1.Construction of machine learning-based prediction model for clinically relevant delayed gastric emptying after LPD
Jizhen LI ; Hengli ZHU ; Qingan FU ; Changqian TANG ; Xingbo WEI ; Chiyu CAI ; Liancai WANG ; Dongxiao LI ; Deyu LI
Chinese Journal of Hepatobiliary Surgery 2025;31(2):101-106
Objective:To analyze the risk factors for clinically relevant delayed gastric emptying (CR-DGE) following laparoscopic pancreaticoduodenectomy (LPD) and to develop a model to predict the postoperative CR-DGE after LPD using the machine-learning approach with multi-model comparison.Methods:Clinical data of 278 patients with tumors located in the pancreatic head and periampullary region undergoing LPD at People’s Hospital of Zhengzhou University from January 2019 to December 2023 were retrospectively analyzed, including 167 males and 111 females, aged 59 (53, 66) years. According to the occurrence of DGE, patients were divided into the CR-DGE group ( n=94) and the non-CR-DGE group ( n=184). Main clinical characteristics were compared between the groups, including pancreatic duct diameter, intraoperative blood loss and operative time. The perioperative indicators were selected using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm. Following variable selection, 278 patients were allocated into a training set ( n=222) and a validation set ( n=56) in an 8∶2 ratio. Eight machine learning models were selected to model the training set: random forest, adaptive boosting, light gradient boosting, multilayer perceptron, support vector machine, K-nearest neighbor algorithm, decision tree and complementary set plain bayes. The area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic curve of the validation set was utilized to identify the optimal model. The predictive performance of the optimal model was evaluated using calibration plots and decision curve analysis (DCA). The contribution of each feature to the prediction is assessed using Shapley additive explanation (SHAP). Results:Univariate analysis showed statistically significant differences between the CR-DGE and non-CR-DGE groups in terms of age [66(62, 69) years vs. 56(51, 60), years], diabetes [42.6%(40/94) vs. 11.4%(21/184)], level of fibrinogen [3.43(2.74, 4.18) g/L vs. 3.84(3.19, 4.68) g/L], pancreatic duct diameter [2.00(1.50, 2.70) mm vs. 3.40(1.60, 5.00) mm], intraoperative blood loss [300(200, 600) ml vs. 200(150, 300) ml], operative time [472(430, 502) min vs. 430(365, 475) min], clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula [34.0%(32/94) vs. 3.8%(7/184)], abdominal fluid accumulation [46.8%(44/94) vs. 12.5%(23/184)], postoperative hemorrhage [20.2%(19/94) vs. 3.3%(6/184)], abdominal infection [28.7%(27/94) vs. 11.4% (21/184)] and duration of postoperative gastrointestinal decompression [4.00 (2.00, 6.00) d vs. 3.00 (2.00, 5.00) d] (all P<0.05). The eleven variables selected via LASSO were incorporated into each of the eight machine learning models. Results demonstrated that the random forest model achieved the highest performance in the validation set, with an AUC of 0.894 (95% CI: 0.800-0.985), accuracy of 0.820 and sensitivity of 0.606. Calibration plots and DCA confirmed the robustness of the random forest model. SHAP analysis indicated that age, pancreatic duct diameter and preoperative aspartate aminotransferase were important predictors in the random forest model. Conclusion:The random forest model developed in this study demonstrated a good predictive performance for CR-DGE after LPD and may assist in the early identification of high-risk patients in clinical practice.
2.Evaluation of the application of three-dimensional visualization combined with ICG fluorescence technology in laparoscopic hepatectomy in complex locations based on propensity score method
Hengli ZHU ; Changqian TANG ; Chiyu CAI ; Yongnian REN ; Jizhen LI ; Xingbo WEI ; Senmao MU ; Dongxiao LI ; Liancai WANG ; Deyu LI
Chinese Journal of Hepatobiliary Surgery 2025;31(5):326-331
Objective:To analyze the application value of three-dimensional visualization combined with indocyanine green fluorescence staining in laparoscopic resection of patients with complex liver cancer.Methods:The data of patients with complex liver cancer (liver cancer located in liver segments Ⅶ, Ⅷ, Ⅳa, Ⅴ and caudate lobe) who underwent laparoscopic anatomical liver resection in Zhengzhou University People's Hospital from August 2018 to August 2023 were retrospectively analyzed. A total of 334 patients were enrolled, including 249 males and 85 females, with the age of (57.0±10.6) years. Among the 334 patients, patients who underwent laparoscopic liver resection using three-dimensional visualization combined with indocyanine green fluorescence staining were included in the combined group ( n=128), and the other patients who underwent traditional laparoscopic liver resection were included in the traditional group ( n=206). Propensity score was used to match the preoperative indicators and postoperative pathology between the two groups. The two groups were compared in terms of gender, age, maximum diameter of tumor, alpha-fetoprotein, number of tumors, tumor location, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) grade, operation time, portal occlusion time, intraoperative blood loss, surgical margin and postoperative aspartate transaminase (ALT), alanine transaminase (AST), albumin, total bilirubin, and severe postoperative complications (Clavien-Dindo grade≥grade Ⅲ). The Kaplan-Meier method was used to analyze the prognosis, and the log-rank test was used to compare the survival rate. Results:After propensity score matching, 120 cases were included in the combined group and the traditional group, respectively. There were no significant differences in gender, age, maximum diameter of tumor, alpha-fetoprotein, number of tumors, tumor location, and ASA grade between the two groups (all P>0.05). The intraoperative blood loss in the combined group was 200.0 (150.0, 300.0) ml, and the positive surgical margin rate was 6.7% (8/120), which were lower than 300.0 (150.0, 500.0) ml and 15.8% (19/120) in the traditional group, with statistically significant differences ( Z=-2.43, P=0.015, χ2=5.05, P=0.025). There were no statistically significant differences in the operation time, portal occlusion time, and postoperative ALT, AST, albumin, and total bilirubin between the two groups (all P>0.05). Eight cases (6.7%) in the combined group and 11 cases (9.2%) in the traditional group had severe complications after surgery, and all were discharged after treatment. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year recurrence-free survival rates of the combined group were 83.3%, 61.7%, and 58.3% respectively, while that of the traditional group were 71.7%, 52.5%, and 49.2%, respectively, with significant difference ( χ2=4.57, P=0.031). There was no significant difference in the cumulative survival rate between the combined group and the traditional group ( χ2=0.66, P=0.417). Conclusion:Compared with laparoscopic liver resection, laparoscopic liver resection for patients with complex liver cancer using three-dimensional visualization technology combined with indocyanine green fluorescence staining technology can reduce intraoperative blood loss, positive margin rate, and postoperative recurrence.
3.Evaluation of the application of three-dimensional visualization combined with ICG fluorescence technology in laparoscopic hepatectomy in complex locations based on propensity score method
Hengli ZHU ; Changqian TANG ; Chiyu CAI ; Yongnian REN ; Jizhen LI ; Xingbo WEI ; Senmao MU ; Dongxiao LI ; Liancai WANG ; Deyu LI
Chinese Journal of Hepatobiliary Surgery 2025;31(5):326-331
Objective:To analyze the application value of three-dimensional visualization combined with indocyanine green fluorescence staining in laparoscopic resection of patients with complex liver cancer.Methods:The data of patients with complex liver cancer (liver cancer located in liver segments Ⅶ, Ⅷ, Ⅳa, Ⅴ and caudate lobe) who underwent laparoscopic anatomical liver resection in Zhengzhou University People's Hospital from August 2018 to August 2023 were retrospectively analyzed. A total of 334 patients were enrolled, including 249 males and 85 females, with the age of (57.0±10.6) years. Among the 334 patients, patients who underwent laparoscopic liver resection using three-dimensional visualization combined with indocyanine green fluorescence staining were included in the combined group ( n=128), and the other patients who underwent traditional laparoscopic liver resection were included in the traditional group ( n=206). Propensity score was used to match the preoperative indicators and postoperative pathology between the two groups. The two groups were compared in terms of gender, age, maximum diameter of tumor, alpha-fetoprotein, number of tumors, tumor location, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) grade, operation time, portal occlusion time, intraoperative blood loss, surgical margin and postoperative aspartate transaminase (ALT), alanine transaminase (AST), albumin, total bilirubin, and severe postoperative complications (Clavien-Dindo grade≥grade Ⅲ). The Kaplan-Meier method was used to analyze the prognosis, and the log-rank test was used to compare the survival rate. Results:After propensity score matching, 120 cases were included in the combined group and the traditional group, respectively. There were no significant differences in gender, age, maximum diameter of tumor, alpha-fetoprotein, number of tumors, tumor location, and ASA grade between the two groups (all P>0.05). The intraoperative blood loss in the combined group was 200.0 (150.0, 300.0) ml, and the positive surgical margin rate was 6.7% (8/120), which were lower than 300.0 (150.0, 500.0) ml and 15.8% (19/120) in the traditional group, with statistically significant differences ( Z=-2.43, P=0.015, χ2=5.05, P=0.025). There were no statistically significant differences in the operation time, portal occlusion time, and postoperative ALT, AST, albumin, and total bilirubin between the two groups (all P>0.05). Eight cases (6.7%) in the combined group and 11 cases (9.2%) in the traditional group had severe complications after surgery, and all were discharged after treatment. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year recurrence-free survival rates of the combined group were 83.3%, 61.7%, and 58.3% respectively, while that of the traditional group were 71.7%, 52.5%, and 49.2%, respectively, with significant difference ( χ2=4.57, P=0.031). There was no significant difference in the cumulative survival rate between the combined group and the traditional group ( χ2=0.66, P=0.417). Conclusion:Compared with laparoscopic liver resection, laparoscopic liver resection for patients with complex liver cancer using three-dimensional visualization technology combined with indocyanine green fluorescence staining technology can reduce intraoperative blood loss, positive margin rate, and postoperative recurrence.
4.Construction of machine learning-based prediction model for clinically relevant delayed gastric emptying after LPD
Jizhen LI ; Hengli ZHU ; Qingan FU ; Changqian TANG ; Xingbo WEI ; Chiyu CAI ; Liancai WANG ; Dongxiao LI ; Deyu LI
Chinese Journal of Hepatobiliary Surgery 2025;31(2):101-106
Objective:To analyze the risk factors for clinically relevant delayed gastric emptying (CR-DGE) following laparoscopic pancreaticoduodenectomy (LPD) and to develop a model to predict the postoperative CR-DGE after LPD using the machine-learning approach with multi-model comparison.Methods:Clinical data of 278 patients with tumors located in the pancreatic head and periampullary region undergoing LPD at People’s Hospital of Zhengzhou University from January 2019 to December 2023 were retrospectively analyzed, including 167 males and 111 females, aged 59 (53, 66) years. According to the occurrence of DGE, patients were divided into the CR-DGE group ( n=94) and the non-CR-DGE group ( n=184). Main clinical characteristics were compared between the groups, including pancreatic duct diameter, intraoperative blood loss and operative time. The perioperative indicators were selected using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm. Following variable selection, 278 patients were allocated into a training set ( n=222) and a validation set ( n=56) in an 8∶2 ratio. Eight machine learning models were selected to model the training set: random forest, adaptive boosting, light gradient boosting, multilayer perceptron, support vector machine, K-nearest neighbor algorithm, decision tree and complementary set plain bayes. The area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic curve of the validation set was utilized to identify the optimal model. The predictive performance of the optimal model was evaluated using calibration plots and decision curve analysis (DCA). The contribution of each feature to the prediction is assessed using Shapley additive explanation (SHAP). Results:Univariate analysis showed statistically significant differences between the CR-DGE and non-CR-DGE groups in terms of age [66(62, 69) years vs. 56(51, 60), years], diabetes [42.6%(40/94) vs. 11.4%(21/184)], level of fibrinogen [3.43(2.74, 4.18) g/L vs. 3.84(3.19, 4.68) g/L], pancreatic duct diameter [2.00(1.50, 2.70) mm vs. 3.40(1.60, 5.00) mm], intraoperative blood loss [300(200, 600) ml vs. 200(150, 300) ml], operative time [472(430, 502) min vs. 430(365, 475) min], clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula [34.0%(32/94) vs. 3.8%(7/184)], abdominal fluid accumulation [46.8%(44/94) vs. 12.5%(23/184)], postoperative hemorrhage [20.2%(19/94) vs. 3.3%(6/184)], abdominal infection [28.7%(27/94) vs. 11.4% (21/184)] and duration of postoperative gastrointestinal decompression [4.00 (2.00, 6.00) d vs. 3.00 (2.00, 5.00) d] (all P<0.05). The eleven variables selected via LASSO were incorporated into each of the eight machine learning models. Results demonstrated that the random forest model achieved the highest performance in the validation set, with an AUC of 0.894 (95% CI: 0.800-0.985), accuracy of 0.820 and sensitivity of 0.606. Calibration plots and DCA confirmed the robustness of the random forest model. SHAP analysis indicated that age, pancreatic duct diameter and preoperative aspartate aminotransferase were important predictors in the random forest model. Conclusion:The random forest model developed in this study demonstrated a good predictive performance for CR-DGE after LPD and may assist in the early identification of high-risk patients in clinical practice.
5.A multi-dimensional analysis of pollen broadcasting concerns in Chinese population: a large-scale multi-center cross-sectional survey
Chiyu XU ; Yanshu ZHANG ; Ning LUAN ; Xiangyi LIU ; Dayang QIN ; Hongmin WANG ; Xuping XIAO ; Shuihong ZHOU ; Jie ZHANG ; Ping ZHANG ; Yuqing BAI ; Pengpeng WANG ; Yan QI ; Zhongwu SUN ; Zhuang LIU ; Luo BA ; Wenchao WANG ; Xing LU ; Min WANG ; Rui GUO ; Deyi SUN ; Liyuan TAO ; Li ZHU
Chinese Journal of Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery 2024;59(1):2-11
Objective:To investigate the concern about pollen broadcasting in Chinese population from multiple dimensions and to understand the information about allergic rhinitis (AR) in China by analyzing related factors.Methods:From March 1 to September 30, 2022, a large-scale multi-center cross-sectional survey was conducted based on the Questionnaire Star platform in 21 Chinese hospitals. A total of 7 056 subjects from 7 regions in China: Northeast, North, East, Central, South, Southwest, and Northwest China were included. Basic characteristics (including social demographic characteristics and disease characteristics of AR patients), concern about pollen broadcasting, the willingness of pollen-induced AR (PiAR) patients to receive pollen broadcasting, and the treatment satisfaction rate of AR patients were collected. The chi-square test, multivariate linear regression model, and Logistic regression analysis were used to analyze the concern about pollen broadcasting in the Chinese population and related factors from multiple dimensions.Results:Among 7 056 subjects, 23.02% were concerned about pollen broadcasting. Among 3 176 self-reported AR and 1 019 PiAR patients, 25.60% and 39.16% were concerned about pollen broadcasting, respectively, which was higher than that of non-AR or non-PiAR subjects ( χ2 value was 21.74 and 175.11, respectively, both P<0.001). Among AR patients, the proportion of spring and autumn allergen-positive patients concerned about pollen broadcasting was higher than that in perennial allergen-positive patients ( χ2 value was 20.90 and 19.51, respectively, both P<0.001). The proportion of AR patients with asthma, sinusitis, allergic conjunctivitis, and cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases was higher than those without complications ( χ2 value was 50.83, 21.97, 56.78, 7.62, respectively, all P<0.05). The proportion of AR patients in North China who could find pollen broadcasting locally was 31.01%, significantly higher than those in other regions (all P<0.05). Multivariate linear regression model analysis showed that among PiAR patients, those with higher per capita household income and higher AR disease cognition levels had been concerned about pollen broadcasting in the past, and those complicated with allergic conjunctivitis had stronger intention to receive pollen broadcasting (B value was 0.24, 0.13, 0.66, 0.47, respectively, all P<0.05). The higher the disease cognition level of PiAR patients, the stronger their willingness to actively participate in treatment ( R2=0.72, P<0.001). Only 18.89% of AR patients felt satisfied with the treatment effect. Logistic regression analysis showed that in AR patients, the treatment satisfaction rate was significantly higher among those concerned about pollen broadcasting compared to those who were not ( OR=1.83, P<0.001). Conclusions:Currently, the dissemination of pollen broadcasting in China is hindered by various factors such as disease cognition level. The treatment satisfaction among AR patients remains unsatisfactory.
6.Clinical application of parasacral artery perforator flap in the treatment of Pilonidal Sinus Diseases
Junhong LAN ; Zhaohong CHEN ; Yueying FAN ; Lu HAN ; Tao WANG ; Chiyu JIA ; Weiling HE
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2024;27(9):970-973
Objective:To investigate clinical efficacy of parasacral perforator flap (PPF) on postoperative wound healing in pilonidal sinus diseases (PSDs).Methods:The surgery steps were as follows: (1) To preoperatively detect parasacral perforator arteries with the handhold Doppler probe and mark them; (2) To remove the infected and necrotic tissues of PSDs completely; (3) To design the PPF according to the wound size and the parasacral perforator arteries' localization; (4) To harvest the flap from the gluteus maximus muscle surface and transfer it to the wound without tension. Several data were documented, including surgical duration, flap length, flap width, drainage tube placement duration, hospital stay, duration from operation to stitch removal, postsurgical complications and recurrence.Results:There were six patients with PSDs whose postoperative wound healing was repaired by PPF, admitted in our department from March 2021 to March 2023. Of them, five were male and one was female. Their median age was 24 (range: 18-33) years old. Their median surgical duration was 165 (range: 134-207) minutes, median length of PPF was 8 (range: 7-11) cm, median width of PPF was 3 (range: 3-4) cm, mean duration of drainage tube placement was 8 (range: 4-17) days, mean hospital stay was 13 (range: 6-23) days, mean duration from operation to stitch removal was 14 (range: 14-17) days, median follow-up time was 6-16 months. Incisions of all six cases achieved first-intention healing without early- or late-stage complications. No recurrence occurred during follow-up. All patients involved were satisfied with their clinical efficacy.Conclusion:The utility of PPF in postoperative wound healing of PPDs was effective, safe and reliable.
7.Clinical application of parasacral artery perforator flap in the treatment of Pilonidal Sinus Diseases
Junhong LAN ; Zhaohong CHEN ; Yueying FAN ; Lu HAN ; Tao WANG ; Chiyu JIA ; Weiling HE
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2024;27(9):970-973
Objective:To investigate clinical efficacy of parasacral perforator flap (PPF) on postoperative wound healing in pilonidal sinus diseases (PSDs).Methods:The surgery steps were as follows: (1) To preoperatively detect parasacral perforator arteries with the handhold Doppler probe and mark them; (2) To remove the infected and necrotic tissues of PSDs completely; (3) To design the PPF according to the wound size and the parasacral perforator arteries' localization; (4) To harvest the flap from the gluteus maximus muscle surface and transfer it to the wound without tension. Several data were documented, including surgical duration, flap length, flap width, drainage tube placement duration, hospital stay, duration from operation to stitch removal, postsurgical complications and recurrence.Results:There were six patients with PSDs whose postoperative wound healing was repaired by PPF, admitted in our department from March 2021 to March 2023. Of them, five were male and one was female. Their median age was 24 (range: 18-33) years old. Their median surgical duration was 165 (range: 134-207) minutes, median length of PPF was 8 (range: 7-11) cm, median width of PPF was 3 (range: 3-4) cm, mean duration of drainage tube placement was 8 (range: 4-17) days, mean hospital stay was 13 (range: 6-23) days, mean duration from operation to stitch removal was 14 (range: 14-17) days, median follow-up time was 6-16 months. Incisions of all six cases achieved first-intention healing without early- or late-stage complications. No recurrence occurred during follow-up. All patients involved were satisfied with their clinical efficacy.Conclusion:The utility of PPF in postoperative wound healing of PPDs was effective, safe and reliable.
8.Biocompatibility of PTMC/PVP temperature-controlled shrinkage nanofiber membrane with mouse fibroblasts and its repairment effect on full-thickness skin defects in rats
Liping LIU ; Chiyu LI ; Tao YANG ; Shaoru WANG ; Yun LIU ; Guomin LIU ; Zhiqiang CHENG ; Yungang LUO ; Zhihui LIU
Journal of Jilin University(Medicine Edition) 2024;50(4):939-946
Objective:To discuss the effect of temperature-controlled shrinkage polytrimethylene carbonate(PTMC)/polyvinylpyrrolidone(PVP)nanofiber membrane on the biological behavior of mouse fibroblasts and the repairment effect on full-thickness skin defects in the rats,and to clarify the potential mechanism.Methods:The murine L929 fibroblast cells were used in the in vitro experiments and were divided into control group and experimental group(treated with PTMC/PVP nanofiber membranes).The proliferation activities of the cells in two groups were detected by CCK-8 assay;the numbers of live/dead cells in two groups were observed by live/dead cell staining;the morphology of the cells was observed by cytoskeletal staining.A total of 12 six-week-old male SD rats were selected in the in vivo experiment,and were randomly divided into control group and experimental group,and there were six rats in each group.The full-thickness skin defect model was established,and the rats in experimental group were treated with PTMC/PVP nanofiber membranes.The photographs were taken after operation,and the wound healing rates of the cells in two groups were calculated on the 0,3rd,6th,and 12th days.On the 6th and 12th days after operation,the skin samples around the wound of the rats in two groups were taken,and the histopathology of the would skin and adjacent tissue was detected by HE staining;the collagen deposition in wound skin tissue of the rats in two groups was observed by Masson trichrome staining;the numbers of angiogenesis in wound skin tissue of the rats were detected by CD31 immunohistochemical staining.Results:The CCK-8 assay results showed that the proliferation activity of the cells in experimental group showed an increasing trend on the 1st,3st,and 5st days,and there was no significant difference in the proliferation activities of the cells bewteen experimental group and control group(P>0.05).The live/dead cell staining experiment results showed that compared with control group,the cell density and number of the cells in experimental group had no significant changes,and were predominantly live cells.The cytoskeletal staining results showed that the cells in experimental and control groups appeared spindle-shaped and well-spread.In the in vivo experiments,on the 3rd,6th,and 12th days,compared with control group,the wound healing rates of the cells in experimental group were increased(P<0.01),and the wound healing rate of the cells was 95.45%on the 12th day,indicating nearly complete healing of the wound.The HE staining showed that on the 12th day,the wound skin structure of the cells in experimental group was more similar to the normal skin,and there was abundant granulation tissue,regular epidermal structure,and new blood vessel formation.The Masson trichrome staining results showed that compared with control group,the collagen deposition in wound tissue of the rats in experimental group was increased.The immunohistochemical staining results showed that the expression of CD31 in wound tissue of the rats in experimental group was increased,indicating the increasing of the number of angiogenesis.Conclusion:The PTMC/PVP thermoresponsive nanofiber membranes exhibit good biocompatibility and can promote the repairment of full-thickness skin defects in the rats;its mechanism may be related to the enhancement of proliferation activity of the basal cells.
9.Influencing factors for microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma and construction of nomogram model based on three-dimensional visualization
Guanbin LUO ; Chiyu CAI ; Lianyuan TAO ; Dongxiao LI ; Zhuangzhuang YAN ; Yanbo WANG ; Liancai WANG ; Zejun WEN ; Peigang NING ; Deyu LI
Chinese Journal of Digestive Surgery 2024;23(2):280-288
Objective:To investigate the influencing factors for microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma based on three-dimensional visualization and the construction of its nomogram model.Methods:The retrospective cohort study method was conducted. The clinico-pathological data of 190 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma who were admitted to Henan University People′s Hospital from May 2018 to May 2021 were collected. There were 148 males and 42 females, aged (58±12)years. The 190 patients were randomly divided into the training set of 133 cases and the validation set of 57 cases by the method of random number table in the ratio of 7:3. The abdominal three-dimensional visualization system was used to characterize the tumor morphology and other imaging features. Observation indicators: (1) analysis of influencing factors for MVI in hepatocellular carcinoma; (2) construction and evaluation of nomogram model of MVI in hepatocellular carcinoma. Measurement data with normal distribution were expressed as Mean± SD, and independent sample t test was used for comparison between groups. Measurement data with skewed distribution were expressed as M( Q1, Q3), and non-parametric rank sum test was used for comparison between groups. Count data were expressed as absolute numbers, and the chi-square test was used for comparison between groups. Corresponding statistical methods were used for univariate analysis. Binary Logistic regression model was used for multivariate analysis. Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted, and the nomogram model was assessed by area under the curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve. Results:(1) Analysis of influencing factors for MVI in hepatocellular carcinoma. Among 190 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, there were 97 cases of positive MVI (including 63 cases in the training set and 34 cases in the validation set) and 93 cases of negative MVI (including 70 cases in the training set and 23 cases in the validation set). Results of multivariate analysis showed that alpha-fetoprotein, vascular endothelial growth factor, tumor volume, the number of tumors, and tumor morphology were independent factors affecting the MVI of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma ( odds ratio=5.06, 3.62, 1.00, 2.02, 2.59, 95% confidence interval as 1.61-15.90, 1.28-10.20, 1.00-1.01, 1.02-3.98, 1.03-6.52, P<0.05). (2) Construction and evaluation of nomogram model of MVI in hepatocellular carcinoma. The results of multivariate analysis were incorporated to construct a nomogram prediction model for MVI of hepatocellular carcinoma. ROC curves showed that the AUC of the training set of nomogram model was 0.85 (95% confidence interval as 0.79-0.92), the optimal fractional cutoff based on the Jordon′s index was 0.51, the sensitivity was 0.71, and the specificity was 0.84. The above indicators of validation set were 0.92 (95% confidence interval as 0.85-0.99), 0.50, 0.90, and 0.82, respectively. The higher total score of the training set suggested a higher risk of MVI in hepatocellular carcinoma. The calibration curves of both training and validation sets of nomogram model fitted well with the standard curves and have a high degree of calibration. The decision curve showed a high net gain of nomogram model. Conclusions:Alpha-fetoprotein, vascular endothelial growth factor, tumor volume, the number of tumors, and tumor morphology are independent influencing factors for MVI in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. A nomogram model constructed based on three-dimensional visualized imaging features can predict MVI in hepatocellular carcinoma.
10.The relationship of age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index and prognosis of patients undergoing laparoscopic resection for hilar cholangiocarcinoma
Chiyu CAI ; Liancai WANG ; Lianyuan TAO ; Dongxiao LI ; Erwei XIAO ; Guangjin TIAN ; Guanbin LUO ; Zhuangzhuang YAN ; Yanbo WANG ; Deyu LI
Chinese Journal of Hepatobiliary Surgery 2024;30(1):33-37
Objective:To study the impact of the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (ACCI) on the prognosis of patients with hilar cholangiocarcinoma following laparoscopic surgical resection.Methods:Clinical data of 136 patients with hilar cholangiocarcinoma undergoing laparoscopic surgery at Zhengzhou University People's Hospital between January 2013 and January 2018 were retrospectively analyzed, including 81 males and 55 females, aged (63.6±9.8) years. Patients were divided into two groups based on the median ACCI score of 4.0: the high ACCI group (ACCI>4.0, n=49) and low ACCI group (ACCI≤4.0, n=87). The prognosis was compared between the two group. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to analyze the effect of ACCI on survival after laparoscopic surgery. Results:The 1- and 3-year cumulative survival rates in low ACCI group were 87.4% and 48.3%, respectively, compared to 53.1% and 4.1% in high ACCI group ( χ2=27.97, P<0.001). Univariate Cox regression analysis indicated that ACCI >4.0 was associated with prognosis ( HR=3.73, 95% CI: 2.44-5.68, P<0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis also indicated that ACCI >4.0 was associated with an increased risk of postoperative mortality in patients with hilar cholangiocarcinoma ( HR=2.69, 95% CI: 1.65-4.37, P<0.001). Conclusion:The ACCI is a significant risk factor for survival of patients with hilar cholangiocarcinoma following laparoscopic surgery, which could facilitate a precise preoperative assessment of patient status and choice of surgical approach.

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