1.Establishment and validation of a model for femoral head necrosis after internal fixation of femoral neck fracture using logistic regression and SHAP analysis
Long LIAO ; Zepeng ZHAO ; Zongyuan LI ; Qinglong YU ; Tao ZHANG ; Jinyuan TANG ; Nan YE ; Han XU ; Bo SHI
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(3):626-633
BACKGROUND:The most common complication of traumatic femoral neck fractures after internal fixation is femoral head necrosis.Currently,many studies have reported on the risk factors that affect the occurrence and development of postoperative femoral head necrosis,but there is still a lack of tools to predict the risk of femoral head necrosis after internal fixation of femoral neck fractures.OBJECTIVE:To develop a predictive model that estimates the risk of femoral head necrosis shortly after patients with femoral neck fractures receive cannulated screw internal fixation.METHODS:A retrospective analysis reviewed clinical records of 172 patients who underwent cannulated screw internal fixation for femoral neck fractures at Department of Orthopedics of Mianyang Central Hospital from January 2013 to June 2023.Patients were categorized into two groups based on the presence or absence of femoral head necrosis within one year post-operation:the necrosis group and the non-necrosis group.Univariate analysis,Lasso regression,and multivariate Logistic regression techniques were employed to identify the determinants of femoral head necrosis.A nomogram prediction model was constructed using R language's"rms"package,version 4.0.The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the discriminatory ability of the model.The Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to evaluate the goodness of fit of the model,and the decision curve analysis was used to determine its clinical application benefits.Internal validation of the study was conducted using the Bootstrap method,involving 1 000 repeated samplings.To delve deeper into the primary factors influencing femoral head necrosis post-internal fixation of the femoral neck,this paper employed the SHAP method for data set analysis.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)The risk factors leading to femoral head necrosis in the short term after cannulated screw fixation of femoral neck fractures include:smoking,diabetes,Garden classification,fracture line location,reduction quality,age,and operation time.(2)The prediction model demonstrated robust performance,evidenced by an area under the curve of 0.940(95%Confidence Interval:0.903 to 0.977),indicating a high level of prediction accuracy.The model achieved a sensitivity of 90.2%and a specificity of 87.6%,indicating that its diagnostic performance was stable.The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test yielded a chi-square value of 6.593 with a P-value of 0.581,confirming that the model's predictions closely align with the observed outcomes.(3)The calibration curve of the model also performed well,and its overall trend was very close to the ideal curve,further proving the high accuracy of the model.(4)The internal validation was carried out by the Bootstrap method with 1 000 repeated samplings,and the area under the curve of the model internal validation was still as high as 0.939,proving that the model had good stability.(5)Through the decision curve,it is found that within the probability threshold range of 1%to 92%,the model can obtain the maximum net benefit value.(6)The SHAP analysis results show that among the risk factors analyzed in this study,the location of the fracture line serves as the most significant predictor of femoral head necrosis following internal fixation with cannulated screws in femoral neck fractures,and subcapital fractures are extremely prone to femoral head necrosis after surgery.(7)It is concluded that the validated prediction model demonstrates strong discriminative power and reliability,offering practical clinical utility.It serves as a useful reference tool for short-term risk assessment of femoral head necrosis following internal fixation of femoral neck fractures.
2.Establishment and validation of a model for femoral head necrosis after internal fixation of femoral neck fracture using logistic regression and SHAP analysis
Long LIAO ; Zepeng ZHAO ; Zongyuan LI ; Qinglong YU ; Tao ZHANG ; Jinyuan TANG ; Nan YE ; Han XU ; Bo SHI
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(3):626-633
BACKGROUND:The most common complication of traumatic femoral neck fractures after internal fixation is femoral head necrosis.Currently,many studies have reported on the risk factors that affect the occurrence and development of postoperative femoral head necrosis,but there is still a lack of tools to predict the risk of femoral head necrosis after internal fixation of femoral neck fractures.OBJECTIVE:To develop a predictive model that estimates the risk of femoral head necrosis shortly after patients with femoral neck fractures receive cannulated screw internal fixation.METHODS:A retrospective analysis reviewed clinical records of 172 patients who underwent cannulated screw internal fixation for femoral neck fractures at Department of Orthopedics of Mianyang Central Hospital from January 2013 to June 2023.Patients were categorized into two groups based on the presence or absence of femoral head necrosis within one year post-operation:the necrosis group and the non-necrosis group.Univariate analysis,Lasso regression,and multivariate Logistic regression techniques were employed to identify the determinants of femoral head necrosis.A nomogram prediction model was constructed using R language's"rms"package,version 4.0.The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the discriminatory ability of the model.The Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to evaluate the goodness of fit of the model,and the decision curve analysis was used to determine its clinical application benefits.Internal validation of the study was conducted using the Bootstrap method,involving 1 000 repeated samplings.To delve deeper into the primary factors influencing femoral head necrosis post-internal fixation of the femoral neck,this paper employed the SHAP method for data set analysis.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)The risk factors leading to femoral head necrosis in the short term after cannulated screw fixation of femoral neck fractures include:smoking,diabetes,Garden classification,fracture line location,reduction quality,age,and operation time.(2)The prediction model demonstrated robust performance,evidenced by an area under the curve of 0.940(95%Confidence Interval:0.903 to 0.977),indicating a high level of prediction accuracy.The model achieved a sensitivity of 90.2%and a specificity of 87.6%,indicating that its diagnostic performance was stable.The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test yielded a chi-square value of 6.593 with a P-value of 0.581,confirming that the model's predictions closely align with the observed outcomes.(3)The calibration curve of the model also performed well,and its overall trend was very close to the ideal curve,further proving the high accuracy of the model.(4)The internal validation was carried out by the Bootstrap method with 1 000 repeated samplings,and the area under the curve of the model internal validation was still as high as 0.939,proving that the model had good stability.(5)Through the decision curve,it is found that within the probability threshold range of 1%to 92%,the model can obtain the maximum net benefit value.(6)The SHAP analysis results show that among the risk factors analyzed in this study,the location of the fracture line serves as the most significant predictor of femoral head necrosis following internal fixation with cannulated screws in femoral neck fractures,and subcapital fractures are extremely prone to femoral head necrosis after surgery.(7)It is concluded that the validated prediction model demonstrates strong discriminative power and reliability,offering practical clinical utility.It serves as a useful reference tool for short-term risk assessment of femoral head necrosis following internal fixation of femoral neck fractures.
3.Construction and application of a system for rational drug use for prescriptions from internet hospitals and external prescriptions and medical insurance fund control based on a pre-review prescription system
Yi GE ; Xiaolan WANG ; Junping HAN ; Bo LYU ; Yu GUAN ; Feng XU ; Aiming SHI
China Pharmacy 2026;37(5):584-588
OBJECTIVE To ensure the safety of patients’ drug use and control the risk of medical insurance expenditure by upgrading the pre-prescription review system to conduct pre-review on prescriptions from internet hospitals and external prescriptions, as well as to review the payment methods of drugs (including in-hospital and external drug dispensing). METHODS The data interfaces of prescriptions from internet hospitals and external prescriptions were integrated to achieve real-time rational drug use intervention. Additionally, an intelligent review project for payment method was added to precisely intervene in the medical insurance payment methods of drugs. The effect of the system upgrade was evaluated by comparing the qualification rates of prescriptions from internet hospitals and external prescriptions and the suspected amounts of drug violations from January to April 2025 (before the system upgrade) and May to August 2025 (after the system upgrade). RESULTS After the upgrade of the pre-prescription review system, the qualification rates of prescriptions from internet hospitals and external prescriptions increased by 3.5% [95% confidence interval (CI)=0.3%-6.7%, P =0.037 ] ; the suspected amounts of drug violations decreased to 52.9% of the pre-upgrade level (95%CI=31.6%-88.5%, P =0.026), and the average monthly sequential decrease was 29.5% (95%CI=12.2%-43.4%, P =0.012). Moreover, the addition of the intelligent review project for payment methods promoted the management of off-label drug use in our hospital. After the upgrade, a total of 79 filling valid applications for off-label drug use were received and archived. CONCLUSIONS The upgrade of the pre-prescription review system effectively improves the review qualification rates of prescriptions from internet hospitals and external prescriptions and the accuracy of medical insurance payment for drugs, and strengthens the supervision of off-label drug use, achieving dual guarantees of clinical rationality and medical insurance compliance.
4.Epidemiological characteristics and trends of postoperative pneumonia in 22 tertiary general hospitals in Jiangsu Province
Hui QIU ; Ping JIANG ; Ping WANG ; Tielin ZHU ; Yan XU ; Tingrui WANG ; Yan SUN ; Yu ZHANG ; Yujuan HOU ; Xiaoming KONG ; Xiaoxu CHEN ; Lanping SHI ; Xiuying LI ; Jing BAI ; Yan WANG ; Huili YUAN ; Bo WANG ; Ying ZHANG ; Jinxia XU ; Ting MA ; Minghua YAN ; Yanan CHEN
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2025;24(11):1594-1600
Objective To understand the epidemiological characteristics and trends of postoperative pneumonia(POP)in tertiary general hospitals in Jiangsu Province,and provide theoretical basis for carrying out targeted pre-vention and control measures.Methods Surgery patients from 22 tertiary general hospitals in 12 cities in north,central,and south of Jiangsu Province from January 1,2022 to December 31,2023 were chosen as studied subjects,occurrence of POP was analyzed and compared.Results A total of 848 274 surgical procedures were performed in 22 hospitals,and 3 606 cases of POP occurred,with an incidence of 0.43%.The incidence in 2023 was 0.37%,which was lower than that in 2022(0.49%),with statistically significant difference(P<0.001).The top three de-partments with high incidence of POP were neurosurgery(6.71%),cardiothoracic surgery(2.91%),and general surgery(0.77%).Among hospitals of different grades,the incidence of POP in tertiary first-class hospitals was 0.44%,which was higher than that in other tertiary hospitals(0.37%).There was no statistically significant difference in the incidence of POP between municipal and district/county hospitals(P>0.05).The incidence of POP in hospitals with a bed:infection control full-time staff ratio<200∶1 was lower than that in hospitals with the ratio ≥200∶1(0.39%vs 0.47%,P<0.001),while the incidence of POP in hospitals with a proportion ≥30%of full-time staff being doctors was higher than that in hospitals with a proportion<30%(0.45%vs 0.36%,P<0.001).The incidence of POP in male patients was higher than that in female patients(0.62%vs 0.26%,P<0.001).The incidence of POP in elderly patients aged≥65 was higher than that in patients aged<65(0.73%vs 0.26%,P<0.001).A total of 2 667 strains of infectious pathogens were detected,with the top three being Acine-tobacter baumannii,Klebsiella pneumoniae,and Pseudomonas aeruginosa,accounting for 28.95%,22.72%,and 15.45%,respectively.The detection rates of carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii(CRAB),carba-penem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae(CRKP),and carbapenem-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa(CRPA)were 60.75%,21.45%,and 32.28%,respectively.The detection rate of CRKP decreased in 2023 compared with 2022,with statistically significant difference(P<0.05).Conclusion The overall incidence of POP in tertiary general hos-pitals in Jiangsu Province is relatively low,but there are significant differences among different hospitals.There-fore,perioperative prevention and control measures should be carried out based on the epidemiological characteristics of patients.
5.Predictive Value of Residual Quantitative Flow Ratio for Long-term Vessel-oriented Composite Endpoints
Rui ZHANG ; Yanpu SHI ; Changdong GUAN ; Yanyan ZHAO ; Shengxian TU ; Bo YU ; Guosheng FU ; Yujie ZHOU ; Jian'an WANG ; Yundai CHEN ; Jun PU ; Kefei DOU ; Weixian YANG ; Yongjian WU ; Shubin QIAO ; Lei SONG
Chinese Circulation Journal 2025;40(9):862-869
Objectives:To explore the predictive value of residual Murray's law-based quantitative flow ratio(μQFR)on long-term vessel-oriented composite endpoints(VoCE).Methods:This retrospective study included 3 510 patients from the FAVOR Ⅲ China trial.Offline residual μQFR analysis was performed on all vessels(diameter≥2.5 mm)with 50%-90%stenotic lesions.Patients were stratified into high-,intermediate-,and low-risk groups based on residual μQFR tertiles.The primary endpoint was 3-year VoCE,defined as a composite of cardiac death related to the target vessel,target vessel-related spontaneous myocardial infarction,and ischemia-driven target vessel revascularization.Results:Offline analysis was performed on 5 256 vessels from 3 510 patients.The mean residual μQFR was 0.92±0.75.The high-risk group(residual μQFR≤0.91)with 1 554 patients(1 958 vessels);the intermediate-risk group(residual μQFR 0.92-0.96)with 1 211 patients(1 906 vessels);and the low-risk group(residual μQFR>0.96)with 745 patients(1 392 vessels).Over 3-year follow-up,VoCE occurred in 227 vessels(4.3%).The 3-year VoCE incidence was significantly higher in the high-risk group compared to the intermediate-and low-risk groups(6.2%vs.4.1%vs.2.5%,log-rank P<0.001),primarily driven by ischemia-driven target vessel revascularization(5.0%vs.3.0%vs.1.6%,log-rank P<0.001).Hypertension(OR=0.83,95%CI:0.72-0.96),hypercholesterolemia(OR=0.84,95%CI:0.73-0.97),bifurcation lesions(OR=0.72,95%CI:0.63-0.83),moderate/severe calcification(OR=0.70,95%CI:0.57-0.84),and tandem lesions(OR=0.59,95%CI:0.47-0.75)were independent predictors of lower residual μQFR values.Conclusions:Lower residual μQFR is significantly associated with increased VoCE risk during the 3-year follow up period.
6.Assay for detection of toxigenic Clostridioides difficile with combined microfluidic chip and immunochromatography technology
Hong-rui CHENG ; Xiao-jun SONG ; Yu CHEN ; Meng ZHANG ; Meng-ting CAI ; Kun ZHU ; Yu-lei TAI ; Shi-bo YING ; Da-zhi JIN
Chinese Journal of Zoonoses 2025;41(2):142-149
An assay was established for detection of toxigenic Clostridioides difficile by combining microfluidic chip analysis with immunochromatography,and its performance was evaluated and compared with those of the Xpert C.difficile/Epi and VIDAS CD AB tests.Primer pairs were designed according to the tcdB and tpi genes in C.difficile.The specificity,limit of detection,reproducibility,and stability were evaluated.A total of 215 stool samples from patients with diarrhea were collected and tested in parallel with the Xpert C.difficile/Epi,VIDAS CDAB,and our assay.C.difficile was isolated from samples,and the tcdB gene was identified when discrepant results were obtained from the three above assays.Our assay showed no cross-reaction with other diarrhea-associated pathogens.Its reproducibility was 100%in testing of two standard plasmids containing tcdB and tpi genes at two concentrations(105 and 102 copies/μL).Two standard plasmids were detected after the PCR and immunochromatography reagents had been stored for 3,6,9,and 12 months,and all the results were posi-tive.The limit of detection was 10 copies/μL for toxigenic C.difficile.Testing of 33 samples positive for C.difficile with our assay(33/215,15.3%)yielded findings statistically coherent with those of the Xpert C.difficile/Epi test(kappa value=0.965).The sensitivity,specificity,positive predictive value,and negative predictive value of our assay,with respect to Xpert C.difficile/Epi as the standard,were 94.3%,100.0%,100.0%,and 98.9%;these values were significantly higher than those of VIDAS CDAB(60.0%,98.9%,91.3%,and 92.7%)(Kappa=0.714,OR=157.50,95%CI:62.03-847.28,P=0.013).In conclusion,our newly developed assay is specific,stable,and reproducible,and may be used for rapid and accu-rate detection of toxigenic C.difficile.The assay could be used for C.difficile infection screening in outpatient and emergen-cy,community medical service center,and epidemiological settings.
7.The molecular subtyping of urothelial carcinoma using GATA-3 and CD44
Xiaodie ZHOU ; Bo YU ; Xuan WANG ; Jianjun WANG ; Qunli SHI ; Qiu RAO ; Wei BAO
Chinese Journal of Clinical and Experimental Pathology 2025;41(5):596-601
Purpose To investigate the correlation between molecular typing of urothelial carcinoma(UC)and its clinicopathologic features and prognosis,in order to explore the prognostic markers and therapeutic targets for UC.Methods 115 patients with UC were retrospectively analyzed.Immunohistochemical markers GATA-3,CK20,CK5/6 and CD44 were used for molecular typing of UC(luminal-like type,basal-like type and null).Correlations between molecular typing and clinicopathological features were analyzed using the Chi-square test and Fisher precise test.Sur-vival analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier test and Log-rank test.Results The expression of GATA-3 and CK20 was negatively correlated with the clinical stage of UC,while the expression of CD44 was positively correlated with the clinical stage of UC(both P<0.05).CK20 was a marker of good prognosis(P=0.03).The proportion of clinically advanced UC with basal-like type was significantly higher than that of luminal-like type(78.4%vs 53.4%,P=0.033).Among the histologic variants,UC with neuroendocrine differentiation(100%),sarcomatoid carcinoma(80.0%)and squamous differentiation(77.8%)were basal-like type.All plasmacytoid and lymphoepithelioma-like types,as well as 81.8%of micropapillary UC.Among the null phenotypes,the differential variant predominated(66.7%).Compared with the luminal-like type,although the prognosis of basal-like UC was worse,there was no sta-tistically significant difference(P>0.05).Conclusion Patients with CK20-expressing UC had a significantly better prognosis.The main histologic variants types of basal-like type and coelomofacial type are different.Molecular typing of UC using immunohistochemical markers is suggestive of clinical staging and prognosis of patients.
8.Assay for detection of toxigenic Clostridioides difficile with combined microfluidic chip and immunochromatography technology
Hong-rui CHENG ; Xiao-jun SONG ; Yu CHEN ; Meng ZHANG ; Meng-ting CAI ; Kun ZHU ; Yu-lei TAI ; Shi-bo YING ; Da-zhi JIN
Chinese Journal of Zoonoses 2025;41(2):142-149
An assay was established for detection of toxigenic Clostridioides difficile by combining microfluidic chip analysis with immunochromatography,and its performance was evaluated and compared with those of the Xpert C.difficile/Epi and VIDAS CD AB tests.Primer pairs were designed according to the tcdB and tpi genes in C.difficile.The specificity,limit of detection,reproducibility,and stability were evaluated.A total of 215 stool samples from patients with diarrhea were collected and tested in parallel with the Xpert C.difficile/Epi,VIDAS CDAB,and our assay.C.difficile was isolated from samples,and the tcdB gene was identified when discrepant results were obtained from the three above assays.Our assay showed no cross-reaction with other diarrhea-associated pathogens.Its reproducibility was 100%in testing of two standard plasmids containing tcdB and tpi genes at two concentrations(105 and 102 copies/μL).Two standard plasmids were detected after the PCR and immunochromatography reagents had been stored for 3,6,9,and 12 months,and all the results were posi-tive.The limit of detection was 10 copies/μL for toxigenic C.difficile.Testing of 33 samples positive for C.difficile with our assay(33/215,15.3%)yielded findings statistically coherent with those of the Xpert C.difficile/Epi test(kappa value=0.965).The sensitivity,specificity,positive predictive value,and negative predictive value of our assay,with respect to Xpert C.difficile/Epi as the standard,were 94.3%,100.0%,100.0%,and 98.9%;these values were significantly higher than those of VIDAS CDAB(60.0%,98.9%,91.3%,and 92.7%)(Kappa=0.714,OR=157.50,95%CI:62.03-847.28,P=0.013).In conclusion,our newly developed assay is specific,stable,and reproducible,and may be used for rapid and accu-rate detection of toxigenic C.difficile.The assay could be used for C.difficile infection screening in outpatient and emergen-cy,community medical service center,and epidemiological settings.
9.The molecular subtyping of urothelial carcinoma using GATA-3 and CD44
Xiaodie ZHOU ; Bo YU ; Xuan WANG ; Jianjun WANG ; Qunli SHI ; Qiu RAO ; Wei BAO
Chinese Journal of Clinical and Experimental Pathology 2025;41(5):596-601
Purpose To investigate the correlation between molecular typing of urothelial carcinoma(UC)and its clinicopathologic features and prognosis,in order to explore the prognostic markers and therapeutic targets for UC.Methods 115 patients with UC were retrospectively analyzed.Immunohistochemical markers GATA-3,CK20,CK5/6 and CD44 were used for molecular typing of UC(luminal-like type,basal-like type and null).Correlations between molecular typing and clinicopathological features were analyzed using the Chi-square test and Fisher precise test.Sur-vival analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier test and Log-rank test.Results The expression of GATA-3 and CK20 was negatively correlated with the clinical stage of UC,while the expression of CD44 was positively correlated with the clinical stage of UC(both P<0.05).CK20 was a marker of good prognosis(P=0.03).The proportion of clinically advanced UC with basal-like type was significantly higher than that of luminal-like type(78.4%vs 53.4%,P=0.033).Among the histologic variants,UC with neuroendocrine differentiation(100%),sarcomatoid carcinoma(80.0%)and squamous differentiation(77.8%)were basal-like type.All plasmacytoid and lymphoepithelioma-like types,as well as 81.8%of micropapillary UC.Among the null phenotypes,the differential variant predominated(66.7%).Compared with the luminal-like type,although the prognosis of basal-like UC was worse,there was no sta-tistically significant difference(P>0.05).Conclusion Patients with CK20-expressing UC had a significantly better prognosis.The main histologic variants types of basal-like type and coelomofacial type are different.Molecular typing of UC using immunohistochemical markers is suggestive of clinical staging and prognosis of patients.
10.Correlation of POSTN and NECTIN-3 expression with clinicopathological features and prognosis in urothelial carcinoma
Xiaodie ZHOU ; Kai CHENG ; Jianjun WANG ; Xuan WANG ; Bo YU ; Qunli SHI ; Qiu RAO ; Wei BAO
Chinese Journal of Clinical and Experimental Pathology 2025;41(11):1485-1491
Purpose To investigate the relationship between the expression of POSTN and NECTIN-3 in urothelial carcinoma(UC)and its clinicopathologic features and prognosis.Methods Clinical data of 115 UC patients were col-lected.EnVision two-step method was used for immunohistochemical analysis to determine the expression of POSTN and NECTIN-3 in UC and their correlation with clinicopathological features and prognosis.Transcriptomic data from TCGA database were used to analyze the correlation between the expression of POSTN and NECTIN-3 in bladder cancer and the pathological stage and prognosis of bladder cancer.qPCR and Western blot were used to detect the expression levels of POSTN and NECTIN-3 in tumor tissues and adjacent tissues of patients.Results TCGA database analysis showed that the expression level of NECTIN-3 in urinary bladder urothelial carcinoma(UBUC)was significantly lower than that in paracancer tissues,and POSTN expression was positively correlated with pathological stage.Prognostic a-nalysis showed that POSTN expression was negatively correlated with the overall survival of UBUC(P>0.05),and NECTIN-3 expression was negatively correlated with disease-free survival of UBUC(P>0.05).The experimental re-suits showed that patients with positive POSTN expression were more prone to perineural invasion[25 cases(86.2%)vs 4 cases(13.8%),P=0.019],vascular invasion[36 cases(83.7%)vs 7 cases(16.3%),P=0.007],and lymph node metastasis[24 cases(88.9%)vs 3 cases(11.1%),P=0.033].Additionally,the positive expression rate of POSTN in UBUC was significantly higher than that in upper tract urothelial carcinoma(UTUC)(75.0%vs 54.3%,P=0.028).Higher expression levels of POSTN and NECTIN-3 were associated with shorter overall survival,but the difference was not statistically significant(P>0.05).Conclusion There is no significant correlation between NECTIN-3 and the clinicopathological features and prognosis of urothelial carcinoma,while the expression of POSTN is correlated with the invasive clinicopathological features of UC,which has certain suggestive significance for clinical stage and prognosis.

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail