1.Prediction of suitable habitats of Phlebotomus chinensis in Gansu Province based on the Biomod2 ensemble model
Dawei YU ; Yandong HOU ; Aiwei HE ; Yu FENG ; Guobing YANG ; Chengming YANG ; Hong LIANG ; Hailiang ZHANG ; Fan LI
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2025;37(3):276-283
Objective To investigate the suitable habitats of Phlebotomus chinensis in Gansu Province, so as provide insights into effective management of mountain-type zoonotic visceral leishmaniasis (MT-ZVL). Methods The geographical coordinates of locations where MT-ZVL cases were reported were retrieved in Gansu Province from 2015 to 2023, and data pertaining to 26 environmental variables were captured, including 19 climatic variables (annual mean temperature, mean diurnal range, isothermality, temperature seasonality, maximum temperature of the warmest month, minimum temperature of the coldest month, temperature annual range, mean temperature of the wettest quarter, mean temperature of the driest quarter, mean temperature of the warmest quarter, mean temperature of the coldest quarter, annual precipitation, precipitation of the wettest month, precipitation of the driest month, precipitation seasonality, precipitation of the wettest quarter, precipitation of the driest quarter, precipitation of the warmest quarter, and precipitation of the coldest quarter), five geographical variables (elevation, annual normalized difference vegetation index, vegetation type, landform type and land use type), and two population and economic variables (population distribution and gross domestic product). Twelve species distribution models were built using the biomod2 package in R project, including surface range envelope (SRE) model, generalized linear model (GLM), generalized additive model (GAM), multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) model, generalized boosted model (GBM), classification tree analysis (CTA) model, flexible discriminant analysis (FDA) model, maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model, optimized maximum entropy (MAXNET) model, artificial neural network (ANN) model, random forest (RF) model, and extreme gradient boosting (XGBOOST) model. The performance of 12 models was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), true skill statistics (TSS), and Kappa coefficient, and single models with high performance was selected to build the optimal ensemble models. Factors affecting the survival of Ph. chinensis were identified based on climatic, geographical, population and economic variables. In addition, the suitable distribution areas of Ph. chinensis were predicted in Gansu Province under shared socioeconomic pathway 126 (SSP126), SSP370 and SSP585 scenarios based on climatic data during the period from 1991 to 2020, from 2041 to 2060 (2050s), and from 2081 to 2100 (2090s) . Results A total of 11 species distribution models were successfully built for prediction of potential distribution areas of Ph. chinensis in Gansu Province, and the RF model had the highest predictive accuracy (AUC = 0.998). The ensemble model built based on the RF model, XGBOOST model, GLM, and MARS model had an increased predictive accuracy (AUC = 0.999) relative to single models. Among the 26 environmental factors, precipitation of the wettest quarter (12.00%), maximum temperature of the warmest month (11.58%), and annual normalized difference vegetation index (11.29%) had the greatest contributions to suitable habitats distribution of Ph. sinensis. Under the climatic conditions from 1991 to 2020, the potential suitable habitat area for Ph. chinensis in Gansu Province was approximately 5.80 × 104 km2, of which the highly suitable area was 1.42 × 104 km2, and primarily concentrated in the southernmost region of Gansu Province. By the 2050s, the unsuitable and lowly suitable areas for Ph. chinensis in Gansu Province had decreased by varying degrees compared to that of 1991 to 2020 period, while the moderately and highly suitable areas exhibited expansion and migration. By the 2090s, under the SSP126 scenario, the suitable habitat area for Ph. chinensis increased significantly, and under the SSP585 scenario, the highly suitable areas transformed into extremely suitable areas, also showing substantial growth. Future global warming is conducive to the survival and reproduction of Ph. chinensis. From the 2050s to the 2090s, the highly suitable areas for Ph. chinensis in Gansu Province will be projected to expand northward. Under the SSP126 scenario, the suitable habitat area for Ph. chinensis in Gansu Province is expected to increase by 194.75% and 204.79% in the 2050s and 2090s, respectively, compared to that of the 1991 to 2020 period. Under the SSP370 scenario, the moderately and highly suitable areas will be projected to increase by 164.40% and 209.03% in the 2050s and 2090s, respectively, while under the SSP585 scenario, they are expected to increase by 195.98% and 211.66%, respectively. Conclusions The distribution of potential suitable habitats of Ph. sinensis gradually shifts with climatic changes. Intensified surveillance and management of Ph. sinensis is recommended in central and eastern parts of Gansu Province to support early warning of MT-ZVL.
2.Perspectives on the development of cardiovascular surgery in China from the perspective of declining birth rate, aging population, and changing dietary structure
Wangping CHEN ; Chengming FAN ; Jinfu YANG
Journal of Chinese Physician 2025;27(8):1121-1124
Cardiovascular surgery in China has undergone leapfrog development, from learning and introducing technologies, to independent innovation, and now leading the world in some fields. Currently, the continuous decline in the birth rate, accelerated aging process, and westernization of dietary structure have profoundly reshaped the epidemiological spectrum of cardiovascular diseases, posing a " triple impact" on the development of cardiovascular surgery. This article summarizes their impacts: (1) Congenital heart disease (CHD): The reduction in newborns has led to a decrease in the absolute number of surgeries, but the popularization of prenatal diagnosis and improved treatment capabilities have relatively increased the proportion of complex CHD cases. The population of adult CHD patients is large and their management has become more complex. (2) Acquired heart disease: Aging has driven a significant increase in the volume of surgeries for coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), valvular heart disease (especially degenerative lesions), atrial fibrillation surgery, and heart failure (heart transplantation and left ventricular assist devices). Patients are characterized by advanced age, critical conditions, and multiple comorbidities. (3) Great vessel diseases: Hypertension, atherosclerosis, and aging have caused a sharp increase in the incidence and surgical volume of aortic aneurysms/aortic dissections, with endovascular treatment becoming an important approach. To address these challenges, future development directions focus on: Technological innovation (minimally invasive surgery, interventional/hybrid techniques, mechanical circulatory support, precision medicine, and regenerative medicine); Transformation of diagnosis and treatment models (establishing full-life-cycle management of CHD, strengthening multidisciplinary heart team decision-making, and promoting enhanced recovery after surgery); Resource optimization (regional collaborative hierarchical diagnosis and treatment, capacity building at the grassroots level, and adaptation to medical insurance payment reforms); Talent training and scientific research innovation (cultivating interdisciplinary talents, strengthening clinical research, and innovating domestic medical devices). Cardiovascular surgery in China needs to actively adapt to changes in population structure and safeguard national heart health through continuous innovation and system optimization.
3.Perspectives on the development of cardiovascular surgery in China from the perspective of declining birth rate, aging population, and changing dietary structure
Wangping CHEN ; Chengming FAN ; Jinfu YANG
Journal of Chinese Physician 2025;27(8):1121-1124
Cardiovascular surgery in China has undergone leapfrog development, from learning and introducing technologies, to independent innovation, and now leading the world in some fields. Currently, the continuous decline in the birth rate, accelerated aging process, and westernization of dietary structure have profoundly reshaped the epidemiological spectrum of cardiovascular diseases, posing a " triple impact" on the development of cardiovascular surgery. This article summarizes their impacts: (1) Congenital heart disease (CHD): The reduction in newborns has led to a decrease in the absolute number of surgeries, but the popularization of prenatal diagnosis and improved treatment capabilities have relatively increased the proportion of complex CHD cases. The population of adult CHD patients is large and their management has become more complex. (2) Acquired heart disease: Aging has driven a significant increase in the volume of surgeries for coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), valvular heart disease (especially degenerative lesions), atrial fibrillation surgery, and heart failure (heart transplantation and left ventricular assist devices). Patients are characterized by advanced age, critical conditions, and multiple comorbidities. (3) Great vessel diseases: Hypertension, atherosclerosis, and aging have caused a sharp increase in the incidence and surgical volume of aortic aneurysms/aortic dissections, with endovascular treatment becoming an important approach. To address these challenges, future development directions focus on: Technological innovation (minimally invasive surgery, interventional/hybrid techniques, mechanical circulatory support, precision medicine, and regenerative medicine); Transformation of diagnosis and treatment models (establishing full-life-cycle management of CHD, strengthening multidisciplinary heart team decision-making, and promoting enhanced recovery after surgery); Resource optimization (regional collaborative hierarchical diagnosis and treatment, capacity building at the grassroots level, and adaptation to medical insurance payment reforms); Talent training and scientific research innovation (cultivating interdisciplinary talents, strengthening clinical research, and innovating domestic medical devices). Cardiovascular surgery in China needs to actively adapt to changes in population structure and safeguard national heart health through continuous innovation and system optimization.
4.Magnesium lithospermate B enhances the potential of human-induced pluripotent stem cell-derived cardiomyocytes for myocardial repair
Chengming FAN ; Kele QIN ; Daniel Chukwuemeka IROEGBU ; Kun XIANG ; Yibo GONG ; Qing GUAN ; Wenxiang WANG ; Jun PENG ; Jianjun GUO ; Xun WU ; Jinfu YANG
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(15):1857-1869
Background::We previously reported that activation of the cell cycle in human-induced pluripotent stem cell-derived cardiomyocytes (hiPSC-CMs) enhances their remuscularization capacity after human cardiac muscle patch transplantation in infarcted mouse hearts. Herein, we sought to identify the effect of magnesium lithospermate B (MLB) on hiPSC-CMs during myocardial repair using a myocardial infarction (MI) mouse model.Methods::In C57BL/6 mice, MI was surgically induced by ligating the left anterior descending coronary artery. The mice were randomly divided into five groups ( n = 10 per group); a MI group (treated with phosphate-buffered saline only), a hiPSC-CMs group, a MLB group, a hiPSC-CMs + MLB group, and a Sham operation group. Cardiac function and MLB therapeutic efficacy were evaluated by echocardiography and histochemical staining 4 weeks after surgery. To identify the associated mechanism, nuclear factor (NF)-κB p65 and intercellular cell adhesion molecule-1 (ICAM1) signals, cell adhesion ability, generation of reactive oxygen species, and rates of apoptosis were detected in human umbilical vein endothelial cells (HUVECs) and hiPSC-CMs. Results::After 4 weeks of transplantation, the number of cells that engrafted in the hiPSC-CMs + MLB group was about five times higher than those in the hiPSC-CMs group. Additionally, MLB treatment significantly reduced tohoku hospital pediatrics-1 (THP-1) cell adhesion, ICAM1 expression, NF-κB nuclear translocation, reactive oxygen species production, NF-κB p65 phosphorylation, and cell apoptosis in HUVECs cultured under hypoxia. Similarly, treatment with MLB significantly inhibited the apoptosis of hiPSC-CMs via enhancing signal transducer and activator of transcription 3 (STAT3) phosphorylation and B-cell lymphoma-2 (BCL2) expression, promoting STAT3 nuclear translocation, and downregulating BCL2-Associated X, dual specificity phosphatase 2 (DUSP2), and cleaved-caspase-3 expression under hypoxia. Furthermore, MLB significantly suppressed the production of malondialdehyde and lactate dehydrogenase and the reduction in glutathione content induced by hypoxia in both HUVECs and hiPSC-CMs in vitro. Conclusions::MLB significantly enhanced the potential of hiPSC-CMs in repairing injured myocardium by improving endothelial cell function via the NF-κB/ICAM1 pathway and inhibiting hiPSC-CMs apoptosis via the DUSP2/STAT3 pathway.
5.Spatiotemporal clustering and hot spot analysis of visceral leishmaniasis in Gansu Province from 1993 to 2023
Dawei YU ; Aiwei HE ; Yu FENG ; Guobing YANG ; Chengming YANG ; Fan LI
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2024;36(4):334-338
Objective To investigate the spatiotemporal clustering characteristics of the reported incidence of visceral leishmaniasis (VL) in Gansu Province from 1993 to 2023, so as to provide insights into the containment of VL and prevention of VL recurrence. Methods County (district)-level epidemical data of VL in Gansu Province from 1993 to 2023 were collected, and the geographical information database of reported VL incidence in Gansu Province was created according to the county-level administrative code and electronic maps in Gansu Province. In addition, the spatial autocorrelation analysis and hot spot analysis of the reported VL incidence were performed in Gansu Province using the software ArcGIS 10.8. Results A total of 2 597 VL cases were reported in Gansu Province from 1993 to 2023, with an annual average incidence rate of 3.036/105. Spatial autocorrelation analysis showed spatial clustering of the reported VL incidence in Gansu Province (Moran’s I = 0.605, Z = 5.240, P < 0.001), appearing high-high clustering features (Getis-Ord G = 0.080, Z = 4.137, P < 0.001), and high-high clustering of the reported incidence of VL was identified in Diebu County, Tanchang County, Zhouqu County and Wenxian County. Hot spot analysis showed hot-spot areas of the reported VL incidence in Tanchang County, Zhouqu County, Wudu District and Wenxian County along the Bailong River basins and cold-spot areas in Qin’an County and Gangu County. Conclusions There was spatial clustering and hot spots of the reported VL incidence in Gansu Province from 1993 to 2023. Intensified surveillance and control is required to prevent the spread of VL.
6.Epidemiological characteristics of visceral leishmaniasis in Gansu Province from 2017 to 2023
Fan LI ; Dawei YU ; Hong LIANG ; Chengming YANG ; Guobing YANG ; Junke YANG
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2024;36(4):339-345
Objective To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of visceral leishmaniasis in Gansu Province from 2017 to 2023, so as to provide insights into formulation of the visceral leishmaniasis control strategy in the province. Methods All epidemiological features of confirmed and clinically diagnosed cases of visceral leishmaniasis reported in Gansu Province from January 1, 2017 to December 31, 2023 were retrieved from the Chinese Disease Prevention and Control Information System, and the epidemiological characteristics of visceral leishmaniasis cases were analyzed descriptively. Results A total of 280 visceral leishmaniasis cases were reported in 39 counties (cities and districts) of Gansu Province from 2017 to 2023, including 258 local cases reported in 21 endemic counties (districts) and 22 imported cases reported in 18 non-endemic areas. Of the 280 cases, there were 262 cases with mountain type zoonotic visceral leishmaniasis (MT-ZVL), 12 cases with desert-type zoonotic visceral leishmaniasis (DT-ZVL), and 6 cases with unknown type. Re-emerging MT-ZVL occurred in Maiji District, Qinzhou District, Lixian County, Kangxian County, Zhenyuan County, Qin’an County and Yongjing County, and re-emerging DT-ZVL occurred in Dunhuang City, while emerging DT-ZVL occurred in Yumen City. The five counties (districts) reporting the highest number of visceral leishmaniasis cases included Wudu District, Wenxian County, Tanchang County, Zhouqu County and Diebu County, and a total of 220 cases were reported in these five counties, accounting for 78.57% of all visceral leishmaniasis cases in the province. Visceral leishmaniasis cases were reported each month throughout the year, with the peak in July. All reported visceral leishmaniasis cases had ages of 6 months to 81 years, including 50.71% (142/280) under 15 years of age, 49.29% (138/280) at ages of 15 years and older, and of all cases under 15 years of age, children at ages of 0 to 3 years were the most commonly affected (27.14%, 76/280). Among 280 visceral leishmaniasis cases, there were 173 males and 107 females with a male to female ratio of 1.62∶1, and farmer was the most common occupation (40.36%), followed by diaspora children (37.86%). Conclusions The prevalence of visceral leishmaniasis appeared an overall tendency towards a decline in Gansu Province from 2017 to 2023; however, there are still multiple challenges for visceral leishmaniasis control in the province. Reinforced dog monitoring and management, intensified human health education and improved capability building among professionals are recommended to manage the rebounding and spread of visceral leishmaniasis.
7.Prevalence and spatio-temporal clustering of visceral leishmaniasis in Gansu Province from 2015 to 2021
Dawei YU ; Aiwei HE ; Fan LI ; Yu FENG ; Chengming YANG ; Yandong HOU
Chinese Journal of Endemiology 2023;42(4):274-279
Objective:To analyze the epidemic status and spatial and temporal cluster distribution of visceral leishmaniasis (VL) in Gansu Province, and to provide evidence for making precise prevention and control measures and epidemic surveillance.Methods:The data of VL cases in Gansu Province reported in the China Disease Prevention and Control Information System Infectious Disease Reporting Information Management System from 2015 to 2021 were collected, descriptive epidemiology analysis was performed (three distribution of the disease). SaTScan v9.6 and ArcMap 10.7 were used for spatio-temporal cluster analysis.Results:A total of 368 VL cases were reported from 2015 to 2021, 89.13% (328/368) were concentrated in Longnan City and Gannan Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture. The number of VL cases increased year by year from 2015 to 2017, reaching a peak in 2017 (79 cases, accounting for 21.47%), and had decreased year by year since 2018. There were cases every month throughout the year, and the peak was in April in spring (38 cases). The ratio of male to female patients was 1.3 ∶ 1.0 (208/160). Scattered children aged less than 5 years old were more common (41.30%, 152/368). The spatio-temporal cluster analysis showed that both the spatial and temporal aggregation zones of VL in Tanchang County and Chengxian County were of statistical significance ( P < 0.05). Conclusion:The incidence of VL in Gansu Province is showing a low epidemic trend, having spatio-temporal aggregation, and precise monitoring and prevention and control should be strengthened in epidemic areas with different prevalence levels.
8.Correlation between different clinical manifestations and changes of blood indexes in canine leishmaniasis
Dawei YU ; Fan LI ; Yu FENG ; Chengming YANG ; Junke YANG ; Yadong ZHU
Chinese Journal of Endemiology 2023;42(8):623-626
Objective:To study the main blood parameters of Leishmania-infected dogs with different clinical symptoms in the high incidence area of visceral leishmaniasis in Gansu Province, and to provide scientific basis for early diagnosis and monitoring of canine leishmaniasis. Methods:In May 2019, Wenxian County of Longnan City and Diebu County of Gannan Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture, the historical endemic areas of visceral leishmaniasis in Gansu Province, were selected as the investigation sites, and 40 dogs with positive Leishmania DNA were investigated. According to their clinical symptoms, they were divided into three groups: asymptomatic ( n = 17), minimally symptomatic ( n = 12) and symptomatic ( n = 11). At the same time, 10 healthy dogs were selected as controls. Major blood indexes were detected by an automatic animal blood five-classification cell analyzer. Results:Compared with the control group, the number of red blood cells, hemoglobin content, hematocrit, and the number of lymphocytes, monocytes and eosinophils in the asymptomatic, minimally symptomatic and symptomatic groups were decreased ( P < 0.05), while the number of white blood cells and neutrophils in minimally symptomatic and symptomatic groups were decreased ( P < 0.05). The above blood indexes were lower in the symptomatic group than those in the asymptomatic group. The number of red blood cells (control group vs symptomatic group) decreased from (6.82 ± 0.05) × 10 12/L to (4.19 ± 0.08) × 10 12/L, hemoglobin content decreased from (15.84 ± 0.74) g/L to (9.65 ± 0.18) g/L, hematocrit decreased from (46.41 ± 0.95)% to (27.86 ± 0.42)%, the number of white blood cells decreased from (14.90 ± 0.22) × 10 9/L to (10.23 ± 0.24) × 10 9/L, the number of neutrophils decreased from (7.25 ± 0.18) × 10 9/L to (6.18 ± 0.11) × 10 9/L, the number of lymphocytes decreased from (2.80 ± 0.07) × 10 9/L to (1.64 ± 0.06) × 10 9/L, the number of monocytes decreased from (1.13 ± 0.01) × 10 9/L to (0.53 ± 0.02) × 10 9/L, and the number of eosinophils decreased from (1.70 ± 0.06) × 10 9/L to (0.71 ± 0.03) × 10 9/L. Conclusion:Different clinical symptoms of Leishmania-infected dogs have different blood test results.
9.Accurate Reconstruction of Traffic Accident Based on Multiple Optimization Algorithms and Evaluation of Craniocerebral Injury Risk
Ying FAN ; Chengming WANG ; Jinming WANG ; Zhengdong LI ; Donghua ZOU ; Jiang HUANG
Journal of Medical Biomechanics 2023;38(2):E346-E352
Objective To investigate the effect of different optimization algorithms on accurate reconstruction of traffic accidents. Methods Non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm-II ( NSGA-II), neighborhood cultivation genetic algorithm (NCGA) and multi-objective particle swarm optimization (MOPSO) were used to optimize the multi-rigid body dynamic reconstruction of a real case. The effects of different optimization algorithms on convergence speed and optimal approximate solution were studied. The optimal initial impact parameters were simulated as boundary conditions of finite element method, and the simulated results were compared with the actual injuries. Results NCGA had a faster convergence speed and a better result in optimization process. The kinematic response of pedestrian vehicle collision reconstructed by the optimal approximate solution was consistent with the surveillance video. The prediction of craniocerebral injury was basically consistent with the cadaver examination. Conclusions The combination of optimization algorithm, rigid multibody and finite element method can complete the accurate reconstruction of traffic accidents and reduce the influence of human factors.
10.Role of frontal lobe and its related circuits involved in cognitive flexibility impairment in autism
Chengming XU ; Yalei FAN ; Zhe ZHANG ; Jiwei ZHANG ; Liguo LI ; Xianwen DONG
Chinese Journal of Behavioral Medicine and Brain Science 2023;32(11):1051-1056
Autism spectrum disorder (ASD) is a multifactorial disease, with social difficulties and repetitive behaviors as its core symptoms. With the improvement of diagnostic methods, the detection rate of ASD is increasing year by year.Cognitive flexibility impairment is very obvious in most autistic patients.More and more studies have shown that cognitive flexibility impairment is related to the occurrence and development of core symptoms. However, the mechanism of cognitive flexibility impairment in autism remains unclear. The frontal lobe plays an important role in advanced cognition, and its complete development is related to cognitive function. Recent studies have shown that frontal lobe dysfunction is closely related to cognitive flexibility deficits in autistic patients, and the abnormal changes in the frontal lobe, the associated default mode network dysfunction and frontal striatal circuit defects may be the important mechanisms of cognitive flexibility impairment. Based on the recent clinical and basic studies on cognitive flexibility in autism, this article reviews the mechanisms of frontal lobe and related circuits involved in the impairment of cognitive flexibility in autism.

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