1.Comparative Analysis of Clinical Efficacy of Traditional Chinese Medicine Manipulative Reduction Combined with Small Splint Fixation Versus Surgical Treatment for Type A Distal Radius Fracture
Yang SHAO ; Zihan WANG ; Jianwei WANG ; Guoda DAI ; Hengyan CUI ; Zhen HUA ; Tingchen ZHU ; Shaoshuo LI ; Jun MAO ; Fenghua CHEN ; Shuai TAO ; Mao WU
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2026;67(10):1078-1085
ObjectiveTo compare the clinical efficacy of traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) manipulative reduction combined with small splint fixation versus surgical treatment for type A distal radius fracture (DRF) and to explore the factors influencing the choice of treatment. MethodsA multi-center retrospective study was conducted, collecting data from 1237 type A DRF patients treated in 11 hospitals in Jiangsu province from September, 2023 to April, 2025. Among them, 851 patients in the TCM group received manipulative reduction combined with small splint fixation, and 386 patients in the surgical group underwent open reduction and internal fixation. Visual analog scale (VAS) scores for pain and radiographic indicators including palmar tilt, ulnar deviation, and radial height were compared before treatment, 5-7 days after treatment, and 4-6 weeks after treatment. The wrist joint function scores including Dienst and Gartland-Werley scores at 12 weeks after treatment were recorded. Subgroup analysis was conducted for the excellent rate of Dienst and Gartland-Werley scores, stratified by age (<50, 50-59, 60-69, ≥70 years old) and AO subtypes (A1, A2, A3). A multivariate logistic regression model was used to identify independent factors influencing treatment choice. ResultsOn 5-7 days after treatment, the surgical group had lower VAS scores than the TCM group, while 4-6 weeks after treatment, the TCM group showed lower VAS scores than the surgical group (P<0.01). In terms of radiographic indicators, except for the palmar tilt before treatment being higher in the surgical group than in the TCM group (P<0.01), there were no significant differences in palmar tilt, ulnar deviation, and radial height at other timepoints (P>0.05). Twelve weeks after treatment, the surgical group had a higher average Gartland-Werley score and the excellent rate than the TCM group (P<0.01). Subgroup analysis showed that in patients with A2 type DRF aged 50-59 and 60-69 years old, the excellent rates of Dienst and Gartland-Werley scores in the TCM group were higher than those in the surgical group (P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that age, palmar tilt, ulnar deviation, and the degree of swelling on the affected side were independent factors influencing the choice of treatment (P<0.05). ConclusionBoth TCM manipulative reduction combined with small splint fixation and surgical treatment for type A DRF can achieve good therapeutic effects. TCM manipulative reduction combined with small splint fixation has certain advantages in medium- and long-term pain relief, especially in elderly patients, where wrist joint function recovery is more stable. Age, palmar tilt, ulnar deviation, and swelling degree are the main factors influencing the treatment choice.
2.A comparative study on the conversion treatment of the sirolimus quadruple regimen for expanded criteria donor kidney transplantation versus the control group from the same donors
Hua YANG ; Rui XIONG ; Lisong WAN ; Tongzhang CHEN ; Jinran YANG ; Wenfeng LUO ; Xinzhang LI
Organ Transplantation 2026;17(2):243-249
Objective To explore the efficacy and safety of converting the triple immunosuppressive regimen of tacrolimus (Tac) + mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) + prednisone (Pred) to a quadruple regimen of low-dose sirolimus (SRL) + low-dose Tac + MMF + Pred at 3 to 6 months after expanded criteria donor (ECD) kidney transplantation. Methods A single-center, retrospective, donor-matched controlled study included 22 ECD kidney transplant recipients from September 2021 to June 2024. Two recipients from the same donor kidneys were respectively assigned to the SRL group and the conventional triple regimen control group. The main outcome measures were the differences in serum creatinine (Scr), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and adverse events before the regimen conversion and after conversion during the 1, 3, 6, and 12-month follow-up. Results There were no statistically significant differences in baseline characteristics between the two groups. In the SRL group, Scr decreased and eGFR increased starting from 3 months after conversion, and this was superior to the control group starting from 6 months(all P < 0.05). There were no statistically significant differences in the incidence of rejection reactions, pulmonary infections, hyperlipidemia and proteinuria between the two groups after conversion and during the 12-month follow-up (all P > 0.05). Conclusions For ECD kidney transplant recipients, converting the triple regimen to the SRL quadruple regimen at 3 to 6 months after transplantation may improve the function of the transplanted kidney without increasing the risk of adverse events.
3.Resolution Assessment in Super-resolution Optical Microscopy: Adaptive Methods and Recent Advances
San-Hua FANG ; Jing-Yao CHEN ; Dan YANG ; Li LIU
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2026;53(4):805-825
Optical microscopy is essential for exploring biological and material structures, with resolution determining the level of observable detail. The advent of super-resolution fluorescence microscopy has broken the diffraction limit, achieving nanoscale resolution. However, traditional assessment methods, such as the Rayleigh criterion and point spread function (PSF) width measurement, rely on empirical judgments and diffraction-limited models, rendering them inadequate for modern super-resolution imaging. This review systematically traces the evolution of resolution assessment methodologies, from classical criteria to advanced strategies tailored for various super-resolution modalities. We first discuss Fourier-based quantitative methods. Fourier ring correlation (FRC) and its 3D counterpart, Fourier shell correlation (FSC), objectively determine resolution by evaluating the statistical correlation of two independent image reconstructions in frequency space. These methods offer robustness against noise and provide a global resolution metric, but they require data independence and are computationally intensive. They have become the prevailing standards in electron and super-resolution microscopy. Subsequently, we examine adaptations for specific super-resolution techniques. For single-molecule localization microscopy (SMLM) techniques such as PALM and STORM, the Fourier image resolution (FIRE) method extends FRC by incorporating a physical model that accounts for localization precision and labeling density. For stimulated emission depletion (STED) microscopy and other nonlinear techniques, assessment strategies differ. While PSF shrinkage measurements using fluorescent beads are useful for system calibration, evaluating the effective resolution directly on biological samples is more practical. This is typically performed via linewidth analysis of known structures (e.g., microtubules) or edge-spread function measurements, capturing the effects of photobleaching and sample-induced aberrations. A major paradigm shift is parameter-free resolution estimation based on decorrelation analysis. This method analyzes the autocorrelation decay of a single image’s Fourier spectrum to identify the cutoff spatial frequency without requiring dual datasets or user-defined thresholds. Its high efficiency and broad applicability have been validated across widefield, confocal, STED, SIM, and SMLM modalities. Optimized rendering strategies for SMLM data further enhance its accuracy, and it is emerging as a tool for real-time optimization of experimental parameters. The review also addresses the “gold standard” of resolution validation using well-defined nanostructures, such as DNA origami and nuclear pore complexes, which provide ground truth for verifying resolution claims and detecting artifacts. In the era of artificial intelligence, deep learning plays a dual role: it powerfully enhances image resolution but also introduces challenges, as models may generate “hallucinations” or false details. This underscores the need for new validation metrics to verify the physical fidelity of AI-generated content. Finally, we outline future directions: developing unified cross-modality standards, enabling real-time dynamic resolution monitoring for live-cell imaging, creating techniques for generating local resolution maps to capture sample heterogeneity, and integrating intelligent error correction to ensure data veracity. By providing a comprehensive overview of resolution assessment progress and challenges, this review aims to equip researchers with the knowledge to select appropriate tools, thereby fostering rigorous quantitative imaging in the life and material sciences.
4.Compact Fundus Imaging System Using Shack-Hartmann Wavefront Sensing for High-speed Auto-focus
Zhe-Kai LIN ; Long CHEN ; Geng-Yong ZHENG ; Jin-Tian HUANG ; Jia-Xin DONG ; Shang-Pan YANG ; Wen-Zheng DING ; Ding-An HAN ; Xue-Hua WANG ; Ya-Guang ZENG
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2026;53(4):1076-1086
ObjectiveThe widespread adoption of portable fundus cameras for primary care and community screening is hindered by limitations in current autofocus(AF) technologies. Image-based methods relying on sharpness evaluation require iterative searches, resulting in slow convergence, while projection-based techniques are susceptible to optical artifacts and calibration errors. To address these challenges, this study introduces a novel AF system based on direct wavefront sensing, designed to deliver simultaneous high speed, high precision, and operational robustness within the compact form factor essential for portable ophthalmic devices. MethodsOur approach fundamentally reimagines the AF process by directly measuring the ocular wavefront aberration. We developed a custom portable fundus camera integrating a miniaturized Shack-Hartmann wavefront sensor (SHWS) into the optical path. An 850 nm laser diode projects a point source onto the retina via oblique illumination to minimize corneal reflections. Light scattered from this spot carries the eye’s refractive error through the imaging optics and is directed to the SHWS, positioned at a plane optically conjugate to the primary color CMOS imaging sensor. A microlens array within the SHWS samples the incident wavefront, generating a pattern of focal spots on a CCD. Real-time centroid analysis of these spots provides a map of local wavefront slopes. These measurements are processed through a singular value decomposition (SVD) algorithm to fit a Zernike polynomial basis set, enabling real-time reconstruction of the wavefront phase. The defocus component (S) is extracted from the second-order Zernike coefficients, providing a direct, quantitative measure of the refractive error in diopters. This value serves as a precise error signal in a closed-loop control system, which commands a voice-coil actuated focusing lens to its null position in a single, deterministic step, eliminating the need for iterative search algorithms. ResultsComprehensive evaluation demonstrated the system’s high performance. Testing on a calibrated model eye (OEMI-7) established a highly linear relationship between the computed defocus S and the focusing lens position across a ±20 Diopter (D) compensation range, achievable within a 5 mm mechanical travel. The system achieved a focusing precision of 0.08 D, corresponding to an 18-fold improvement over a conventional projection spot-size method tested under identical conditions. The total focus acquisition time, encompassing wavefront measurement, computation, and lens actuation, averaged under 0.5 s. Clinical validation with 25 human volunteers (50 eyes, refractive range -15 D to +10 D) confirmed practical efficacy. The wavefront-sensing AF succeeded in 92% of attempts with a mean time of 0.5 s, substantially outperforming a projection-based benchmark which achieved only a 32% success rate with an average time of 4.25 s. The system provided instantaneous directional guidance and maintained stability during minor ocular movements. Objective assessment of image quality, via amplitude contrast of retinal vasculature, showed consistent and significant enhancement following AF correction across the entire tested diopter range. ConclusionThis work successfully implements and validates a direct wavefront-sensing autofocus paradigm for portable fundus cameras. By directly quantifying and compensating for the optical defocus aberration, this method bypasses the fundamental limitations of image-processing and projection-based techniques, enabling rapid, precise, and deterministic diopter compensation. The developed system delivers an exceptional combination of a wide operational range (±20 D), high accuracy (0.08 D), fast convergence (0.5 s), and a compact physical footprint. This technology provides a practical and high-performance focusing solution capable of enhancing the reliability, throughput, and diagnostic utility of portable retinal imaging in large-scale screening applications. Future efforts will be directed towards system cost optimization and performance adaptation for diverse ocular conditions.
5.Harnessing Machine Learning for Personalized Care of Patients With Idiopathic Sudden Sensorineural Hearing Loss: A Multicenter Cohort Study
Yen-Ting GUO ; Ching-Ting TAN ; Chen-Chi WU ; Chun-Ying WANG ; Chein-Yu HUANG ; Tzu-Hsiang YANG ; Ting-Yi LEE ; Ting-Hua YANG ; Tien-Chen LIU ; Pey-Yu CHEN ; Pei-Hsuan LIN
Clinical and Experimental Otorhinolaryngology 2026;19(2):194-204
Objectives:
. Idiopathic sudden sensorineural hearing loss (ISSNHL) is a significant cause of hearing loss. Intratympanic steroid injection (ITSI) is commonly used as an initial or salvage treatment; however, the lack of a standardized treatment protocol has resulted in variability in clinical practice. In addition, no efficient prediction model currently exists to support personalized management. Therefore, this study aimed to develop tailored management strategies for ISSNHL using a machine-learning model.
Methods:
. This retrospective multicenter cohort study was conducted between January 2015 and December 2020, with data analysis performed between January 2021 and March 2024. Patients were selected based on the International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision criteria for ISSNHL, along with relevant medication and procedure codes. Patients with pure-tone audiogram results not meeting ISSNHL criteria, better initial hearing in the affected ear, an identifiable etiology, no post-treatment audiogram, or delayed treatment (>6 weeks) were excluded. We included 770 patients diagnosed with ISSNHL who received ITSI. The primary outcome was the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for prediction performance. Recovery status was determined using the last pure-tone audiogram. Modeling was conducted on the Quanta for Medical Care AI platform using five machine-learning algorithms and a nested cross-validation framework, in which feature selection and hyperparameter tuning were performed in the inner folds and model performance was evaluated in the outer folds.
Results:
. A random forest classifier outperformed the other models in predicting hearing outcomes, achieving an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.788. Time to ITSI was the most influential treatment-related factor, with ITSI administered within 10 days of hearing loss being associated with better outcomes. This model can be used to provide personalized prognostic estimates under different treatment protocols.
Conclusion
. The machine-learning-based prediction model facilitates personalized treatment strategies and timely treatment adjustments for ISSNHL, thereby optimizing the likelihood of complete recovery.
6.Differences in deltamethrin resistance and kdr gene mutation in Culex tritaeniorhynchus population in and outside the Yellow Sea wetland
Xiao-er ZHANG ; Zhi-ming WU ; Ye TIAN ; Qian CUI ; Yu-qian JI ; Huan WANG ; Shu-juan YANG ; Yi-chao ZHAO ; Yu WANG ; Hua-yu YIN ; Yu DING ; Guo-jin YAN ; Min-sen ZHAO ; Shou-gang ZHANG ; Bing-dong SONG ; Hong-na CHEN ; Jian GAO ; Wei-fang YANG ; Yu-fu ZHANG ; Hui LIU ; Hong-liang CHU
Acta Parasitologica et Medica Entomologica Sinica 2026;33(2):101-107
Objective To gain insights into the biological characteristics of different populations of Culex tritaeniorhynchus within and around the Yellow Sea wetland from the perspective of the occurrence of resistance, we investigated the levels of resistance to deltamethrin and kdr gene mutation in the wetland and its peripheral areas. Methods Specimens were collected from Cx. tritaeniorhynchus populations at two monitoring sites in the Rare Bird National Nature Reserve and Tiaozi Ni Wetland Scenic Area, and also from two populations in Yancheng City and the Liuhe District of Nanjing, and the resistance of these mosquitoes to deltamethrin was determined using the CDC biotest bottle method. For each concentration of deltamethrin assessed, a random subset of exposed specimens was selected for amplification of the kdr gene fragment, followed by Sanger sequencing to identify and analyze resistance-associated mutations. Results The LC50 levels of deltamethrin among mosquitoes from the four populations in Luhe, Yancheng, the Rare Bird National Nature Reserve and the Tiaozi Ni Wetland Scenic Area were 2.048 5, 7.798 2, 3.473 3, and 17.695 5 mg/mL, respectively, with corresponding concentrations of deltamethrin ranging from 0.005 to 5.000,0.050 to 50.000,0.050 to 25.000 and 0.050 to 50.000 mg/mL, respectively. Furthermore, the ranges of the KT50 values were 11.76-107.43, 67.05-216.30,29.77-107.43 and 28.40-329.51 min; the 1-h knockdown rates were 34.58%-99.15%, 9.52%-43.80%, 55.09%-73.01%, and 10.09%-68.07%; and the 24-h mortality rates were 12.15%-67.52%,9.52%-79.56%,13.17%-82.21%, and 11.01%-78.99%, respectively. With respect to kdr gene mutation, we assayed a total of 63,70,59, and 57 mosquitoes for the four populations, for which we detected L1014F mutation frequencies of 14.29%, 35.00%, 20.34%, and 31.58%, respectively, with a majority of these mutations being heterozygous for resistance. In addition, five adult mosquitoes were identified has having synonymous mutations at site 1011[i. e. , AAT(asparagine)mutation to AAC(asparagine)]. Conclusions Our findings revealed the clear resistance of Cx. tritaeniorhynchus to deltamethrin in the Yancheng region of the Yellow Sea wetland, and the resistance phenotype and kdr frequency of Cx. tritaeniorhynchus in the wetland environment were comparable to those of Cx. tritaeniorhynchus in the wetland environment, thereby indicating that the resistance of different populations of Cx. tritaeniorhynchus was homogeneous under the pressure of different insecticide selection within and around the wetland. However, the underlying mechanisms need to be further studied.
7.Prevalence and influencing factors of suspected sarcopenia among community-dwelling elderly patients with type 2 diabetes in Changning District, Shanghai
Xia LI ; Zhenping LU ; Dong CHEN ; Hua YANG ; Yu JIANG
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2026;38(5):344-349
ObjectiveTo conduct sarcopenia-related screening and assessment among community-dwelling elderly patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in Changning District of Shanghai, to analyze the current status and influencing factors of suspected sarcopenia in this population, and to provide references for the early prevention and treatment of sarcopenia. MethodsUsing a stratified random sampling method, elderly T2DM patients under management in the Chronic Disease Health Management System of Changning District in Shanghai were selected as the study subjects. Patients were screened for sarcopenia and underwent related health examinations according to the Chinese Expert Consensus on Diagnosis and Treatment of Sarcopenia in the Elderly (2021). Self-designed questionnaires were used to collect basic information, lifestyle habits and health status, and the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) was employed to evaluate cognitive function. ResultsAmong 758 elderly patients with T2DM [average age: (72.19±6.19) years old], 214 patients were identified as having suspected sarcopenia,accounting for 28.23%. The proportion of suspected sarcopenia was higher in females (30.94%) than in males (24.08%) (χ²=4.20, P=0.040), and higher in older patients (χ²=22.26, P<0.001). Higher proportions of suspected sarcopenia were also observed among patients who followed a vegetarian diet (39.77%) (χ²=73.28, P=0.011), had diabetic foot (59.09%) (χ²=10.65, P=0.001), reported feeling fatigued most of the time (37.11%) (χ²=4.33, P=0.037), or had mild cognitive impairment (χ²=3.95, P=0.047). The duration of T2DM in the suspected sarcopenia group [(12.86±10.07) years old] was longer than that in the non-sarcopenia group [(9.73±8.63) years old] (t=3.79, P<0.001), and the average body mass index (BMI) in the suspected sarcopenia group [(22.17±2.45) kg⋅m-²)] was lower than that in the non-sarcopenia group [(25.11±3.26) kg⋅m-²)] (t=-11.41, P<0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that older age (OR=1.08, 95%CI:1.047‒1.110) and longer duration of T2DM (OR=1.02, 95%CI:1.005‒1.043) were associated with a higher risk of suspected sarcopenia in elderly T2DM patients. Female elderly T2DM patients had a higher risk of suspected sarcopenia (OR=1.89, 95%CI:1.310‒2.733) than males, and those with diabetic foot (OR=3.66, 95%CI:1.341‒9.990) had a higher risk than those without diabetic foot. ConclusionThe proportion of elderly T2DM patients with suspected sarcopenia was relatively high. In community-based integrated health management, healthcare providers should pay more attention to elderly T2DM patients who are older, have longer disease duration, are female, or have diabetic foot, so as to identify risks early and implement targeted comprehensive interventions and health management.
8.Effects of Gan Jiang-Huang Qin-Huang Lian-Ren Shen Decoction on pyroptosis of colonic epithelial cells in mouse models of ulcerative colitis via NLRP3/caspase-1 pathway
Ce ZHOU ; Ze-lin YI ; Ming-xing ZHANG ; Hai-chen LI ; Yang YANG ; Min CHEN ; Ying-hua WU
Chinese Traditional Patent Medicine 2025;47(6):1817-1824
AIM To investigate the effects of Gan Jiang-Huang Qin-Huang Lian-Ren Shen Decoction(GJHQHLRSD)on the pyroptosis,pathway of colonic epithelial cells in mouse models of ulcerative colitis(UC).METHODS Among the 63 C57BL/6J mice,13 were randomly selected and assigned to the model group,and the others were divided into the control group,the positive Sulfasalazine Enteric-Coated Tablets group(0.6 g/kg),and low,medium,and high dose GJHQHLRSD groups(3.9,7.8,15.6 g/kg),with 10 mice in each group.The UC mouse model was established using DSS,and the corresponding drugs were administered by gavage.The mice had their general condition observed;their disease activity index(DAI)score assessed;their colon length measured;their histopathological damage of the colon analyzed using HE staining;their colonic IL-1β,IL-8,and TNF-α levels measured by ELISA method;their colonic NLRP3,GSDMD,pro-IL-1β,pro-caspase-1,and IL-1βprotein expression detected by Western blot method;and their cell pyroptosis detected by TUNEL and GSDMD fluorescence double staining.RESULTS Compared with the control group,the model group exhibited significant decrease in body weight and a shortened colon length(P<0.01);increases in DAI score,levels of IL-1β,IL-8,TNF-α,as well as the protein expressions of NLRP3,GSDMD,and active-caspase-1(P<0.05,P<0.01);significant increase of colonic GSDMD and TUNEL positivity;indicating increased tissue damage and inflammatory response.Compared with the model group,the groups intervened with GJHQHLRSD showed a significant increase in body weight and colonic elongation(P<0.05,P<0.01);decreases in DAI score,levels of IL-1β,IL-8,TNF-α,as well as the protein expressions of NLRP3,GSDMD,and active-caspase-1(P<0.05,P<0.01);a gradient decrease in positivity of GSDMD and TUNEL;indicating a significantly reduced colonic pathological damage.CONCLUSION GJHQHLRSD can improve the DSS-induced inflammatory reaction of colonic mucosa in UC mice,and its mechanism mainly involves the NLRP3/caspase-1,thereby the regulation of the cell pyroptosis process.
9.The Mechanism of Echinococcus Granulosus Sensu Stricto Antigen B to Protect Immune Thrombocytopenia Mouse Model by Influen-cing Autophagy
Hai-Chen SONG ; Xue-Mei WANG ; Dan-Lu LI ; Li ZHAO ; Xue-Hua YANG ; Mei YAN
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2025;33(6):1694-1700
Objective:To investigate the mechanism of natural antigen B(nAgB)to protect Immune thrombocytopenia(ITP)mouse model by influencing autophagy.Methods:Twenty-eight female BALB/c mice aged 8-10 weeks were randomly divided into four groups.7 mice of each group were immunized intraperitoneally,the control group was treated with PBS as the control group;ITP group was treated with anti-CD41 monoclonal antibody(anti-CD41Ab)only;nAgB group was treated with nAgB intraperitoneal injection for 5d;nAgB+ITP group was treated with nAgB intraperitoneal injection for 5d,then treated with anti-CD41 Ab.The peripheral blood platelet count in each group was tested;and the spleen and liver should be isolated and weighed,the organ index was calculated;qRT-PCR was used to detect spleen microtubule-associated protein 1 light chain 3(LC3),p62,Beclin-1 mRNA expression levels.Western blot was used to detect the protein expression level of spleen LC3 Ⅱ/LC3 Ⅰ,p62,Beclin-1.Results:Compared with the control group,mice in the ITP group showed a significant decrease in blood PLT count[(102.1±17.9)× 109/L vs(485.4±185.2)×109/L,P<0.01],a significant increase in spleen index(P<0.01),mice in the nAgB group showed a significant increase in blood PLT count,rising to(1051±127.6)× 109/L on the 3 day after modeling.Compared with the ITP group,mice in the nAgB+ITP group showed a significant increase in PLT count on the 1 day of anti-CD41 Ab administration[(428.6±131.6)× 109/L vs(102.1±17.9)×109/L,P<0.05],however,the spleen index was significantly decreased(P<0.05).qRT-PCR and Western blot results showed that compared with the control group,the mRNA and protein expression levels of spleen LC3,p62 and Beclin-1 were increased in the ITP group of mice(P<0.05,P<0.01).Compared with the ITP group,the nAgB+ITP group could significantly decrease mRNA levels of spleen LC3,p62 and Beclin-1(P<0.05,P<0.01),and also significantly decrease the protein expression levels of LC3 Ⅱ/LC3 Ⅰ,p62 and Beclin-1(P<0.05,P<0.01).Conclusion:nAgB inhibits the transcription and expression levels of autophagy-related genes and regulates immune intolerance,thereby protecting ITP mouse models.
10.Construct a Prediction Model of Poor Prognosis of Anaphylactoid Purpura Children Based on Logistic Regression Analysis and Nomogram
Xi LIN ; Jing SUN ; Ze-yu YU ; Zhang-hua CHEN ; Wei YANG ; Xin-yu ZHANG
Progress in Modern Biomedicine 2025;25(12):1989-1995
Objective:The purpose of this study is to explore the influencing factors of poor prognosis in henoch-schonlein purpura(HSP)children,and to construct a nomogram model and verify its validity through the analysis results of Logistic regression model.Methods:Collected the clinical data of 170 HSP children who were treated in Fuzhou Luoyuan County Hospital from January 2015 to May 2023 were retrospectively analyzed.They were divided into good prognosis group and poor prognosis group according to the prognosis after treatment.The clinical data and related biochemical indexes of different prognostic groups were compared.The factors of poor prognosis in HSP children were analyzed by Logistic regression model.A predictive model(nomogram)for poor prognosis in HSP children were constructed and evaluated its predictive performance.Prediction accuracy were evaluateed by receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve.Results:170 HSP children,69 cases(40.59%)had poor prognosis and 101 cases(59.41%)had good prognosis.C-reactive protein(CRP),kidney injury at initial onset,platelet count(PLT),respiratory infection,recurrent rash,and immunoglobulin A(IgA)levels in poor prognosis group were higher than those in good prognosis group(P<0.05).Multivariate logistic analysis showed that,recurrent rash,respiratory infection,elevated PLT,CRP and IgA levels were independent influencing factors of poor prognosis in HSP children(P<0.05).The consistency index(C-index)of the column chart model established based on the results of multiple factor analysis was 0.798.The internal verification was carried out by Bootstrap self-sampling method,and the average absolute error of calibration curve was 0.017.ROC curve was drawn according to independent influencing factors and nomogram prediction probability,the area under the curve was 0.674(recurrent rash),0.649(respiratory infection),0.777(PLT),0.733(CRP),0.749(IgA)and 0.910(nomogram prediction probability)respectively.Conclusion:Recurrent rash,respiratory infection,PLT,CRP and IgA are independent factors affecting the prognosis of HSP children.The column chart prediction model constructed based on the above factors has certain predictive value for the poor prognosis in HSP children.


Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail