OBJECTIVE: The Asia-Pacific region has a high chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) burden, but studies on its trends are limited. Using the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 data, we analyzed COPD trends in 36 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019 and predicted future incidence trends through 2034. METHODS: COPD data by age and sex from the GBD 2019 database were analyzed for incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALY) rates from 1990 to 2019. Joinpoint regression identified significant annual trends, and age-standardized incidence rates were predicted through 2034 using age-period-cohort models. RESULTS: The incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disease burden of COPD have been decreasing, and the incidence rates will continue to decrease or remain stable until 2034 in most selected countries and territories, except for a few Southeastern Asian countries. The Lao People's Democratic Republic and Vietnam are projected to experience an increase in COPD incidence from 165.3 per 100,000 in 2019 to 177 per 100,000 in 2034 and from 179.9 per 100,000 in 2019 to 192.5 per 100,000 in 2034, respectively. Older males had a higher incidence than any other sex or age group. The sex gap in incidence rates continues to widen, though it is smaller and less significant in the younger age group than in those in the older one. CONCLUSION COPD rates are expected to decline until 2034 but remain a health risk, especially in countries with rising rates. Urgent action on tobacco control, air pollution, and public education is needed.
Humans ; Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/mortality* ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Aged ; Incidence ; Asia/epidemiology* ; Adult ; Prevalence ; Cost of Illness ; Aged, 80 and over ; Disability-Adjusted Life Years ; Young Adult ; Global Burden of Disease ; Adolescent

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the relationship between physical activity and genetic risk and their combined effects on the risk of developing chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. METHODS: This prospective cohort study included 318,085 biobank participants from the UK. Physical activity was assessed using the short form of the International Physical Activity Questionnaire. The participants were stratified into low-, intermediate-, and high-genetic-risk groups based on their polygenic risk scores. Multivariate Cox regression models and multiplicative interaction analyses were used. RESULTS: During a median follow-up period of 13 years, 9,209 participants were diagnosed with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. For low genetic risk, compared to low physical activity, the hazard ratios ( HRs) for moderate and high physical activity were 0.853 (95% confidence interval [ CI]: 0.748-0.972) and 0.831 (95% CI: 0.727-0.950), respectively. For intermediate genetic risk, the HRs were 0.829 (95% CI: 0.758-0.905) and 0.835 (95% CI: 0.764-0.914), respectively. For participants with high genetic risk, the HRs were 0.809 (95% CI: 0.746-0.877) and 0.818 (95% CI: 0.754-0.888), respectively. A significant interaction was observed between genetic risk and physical activity. CONCLUSION Moderate or high levels of physical activity were associated with a lower risk of developing chronic obstructive pulmonary disease across all genetic risk groups, highlighting the need to tailor activity interventions for genetically susceptible individuals.
Humans ; Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/epidemiology* ; Exercise ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Prospective Studies ; Aged ; Genetic Predisposition to Disease ; Risk Factors ; United Kingdom/epidemiology* ; Incidence ; Adult

OBJECTIVE: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a major health concern in northwest China; however, the impact of particulate matter (PM) exposure during sand-dust storms (SDS) remains poorly understood. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the association between PM exposure on SDS days and COPD hospitalization risk in arid regions. METHODS: Data on daily COPD hospitalizations were collected from 323 hospitals from 2018 to 2022, along with the corresponding air pollutant and meteorological data for each city in Gansu Province. Employing a space-time-stratified case-crossover design and conditional Poisson regression, we analyzed 265,379 COPD hospitalizations. RESULTS: PM exposure during SDS days significantly increased COPD hospitalization risk [relative risk ( RR) for PM _2.5, lag 3:1.028, 95% confidence interval ( CI): 1.021-1.034], particularly among men and the elderly, and during the cold season. The burden of PM exposure on COPD hospitalization was substantially high in Northwest China, especially in the arid and semi-arid regions. CONCLUSION Our findings revealed a positive correlation between PM exposure during SDS episodes and elevated hospitalization rates for COPD in arid and semi-arid zones in China. This highlights the urgency of developing region-specific public health strategies to address adverse respiratory outcomes associated with SDS-related air quality deterioration.
Humans ; China/epidemiology* ; Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/chemically induced* ; Particulate Matter/analysis* ; Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data* ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Aged ; Air Pollutants/analysis* ; Environmental Exposure/adverse effects* ; Spatio-Temporal Analysis ; Adult ; Sand ; Air Pollution

Objective To investigate the association between gastroesophageal reflux disease(GERD)and the risk of incident chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD)and explore potential effect modifiers influencing this association.Methods Clinical data from 476 175 participants in the UK Biobank(2006-2010)were collected.A Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess the relationship between GERD and the risk of incident COPD.Subgroup analyses were conducted to examine potential modifiers of the primary findings.Results A total of 11 587(2.43%)new COPD cases were diagnosed.The Cox proportional hazards model revealed that GERD was associated with an increased risk of incident COPD(HR=1.59,95%CI=1.46-1.74,P<0.001).GERD was linked to a higher risk of incident COPD in individuals aged<60 years(P<0.001)and non-smokers(P=0.011).No association was observed between GERD and the risk of incident COPD in current smokers with a daily cigarette consumption<10 cigarettes(P=0.261).Conclusion GERD may increase the risk of incident COPD.
Humans ; Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/epidemiology* ; Gastroesophageal Reflux/epidemiology* ; Middle Aged ; Proportional Hazards Models ; Incidence ; Male ; Risk Factors ; Female ; Aged

BACKGROUND: Despite some studies identifying a potential association between obesity and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) risk, previous research had overlooked the dynamic nature of body weight over time, leading to inconsistent findings. The purpose of this study is to elucidate the relationship between adult weight change and COPD risk by adjusting for potential confounding factors. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis using data from ten NHANES cycles (1999-2018), including adults aged 40-74 years. Weight change patterns were assessed using BMI at three time points and classified into five categories per period. Absolute weight change was also grouped into five levels. Multivariate logistic regression models, incorporating sampling weights, were used to examine associations between weight change and COPD, adjusting for demographic and lifestyle covariates. RESULTS: Compared with participants who maintained normal weight, stable obesity participants had increased risk of COPD from age 25 years to 10 years before the survey (OR = 1.45, 95% CI = 1.15 to 1.83), in the 10 years period before the survey (OR = 1.75, 95% CI = 1.47 to 2.08), and from age 25 years to survey (OR = 1.84, 95% CI = 1.46 to 2.31). Three periods indicate that weight gain in adulthood was associated with risk of COPD. In addition, substantial weight gain of more than 20 kg was associated with a higher risk of COPD. In stratified analyses, we also observed a more significant association between weight change and the risk of COPD in never smokers compared to former smokers. CONCLUSIONS Our study suggested that stable obesity and weight gain in adulthood were associated with an increased risk of COPD compared to those who maintain a normal weight, and that the association between weight gain and the incidence of COPD appears closer in patients who have never smoked.
Humans ; Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/etiology* ; Middle Aged ; Male ; Female ; Adult ; Aged ; Retrospective Studies ; Weight Gain ; Obesity/complications* ; Risk Factors ; United States/epidemiology* ; Nutrition Surveys ; Body Mass Index

BACKGROUND: Chronic constipation is a long-term problem that decreases children's quality of life. Information and communication technology devices have developed rapidly in recent decades and have had various impacts on children. This prospective cohort study examined the association between television/digital versatile disc (TV/DVD) screen exposure time at age 1 and the risk of chronic constipation at age 3. METHODS: Data from 63,697 infants in the Japan Environment and Children's Study (JECS) were analyzed. We divided participants into five groups according to TV/DVD exposure time per day: no exposure (0 h), short exposure (<1 h), middle exposure (1.0-<2.0 h), long exposure (2.0-<4.0 h), and very long exposure (≥4 h). Logistic regression analysis was performed to assess the association between TV/DVD exposure time and the risk of constipation. For logistic regression analysis, odds ratios (ORs) were adjusted for sex, parents' education, household income, nursery school, feeding contents, and obesity. The interaction between the sexes was also examined. RESULTS: The prevalence of constipation for males, females, and all participants at age 3 was 9.3, 11.0, and 10.1%, respectively. The TV/DVD screen time distribution per day at age 1 was 10.6% for none, 34.1% for short, 29.9% for middle, 19.2% for long, and 6.2% for the very long exposure group. After adjusting for confounding factors, a dose-response pattern was identified between TV/DVD exposure time and constipation in all participants (p for trend < 0.001). The adjusted ORs increased progressively in the short (OR 1.15, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-1.27), middle (OR 1.22, 95% CI 1.11-1.35), long (OR 1.37, 95% CI 1.24-1.52), and very long exposure groups (OR 1.53, 95% CI 1.35-1.74). This association was not significantly different between the sexes (p for interaction = 0.36). CONCLUSIONS Longer TV/DVD exposure time at age 1 was associated with the risk of chronic constipation at age 3. Excessive screen exposure may need to be avoided from infancy to decrease the risk of chronic constipation in later years.
Humans ; Constipation/etiology* ; Male ; Female ; Japan/epidemiology* ; Television/statistics & numerical data* ; Child, Preschool ; Infant ; Screen Time ; Prospective Studies ; Risk Factors ; Chronic Disease/epidemiology* ; Prevalence

Objective:The objective of this study is to analyze the detection rate, the pathogenic fungus distribution, risk factors and drug sensitivity of fungal infection of external auditory canal in patients diagnosed with chronic otitis media. Methods:The data of a total of 419 patients with chronic suppurative otitis media or middle ear cholesteatoma who were admitted from January 2019 to February 2023 were retrospectively analyzed. Results:A total of 419 patients were included, and 71 patients（16.9%） were positive for fungal culture. The disease mostly occurred in subjects aged 51-60 years old, and patients over 60 years old（47 cases, 66.2%）. From the fungal culture of external auditory canal secretions, 48 cases（11.4%） of Aspergillus and 14 cases（3.3%） of Candida were identified. The prevalence of fungal cultures in patients with chronic suppurative otitis media（20.8%） was significantly higher than that in patients with middle ear cholectestoma（4.9%）. The detection rate of Fungal was significantly increased after topical treatment with antibiotic ear drops（47.0% vs 13.6%）. Most of the isolated fungal strains are wild-type, and they are the sensitivity to voriconazole and fluconazole was the highest（97.2%）. For patients with positive fungal culture, iodoform gauze with triamcinolone acetonide and econazole cream was used to fill the external auditory canal during surgery. There was no significant difference in the tympanic membrane healing rate between patients with positive fungal culture and patients with negative fungal culture at 3 weeks after surgery（98.6% vs 97.7%）. Conclusion:Fungal infections of external auditory canal in patients with chronic otitis media tend to occur in older patients, which is more common in patients with chronic suppurative otitis media. Long-term topical treatment with antibiotic ear drops is an independent risk factor for fungal infection of external auditory canal in patients with chronic otitis media. The isolated fungal strains were highly sensitive to antifungal drugs. Therefore, it is advisable to refrain from employing topical antibiotic treatment for elderly patients with chronic suppurative otitis media/middle ear cholesteatoma, abuse of local antibiotic therapy should be avoided, and Fungal-related pathogenic examinations should be actively performed and anti-fungal drugs should be added if necessary.
Humans ; Middle Aged ; Female ; Male ; Risk Factors ; Retrospective Studies ; Chronic Disease ; Otitis Media, Suppurative/microbiology* ; Ear Canal/microbiology* ; Antifungal Agents/therapeutic use* ; Adult ; Mycoses/epidemiology* ; Aspergillus/isolation & purification* ; Candida/isolation & purification* ; Otitis Media/complications* ; Aged ; Cholesteatoma, Middle Ear/microbiology*

Long-term exposure to particulate matter has been increasingly implicated in the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, its impact on IgA nephropathy (IgAN), a leading cause of end-stage renal disease (ESRD), remains unclear. A total of 1768 IgAN patients, confirmed by renal biopsy were included in this cohort study. Long-term exposure to PM_2.5 and PM₁₀ was assessed using high-resolution satellite-based data from the China High Air Pollutants (CHAP) dataset. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the associations between PM_2.5 or PM₁₀ and ESRD risk, adjusting for demographic, clinical, and biochemical covariates. Over a median follow-up of 3.63 years, 209 participants progressed to ESRD. Higher exposure to both PM_2.5 and PM₁₀ was significantly associated with an increased risk, with hazard ratios of 1.62 and 1.36 per 10 µg/m³ increase, respectively. A nonlinear dose-response relationship was observed, with risk increasing markedly beyond threshold levels. Trajectory modeling of prebaseline exposure identified a subgroup with persistently high and fluctuating particulate matter exposure that showed the highest risk. This study provides strong evidence that prolonged exposure to ambient particulate matter contributes to renal disease progression in individuals with IgAN.
Humans ; Glomerulonephritis, IGA/pathology* ; Particulate Matter/adverse effects* ; Male ; Female ; Kidney Failure, Chronic/epidemiology* ; Adult ; China/epidemiology* ; Disease Progression ; Environmental Exposure/adverse effects* ; Middle Aged ; Proportional Hazards Models ; Risk Factors ; Air Pollutants/adverse effects* ; Cohort Studies

Correctional facilities are a major hub of hepatitis C virus (HCV), with rates far higher than those observed in the general population. Once considered an intractable crisis, the current situation offers a unique opportunity. The advent of direct-acting antivirals has changed the HCV treatment landscape, making its elimination possible. This review summarises the scientific evidence and progress towards HCV elimination in correctional health systems. It outlines the evolution of 'test-and-treat' models, assesses micro-elimination success worldwide, especially in Singapore, and highlights collaborative efforts between Changi General Hospital and Singapore Prison Services. Their implementation of HCV treatment guidelines serves as a key case study in this context. This review also analyses the various barriers - structural, financial, clinical and logistical - that hinder progress. It consolidates strong evidence that prison-based HCV treatment is cost-effective, promotes health equity, supports the World Health Organization 2030 goals and reduces the societal burden of HCV.
Humans ; Singapore ; Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use* ; Hepatitis C, Chronic/epidemiology* ; Prisons ; Prisoners ; Disease Eradication ; Cost-Benefit Analysis ; Hepacivirus ; Correctional Facilities

INTRODUCTION: As the population ages, patient complexity is increasing, intensifying the demand for well-resourced, coordinated care. A deeper understanding of the factors contributing to this complexity is essential for optimising resource allocation. This study evaluates the prevalence of complex care needs in Singapore's primary care settings and identifies the factors associated with these needs. METHOD: Using a qualitative study design, we developed a patient complexity questionnaire to assess how Singapore family physicians recognise patient complexity. Sixty-nine experienced primary care physicians applied this tool to assess patient encounters, categorising each as "routine care" (RC), "medically challenging" (MC), or "complex care" (CC). We compared the care needs across these categories and used mixed-effects multinomial logistic regression to determine the independent predictors of complexity. RESULTS: Of the 4327 encounters evaluated, 15.0% were classified as CC, 18.5% as MC, and 66.4% as RC. In both CC and MC encounters, the most common medical challenges were polypharmacy (66.2% in CC, 44.9% in MC); poorly controlled chronic conditions (41.3% in CC, 24.5% in MC); and treatment interactions (34.4% in CC, 26.0% in MC). Non-medical issues frequently identified included low health literacy (32.6% in CC, 20.8% in MC); limited motivation for healthy lifestyle behaviours (27.2% in CC, 16.6% in MC); and the need for coordinated care with hospital specialists (24.7% in CC, 17.1% in MC). The top 3 independent predictors of complexity included mobility limitations requiring assistance (odds ratio [OR] for requiring wheelchair/trolley: 7.14 for CC vs RC, 95% confidence interval [CI] 4.74-10.74); longer consultation times with physicians (OR for taking >20 minutes for doctor's consultation: 3.96 for CC vs RC, 95% CI 2.86-5.48); and low socioeconomic status (OR for living in 1- or 2-room HDB flats: 2.98 for CC vs RC, 95% CI 1.74-5.13). CONCLUSION High care needs, encompassing both CC and MC encounters, were prevalent in primary care interactions. These findings highlight that relying solely on chronic disease count is insufficient to capture the full spectrum of patient complexity.
Singapore/epidemiology* ; Humans ; Primary Health Care/statistics & numerical data* ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Aged ; Adult ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Prevalence ; Polypharmacy ; Qualitative Research ; Chronic Disease/therapy* ; Logistic Models