1.Construction of a nomogram prediction model using risk factors for tibial tuberosity avulsion fractures in adolescents
Tao QIAN ; Yao LIU ; Jun WEN ; Yicong LIU ; Cong LIU ; Bingqing MAO ; Yunfang ZHEN
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedic Trauma 2025;27(9):789-797
Objective:To investigate the risk factors for tibial tuberosity avulsion fractures (TTAF) in adolescents and develop a clinically applicable nomogram prediction model for rapid risk assessment and identification of high-risk populations.Methods:A retrospective study was conducted to analyze the data of 58 adolescent patients (61 sides) who had been treated for TTAF at Department of Orthopaedics, Children's Hospital of Soochow University between January 2018 and October 2024. There were 57 males and 1 female, with an age of 14.0 (13.0, 14.0) years, designated as the observation group. The control group enrolled another contemporary 52 patients who, matched with age and gender, had a clear history of trauma and clinical symptoms of knee injury but no bone continuity destruction of the knee joint by the final imaging examination. They were 50 males and 2 females, with an age of 13.5 (12.0, 15.0) years. Baseline characteristics, pre-injury physical activity profiles, and imaging-derived anatomical parameters were compared between the 2 groups. Variables with P<0.05 in the univariate analysis were included in a multivariable logistic regression model to identify independent risk factors for adolescent TTAF, based on which a nomogram prediction model was developed and internally validated using bootstrapping (1,000 resamples). Results:Multivariable logistic regression analysis identified the following independent risk factors for adolescent TTAF: short-term high-frequency exercise ( OR=5.653, 95% CI: 1.068 to 29.918, P=0.042), a large body mass index (BMI) ( OR=1.445, 95% CI: 1.197 to 1.743, P<0.001), a large posterior tibial slope (PTS) ( OR=1.637, 95% CI: 1.140 to 2.353, P=0.008), and an increased tibial tubercle-trochlear groove (TT-TG) distance ( OR=1.227, 95% CI: 1.021 to 1.474, P=0.029). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.927 for the model incorporating CT-derived variables and 0.907 for the model excluding CT variables. Decision curve analysis (DCA) and calibration curves demonstrated favorable clinical utility and alignment between predicted and observed outcomes in both models. Conclusions:Short-term high-frequency exercise, a large body mass index, a large PTS, and an increased TT-TG distance are risk factors for adolescent TTAF. The established prediction model is suitable for rapid clinical assessment and demonstrates good predictive capability.
2.Construction of a nomogram prediction model using risk factors for tibial tuberosity avulsion fractures in adolescents
Tao QIAN ; Yao LIU ; Jun WEN ; Yicong LIU ; Cong LIU ; Bingqing MAO ; Yunfang ZHEN
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedic Trauma 2025;27(9):789-797
Objective:To investigate the risk factors for tibial tuberosity avulsion fractures (TTAF) in adolescents and develop a clinically applicable nomogram prediction model for rapid risk assessment and identification of high-risk populations.Methods:A retrospective study was conducted to analyze the data of 58 adolescent patients (61 sides) who had been treated for TTAF at Department of Orthopaedics, Children's Hospital of Soochow University between January 2018 and October 2024. There were 57 males and 1 female, with an age of 14.0 (13.0, 14.0) years, designated as the observation group. The control group enrolled another contemporary 52 patients who, matched with age and gender, had a clear history of trauma and clinical symptoms of knee injury but no bone continuity destruction of the knee joint by the final imaging examination. They were 50 males and 2 females, with an age of 13.5 (12.0, 15.0) years. Baseline characteristics, pre-injury physical activity profiles, and imaging-derived anatomical parameters were compared between the 2 groups. Variables with P<0.05 in the univariate analysis were included in a multivariable logistic regression model to identify independent risk factors for adolescent TTAF, based on which a nomogram prediction model was developed and internally validated using bootstrapping (1,000 resamples). Results:Multivariable logistic regression analysis identified the following independent risk factors for adolescent TTAF: short-term high-frequency exercise ( OR=5.653, 95% CI: 1.068 to 29.918, P=0.042), a large body mass index (BMI) ( OR=1.445, 95% CI: 1.197 to 1.743, P<0.001), a large posterior tibial slope (PTS) ( OR=1.637, 95% CI: 1.140 to 2.353, P=0.008), and an increased tibial tubercle-trochlear groove (TT-TG) distance ( OR=1.227, 95% CI: 1.021 to 1.474, P=0.029). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.927 for the model incorporating CT-derived variables and 0.907 for the model excluding CT variables. Decision curve analysis (DCA) and calibration curves demonstrated favorable clinical utility and alignment between predicted and observed outcomes in both models. Conclusions:Short-term high-frequency exercise, a large body mass index, a large PTS, and an increased TT-TG distance are risk factors for adolescent TTAF. The established prediction model is suitable for rapid clinical assessment and demonstrates good predictive capability.
3.Meta-analysis of the prevalence and risk factors of new diabetes after chronic pancreatitis
Bingqing LI ; Qi ZHANG ; Tao MAO ; Liang FANG ; Wenqing ZHANG ; Zibin TIAN ; Xiaoyu LI
Chinese Journal of Pancreatology 2023;23(5):335-341
Objective:To evaluate the prevalence and related risk factors of new onset diabetes after chronic pancreatitis by meta-analysis.Methods:Chronic pancreatitis, diabetes, post pancreatitis diabetes, type 2 diabetes, type 3c diabetes, endocrine dysfunction, chronic pancreatitis, diabetes mellitus, post pancreatitis diabetes mellitus, endocrine efficiency, risk factors were used as keywords, and the network database such as the CNKI database, Wanfang, Weipu, Chinese Medical Journal Full Text, PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, and so on from the database establishment to January 2023 were searched. The prospective and retrospective cohort studies on new diabetes after chronic pancreatitis published were searched and retrieved, and the papers were screened and the quality were evaluated according to preset inclusion and exclusion criteria; and the important data were extracted. Review Manager 5.4 was used for meta-analysis.Results:22 papers were finally included, including 13 785 patients with chronic pancreatitis, of which 4 233 were patients with new onset diabetes. Meta-analysis showed that the incidence of new diabetes after chronic pancreatitis was 29% ( RD=0.29, 95% CI 26%-32%, P<0.0001), which increased and tended to be stable along with the disease course. Alcohol drinking, smoking, alcoholic chronic pancreatitis, pancreatic calcification, biliary stricture, male, conservative treatment, pancreatic cyst and older onset age were considered as risk factors for new diabetes after chronic pancreatitis, and endoscopic treatment was considered as protective factors. Conclusions:The incidence of new diabetes after the diagnosis of chronic pancreatitis is relatively high. Clinically, we can identify high-risk groups exposed to risk factors, and early intervention can reduce the incidence rate of new diabetes after chronic pancreatitis and improve the prognosis of patients.
4.Efficacy and safety of letrozole in treatment of male children with disorders of sex development.
Bingqing YU ; Min NIE ; Xueyan WU ; Jiangfeng MAO ; Xi WANG ; Wanlu MA ; Wen JI ; Qibin HUANG ; Rui ZHANG
Journal of Zhejiang University. Medical sciences 2020;49(3):297-301
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the efficacy and safety of aromatase inhibitor letrozole in treatment of male children with disorders of sex development (DSD).
METHODS:
Clinical data of 12 male DSD children with a mean age of 14.6±2.5 years admitted to Peking Union Medical College Hospital from January 2014 to January 2016 were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were treated with letrozole (1.25-2.5 mg, once a day) for 3 months or longer, and followed up for 0.5-2.5 years. Clinical manifestation and laboratory test findings were documented, and the efficacy and safety were evaluated.
RESULTS:
After half-year treatment, the blood luteinizing hormone (LH), follicle-stimulating hormone (FSH) and testosterone levels of patients increased (all < 0.05), and estrogen levels decreased from baseline ( < 0.05). After 1 year of treatment, the blood testosterone level was significantly higher ( < 0.05); the LH and FSH levels tended to increase and the estrogen level tended to decrease, but there was no significant statistical difference ( >0.05). Semen was routinely detected in 8 patients, and sperms were detected in semen of 3 patients with hypospadias. There were no significant changes in biochemical results after treatment, and no significant adverse event was observed during the treatment.
CONCLUSIONS
Letrozole can effectively increase testosterone levels in patients with disorders of sex development and promote spermatogenesis, it has no significant adverse effects in short-term administration.
Adolescent
;
Child
;
Disorders of Sex Development
;
drug therapy
;
Follicle Stimulating Hormone
;
Humans
;
Letrozole
;
therapeutic use
;
Luteinizing Hormone
;
Male
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Testosterone
5.The review of the effects of glucagon-like peptide-1 and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists on hypothalamus-pituitary-gonad axis
Ming HAO ; Jiangfeng MAO ; Min NIE ; Bingqing YU ; Yinjie GAO ; Xi WANG ; Xueyan WU
Chinese Journal of Endocrinology and Metabolism 2019;35(6):515-518
Mammalian reproduction is closely related to their metabolic status. The hypothalamus-pituitary-gonad axis ( HPG axis) is regulated by various metabolic factors. Glucagon-like peptide-1 ( GLP-1) is one of various metabolic factors that not only affect glycemic and metabolic control, but also with many other effects, including affecting HPA axis. The function of GLP-1 is related to the location of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor ( GLP-1R) distribution. It has been confirmed that GLP-1R is widely distributed in HPG axis. The effects of GLP-1 and GLP-1R agonists on the HPG axis have also attracted much attention. The positive effects of GLP-1 and GLP-1R agonists on the HPG axis indicated it could be the new target for the new treatment for gonadal diseases. The role of GLP-1 and GLP-1R agonists in the central nervous system is reviewed.

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