1.Investigation of molecular markers of in-hospital death related to acute myocardial infarction
Xuexue HAN ; Tianxing ZHANG ; Hao ZHANG ; Xue LI ; Xingzhu ZHOU ; Shuhui FENG ; Chunlin YIN ; Jinggang XIA
Chinese Journal of Postgraduates of Medicine 2025;48(1):66-75
Objective:To investigate the molecular markers involved in death related to acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and provide new targets for early intervention.Methods:Consecutive patients who hospitalized in department of cardiology, Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University from January 2017 to December 2021 and diagnosed with AMI were enrolled. The clinical factors and markers associated with in-hospital death after AMI were analyzed. In addition, patients diagnosed with AMI hospitalized in department of cardiology, Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University from September 2022 to April 2023 were enrolled. We prospectively analyzed the plasma protein of death related to AMI via Olink Precision Proteomics based on proximity extension assay (PEA) technology.Results:In the retrospective study, 2 325 patients with AMI were analyzed, including 75 patients in the in-hospital death group and 2 250 subjects in the survival group. The overall mortality rate during hospitalization was 3.23% (75/2325). The patients in the death group were older: 72 (64, 80) years vs. 63 (55, 71) years. And Interleukin-6 (IL-6), hypersensitive C-reactive protein (Hs-CRP), leukocyte counts and neutrophil counts were markedly higher in the death group than those in the survival group: 69.0 (26.7, 136.6) ng/L vs. 18.2 (9.4, 36.5) ng/L, 45.7 (28.7, 50.5) mg/L vs. 5.5 (2.0, 17.2) mg/L, 12.0 (9.8, 14.1) ×10 9/L vs. 8.9 (7.2, 11.2) × 10 9/L, 9.8 (7.8, 12.1) ×10 9/L vs. 6.5(4.7, 8.8) ×10 9/L ( P<0.01). In this prospective study, 86 patients with AMI were analyzed. 61 proteins including Insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 1, 2 (IGFBP-1, IGFBP-2), Chitotriosidase-1 (CHIT1), Complement component C1q receptor (CD93) were independently associated with in-hospital death related to AMI ( P<0.05). The differential proteins were mainly enriched in inflammatory response, cell adhesion, cytokine signaling pathway and apoptosis. Moreover, 22 proteins including Urokinase plasminogen activator surface receptor (U-PAR), Trefoil factor 3 (TFF3), Perlecan (PLC), Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15), Junctional adhesion molecule A (JAM-A) were plotted according to a logistic regression model, and the area under the curve (AUC) was more than 0.9, showing the high accuracy in predicting in-hospital death after AMI. Conclusions:Molecular markers of the inflammatory response, cell adhesion, cell growth and apoptosis might be involved in death related to AMI, which provides new targets for early intervention.
2.Safety and accuracy of robotic-assisted screw placement in the treatment of adolescent idiopathic scoliosis
Xinuo ZHANG ; Qingjun SU ; Dongyue LI ; Luming TAO ; Yong HAI
Chinese Journal of Postgraduates of Medicine 2025;48(1):17-23
Objective:To compare the safety and accuracy between robotic-assisted screw placement and free-hand screw placement in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) surgery.Methods:The clinical data of 69 AIS patients underwent posterior spinal scoliosis orthomorphia from December 2021 to October 2023 in Beijing Chaoyang Hospital, Capital Medical University were retrospectively analyzed. Among them, 37 patients underwent robot-assisted screw placement (robot group), and 32 patients underwent fluoroscopy-assisted free-hand screw placement (free-hand group). The basic information of surgery (operation time, intraoperative blood loss, intraoperative radiation exposure time, postoperative hospital stay and postoperative complications), screw placement indexes (single screw placement time and accuracy of screw placement) and imaging indexes (main curve correction rate, kyphotic change and lumbar lordosis change) were compared between two groups. The ln curve regression analysis method was used to evaluate the learning curve of robot-assisted screw placement therapy for AIS.Results:A total of 716 screws were placed in 32 patients of free-hand group, and 766 screws in 37 patients of robot group. The operation time, intraoperative radiation exposure time, single screw placement time and accuracy of screw placement in robot group were significantly higher than those in free-hand group: (272.30 ± 67.98) min vs. (221.66 ± 67.32) min, (149.81 ± 57.21) s vs. (116.03 ± 63.10) s, (497.97 ± 51.74) s vs. (381.47 ± 46.58) s and 97.91% (750/766) vs. 91.48% (655/716), and there were statistical differences ( P<0.01 or <0.05); there were no statistical differences in intraoperative blood loss, postoperative hospital stay, incidence of neurological complications, incidence of incision infection and number of screw between two groups ( P>0.05). There were no statistical differences in the main curve correction rate, kyphotic change and lumbar lordosis change between two groups ( P>0.05). When the fitting degree was the highest ( R2 = 0.729, P<0.01), the fitting equation was y = - 50.93ln x + 634.7 ( x was the number of operation, and y was the single screw placement time), and the number of vertices was 12 cases. The robot group was divided into three subgroups according to the order of surgery, subgroup A consisted of 12 patients who underwent the surgery from first to twelfth, subgroup B consisted of 12 patients who underwent the surgery from thirteenth to twenty-fourth, and subgroup C consisted of 13 patients who underwent the surgery from twenty-fifth to thirty-seventh. Among them, the single screw placement time in subgroup A was significantly longer than that in subgroup B and subgroup C: (560.92 ± 35.03) s vs. (465.75 ± 21.20) and (469.62 ± 24.94) s, and there was statistical difference ( P<0.05); there was no statistical difference between subgroup B and subgroup C ( P>0.05). Conclusions:Robot-assisted screw placement for AIS can effectively improve the accuracy of screw placement without affecting deformity correction, but it can increase screw placement time, operation time and radiation exposure time. A smooth learning curve is obtained after performing 12 procedures.
3.Correlation between D-dimer, antithrombin Ⅲ levels and multiple organ dysfunction syndrome in patients with severe multiple trauma
Kang TOU ; Laifa KONG ; Zhi WANG ; Yong′an XU
Chinese Journal of Postgraduates of Medicine 2025;48(7):577-584
Objective:To explore the correlation between D-dimer (D-D), antithrombin Ⅲ (AT-Ⅲ) at admission, and multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) in patients with severe multiple trauma.Methods:A retrospective study was conducted to collect data from 80 patients with severe multiple trauma admitted to Jinhua Central Hospital from April 2021 to April 2024. According to the occurrence of MODS within 1 week of treatment, the patients were divided into an occurrence group with 25 cases and a non-occurrence group with 55 cases. The general data, plasma D-D, serum AT-Ⅲ levels and other laboratory indexes at admission were compared between the two groups. The correlation between D-D, AT-Ⅲ at admission and MODS in patients with severe multiple trauma was analyzed.Results:The injury severity rating score (ISS) in the occurrence group was higher than that in the non-occurrence group: (29.12 ± 3.84) points vs. (26.18 ± 3.12) points, the proportion of damage control surgery was lower than that in the non-occurrence group: 32.00% (8/25) vs. 65.45% (36/55), the platelet, AT-Ⅲ and albumin at admission were lower than those in the non-occurrence group: (112.28 ± 20.12) ×10 9/L vs. (123.56 ± 23.47) ×10 9/L, (133.79 ± 18.21) mg/L vs. (148.26 ± 19.57) mg/L, (35.12 ± 6.35) g/L vs. (38.47 ± 5.88) g/L, the D-D at admission was higher than that in the non-occurrence group: (11.36 ± 3.35) mg/L vs. (8.18 ± 2.83) mg/L, and there were statistical differences ( P<0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis result showed that the occurrence of MODS in patients with severe multiple trauma may be related to the ISS at admission, the status of receiving damage control surgery, and the D-D, AT-Ⅲ, albumin at admission ( OR = 1.29, 0.14, 1.34, 0.95 and 0.87; P<0.05). Restrictive cubic spline analysis showed that the risk of MODS in patients with severe multiple trauma showed a non-linear dose-response relationship with D-D and AT-Ⅲ at admission ( P<0.05). When D-D at admission ≥ 9.25 mg/L, the risk of MODS increased with increasing levels, while when AT-Ⅲ at admission ≤ 143.49 mg/L, the risk of MODS increased with decreasing levels. The D-D and AT-Ⅲ at admission had a negative interactive effect on the occurrence of MODS in patients with severe multiple trauma. By drawing decision curves and column charts, it was found that D-D and AT-Ⅲ at admission, as well as other major indicators, had high predictive power for the occurrence of MODS in patients with severe multiple trauma. Conclusions:The occurrence of MODS in patients with severe multiple trauma may be related to the levels of D-D and AT-Ⅲ, and the risk of MODS increases with the increase of D-D and the decrease of AT-Ⅲ at admission. Both can effectively assist other indicators in predicting the risk of MODS in patients.
4.The relationship between neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and the levels of inflammatory factors in peripheral blood and the brain injuries of suppurative meningitis in neonates and the value of joint prediction of hydrocephalus
Yanhua CHANG ; Yayan WANG ; Weiwei XU
Chinese Journal of Postgraduates of Medicine 2025;48(6):489-493
Objective:To analyze the relationship between neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio(NLR) and the levels of inflammatory factors in peripheral blood and the brain injuries of suppurative meningitis in neonates (NPM) and the value of joint prediction of hydrocephalus.Methods:Ninety-five children with NPM diagnosed and treated in the Affiliated Hospital of Jining Medical College from January 2020 to December 2022 were retrospectively selected, including 31 children with non-cerebral parenchymal injury (group A), accounting for 32.63%(31/95); 36 children with parenchymal injury and no hydrocephalus (group B), accounting for 37.89%(36/95); 28 children with brain parenchymal injury and hydrocephalus (group C), accounting for 29.47%(28/95). The clinical data, peripheral blood levels of NLR, interleukin 6(IL-6), hyper-sensitive C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) were compared among the three groups, and the influencing factors of hydrocephalus were analyzed by Logistic regression. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to analyze the value of changes(△, representing the absolute value of the difference between the corresponding indexes and 3 d after admission) in NLR, hs-CRP, IL-6 and PCT in predicting hydrocephalus in NPM alone and combination.Results:The incidence of respiratory failure and convulsion and the levels of NLR, hs-CRP, IL-6 and PCT in the group C were higher than those in the group B and A: 42.86%(12/28) vs. 13.89%(5/36), 6.45%(2/31); 42.86%(12/28) vs. 16.67%(6/36), 3.23%(1/31); 3.91 ± 0.71 vs. 3.12 ± 0.64, 2.16 ± 0.58; (98.21 ± 10.17) mg/L vs. (86.74 ± 9.30), (75.18 ± 8.42) mg/L; (40.73 ± 7.88) ng/L vs. (31.26 ± 6.45), (25.01 ± 5.19) ng/L; (13.26 ± 2.04) ng/L vs (11.83 ± 1.91), (9.45 ± 1.67) ng/L; the levels of NLR, hs-CRP, IL-6 and PCT in the group B were higher than those in the group A, there were statistical differences ( P<0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that the levels of peripheral blood NLR and serum hs-CRP, IL-6 and PCT at admission were independent risk factors for hydrocephalus in children with NPM ( P<0.05). The △NLR, △hs-CRP, △IL-6 and △PCT of the children with hydrocephalus were lower than those without hydrocephalus: 0.73 ± 0.24 vs. 1.02 ± 0.31, (42.73 ± 13.08) mg/L vs. (69.56 ± 18.19) mg/L, (13.43 ± 4.22) ng/L vs. (19.86 ± 6.43) ng/L, (4.35 ± 1.34) ng/L vs. (6.58 ± 2.03) ng/L, there were statistical differences ( P<0.05). ROC curve analysis results showed that the AUC of △NLR, △hs-CRP, △IL-6 and △PCT combined to predict hydrocephalus in children with NPM was 0.903, which was greater than each single index ( P<0.05). Conclusions:The levels of NLR, hs-CRP, IL-6 and PCT in peripheral blood of children with NPM are significantly correlated with brain injuries, and have certain predictive efficacy in predicting the risk of hydrocephalus.
5.Effect of citric acid anticoagulation on coagulation function and inflammatory factors in patients with sepsis with high-risk bleeding treated with continuous renal replacement therapy
Luheng GUO ; Jing LI ; Xuan ZHOU ; Lin LIU ; Zongke WANG ; Bing YU ; Rongqiang LIU
Chinese Journal of Postgraduates of Medicine 2025;48(12):1082-1086
Objective:To analyze the effects of citric acid anticoagulation on coagulation function and inflammatory factors in patients with sepsis and high-risk bleeding treated with continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT).Methods:A total of 80 patients with sepsis with high-risk bleeding who received CRRT treatment in the Affiliated Hospital of Jining Medical University from February 2018 to August 2023 were retrospectively selected as the study objects, 40 cases were treated with low molecular weight heparin (control group) and 40 cases were treated with citric acid (observation group).Both groups were treated continuously, and the anticoagulant effect, coagulation function, electrolyte and inflammatory factor levels of the two groups were compared 7 d after medication.Results:The total effective rate of anticoagulation in the observation group after treatment was higher than that in the control group: 97.50% (39/40) vs. 75.00% (30/40), there was statistical difference ( χ2 = 8.54, P<0.05). After treatment, the levels of activated partial thrombin time (APTT), thrombin time (TT) and prothrombin time (PT) in the observation group were lower than those in the control group: (31.08 ± 8.31) s vs. (41.76 ± 8.36) s, (23.41 ± 5.02) s vs. (29.05 ± 5.13) s, (15.47 ± 3.50) s vs. (19.96 ± 4.75) s, there were statistical differences ( P<0.05). There were no statistical differences in the levels of potassium, chloride, sodium and calcium between the two groups after treatment ( P>0.05). After treatment, the levels of C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) in the observation group were lower than those in the control group :(2.60 ± 0.86) mg/L vs. (4.35 ± 1.12) mg/L, (0.11 ± 0.03) μg/L vs. (0.19 ± 0.05) μg/L, there were statistical differences ( P<0.05). Conclusions:The application of citric acid anticoagulant in patients with sepsis and high-risk bleeding treated with CRRT can achieve significant curative effect, which can not only improve the anticoagulant effect, stabilize coagulation function and electrolyte level, but also down-regulate the level of inflammatory factors.
6.Clinical observation of Jingling oral liquid combined with methylphenidate hydrochloride and thiopride hydrochloride in the treatment of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder co-induced by epilepsy
Min LIU ; Weihong HAO ; Ying CHENG ; Xiaoning GUAN ; Sujing JING
Chinese Journal of Postgraduates of Medicine 2025;48(12):1086-1091
Objective:To analyze the clinical effect of Jingling oral liquid combined with methylphenidate hydrochloride and thiopride hydrochloride in the treatment of children with attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) and its influence on serum dopamine transporter (DAT), interleukin-6 (IL-6) and 8 isoprostaglandin F2α[8-iso-PGF-(2α)] levels.Methods:A total of 120 children with ADHD co-induced by epilepsy diagnosed and treated in Handan Second Hospital from May 2022 to June 2023 were retrospectively selected and divided into observation group and control group according to treatment method, with 60 cases in each group. The control group was treated with methylphenidate hydrochloride tablets and tiapride hydrochloride, and the observation group was treated with Jingling oral liquid on the basis of the control group. Both groups were treated continuously for 16 weeks. The clinical efficacy and number of seizures of the two groups were compared, the clinical symptoms of the two groups were assessed by the Conner Parent Symptom Questionnaire (PSQ) and the Swanson Nolan and Pelham Version Ⅳ(SNAP-Ⅳ), and the intelligence level of the two groups was assessed by the Wechsler Intelligence Scale. The serum levels of DAT, IL-6, 8-iso-PGF-(2α), neurotrophic factors before and after treatment and the occurrence of adverse reactions were compared between the two groups.Results:After treatment, the effective rate in the observation group was higher than that in the control group: 93.33% (56/60) vs. 80.00% (48/60), there was statistical difference ( χ2 = 4.62, P<0.05). After treatment, the number of seizures in the observation group was less than that in the control group at 3, 4 to 6, 7 to 12 months: (10.78 ± 1.45)times vs.(14.18 ± 1.56) times, (4.86 ± 0.53) times vs.(8.63 ± 0.89) times, (2.64 ± 0.32) times vs. (4.11 ± 0.45) times, there were statistical differences ( P<0.05). After treatment, the scores of PSQ and SNAP-Ⅳ in the observation group were lower than those in the control group: (13.67 ± 1.48)scores vs. (15.18 ± 1.59) scores, (22.12 ± 2.35) scores vs. (25.37 ± 2.68)scores; while the scores of Wechsler intelligence scale was higher than that in the control group: (93.65 ± 9.77)scores vs.(89.42 ± 8.89) scores, there were statistical differences ( P<0.05). After treatment, the serum levels of DAT, IL-6 and 8-iso-PGF-(2α) in the observation group were lower than those in the control group: (0.46 ± 0.05) μg/L vs. (0.52 ± 0.06) μg/L, (8.26 ± 0.89) ng/L vs. (8.74 ± 0.92) ng/L, (60.38 ± 6.46) ng/L vs.(79.25 ± 8.14) ng/L, there were statistical differences ( P<0.05). After treatment, the serum levels of S100βprotein, brain-derived nerve growth factor and prolactin in the observation group were higher than those in the control group: (41.55 ± 4.28) ng/L vs. (37.26 ± 3.87) ng/L, (498.33 ± 54.26) ng/L vs.(442.15 ± 45.78) ng/L, (10.18 ± 1.14) μg/L vs. (9.69 ± 0.97) μg/L, there were statistical differences ( P<0.05).There was no significant difference in gelatinous-derived nerve growth factor level between the two groups after treatment ( P>0.05). There was no significant difference in the incidence of adverse reactions between the two groups ( P>0.05). Conclusions:Jingling oral liquid combined with methylphenidate hydrochloride and thiopride hydrochloride in the treatment of ADHD co-induced by epilepsy has good efficacy, and can significantly improve their clinical symptoms, regulate the levels of serum DAT, IL-6, 8-iso-PGF-(2α). It is safe and reliable.
7.The association between migraine and cognitive impairment
Tiantian SONG ; Ying XING ; Baiyu WANG ; Xinxiu SHI ; Xiaoxuan WU
Chinese Journal of Postgraduates of Medicine 2025;48(12):1092-1096
Objective:To investigate the characteristics of brain network reorganization in migraine patients and its relationship with the grading of right-to-left shunt (RLS) in patent foramen ovale(PFO) by integrated 3.0T structural magnetic resonance imaging (MRI),resting-state functional MRI(fMRI),and contrast-enhanced transthoracic echocardiography, thereby toexplore the mechanism underlying cognitive impairment in migraine.Methods:A total of 49 migraine patients (migraine group)and 16 demographically matched healthy subjects (healthy control group) who received diagnosis and treatment at China-Japan Union Hospital of Jilin University from September 2020 to September 2023 were selected as the study participants. Structural images (T1-weighted) and resting-state functional images were obtained from brain imaging (MRI and fMRI) data. The amplitude of low-frequency fluctuation (ALFF) algorithm was used to quantify the intensity of spontaneous neural activity in brain regions, while the Fazekas scale and the Age-Related White Matter Changes (ARWMC) scale were employed to assess white matter lesions. Participants were evaluated using the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE). Based on the results of contrast-enhanced transthoracic echocardiography (cTTE),the migraine group was further subdivided into A1 group (18 cases, no PFO), A2 group (17 cases, PFO with small-to-moderate RLS) and A3 group (14 case, PFO with large RLS) group, the differences in brain functional activity and cognitive function were compared among these groups.Results:By Fazekas scale scores and ARWMC scale scores, the incidence of hyperintense foci in the deep white matter regions in the migraine group were higher than those in the healthy control group: 67.3%(33/49) vs. 6/16, 61.2%(30/49) vs. 5/16, there were statistical differences ( P<0.05). Compared with the healthy control group, the migraine group exhibited higher spontaneous neural activity intensity in the brainstem,bilateral posterior cingulate cortex,left medial frontal gyrus,and left middle frontal gyrus,while showing reduced brain activity in the right angular gyrus region. The short-term delayed recall scores and total MMSE scores in the migraine group were lower than thosein the healthy control group: (1.61 ± 1.06) scores vs. (2.44 ± 0.81) scores, (25.06 ± 2.31) scores vs. (27.94 ± 1.44) scores, there were statistical differences ( P<0.05). The short-term delayed recall scores mong the A1 group, A2 group and A3 group had statistical difference( P<0.05). Conclusions:Migraine patients exhibit specific brain functional network reorganization and cognitive dysfunction, which are closely related to the degree of RLS.
8.Correlation study of methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase gene polymorphism and serum homocysteine levels with spontaneous abortion in early pregnancy in patients with polycystic ovary syndrome
Yunxia SONG ; Lin SUN ; Jing CUI
Chinese Journal of Postgraduates of Medicine 2025;48(5):460-465
Objective:To explore the effects of polymorphic typing of methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) and serum levels of homocysteine (Hcy) on spontaneous abortion in early pregnancy in patients with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS).Methods:PCOS women, treated in Dalian Women and Children′s Medical Center (Group) from January 2022 to January 2024 were included in the study. One hundred patients with previous spontaneous abortion in early pregnancy were selected as the observation group (abortion group), and 72 patients with one successful pregnancy were delivered as the control group. The difference between gene polymorphism and serum Hcy levels at the C677T locus of MTHFR gene between the two groups, and serum Hcy level with the occurrence of spontaneous abortion in PCOS patients.Results:The serum Hcy level was higher in the PCOS abortion group than in the control group: 14.70 (12.20, 18.75) μmol/L vs. 9.60 (7.62, 10.80) μmol/L, with a statistically significant difference ( P<0.05). Between the abortion and control groups, genotype CC: 23.00% (23/100) vs. 44.44% (32/72), CT: 49.00% (49/100) vs. 31.94% (23/72), TT: 28% (28/100) vs. 23.61% (17/72) ( χ2 = 9.24, P = 0.010). Genotype CT, genotype TT and allele T were all risk factors for spontaneous abortion in early pregnancy in PCOS patients. The Hcy level of each genotype in the abortion group was significantly higher than that of the control group, all statistically significant ( P<0.05), and alleles C and T had similar results ( P<0.01). There was a trend towards gradually increasing Hcy levels for the three genotypes in the same group (CC
9.Constructing and validation of a predictive model and application program for stone recurrence after endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography based on machine learning algorithms in patients with common bile duct stones
Jian CHEN ; Kaijian XIA ; Fuli GAO ; Yu DING ; Ganhong WANG ; Xiaodan XU
Chinese Journal of Postgraduates of Medicine 2025;48(5):452-460
Objective:To construct and validate a predictive model and application program for stone recurrence after endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) based on machine learning algorithms in patients with common bile duct stones (CBDS).Methods:A multicenter retrospective cohort study was conducted, 862 CBDS patients underwent ERCP from June 2020 to September 2023 in Changshu First People′s Hospital (data set 1, 759 cases, including a training set of 588 cases and a validation set of 171 cases) and Changshu Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine (data set 2, 103 cases, used as a test set). The demographics, medical history, ERCP procedural records and laboratory indices were collected. All patients were followed up for 1 year, and the stone recurrence was recorded. In training set, the feature selection was conducted by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm, and a conventional Logistic regression model was constructed based on selected features. The 3 machine learning algorithms (gradient boosting machine model, extreme gradient boosting model and random forest model) and a conventional Logistic regression model (LASSO model) were trained to fit predictive models. The model performance was assessed by area under curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic curve. The model interpretability was analyzed by feature importance evaluation, Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) and force plots. The best-performing model was deployed as an online application by Streamlit framework (V1.36.0).Results:Among the 862 patients, 158 patients (18.33%) developed stone recurrence after ERCP. There were no statistical difference in demographics, medical history, ERCP procedural records and laboratory indices between training set and a validation set ( P>0.05). LASSO regression analysis result showed that 6 key variables (in descending order of significance: endoscopic sphincterotomy, common bile duct angulation, stone diameter, stone count, common bile duct diameter, and periampullary diverticulum) influencing stone recurrence. ROC curve analysis result showed that the random forest model exhibited the highest predictive performance (it had the largest AUC of 0.900). SHAP analysis result showed that common bile duct angulation, common bile duct diameter, stone diameter, endoscopic sphincterotomy and stone count were the top 5 contributing factors in the random forest model. Using Python, the random forest model was implemented into a Streamlit-based application with a user-friendly visual interface, providing predictive outcomes, confidence levels, SHAP force diagram and health recommendations. In the test set, the application program achieved an accuracy of 84.5% (87/103), sensitivity of 82.6% (19/23), and specificity of 85.0% (68/80). SHAP plots and force diagram intuitively illustrated the impact of key features on stone recurrence prediction, offering a clear visualization of each variable′s role within the model. Conclusions:The predictive model and application program based on the random forest machine learning algorithms demonstrate excellent predictive performance and practical usability in predicting stone recurrence after ERCP in patients with CBDS.
10.Relationship between prolyl 4-hydroxylase subunit alpha 2 level in peripheral blood and adverse pregnancy outcome in patients with gestational diabetes mellitus
Jiangzhong ZENG ; Leilei MAO ; Mengmeng LIN
Chinese Journal of Postgraduates of Medicine 2025;48(4):311-317
Objective:To investigate the relationship between the level of prolyl 4-hydroxylase subunit alpha 2 (P4HA2) in peripheral blood and the adverse pregnancy outcome in patients with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM).Methods:A retrospective collection of baseline data was conducted on 120 GDM patients who underwent regular prenatal check ups and deliveries in Wenzhou Central Hospital from March 2022 to March 2024, serving as the GDM group. Baseline data from 120 pregnant women with normal glucose tolerance (NGT) during the same period were collected as the NGT group. Baseline data of blood lipids, blood glucose, and peripheral blood P4HA2 between the two groups were compared, and Pearson correlation test was used to determine the correlation between P4HA2 and some clinical indicators. Statistical analysis was conducted on the pregnancy outcomes of GDM patients, divided into the adverse pregnancy group (32 cases) and the normal pregnancy group(88 cases). Baseline data on blood lipids, blood glucose, and peripheral blood P4HA2 were compared between the two groups. Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analysis were used to screen for factors affecting adverse pregnancy outcomes in GDM patients. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were also plotted to analyze the predictive value of peripheral blood P4HA2 for adverse pregnancy outcomes in GDM patients.Results:Compared with the NGT group, the GDM group had higher levels of fasting glucose, 2-h glucose, 1-h glucose, glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA 1c), peripheral blood P4HA2, insulin resistance index, triglycerides (TG), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), and total cholesterol (TC): (6.26 ± 0.24) mmol/L vs. (4.33 ± 0.15) mmol/L, (9.69 ± 0.18) mmol/L vs. (7.41 ± 0.19) mmol/L, (11.01 ± 0.29) mmol/L vs. (7.10 ± 0.27) mmol/L, (8.54 ± 0.43)% vs. (5.05 ± 0.61)%, (39.03 ± 3.33) μg/L vs. (35.55 ± 3.05) μg/L, 2.50 ± 0.34 vs. 1.95 ± 0.33, (2.56 ± 0.49) mmol/L vs. (2.08 ± 0.37) mmol/L, (3.85 ± 0.25) mmol/L vs. (3.26 ± 0.30) mmol/L, (6.92 ± 0.43) mmol/L vs. (6.25 ± 0.43) mmol/L, and significantly lower levels of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL)-C: (1.70 ± 0.11) mmol/L vs. (1.87 ± 0.22) mmol/L, there were statistical differences ( P<0.05). Pearson correlation analysis showed that peripheral blood P4HA2 was positively correlated with fasting blood glucose, 2-h blood glucose, 1-h blood glucose, HbA 1c, insulin resistance index, TG, LDL-C, and TC ( r>0, P<0.05); peripheral blood P4HA2 was negatively correlated with HDL-C ( r<0, P<0.05). The fasting blood glucose, 2-h blood glucose, 1-h blood glucose, insulin resistance index, peripheral blood P4HA2, and TC in the adverse pregnancy group were significantly higher than those in the normal pregnancy group:(6.35 ± 0.22) mmol/L vs. (6.23 ± 0.24) mmol/L, (9.78 ± 0.25) mmol/L vs. (9.66 ± 0.14) mmol/L, (11.12 ± 0.33) mmol/L vs. (10.97 ± 0.26) mmol/L, 2.61 ± 0.22 vs. 2.36 ± 0.37, (41.20 ± 3.62) μg/L vs. (38.24 ± 2.85) μg/L, (7.12 ± 0.55) mmol/L vs. (6.84 ± 0.35) mmol/L, there were statistical differences ( P<0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that fasting blood glucose, 1-h blood glucose, 2-h blood glucose, TC, insulin resistance index, and peripheral blood P4HA2 were related factors affecting pregnancy outcomes in GDM patients ( P<0.05). The ROC curve showed that peripheral blood P4HA2 had good predictive value for adverse pregnancy outcomes in GDM patients, with an area under the curve of 0.729. Conclusions:The high expression of P4HA2 in peripheral blood of GDM patients is closely related to adverse pregnancy, which can provide some reference for clinical prediction of pregnancy outcomes in patients.

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