1.Role of myelin transcription factor 1-like in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis
Shu-Chang LÜ ; Ying-Jun GUAN ; Xiao-Su CHEN ; Hao-Yun ZHANG ; Jin-Meng LIU ; Qiu-Peng YAN ; Yan-Chun CHEN
Acta Anatomica Sinica 2025;56(5):524-532
Objective To investigate the expression of myelin transcription factor 1-like(MYT1L)during amyotrophic lateral sclerosis(ALS)progression and its association with neuronal degeneration through bioinformatics analysis combined with in vivo and in vitro experiments.Methods Bioinformatics analysis of the GSE106803 dataset from the Gene Expression Omnibus(GEO)database revealed significant down-regulation of MYT1L in spinal cords of ALS transgenic mice carrying the human superoxide dismutase 1 mutant gene(hSOD1G93A)compared to the wild-type(WT)mice.hSOD1G93A transgenic mice and their WT littermates were selected to analyze MYT1L mRNA and protein changes in spinal cord tissues at different disease stages using Real-time PCR and Western blotting.Double immunofluorescent staining was used to determine the distribution and cellular localization of MYT1L in the spinal cord of mice at the middle stage of the disease.An ALS cellular model was established using hSOD1G93A mutant NSC34 cells,with hSOD1WT NSC34 cells as controls.MYT1L expression and distribution were assessed in these cells via Real-time PCR,Western blotting,and immunofluorescent staining.Based on the GSE76220 dataset from the GEO database,differentially expressed genes(DEGs)between MYT1L high-and low-expression groups in lumbar spinal motor neurons of ALS patients were identified,followed by Gene Ontology(GO)functional enrichment analysis.MYT1L overexpression was induced in the ALS cellular model to evaluate alterations in cell viability and neurite outgrowth.Results In the GSE106803 dataset,MYT1L expression was significantly down-regulated in the spinal cord of ALS mice.Animal experiments confirmed progressive reductions in MYT1L mRNA and protein levels in spinal cord tissues of ALS mice during mid-and late-disease stages.Compared to the WT group,MYT1L expression decreased in motor neurons of the lumbar spinal cord gray matter anterior horn in ALS mice,while it increased in astrocytes.In vitro,hSOD1G93Amutant NSC34 cells exhibited significantly reduced MYT1L expression than controls,with MYT1L localized to both the cytoplasm and nucleus.DEGs between MYT1L high-and low-expression groups in lumbar spinal cord motor neurons of ALS patients(GSE76220 dataset)were enriched in synaptic-related functions through GO analysis.Overexpression of MYT1L in hSOD1G93A mutant NSC34 cells enhanced cell viability and promoted neurite outgrowth.Conclusion Aberrantly low expression of MYT1L is closely associated with ALS pathogenesis.Overexpression of MYT1L promotes neurite growth and exerts protective effects on ALS motor neurons,suggesting its therapeutic potential.
2.A study of the factors influencing the occurrence of refeeding syndrome in patients with sepsis and their prognosis.
Min LIU ; Wan TIAN ; Sumei WANG ; Kongmiao LU ; Yan QU ; Chun GUAN
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(4):386-390
OBJECTIVE:
To analyze the factors influencing the development of refeeding syndrome (RFS) in patients with sepsis and its impact on clinical prognosis.
METHODS:
A retrospective case-control study method was used to collect the clinical data of patients with sepsis admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of Qingdao Municipal Hospital from December 2018 to December 2023. The patients were divided into RFS and non-RFS groups according to whether RFS occurred, and the basic data, nutritional status and assessment scale, laboratory indicators, nutritional intake, medical history and prognosis were compared between the two groups. Binary multifactorial Logistic regression analysis was used to screen the influencing factors of the occurrence of RFS in patients with sepsis.
RESULTS:
A total of 544 patients with sepsis were finally enrolled, of whom 250 did not develop RFS and 294 developed RFS, with an incidence of 54.0%. Compared with the non-RFS group, the patients in the RFS group had lower body mass index (BMI), albumin, prealbumin, baseline electrolytes (serum phosphorus, serum potassium, and serum magnesium), creatinine-height index, and protein intake, and had higher nutritional risk screening 2002 (NRS2002) score, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, calorie intake, and the proportions of feedings during the 48 hours of ICU admission, history of diabetes and septic shock. Binary multifactorial Logistic regression analysis showed that BMI [odds ratio (OR) = 0.910, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.857-0.947, P < 0.001], SOFA score (OR = 1.166, 95%CI was 1.085-1.254, P < 0.001), albumin (OR = 0.946, 95%CI was 0.902-0.991, P = 0.019), baseline serum phosphorus (OR = 0.343, 95%CI was 0.171-0.689, P = 0.003), baseline serum potassium (OR = 0.531, 95%CI was 0.377-0.746, P < 0.001), creatinine-height index (OR = 0.891, 95%CI was 0.819-0.970, P = 0.008), caloric intake (OR = 1.108, 95%CI was 1.043-1.178, P = 0.001), protein intake (OR = 0.107, 95%CI was 0.044-0.260, P < 0.001), and feedings during the 48 hours of ICU admission (OR = 0.592, 95%CI was 0.359-0.977, P = 0.040) and septic shock (OR = 0.538, 95%CI was 0.300-0.963, P = 0.037) were independent influence factors on the occurrence of RFS in septic patients. Of the 544 patients, 267 died at 28 days, with a mortality of 49.1%. The 28-day mortality of patients in the RFS group was significantly higher than that in the non-RFS group [54.4% (160/294) vs. 42.8% (107/250); χ2 = 7.302, P = 0.007]. 544 patients had a length of ICU stay of 20 (17, 24) days. The patients in the RFS group had a significantly longer length of ICU stay than that in the non-RFS group [days: 20 (17, 25) vs. 19 (17, 23); Z = -2.312, P = 0.021].
CONCLUSIONS
The incidence of RFS in septic patients is high. Factors influencing the occurrence of RFS in septic patients include BMI, SOFA score, albumin, baseline serum phosphorus, baseline serum potassium, caloric intake, protein intake, feeding within 48 hours of ICU admission, and septic shock. RFS prolongs the length of ICU stay and increases the 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis.
Humans
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Sepsis/complications*
;
Prognosis
;
Refeeding Syndrome/etiology*
;
Case-Control Studies
;
Intensive Care Units
;
Male
;
Nutritional Status
;
Female
;
Risk Factors
;
Middle Aged
;
Logistic Models
;
Body Mass Index
;
Aged
3.AAV vector-mediated Sall2 overexpression slowing disease progression in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis transgenic mice
Xue ZHANG ; Chen-Chen WANG ; Xue-Shuai GAO ; Xue BAI ; Xue-Mei WANG ; Jin-Meng LIU ; Ying-Jun GUAN ; Yan-Chun CHEN
Acta Anatomica Sinica 2025;56(2):127-135
Objective To investigate the effect of sal-like gene 2(Sall2)gene overexpression on the progression of disease in human superoxide dismutase 1(hSOD1)-G93A mutant amyotrophic lateral sclerosis(ALS)transgenic mice,with the aim of identifying potential therapeutic targets for ALS gene therapy.Methods Differential Sall2 gene were screened through bioinformatics analysis.Forty-eight ALS transgenic mice were selected for this study.AAV-PHP.eB-Sall2 adeno-associated virus with a neuron-specific promoter,human synapsin I(hSyn),was constructed and administered via tail vein injection to six-week-old mice.In parallel,the same litter of ALS mice received an injection of AAV-PHP.eB-GFP.The staining of Sall2 and neuron-specific nuclear protein(NeuN)/GFAP in the spinal cord and cerebral cortex of mice were detected through immunofluorescent double-label staining technology.The survival period,weight changes,exercise ability,and electromyographic changes of the gastrocnemius muscle were detected.The morphological changes in the spinal cord anterior horn neurons were detected through Nissl staining.The effect of Sall2 gene overexpression on the expression of the cell cycle protein E1(cyclin E1)was investigated through Western blotting.Results Bioinformatics analysis showed out that Sall2 was differentially expressed in ALS mice.Compared with ALS mice in the control group,the Sall2 protein expression of ALS mice in the overexpressing Sall2 gene group increased in both the spinal cord and cerebral cortex,and the Sall2 integral absorbance values of Sall2+/NeuN+double-positive cells were higher.The survival time of ALS mice in the Sall2 gene overexpressing group was prolonged,the rate of weight loss was slowed down,the performance in the rotarod and inverted grid tests was improved with longer times,and the positive sharp waves and fibrillation potentials in the gastrocnemius electromyography were reduced.The number of Nissl bodies labeled neurons increased in the spinal cord anterior horn of the Sall2 gene overexpressing mice,and the condition of neuronal damage was improved.Overexpression of the Sall2 gene also reduced the expression of cyclin E1 in both the spinal cord and cerebral cortex of ALS transgenic mice.Conclusion Overexpression of the Sall2 gene can delay disease progression and improve motor performance in ALS transgenic mice,affecting the expression of cyclin E1,thus exerting a therapeutic effect on these mice.
4.Observation on the Clinical Efficacy of Yifei Fumai Tang Combined with Comprehensive Western Medicine Treatment in the Treatment of Difficulty Offline and Intensive Care Unit-Acquired Weakness
Chun-ping ZOU ; Wen-shui LOU ; Yan HU ; Zong-lin RAO ; Lu GAN ; Qiu-xia GUAN
Progress in Modern Biomedicine 2025;25(19):3147-3153,3161
Objective:To observe the application value of Yifei Fumai Tang in the treatment of difficulty offline and intensive care unit-acquired weakness(ICU-AW).Methods:Used random number table method,60 patients with difficulty offline and ICU-AW who were admitted to our hospital from June 2022 to June 2024 were divided into control group(received conventional Western medicine comprehensive treatment,n=30)and study group(received Yifei Fumai Tang treatment in addition to the control group,n=30).Medical Research Council(MRC),Barthel Index(BI)scores,clinical indicators(total mechanical ventilation time,weaning success rate,secondary intubation rate,ICU stay,and mobilization time),diaphragm thickness,diaphragm mobility,and incidence of adverse reactions between two groups were compared.Results:Compared with the control group at 7 d after treatment and 14 d after treatment,the MRC and BI scores in the study group were higher(P<0.05).Compared with the control group,the study group had lower rate of secondary intubation rate,shorter total mechanical ventilation time,ICU stay time,and mobilization time,higher weaning success rate,and greater diaphragm thickness,diaphragm mobility(P<0.05).There was no significant difference in the incidence of adverse reactions between the two groups(P>0.05).Conclusion:Yifei Fumai Tang combined with Western Medicine in the treatment of Difficulty Offline and ICU-AW,can effectively improve the prognosis of patients,shorten total mechanical ventilation time,ICU stay,mobilization time,increase weaning success rate,and improve respiratory function.
5.Observation on the Clinical Efficacy of Yifei Fumai Tang Combined with Comprehensive Western Medicine Treatment in the Treatment of Difficulty Offline and Intensive Care Unit-Acquired Weakness
Chun-ping ZOU ; Wen-shui LOU ; Yan HU ; Zong-lin RAO ; Lu GAN ; Qiu-xia GUAN
Progress in Modern Biomedicine 2025;25(19):3147-3153,3161
Objective:To observe the application value of Yifei Fumai Tang in the treatment of difficulty offline and intensive care unit-acquired weakness(ICU-AW).Methods:Used random number table method,60 patients with difficulty offline and ICU-AW who were admitted to our hospital from June 2022 to June 2024 were divided into control group(received conventional Western medicine comprehensive treatment,n=30)and study group(received Yifei Fumai Tang treatment in addition to the control group,n=30).Medical Research Council(MRC),Barthel Index(BI)scores,clinical indicators(total mechanical ventilation time,weaning success rate,secondary intubation rate,ICU stay,and mobilization time),diaphragm thickness,diaphragm mobility,and incidence of adverse reactions between two groups were compared.Results:Compared with the control group at 7 d after treatment and 14 d after treatment,the MRC and BI scores in the study group were higher(P<0.05).Compared with the control group,the study group had lower rate of secondary intubation rate,shorter total mechanical ventilation time,ICU stay time,and mobilization time,higher weaning success rate,and greater diaphragm thickness,diaphragm mobility(P<0.05).There was no significant difference in the incidence of adverse reactions between the two groups(P>0.05).Conclusion:Yifei Fumai Tang combined with Western Medicine in the treatment of Difficulty Offline and ICU-AW,can effectively improve the prognosis of patients,shorten total mechanical ventilation time,ICU stay,mobilization time,increase weaning success rate,and improve respiratory function.
6.Application and significance of prone position in the treatment of patients with severe pneumonia in intensive care unit
Huiyan YU ; Chun GUAN ; Weifeng XIE ; Qingshu LI ; Yan QU ; Yu LUO ; Dan HU
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2024;36(4):364-368
Objective:To investigate the effect of prone position on the prognosis of patients with severe pneumonia in intensive care unit (ICU).Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted. The patients with severe pneumonia admitted to the ICU of Qingdao Municipal Hospital from May 2022 to August 2023 were enrolled. The general information, etiology, underlying diseases, vital signs and laboratory indicators at ICU admission, clinical treatment and prognosis during ICU hospitalization were collected. The above clinical data of patients with different prognosis were compared. Multifactorial Logistic regression analysis was used to screen the related factors affecting survival during ICU in patients with severe pneumonia. The change in oxygenation index (PaO 2/FiO 2) of patients with severe pneumonia were observed at 1 hour before the first prone position, 1 hour after the first prone position, and 1 hour after the end of the first prone position. The effect of prone position on oxygenation in patients with severe pneumonia was analyzed. Spearman correlation analysis was used to investigate the correlation between the duration to first prone position and the change in the PaO 2/FiO 2 before and after prone position in patients with severe pneumonia. Results:Finally, a total of 144 patients with severe pneumonia were enrolled, 45 survived and 99 died during ICU hospitalization, with a mortality of 68.8%. Compared with the survival group, the patients in the death group were older [years old: 81.00 (70.75, 86.00) vs. 71.00 (60.50, 81.50), P < 0.01], the proportion of pre-existing lung disease, heart rate (HR), respiratory rate (RR), blood lactic acid (Lac) and the ratio of continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) were higher [ratio of pre-existing lung disease: 23.2% (23/99) vs. 8.9% (4/45), HR (bpm): 99.61±22.47 vs. 91.49±18.76, RR (times/min): 22.50 (19.75, 29.25) vs. 20.00 (17.50, 24.50), Lac (mmol/L): 2.00 (1.55, 3.25) vs. 1.60 (1.20, 1.95), CRRT ratio: 25.3% (25/99) vs. 6.7% (3/45), all P < 0.05], and the proportion of prone position was lower [41.4% (41/99) vs. 68.9% (31/45), P < 0.01]. Multifactorial Logistic regression analysis showed that age [odds ratio ( OR) = 0.946, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) was 0.912-0.980, P = 0.002] and Lac ( OR = 0.563, 95% CI was 0.340-0.930, P = 0.025) were negatively correlated with survival during ICU hospitalization in severe pneumonia patients, while prone position was positively correlated with survival ( OR = 2.551, 95% CI was 1.067-6.095, P = 0.035), indicating that prone position was beneficial for improving ICU prognosis in severe pneumonia patients. The results of PaO 2/FiO 2 at different time points in prone position showed that PaO 2/FiO 2 at 1 hour of the first prone position in the patients with severe pneumonia was significantly higher than that at 1 hour before the first prone position [mmHg (1 mmHg ≈ 0.133 kPa): 146.69 (113.92, 257.25) vs. 111.75 (70.15, 212.20), P < 0.01], indicating that the prone position had a relevant effect on the improvement of oxygenation in patients. Spearman correlation analysis showed that the duration of the first prone position in patients with severe pneumonia was significantly and positively correlated with the improvement of oxygenation at 1 hour of the first prone position ( r = 0.565, P < 0.001). Conclusions:The prone position is a therapeutic measure that can independently influence the prognosis of patients with severe pneumonia during ICU hospitalization. The prone position effectively improves oxygenation in patients with severe pneumonia and the first change in oxygenation in patients is related to the duration of the prone position.
7.Meta-analysis of the clinical effectiveness and safety of initial high-calorie refeeding for the treatment of adolescent anorexia nervosa
Min LIU ; Wan TIAN ; Sumei WANG ; Yan QU ; Chun GUAN
Chinese Journal of Clinical Nutrition 2024;32(6):338-346
Objective:To evaluate the clinical effectiveness and safety of a high-calorie refeeding (HCR) regimen for the treatment of adolescent anorexia nervosa.Methods:Databases including PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang Data, VIP, and SinoMed were searched for studies on the clinical effectiveness and safety of HCR regimens in children and adolescents with anorexia nervosa. Both randomized controlled trials and quasi-randomized controlled trials were screened. The search was limited to publications from the construction of the databases to October 20, 2023. Two researchers independently conducted the literature screening, data extraction and quality assessment. Meta-analysis was performed using RevMan 5.4 software.Results:A total of 8 studies involving 1 145 patients were included. Among them, 604 were in the HCR group and 541 in the low-calorie refeeding group. Meta-analysis showed that the weight gain of patients in the HCR group was higher than that in the low-calorie refeeding group, and the difference was not statistically significant ( SMD: 0.41, 95% CI: -0.03 to 0.84, P=0.06). The length of hospitalization of patients in the HCR group was shorter than that in the low-calorie refeeding group, and the difference was statistically significant ( MD: -4.96,95% CI: -8.71 to -1.20, P=0.01). The incidence of hypophosphatemia as a part of refeeding syndrome in patients in the HCR group were not statistically different compared with those in the low-calorie refeeding group ( OR: 0.95, 95% CI 0.51 to 1.75, P=0.87). Conclusions:HCR regimens are more likely to promote weight regain and shorten hospitalization without increasing the risk of developing refeeding syndrome or hypophosphatemia. This study supports the clinical effectiveness of HCR regimens for the treatment of adolescents with anorexia nervosa, with favorable safety and feasibility in clinical practice.
8.Meta-analysis of the clinical effectiveness and safety of initial high-calorie refeeding for the treatment of adolescent anorexia nervosa
Min LIU ; Wan TIAN ; Sumei WANG ; Yan QU ; Chun GUAN
Chinese Journal of Clinical Nutrition 2024;32(6):338-346
Objective:To evaluate the clinical effectiveness and safety of a high-calorie refeeding (HCR) regimen for the treatment of adolescent anorexia nervosa.Methods:Databases including PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang Data, VIP, and SinoMed were searched for studies on the clinical effectiveness and safety of HCR regimens in children and adolescents with anorexia nervosa. Both randomized controlled trials and quasi-randomized controlled trials were screened. The search was limited to publications from the construction of the databases to October 20, 2023. Two researchers independently conducted the literature screening, data extraction and quality assessment. Meta-analysis was performed using RevMan 5.4 software.Results:A total of 8 studies involving 1 145 patients were included. Among them, 604 were in the HCR group and 541 in the low-calorie refeeding group. Meta-analysis showed that the weight gain of patients in the HCR group was higher than that in the low-calorie refeeding group, and the difference was not statistically significant ( SMD: 0.41, 95% CI: -0.03 to 0.84, P=0.06). The length of hospitalization of patients in the HCR group was shorter than that in the low-calorie refeeding group, and the difference was statistically significant ( MD: -4.96,95% CI: -8.71 to -1.20, P=0.01). The incidence of hypophosphatemia as a part of refeeding syndrome in patients in the HCR group were not statistically different compared with those in the low-calorie refeeding group ( OR: 0.95, 95% CI 0.51 to 1.75, P=0.87). Conclusions:HCR regimens are more likely to promote weight regain and shorten hospitalization without increasing the risk of developing refeeding syndrome or hypophosphatemia. This study supports the clinical effectiveness of HCR regimens for the treatment of adolescents with anorexia nervosa, with favorable safety and feasibility in clinical practice.
9.Treatment response of a two-dose regimen of dose-adjusted inotuzumab ozogamicin in relapsed/refractory B-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia.
Li hong AN ; De Feng ZHAO ; Rui Feng HOU ; Huan Huan GUAN ; Hong YAN ; Yue Hui LIN ; Chun Rong TONG ; Tong WU ; Shuang You LIU
Chinese Journal of Hematology 2023;44(11):911-916
Objective: To observe the treatment response of a two-dose regimen of inotuzumab ozogamicin (inotuzumab), a monoclonal antibody targeting CD22, for patients with heavily treated relapsed/refractory B-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia (R/R B-ALL), including those failed or relapsed after chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) -T-cell therapy. Methods: Pediatric and adult patients who received two doses of inotuzumab and who were evaluated after inotuzumab treatment were included. Antibody infusions were performed between March 2020 and September 2022. All patients expressed CD22 antigen as detected by flow cytometry (>80% leukemic cells displaying CD22) before treatment. For adults, the maximum dosage per administration was 1 mg (with a total of two administrations). For children, the maximum dosage per administration was 0.85 mg/m(2) (no more than 1 mg/dose; total of two administrations). The total dosage administered to each patient was less than the standard dosage of 1.8 mg/m(2). Results: Twenty-one patients with R/R B-ALL were included, including five children (<18 years old) and sixteen adults. Seventeen patients presented with 5.0% -99.0% leukemic blasts in the bone marrow/peripheral blood or with extramedullary disease, and four patients were minimal residual disease (MRD) -positive. Fourteen patients underwent both CD19 and CD22 CAR-T-cell therapy, four underwent CD19 CAR-T-cell therapy, and three underwent blinatumomab therapy. Eleven patients underwent allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT). After inotuzumab treatment, 14 of 21 patients (66.7% ) achieved a complete response (CR, one was MRD-positive CR), and all four MRD-positive patients turned MRD-negative. Four of six patients who failed recent CD22 CAR-T-cell therapy achieved a CR after subsequent inotuzumab treatment. Seven patients (33.3% ) demonstrated no response. Grade 1-3 hepatotoxicity occurred in five patients (23.8% ), one child with no response experienced hepatic veno-occlusive disease (HVOD) during salvage transplantation and recovered completely. Conclusion: For patients with heavily treated R/R B-ALL, including those who had undergone allo-HSCT and CD19/CD22 CAR-T-cell therapy, the two-dose regimen of inotuzumab resulted in a CR rate of 66.7%, and the frequency of hepatotoxicity and HVOD was low.
Adult
;
Humans
;
Child
;
Adolescent
;
Inotuzumab Ozogamicin
;
Receptors, Chimeric Antigen
;
Precursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma/therapy*
;
Antibodies, Monoclonal
;
Adaptor Proteins, Signal Transducing
;
Antigens, CD19
;
Chemical and Drug Induced Liver Injury
10.Development and validation of a prognostic model for patients with sepsis in intensive care unit
Ziming JIANG ; Hongliang WANG ; Sumei WANG ; Chun GUAN ; Yan QU
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2023;35(8):800-806
Objective:To analyze the risk factors related to the prognosis of patients with sepsis in intensive care unit (ICU), construct a nomogram model, and verify its predictive efficacy.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted using data from Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-Ⅳ 0.4 [MIMIC-Ⅳ (version 2.0)]. The information of 6 500 patients with sepsis who meet the diagnostic criteria of Sepsis-3 were collected, including demography characteristics, complications, laboratory indicators within 24 hours after ICU admission, and final outcome. Using a simple random sampling method, the patients were divided into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 7∶3. The restricted cubic spline (RCS) was used to explore whether there was a linear relationship between each variable and the prognosis, and the nonlinear variables were truncated into categorical variables. All variables were screened by LASSO regression and included in multivariate Cox regression analysis to analyze the death risk factors in ICU patients with sepsis, and construct a nomograph. The consistency index, calibration curve and receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) were used to evaluate the prediction efficiency of nomogram model. The decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to validate the clinical value of the model and its impact on actual decision-making.Results:Among 6 500 patients with sepsis, 4 551 were in the training set and 1 949 were in the validation set. The 28-day, 90-day and 1-year mortality in the training set were 27.73% (1?262/4?551), 34.76% (1?582/4?551), and 42.98% (1?956/4?551), respectively, those in the validation set were 27.24% (531/1?949), 33.91% (661/1?949), and 42.23% (823/1?949), respectively. Both in training set and the validation set, compared with the final survival patients, the death patients were older, and had higher sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score and simplified acute physiology scoreⅡ (SAPSⅡ), more comorbidities, less urine output, and more use of vasoactive drugs, kidney replacement therapy, and mechanical ventilation. By RCS analysis, the variables with potential nonlinear correlation with the prognosis risk of septic patients were transformed into categorical variable. The variables screened by LASSO regression were enrolled in the multivariate Cox regression model. The results showed that age [hazard ratio ( HR) = 1.021, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) was 1.018-1.024], SOFA score ( HR = 1.020, 95% CI was 1.000-1.040), SAPSⅡ score > 44 ( HR = 1.480, 95% CI was 1.340-1.634), mean arterial pressure (MAP) ≤ 75 mmHg (1 mmHg ≈ 0.133 kPa; HR = 1.120, 95% CI was 1.026-1.222), respiratory rate (RR; HR = 1.044, 95% CI was 1.034-1.055), cerebrovascular disease ( HR = 1.620, 95% CI was 1.443-1.818), malignant tumor ( HR = 1.604, 95% CI was 1.447-1.778), severe liver disease ( HR = 1.330, 95% CI was 1.157-1.530), use of vasoactive drugs within 24 hours ( HR = 1.213, 95% CI was 1.101-1.336), arterial partial pressure of oxygen (PaO 2; HR = 0.999, 95% CI was 0.998-1.000), blood lactic acid (Lac; HR = 1.066, 95% CI was 1.053-1.079), blood urea nitrogen (BUN) > 8.9 mmol/L ( HR = 1.257, 95% CI was 1.144-1.381), total bilirubin (TBil; HR = 1.023, 95% CI was 1.015-1.031), and prothrombin time (PT) > 14.5 s ( HR = 1.232, 95% CI was 1.127-1.347) were associated with the death of ICU patients with sepsis (all P < 0.05). Based on the above factors, a nomogram model was constructed, and the model validation results showed that the consistency index was 0.730. The calibration curve showed a good consistency between the predicted results of the nomogram model and observed results in the training and validation sets. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the ROC curve (AUC) predicted by the nomogram model in the training set and the validation set for 28-day, 90-day and 1-year death risk was 0.771 (95% CI was 0.756-0.786) and 0.761 (95% CI was 0.738-0.784), 0.777 (95% CI was 0.763-0.791) and 0.765 (95% CI was 0.744-0.787), 0.677 (95% CI was 0.648-0.707) and 0.685 (95% CI was 0.641-0.728), respectively. DCA analysis showed that the nomogram model had significant net benefits in predicting 28-day, 90-day, and 1-year death risk, verifying the clinical value of the model and its good impact on actual decision-making. Conclusions:The death risk factors related to ICU patients with sepsis include age, SOFA score, SAPSⅡ score > 44, MAP ≤ 75 mmHg, RR, cerebrovascular disease, malignant tumors, severe liver disease, use of vasoactive drugs within 24 hours, PaO 2, Lac, BUN, TBil, PT > 14.5 s. The nomogram model constructed based on this can predict the death risk of ICU patients with sepsis.

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail