1.A multicenter clinical study on intramedullary vancomycin injection for preventing periprosthetic joint infection in total knee arthroplasty
Te LIU ; Jun FU ; Shiguang LAI ; Zhuo ZHANG ; Chi XU ; Lei GENG ; Yang LUO ; Peng REN ; Xin ZHI ; Quanbo JI ; Heng ZHANG ; Runkai ZHAO ; Haichao REN ; Ye TAO ; Qingyuan ZHENG ; Zeyu FENG ; Jianfeng YANG ; Yiming WANG ; Pengcheng LI ; Shuai LIU ; Wei CHAI ; Xiang LI ; Huiwu LI ; Xiaogang ZHANG ; Baochao JI ; Xianzhe LIU ; Xinzhan MAO ; Jianbing MA ; Xiangxiang SUN ; Jiying CHEN ; Yonggang ZHOU ; Jinliang WANG ; Weijun WANG ; Guoqiang ZHANG ; Ming NI
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedics 2025;45(12):803-811
Objective:To explore the safety and efficacy of intraosseous regional administration (IORA) of vancomycin for preventing infection in primary total knee arthroplasty (TKA).Methods:A total of 124 patients with knee osteoarthritis undergoing TKA between February 2024 and May 2024 at nine hospitals were enrolled. Preoperative infection prophylaxis involved either IORA (0.5 g vancomycin administered via intraosseous regional infusion before incision) or intravenous infusion (1 g vancomycin via peripheral vein). The IORA group included 15 males and 47 females with a median age of 66.5 years (range, 60.0-70.0 years), while the intravenous group included 14 males and 48 females with a median age of 66.0 years (range, 61.8-70.3 years) years. Intraoperative samples were collected including fat and synovium tissues after incision, before prosthesis placement, and after tourniquet release; distal femoral cancellous bone during femoral osteotomy; proximal tibial cancellous bone during tibial osteotomy; proximal intercondylar cancellous bone before prosthesis placement; and peripheral blood from non-infused arms at surgery initiation and after tourniquet release. Vancomycin concentrations were measured using liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. Vital sign changes were recorded from admission to 5~10 minutes post-IORA (IORA group) or post-incision (intravenous group). Follow-ups were conducted on postoperative day 1 and 3, and at 1 and 3 months, to document complications including IORA-related adverse events, periprosthetic joint infections, surgical site infections, red man syndrome, acute kidney injury, deep vein thrombosis and so on.Results:Vancomycin concentrations in bone, fat, and synovial tissue samples were significantly higher in the IORA group than in the intravenous group ( P<0.05), while vancomycin concentrations in blood samples were significantly lower in the IORA group than in the intravenous group ( P<0.05). Only 7.3%(41/558) of tissue samples in the IORA group had vancomycin concentrations below 2.0 μg/g (the minimum inhibitory concentration of vancomycin against coagulase-negative staphylococcus), compared to 59.3%(331/558) in the intravenous group (χ 2=11.285, P<0.001). In the intravenous group, 16.9%(21/124) of blood samples had vancomycin concentrations exceeding 15.0 mg/L (the threshold associated with a significantly increased risk of nephrotoxicity), while all concentrations in the IORA group were below this threshold, the difference was statistically significant (χ 2=22.943, P<0.001). There were no statistically significant difference ( P>0.05) in vital signs changes before and after vancomycin administration between the two groups. Two patients in the intravenous group experienced incision exudate, while no other related complications occurred in either group. Conclusions:Compared to the traditional intravenous infusion of 1 g vancomycin, intraosseous injection of a low dose (0.5 g) of vancomycin achieves higher local tissue concentrations in the knee joint with a lower incidence of adverse reactions and is safe for infection prophylaxis. Despite guidelines not recommending the routine use of vancomycin for preventing infection after primary TKA, intraosseous injection of 0.5 g vancomycin may be considered intraoperatively for primary TKA in the following scenarios: patients in medical institutions with a high prevalence of methicillin-resistant staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) infections, patients with potential preoperative MRSA colonization, or patients with cephalosporin allergy.
2.Novel biallelic MCMDC2 variants were associated with meiotic arrest and nonobstructive azoospermia.
Hao-Wei BAI ; Na LI ; Yu-Xiang ZHANG ; Jia-Qiang LUO ; Ru-Hui TIAN ; Peng LI ; Yu-Hua HUANG ; Fu-Rong BAI ; Cun-Zhong DENG ; Fu-Jun ZHAO ; Ren MO ; Ning CHI ; Yu-Chuan ZHOU ; Zheng LI ; Chen-Cheng YAO ; Er-Lei ZHI
Asian Journal of Andrology 2025;27(2):268-275
Nonobstructive azoospermia (NOA), one of the most severe types of male infertility, etiology often remains unclear in most cases. Therefore, this study aimed to detect four biallelic detrimental variants (0.5%) in the minichromosome maintenance domain containing 2 ( MCMDC2 ) genes in 768 NOA patients by whole-exome sequencing (WES). Hematoxylin and eosin (H&E) demonstrated that MCMDC2 deleterious variants caused meiotic arrest in three patients (c.1360G>T, c.1956G>T, and c.685C>T) and hypospermatogenesis in one patient (c.94G>T), as further confirmed through immunofluorescence (IF) staining. The single-cell RNA sequencing data indicated that MCMDC2 was substantially expressed during spermatogenesis. The variants were confirmed as deleterious and responsible for patient infertility through bioinformatics and in vitro experimental analyses. The results revealed four MCMDC2 variants related to NOA, which contributes to the current perception of the function of MCMDC2 in male fertility and presents new perspectives on the genetic etiology of NOA.
Humans
;
Male
;
Azoospermia/genetics*
;
Meiosis/genetics*
;
Spermatogenesis/genetics*
;
Adult
;
Exome Sequencing
;
Microtubule-Associated Proteins/genetics*
;
Alleles
;
Infertility, Male/genetics*
3.A multicenter clinical study on intramedullary vancomycin injection for preventing periprosthetic joint infection in total knee arthroplasty
Te LIU ; Jun FU ; Shiguang LAI ; Zhuo ZHANG ; Chi XU ; Lei GENG ; Yang LUO ; Peng REN ; Xin ZHI ; Quanbo JI ; Heng ZHANG ; Runkai ZHAO ; Haichao REN ; Ye TAO ; Qingyuan ZHENG ; Zeyu FENG ; Jianfeng YANG ; Yiming WANG ; Pengcheng LI ; Shuai LIU ; Wei CHAI ; Xiang LI ; Huiwu LI ; Xiaogang ZHANG ; Baochao JI ; Xianzhe LIU ; Xinzhan MAO ; Jianbing MA ; Xiangxiang SUN ; Jiying CHEN ; Yonggang ZHOU ; Jinliang WANG ; Weijun WANG ; Guoqiang ZHANG ; Ming NI
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedics 2025;45(12):803-811
Objective:To explore the safety and efficacy of intraosseous regional administration (IORA) of vancomycin for preventing infection in primary total knee arthroplasty (TKA).Methods:A total of 124 patients with knee osteoarthritis undergoing TKA between February 2024 and May 2024 at nine hospitals were enrolled. Preoperative infection prophylaxis involved either IORA (0.5 g vancomycin administered via intraosseous regional infusion before incision) or intravenous infusion (1 g vancomycin via peripheral vein). The IORA group included 15 males and 47 females with a median age of 66.5 years (range, 60.0-70.0 years), while the intravenous group included 14 males and 48 females with a median age of 66.0 years (range, 61.8-70.3 years) years. Intraoperative samples were collected including fat and synovium tissues after incision, before prosthesis placement, and after tourniquet release; distal femoral cancellous bone during femoral osteotomy; proximal tibial cancellous bone during tibial osteotomy; proximal intercondylar cancellous bone before prosthesis placement; and peripheral blood from non-infused arms at surgery initiation and after tourniquet release. Vancomycin concentrations were measured using liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. Vital sign changes were recorded from admission to 5~10 minutes post-IORA (IORA group) or post-incision (intravenous group). Follow-ups were conducted on postoperative day 1 and 3, and at 1 and 3 months, to document complications including IORA-related adverse events, periprosthetic joint infections, surgical site infections, red man syndrome, acute kidney injury, deep vein thrombosis and so on.Results:Vancomycin concentrations in bone, fat, and synovial tissue samples were significantly higher in the IORA group than in the intravenous group ( P<0.05), while vancomycin concentrations in blood samples were significantly lower in the IORA group than in the intravenous group ( P<0.05). Only 7.3%(41/558) of tissue samples in the IORA group had vancomycin concentrations below 2.0 μg/g (the minimum inhibitory concentration of vancomycin against coagulase-negative staphylococcus), compared to 59.3%(331/558) in the intravenous group (χ 2=11.285, P<0.001). In the intravenous group, 16.9%(21/124) of blood samples had vancomycin concentrations exceeding 15.0 mg/L (the threshold associated with a significantly increased risk of nephrotoxicity), while all concentrations in the IORA group were below this threshold, the difference was statistically significant (χ 2=22.943, P<0.001). There were no statistically significant difference ( P>0.05) in vital signs changes before and after vancomycin administration between the two groups. Two patients in the intravenous group experienced incision exudate, while no other related complications occurred in either group. Conclusions:Compared to the traditional intravenous infusion of 1 g vancomycin, intraosseous injection of a low dose (0.5 g) of vancomycin achieves higher local tissue concentrations in the knee joint with a lower incidence of adverse reactions and is safe for infection prophylaxis. Despite guidelines not recommending the routine use of vancomycin for preventing infection after primary TKA, intraosseous injection of 0.5 g vancomycin may be considered intraoperatively for primary TKA in the following scenarios: patients in medical institutions with a high prevalence of methicillin-resistant staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) infections, patients with potential preoperative MRSA colonization, or patients with cephalosporin allergy.
4.Clinical outcomes of patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer enrolled in phase Ⅰ oncology clinical trials
Li LUFENG ; Zhang CHI ; Li ZHI ; Zhang ZIYI ; Li HUI ; Li HAIPENG ; Li HONGTAO
Chinese Journal of Clinical Oncology 2025;52(15):769-775
Objective:To evaluate the efficacy and safety of treatments in phase Ⅰ oncology clinical trials in patients with advanced non-small-cell lung cancer(NSCLC).Methods:We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 65 patients with advanced NSCLC who received phase Ⅰ antitumor trial drugs at the Clinical Trial Research Center of The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical University from January 2020 to December 2023.The efficacy and occurrence of serious adverse events(SAEs)were analyzed.Results:The objective response rate(ORR)and disease control rate(DCR)were 9.2%and 61.4%,respectively,whereas the median progression-free survival(PFS)and overall survival(OS)were 2.9 and 15.1 months,respectively.Previously receiving second-line or more lines of treatment and SAE occurrence were independent risk factors for a shorter PFS(P<0.05).A history of smoking and previous second-line or more lines of treatment were inde-pendent risk factors for a shorter OS(P<0.05).The SAE incidence was 15.4%,and no treatment-related deaths occurred.Conclusions:Treat-ments in phase Ⅰ oncology clinical trials are beneficial for patients with advanced NSCLC.Patients with a higher number of previous treat-ment lines and those who experienced SAEs during the trial had a shorter PFS,whereas patients with no smoking history and fewer previous treatment lines had a longer overall survival.The overall safety of the treatments was acceptable.
5.Development and validation of a machine learning-based explainable prediction model for the outcome of patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage
Hong YUE ; Zhi GENG ; Zhaoping YU ; Chi ZHANG ; Xuechun LIU ; Juncang WU ; Aimei WU
International Journal of Cerebrovascular Diseases 2025;33(6):420-428
Objectives:To evaluate the predictive value of Tabular Prior-data Fitted Network(TabPFN) for short-term outcome in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH), and compared with the Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGboost) model and traditional logistic regression (LR) model. Methods:Patients with sICH admitted to the Department of Neurology, Hefei Second People's Hospital from January 2018 to March 2024 were included retrospectively. The demographic and baseline data were collected. At 3 months after onset, the modified Rankin Scale score was used to determine the outcome, 0-2 was defined as good outcome and >2 was defined as poor outcome. All enrolled patients were randomly divided into a training set and a testing set at a ratio of 7:3. Feature selection was performed using recursive feature elimination (RFE) method, and then the selected feature variables were included into TabPFN, XGboost, and LR models for training and testing. The area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the predictive ability of the models. Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) method was used for model interpretation.Results:A total of 547 patients with sICH were enrolled, including 367 males (67.1%), with a median age of 65 (interquartile range, 54-76) years. Two hundred twenty-six patients (41.3%) had poor outcome. Age, baseline blood pressure (systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure), baseline laboratory tests (white blood cell count, red blood cell count, platelet count, neutrophil count, hemoglobin, fasting blood glucose, creatinine, uric acid, urea nitrogen, alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase), hematoma rupture into the ventricle, island sign, baseline hematoma volume, and baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score were selected as characteristic variables using RFE method. ROC curve analysis showed that the ROC AUC for TabPFN, Xgboost, and LR models predicting poor short-term outcome in the testing set were 0.918 (95% confidence interval [ CI] 0.870-0.966], 0.883 (95% CI 0.826-0.940), and 0.905 (95% CI 0.854-0.957), respectively. SHAP analysis showed that the top four important variables in the TabPFN model were baseline NIHSS score, baseline hematoma volume, baseline aspartate aminotransferase, and age. Conclusions:The TabPFN model is superior to the LR model and the XGBoost model in predicting poor outcome in patients with sICH. In the TabPFN model, baseline NIHSS score, baseline hematoma volume, aspartate aminotransferase, and age are the most important predictors of poor outcome in patients with sICH.Objectives To evaluate the predictive value of Tabular Prior-data Fitted Network(TabPFN) for short-term outcome in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH), and compared with the Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGboost) model and traditional logistic regression (LR) model. Methods Patients with sICH admitted to the Department of Neurology, Hefei Second People's Hospital from January 2018 to March 2024 were included retrospectively. The demographic and baseline data were collected. At 3 months after onset, the modified Rankin Scale score was used to determine the outcome, 0-2 was defined as good outcome and >2 was defined as poor outcome. All enrolled patients were randomly divided into a training set and a testing set at a ratio of 7:3. Feature selection was performed using recursive feature elimination (RFE) method, and then the selected feature variables were included into TabPFN, XGboost, and LR models for training and testing. The area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the predictive ability of the models. Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) method was used for model interpretation. Results A total of 547 patients with sICH were enrolled, including 367 males (67.1%), with a median age of 65 (interquartile range, 54-76) years. Two hundred twenty-six patients (41.3%) had poor outcome. Age, baseline blood pressure (systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure), baseline laboratory tests (white blood cell count, red blood cell count, platelet count, neutrophil count, hemoglobin, fasting blood glucose, creatinine, uric acid, urea nitrogen, alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase), hematoma rupture into the ventricle, island sign, baseline hematoma volume, and baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score were selected as characteristic variables using RFE method. ROC curve analysis showed that the ROC AUC for TabPFN, Xgboost, and LR models predicting poor short-term outcome in the testing set were 0.918 (95% confidence interval [ CI] 0.870-0.966], 0.883 (95% CI 0.826-0.940), and 0.905 (95% CI 0.854-0.957), respectively. SHAP analysis showed that the top four important variables in the TabPFN model were baseline NIHSS score, baseline hematoma volume, baseline aspartate aminotransferase, and age. Conclusions The TabPFN model is superior to the LR model and the XGBoost model in predicting poor outcome in patients with sICH. In the TabPFN model, baseline NIHSS score, baseline hematoma volume, aspartate aminotransferase, and age are the most important predictors of poor outcome in patients with sICH.
6.Clinical outcomes of patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer enrolled in phase Ⅰ oncology clinical trials
Li LUFENG ; Zhang CHI ; Li ZHI ; Zhang ZIYI ; Li HUI ; Li HAIPENG ; Li HONGTAO
Chinese Journal of Clinical Oncology 2025;52(15):769-775
Objective:To evaluate the efficacy and safety of treatments in phase Ⅰ oncology clinical trials in patients with advanced non-small-cell lung cancer(NSCLC).Methods:We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 65 patients with advanced NSCLC who received phase Ⅰ antitumor trial drugs at the Clinical Trial Research Center of The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical University from January 2020 to December 2023.The efficacy and occurrence of serious adverse events(SAEs)were analyzed.Results:The objective response rate(ORR)and disease control rate(DCR)were 9.2%and 61.4%,respectively,whereas the median progression-free survival(PFS)and overall survival(OS)were 2.9 and 15.1 months,respectively.Previously receiving second-line or more lines of treatment and SAE occurrence were independent risk factors for a shorter PFS(P<0.05).A history of smoking and previous second-line or more lines of treatment were inde-pendent risk factors for a shorter OS(P<0.05).The SAE incidence was 15.4%,and no treatment-related deaths occurred.Conclusions:Treat-ments in phase Ⅰ oncology clinical trials are beneficial for patients with advanced NSCLC.Patients with a higher number of previous treat-ment lines and those who experienced SAEs during the trial had a shorter PFS,whereas patients with no smoking history and fewer previous treatment lines had a longer overall survival.The overall safety of the treatments was acceptable.
7.Visualized Analysis of Application Research of Wuling San in Recent 10 Years
Qi GUO ; Wei-Chi LU ; Zhang-Zhi ZHU
Journal of Guangzhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;41(8):2195-2202
Objective A visualized analysis of the relevant literature on the application of Wuling San(Five-Ingredient Powder Containing Poria)in China in the recent 10 years was conducted to explore the application of Wuling San.Methods The applied research of Wuling San issued in the academic journals of CNKI from January 1,2013 to December 31,2022 were retrieved.The corresponding knowledge graphs were drawn with CiteSpace software,and the keywords of the literature were visualized and analyzed.Results A total of 1 121 articles related to the applied research of Wuling San were obtained after preliminary retrieval,and 1 104 articles were included for visual analysis after screening.The results of keyword co-occurrence analysis showed that Wuling San was usually used for treating cirrhosis ascites,chronic heart failure,diabetic nephropathy and other multi-system diseases,and it was mostly used by the compatibility of Taohong Siwu Decoction,Zhenwu Decoction,Xiaochaihu Decoction,Shenqi Pills and Linggui Zhugan Decoction.Wuling San was indicated for the symptoms of edema,dysuria and urinary retention.The commonly-used research methods for Wuling San included network pharmacology,molecular docking,etc.The results of keyword burst analysis showed that the hotspots of Wuling San applied research were as follows:cirrhosis in 2013,Yinchenhao Decoction in 2015,cerebral edema in 2018,and network pharmacology,novel coronavirus-infected pneumonia and cardiac function since 2020.Conclusion Wuling San is widely used in the clinic,and is indicated for water metabolism disorders.Wuling San in the treatment of cirrhotic ascites,chronic heart failure and diabetic nephropathy becomes the research hotspots in recent years.The applied researches of Wuling San on novel coronavirus-infected pneumonia and on improving cardiac function have become the trend and focus of current research.
8.Effects of Yitangkang on Neuroinflammation and Polarization of Microglia and Astrocytes in db/db Mice
Jiren AN ; Juntong LIU ; Zhi ZHANG ; Chi ZHANG ; Li WANG ; Yufeng YANG ; Yan SHI
Chinese Journal of Information on Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;31(6):80-87
Objective To observe the regulatory effects of Yitangkang on neuroinflammation and polarization of microglia and astrocytes in db/db mice;To explore the its mechanism in the treatment of cognitive impairment in diabetes.Methods Totally 32 db/db mice were randomly divided into model group,liraglutide group,and Yitangkang low-and high-dosage group.Another C57BL/6 mice were taken as blank group,with 8 mice in each group.Yitangkang low-and high-dosage group were given Yitangkang Decoction 15,30 g/kg respectively,the liraglutide group was intraperitoneally injected with liraglutide 200 μg/kg,the blank group and model group were given the same volume of distilled water by gavage,for 5 weeks.FJC staining was used to observe the damage of hippocampal neurons,ELISA was used to detect the content of IL-6 and IL-1β in hippocampal tissue,immunohistochemistry was used to detect the expressions of IL-6,IL-1β,Iba1 and GFAP in hippocampal tissue,the expressions of CD86,CD206,C3,S100A10,NLRP3,Iba1 and GFAP were detected by immunofluorescence,the protein expressions of CD86,CD206,C3,S100A10 and NLRP3 in hippocampal tissue were detected by Western blot.Results Compared with the blank group,the FJC positive cells in the model group significantly increased,and the contents of IL-6 and IL-1β significantly increased,the expressions of Iba1,CD86,GFAP and C3 significantly increased,CD206 and S100A10 expressions significantly decreased,NLRP3 protein expression and co-expression with Iba1 and GFAP significantly increased,with statistical significance(P<0.05,P<0.01).Compared with the model group,the FJC positive cells in hippocampal tissue of liraglutide group and Yitangkang low-and high-dosage group significantly decreased,the contents of IL-6 and IL-1β significantly decreased,the expressions of Iba1,CD86,GFAP and C3 significantly decreased,the expressions of CD206 and S100A10 significantly increased,the expression of NLRP3 protein and co-expression with Iba1 and GFAP were significantly decreased,the differences were statistically significant(P<0.05,P<0.01)except for CD206 in Yitangkang low-dosage group.Conclusion Yitangkang can effectively regulate the expression of NLRP3 in db/db mice,promote the transformation of microglia/astrocytes from M1/A1 type to M2/A2 type,inhibit the inflammatory response,and exert neuroprotective effects.
9.Mediating effect of self-efficacy on self-management ability and self-management behavior in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.
Xiao Yue ZHANG ; Yu Xin LIN ; Ying JIANG ; Lan Chao ZHANG ; Mang Yan DONG ; Hai Yi CHI ; Hao Yu DONG ; Li Jun MA ; Zhi Jing LI ; Chun CHANG
Journal of Peking University(Health Sciences) 2023;55(3):450-455
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the mechanism of self-efficacy between self-management ability and self-management behavior and its differences among patients with different disease courses through mediation tests.
METHODS:
In the study, 489 patients with type 2 diabetes who attended the endocrinology departments of four hospitals in Shanxi Province and Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region from July to September 2022 were enrolled as the study population. They were investigated by General Information Questionnaire, Diabetes Self-Management Scale, Chinese version of Diabetes Empowerment Simplified Scale, and Diabetes Self-Efficacy Scale. Mediation analyses were performed using the linear regression model, Sobel test, and Bootstrap test in the software Stata version 15.0 and divided the patients into different disease course groups for subgroup analysis according to whether the disease course was > 5 years.
RESULTS:
In this study, the score of self-management behavior in the patients with type 2 diabetes was 6.16±1.41, the score of self-management ability was 3.99±0.74, and the score of self-efficacy was 7.05±1.90. The results of the study showed that self-efficacy was positively correlated with self-management ability (r=0.33) as well as self-management behavior (r=0.47) in the patients with type 2 diabetes (P < 0.01). The mediating effect of self-efficacy accounted for 38.28% of the total effect of self-management ability on self-management behaviors and was higher in the behaviors of blood glucose monitoring (43.45%) and diet control (52.63%). The mediating effect of self-efficacy accounted for approximately 40.99% of the total effect for the patients with disease course ≤ 5 years, while for the patients with disease course > 5 years, the mediating effect accounted for 39.20% of the total effect.
CONCLUSION
Self-efficacy enhanced the effect of self-management ability on the behavior of the patients with type 2 diabetes, and this positive effect was more significant for the patients with shorter disease course. Targeted health education should be carried out to enhance patients' self-efficacy and self-management ability according to their disease characteristics, to stimulate their inner action, to promote the development of their self-management behaviors, and to form a more stable and long-term mechanism for disease management.
Humans
;
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/therapy*
;
Self Efficacy
;
Self-Management
;
Blood Glucose Self-Monitoring
;
Blood Glucose
;
Self Care
10.Short-term prognostic model of spontaneous cerebral hemorrhage based on XGboost
Hong YUE ; Aimei WU ; Zhi GENG ; Zhaoping YU ; Ye YANG ; Chi ZHANG ; Xuechun LIU ; Juncang WU
Chinese Journal of Neuromedicine 2023;22(7):706-710
Objective:To develop a short-term prognostic model of spontaneous cerebral hemorrhage based on eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) machine learning, and to compare its predictive performance with a Logistic regression model.Methods:Patients with sICH admitted to Department of Neurology, Second People's Hospital of Hefei from January 2018 to March 2022 were chosen; their general demographic characteristics, medical history, laboratory indices and cranial imaging data were retrospectively collected. The prognoses of patients 90 d after discharge were evaluated according to modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores (good prognosis: mRS scores<3; poor prognosis: mRS scores≥3). XGboost and multiple Logistic regression models were used to screen out the factors for prognoses of patients 90 d after discharge, and area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, sensitivity, specificity and prediction accuracy of the 2 models were analyzed and compared.Results:A total of 413 patients with sICH were included; 180 patients(43.6 %) had poor prognosis and 233 (56.4%) had good prognosis 90 d after discharge. Multivariate Logistic regression results showed that age≥65 years, hemorrhage into the ventricle, hematoma volume of 20-40 mL, hematoma volume>40 mL and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) scores were independent influencing factors for short-term prognoses of sICH ( P<0.05). The variables in the XGBoost model were ranked in order of importance: NIHSS scores, systolic blood pressure at admission, Glasgow coma scale (GCS) scores, age≥65 years, hemorrhage into the ventricle, hematoma volume of 20-40 mL, and hematoma volume>40 mL. AUC of XGBoost model in predicting the prognosis was 0.895 (95% CI: 0.820-0.947), enjoying sensitivity of 68.89%, specificity of 94.83%, and prediction accuracy of 83.5%. AUC of Logistic regression model in predicting the prognosis was 0.894 (95% CI: 0.818-0.946), enjoying sensitivity of 93.33%, specificity of 70.69%, and prediction accuracy of 80.58%. Conclusion:The short-term prognostic model based on XGboost for sICH patients has high predictive efficacy, whose predictive accuracy is better than traditional Logistic regression.

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