There are various methods for reconstructing defects caused by Mohs micrographic surgery (MMS). However, there are limits to the reconstruction methods that can be used if the defect is large. An 85-year-old woman presented with a 2.4×2.2 cm hyperkeratotic plaque on her right temple for 2 years. A skin biopsy was performed for a diagnosis. Histopathology confirmed squamous cell carcinoma, and MMS was performed to completely remove the tumor. A total of three MMS stages were performed intraoperatively to confirm margin clear, resulting in a skin defect measuring 5.0×4.5 cm. To reconstruct the large defect, a splitted full thickness skin graft was performed, taking into account the site, size, and function of the defect. Each skin graft was harvested from the submental area and a tie-over bolster dressing was applied to the recipient site. To date, the surgical site has remained free of surgical complications or tumor recurrence.

There are various methods for reconstructing defects caused by Mohs micrographic surgery (MMS). However, there are limits to the reconstruction methods that can be used if the defect is large. An 85-year-old woman presented with a 2.4×2.2 cm hyperkeratotic plaque on her right temple for 2 years. A skin biopsy was performed for a diagnosis. Histopathology confirmed squamous cell carcinoma, and MMS was performed to completely remove the tumor. A total of three MMS stages were performed intraoperatively to confirm margin clear, resulting in a skin defect measuring 5.0×4.5 cm. To reconstruct the large defect, a splitted full thickness skin graft was performed, taking into account the site, size, and function of the defect. Each skin graft was harvested from the submental area and a tie-over bolster dressing was applied to the recipient site. To date, the surgical site has remained free of surgical complications or tumor recurrence.

There are various methods for reconstructing defects caused by Mohs micrographic surgery (MMS). However, there are limits to the reconstruction methods that can be used if the defect is large. An 85-year-old woman presented with a 2.4×2.2 cm hyperkeratotic plaque on her right temple for 2 years. A skin biopsy was performed for a diagnosis. Histopathology confirmed squamous cell carcinoma, and MMS was performed to completely remove the tumor. A total of three MMS stages were performed intraoperatively to confirm margin clear, resulting in a skin defect measuring 5.0×4.5 cm. To reconstruct the large defect, a splitted full thickness skin graft was performed, taking into account the site, size, and function of the defect. Each skin graft was harvested from the submental area and a tie-over bolster dressing was applied to the recipient site. To date, the surgical site has remained free of surgical complications or tumor recurrence.

There are various methods for reconstructing defects caused by Mohs micrographic surgery (MMS). However, there are limits to the reconstruction methods that can be used if the defect is large. An 85-year-old woman presented with a 2.4×2.2 cm hyperkeratotic plaque on her right temple for 2 years. A skin biopsy was performed for a diagnosis. Histopathology confirmed squamous cell carcinoma, and MMS was performed to completely remove the tumor. A total of three MMS stages were performed intraoperatively to confirm margin clear, resulting in a skin defect measuring 5.0×4.5 cm. To reconstruct the large defect, a splitted full thickness skin graft was performed, taking into account the site, size, and function of the defect. Each skin graft was harvested from the submental area and a tie-over bolster dressing was applied to the recipient site. To date, the surgical site has remained free of surgical complications or tumor recurrence.

This study aimed to develop a machine learning-based 2-year risk prediction model for early identification of patients with rapid progressive immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN). We also assessed the model’s performance to predict the long-term kidney-related outcome of patients. Methods: A retrospective cohort of 1,301 patients with biopsy-proven IgAN from two tertiary hospitals was used to derive and externally validate a random forest-based prediction model predicting primary outcome (30% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate from baseline or end-stage kidney disease requiring renal replacement therapy) and secondary outcome (improvement of proteinuria) within 2 years after kidney biopsy. Results: For the 2-year prediction of primary outcomes, precision, recall, area-under-the-curve, precision-recall-curve, F1, and Brier score were 0.259, 0.875, 0.771, 0.242, 0.400, and 0.309, respectively. The values for the secondary outcome were 0.904, 0.971, 0.694, 0.903, 0.955, and 0.113, respectively. From Shapley Additive exPlanations analysis, the most informative feature identifying both outcomes was baseline proteinuria. When Kaplan-Meier analysis for 10-year kidney outcome risk was performed with three groups by predicting probabilities derived from the 2-year primary outcome prediction model (low, moderate, and high), high (hazard ratio [HR], 13.00; 95% confidence interval [CI], 9.52–17.77) and moderate (HR, 12.90; 95% CI, 9.92–16.76) groups showed higher risks compared with the low group. From the 2-year secondary outcome prediction model, low (HR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.42–1.95) and moderate (HR, 1.42; 95% CI, 0.99–2.03) groups were at greater risk for 10-year prognosis than the high group. Conclusion: Our machine learning-based 2-year risk prediction models for the progression of IgAN showed reliable performance and effectively predicted long-term kidney outcome.

This study aimed to develop a machine learning-based 2-year risk prediction model for early identification of patients with rapid progressive immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN). We also assessed the model’s performance to predict the long-term kidney-related outcome of patients. Methods: A retrospective cohort of 1,301 patients with biopsy-proven IgAN from two tertiary hospitals was used to derive and externally validate a random forest-based prediction model predicting primary outcome (30% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate from baseline or end-stage kidney disease requiring renal replacement therapy) and secondary outcome (improvement of proteinuria) within 2 years after kidney biopsy. Results: For the 2-year prediction of primary outcomes, precision, recall, area-under-the-curve, precision-recall-curve, F1, and Brier score were 0.259, 0.875, 0.771, 0.242, 0.400, and 0.309, respectively. The values for the secondary outcome were 0.904, 0.971, 0.694, 0.903, 0.955, and 0.113, respectively. From Shapley Additive exPlanations analysis, the most informative feature identifying both outcomes was baseline proteinuria. When Kaplan-Meier analysis for 10-year kidney outcome risk was performed with three groups by predicting probabilities derived from the 2-year primary outcome prediction model (low, moderate, and high), high (hazard ratio [HR], 13.00; 95% confidence interval [CI], 9.52–17.77) and moderate (HR, 12.90; 95% CI, 9.92–16.76) groups showed higher risks compared with the low group. From the 2-year secondary outcome prediction model, low (HR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.42–1.95) and moderate (HR, 1.42; 95% CI, 0.99–2.03) groups were at greater risk for 10-year prognosis than the high group. Conclusion: Our machine learning-based 2-year risk prediction models for the progression of IgAN showed reliable performance and effectively predicted long-term kidney outcome.

This study aimed to develop a machine learning-based 2-year risk prediction model for early identification of patients with rapid progressive immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN). We also assessed the model’s performance to predict the long-term kidney-related outcome of patients. Methods: A retrospective cohort of 1,301 patients with biopsy-proven IgAN from two tertiary hospitals was used to derive and externally validate a random forest-based prediction model predicting primary outcome (30% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate from baseline or end-stage kidney disease requiring renal replacement therapy) and secondary outcome (improvement of proteinuria) within 2 years after kidney biopsy. Results: For the 2-year prediction of primary outcomes, precision, recall, area-under-the-curve, precision-recall-curve, F1, and Brier score were 0.259, 0.875, 0.771, 0.242, 0.400, and 0.309, respectively. The values for the secondary outcome were 0.904, 0.971, 0.694, 0.903, 0.955, and 0.113, respectively. From Shapley Additive exPlanations analysis, the most informative feature identifying both outcomes was baseline proteinuria. When Kaplan-Meier analysis for 10-year kidney outcome risk was performed with three groups by predicting probabilities derived from the 2-year primary outcome prediction model (low, moderate, and high), high (hazard ratio [HR], 13.00; 95% confidence interval [CI], 9.52–17.77) and moderate (HR, 12.90; 95% CI, 9.92–16.76) groups showed higher risks compared with the low group. From the 2-year secondary outcome prediction model, low (HR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.42–1.95) and moderate (HR, 1.42; 95% CI, 0.99–2.03) groups were at greater risk for 10-year prognosis than the high group. Conclusion: Our machine learning-based 2-year risk prediction models for the progression of IgAN showed reliable performance and effectively predicted long-term kidney outcome.