1.Development of a nomogram prediction model of 30-day mortality risk for elderly patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction after coronary artery bypass grafting
Fenlong XUE ; Yuhui ZHANG ; Yin YANG ; Yunpeng BAI ; Shaopeng ZHANG ; Qingliang CHEN
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2026;33(04):597-604
Objective To investigate the 30-day mortality risk factors in elderly patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) after isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and to construct a nomogram for predicting mortality risk. Methods A retrospective analysis of elderly (≥70 years) HFrEF patients undergoing isolated CABG at Tianjin Chest Hospital from 2010 to 2024 was performed. Simple random sampling in R software was used to divide the dataset into training and validation sets in a 7 : 3 ratio. The training set was further divided into survivors and non-survivors. Univariate logistic regression was performed to identify differences between groups, followed by multivariate logistic regression to select independent risk factors for death and to establish a death-risk nomogram, which underwent internal validation. The predictive value of the nomogram was assessed by plotting receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision-curve analyses for both the training and validation sets. Results A total of 656 patients were included. The training set consisted of 458 patients (survivors 418, deaths 40); the validation set consisted of 198 patients (survivors 180, deaths 18). In the training set, univariate analysis showed significant differences between survivors and deaths for creatinine (Cr) level, brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), maximum Cr, intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) use, assisted ventilation, reintubation, hyperlactatemia, low cardiac output syndrome, and renal failure (P<0.05). After multivariable logistic regression, five independent risk factors were identified: IABP use (OR=3.391, 95%CI 1.065-11.044, P=0.038), reintubation (OR=15.991, 95%CI 4.269-67.394, P<0.001), hyperlactatemia (OR=8.171, 95%CI 2.057-46.089, P=0.007), Cr (OR=4.330, 95%CI 0.997-6.022, P=0.024), and BNP (OR=1.603, 95%CI 1.000-2.000, P=0.010). Accordingly, a nomogram predicting mortality risk was constructed. The ROC and calibration analyses indicated good predictive value: area under the curve (AUC) in the training set was 0.898 (95%CI 0.831-0.966) and in the validation set was 0.912 (95%CI 0.805-1.000). Calibration and decision-curve analyses showed good agreement and clinical utility. Conclusion The nomogram incorporating IABP use, reintubation, hyperlactatemia, creatinine, and BNP provides good predictive value for 30-day mortality after CABG in elderly patients with HFrEF and demonstrates potential clinical utility.
2.Risk factors for acute pancreatitis after minimally invasive pancreaticoduodenectomy and a prognostic analysis based on the 2022 International Study Group of Pancreatic Surgery criteria
Qian LI ; Peng CAO ; Cheng LIU ; Bibo ZHAO ; Yunpeng LIN ; Guodong CHEN
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(6):1358-1366
ObjectiveTo investigate the risk factors for postpancreatectomy acute pancreatitis (PPAP) after minimally invasive pancreaticoduodenectomy (MIPD) and their association with major complications, to improve the understanding of PPAP and postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF), and to reduce the incidence rates of PPAP and POPF. MethodsA retrospective analysis was performed for the clinical data of 114 patients who underwent MIPD in Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of University of South China, from March 2015 to December 2023, and the definition of PPAP and its diagnostic criteria provided by the International Study Group of Pancreatic Surgery were used to determine the presence or absence of PPAP. The independent samples t-test or the Mann-Whitney U rank sum test was used for comparison of continuous data between groups, and the Kruskal-Wallis H test was used for comparison between multiple groups, and the Dunn-test was used for further comparison between two groups.; the chi-square test or the Fisher’s exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups., and the Bonferroni-test was used for further comparison between two groups. The multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify the risk factors for PPAP after MIPD. ResultsOf all 114 patients undergoing MIPD, 27 (23.7%) experienced PPAP. The multivariate analysis showed that main pancreatic duct diameter ≤3 mm (odds ratio [OR]=5.083, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.703 — 15.172, P=0.004), soft pancreatic texture (OR=5.925, 95%CI: 1.986 — 17.677, P=0.001), and C-reactive protein ≥180 mg/L on day 1 after surgery (OR=5.419, 95%CI: 1.586 — 18.513, P=0.007) were independent risk factors for the onset of PPAP after MIPD. Clinical analyses showed that the patients with PPAP tended to have significantly higher incidence rates of POPF, peritoneal infection, Clavien-Dindo grade 3/4 complications, discharge with tube, and 90-day postoperative death (χ2=5.676, 5.460, 9.863, 5.439, and 4.207, all P<0.05). ConclusionMain pancreatic duct diameter, pancreatic texture, and C-reactive protein on day 1 after surgery are closely associated with the onset of PPAP after MIPD, and PPAP can lead to other postoperative complications and even death.
3.Epidemiological characteristics of extrapulmonary tuberculosis in Ningbo City from 2015 to 2024
CHEN Tong ; WANG Yinan ; ZHANG Dongliang ; HE Tianfeng ; CHEN Yunpeng
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2026;38(4):348-351
Objective:
To analyze the epidemiological characteristics and disease types of extrapulmonary tuberculosis in Ningbo City, Zhejiang Province from 2015 to 2024, so as to provide evidence for optimizing regional tuberculosis prevention and control strategies.
Methods:
Data on extrapulmonary tuberculosis cases in Ningbo City from 2015 to 2024 were collected through the Ningbo Infectious Disease Surveillance and Early Warning Platform, including gender, age, and disease type. Descriptive analysis was conducted to examine the temporal, regional, and population distributions as well as the distribution of disease types of extrapulmonary tuberculosis in Ningbo City from 2015 to 2024. The trend chi-square test was used to analyze the temporal trends in the incidence and proportion of extrapulmonary tuberculosis.
Results:
From 2015 to 2024, a total of 11 023 cases of extrapulmonary tuberculosis were reported in Ningbo City, accounting for 25.17% of tuberculosis cases. The proportion showed an increasing trend (P<0.05), with an annual increase rate of 2.15%. The average annual incidence of extrapulmonary tuberculosis was 12.77/105, showing a decreasing trend (P<0.05), with an annual decline rate of 3.18%. In the second quarter, a higher number of extrapulmonary tuberculosis cases were reported, with 3 108 cases, accounting for 28.20%. Beilun District, Yuyao City, and Fenghua District had relatively high average annual incidence of extrapulmonary tuberculosis, at 16.43/105, 15.28/105, and 14.97/105, respectively. The average annual incidence of extrapulmonary tuberculosis in males was lower than in females (10.73/105 vs. 14.93/105, P<0.05). The annual average incidence of extrapulmonary tuberculosis was relatively high among cases aged 65-<75 years, 75-<85 years, and ≥85 years, respectively. The 15-<25 years age group exhibited a higher number of cases of tuberculous peripheral lymphadenopathy, with 253 cases, accounting for 34.90%. The proportion of osteoarticular tuberculosis cases among extrapulmonary tuberculosis cases increased with advancing age (P<0.05).
Conclusions
From 2015 to 2024, the incidence of extrapulmonary tuberculosis in Ningbo City showed a decreasing trend, while its proportion among all tuberculosis cases showed an increasing trend. Beilun District, Yuyao City, and Fenghua District were high-incidence areas, and females and the elderly were high-risk population. Tuberculous peripheral lymphadenopathy was highly prevalent among young adults, while osteoarticular tuberculosis was highly prevalent among the elderly.
4.Exploring the association between mental stress, lymphocyte subset variations, and coronary lesion severity
Yunpeng CHI ; Lijun ZHANG ; Xiaorong HUANG ; Xiaoran SHEN ; Peijun RAO ; Yanwei LI ; Haiyang CHEN ; Meiyan LIU
Chinese Journal of Internal Medicine 2025;64(1):36-44
Objectives:This study aimed to explore the association between perceived mental stress (MS), lymphocyte subset variations, and coronary lesion severity in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD).Methods:Patients with CAD were enrolled in this study from September 2023 to May 2024. Perceived Stress Scale-14 (PSS-14) was used to evaluate MS during the last 1 month. Lymphocyte subsets were analyzed, including the percentage and absolute counts of CD3 +, CD3 +CD4 +, CD3 +CD8 +, CD3 -CD19 +, CD3 -CD56 +16 +, and the Th/Ts ratio. Statistical analysis was conducted using SPSS 24.0. Results:This study recruited patients with 323 CAD, with an average age of 61 (56, 68) years, including 203 males and 120 females. According to the PSS-14, a score of 14-42 and 43-70 were categorized as normal and increased MS, respectively. Patients with CAD with increased MS had significantly higher Gensini scores than those with normal MS [37(19,64) vs. 28(12,50), Z=-2.19, P=0.029]. Male CAD patients with increased MS exhibited significantly higher Gensini scores [39(20, 58) vs. 26(12, 45), Z=-2.37, P=0.018], levels of CD3 +CD8 +%[28.3%(23.6%,36.6%) vs. 25.9%(21.0%,32.4%), Z=-2.05, P=0.041], and CD3 +CD8 +absolute value [485 (346, 675) vs. 396 (309, 510) cells/μl, Z=-2.55, P=0.011] than those with normal MS. In male patients with CAD, a positive correlation was observed between Gensini scores (correlation coefficient: 0.181, P=0.011), PSS-14 scores, and CD3 +CD8 +absolute value (correlation coefficient: 0.162, P=0.038). Conclusion:This study reveals a positive correlation between MS and coronary stenosis severity, with notable sex differences. In male patients with CAD, higher levels of MS are associated with more severe coronary stenosis. The potential underlying mechanism may involve the regulation of lymphocyte subsets .
5.Design and practice of curriculum ideology and politics leading cultivation of postgraduates'innovative abilities
Huihui YUAN ; Wei WANG ; Xulong ZHANG ; Ye CUI ; Yunpeng DOU ; Yan CHEN ; Zhe LYU ; Jie LIU ; Ying SUN
Chinese Journal of Immunology 2025;41(2):444-446,450
The cultivation of innovation ability is not only the essential requirement of graduate education,but also the strate-gic demand of the development of the communist party and our country,and is of great significance to the realization of the Chinese dream of the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation.Curriculum ideology and politics should run through the whole process of post-graduate innovation ability training.However,the curriculum ideology and politics and postgraduate innovation ability training lack deep integration.It's important for postgraduates'growth and scientific research innovation that the curriculum ideology and politics covers the whole process of scientific research activities.Therefore,this paper focuses on the design and specific implementation schemes of the curriculum ideology and politics on the postgraduate innovative ability training at the respiratory disease research team in the department of medical immunology.It makes a basis for optimizing postgraduate curriculum ideology and politics teaching in the future,which also provides ideas for cultivating innovative talents with both morality and ability in medical specialty.
6.Approach to digital teaching materials for medical and prevention integration under background of artificial intelligence—taking immune system as an example
Tongtong SONG ; Yunpeng SUN ; Xia CHEN
Chinese Journal of Immunology 2025;41(6):1333-1336
With rapid development of artificial intelligence(AI)technology,AI is reshaping new ecology in field of educa-tion.With promotion of AI,AI digital teaching materials will further clearly present knowledge context and build a new paradigm and new form of digital teaching materials.In context of general health,integration of medicine and prevention has become an important trend in medical and health field.However,at present,there is a lack of medical and preventive integration resources,and a single paper textbook cannot achieve depth and breadth of knowledge system of medical and preventive integration,which is difficult to adapt to development trend of AI enabling education.Therefore,it is urgent to use AI technology to develop and expand digital teaching materials for medical and prevention integration and realize resource penetration.Immune system is an important defense line of physi-cal diseases,and there is a close relationship between integration of medical and prevention.This paper aims to explore application path of developing digital teaching materials in medical education by AI technology.This concept of medical integration runs through every chapter and case analysis of AI textbooks,strengthening shift from"treatment-centered"to"health-centered"concept.Taking immune system as an example,this paper conducts in-depth analysis,develops and shares digital teaching materials by integrating medical knowledge,prevention strategies and AI technology,and provides new ideas and methods for medical education.
7.Research progress on PANoptosis in ischemia-reperfusion injury of liver transplantation
Weigao PU ; Jianming SHI ; Liyang CHENG ; Bo XU ; Yunpeng WANG ; Guodong SUN ; Jike HU ; Hao CHEN
Chinese Journal of Organ Transplantation 2025;46(7):530-537
Liver transplantation is the preferred treatment for cirrhosis, end-stage liver failure, and hepatocellular carcinoma, and is also the only effective curative method. Liver ischemia-reperfusion injury (IRI) is one of the main adverse reactions of liver transplantation. During the operation, ischemia mediates the occurrence of liver IRI, promoting the cascade activation of reactive oxygen species and pro-inflammatory signals in Kupffer cells. With continued hepatocellular death during ischemia, damage-associated molecular patterns (DAMPs) accumulate and are released into systemic circulation, triggering a cytokine and chemokine storm, resulting in poor prognosis, postoperative liver failure, systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), and multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS). In liver transplantation-related IRI, PANoptosis—including apoptosis, pyroptosis, necroptosis, ferroptosis, and autophagy—participates in the process, but a comprehensive review is lacking. This article systematically elaborates on the roles of different types of cell death in liver IRI and the crosstalk among these pathways. It also discusses the protective effects of inhibiting different forms of cell death, aiming to provide direction for future basic research and offer new ideas and strategies for the clinical treatment of liver IRI.
8.Clinical features and prognosis of different primary sites in early-stage follicular lymphoma: an analysis of the SEER database
Qiuzi ZHONG ; Yunpeng WU ; Mingyuan ZHU ; Wenhui CAI ; Cui GAO ; Ting ZHAO ; Dazhi CHEN ; Gaofeng LI ; Yonggang XU ; Lipin LIU ; Xin LIU ; Siye CHEN ; Shunan QI ; Ye-Xiong LI ; Ye LIU
Chinese Journal of Radiation Oncology 2025;34(6):560-568
Objective:To investigate the clinical characteristics and prognosis of follicular lymphoma (FL) patients with different primary sites using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database.Methods:Clinical data of 7167 patients with early-stage FL (stage I-II) from the SEER database between 2000 and 2015 were respectively analyzed. Primary sites were divided into intranodal and extranodal types. Intranodal primary sites included supradiaphragmatic lymph nodes (LN), subphrenic lymph nodes and Waldeyer's ring. Extranodal primary sites consisted of skin, gastrointestinal tract, duodenum, head and neck, other sites. Prognostic factors and overall survival (OS) in patients with different primary sites were analyzed. OS rate was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier method and survival difference between primary sites was compared with log-rank test. Inverse probability treatment weighting (IPTW) and multi-variable analysis were applied to adjust for confounding factors. Multivariate Cox regression analysis of influencing factors of OS was performed.Results:The median age was 63 years old, with the median follow-up time of 63 months. There was no difference in prognosis among the intranodal groups or between the intranodal and extranodal groups. The 10-year OS rates of the supradiaphragmatic lymph LN ( n=2146), subdiaphragmatic LN ( n=2811), and the Waldeyer's ring ( n=151) groups were 70.7%, 69.9% and 73.4%, respectively ( P=0.422 for infradiaphragmatic LN vs. supradiaphragmatic LN, P=1.000 for Waldeyer's ring vs. supradiaphragmatic LN), and 70.3% and 68.9% for intranodal ( n=5108) and extranodal ( n=2059), respectively. There was no significant difference in OS between the groups ( P=0.581) after IPTW adjustment. The most common primary sites in extranodal disease were skin, gastrointestinal tract, head and neck, and duodenum. The 10-year OS for skin, gastrointestinal tract, and cutaneous was 74.2%, 74.7%, and 87.3%, respectively, significantly higher than 55.6% for other sites (duodenum vs. others sites, gastrointestinal vs. others sites, skin vs. others sites: all P<0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that difference in OS was not significant among the intranodal groups or between the intranodal and extranodal groups. However, different extranodal primary site was an independent prognostic factor for OS. Conclusions:Early FL patients with supradiaphragmatic LN, subdiaphragmatic LN and Waldeyer's ring, and between the intranodal and extranodal primary sites obtain similar prognosis. However, early-stage FL patients with different extranodal primary sites have prognostic differences. The prognosis of primary skin, gastrointestinal tract and duodenum is significantly better than that of other extranodal primary sites.
9.Research progress on PANoptosis in ischemia-reperfusion injury of liver transplantation
Weigao PU ; Jianming SHI ; Liyang CHENG ; Bo XU ; Yunpeng WANG ; Guodong SUN ; Jike HU ; Hao CHEN
Chinese Journal of Organ Transplantation 2025;46(7):530-537
Liver transplantation is the preferred treatment for cirrhosis, end-stage liver failure, and hepatocellular carcinoma, and is also the only effective curative method. Liver ischemia-reperfusion injury (IRI) is one of the main adverse reactions of liver transplantation. During the operation, ischemia mediates the occurrence of liver IRI, promoting the cascade activation of reactive oxygen species and pro-inflammatory signals in Kupffer cells. With continued hepatocellular death during ischemia, damage-associated molecular patterns (DAMPs) accumulate and are released into systemic circulation, triggering a cytokine and chemokine storm, resulting in poor prognosis, postoperative liver failure, systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), and multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS). In liver transplantation-related IRI, PANoptosis—including apoptosis, pyroptosis, necroptosis, ferroptosis, and autophagy—participates in the process, but a comprehensive review is lacking. This article systematically elaborates on the roles of different types of cell death in liver IRI and the crosstalk among these pathways. It also discusses the protective effects of inhibiting different forms of cell death, aiming to provide direction for future basic research and offer new ideas and strategies for the clinical treatment of liver IRI.
10.Overview of diagnosis and treatment for acute standford type A aortic dissection in the elderly
Shaopeng ZHANG ; Chao PANG ; Yunpeng BAI ; Feng ZHAO ; Nan JIANG ; Qingliang CHEN
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2025;44(7):870-876
Objective:To examine the current diagnostic and treatment practices, as well as surgical outcomes, for individuals over the age of 60 diagnosed with acute aortic arch dissection(ATAAD)at Tianjin University Chest Hospital.This analysis evaluates the safety and feasibility of performing open surgical procedures on elderly patients affected by aortic dissection.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on 509 patients diagnosed with ATAAD who were registered in the Chest Pain Center data reporting platform(https: //datacs.chinacpc.org/)at Tianjin Chest Hospital, covering the period from June 2015 to December 2021.The patients were divided into two groups: the elderly group, consisting of individuals aged 60 years or older, and the non-elderly group, comprising those under 60 years of age.Their surgical conditions and short-term outcomes were subsequently examined and compared.Results:A total of 509 patients were included, 311 cases(61.1%)were identified within the non-elderly group, with a mean age of 45.78 ± 8.96 years(range: 21-59 years).In contrast, 198 cases(38.9%)belonged to the elderly group, with a mean age of 65.61 ± 4.13 years(range: 60-81 years).A total of 416 patients(81.7%)received surgical intervention.Among those who underwent surgery, the elderly group exhibited a significantly higher proportion of females(38.1% vs.20.6%, P<0.001), and these patients had smaller body surface areas and lower body mass index values.Furthermore, a greater number of elderly patients presented with comorbid conditions such as hypertension, coronary artery disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and stroke(all P<0.05).The 30-day all-cause mortality rate, incidence of cerebral infarction, and rate of continuous renal replacement therapy(CRRT)utilization were similar in both groups(20.9% vs.18.8%、15.1% vs.10.5%、19.4% vs.18.1%, all P>0.05).However, elderly patients experienced longer postoperative recovery durations, extended periods of ventilator dependency, and a higher incidence of new-onset atrial fibrillation following surgery(all P<0.05). Conclusions:The surgical rate for elderly patients with ATAAD is low, suggesting that there is significant potential for improvement in clinical diagnosis and treatment.Advanced age should not be viewed as a contraindication for surgery; rather, appropriate case selection and personalized treatment plans can enhance the success rate of surgical interventions.


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