1.Clinical application of KASP-based RHCE genotyping in RhD-positive patients
Xiaoyu LIAN ; Mengdan LI ; Xiaoyu GUAN ; Li TIAN ; Chenying WANG ; Di WU ; Tianqiong LUO ; Xiaolin DU ; Xin JI ; Haixia XU ; Jue WANG ; Ling LI ; Zhong LIU
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(5):596-602
Objective: To develop a RHCE genotyping assay based on kompetitive allele-specific PCR (KASP) and assess its clinical accuracy for RhCE blood group determination. Methods: KASP primers were designed to interrogate three RHCE loci: the 109 bp insertion/deletion in intron 2, c. 307T>C, and c. 676C>G. A total of 1 194 RhD-positive inpatients from Chengdu were typed by both KASP genotyping and manual tube serology. Discordant samples (n=10) were retested by both methods and further resolved by Sanger sequencing. An additional 377 cases were tested for the c. 48C>G locus to evaluate the predictive accuracy of individual loci and combined locus testing for RhC antigen. Results: Genotyping concordance with serology was 100.0% for both the c. 676C>G locus (RhE/Rhe) and the c. 307T>C locus (Rhc). For RhC prediction using the 109 bp insertion, overall accuracy was 99.7% (1 191/1 194); the 3 discordant cases were confirmed by Sanger sequencing to be false negatives attributable to 109 bp deletion in intron 2. Testing the c. 48C>G allele for RhC prediction yielded 7 false positives, with an accuracy of 98.1% (370/377). RhC antigen status was determined by combining the 109 bp insertion and the c. 48C allele. After excluding 10 samples with inconsistent results between the two loci, the accuracy reached 100% in the remaining 367 samples. When both loci were applied in combination, accuracy reached 100% in the 367 cases with concordant results. Among the 1 194 patients, CCee (45.8%) and CcEe (31.7%) were the most common RhCE phenotypes. The e antigen had the highest positivity rate (92.2%), and the Ce haplotype was the most frequent (66.9%). Conclusion: The KASP-based RHCE genotyping method achieves high accuracy for clinical RhCE typing. Combining the 109 bp insertion/deletion with the c. 48C allele significantly improves RhC antigen prediction compared with either locus alone. This method was applied to RhCE genotyping of 1 194 RhD-positive inpatients in Chengdu, providing local RhCE phenotype and haplotype distribution data to support RhCE-matched transfusion practice.
2.Donation-related adverse reactions and individual voluntary donation behavior following adjustments of the upper age limit for blood donation: a multicenter retrospective cohort study
Chenying WANG ; Jue WANG ; Changping LI ; Wei CHEN ; Ying LI ; Dan BAO ; Yuanqin ZHANG ; Xin ZHAO ; Jinfeng ZENG ; Yuwei HU ; Shuchang DAI ; Xiaoqiang WU ; Weimin FAN
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(9):1168-1178
Objective: To evaluate the risk of donation-related adverse reactions, donation behavior, and contributions to the blood supply among donors aged 56-65 years following extension of the upper age limit for voluntary blood donation, and to provide real-world evidence for optimizing blood donation age policies in China. Methods: A multicenter retrospective cohort was established using blood donation databases from Hainan, Shenzhen, and Jiangxi. A total of 1 180 767 donors contributing 2 020 407 whole-blood and apheresis donations were included. Donations were classified by donor age at each donation into the 18-55-year and 56-65-year groups. Generalized estimating equation (GEE) models were used to compare the risks of overall, local, and systemic donation-related adverse reactions between the two age groups. Restricted cubic spline analysis was used to assess the continuous association between donor age and the risk of overall adverse reactions. Poisson GEE models were used to compare annual donation frequency, and donation participation and contributions to the blood supply among donors aged 56-65 years were evaluated. The study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Institute of Blood Transfusion, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences (No.2025012) and registered with the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry (ChiCTR2500114960). Results: A total of 1 960 711 donations were included in the 18-55-year group and 59 696 in the 56-65-year group. The overall donation-related adverse reaction rates were 3.890‰and 0.704‰, respectively. Multivariable GEE analysis showed that, compared with donors aged 18-55 years, those aged 56-65 years had lower risks of overall adverse reactions (adjusted OR=0.294, 95%CI: 0.217-0.398, P<0.001) and systemic adverse reactions (adjusted OR=0.163, 95%CI: 0.101-0.263, P<0.001), whereas no statistically significant difference was observed in the risk of local adverse reactions (adjusted OR=1.337, 95%CI: 0.487-3.670, P=0.573). Donor age was nonlinearly associated with the risk of overall adverse reactions (P overall<0.001, P nonlinear<0.001), with the risk generally decreasing with increasing age between 18 and 65 years. The mean annual donation frequency was higher among donors aged 56-65 years than among those aged 18-55 years (1.63 vs 1.24 donations per year; adjusted IRR=1.34, 95%CI: 1.30-1.39, P<0.001). During the study period, donors aged 56-65 years contributed 2.95% of all donations; their whole-blood donations and whole-blood collection volume accounted for 2.36% and 2.37% of the corresponding totals, respectively. Conclusion: Under current health screening and standardized donor management, donors aged 56-65 years did not show an increased risk of short-term donation-related adverse reactions and demonstrated a higher annual donation frequency, together with a measurable contribution to the blood supply. These findings support appropriately extending the upper age limit for voluntary blood donation under strict health screening to broaden the donor pool and supplement the blood supply.
3.Effect of adjusting the whole blood donation interval from 6 months to 3 months on blood donation adverse reactions and individual donation behavior: a multicenter, retrospective cohort study
Yuwei HU ; Ling LI ; Changping LI ; Yihang CHEN ; Kaokao ZHU ; Lin WANG ; Litao WU ; Liqin HUANG ; Chenying WANG ; Liu HE ; Li NING ; Zhong LIU
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(9):1179-1188
Objective: Some regions in China have lowered the minimum interval for whole blood donation to 3 months through local regulations: Hainan, effective from March 1, 2012, allows men to donate at intervals of≥3 months and women at intervals of≥4 months; Shenzhen, effective from November 1, 1995, allows whole blood donation at intervals of≥3 months. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of shortening the whole blood donation interval on blood donation adverse reactions and donation behavior, thereby providing scientific evidence for policy evaluation and revision of relevant regulations. Methods: This was a multicenter, retrospective cohort study based on blood donation registry data from Shenzhen and Hainan. Data were obtained from the blood information management systems of Hainan Province (1991-2025) and Shenzhen City (2018-2024). Eligible participants were donors aged 18-65 years who had donated whole blood at least twice and met health eligibility criteria. The exposure was defined as a shorter donation interval (whole-blood interval≥3 months and<6 months) and was treated as a time-varying variable. The primary outcome was blood donation adverse reactions. Negative binomial regression with person-years as an offset was used to estimate incidence rate ratios for adverse reactions. Marginal standardization was used to estimate the adjusted incidence rate difference, and donor-level bootstrap resampling was used to estimate the 95% confidence interval of the adjusted incidence rate difference. Non-inferiority was assessed by comparing the upper limit of the 95% confidence interval with the prespecified non-inferiority margin of Δ=0.00 070 per person-year. In addition, Andersen-Gill models were used to analyze adverse reaction-free probability for recurrent events. Secondary outcomes were donation behavior, including annual repeat donation rate, annual donation frequency, mean donation interval, and annual whole-blood donation volume. These were analyzed using logistic regression, negative binomial regression, and linear regression models, respectively, with adjustment for age, sex, region, and donation site. This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Institute of Blood Transfusion, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences (Approval No.2025011) and registered in the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry (ChiCTR2500114968). Results: A total of 375 075 repeat whole-blood donors were included, contributing 1 292 748 whole-blood donations. Among them, 119 993 had ever donated at a shorter interval and 255 082 had never done so. Over 1 281 842 person-years of follow-up in the dynamic cohort, 2 100 blood donation adverse reactions were recorded. The incidence rates of adverse reactions were 1.76 and 1.58 per 1 000 person-years in the ever-short interval and never-short interval groups, respectively. After adjustment for age, sex, province, and donation site, the ever-short interval group had a slightly higher adverse reaction rate than the never-short interval group (IRR=1.28, 95%CI: 1.15-1.41, P<0.001). Marginal standardization showed that the adjusted incidence rates were 1.73 and 2.21 per 1 000 person-years in the never-short interval and ever-short interval groups, respectively. The adjusted incidence rate difference was 0.000 48 per person-year, with a bootstrap 95%CI of 0.000 26-0.000 69 per person-year; the upper limit of the 95%CI was below the prespecified non-inferiority margin. Andersen-Gill recurrent-event analysis showed that the ever-short interval group had a higher probability of remaining adverse reaction-free. Analysis of donation behavior showed that among donors followed for at least 365 days, the ever-short interval group had a higher annual repeat donation rate than the never-short interval group (74.2% vs 18.3%; adjusted OR=12.5, 95%CI: 12.3-12.7, P<0.001). They also had a higher annual whole-blood donation rate (adjusted RR=1.98, 95%CI: 1.97-1.98, P<0.001), a shorter mean whole-blood donation interval (β=-239 days, 95%CI: -242 to -237 days, P<0.001), and a higher annual whole-blood donation volume (adjusted RR=2.14, 95%CI: 2.13-2.15, P<0.001). Conclusion: Based on real-world data from repeat whole-blood donors in Shenzhen and Hainan, lowering the minimum whole blood donation interval to 3 months did not show an absolute increase in blood donation adverse reactions exceeding the prespecified margin within the scope of this outcome. Shorter whole-blood donation interval behavior was also associated with greater repeat-donation activity, higher annual donation frequency, and higher annual whole-blood donation volume. Given the observational nature of this study and the lack of long-term donor health indicators such as iron status and longitudinal hemoglobin changes, the long-term safety of setting the minimum whole blood donation interval at 3 months requires further evaluation.
4.Characteristics of injury cases among the elderly in Ningbo City from 2014 to 2023
SUN Qiang ; HUANG Ying ; LI Xiaoyong ; YANG Chenying ; WANG Sijia
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(8):822-826,831
Objective:
To analyze the characteristics of injury surveillance cases among the elderly in Ningbo City, Zhejiang Province from 2014 to 2023, so as to provide the basis for formulating targeted injury intervention measures.
Methods:
Injury surveillance cases aged ≥60 years were collected from seven injury sentinel hospitals in Ningbo City through the Zhejiang Provincial Chronic Disease Surveillance Information Management System from 2014 to 2023. Population distribution, temporal distribution, injury circumstances, and clinical characteristics were described.
Results:
A total of 67 259 injury surveillance cases among the elderly were reported in Ningbo City from 2014 to 2023, including 32 159 males (47.81%) and 35 100 females (52.19%). The median age was 68.00 (interquartile range, 14.00) years. The three months with a higher number of cases were December (6 271 cases, 9.32%), August (6 226 cases, 9.26%) and October (6 221 cases, 9.25%). The primary causes of injury were falls (25 276 cases, 37.58%), stabs (12 250 cases, 18.21%), and sprains (11 815 cases, 17.57%). The injury occurred mainly in homes (44 975 cases, 66.87%) and streets/urban areas (16 174 cases, 24.05%). The predominant activities at the time of injury were leisure activities (28 801 cases, 42.82%) and household chores (23 647 cases, 35.16%). The proportions of falls as the cause of injury and injuries occurring at home among females and people aged 80 years and above were relatively high. The predominant sites of injury were upper limbs (23 354 cases, 34.72%) and lower limbs (20 343 cases, 30.25%). The predominant nature of injury were soft tissue injuries (43 345 cases, 64.44%) and bone and joint injuries (22 042 cases, 32.77%). Injuries were primarily mild and moderate in severity, with 46 391 cases (68.97%) and 20 205 cases (30.04%), respectively. The proportion of bone and joint injuries, moderate in injuries among females and people aged 80 years and above was relatively high.
Conclusions
The main causes of injury surveillance cases among the elderly in Ningbo City from 2014 to 2023 were falls and stabs, and the injuries occurred mainly in homes and streets/urban areas. Female and elderly people have a higher risk of injury.
5.Prediction model of radiation enteritis under the total neoadjuvant therapy for locally advanced rectal cancer
Yi FU ; Chenying MA ; Shuyue LI ; Jie CHEN ; Guanghui GAN ; Juying ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Radiological Medicine and Protection 2025;45(8):757-765
Objective:To analyze relevant factors influencing severe acute radiation enteritis (SARE) during total neoadjuvant therapy (TNT) for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). To identify specific prediction indicators of the occurrence and progression of radiation enteritis by investigating the effect relationships between radiation enteritis and multidimensional factors.Methods:A total of 92 patients with rectal adenocarcinoma who received total neoadjuvant therapy at the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University from January 2020 to September 2023 were enrolled in this study. Their relevant information was collected, encompassing clinical nutritional indicators, dynamic changes in hematological parameters, systemic inflammatory indicators, and the occurrence of adverse reactions. Then, risk factors associated with radiation enteritis were determined using logistic regression analysis. Based on independent risk factors, a nomogram model for risk prediction was constructed.Results:Univariate analysis revealed significant correlations of the SARE occurrence with certain nutritional indicators, local tumor measurement data, and laboratory parameters. Multivariate regression analysis further identified the independent risk factors for SARE occurrence, including albumin reduction >26.5% before vs. after treatment ( OR = 5.010, 95% CI: 1.766-14.154, P = 0.010), rectual tenesmus rating of Grade 1-3 ( OR = 3.639, 95% CI: 1.425-9.300, P = 0.024), and elevated disease activity index (DAI) score ( OR ≈ 7.683 per 1-point increase, 95% CI: 1.105-53.410, P = 0.039). The prediction model constructed based on these factors demonstrated high prediction efficiency (AUC = 0.841; 95% CI: 0.749-0.934). Conclusions:The nomogram model constructed using albumin reduction, rectal tenesmus rating, and DAI score can provide accurate, simple, and low-cost risk prediction of radiation enteritis during TNT for LARC patients. This model facilitates the early clinical identification of high-risk patients, providing a basis for implementing personalized adjustments to radiotherapy regimens and enhancing nutritional interventions.
6.Association between lung nodules and lung cancer risk in high-risk populations
Chenying JIN ; Chen ZHU ; Chen JI ; Qiao LI ; Yating FU ; Lili WU ; Lei SHI ; Lingbin DU ; Meng ZHU ; Hongbing SHEN ; Hongxia MA
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(2):273-279
Objective:To investigate the association between different types of lung nodules and the risk of lung cancer in a population at high risk of lung cancer and to provide an epidemiologic basis for the comprehensive management of lung nodules.Methods:Using the free lung cancer screening program of low-dose CT (LDCT) in Wenling, Zhejiang Province, we collected baseline and imaging information of high-risk groups for lung cancer who underwent LDCT screening from April 2019 to October 2021 and patients with previous history of lung cancer, tuberculosis, pneumoconiosis, and silicosis were excluded. A total of 28 539 study subjects were included in the analysis, and the follow-up ended on 31 December 2023. Based on the characteristics of the detected pulmonary nodules, the study subjects were classified with no nodules, with solid nodules, with pure ground glass nodules, and with part solid nodules groups. The association between different characteristics of lung nodules and the risk of lung cancer development was analyzed using the Cox proportional hazard regression model with a new diagnosis of lung cancer during the follow-up period as the outcome.Results:The overall detection rate of lung nodules with a mean diameter of ≥3 mm was 76.5%, of which 53.7%, 18.2%, and 4.6% were detected in the solid nodule, pure ground glass nodule, and partially solid nodule groups, respectively. There were statistically significant differences between the different nodule groups in terms of age, gender, BMI, history of toxic exposure education level, smoking status, history of lung disease, and family history of lung cancer (all P<0.05). The median follow-up time of the study population was 3.4 years, and 485 new lung cancer cases were diagnosed during the follow-up period. After adjusting for covariates, the results of multifactorial Cox proportional hazard regression model analysis showed that the risk of lung cancer was higher in pure ground glass nodules and part solid nodules compared with solid nodules, with HR values (95% CI) of 1.89 (1.52-2.35) and 6.49 (5.18-8.14), respectively. The results of subgroup analysis showed that patients in the group of part solid nodules had the highest risk of lung cancer in all strata of the population, followed by patients with pure ground glass nodules. Patients in the solid nodule group who were older or had previous lung disease had a higher risk of lung cancer, and the risk of lung cancer in the part solid nodule group differed between genders. Conclusions:The proportion of lung nodules detected is high in the high-risk group of lung cancer, and among them, patients with pure ground glass and part solid nodules have a higher risk of developing lung cancer. Attention should be paid to the annual follow-up management for patients with solid nodules who are older or who have had lung diseases, as well as for female patients with part solid nodules.
7.Finite element analysis of application of variable angle screws in posterolateral tibial plateau fractures
Zhenghui HU ; Wen ZHANG ; Hongquan HENG ; Weizhi REN ; Chenying WU ; Zenghui GU ; Jian PENG ; Liubing LI ; Wei XU
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2025;29(27):5735-5742
BACKGROUND:During the treatment of posterolateral tibial plateau fractures through the fibular head approach,the gap between the fibular head and the lateral plateau cannot accommodate the posterior placement of a plate for all patients.OBJECTIVE:To analyze,via finite element analysis,the differences in fixation strength resulting from varying the angles and quantities of horizontal arm variable angle screws in the plate during the treatment of posterolateral tibial plateau fractures through the fibular head approach.METHODS:A finite element model was established based on CT images of the knee to ankle joints of a 30-year-old healthy adult male volunteer.The models were divided into two categories:posteriorly placed group and non-posteriorly placed group based on whether the lateral locking compression plate was posteriorly placed.The posteriorly placed group was further subdivided into groups A-D based on the offset angle of the two variable angle screws(0°,5°,10°,and 15°).The non-posteriorly placed group was subdivided into groups E and F based on offset angles(0° and 15°).Finite element analysis was used to evaluate the von Mises stress distribution,maximum von Mises stress,and compressive displacement under loads of 250,500,and 750 N,exploring the mechanical differences between the groups.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)Finite element analysis results showed that under a 750 N load,the maximum compressive displacement trend of the internal fixation device was D<B=C=F<A<E.The trend for maximum von Mises stress was B<C<A<D<F<E.The trend for maximum compressive displacement on the bone was C=D<B<A<F<E,and for maximum von Mises stress,it was B<C<A<F<D<E.The displacement and stress trends for the six models were similar under loads ranging from 250 N to 750 N.(2)These results suggest that for posterolateral tibial plateau fractures fixed through the fibular head approach,posterior placement of the plate should aim to accommodate two screws.If only one screw can be fixed during surgery,variable angle screws should be offset in the range of 0-15° to increase the probability of securing two screws.
8.Finite element analysis of application of variable angle screws in posterolateral tibial plateau fractures
Zhenghui HU ; Wen ZHANG ; Hongquan HENG ; Weizhi REN ; Chenying WU ; Zenghui GU ; Jian PENG ; Liubing LI ; Wei XU
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2025;29(27):5735-5742
BACKGROUND:During the treatment of posterolateral tibial plateau fractures through the fibular head approach,the gap between the fibular head and the lateral plateau cannot accommodate the posterior placement of a plate for all patients.OBJECTIVE:To analyze,via finite element analysis,the differences in fixation strength resulting from varying the angles and quantities of horizontal arm variable angle screws in the plate during the treatment of posterolateral tibial plateau fractures through the fibular head approach.METHODS:A finite element model was established based on CT images of the knee to ankle joints of a 30-year-old healthy adult male volunteer.The models were divided into two categories:posteriorly placed group and non-posteriorly placed group based on whether the lateral locking compression plate was posteriorly placed.The posteriorly placed group was further subdivided into groups A-D based on the offset angle of the two variable angle screws(0°,5°,10°,and 15°).The non-posteriorly placed group was subdivided into groups E and F based on offset angles(0° and 15°).Finite element analysis was used to evaluate the von Mises stress distribution,maximum von Mises stress,and compressive displacement under loads of 250,500,and 750 N,exploring the mechanical differences between the groups.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)Finite element analysis results showed that under a 750 N load,the maximum compressive displacement trend of the internal fixation device was D<B=C=F<A<E.The trend for maximum von Mises stress was B<C<A<D<F<E.The trend for maximum compressive displacement on the bone was C=D<B<A<F<E,and for maximum von Mises stress,it was B<C<A<F<D<E.The displacement and stress trends for the six models were similar under loads ranging from 250 N to 750 N.(2)These results suggest that for posterolateral tibial plateau fractures fixed through the fibular head approach,posterior placement of the plate should aim to accommodate two screws.If only one screw can be fixed during surgery,variable angle screws should be offset in the range of 0-15° to increase the probability of securing two screws.
9.Association between lung nodules and lung cancer risk in high-risk populations
Chenying JIN ; Chen ZHU ; Chen JI ; Qiao LI ; Yating FU ; Lili WU ; Lei SHI ; Lingbin DU ; Meng ZHU ; Hongbing SHEN ; Hongxia MA
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(2):273-279
Objective:To investigate the association between different types of lung nodules and the risk of lung cancer in a population at high risk of lung cancer and to provide an epidemiologic basis for the comprehensive management of lung nodules.Methods:Using the free lung cancer screening program of low-dose CT (LDCT) in Wenling, Zhejiang Province, we collected baseline and imaging information of high-risk groups for lung cancer who underwent LDCT screening from April 2019 to October 2021 and patients with previous history of lung cancer, tuberculosis, pneumoconiosis, and silicosis were excluded. A total of 28 539 study subjects were included in the analysis, and the follow-up ended on 31 December 2023. Based on the characteristics of the detected pulmonary nodules, the study subjects were classified with no nodules, with solid nodules, with pure ground glass nodules, and with part solid nodules groups. The association between different characteristics of lung nodules and the risk of lung cancer development was analyzed using the Cox proportional hazard regression model with a new diagnosis of lung cancer during the follow-up period as the outcome.Results:The overall detection rate of lung nodules with a mean diameter of ≥3 mm was 76.5%, of which 53.7%, 18.2%, and 4.6% were detected in the solid nodule, pure ground glass nodule, and partially solid nodule groups, respectively. There were statistically significant differences between the different nodule groups in terms of age, gender, BMI, history of toxic exposure education level, smoking status, history of lung disease, and family history of lung cancer (all P<0.05). The median follow-up time of the study population was 3.4 years, and 485 new lung cancer cases were diagnosed during the follow-up period. After adjusting for covariates, the results of multifactorial Cox proportional hazard regression model analysis showed that the risk of lung cancer was higher in pure ground glass nodules and part solid nodules compared with solid nodules, with HR values (95% CI) of 1.89 (1.52-2.35) and 6.49 (5.18-8.14), respectively. The results of subgroup analysis showed that patients in the group of part solid nodules had the highest risk of lung cancer in all strata of the population, followed by patients with pure ground glass nodules. Patients in the solid nodule group who were older or had previous lung disease had a higher risk of lung cancer, and the risk of lung cancer in the part solid nodule group differed between genders. Conclusions:The proportion of lung nodules detected is high in the high-risk group of lung cancer, and among them, patients with pure ground glass and part solid nodules have a higher risk of developing lung cancer. Attention should be paid to the annual follow-up management for patients with solid nodules who are older or who have had lung diseases, as well as for female patients with part solid nodules.
10.Prediction model of radiation enteritis under the total neoadjuvant therapy for locally advanced rectal cancer
Yi FU ; Chenying MA ; Shuyue LI ; Jie CHEN ; Guanghui GAN ; Juying ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Radiological Medicine and Protection 2025;45(8):757-765
Objective:To analyze relevant factors influencing severe acute radiation enteritis (SARE) during total neoadjuvant therapy (TNT) for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). To identify specific prediction indicators of the occurrence and progression of radiation enteritis by investigating the effect relationships between radiation enteritis and multidimensional factors.Methods:A total of 92 patients with rectal adenocarcinoma who received total neoadjuvant therapy at the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University from January 2020 to September 2023 were enrolled in this study. Their relevant information was collected, encompassing clinical nutritional indicators, dynamic changes in hematological parameters, systemic inflammatory indicators, and the occurrence of adverse reactions. Then, risk factors associated with radiation enteritis were determined using logistic regression analysis. Based on independent risk factors, a nomogram model for risk prediction was constructed.Results:Univariate analysis revealed significant correlations of the SARE occurrence with certain nutritional indicators, local tumor measurement data, and laboratory parameters. Multivariate regression analysis further identified the independent risk factors for SARE occurrence, including albumin reduction >26.5% before vs. after treatment ( OR = 5.010, 95% CI: 1.766-14.154, P = 0.010), rectual tenesmus rating of Grade 1-3 ( OR = 3.639, 95% CI: 1.425-9.300, P = 0.024), and elevated disease activity index (DAI) score ( OR ≈ 7.683 per 1-point increase, 95% CI: 1.105-53.410, P = 0.039). The prediction model constructed based on these factors demonstrated high prediction efficiency (AUC = 0.841; 95% CI: 0.749-0.934). Conclusions:The nomogram model constructed using albumin reduction, rectal tenesmus rating, and DAI score can provide accurate, simple, and low-cost risk prediction of radiation enteritis during TNT for LARC patients. This model facilitates the early clinical identification of high-risk patients, providing a basis for implementing personalized adjustments to radiotherapy regimens and enhancing nutritional interventions.


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