1.Risk factors for postoperative anterior chamber exudation in age-related cataract patients and construction of a nomogram prediction model
Chuanhua ZHUO ; Shiyong LI ; Tingting JI ; Yu TANG
International Eye Science 2026;26(1):96-102
AIM: To explore the risk factors for postoperative anterior chamber exudation in cataract patients and construct a nomogram prediction model.METHODS: Retrospective study. From July 2019 to October 2024, 450 patients(467 eyes)with age-related cataract who underwent surgery in our hospital were collected as the study subjects. They were randomly grouped into a modeling group(315 cases, 327 eyes)and a validation group(135 cases, 140 eyes)roughly estimated at a 7:3 ratio using the random number table method. Both groups were separated into a non-exudative group and an exudative group based on whether anterior chamber exudation occurred after surgery. Clinical basic data was collected; multivariate Logistic regression was applied to analyze the influencing factors of anterior chamber exudation in patients with age-related cataract after surgery; R software was applied to draw a nomogram prediction model of anterior chamber exudation in patients with age-related cataract after surgery; the calibration curve and Hosmer Lemeshow(H-L)test were applied to evaluate the calibration of the column plot model in predicting the occurrence of anterior chamber exudation in patients with age-related cataract after surgery; ROC was applied to evaluate the efficacy of anterior chamber exudation in patients with age-related cataract after surgery.RESULTS:The clinical characteristics of the modeling group and the validation group were comparable. The high myopia, history of uveitis, preoperative intraocular pressure, lens nuclear grade, intraoperative cumulative dissipated energy, and intraoperative posterior capsular rupture of the lens were the influencing factors for postoperative anterior chamber exudation in patients with age-related cataract(all P<0.05). The results of the modeling group verifying the occurrence of anterior chamber exudation in patients with age-related cataract after surgery showed that the area under the ROC curve(AUC)was 0.986(95% CI: 0.966-0.996), the H-L test was χ2=6.494, P=0.592, indicating that the risk of anterior chamber exudation in patients with age-related cataract after surgery predicted by model had good consistency with actual risks, the AUC of postoperative anterior chamber exudation in patients with age-related cataract based on external validation was 0.982(95% CI: 0.960-0.994); and the H-L test suggested that the risk of anterior chamber exudation in CAT patients after surgery predicted by model had good consistency with actual risks(χ2=6.117, P=0.634).CONCLUSION:High myopia, history of uveitis, preoperative intraocular pressure, lens nuclear grade, intraoperative cumulative dissipated energy, and intraoperative posterior capsular rupture of the lens are risk factors for postoperative anterior chamber exudation in patients with age-related cataract; the nomogram prediction model constructed based on this has high predictive value, and can provide reference for individualized prevention of anterior chamber exudation in patients with age-related cataract after surgery.

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