1.Immunophenotypic Characteristics of Bone Marrow Granulocytes and Their Clinical Significance in Patients with Multiple Myeloma.
Ning-Fang WANG ; Chong-Shan ZHAO ; Dong-Dong ZHANG ; Zhuo-Wen CAI ; Fang-Fang CAI ; Fang LIU ; Peng-Hao ZHAO
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2025;33(2):447-454
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the immunophenotypic characteristics of bone marrow granulocytes (G) and their clinical significance in patients with multiple myeloma (MM).
METHODS:
The granulocyte immunophenotypes of bone marrow in 70 MM patients (MM group) and 40 anemia patients (control group) were detected by flow cytometry, and its correlation with clinical characteristics was further analyzed. Univariate and multivariate regression analysis were used to screen factors that affected prognosis.
RESULTS:
The CD56+G%, CD13+G%, CD22+G% and CD117+G% in MM group were higher than those in the control group (all P <0.05). CD56+G% and CD117+G% in CR+VGPR group were significantly lower than those in PR+MR+PD group (both P <0.05). The CD10+G% in RISS Ⅲ stage and Ca2+ ≥2.65 mmol/L groups were increased (both P <0.05). The CD56+G% in elevated lactate dehydrogenase, β2-microglobulin≥5.5 mg/L and hemoglobin <85 g/L groups were increased (all P <0.05), while the CD117+G% in high-risk cytogenetic positive group was decreased (P <0.05). The expression rate of CD molecules on granulocytes was divided into low (L) and high (H) groups according to the median value. The overall survival (OS) of the LCD56+G%, LCD13+G% and LCD22+G% groups was significantly prolonged (all P <0.05). CD13+G% and CD22+G% were independent risk factors for OS in MM patients (HR=0.443, 0.410, both P <0.05).
CONCLUSION
The CD56+G%, CD10+G% and CD117+G% are closely correlated with clinical features in MM patients, while CD13+G% and CD22+G% are closely correlated with prognosis. Detection of CD molecules expression on granulocytes may be used to evaluate prognosis and guide treatment.
Humans
;
Multiple Myeloma/immunology*
;
Granulocytes/immunology*
;
Prognosis
;
Immunophenotyping
;
Male
;
Bone Marrow
;
Female
;
Flow Cytometry
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Clinical Relevance
2.Feasibility of deep learning technique based on CT radiomics in improving the diagnostic accuracy for pulmonary nodules
Xianhu ZHANG ; Zhigang ZHANG ; Fang LIU ; Ying GUO ; Fan LI ; Chong LIU
China Medical Equipment 2025;22(9):12-16
Objective:To investigate the feasibility of deep learning based on computed tomography(CT)radiomics in improving diagnostic accuracy for pulmonary nodules.Methods:A total of 500 patients with pulmonary nodules who admitted to our hospital from January 2023 to January 2024 were selected as study subjects,and they were randomly divided into a training set(350 patients)and a test set(150 patients)as 7:3 ratio.All patients underwent CT examination,and pathological diagnosis was used as gold standard to record pulmonary nodules that were judged by clinical judgment.The radiomics features were screened from the CT images of the patients,and these features were used to construct multiple machine learning models.The predictive value of different models in diagnosing pulmonary nodules was analyzed through confusion matrices and receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve.Results:A total of 1,594 radiomics features,including 1,195 texture features(74.97%)that was the largest ratio,334 first-order histograms(20.95%),and 65 second-order histograms(4.08%),were extracted in this study.After least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO)regression analysis and ten-fold cross-validation processing,a total of six radiomics features were screened out.The screened radiomics features were incorporated respectively into four assembled models with machine learning,including ResNet50,DenseNet121,Inception_V3 and VGG19.The constructed models were evaluated respectively using the training set and the test set.The results showed that the assembled model had the highest accuracies in both training set and the test set(96.57%and 95.33%),which area under curve(AUC)values were 0.934 and 0.923,and specificities were 81.64%and 80.52%,and sensitivities were 90.25%and 88.71%,respectively.The results of consistency test indicated that the assembled model had the best classification consistency(Kappa=0.856,P<0.001)in the constructed diagnostic model for pulmonary nodule,which was the best-performing model.Conclusion:The deep learning technique based on CT radiomics has a certain feasibility in improving the diagnostic accuracy for pulmonary nodules,and the machine learning model that is included in this study has favorable predictive value in diagnosing pulmonary nodules.In them,the assembled model that is constructed on the basis of ResNet50,DenseNet121,Inception_V3,and VGG19 has better classification ability.
3.Jianpi-Huayu decotion combined with gemcitabine induces ferroptosis and inhibits growth of pancreatic cancer cells through Nrf2/SLC7A11/GPX4 axis
Xinqiu CHEN ; Zhengze ZHANG ; Shuwei LIU ; Xiaoyu ZHU ; Yongheng LAI ; Chongkai FANG ; Junhai HUANG ; Xilin ZHAO ; Chong ZHONG
Chinese Journal of Pathophysiology 2025;41(6):1077-1087
AIM:To investigate the effect of Jianpi-Huayu decoction(JPHYD)combined with gemcitabine(GEM)on ferroptosis of pancreatic cancer PANC-1 cells and its mechanism.METHODS:PANC-1 cells were cultured in vitro,and CCK8 method was used to detect the cell viability after different concentrations of JPHYD and GEM,and ap-propriate concentrations were selected for follow-up experiments.EDU assay and clonogenesis assay were used to detect cell proliferation.The apoptosis rate was detected by flow cytometry.Intracellular reactive oxygen species(ROS)were de-tected by DCFH-DA fluorescent probe and lipid peroxidation was detected by BODIPY 581/591C11 staining.The contents of glutathione(GSH),ferrous ion(Fe2+)and malondialdehyde(MDA)in the cells were detected by the kit.The mRNA levels and protein expression levels of Nrf2,HO-1,SLC7A11,GPX4,TFR1 and ACSL4 were detected by RT-qPCR and Western blot.RESULTS:Compared with the control group,the cell viability of PANC-1 treated with JPHYD and GEM was significantly decreased in a concentration-dependent manner.And the combined use of the two can significantly im-prove the cytotoxic effect of GEM and have a synergistic effect;Compared with control group,JPHYD group,GEM group and JPHYD+GEM group can significantly reduce EDU positive efficiency,colony formation numbers and promote cell apoptosis,and the combined group has the most obvious effect.After adding JPHYD+GEM into the cells,the cells be-came rounded and the cell viability decreased.The addition of ferrostatin-1(Fer-1),an inhibitor of ferroptosis,had no significant effect on cell morphology and viability,and the co-treatment with JPHYD+GEM and Fer-1 could reverse the ef-fects of JPHYD+GEM on cell morphology and viability.Compared with control group and GEM group,JPHYD+GEM group can significantly increase the levels of intracellular reactive oxygen species(ROS)and lipid peroxidation,increase the levels of Fe2+and MDA,decrease the levels of GSH,further promote lipid peroxidation and induce ferroptosis.JPHYD+GEM also significantly down-regulated the mRNA and protein expressions of Nrf2,HO-1,SLC7A11 and GPX4,and up-regulated the mRNA and protein expressions of TFR1 and ACSL4.The addition of Fer-1 significantly reversed the activation of iron death in the combined treatment group and reversed its efficacy,and the difference was statistically signif-icant.CONCLUSION:Jianpi Huayu decoction and gemcitabine may induce ferroptosis of PANC-1 cells by inhibiting Nrf2/SLC7A11/GPX4 axis in vitro,thus playing a synergistic anticancer role.
4.Jianpi-Huayu decotion combined with gemcitabine induces ferroptosis and inhibits growth of pancreatic cancer cells through Nrf2/SLC7A11/GPX4 axis
Xinqiu CHEN ; Zhengze ZHANG ; Shuwei LIU ; Xiaoyu ZHU ; Yongheng LAI ; Chongkai FANG ; Junhai HUANG ; Xilin ZHAO ; Chong ZHONG
Chinese Journal of Pathophysiology 2025;41(6):1077-1087
AIM:To investigate the effect of Jianpi-Huayu decoction(JPHYD)combined with gemcitabine(GEM)on ferroptosis of pancreatic cancer PANC-1 cells and its mechanism.METHODS:PANC-1 cells were cultured in vitro,and CCK8 method was used to detect the cell viability after different concentrations of JPHYD and GEM,and ap-propriate concentrations were selected for follow-up experiments.EDU assay and clonogenesis assay were used to detect cell proliferation.The apoptosis rate was detected by flow cytometry.Intracellular reactive oxygen species(ROS)were de-tected by DCFH-DA fluorescent probe and lipid peroxidation was detected by BODIPY 581/591C11 staining.The contents of glutathione(GSH),ferrous ion(Fe2+)and malondialdehyde(MDA)in the cells were detected by the kit.The mRNA levels and protein expression levels of Nrf2,HO-1,SLC7A11,GPX4,TFR1 and ACSL4 were detected by RT-qPCR and Western blot.RESULTS:Compared with the control group,the cell viability of PANC-1 treated with JPHYD and GEM was significantly decreased in a concentration-dependent manner.And the combined use of the two can significantly im-prove the cytotoxic effect of GEM and have a synergistic effect;Compared with control group,JPHYD group,GEM group and JPHYD+GEM group can significantly reduce EDU positive efficiency,colony formation numbers and promote cell apoptosis,and the combined group has the most obvious effect.After adding JPHYD+GEM into the cells,the cells be-came rounded and the cell viability decreased.The addition of ferrostatin-1(Fer-1),an inhibitor of ferroptosis,had no significant effect on cell morphology and viability,and the co-treatment with JPHYD+GEM and Fer-1 could reverse the ef-fects of JPHYD+GEM on cell morphology and viability.Compared with control group and GEM group,JPHYD+GEM group can significantly increase the levels of intracellular reactive oxygen species(ROS)and lipid peroxidation,increase the levels of Fe2+and MDA,decrease the levels of GSH,further promote lipid peroxidation and induce ferroptosis.JPHYD+GEM also significantly down-regulated the mRNA and protein expressions of Nrf2,HO-1,SLC7A11 and GPX4,and up-regulated the mRNA and protein expressions of TFR1 and ACSL4.The addition of Fer-1 significantly reversed the activation of iron death in the combined treatment group and reversed its efficacy,and the difference was statistically signif-icant.CONCLUSION:Jianpi Huayu decoction and gemcitabine may induce ferroptosis of PANC-1 cells by inhibiting Nrf2/SLC7A11/GPX4 axis in vitro,thus playing a synergistic anticancer role.
5.Feasibility of deep learning technique based on CT radiomics in improving the diagnostic accuracy for pulmonary nodules
Xianhu ZHANG ; Zhigang ZHANG ; Fang LIU ; Ying GUO ; Fan LI ; Chong LIU
China Medical Equipment 2025;22(9):12-16
Objective:To investigate the feasibility of deep learning based on computed tomography(CT)radiomics in improving diagnostic accuracy for pulmonary nodules.Methods:A total of 500 patients with pulmonary nodules who admitted to our hospital from January 2023 to January 2024 were selected as study subjects,and they were randomly divided into a training set(350 patients)and a test set(150 patients)as 7:3 ratio.All patients underwent CT examination,and pathological diagnosis was used as gold standard to record pulmonary nodules that were judged by clinical judgment.The radiomics features were screened from the CT images of the patients,and these features were used to construct multiple machine learning models.The predictive value of different models in diagnosing pulmonary nodules was analyzed through confusion matrices and receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve.Results:A total of 1,594 radiomics features,including 1,195 texture features(74.97%)that was the largest ratio,334 first-order histograms(20.95%),and 65 second-order histograms(4.08%),were extracted in this study.After least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO)regression analysis and ten-fold cross-validation processing,a total of six radiomics features were screened out.The screened radiomics features were incorporated respectively into four assembled models with machine learning,including ResNet50,DenseNet121,Inception_V3 and VGG19.The constructed models were evaluated respectively using the training set and the test set.The results showed that the assembled model had the highest accuracies in both training set and the test set(96.57%and 95.33%),which area under curve(AUC)values were 0.934 and 0.923,and specificities were 81.64%and 80.52%,and sensitivities were 90.25%and 88.71%,respectively.The results of consistency test indicated that the assembled model had the best classification consistency(Kappa=0.856,P<0.001)in the constructed diagnostic model for pulmonary nodule,which was the best-performing model.Conclusion:The deep learning technique based on CT radiomics has a certain feasibility in improving the diagnostic accuracy for pulmonary nodules,and the machine learning model that is included in this study has favorable predictive value in diagnosing pulmonary nodules.In them,the assembled model that is constructed on the basis of ResNet50,DenseNet121,Inception_V3,and VGG19 has better classification ability.
6.Jianpi Huayu Prescription Reverses Epithelial-Mesenchymal Transition and Angiogenesis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma by Regulating TGF-β1/Smad7 Pathway
Ying ZHANG ; Chongkai FANG ; Hanqian SHI ; Ruiwei YAO ; Jinan WANG ; Chuyao CHEN ; Chong ZHONG
Traditional Chinese Drug Research & Clinical Pharmacology 2024;35(8):1181-1190
Objective To investigate the regulatory effect of Jianpi Huayu Prescription(Ginseng Radix et Rhizoma,Poria,Atractylodis Macrocephalae Rhizoma,Salviae Miltiorrhizae Radix et Rhizoma,etc.)on epithelial-mesenchymal transition(EMT)and angiogenesis of hepatocellular carcinoma through TGF-β1/Smad7 pathway.Methods(1)Hep3B tumor-bearing mouse model was established by BALB/C-nu nude mice.The mice were randomly divided into control group and Jianpi Huayu Prescription low-,medium-and high-dose groups(3.844,7.689,15.378 g·kg-1·d-1),with five mice in each group.Intragastric administration was performed once a day for 21 days.(2)Hep3B cells were divided into blank group,model group(10 ng·mL-1 TGF-β1),low-concentration group(10 ng·mL-1 TGF-β1+4 mg·mL-1 Jianpi Huayu Prescription),and high-concentration group(10 ng·mL-1 TGF-β1+6 mg·mL-1 Jianpi Huayu Prescription).After 48 hours of TGF-β1 induction,the cells were replaced with the corresponding concentration of Jianpi Huayu Prescription complete culture medium(0,4,6 mg·mL-1)and cultured for 24 hours.(3)HUVEC cells were divided into normal group,model group,Chinese medicine group,model plus Chinese medicine group.The cells in the normal group were cultured with conditioned medium without TGF-β1;the cells in the model group were cultured with conditioned medium containing TGF-β1.The cells in the Chinese medicine group were cultured in conditioned medium containing 4 mg·mL-1 Jianpi Huayu Prescription without TGF-β 1.The cells in the model plus Chinese medicine group were cultured with conditioned medium containing 4 mg·mL-1 Jianpi Huayu Prescription and TGF-β1.After 24 hours of continuous culture,the cells were collected for subsequent experiments.(4)The tumor mass index and tumor inhibition rate of subcutaneous transplantation tumor of Hep3B tumor-bearing nude mice were calculated.The expression of CD31 in subcutaneous xenografts of tumor-bearing nude mice was detected by immunofluorescence.The microvessel density of subcutaneous transplanted tumor in nude mice was detected by immunohistochemistry.The migration ability of Hep3B cells was detected by cell scratch test.Transwell assay was used to detect the invasion ability of Hep3B/HUVEC cells.The tube formation ability of HUVEC cells was detected.The expression levels of related proteins in subcutaneous transplanted tumors,Hep3B and HUVEC cells of tumor-bearing nude mice were detected by Western Blot.Results(1)Compared with the control group,the weight and tumor mass index of subcutaneous transplanted tumor in nude mice in the medium-and high-dose groups of Jianpi Huayu Prescription were significantly decreased(P<0.01).The expression of CD31 and microvessel density in subcutaneous transplanted tumors of nude mice in low-,medium-and high-dose groups were significantly decreased(P<0.05,P<0.01),the protein expressions of VE-cadherin,EphA2 and N-cadherin were significantly down-regulated(P<0.05,P<0.01),and the protein expressions of E-cadherin and Smad7 was significantly up-regulated(P<0.01).(2)Compared with the blank group,the relative migration rate of Hep3B cells in the model group was significantly increased(P<0.05),and the number of invasive cells was significantly increased(P<0.01).The protein expressions of Vimentin and N-cadherin were significantly up-regulated(P<0.01),and the protein expressions of E-cadherin and Smad7 was significantly down-regulated(P<0.01).Compared with the model group,the relative migration rate of Hep3B cells in the low-and high-concentration groups of Jianpi Huayu Prescription was significantly decreased(P<0.01),and the number of invasive cells was significantly decreased(P<0.01).The protein expressions of Vimentin and N-cadherin was significantly down-regulated(P<0.01),and the protein expressions of E-cadherin and Smad7 were significantly up-regulated(P<0.01).(3)Compared with the normal group,the number of tubular branching points formed by HUVEC cells in the model group was significantly increased(P<0.01),the length of tubular branching was significantly increased(P<0.01),and the number of invasive cells was significantly increased(P<0.01).The protein expressions of VE-cadherin and EphA2 were significantly up-regulated(P<0.01),and the protein expression of Smad7 was significantly down-regulated(P<0.01).Compared with the model group,the number of tubular branching points formed by HUVEC cells in the model plus Chinese medicine group was significantly reduced(P<0.01),the length of tubular branching was significantly shortened(P<0.01),and the number of invasive cells was significantly reduced(P<0.01).The protein expressions of VE-cadherin and EphA2 were significantly down-regulated(P<0.01),and the protein expression of Smad7 was significantly up-regulated(P<0.01).Conclusion Jianpi Huayu Prescription can significantly inhibit the growth,invasion and migration of hepatocellular carcinoma,which may be related to the regulation of EMT and angiogenesis mediated by TGF-β1/Smad7 pathway.
7.Immuno Phenotypic Characteristics of Bone Marrow Monocytes and Its Clinical Significance in Patients with Multiple Myeloma
Ning-Fang WANG ; Chong-Shan ZHAO ; Yue-Ming YOU ; Fang LIU ; Fang-Fang CAI ; Dong-Dong ZHANG
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2024;32(6):1781-1789
Objective:To explore the characteristics of the immunophenotypic expression of bone marrow monocytes (M ) and its clinical significance in patients with multiple myeloma (MM ). Methods:The monocyte immunophenotypes expression of 67 MM and 30 anemic patients (control group)were detected by flow cytometry.The immunophenotypes that exhibited statistical differences from the control group were screened out.Further univariate and multivariate regression was used analyze the risk factors affecting the prognosis. The effect of monocyte immunophenotype on the prognosis of MM was analyzed.The correlation of CD38+monocytes with clinical features was explored.Results:The percentages of CD138+monocytes (CD138+M%),CD27+monocytes (CD27+M%),and CD56+monocytes (CD56+M%)in the MM group were significantly higher than that in the control group(P<0.05),but the percentages of CD38+monocytes (CD38+M%)and HLA-DR+monocytes (HLA-DR+M%)were significantly lower than that in the control group (P<0.01 ).The median progression-free survival (PFS)was shorter in the low CD38+monocyte proportion (LCD38+M%)group compared to the high CD38+monocyte proportion (HCD38+M%) group.Additionally,the median overall survival (OS)was significantly shorter in the low CD138+monocyte proportion (LCD138+M%),low CD27+monocyte proportion (LCD27+M%),low CD38+monocyte proportion (LCD38+M%),and low HLA-DR+monocyte proportion (LHLA-DR+M%)groups.Cox regression analysis showed that the low CD38+M% was an independent risk factor for OS.The LCD38+M%group had significantly higher proportions of involved/uninvolved free light chain ratios ≥100 and 1q21+compared to the HCD38+M% group (P<0.05 ). Moreover,the proportion of CD38-myeloma cells was significantly higher in the LCD38+M% group than that in the HCD38+M% group (P<0.05).Conclusion:The expression of CD38+monocytes in bone marrow of MM patients is closely related to the prognosis and clinical characteristics.CD38+monocytes maybe used to predict prognosis and guide treatment decisions.
8.Research Progress of Biomimetic Imprinting Affinity Analysis Technique
Zhao-Zhou LI ; Yu-Hua WEI ; Xiao-Chong ZHANG ; Xiu-Jin CHEN ; Yao WANG ; Hua-Wei NIU ; Fang LI ; Hong-Li GAO ; Hui-Chun YU ; Yun-Xia YUAN
Chinese Journal of Analytical Chemistry 2024;52(6):763-777
Molecular imprinting is a biomimetic technique that simulates the specific recognition of biological macromolecules such as antibody. Based on molecular imprinting and high-specificity affinity analysis,the biomimetic imprinting affinity analysis (BIA) possesses many advantages such as high sensitivity,strong tolerance,good specificity and low cost,and thus,it has shown excellent prospects in food safety detection,pharmaceutical analysis and environmental pollution monitoring. In this review,the construction methods of recognition interfaces for BIA were summarized,including bulk polymerization,electro-polymerization and surface molecular imprinting. The application of molecularly imprinted polymers in different analysis methods,such as radiolabeled affinity analysis,enzyme-labeled affinity analysis,fluorescence-labeled affinity analysis,chemiluminescence affinity analysis and electrochemical immunosensor was mainly discussed. Furthermore,the challenges and future development trends of BIA in practical application were elucidated. This review might provide new reference ideas and technical supports for the further development of BIA technique.
9.Pathogenic investigation of human respiratory syncytial virus infection in kindergarten children in Tongzhou District, Beijing City in 2023
Lin ZOU ; Chong ZHANG ; Ling TONG ; Xiao LIU ; Jing MA ; Jianguo WANG ; Fang WANG ; Xiang GAO ; Lu XI ; Jianming ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2024;58(8):1150-1153
The study focused on individuals with influenza-like symptoms (fever, cough, sore throat, runny nose, and other respiratory symptoms) in three kindergartens in Tongzhou District, Beijing City, in April 2023. Nasopharyngeal swab specimens were collected, and real-time fluorescent quantitative PCR was used to detect common respiratory pathogens in the collected specimens. Positive specimens were subjected to sequencing analysis of the highly variable region of human respiratory syncytial virus (HRSV) G protein, homology analysis and phylogenetic tree analysis. A total of 25 fever cases were collected from 3 kindergartens, aged 3-8 years old, with an age M ( Q1, Q3) of 4 (3.5, 5) years old. Ten confirmed cases of HRSV positive were screened and detected using the fluorescent quantitative PCR method, with a total detection rate of 40% (10/25). Typing identification and sequencing analysis confirmed that the main epidemic type was HRSV subtype B, which was highly homologous and closely related to previous epidemic strains in the region. Through pathogen investigation and analysis, it was preliminarily determined that this epidemic was dominated by HRSV subtype B.
10.Analysis of the epidemic characteristics of reported pulmonary tuberculosis incidence in Kashgar Prefecture, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region from 2015 to 2022 and establishment of SARIMA prediction
Chong TENG ; Fang XIE ; Bing ZHAO ; Lijie ZHANG ; Hui LI ; Yuanyuan SONG ; Yang ZHENG ; Yang ZHOU ; Jing WANG ; Fei HUANG ; Mingting CHEN ; Xichao OU
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2024;58(11):1665-1672
Objective:To analyze the epidemic characteristics of reported tuberculosis incidence in Kashgar from 2015 to 2022, and use the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model to predict the incidence, providing references for the local control of pulmonary tuberculosis.Methods:The reported incidence data of tuberculosis in the Kashgar area of Xinjiang from January 2015 to August 2023 were collected through the"Infectious Disease Monitoring System", a subsystem of the "Chinese Disease Prevention and Control Information System". The epidemic characteristics of reported incidence in this area from 2015 to 2022 were analyzed. Two SARIMA models of monthly reported incidence number and rate were established. The prediction performance of the two models was evaluated using the reported incidence data of tuberculosis from January 2023 to August 2023. The χ2 test was used to analyze population characteristics, and the Cochran-Armitage trend test was used to analyze annual incidence. Results:From 2015 to 2022, 133 972 cases of pulmonary tuberculosis were reported in Kashgar, with a yearly reported incidence rate of 383.64/100 000, showing a rising trend ( TCA=77.03, P<0.001) and then a declining trend ( TCA=176.16, P<0.001). The proportion of pathogenic positive pulmonary tuberculosis had increased yearly ( TCA=132.66, P<0.001). The reported onset time was concentrated from January to June each year, with a peak in April. Yengisar County, Zepu County and Yopurga County had the highest reported incidence rate in Kashgar. The sex ratio of men to women was 1.03∶1, and the reported incidence rate of men was higher than that of women ( χ2=27.04, P<0.001). The reported incidence rate of the group aged 60 years and older was the highest. The patient′s occupation was mainly farmers (84.99%). The average relative errors of the SARIMA ( 1, 1, 2) ( 0, 1, 1) 12 model and SARIMA ( 0, 1, 1)( 0, 1, 1) 12 model in predicting the reported monthly incidence number and rate were 11.67% and -9.81%, respectively. Both models had good prediction accuracy (MAPE=33.55%, MAPE=38.22%). Conclusion:The average reported incidence rate of pulmonary tuberculosis in the Kashgar area shows a rising trend first and then a declining trend. The patients are mainly men and farmers, and attention should be paid to the prevention and control of tuberculosis among the elderly in winter and spring. The SARIMA ( 1, 1, 2) ( 0, 1, 1) 12 model and SARIMA ( 0, 1, 1)( 0, 1, 1) 12 model can fit the trend of reported tuberculosis incidence in the Kashgar area well and have good predictive performance.

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