Objective:To analyze the risk factors of bacterial infection in patients with liver cirrhosis complicated with gastroesophageal varices after gastroscopy, and to construct a prediction model.Methods:Patients with gastroesophageal varices due to cirrhosis who underwent gastroscopy in the Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University from January 2021 to May 2023 were enrolled. All patients were divided into infection group and non-infection group according to whether bacterial infection occurred after gastroscopy. The detection of pathogens in the infection group and the source of specimens were analyzed. Multivariate binary logistic regression was used to analyze the risk factors of postoperative bacterial infection in patients with cirrhosis and gastroesophageal varices. The nomogram was drawn by R language to construct a risk prediction model. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve), calibration curve, Hosmer-Lemeshow test and decision curve were used to evaluate the model.Results:Among the 480 patients, 57 had postoperative bacterial infection and 423 had no infection. The incidence of infection was 11.88%(57/480). Seventy bacterial culture positive samples were obtained, mainly from blood and respiratory tract (30 samples (42.86%) and 25 samples (35.71%), respectively). A total of 82 strains of pathogenic bacteria were isolated, including 16 strains of Escherichia coli and 14 strains of Staphylococcus aureus. Multivariate binary regression analysis showed that length of hospital stay (odds ratio ( OR)=1.13, 95% confidence interval ( CI) 1.06 to 1.20, P<0.001), age ( OR=1.06, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.10, P=0.006), model for end-stage liver disease combined with sodium (MELD-Na) score ( OR=1.10, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.18, P=0.014), diabetes ( OR=1.25, 95% CI 1.07 to 1.96, P=0.043) and emergency gastroscopy ( OR=2.95, 95% CI 1.20 to 7.25, P=0.019) were independent risk factors for bacterial infection after gastroscopy in patients with cirrhosis and gastroesophageal varices. Based on the above risk factors, a nomogram prediction model was constructed. The results of ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve of the nomogram model for predicting bacterial infection after gastroscopy of gastroesophageal varices in cirrhosis was 0.82 (95% CI 0.73 to 0.90). The slope of the calibration curve was 0.98(95% CI 0.92 to 1.04), indicating that the predicted probability of the model was in good agreement with the actual probability. The results of Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that the nomogram model fitted well ( χ2=6.35, P=0.415). The decision curve analysis showed that the clinical net benefit rate of the nomogram model was >0 when the threshold probability was 0.039 to 0.410. Conclusions:Older age, length of hospital stay, MELD-Na score, history of diabetes, and emergency gastroscopy are independent risk factors for bacterial infection after gastroscopy in patients with cirrhosis and gastroesophageal varices. The prediction model constructed in this study has a good predictive value for bacterial infection in such patients.

Objective:To evaluate the predictive value of an aMAP score for the occurrence risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) receiving antiviral therapy.Methods:The medical records of 508 CHB patients who started receiving antiviral treatment in the Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University and the Fifth Hospital of Shijiazhuang from January 2001 to November 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. They were divided into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups according to the aMAP, AASL-HCC, PAGE-B, mPAGE-B, and CAMD scoring criteria. At the end of follow-up, they were divided into HCC (33 cases) and non-HCC group (475 cases) according to whether HCC occurred. The occurrence risk factors for HCC were analyzed by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis. The cumulative incidence of HCC at different time points was estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method and compared by the log-rank method. The HCC prediction performance of the aMAP score was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and compared with other scores. The Mann-Whitney U test, or Fisher test, was used to compare the non-normally distributed quantitative data between groups. The χ2 test was used to compare the count data between groups. Results:A total of 33 cases (6.5%) developed HCC during the median follow-up period of 8.7 (6.8-8.9) years. Multivariate analysis showed that age＞50 years ( HR=2.804, 95% CI 1.332-5.902; P=0.007) and liver cirrhosis ( HR=11.808, 95% CI 4.360-31.976; P<0.001) were independent risk factors for HCC occurrence. The cumulative incidence of HCC defined by the aMAP score at 3 and 5 years was significantly lower in the low-risk group (0, 0) than that in the intermediate-risk group (4.4%, 5.4%) and the high-risk group (10.8%, 18.5%), P<0.001. The aMAP score performed similarly to the AASL-HCC score, mPAGE-B score, and CAMD score [area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.863, 0.900, 0.851, and 0.886, respectively], with P＞0.05 in terms of the 3-year HCC prediction performance; and was equally superior with the PAGE-B score (AUC was 0.732), with P<0.05. The aMAP score was not worse than the AASL-HCC score and CAMD score (AUC was 0.890, 0.894, and 0.882, respectively), with P＞0.05 in terms of the 5-year HCC prediction performance; however, it was significantly superior to the PAGE-B score and mPAGE-B score (AUC was 0.795 and 0.875, respectively), with P<0.05. In addition, the AUC of the aMAP score for predicting HCC occurrence at baseline, 1 year, 2 years, and 3 years of antiviral treatment was＞0.9. Conclusions:The aMAP score can accurately assess the risk of HCC in CHB patients receiving antiviral therapy.

Objective:To explore the predictive value of ferritin combined with the COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ score for the prognosis of patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF).Methods:The clinical data of 419 cases with HBV-ACLF hospitalized at the Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University were retrospectively analyzed between January 1, 2013 and September 30, 2022, and were divided into the death ( n=127) and survival group ( n=292) according to the survival status of 28 days of follow-up. The Mann-Whitney U test was used to compare confirmation of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups. The chi-square test was used for the comparison of numerical data between the two groups. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients. The predictive value of ferritin combined with the COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ score on the prognosis of HBV-ACLF was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve) and area under the curve (AUC), net reclassification index (NRI), and comprehensive discriminant improvement index (IDI). Results:There were statistically significant differences in age, neutrophil count (NEUT), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), total bilirubin (TBil), serum creatinine (Scr), serum urea, prothrombin time (PT), prothrombin activity (PTA), international normalized ratio (INR), serum ferritin (SF), hepatic encephalopathy, and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ scores between the two groups ( P<0.05). Ferritin ( OR=1.001, 95% CI:1.001-1.002, P<0.001) and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ score ( OR=2.898, 95% CI:1.560-5.384, P<0.001) were independent factors for predicting short-term prognosis for patients with HBV-ACLF. Ferritin combined with COSSH-ACLF II score had a higher prognostic predictive value than ferritin (AUC=0.697, 95% CI: 0.651-0.741) and COSSH-ACLF II score (AUC=0.819, 95% CI: 0.779-0.855) for patients with HBV-ACLF (AUC=0.857, 95% CI: 0.819-0.889), with a statistically significant difference ( Z=6.287 and 2.666, respectively, P <0.05). The predictive effect was significantly improved following the addition of ferritin to the COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ score ( P<0.001), and the NRI and IDI were both >0 (NRI=0.144, 95% CI: 0.064-0.225; IDI=0.080, 95% CI: 0.052-0.108). Conclusion:Ferritin and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ scores are independent factors that can predict short-term prognosis for patients with HBV-ACLF, and combing both has a higher predictive value.

Objective:To explore the potential influencing factors of parenteral nutrition-associated cholestasis（PNAC）in extremely premature infants.Methods:A total of 83 cases of extremely premature infants who received parenteral nutrition and developed PNAC admitted to Shanxi Children's Hospital between October 2020 and October 2023 were selected as the case group，while 99 extremely premature infants who received parenteral nutrition but did not develop PNAC during the same period were selected as the control group. Basic information such as gender，gestational age，birth weight，and duration of parenteral nutrition were collected for the extremely premature infants. The health status of the infants at 1 minute and 5 minutes after birth was assessed using the Apgar standardized scoring method. One week after parenteral nutrition,platelet count(PLC)，mean platelet volume(MPV)，and platelet volume distribution width(PDW) were measured. Univariate analysis and non-conditional Logistic regression were used to analyze the potential influencing factors of PNAC in extremely premature infants after parenteral nutrition. Receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curves were plotted to evaluate the performance of the influencing factors and combined predictive factors in predicting PNAC in extremely premature infants receiving parenteral nutrition.Results:The 1-min and 5-min Apgar scores in the case group were lower than those in the control group( P<0.001);the percentages of gestational hypertension in mothers and postnatal infections in children were higher than those in the control group( P<0.05);and the duration of parenteral nutrition was longer than that in the control group( t=4.655, P<0.001), the differences were statistically significant. In the case group, after one week of parenteral nutrition,PLC was lower than that in the control group( t=4.949, P<0.001),MPV was higher than that in the control group( t=12.193, P<0.001), and PDW was higher than that in the control group( t=10.744, P<0.001), the differences were statistically significant.Multifactorial Logistic analysis showed that after adjusting for gender and gestational age，1-minute Apgar score（ OR=0.898），5-minute Apgar score（ OR=0.900），postnatal infection（ OR=1.256），duration of parenteral nutrition（ OR=1.426），one week after parenteral nutrition，PLC（ OR=0.902），MPV（ OR=1.441），and PDW（ OR=1.195）were independent influencing factors for PNAC in extremely premature infants（all P<0.05）. ROC curves showed that each factor and combined predictive factors had certain efficacy in predicting the occurrence of PNAC in extremely premature infants after parenteral nutrition. Conclusion:One-minute Apgar score,5-minute Apgar score，duration of parenteral nutrition，postnatal infection，one week after parenteral nutrition，the PLC,MPV and PDW are independent influencing factors for PNAC in extremely premature infants receiving parenteral nutrition.Each factor predicts the efficacy of parenteral nutrition for PNAC in extremely premature infants, and relevant factors should be controlled in time to reduce the incidence of PNAC in extremely premature infants.

Objective:To explore the potential influencing factors of parenteral nutrition-associated cholestasis（PNAC）in extremely premature infants.Methods:A total of 83 cases of extremely premature infants who received parenteral nutrition and developed PNAC admitted to Shanxi Children's Hospital between October 2020 and October 2023 were selected as the case group，while 99 extremely premature infants who received parenteral nutrition but did not develop PNAC during the same period were selected as the control group. Basic information such as gender，gestational age，birth weight，and duration of parenteral nutrition were collected for the extremely premature infants. The health status of the infants at 1 minute and 5 minutes after birth was assessed using the Apgar standardized scoring method. One week after parenteral nutrition,platelet count(PLC)，mean platelet volume(MPV)，and platelet volume distribution width(PDW) were measured. Univariate analysis and non-conditional Logistic regression were used to analyze the potential influencing factors of PNAC in extremely premature infants after parenteral nutrition. Receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curves were plotted to evaluate the performance of the influencing factors and combined predictive factors in predicting PNAC in extremely premature infants receiving parenteral nutrition.Results:The 1-min and 5-min Apgar scores in the case group were lower than those in the control group( P<0.001);the percentages of gestational hypertension in mothers and postnatal infections in children were higher than those in the control group( P<0.05);and the duration of parenteral nutrition was longer than that in the control group( t=4.655, P<0.001), the differences were statistically significant. In the case group, after one week of parenteral nutrition,PLC was lower than that in the control group( t=4.949, P<0.001),MPV was higher than that in the control group( t=12.193, P<0.001), and PDW was higher than that in the control group( t=10.744, P<0.001), the differences were statistically significant.Multifactorial Logistic analysis showed that after adjusting for gender and gestational age，1-minute Apgar score（ OR=0.898），5-minute Apgar score（ OR=0.900），postnatal infection（ OR=1.256），duration of parenteral nutrition（ OR=1.426），one week after parenteral nutrition，PLC（ OR=0.902），MPV（ OR=1.441），and PDW（ OR=1.195）were independent influencing factors for PNAC in extremely premature infants（all P<0.05）. ROC curves showed that each factor and combined predictive factors had certain efficacy in predicting the occurrence of PNAC in extremely premature infants after parenteral nutrition. Conclusion:One-minute Apgar score,5-minute Apgar score，duration of parenteral nutrition，postnatal infection，one week after parenteral nutrition，the PLC,MPV and PDW are independent influencing factors for PNAC in extremely premature infants receiving parenteral nutrition.Each factor predicts the efficacy of parenteral nutrition for PNAC in extremely premature infants, and relevant factors should be controlled in time to reduce the incidence of PNAC in extremely premature infants.

Objective:To analyze the risk factors of bacterial infection in patients with liver cirrhosis complicated with gastroesophageal varices after gastroscopy, and to construct a prediction model.Methods:Patients with gastroesophageal varices due to cirrhosis who underwent gastroscopy in the Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University from January 2021 to May 2023 were enrolled. All patients were divided into infection group and non-infection group according to whether bacterial infection occurred after gastroscopy. The detection of pathogens in the infection group and the source of specimens were analyzed. Multivariate binary logistic regression was used to analyze the risk factors of postoperative bacterial infection in patients with cirrhosis and gastroesophageal varices. The nomogram was drawn by R language to construct a risk prediction model. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve), calibration curve, Hosmer-Lemeshow test and decision curve were used to evaluate the model.Results:Among the 480 patients, 57 had postoperative bacterial infection and 423 had no infection. The incidence of infection was 11.88%(57/480). Seventy bacterial culture positive samples were obtained, mainly from blood and respiratory tract (30 samples (42.86%) and 25 samples (35.71%), respectively). A total of 82 strains of pathogenic bacteria were isolated, including 16 strains of Escherichia coli and 14 strains of Staphylococcus aureus. Multivariate binary regression analysis showed that length of hospital stay (odds ratio ( OR)=1.13, 95% confidence interval ( CI) 1.06 to 1.20, P<0.001), age ( OR=1.06, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.10, P=0.006), model for end-stage liver disease combined with sodium (MELD-Na) score ( OR=1.10, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.18, P=0.014), diabetes ( OR=1.25, 95% CI 1.07 to 1.96, P=0.043) and emergency gastroscopy ( OR=2.95, 95% CI 1.20 to 7.25, P=0.019) were independent risk factors for bacterial infection after gastroscopy in patients with cirrhosis and gastroesophageal varices. Based on the above risk factors, a nomogram prediction model was constructed. The results of ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve of the nomogram model for predicting bacterial infection after gastroscopy of gastroesophageal varices in cirrhosis was 0.82 (95% CI 0.73 to 0.90). The slope of the calibration curve was 0.98(95% CI 0.92 to 1.04), indicating that the predicted probability of the model was in good agreement with the actual probability. The results of Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that the nomogram model fitted well ( χ2=6.35, P=0.415). The decision curve analysis showed that the clinical net benefit rate of the nomogram model was >0 when the threshold probability was 0.039 to 0.410. Conclusions:Older age, length of hospital stay, MELD-Na score, history of diabetes, and emergency gastroscopy are independent risk factors for bacterial infection after gastroscopy in patients with cirrhosis and gastroesophageal varices. The prediction model constructed in this study has a good predictive value for bacterial infection in such patients.

Objective:To evaluate the predictive value of an aMAP score for the occurrence risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) receiving antiviral therapy.Methods:The medical records of 508 CHB patients who started receiving antiviral treatment in the Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University and the Fifth Hospital of Shijiazhuang from January 2001 to November 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. They were divided into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups according to the aMAP, AASL-HCC, PAGE-B, mPAGE-B, and CAMD scoring criteria. At the end of follow-up, they were divided into HCC (33 cases) and non-HCC group (475 cases) according to whether HCC occurred. The occurrence risk factors for HCC were analyzed by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis. The cumulative incidence of HCC at different time points was estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method and compared by the log-rank method. The HCC prediction performance of the aMAP score was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and compared with other scores. The Mann-Whitney U test, or Fisher test, was used to compare the non-normally distributed quantitative data between groups. The χ2 test was used to compare the count data between groups. Results:A total of 33 cases (6.5%) developed HCC during the median follow-up period of 8.7 (6.8-8.9) years. Multivariate analysis showed that age＞50 years ( HR=2.804, 95% CI 1.332-5.902; P=0.007) and liver cirrhosis ( HR=11.808, 95% CI 4.360-31.976; P<0.001) were independent risk factors for HCC occurrence. The cumulative incidence of HCC defined by the aMAP score at 3 and 5 years was significantly lower in the low-risk group (0, 0) than that in the intermediate-risk group (4.4%, 5.4%) and the high-risk group (10.8%, 18.5%), P<0.001. The aMAP score performed similarly to the AASL-HCC score, mPAGE-B score, and CAMD score [area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.863, 0.900, 0.851, and 0.886, respectively], with P＞0.05 in terms of the 3-year HCC prediction performance; and was equally superior with the PAGE-B score (AUC was 0.732), with P<0.05. The aMAP score was not worse than the AASL-HCC score and CAMD score (AUC was 0.890, 0.894, and 0.882, respectively), with P＞0.05 in terms of the 5-year HCC prediction performance; however, it was significantly superior to the PAGE-B score and mPAGE-B score (AUC was 0.795 and 0.875, respectively), with P<0.05. In addition, the AUC of the aMAP score for predicting HCC occurrence at baseline, 1 year, 2 years, and 3 years of antiviral treatment was＞0.9. Conclusions:The aMAP score can accurately assess the risk of HCC in CHB patients receiving antiviral therapy.

Objective:To explore the predictive value of ferritin combined with the COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ score for the prognosis of patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF).Methods:The clinical data of 419 cases with HBV-ACLF hospitalized at the Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University were retrospectively analyzed between January 1, 2013 and September 30, 2022, and were divided into the death ( n=127) and survival group ( n=292) according to the survival status of 28 days of follow-up. The Mann-Whitney U test was used to compare confirmation of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups. The chi-square test was used for the comparison of numerical data between the two groups. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients. The predictive value of ferritin combined with the COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ score on the prognosis of HBV-ACLF was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve) and area under the curve (AUC), net reclassification index (NRI), and comprehensive discriminant improvement index (IDI). Results:There were statistically significant differences in age, neutrophil count (NEUT), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), total bilirubin (TBil), serum creatinine (Scr), serum urea, prothrombin time (PT), prothrombin activity (PTA), international normalized ratio (INR), serum ferritin (SF), hepatic encephalopathy, and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ scores between the two groups ( P<0.05). Ferritin ( OR=1.001, 95% CI:1.001-1.002, P<0.001) and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ score ( OR=2.898, 95% CI:1.560-5.384, P<0.001) were independent factors for predicting short-term prognosis for patients with HBV-ACLF. Ferritin combined with COSSH-ACLF II score had a higher prognostic predictive value than ferritin (AUC=0.697, 95% CI: 0.651-0.741) and COSSH-ACLF II score (AUC=0.819, 95% CI: 0.779-0.855) for patients with HBV-ACLF (AUC=0.857, 95% CI: 0.819-0.889), with a statistically significant difference ( Z=6.287 and 2.666, respectively, P <0.05). The predictive effect was significantly improved following the addition of ferritin to the COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ score ( P<0.001), and the NRI and IDI were both >0 (NRI=0.144, 95% CI: 0.064-0.225; IDI=0.080, 95% CI: 0.052-0.108). Conclusion:Ferritin and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ scores are independent factors that can predict short-term prognosis for patients with HBV-ACLF, and combing both has a higher predictive value.

Systemic treatment, including molecular targeted therapy, immunotherapy, and chemotherapy, is an important means of achieving long-term survival in patients with intermediate-and advanced-stage liver cancer. However, some patients are insensitive to treatment and even develop drug resistance. Mitochondria are the center of cellular energy metabolism and, at the same time, are the priority targets for systemic therapy. Mitochondrial homeostasis plays an important role in the treatment of liver cancer. The relationship between the two advances is elucidated so as to provide better ideas for the clinical treatment of liver cancer.

Hepatocellular carcinoma is one of the most common malignant tumors in the world, which is a serious threat to human health. HBV infection is one of the most common causes of hepatocellular carcinoma.The diagnosis of most hepatocellular carcinoma has progressed to the middle and late stage, and the prognosis is poor. Early detection, diagnosis and treatment are important supports to improve the clinical outcome of hepatocellular carcinoma. In recent years, scholars at home and abroad have established various hepatocellular carcinoma risk prediction models, which are conducive to improving the early diagnosis rate of hepatocellular carcinoma and reducing the mortality rate. This article reviews the risk factors and risk prediction models of chronic hepatitis B associated hepatocellular carcinoma, in order to provide reference for HBV-associated liver cancer risk monitoring and management decision.