preventing and treating such reactions.

Objective:To study the early predictors of refractory septic shock (RSS) in neonates.Methods:From July 2020 to December 2021, clinical data of neonates with septic shock admitted to the Neonatal Department of our hospital were retrospectively reviewed. According to the maximum septic shock score (SSS) during clinical course, the neonates were assigned into RSS group and non-RSS group. Perinatal data, laboratory results and hemodynamic parameters at diagnosis were compared between the two groups. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent risk factors of RSS and septic shock-related death. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was constructed to evaluate the early predictors of poor prognosis.Results:A total of 130 neonates were enrolled, including 54 in RSS group and 76 in non-RSS group. Compared with the non-RSS group, the RSS group had significantly lower pH, base excess (BE), stroke volume index (SVI), cardiac output (CO) and cardiac index (CI).Meanwhile, the RSS group had significantly higher mean arterial pressure (MAP) to CI ratio (MAP/CI) and SSS [including bedside SSS (bSSS), computed SSS (cSSS) and modified version of cSSS (mcSSS)] (all P<0.05). Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that increased MAP/CI was an independent predictor of RSS. The cut-off value of MAP/CI was 11.6 [sensitivity 62%, specificity 87%, positive predictive value (PPV) 79% and negative predictive value (NPV) 77%], with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.734. Increased mcSSS was an independent predictor of septic shock-related death. The cut-off value of mcSSS was 5.8 (sensitivity 83%, specificity 72%, PPV 21% and NPV 97%), with an AUC of 0.845. Conclusions:Increased MAP/CI (≥11.6) and mcSSS (≥5.8) may be early predictors of RSS and septic shock-related death in neonates.

Objective:To compare the therapeutic effects of modified plantar skin grafting and thigh skin grafting on the deep burn wounds of the back and buttocks.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted to analyze the clinical data of 30 patients with deep burn wounds on their back and buttocks who were admitted to the 910th Hospital of Joint Logistic Support Force of PLA from January 2021 to April 2023, including 26 males and 4 females, aged 21-72 years [(49.9±14.0)years]. The total burn size was 50%-97% of the total body surface area (TBSA), with the third-degree burn on the back and buttocks 6%-16% TBSA. The burn wounds on the back and buttocks were repaired using plantar skin grafts alone, thigh skin grafts alone or plantar skin grafts combined with the grafts from other body parts. The patients were grouped according to the skin graft donor sites and the times of harvesting skin grafts: there were 20 patients undergone plantar skin grafting including 10 patient with plantar skin graft harvested once (group of plantar skin graft harvested once) and 10 patients with plantar skin graft harvested twice or three times (group of plantar skin graft harvested more than once), and 10 patients undergone thigh skin grafting harvested once (group of thigh skin graft harvested once). The areas of plantar skin grafts harvested at the last time and the wound areas on the back and butts that could be repaired each time were calculated. After the last harvest, the thickness of the stratum corneum, 7-day survival rate of the skin grafts, proportion of 3-month residual wound area in the skin graft area, healing time of the donor sites, and 6-month Vancouver Scar Scale (VSS) scores of the donor sites in the group of plantar skin graft harvested once were compared with those in the group of thigh skin graft harvested once and the group of plantar skin graft harvested more than once. The appearance and texture of the skin graft, patients′ walking patterns and complications were observed at 6 months after the last skin harvest.Results:All the patients were followed up for 6-18 months [(7.8±1.6)months]. In the 20 patients with plantar skin grafts harvested, the areas of skin grafts harvested at the last time were 2.5%-4.5% TBSA [(3.4±0.6)% TBSA] and the wound areas that could be repaired each time were 3%-8% TBSA [(5.5±1.5)% TBSA]. After the last harvest, the thickness of the stratum corneum in the group of plantar skin graft harvested once was (190.4±8.9)μm, which was significantly thicker than that in the group of thigh skin graft harvested once [(50.0±6.6)μm] and that in the group of plantar skin graft harvested more than once [(166.8±21.9)μm] ( P<0.01); the 7-day survival rate of the skin grafts, proportion of 3-month residual wound area in the skin graft area, healing time of the donor sites, and 6-month VSS scores of the donor sites were (93.6±2.3)%, 2.0 (0.1, 3.5)%, (9.9±1.8)days and (1.7±0.7)points in the group of plantar skin graft harvested once, (78.0±6.6)%, 5.3 (4.0, 5.8)%, (14.0±1.4)days and (4.9±2.3)points in the group of thigh skin graft harvested once, and (93.4±2.6) %, 2.0 (0.1, 3.8)%, (10.0±1.2)days and (1.8±0.8)points in the group of plantar skin graft harvested more than once. The group of plantar skin graft harvested once showed a significant increase in the 7-day survival rate and a significant decrease in the proportion of 3-month residual wound area in the skin graft area, healing time of the donor sites, and 6-month VSS scores of the donor sites in comparison with the group of thigh skin graft harvested once ( P<0.05 or 0.01), while there were no significant differences in above mentioned indices between the group of plantar skin graft harvested once and the group of plantar skin graft harvested more than once ( P>0.05). At 6 months after the last skin harvest, the skin graft areas on the back and buttocks were flat, hard and firm and all the patients in the three groups could walk normally, with no complications such as severe itching, pain or folliculitis in the skin graft area. Conclusions:In the treatment of burn wounds on the back and buttocks, compared with thigh skin grafting, modified plantar skin grafting has advantages of thicker stratum corneum, better wear resistance and pressure resistance in the skin graft areas, a higher survival rate of skin grafts, rapid healing, mild scar, and undisturbed walking pattern after surgery and no common complications. Moreover, skin grafts can be harvested repeatedly from the donor sites, with no impact on the therapeutic effects.

Objective:To summarize the best evidence on case management of patients with home enteral nutrition.Methods:Relevant evidence on the case management of home enteral nutrition patients was retrieved by literature search,and the evidence was extracted and summarized for the literature that met the quality requirements.Result:A total of 10 literatures were included,including 1 guideline,3 expert consensus,2 industry standards,1 systematic review and 3 randomized controlled trials.By establishment of archives,policy management,establishment of multidisciplinary teams,overall evaluation of home enteral nutrition,as well as implementation management,a total of 33 home enteral nutrition case management was summarized from 6 aspects including health education and follow-up,etc.Conclusion:All the summarized relevant evidence about case filing and management of home enteral nutrition patients can be applied in clinical practice to promote the standardized management of home enteral nutrition.

Objective To analyze the stresses in implanted titanium solid and bone trabecular prosthesis hip replacements.Methods A femur model was built inversely based on Mimics software,and optimized using Geomagic software,and then materialized by SolidWorks software.The osteotomized femur was assembled with the metal femoral stem to form a model,and then the model was imported into ABAQUS for finite element calculation.The upper femur was divided into four regions in different states of integration:medial proximal point(small trochanter region),lateral proximal region(large trochanter region),proximal point of the femoral stem(region around the mid-portion of the styloid process)and distal region(around the end of the styloid process and distal portion).Calculations were carried out over the femoral stresses before and after implantation of titanium solid and trabecular prostheses under gait and stair-climbing loads and the interfacial stresses when the region was unintegrated.The type of deformation at the bone interface was analyzed by means of a stress ellipsoid.Results At the small trochanter region,the stress shielding rates of the trabecular prosthesis under gait and stair climbing loads were reduced by 20.5％and 14.7％compared to the titanium solid prosthesis,respectively.In case of different integration states of the titanium solid prosthesis,the interface tensile stresses under the gait and stair climbing loads were up to 10.842 MPa and 12.900 MPa,and the shear stresses reached 7.050 MPa and 6.805 MPa,respectively;in case of different integration states of the trabecular prosthesis,the interface tensile stresses under the gait and stair climbing loads were up to 3.858 MPa and 4.389 MPa,and the shear stresses reached 4.156 MPa and 3.854 MPa,respectively.Under the 2 different loads,the inboard shear stress ellipsoid of the interface opened toward the sides and the bone interface showed tensile deformation;the outboard shear stress ellipsoid of the interface opened up and down and had compressive deformation.Conclusion After total hip arthroplasty,the overall performance of the trabecular prosthesis is better than that of the titanium solid prosthesis.The unintegrated edges of the prosthesis-bone interface are susceptible to stress concentrations and distortion which may result in occurrence of failures.[Chinese Medical Equipment Journal,2024,45(3):29-35]

Further evidence is needed to explore the impact of high-altitude environments on the neurologic function of neonates.Non-invasive techniques such as cerebral near-infrared spectroscopy and amplitude-integrated electroencephalography can provide data on cerebral oxygenation and brain electrical activity.This study will conduct multiple cerebral near-infrared spectroscopy and amplitude-integrated electroencephalography monitoring sessions at various time points within the first 3 days postpartum for healthy full-term neonates at different altitudes.The obtained data on cerebral oxygenation and brain electrical activity will be compared between different altitudes,and corresponding reference ranges will be established.The study involves 6 participating centers in the Chinese High Altitude Neonatal Medicine Alliance,with altitude gradients divided into 4 categories:800 m,1 900 m,2 400 m,and 3 500 m,with an anticipated sample size of 170 neonates per altitude gradient.This multicenter prospective cohort study aims to provide evidence supporting the impact of high-altitude environments on early brain function and metabolism in neonates.[Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics,2024,26(4):403-409]