1.Analysis and prediction of disease burden of stroke and its subtypes in China from 1990 to 2040.
Jing WANG ; Chunlong XIAO ; Zhao CHENG ; Hongxiang LIU ; Weixi ZHANG ; Chuanhua YU
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(19):2452-2463
BACKGROUND:
In China, stroke burden remains severe as it is a major cause of mortality and disability. Detailed analyses across different subtypes will help optimize intervention strategies, enhance resource allocation efficiency, and ultimately reduce the overall disease burden.
METHODS:
We conducted a descriptive analysis of the incidence, prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), years of life lost (YLLs), and years lived with disability (YLDs) of stroke and its subtypes using data (1990-2021) from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database. A Joinpoint regression model was applied to quantitatively analyze the indicators and calculate the annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC). We applied the Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model to project trends for 2022-2040.
RESULTS:
Incidence of stroke increased by 100.64% from 1990 to 2021, with ischemic stroke (IS) exhibiting the largest increase (201.13%) among all the subtypes, and the incidence being consistently higher in males than in females. The YLL/YLD ratio for stroke and its subtypes has decreased, with the YLL/YLD ratio falling from 20.13 to 9.48 in 1990-2021, indicating an increase in non-fatal burden. After adjusting for age, the age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) of stroke and its subtypes declined, except for IS. The age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) for subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) decreased significantly (APC: -15.31%; 2000-2004), with the largest reduction in the age-standardized DALY rate (ASDR) also occurring during this period (APC: -14.22%). Furthermore, BAPC projections (2022-2040) indicate that stroke ASIRs in males will slightly decline but increase in females. Meanwhile, the ASIR of IS is expected to continue to rise. Overall, the ASMR and ASDR are projected to decline.
CONCLUSIONS
Although China has made some progress in stroke prevention and control, several challenges remain. Controlling IS must be prioritized, especially due to the high stroke burden among males.
2.Trend analysis and prediction of disease burden of Alzheimer's disease attributable to high body mass index and high fasting plasma glucose
Wenqi SHI ; Kaiyue ZHANG ; Changqing XU ; Chuanhua YU ; Fang WANG
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2025;44(10):1363-1370
Objective:To understand the trends of the disease burden of Alzheimer's disease(AD)attributable to high body mass index(BMI)and high fasting plasma glucose(FPG)in the past 30 years and future trends in China, and to provide suggestions for the prevention and treatment of AD.Methods:Based on the Global Burden of Disease Research Database(GBD), data on AD deaths and disability adjusted life years(DALYs)attributable to high BMI and high FPG were collected from 1990 to 2021 in Chinese and global populations.The Joinpoint log-linear regression model was used to explore and compare the changing trends of AD burden in China and globally from 1990 to 2021, and a Bayesian age-period-cohort model was constructed for predictive analysis.Results:In 2021, the age-standardized mortality and DALYs rates of AD attributed to high BMI in the Chinese population were 1.256/100, 000 and 24.751/100, 000, respectively, and those attributed to high FPG were 3.636/100, 000 and 66.721/100, 000, respectively.The age-standardized rates of mortality and DALYs of females were both higher than those of males.From 1990 to 2021, the age-standardized rates of mortality and DALYs of AD attributed to high BMI increased slowly at first and then rapidly in China, the corresponding average annual percent change(AAPC)and 95% confidence interval(95% CI)were 9.87%(9.63%-10.12%), and 9.81%(9.54%-10.09%), respectively( P<0.001). The age-standardized rates of mortality and DALYs of AD caused by high FPG showed a fluctuating upward trend, with AAPC of 0.29%(95% CI: 0.17%-0.41%)and 0.53%(95% CI: 0.45%-0.61%), respectively( P<0.001). It is predicted that by 2030, the age-standardized rates of mortality and DALYs of AD attributed to high BMI and high FPG in the whole population of China will increase to 4.87/100 000 and 97.20/100 000, both lower than the global level(5.45/100 000 and 100.24/100 000). In addition to a slight decline in the age-standardized mortality rate in Chinese men, the age-standardized rates of mortality and DALYs attributed to high BMI and high FPG in Chinese women and the global population will both show an upward trend. Conclusions:The burden of AD attributed to high BMI and high FPG is relatively severe, with gender differences, and is expected to increase slightly by 2030.It is recommended that early identification of key high-risk populations of AD should be strengthened, especially for the elderly and female groups.Interventions targeting modifiable risk factors should be carried out, and effective measures should be adopted to reduce the burden of AD.
3.A case report of symmetric peripheral gangrene caused by urosepsis related to urinary stones
Hailang LIU ; Wei XIANG ; Wei WU ; Jingdong YUAN ; Chuanhua ZHANG ; Lei LYU
Chinese Journal of Urology 2025;46(1):62-64
Symmetric peripheral gangrene (SPG) is a rare and disabling severe complication, often associated with critical conditions like septic shock. However, the occurrence of SPG in the context of stone-related urosepsis is extremely uncommon. This article reports a patient who developed SPG as a complication of urosepsis induced by urinary stone. The patient was admitted with sepsis secondary to a right ureteral stone, and the condition rapidly progressed to septic shock. After receiving anti-shock treatment and relief of the ureteral obstruction, the patient developed ischemic signs in the extremities. Despite appropriate treatment, the patient's fingers returned to normal, while both toes progressed to SPG. After two months, both feet remained swollen, with necrosis and detachment of the right toes. The patient also experienced a loss of pain, temperature, and tactile sensation, along with marked limitations in both flexion and extension of the right toes.
4.Trend analysis and prediction of disease burden of Alzheimer's disease attributable to high body mass index and high fasting plasma glucose
Wenqi SHI ; Kaiyue ZHANG ; Changqing XU ; Chuanhua YU ; Fang WANG
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2025;44(10):1363-1370
Objective:To understand the trends of the disease burden of Alzheimer's disease(AD)attributable to high body mass index(BMI)and high fasting plasma glucose(FPG)in the past 30 years and future trends in China, and to provide suggestions for the prevention and treatment of AD.Methods:Based on the Global Burden of Disease Research Database(GBD), data on AD deaths and disability adjusted life years(DALYs)attributable to high BMI and high FPG were collected from 1990 to 2021 in Chinese and global populations.The Joinpoint log-linear regression model was used to explore and compare the changing trends of AD burden in China and globally from 1990 to 2021, and a Bayesian age-period-cohort model was constructed for predictive analysis.Results:In 2021, the age-standardized mortality and DALYs rates of AD attributed to high BMI in the Chinese population were 1.256/100, 000 and 24.751/100, 000, respectively, and those attributed to high FPG were 3.636/100, 000 and 66.721/100, 000, respectively.The age-standardized rates of mortality and DALYs of females were both higher than those of males.From 1990 to 2021, the age-standardized rates of mortality and DALYs of AD attributed to high BMI increased slowly at first and then rapidly in China, the corresponding average annual percent change(AAPC)and 95% confidence interval(95% CI)were 9.87%(9.63%-10.12%), and 9.81%(9.54%-10.09%), respectively( P<0.001). The age-standardized rates of mortality and DALYs of AD caused by high FPG showed a fluctuating upward trend, with AAPC of 0.29%(95% CI: 0.17%-0.41%)and 0.53%(95% CI: 0.45%-0.61%), respectively( P<0.001). It is predicted that by 2030, the age-standardized rates of mortality and DALYs of AD attributed to high BMI and high FPG in the whole population of China will increase to 4.87/100 000 and 97.20/100 000, both lower than the global level(5.45/100 000 and 100.24/100 000). In addition to a slight decline in the age-standardized mortality rate in Chinese men, the age-standardized rates of mortality and DALYs attributed to high BMI and high FPG in Chinese women and the global population will both show an upward trend. Conclusions:The burden of AD attributed to high BMI and high FPG is relatively severe, with gender differences, and is expected to increase slightly by 2030.It is recommended that early identification of key high-risk populations of AD should be strengthened, especially for the elderly and female groups.Interventions targeting modifiable risk factors should be carried out, and effective measures should be adopted to reduce the burden of AD.
5.A case report of symmetric peripheral gangrene caused by urosepsis related to urinary stones
Hailang LIU ; Wei XIANG ; Wei WU ; Jingdong YUAN ; Chuanhua ZHANG ; Lei LYU
Chinese Journal of Urology 2025;46(1):62-64
Symmetric peripheral gangrene (SPG) is a rare and disabling severe complication, often associated with critical conditions like septic shock. However, the occurrence of SPG in the context of stone-related urosepsis is extremely uncommon. This article reports a patient who developed SPG as a complication of urosepsis induced by urinary stone. The patient was admitted with sepsis secondary to a right ureteral stone, and the condition rapidly progressed to septic shock. After receiving anti-shock treatment and relief of the ureteral obstruction, the patient developed ischemic signs in the extremities. Despite appropriate treatment, the patient's fingers returned to normal, while both toes progressed to SPG. After two months, both feet remained swollen, with necrosis and detachment of the right toes. The patient also experienced a loss of pain, temperature, and tactile sensation, along with marked limitations in both flexion and extension of the right toes.
6.Disease burden attributable to high temperature in Chinese population in 2019 compared with 1990
Wenqi SHI ; Chuanhua YU ; Changqing XU ; Kaiyue ZHANG ; Fang WANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2024;35(6):36-40
Objective To analyze and compare the change of disease burden attributed to high temperature in the Chinese population in 2019 compared with 1990. Methods Based on the global burden of disease study data in 2019, the number of deaths, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALY) and DALY rate attributable to high temperature in Chinese population of different ages and genders in 1990 and 2019 were extracted to analyze the changing trend of disease burden attributable to high temperature exposure in Chinese population and its main causes. The Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the trend of changes in standardized attributable DALY rates. Results Compared with 1990, the number of disease deaths attributable to high temperature in China in 2019 increased from 10 700 to 13 900, and the attributable DALY decreased from 532,200 to 276 100 person-years. The standardized mortality and DALY rates decreased by 35.25% and 65.20%, respectively. The burden attributable to high temperature was higher in males than in females, and the burden was relatively heavier in the population aged 70 and above. In 2019, chronic non-communicable diseases were the main cause of the attributable burden of high temperature exposure, and ischemic heart disease had the highest DALY burden, with an age-standardized DALY rate of 4.64/100 000. Conclusion The absolute death burden attributable to high temperature exposure in Chinese population is still increasing. It is necessary to pay more attention to high-risk groups such as men and the elderly, continue to strengthen environmental protection, and formulate relevant interventions in a targeted way to further reduce the disease burden caused by high temperature exposure.
7.Distribution and drug resistance of pathogenic bacteria in urinary tract infection in a tertiary hospital of Hubei Province in 2017-2019
Ji ZHANG ; Liang SHEN ; Chuanhua WANG ; Shichao LI
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2022;33(4):75-78
Objective To retrospectively analyze the distribution and drug resistance of pathogenic bacteria in urinary tract infection in Xiangyang Central Hospital from 2017-2019, so as to provide a basis for clinical treatment of urinary tract infection and rational use of antibiotics. Methods The pathogenic bacteria isolated from clinical urine culture in Xiangyang Central Hospital from January 2017 to December 2019 were collected, and BD PhoenixTM 100 was used for the identification of pathogens and antimicrobial sensitivity test. The WHONET 5.6 and GraphPad Prism 5.0 software were used for data analysis. Results A total of 3 056 strains of pathogens were isolated from 15 672 urine specimens (19.50%). Gram-negative bacteria accounted for 77.95%, of which E. coli was the most common (52.45%). Gram-positive bacteria accounted for 12.63%, including E. faecalis (4.80%) and E. faecium (4.80%). Fungi accounted for 9.50%. The clinical departments with the highest rates of urinary culture submission and positive detection were Urology (26.20%) and Endocrinology (41.90%), respectively. E. coli and K. pneumoniae had high resistance rates to piperacillin, compound trimethoprim, cefuroxime, ceftriaxone and cefazolin, all exceeding 50.00%, while P. aeruginosa was relatively sensitive to various antibiotics. The resistance rates of these three gram-negative bacteria to carbapenem antibiotics increased year by year. The isolated gram-positive cocci were mainly enterococcus faecalis and enterococcus faecalis. They were highly sensitive to linazolamide, vancomycin and teicoplanin, but the resistance rates to other types of antibiotics were quite different. The average detection rates of ESBLs-producing E. coli and K. pneumoniae were 52.90% and 59.00%, respectively. Conclusion The pathogens of urinary tract infections in Xiangyang Central Hospital from 2017 to 2019 are mainly gram-negative bacteria, and the resistance rate to carbapenem drugs is increasing year by year. The ESBLs-producing strains of E. coli and K. pneumoniae are highon should be strengthened in patients with high DOB value and smoking.
8.Prognosis value of immune-related gene CEBPB in clear cell renal cell carcinoma
Lei LYU ; Fuxin ZHENG ; Wei XIANG ; Yan FENG ; Chuanhua ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Urology 2021;42(11):849-855
Objective:To explore the correlation between CCAAT enhancer binding protein beta (CEBPB) expression and clinical characteristics in ccRCC, and to investigate the effect of CEBPB on proliferation and invasion of ccRCC cells.Methods:Between March 2020 to December 2020, the transcriptome and clinical data of 537 ccRCC cases were downloaded from TCGA database, and the correlation of CEBPB expression with clinical characteristics of ccRCC were analyzed. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis were used to determine the effect of CEBPB expression on the prognosis of ccRCC patients. The correlation between CEBPB expression and immunocyte infiltration in ccRCC was investigated via TIMER database. The expression levels of CEBPB mRNA and protein in human renal tubular epithelial cell line HK2 and ccRCC cell lines (Caki-1, ACHN, 786O, 769P and A498) were determined by real-time PCR and western blot, respectively. After transfected with NC siRNA or CEBPB siRNA for 48 h, the proliferation and invasion of ACHN cells and 786O cells were determined by using MTT assay and invasion assay, respectively.Results:TCGA databases analysis revealed that, compared with normal kidney tissue, the expression of CEBPB mRNA in ccRCC was up-regulated by 2.55-fold ( P<0.05). CEBPB expression was positively correlated with age, tumor grade, tumor stage, lymph node metastasis and distant metastasis ( P<0.05). The tumor grade ( HR=1.703, P=0.040), tumor stage( HR=1.773, P=0.026), distant metastasis ( HR=3.080, P<0.001) and the high expression of CEBPB ( HR=1.874, P=0.003) were independent poor prognostic factors for ccRCC patients. The analysis results by using TIMER database showed that CEBPB expression was positively correlated with infiltrating levels of B cells (Rho=0.168), M2 macrophages (Rho=0.373), Tregs (Rho=0.348), neutrophils (Rho=0.194), and natural killer T cell (Rho=0.421) in ccRCC. The expression level of CEBPB mRNA in Caki-1, ACHN, 786O, 769P and A498 cells was (9.43±1.25)-fold, (5.44±0.82)-fold, (4.50±0.52)-fold, (4.88±0.73)-fold and (7.50 ± 1.04)-fold of HK2 cells, respectively. The expression level of CEBPB protein was (6.22±0.45)-fold, (5.84±0.85)-fold, (6.51±0.55)-fold, (6.23±0.62)-fold and (3.84±0.45)-fold of HK2 cells, respectively ( P<0.05). MTT assay showed that the proliferation rates of ACHN cells and 786O cells at 24, 48, 72, 96 h were (98.4±1.7)% and (99.0±1.4)%, (97.8±2.1)% and (98.5±1.5)%, (101.3±1.2)% and (97.6±1.7)%, (97.5±2.0)% and (99.1±1.3)% in NC siRNA group, and (68.8±5.8)% and (79.5±6.2)%, (57.9 ± 6.1)% and (70.8±5.1)%, (50.9±4.6)% and (66.8±4.9)%, (43.2±5.0)% and (60.5±5.3)% in CEBPB siRNA group. Compared with NC siRNA group, the proliferation activity of ACHN cells and 786O cells was significantly inhibited in the CEBPB siRNA group ( P<0.05). Cell invasion assay showed that the invasion activity of ACHN cells and 786O cells were (95.0±5.2)% and (97.3±4.4)% in NC siRNA group, (35.2±5.4)% and (26.7±3.3)% in CEBPB siRNA group, respectively ( P<0.05). Compared with NC siRNA group, the invasion activity of ACHN cells and 786O cells were significantly inhibited in the CEBPB siRNA group ( P<0.05). Conclusions:CEBPB was highly expressed in ccRCC, which was closely related to the prognosis and immunocyte infiltration of ccRCC patients. Silencing the expression of CEBPB significantly inhibited the proliferation and invasion of ccRCC cells
9.Distribution and Influencing Factors of Patients with Extra-long Hospital Stay from 128 Hospitals in Hubei Province
Yang WU ; Chuanhua YU ; Yangxu WANG ; Shuang ZHANG ; Zhong JIN ; Rongxian MA
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2020;31(6):24-28
Objective Analyze the distribution and influencing factors of inpatients with extra-long hospital stay in Hubei Province. Methods Length of stay≥30 days was defined as the extra-long hospital stay, and logistic regression was used to determine the risk factors. Results There were 26 043 cases with extra-long hospital stay, which accounting for 2.88% of the total cases. Proportion of extra-long hospital stay was increased with age, the proportion of the group aged 65 and above was the highest (3.25%), and which were higher in males than that of females, the sex ratio was 1.58. Patients with extra-long hospital stay mainly had injury/poisoning and certain other consequences of external causes (16.88%), circulatory system disease (12.72%), neoplasms (11.23%), genitourinary system diseases (8.13%), mental and behavioral disorders (6.27%), and the proportion totaled up to 52.23%. Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that gender, age, type of disease, surgery or not and hospital grade were the influencing factors of extra-long hospital stay. Conclusions There are differences in the distribution of extra-long hospital stay in different individuals, diseases and medical treatment, targeted measures should be taken to shorten the length of stay.
10.Mortality trend in nasopharynx cancer in Chinese resident from 1987 to 2015.
Xiaoxue LIU ; Zhijiang ZHANG ; Chuanhua YU
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2018;43(7):760-766
To analyze epidemical features, distribution and time trend for nasopharynx cancer deaths in China from 1987 to 2015.
Methods: Negative binomial regression model was used to explore population-level risk factors for nasopharynx cancer deaths and a joinpoint regression model was used to estimate annual changes in nasopharynx cancer mortality in various populations.
Results: A falling trend in age-standardized nasopharynx cancer mortality rates was observed among Chinese residents with the average annual percent change (AAPC) at -2.97% among urban female residents and -2.60% among rural female residents (P<0.05), -2.01% among urban male residents, and -1.68% among rural male residents (P<0.05), respectively. It decreased yearly for urban male aged over 85 years with AAPC at -1.54% and the age-specific mortality rates decreased yearly for the urban female aged over 85 years with AAPC at -0.60%, the age-specific mortality rates decreased yearly for rural male residents aged more than 65 years with AAPC at -0.56% and for rural female residents aged more than 85 with AAPC at 1.17%, with no significant difference (P<0.05). The nasopharynx cancer deaths risks were higher in urban residents than those in rural residents (OR=1.11, P<0.01), and they were also higher in male residents than those in female residents (OR=2.34, P<0.01). A 5-year increment in age was associated with a 23% increase in nasopharynx cancer mortality (OR=1.23, P<0.01) and a one year increment in calendar year was related to a 2% decrease in mortality (OR=0.98, P<0.01).
Conclusion: There was a significant gender and age difference in a decreased trend of nasopharynx cancer mortality among Chinese residents in a long period; no increased trend was observed in the overall populations over 85 years old.
Age Distribution
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Aged
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Aged, 80 and over
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China
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epidemiology
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Female
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Humans
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Male
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Mortality
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trends
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Nasopharyngeal Neoplasms
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mortality
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Rural Population
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statistics & numerical data
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trends
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Sex Distribution
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Urban Population
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statistics & numerical data
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trends


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